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2022-08-27 · +30d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1043
186 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-2.02%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
64.0%
in alpha space · 77.8% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-4.04%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
AAVEAaveEthereum82.1182.3595+0.30%76.28-7.10%0.0127✗1.556.7M2022-09-26
TRXTRONTron0.0629350.062913-0.04%0.059595-5.31%0.0297✓0.59151k2022-09-26
GTGateEthereum4.3764.3331-0.98%4.2373-3.17%0.0093✓0.77798k2022-09-26
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.015180.015028-1.00%0.01097-27.73%0.2871✓0.67165k2022-09-26
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6590.649486-1.44%0.56-15.02%0.0991✓1.195.0M2022-09-26
BFCBifrostEthereum0.06750.066451-1.55%0.06071-10.06%0.0410✓1.2028k2022-09-26
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.5090.500643-1.64%0.375-26.33%0.2381✓1.242,6092022-09-26
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.157620.154985-1.67%0.17014+7.94%0.1790✗2.086362022-09-26
SUNSun TokenTron0.0056180.005523-1.70%0.004988-11.22%0.0743✓0.672,5882022-09-26
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03480.034164-1.83%0.0337-3.16%0.0237✗0.9186k2022-09-26
SOLSolanaSolana31.5430.9185-1.97%33.89+7.45%0.1394✗1.1668.8M2022-09-26
LTCLitecoinLitecoin53.0351.9258-2.08%53.45+0.79%0.0699✗0.9913.0M2022-09-26
STORJStorjEthereum0.541550.529653-2.20%0.45938-15.17%0.0895✓1.2843k2022-09-26
KCSKuCoinnative9.1348.9296-2.24%9.117-0.19%0.0596✗0.941.6M2022-09-26
XTZTezosTezos1.46761.4334-2.33%1.475+0.50%0.0741✗1.11336k2022-09-26
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.038280.037386-2.34%0.03398-11.23%0.0618✓0.822,8422022-09-26
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.34920.340785-2.41%0.3272-6.30%0.0103✓1.24191k2022-09-26
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.16485.0402-2.41%4.0724-21.15%0.2075✓0.14138k2022-09-26
COTICOTIEthereum0.09080.088487-2.55%0.1023+12.67%0.1841✗0.95414k2022-09-26
GMTGMTEthereum0.68530.667215-2.64%0.6407-6.51%0.0186✓1.44257k2022-09-26
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2968890.288981-2.66%0.26843-9.59%0.0289✓1.09620k2022-09-26
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.9630.937157-2.68%0.9069-5.83%0.0098✓0.563.6M2022-09-26
LPTLivepeerEthereum109.7289-2.71%9.07-9.30%0.0213✓1.18439k2022-09-26
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.96610.939751-2.73%0.8592-11.07%0.0395✓1.22999k2022-09-26
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05690.055344-2.73%0.0528-7.21%0.0100✓0.9099k2022-09-26
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9360.91013-2.76%0.919-1.82%0.0599✗1.221.4M2022-09-26
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.024690.024006-2.77%0.02222-10.00%0.0246✓1.283,4352022-09-26
NANOnanopayBase0.8828390.857943-2.82%0.767713-13.04%0.0778✓0.8184k2022-09-26
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08450.082113-2.82%0.0821-2.84%0.0388✗0.9414k2022-09-26
XMRMoneroMonero145.16141.0486-2.83%145.75+0.41%0.0739✗1.001.2M2022-09-26
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum19,933.0019,365.65-2.85%19,140.50-3.98%0.0273✓0.9511k2022-09-26
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.20670.200554-2.97%0.1967-4.84%0.0225✓1.0261k2022-09-26
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10150.09848-2.98%0.099-2.46%0.0411✗0.87212k2022-09-26
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.45670.442783-3.05%0.4441-2.76%0.0490✗1.12386k2022-09-26
COMPCompoundEthereum46.0944.6831-3.05%62.82+36.30%0.3918✗1.2412k2022-09-26
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.80e-78.53e-7-3.10%7.90e-7-10.23%0.0430✓0.8117k2022-09-26
DODODODOEthereum0.12460.120719-3.11%0.1242-0.32%0.0668✗0.931.9M2022-09-26
DIADIAEthereum0.367740.356229-3.13%0.38522+4.75%0.1179✗0.9651k2022-09-26
CHRChromiaEthereum0.16930.163994-3.13%0.1515-10.51%0.0225✓1.382,1742022-09-26
FORTFortaEthereum0.2680.259596-3.14%0.1587-40.78%0.4536✓0.94100k2022-09-26
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV52.37450.7128-3.17%51.331-1.99%0.0425✗0.74332k2022-09-26
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.329760.318855-3.31%0.48074+45.78%0.4515✗0.99391k2022-09-26
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.472.388-3.32%2.84+14.98%0.1944✗0.5189k2022-09-26
GLMGolemEthereum0.24240.23427-3.35%0.2696+11.22%0.1799✗0.9681k2022-09-26
WOOWOOEthereum0.15240.147242-3.38%0.1414-7.22%0.0043✓1.091,7802022-09-26
STEEMSteemnative0.22110.213561-3.41%0.2204-0.32%0.0690✗0.91504k2022-09-26
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.068190.065862-3.41%0.06223-8.74%0.0230✓0.829142022-09-26
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0016060.001551-3.43%0.00153-4.73%0.0266✓0.98538k2022-09-26
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.22010.212543-3.43%0.1738-21.04%0.1461✓1.34133k2022-09-26
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.11860.114525-3.44%0.1264+6.58%0.1408✗1.0232k2022-09-26
MOVRMoonriverBase12.539112.1062-3.45%10.8942-13.12%0.0659✓0.9635k2022-09-26
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,036.6919,340.46-3.47%19,228.00-4.04%0.0354✗1.00474.0M2022-09-26
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.27960.269668-3.55%0.3116+11.44%0.1838✗0.953.3M2022-09-26
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.13220.127502-3.55%0.12443-5.88%0.0254✓1.21210k2022-09-26
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.17310.7734-3.58%13.903+24.43%0.3013✗1.1210.4M2022-09-26
XVSVenusEthereum4.874.6947-3.60%4.8-1.44%0.0574✗0.851.6M2022-09-26
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6520.628495-3.61%0.625-4.14%0.0333✓0.94266k2022-09-26
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.336220.323886-3.67%0.29942-10.95%0.0381✓0.9852k2022-09-26
LSKLiskEthereum1.04881.0102-3.68%1.0038-4.29%0.0287✓0.8551k2022-09-26
LCXLCXEthereum0.06040.058152-3.72%0.0467-22.68%0.1722✓1.14252k2022-09-26
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10350.099635-3.73%0.0897-13.33%0.0757✓0.713,4822022-09-26
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche20.0419.2891-3.75%17.57-12.33%0.0404✓1.2923.0M2022-09-26
ZECZcashZcash61.3659.0582-3.75%58.95-3.93%0.0445✗1.131.9M2022-09-26
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash115.26110.8818-3.80%116.33+0.93%0.0946✗1.134.8M2022-09-26
BTTCBTTC8.70e-78.37e-7-3.83%7.90e-7-9.20%0.0245✓0.802.4M2022-09-26
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0131780.012671-3.85%0.011701-11.21%0.0530✓0.651.4M2022-09-26
SUSHISushiEthereum1.06121.0201-3.87%1.0612+0.00%0.0911✗1.25981k2022-09-26
ELAElastosEthereum1.7581.6898-3.88%1.39-20.93%0.1564✓0.94143k2022-09-26
ETHEthereumEthereum1,491.221,432.86-3.91%1,336.61-10.37%0.0141✓1.35597.1M2022-09-26
ADACardanoCardano0.450.432363-3.92%0.4471-0.64%0.0763✗1.0440.7M2022-09-26
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.022610.021722-3.93%0.01857-17.87%0.1256✓0.76444k2022-09-26
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06390.06138-3.94%0.0524-18.00%0.1213✓0.90111k2022-09-26
AVTAventusEthereum1.411.3537-3.99%1.43+1.42%0.0533✗-0.04115k2022-09-26
ZENHorizenBase15.214.5779-4.09%14.07-7.43%0.0103✓1.11125k2022-09-26
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.00870.00834-4.13%0.00685-21.26%0.1653✓0.776.4M2022-09-26
DASHDashDash45.1343.2493-4.17%41.71-7.58%0.0041✓0.98486k2022-09-26
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012160.000011653-4.17%0.00001112-8.55%0.0082✓0.94895k2022-09-26
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03660.035064-4.20%0.042+14.75%0.2152✗0.8411k2022-09-26
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.78791.7128-4.20%1.7071-4.52%0.0410✓1.0733k2022-09-26
XECeCashnative0.000036880.000035329-4.21%0.00004071+10.39%0.1787✗0.901.7M2022-09-26
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4120.394064-4.35%0.394-4.37%0.0406✓0.998,1172022-09-26
RARESuperRareEthereum0.19570.187153-4.37%0.1605-17.99%0.1124✓1.00149k2022-09-26
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04360.041692-4.38%0.0418-4.13%0.0430✓0.98175k2022-09-26
AMPAmpEthereum0.00660.00631-4.40%0.0049-25.76%0.2262✓0.651.1M2022-09-26
APEApeCoinEthereum4.7574.5463-4.43%5.514+15.91%0.2494✗1.379.3M2022-09-26
HIVEHivenative0.53350.509849-4.43%0.4933-7.54%0.0036✓0.891.6M2022-09-26
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0014540.001389-4.46%0.001452-0.14%0.0738✗0.729,7092022-09-26
C98Coin98Ethereum0.3760.359001-4.52%0.3614-3.88%0.0530✗1.1289k2022-09-26
CVCCivicEthereum0.14190.135461-4.54%0.1286-9.37%0.0103✓1.01166k2022-09-26
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.006740.006431-4.58%0.006497-3.61%0.0282✓0.4458k2022-09-26
FTTFTXEthereum25.824.6166-4.59%24.21-6.16%0.0228✓0.967.4M2022-09-26
XLMStellarStellar0.1055940.100719-4.62%0.113735+7.71%0.1565✗0.857.4M2022-09-26
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1461.093-4.62%1.073-6.37%0.0222✓0.992.1M2022-09-26
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.28890.275532-4.63%0.3688+27.66%0.3295✗0.927.4M2022-09-26
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.35320.336502-4.73%0.2916-17.44%0.0966✓1.13152k2022-09-26
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.3036.0046-4.73%6.234-1.09%0.0760✗0.935.2M2022-09-26
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04740.045149-4.75%0.0388-18.14%0.1115✓0.97843k2022-09-26
UMAUMAEthereum2.6712.5424-4.81%2.376-11.04%0.0323✓0.86749k2022-09-26
RADRadworksEthereum2.142.0369-4.82%1.99-7.01%0.0093✓0.79407k2022-09-26
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.510.485401-4.82%0.467-8.43%0.0085✓1.1488k2022-09-26
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1710.162649-4.88%0.14586-14.70%0.0644✓1.08434k2022-09-26
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26120.248273-4.95%0.1168-55.28%0.7537✓0.0191k2022-09-26
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.280.266117-4.96%0.25-10.71%0.0327✓0.72772k2022-09-26
UOSUltraEthereum0.340040.323109-4.98%0.36544+7.47%0.1619✗0.94321k2022-09-26
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.78241.6936-4.98%1.169-34.41%0.3276✓1.051.2M2022-09-26
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.6822.5483-4.99%3.028+12.90%0.1998✗0.66650k2022-09-26
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.7845.4891-5.10%5.677-1.85%0.0498✓0.395.3M2022-09-26
LRCLoopringEthereum0.35690.338669-5.11%0.2991-16.20%0.0786✓1.11175k2022-09-26
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.594.3551-5.12%4.37-4.79%0.0228✓0.471.3M2022-09-26
MANADecentralandEthereum0.778420.738531-5.12%0.70255-9.75%0.0122✓0.92512k2022-09-26
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.0281.9206-5.30%1.702-16.07%0.0736✓1.1549k2022-09-26
XVGVergenative0.002920.002765-5.31%0.00324+10.96%0.2011✗1.03520k2022-09-26
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.234.0027-5.37%3.87-8.51%0.0281✓0.142.3M2022-09-26
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12360.116866-5.45%0.1132-8.41%0.0083✓0.573.9M2022-09-26
API3Api3Ethereum1.691.5976-5.47%1.608-4.85%0.0453✓0.94704k2022-09-26
XYMSymbolnative0.04540.042908-5.49%0.036747-19.06%0.1336✓0.5230k2022-09-26
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.04790.99038-5.49%0.9298-11.27%0.0016✓1.494.7M2022-09-26
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0634220.05994-5.49%0.061133-3.61%0.0626✗1.041.7M2022-09-26
DKAdKargoEthereum0.045180.042696-5.50%0.0407-9.92%0.0194✓0.6916k2022-09-26
XEMNEMnative0.0447080.042242-5.52%0.040163-10.17%0.0153✓0.8530k2022-09-26
GITCOINGITCOIN2.08591.97-5.56%1.7631-15.48%0.0607✓1.2213k2022-09-26
ORCAOrcaSolana0.790.745787-5.60%0.8476+7.29%0.1870✗1.43161k2022-09-26
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.4041.3253-5.60%1.342-4.42%0.0609✗1.18130k2022-09-26
PROPropyEthereum0.750.707666-5.64%0.62-17.33%0.1182✓0.3486k2022-09-26
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.2123.9715-5.71%3.902-7.36%0.0023✓0.372.0M2022-09-26
QNTQuantEthereum94.3888.9427-5.76%120.63+27.81%0.3400✗0.863.4M2022-09-26
SCSiacoinnative0.003890.003664-5.82%0.00352-9.51%0.0011✓1.00152k2022-09-26
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.035990.033865-5.90%0.03052-15.20%0.0627✓1.0031k2022-09-26
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.550.516599-6.07%0.468-14.91%0.0537✓1.0984k2022-09-26
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0206730.019412-6.10%0.019438-5.97%0.0355✓0.8313k2022-09-26
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.5316.13-6.14%7.943+21.62%0.3031✗1.0719.3M2022-09-26
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.225.834-6.21%5.99-3.70%0.0440✓0.432.5M2022-09-26
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.294.9584-6.27%5.18-2.08%0.0611✓0.422.6M2022-09-26
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum11.911.1476-6.32%14.86+24.87%0.3341✗1.131.9M2022-09-26
CBKCobakEthereum0.864060.809319-6.34%0.78146-9.56%0.0053✓0.9814k2022-09-26
KSMKusamaHydration45.8442.9081-6.40%42.14-8.07%0.0226✓0.99572k2022-09-26
UNIUniswapEthereum6.0565.668-6.41%5.924-2.18%0.0984✗1.3210.1M2022-09-26
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.023030.021549-6.43%0.02306+0.13%0.1030✗0.8613.0M2022-09-26
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.185.7823-6.44%6.72+8.74%0.1677✗0.421.9M2022-09-26
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007570.00708-6.48%0.00697-7.93%0.0307✓1.13477k2022-09-26
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0232380.021727-6.50%0.025324+8.98%0.1583✗0.12258k2022-09-26
CTSICartesiEthereum0.14040.13118-6.57%0.1394-0.71%0.1007✗0.97624k2022-09-26
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.1343.8541-6.77%3.71-10.26%0.0021✓0.98245k2022-09-26
GALAGALAEthereum0.05090.047449-6.78%0.0407-20.04%0.1126✓0.99252k2022-09-26
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.961.8261-6.83%1.585-19.13%0.0707✓1.7294k2022-09-26
CHZChilizEthereum0.220.204936-6.85%0.258+17.27%0.2639✗0.823.1M2022-09-26
QTUMQtumQtum3.12692.9119-6.88%2.8439-9.05%0.0179✓1.0127k2022-09-26
LUNATerraTerra 20.00013390.000124542-6.99%0.0003091+130.84%0.9439✗0.85340k2022-09-26
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.26553.9664-7.01%5.3321+25.01%0.3371✗1.00158k2022-09-26
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0030410.002827-7.05%0.002048-32.65%0.2857✓0.891.1M2022-09-26
SPELLSpellEthereum0.001370.001273-7.06%0.001052-23.20%0.1580✓0.802.1M2022-09-26
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.10160.094323-7.16%0.0831-18.21%0.0954✓0.76247k2022-09-26
STXStacksnative0.36380.336507-7.50%0.327-10.12%0.0195✓1.17432k2022-09-26
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.73533.4503-7.63%3.8697+3.60%0.1390✗0.593.7M2022-09-26
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.2594.8535-7.71%5.8779+11.77%0.2003✗0.215.2M2022-09-26
BORABORAKlay Token0.282280.260401-7.75%0.24056-14.78%0.0360✓1.0512k2022-09-26
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.8912.6654-7.80%2.327-19.51%0.0707✓1.583.8M2022-09-26
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10330.095196-7.85%0.1025-0.77%0.1189✗1.093.7M2022-09-26
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.47.7325-7.95%8.5+1.19%0.1135✗0.462.1M2022-09-26
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06080.055951-7.98%0.0562-7.57%0.0549✓1.23984k2022-09-26
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum13.812.6967-8.00%12.5-9.42%0.0352✓1.231.1M2022-09-26
FLOWFlownative1.8231.6769-8.01%1.662-8.83%0.0459✓1.331.2M2022-09-26
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.085470.078593-8.05%0.07321-14.34%0.0683✓0.07613k2022-09-26
IMXImmutableEthereum0.78960.724802-8.21%0.7403-6.24%0.0655✓1.082.0M2022-09-26
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.291.1809-8.46%1.16-10.08%0.0216✓0.96170k2022-09-26
BANDBandEthereum1.2211.1154-8.65%1.212-0.74%0.1340✗1.24518k2022-09-26
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.57530.524774-8.78%0.4284-25.53%0.1693✓0.82625k2022-09-26
TRBTellor TributesEthereum38.1734.793-8.85%15.47-59.47%0.7753✓0.851.7M2022-09-26
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6630.603968-8.90%0.591-10.86%0.0148✓0.89248k2022-09-26
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.111.9198-9.01%1.78-15.64%0.0249✓1.23281k2022-09-26
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.0446.4067-9.05%6.559-6.89%0.0657✓1.0213.7M2022-09-26
METISMetisEthereum30.0527.319-9.09%24.4-18.80%0.0353✓1.89327k2022-09-26
CELLCellframeEthereum0.31440.285815-9.09%0.2826-10.11%0.0364✓1.16112k2022-09-26
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.59e-76.90e-7-9.10%5.80e-7-23.56%0.1393✓0.82198k2022-09-26
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain13.22712.0201-9.12%17.596+33.03%0.4010✗0.486.1M2022-09-26
OPTIMOptimism1.0250.931069-9.16%0.923-9.95%0.0630✓1.743.4M2022-09-26
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.37281.2468-9.18%1.2-12.59%0.0001✓0.931.6M2022-09-26
CTKShentuOsmosis0.840.759415-9.59%0.87+3.57%0.1528✗0.414.2M2022-09-26
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.064280.057999-9.77%0.06182-3.83%0.1098✗1.122.4M2022-09-26
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.336.6113-9.81%6.46-11.87%0.0227✓1.11592k2022-09-26
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.08014.5755-9.93%7.0111+38.01%0.4373✗0.254.6M2022-09-26
ETCEthereum Classicnative3329.7092-9.97%28.46-13.76%0.0164✓1.4415.4M2022-09-26
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.8295.2185-10.47%5.694-2.32%0.1228✗0.8610.1M2022-09-26
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.631.4497-11.06%1.347-17.36%0.0239✓1.2093k2022-09-26
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.5415.4559-11.88%14.93-14.88%0.0055✓0.71965k2022-09-26
YFIyearn.financeEthereum8,782.657,635.68-13.06%8,333.34-5.12%0.1437✗1.376.8M2022-09-26
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.