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2022-08-28 · +30d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1124
186 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+3.77%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
62.9%
in alpha space · 72.0% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-2.44%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
AAVEAaveEthereum78.5779.1138+0.69%76.6-2.51%0.0047✓1.506.5M2022-09-27
TRXTRONTron0.0613920.061326-0.11%0.059413-3.22%0.0169✓0.60142k2022-09-27
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.014780.01476-0.14%0.0108-26.93%0.2954✓0.69165k2022-09-27
GTGateEthereum4.32284.2905-0.75%4.2532-1.61%0.0103✗0.77775k2022-09-27
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6450.636381-1.34%0.558-13.49%0.1013✓1.224.8M2022-09-27
BFCBifrostEthereum0.068970.067955-1.47%0.06055-12.21%0.0861✓1.1927k2022-09-27
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.159770.157329-1.53%0.16684+4.43%0.1098✗2.076362022-09-27
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03450.033971-1.53%0.0336-2.61%0.0120✓0.9386k2022-09-27
SUNSun TokenTron0.0055190.005435-1.53%0.004977-9.82%0.0713✓0.672,5882022-09-27
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.32610.320964-1.57%0.318-2.48%0.0219✗1.26176k2022-09-27
SOLSolanaSolana30.4529.963-1.60%32.68+7.32%0.1160✗1.1867.0M2022-09-27
LTCLitecoinLitecoin53.3852.3231-1.98%52.67-1.33%0.0309✗0.9812.8M2022-09-27
KCSKuCoinnative8.8168.6385-2.01%9.026+2.38%0.0677✗0.961.5M2022-09-27
COTICOTIEthereum0.08540.083598-2.11%0.104+21.78%0.2420✗0.96409k2022-09-27
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.4890.478438-2.16%0.355-27.40%0.2675✓1.252,6092022-09-27
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche18.5318.1054-2.29%17.29-6.69%0.0136✓1.3222.5M2022-09-27
STORJStorjEthereum0.524370.512148-2.33%0.46109-12.07%0.0730✓1.3041k2022-09-27
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.93340.911435-2.35%0.903-3.26%0.0038✓0.533.6M2022-09-27
XTZTezosTezos1.4261.3918-2.40%1.4449+1.33%0.0649✗1.11319k2022-09-27
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05540.054041-2.45%0.0523-5.60%0.0099✓0.9399k2022-09-27
LPTLivepeerEthereum9.519.2763-2.46%8.89-6.52%0.0128✓1.20386k2022-09-27
CHRChromiaEthereum0.15920.155275-2.47%0.1477-7.22%0.0159✓1.382,2552022-09-27
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.1755.0448-2.52%4.1377-20.04%0.1950✓0.13119k2022-09-27
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.93320.90962-2.53%0.8448-9.47%0.0439✓1.22972k2022-09-27
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.320.311829-2.55%0.292-8.75%0.0370✓1.16146k2022-09-27
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.332.2703-2.56%2.85+22.32%0.2402✗0.5293k2022-09-27
DODODODOEthereum0.11820.115149-2.58%0.1241+4.99%0.0985✗0.961.8M2022-09-27
GMTGMTEthereum0.64630.629558-2.59%0.6935+7.30%0.1316✗1.41242k2022-09-27
COMPCompoundEthereum43.8542.7111-2.60%62.04+41.48%0.4037✗1.2312k2022-09-27
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.20240.19713-2.60%0.1944-3.95%0.0112✓1.0261k2022-09-27
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2912770.283631-2.63%0.266297-8.58%0.0364✓1.08593k2022-09-27
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.43490.423375-2.65%0.4494+3.33%0.0873✗1.12364k2022-09-27
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.037320.036289-2.76%0.03407-8.71%0.0432✓0.812,7072022-09-27
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.60e-78.36e-7-2.77%7.90e-7-8.14%0.0368✓0.8116k2022-09-27
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9160.890227-2.81%0.919+0.33%0.0624✗1.241.4M2022-09-27
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.07920.076971-2.81%0.0807+1.89%0.0709✗0.9614k2022-09-27
XMRMoneroMonero146.4142.2746-2.82%144.38-1.38%0.0389✗0.981.2M2022-09-27
NANOnanopayBase0.8625010.838183-2.82%0.760511-11.82%0.0774✓0.8177k2022-09-27
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0015870.001542-2.82%0.001575-0.76%0.0447✗0.96538k2022-09-27
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.067120.065219-2.83%0.06124-8.76%0.0428✓0.829142022-09-27
WOOWOOEthereum0.13810.134036-2.94%0.1365-1.16%0.0439✗1.041,7802022-09-27
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.313630.304388-2.95%0.43112+37.46%0.3702✗0.90378k2022-09-27
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV51.79350.2584-2.96%49.802-3.84%0.0091✓0.74328k2022-09-27
FORTFortaEthereum0.26380.255936-2.98%0.1576-40.26%0.4619✓0.9394k2022-09-27
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.55910.2428-2.99%13.486+27.72%0.3029✗1.1310.4M2022-09-27
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.02420.023474-3.00%0.02148-11.24%0.0572✓1.283,4352022-09-27
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.131720.127758-3.01%0.12298-6.64%0.0077✓1.23210k2022-09-27
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10130.098246-3.01%0.0992-2.07%0.0312✗0.87200k2022-09-27
SUSHISushiEthereum1.00430.973466-3.07%1.0698+6.52%0.1250✗1.24973k2022-09-27
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash112.59109.1044-3.10%114.29+1.51%0.0747✗1.144.7M2022-09-27
MOVRMoonriverBase12.06211.686-3.12%10.547-12.56%0.0787✓0.9735k2022-09-27
LCXLCXEthereum0.05820.056379-3.13%0.0467-19.76%0.1598✓1.16252k2022-09-27
XVSVenusEthereum4.824.6689-3.13%4.71-2.28%0.0299✓0.861.6M2022-09-27
GLMGolemEthereum0.23620.228758-3.15%0.2646+12.02%0.1690✗0.9579k2022-09-27
STEEMSteemnative0.21830.211397-3.16%0.2234+2.34%0.0775✗0.90528k2022-09-27
DIADIAEthereum0.363040.351328-3.23%0.3775+3.98%0.0957✗0.9745k2022-09-27
BTCBitcoinBitcoin19,554.0318,922.59-3.23%19,077.57-2.44%0.0328✗1.00474.0M2022-09-27
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.27310.264137-3.28%0.3066+12.27%0.1728✗0.963.2M2022-09-27
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.21340.206392-3.28%0.1721-19.35%0.1496✓1.30133k2022-09-27
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0130020.012567-3.34%0.011651-10.39%0.0600✓0.641.3M2022-09-27
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum19,646.4018,987.59-3.35%19,015.60-3.21%0.0247✓0.9411k2022-09-27
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.11840.114348-3.42%0.1299+9.71%0.1528✗1.0230k2022-09-27
LSKLiskEthereum1.03841.0025-3.46%0.976767-5.94%0.0051✓0.8550k2022-09-27
PHAPHALAEthereum0.09960.09612-3.49%0.0887-10.94%0.0623✓0.733,2112022-09-27
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6310.608639-3.54%0.608-3.65%0.0219✓0.93235k2022-09-27
ADACardanoCardano0.42910.413866-3.55%0.4412+2.82%0.0883✗0.9939.2M2022-09-27
BTTCBTTC8.50e-78.20e-7-3.57%7.70e-7-9.41%0.0433✓0.782.3M2022-09-27
ZECZcashZcash61.1758.9424-3.64%57.07-6.70%0.0044✓1.131.9M2022-09-27
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04190.04034-3.72%0.0413-1.43%0.0474✗0.97175k2022-09-27
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011770.000011331-3.73%0.00001112-5.52%0.0047✓0.95886k2022-09-27
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.71521.6505-3.77%1.7097-0.32%0.0620✗1.0931k2022-09-27
APEApeCoinEthereum4.6494.4725-3.80%5.412+16.41%0.2238✗1.348.9M2022-09-27
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03570.034335-3.82%0.0413+15.69%0.2042✗0.7911k2022-09-27
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4120.396221-3.83%0.391-5.10%0.0117✓1.018,1172022-09-27
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06190.059528-3.83%0.0526-15.02%0.1013✓0.91107k2022-09-27
RARESuperRareEthereum0.19030.18294-3.87%0.1568-17.60%0.1295✓1.00146k2022-09-27
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.2756.0298-3.91%6.109-2.65%0.0351✓0.895.2M2022-09-27
RADRadworksEthereum2.081.9984-3.92%1.99-4.33%0.0153✓0.79384k2022-09-27
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.022140.021256-3.99%0.01892-14.54%0.0965✓0.81419k2022-09-27
CRVCurve DAOEthereum0.99340.952907-4.08%0.9137-8.02%0.0049✓1.514.6M2022-09-27
DASHDashDash44.1442.3303-4.10%41.55-5.87%0.0053✓0.97466k2022-09-27
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.328060.314546-4.12%0.29745-9.33%0.0317✓0.9850k2022-09-27
AVTAventusEthereum1.391.3326-4.13%1.43+2.88%0.0687✗-0.07105k2022-09-27
ETHEthereumEthereum1,426.631,367.58-4.14%1,327.92-6.92%0.0039✓1.35597.1M2022-09-27
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04550.043611-4.15%0.0385-15.38%0.1004✓0.98843k2022-09-27
AMPAmpEthereum0.006420.006152-4.17%0.00484-24.61%0.2243✓0.631.1M2022-09-27
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008480.008125-4.18%0.00679-19.93%0.1607✓0.766.2M2022-09-27
ELAElastosEthereum1.7331.6593-4.25%1.419-18.12%0.1332✓0.94137k2022-09-27
HIVEHivenative0.52820.50535-4.33%0.4891-7.40%0.0112✓0.871.3M2022-09-27
XLMStellarStellar0.1027360.098272-4.35%0.110129+7.20%0.1345✗0.837.1M2022-09-27
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.28230.270026-4.35%0.3524+24.83%0.2885✗0.907.1M2022-09-27
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.4880.466754-4.35%0.461-5.53%0.0158✓1.1486k2022-09-27
ZENHorizenBase14.814.1481-4.40%14.09-4.80%0.0228✓1.09119k2022-09-27
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.344.1487-4.41%4.55+4.84%0.1045✗0.491.3M2022-09-27
FTTFTXEthereum25.3524.2269-4.43%23.63-6.79%0.0012✓0.967.3M2022-09-27
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0067080.006403-4.55%0.00614-8.47%0.0314✓0.4358k2022-09-27
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.66561.5894-4.58%1.1492-31.00%0.2999✓0.991.2M2022-09-27
CVCCivicEthereum0.13960.133161-4.61%0.1281-8.24%0.0138✓1.01149k2022-09-27
UMAUMAEthereum2.6072.4864-4.63%2.357-9.59%0.0322✓0.86734k2022-09-27
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1291.0768-4.63%1.049-7.09%0.0019✓0.981.9M2022-09-27
MANADecentralandEthereum0.748320.713577-4.64%0.69457-7.18%0.0049✓0.89509k2022-09-27
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.021620.020605-4.69%0.02234+3.33%0.1021✗0.8612.4M2022-09-27
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2750.262067-4.70%0.248-9.82%0.0371✓0.73710k2022-09-27
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum1.9441.8503-4.82%1.693-12.91%0.0606✓1.1547k2022-09-27
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0015030.00143-4.83%0.001442-4.06%0.0254✓0.709,7092022-09-27
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1640.155975-4.89%0.14453-11.87%0.0499✓1.07399k2022-09-27
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.0963.8935-4.94%3.918-4.35%0.0101✓0.162.3M2022-09-27
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5250.498757-5.00%0.461-12.19%0.0525✓1.0678k2022-09-27
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.2610.247942-5.00%0.1169-55.21%0.7517✓0.0191k2022-09-27
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.8095.5184-5.00%5.627-3.13%0.0299✓0.425.3M2022-09-27
C98Coin98Ethereum0.36730.348889-5.01%0.3504-4.60%0.0320✓1.1289k2022-09-27
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12020.114152-5.03%0.1135-5.57%0.0078✓0.553.8M2022-09-27
LRCLoopringEthereum0.340.322865-5.04%0.294-13.53%0.0671✓1.07170k2022-09-27
QNTQuantEthereum92.3187.6523-5.05%133.5+44.62%0.4414✗0.843.3M2022-09-27
XEMNEMnative0.0429950.040768-5.18%0.040084-6.77%0.0040✓0.8529k2022-09-27
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.361.2882-5.28%1.34-1.47%0.0683✗1.17128k2022-09-27
API3Api3Ethereum1.61.5144-5.35%1.591-0.56%0.0724✗0.94623k2022-09-27
GITCOINGITCOIN2.00341.896-5.36%1.7779-11.26%0.0348✓1.2013k2022-09-27
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum11.3310.7213-5.37%15.33+35.30%0.3837✗1.061.9M2022-09-27
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.061750.058422-5.39%0.060554-1.94%0.0618✗1.051.7M2022-09-27
XVGVergenative0.002890.002733-5.42%0.00325+12.46%0.1983✗1.02508k2022-09-27
PROPropyEthereum0.730.689941-5.49%0.64-12.33%0.0669✓0.3384k2022-09-27
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.9983.7784-5.49%3.933-1.63%0.0496✓0.392.0M2022-09-27
UOSUltraEthereum0.363890.34389-5.50%0.35615-2.13%0.0582✗0.94321k2022-09-27
XYMSymbolnative0.0443960.041938-5.54%0.036288-18.26%0.1318✓0.5228k2022-09-27
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.2515.8949-5.70%8.054+28.84%0.3382✗1.0619.0M2022-09-27
LUNATerraTerra 20.00012510.000117962-5.71%0.00027842+122.56%0.8779✗0.77352k2022-09-27
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0203860.019217-5.73%0.019414-4.77%0.0303✓0.8213k2022-09-27
DKAdKargoEthereum0.044180.041626-5.78%0.0402-9.01%0.0190✓0.6416k2022-09-27
ORCAOrcaSolana0.78420.738456-5.83%0.8472+8.03%0.1739✗1.48161k2022-09-27
SCSiacoinnative0.003930.003701-5.84%0.00349-11.20%0.0341✓0.99158k2022-09-27
UNIUniswapEthereum5.7395.4038-5.84%6.366+10.93%0.1960✗1.3010.0M2022-09-27
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.164.8517-5.97%5.2+0.78%0.0802✗0.442.5M2022-09-27
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.875.5164-6.02%6.11+4.09%0.1131✗0.442.1M2022-09-27
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.035520.033368-6.06%0.03021-14.95%0.0746✓1.0131k2022-09-27
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0229630.021562-6.10%0.024971+8.74%0.1494✗0.11262k2022-09-27
QTUMQtumQtum2.98252.7975-6.20%2.8649-3.94%0.0487✓1.0126k2022-09-27
CBKCobakEthereum0.846260.793372-6.25%0.78247-7.54%0.0104✓0.9814k2022-09-27
KSMKusamaHydration45.442.4785-6.44%42.54-6.30%0.0255✓0.98560k2022-09-27
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.045.6493-6.47%6.63+9.77%0.1709✗0.441.9M2022-09-27
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.8281.7092-6.50%1.576-13.79%0.0398✓1.6890k2022-09-27
CHZChilizEthereum0.21020.196121-6.70%0.2491+18.51%0.2594✗0.822.9M2022-09-27
FLOWFlownative1.6921.5767-6.81%1.656-2.13%0.0821✗1.341.2M2022-09-27
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum13.1612.242-6.98%12.37-6.00%0.0383✓1.131.0M2022-09-27
GALAGALAEthereum0.04930.045856-6.99%0.0403-18.26%0.1046✓1.00249k2022-09-27
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0013460.001252-7.00%0.001031-23.39%0.1742✓0.802.1M2022-09-27
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008250.007668-7.05%0.00694-15.88%0.0721✓1.12477k2022-09-27
CTSICartesiEthereum0.13370.124266-7.06%0.1392+4.11%0.1385✗1.02553k2022-09-27
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.49960.464339-7.06%0.4143-17.07%0.0936✓0.83625k2022-09-27
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0029870.002776-7.07%0.002037-31.80%0.2870✓0.911.1M2022-09-27
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.097.5123-7.14%8.66+7.05%0.1540✗0.482.1M2022-09-27
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.38864.0733-7.19%5.3063+20.91%0.2891✗1.00147k2022-09-27
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.65553.3871-7.34%3.9539+8.16%0.1694✗0.593.7M2022-09-27
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.1063.8028-7.39%3.782-7.89%0.0192✓1.00245k2022-09-27
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.09810.09084-7.40%0.0835-14.88%0.0654✓0.76247k2022-09-27
STXStacksnative0.35290.326517-7.48%0.3301-6.46%0.0397✓1.17410k2022-09-27
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.09920.091592-7.67%0.0991-0.10%0.1056✗1.093.6M2022-09-27
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.086380.079748-7.68%0.072-16.65%0.1007✓0.06598k2022-09-27
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.9662.7383-7.68%2.263-23.70%0.1539✓1.493.8M2022-09-27
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06040.055657-7.85%0.0569-5.79%0.0531✓1.26908k2022-09-27
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.55375.0993-8.18%6.0413+8.78%0.1744✗0.205.2M2022-09-27
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.231.1293-8.19%1.16-5.69%0.0502✓0.95154k2022-09-27
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.2011.1015-8.28%1.1857-1.27%0.0959✗0.901.5M2022-09-27
IMXImmutableEthereum0.77440.710042-8.31%0.744-3.93%0.0725✓1.041.9M2022-09-27
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6450.590141-8.51%0.59-8.53%0.0211✓0.86242k2022-09-27
CELLCellframeEthereum0.30440.278415-8.54%0.2725-10.48%0.0052✓1.08112k2022-09-27
GTCGitcoinEthereum1.951.7835-8.54%1.77-9.23%0.0225✓1.22255k2022-09-27
BORABORAKlay Token0.292940.267919-8.54%0.23778-18.83%0.0936✓1.0412k2022-09-27
TRBTellor TributesEthereum37.233.9676-8.69%15.57-58.15%0.7626✓0.711.6M2022-09-27
XECeCashnative0.000046760.000042672-8.74%0.00004062-13.13%0.0282✓0.861.7M2022-09-27
METISMetisEthereum29.2626.656-8.90%23.74-18.87%0.0695✓1.88304k2022-09-27
CTKShentuOsmosis0.840.763801-9.07%0.866+3.10%0.1355✗0.404.2M2022-09-27
ETCEthereum Classicnative30.9328.1235-9.07%28.13-9.05%0.0370✓1.4914.6M2022-09-27
BANDBandEthereum1.1921.0827-9.17%1.209+1.43%0.1398✗1.20491k2022-09-27
DOTPolkadotPolkadot6.8616.226-9.26%6.368-7.19%0.0483✓1.0413.1M2022-09-27
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain12.38211.2319-9.29%19.147+54.64%0.5458✗0.506.1M2022-09-27
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.062290.056299-9.62%0.06045-2.95%0.0985✓1.112.2M2022-09-27
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.78e-77.03e-7-9.67%5.76e-7-25.97%0.1781✓0.85542k2022-09-27
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.26.5035-9.67%6.45-10.42%0.0193✓1.12534k2022-09-27
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.5111.354-10.39%1.336-11.58%0.0161✓1.2088k2022-09-27
OPTIMOptimism1.0540.943593-10.48%0.92-12.71%0.0174✓1.733.3M2022-09-27
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.6395.0448-10.54%5.733+1.67%0.1491✗0.8610.1M2022-09-27
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.8763.4611-10.70%3.006-22.45%0.1262✓0.60650k2022-09-27
NMRNumeraireEthereum16.6714.844-10.95%14.91-10.56%0.0222✓0.72952k2022-09-27
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.43524.8378-10.99%7.27+33.76%0.4132✗0.244.6M2022-09-27
YFIyearn.financeEthereum8,473.377,421.94-12.41%8,301.22-2.03%0.1456✗1.366.5M2022-09-27
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.