8=======>

2022-08-26 · +30d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0828
186 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+2.85%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
57.0%
in alpha space · 77.4% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-7.08%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
AAVEAaveEthereum82.7282.8501+0.16%73.64-10.98%0.0042✗1.556.7M2022-09-25
TRXTRONTron0.0615520.061571+0.03%0.0597-3.01%0.0126✓0.59151k2022-09-25
GTGateEthereum4.37994.335-1.03%4.2146-3.77%0.0283✗0.77827k2022-09-25
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.5170.510801-1.20%0.376-27.27%0.2161✓1.232,6092022-09-25
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.015860.015614-1.55%0.0107-32.53%0.3289✓0.67171k2022-09-25
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.670.659403-1.58%0.552-17.61%0.0840✓1.285.2M2022-09-25
SUNSun TokenTron0.0055380.005445-1.68%0.004975-10.17%0.0410✓0.672,6192022-09-25
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum20,587.8020,206.18-1.85%18,700.00-9.17%0.0080✓0.9513k2022-09-25
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.154180.151184-1.94%0.16721+8.45%0.2536✗2.086042022-09-25
BFCBifrostEthereum0.070150.068715-2.04%0.06038-13.93%0.0418✓1.1929k2022-09-25
SOLSolanaSolana31.7431.0838-2.07%32.33+1.86%0.1242✗1.1670.1M2022-09-25
LTCLitecoinLitecoin52.7151.6001-2.11%52.55-0.30%0.0911✗0.9913.1M2022-09-25
STORJStorjEthereum0.556410.544541-2.13%0.45533-18.17%0.0846✓1.2945k2022-09-25
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03580.035006-2.22%0.0331-7.54%0.0126✓0.9386k2022-09-25
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.33970.332021-2.26%0.3346-1.50%0.0988✗1.24191k2022-09-25
XTZTezosTezos1.48281.4491-2.27%1.4603-1.52%0.0887✗1.10355k2022-09-25
KCSKuCoinnative9.2329.0176-2.32%8.909-3.50%0.0577✗0.951.8M2022-09-25
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.14945.0289-2.34%4.0999-20.38%0.1941✓0.14158k2022-09-25
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2890820.282232-2.37%0.268444-7.14%0.0301✗1.09696k2022-09-25
COTICOTIEthereum0.08870.086587-2.38%0.1073+20.97%0.2844✗0.95430k2022-09-25
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9250.900876-2.61%0.919-0.65%0.1093✗1.221.4M2022-09-25
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.95780.932022-2.69%0.8636-9.84%0.0130✓1.221.0M2022-09-25
XMRMoneroMonero142.81138.9357-2.71%141.32-1.04%0.0907✗1.001.2M2022-09-25
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08570.083338-2.76%0.0811-5.37%0.0415✗0.9414k2022-09-25
GMTGMTEthereum0.70530.685666-2.78%0.618-12.38%0.0015✓1.44258k2022-09-25
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.95920.932209-2.81%0.9007-6.10%0.0067✓0.563.6M2022-09-25
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05740.055769-2.84%0.0543-5.40%0.0396✗0.90104k2022-09-25
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.066250.06436-2.85%0.06309-4.77%0.0402✗0.829142022-09-25
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0015660.00152-2.92%0.001554-0.77%0.0942✗0.98558k2022-09-25
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.037830.036725-2.92%0.03412-9.81%0.0135✓0.822,8422022-09-25
NANOnanopayBase0.88010.854099-2.95%0.784151-10.90%0.0260✓0.8184k2022-09-25
CHRChromiaEthereum0.16190.157095-2.97%0.1575-2.72%0.1039✗1.382,1742022-09-25
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.20820.202003-2.98%0.1962-5.76%0.0456✗1.0266k2022-09-25
FORTFortaEthereum0.26450.256547-3.01%0.1614-38.98%0.3945✓0.94106k2022-09-25
DIADIAEthereum0.368280.357182-3.01%0.37615+2.14%0.1226✗0.9753k2022-09-25
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10290.099773-3.04%0.0987-4.08%0.0531✗0.87238k2022-09-25
COMPCompoundEthereum45.9244.5113-3.07%61.45+33.82%0.4133✗1.2414k2022-09-25
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.5310.2066-3.07%9.24-12.25%0.0125✓1.19466k2022-09-25
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.44910.435297-3.07%0.4357-2.98%0.0832✗1.12400k2022-09-25
MOVRMoonriverBase12.120111.7473-3.08%10.7033-11.69%0.0223✓0.9639k2022-09-25
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.60e-78.33e-7-3.16%7.80e-7-9.30%0.0055✓0.8217k2022-09-25
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV52.14750.4701-3.22%48.082-7.80%0.0063✓0.75340k2022-09-25
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.02460.0238-3.25%0.02108-14.31%0.0274✓1.283,4352022-09-25
DODODODOEthereum0.12730.123118-3.29%0.1222-4.01%0.0635✗0.971.9M2022-09-25
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.331610.320687-3.29%0.4743+43.03%0.4641✗0.99418k2022-09-25
WOOWOOEthereum0.15620.150999-3.33%0.1352-13.44%0.0308✓1.091,8902022-09-25
STEEMSteemnative0.22130.213929-3.33%0.2183-1.36%0.0871✗0.91528k2022-09-25
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.492.406-3.37%1.97-20.88%0.1624✓0.5193k2022-09-25
AVTAventusEthereum1.361.3136-3.41%1.43+5.15%0.0821✗-0.04124k2022-09-25
GLMGolemEthereum0.24330.234951-3.43%0.2691+10.60%0.2060✗0.9683k2022-09-25
ZECZcashZcash61.158.9695-3.49%56.19-8.04%0.0348✓1.132.0M2022-09-25
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.22450.216441-3.59%0.1759-21.65%0.1098✓1.33133k2022-09-25
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,240.7219,511.70-3.60%18,808.61-7.08%0.0367✗1.00485.5M2022-09-25
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.12070.116353-3.60%0.1275+5.63%0.1666✗1.0233k2022-09-25
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.27920.269077-3.63%0.2739-1.90%0.0879✗0.963.4M2022-09-25
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6620.637952-3.63%0.601-9.21%0.0094✓0.94304k2022-09-25
LSKLiskEthereum1.05081.0125-3.65%0.955083-9.11%0.0045✓0.8653k2022-09-25
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10120.097492-3.66%0.0892-11.86%0.0363✓0.723,6712022-09-25
ELAElastosEthereum1.7731.7072-3.71%1.389-21.66%0.1369✓0.94145k2022-09-25
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.336050.323467-3.74%0.30082-10.48%0.0007✓0.9870k2022-09-25
LCXLCXEthereum0.05990.057652-3.75%0.0464-22.54%0.1334✓1.14258k2022-09-25
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.131480.126524-3.77%0.12204-7.18%0.0538✗1.22210k2022-09-25
ADACardanoCardano0.43170.415339-3.79%0.4463+3.38%0.1484✗1.0440.7M2022-09-25
ETHEthereumEthereum1,508.021,450.44-3.82%1,294.63-14.15%0.0150✓1.34608.4M2022-09-25
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06340.060974-3.83%0.0564-11.04%0.0112✓0.91116k2022-09-25
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash116.16111.6512-3.88%113.48-2.31%0.0995✗1.134.9M2022-09-25
XVSVenusEthereum5.134.9295-3.91%4.7-8.38%0.0153✓0.861.6M2022-09-25
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008480.008141-4.00%0.00683-19.46%0.1187✓0.776.4M2022-09-25
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.77411.703-4.00%1.7094-3.64%0.0831✗1.0838k2022-09-25
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.55411.0893-4.02%13.976+20.96%0.3137✗1.1210.4M2022-09-25
DASHDashDash44.342.5144-4.03%41.11-7.20%0.0383✓0.98504k2022-09-25
BTTCBTTC8.70e-78.35e-7-4.05%7.70e-7-11.49%0.0222✓0.802.4M2022-09-25
ZENHorizenBase15.5214.8846-4.09%13.77-11.28%0.0040✓1.12130k2022-09-25
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.013330.012784-4.10%0.011757-11.80%0.0368✓0.641.4M2022-09-25
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche20.6819.8203-4.16%17.32-16.25%0.0402✓1.2923.6M2022-09-25
SUSHISushiEthereum1.06851.024-4.16%1.0388-2.78%0.1059✗1.25981k2022-09-25
XECeCashnative0.000036680.000035148-4.18%0.0000401+9.32%0.1976✗0.901.7M2022-09-25
C98Coin98Ethereum0.38790.371649-4.19%0.3536-8.84%0.0327✓1.1289k2022-09-25
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04330.041469-4.23%0.0412-4.85%0.0657✗0.98180k2022-09-25
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03780.03619-4.26%0.0409+8.20%0.1842✗0.8411k2022-09-25
AMPAmpEthereum0.006570.00629-4.26%0.00478-27.25%0.2270✓0.651.2M2022-09-25
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum5.7485.5029-4.26%5.911+2.84%0.1401✗0.935.2M2022-09-25
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.023340.022337-4.30%0.01924-17.57%0.0923✓0.78444k2022-09-25
CVCCivicEthereum0.1430.136743-4.38%0.129-9.79%0.0162✓1.01190k2022-09-25
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4310.412049-4.40%0.397-7.89%0.0353✓0.998,3142022-09-25
HIVEHivenative0.53430.510795-4.40%0.4965-7.07%0.0365✓0.881.6M2022-09-25
RARESuperRareEthereum0.19730.188618-4.40%0.16-18.91%0.0912✓1.00152k2022-09-25
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012430.000011867-4.53%0.00001103-11.26%0.0039✓0.94948k2022-09-25
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.170.162278-4.54%0.14748-13.25%0.0161✓1.08464k2022-09-25
XLMStellarStellar0.1038590.099112-4.57%0.117358+13.00%0.2319✗0.867.8M2022-09-25
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0066650.006359-4.58%0.006393-4.08%0.0373✓0.4457k2022-09-25
APEApeCoinEthereum4.7744.5542-4.60%5.722+19.86%0.3286✗1.379.8M2022-09-25
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0014860.001418-4.61%0.001431-3.70%0.0623✗0.729,9742022-09-25
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.28310.270049-4.61%0.3884+37.20%0.4314✗0.937.6M2022-09-25
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1511.0979-4.61%1.072-6.86%0.0486✗0.992.1M2022-09-25
FTTFTXEthereum25.9724.7592-4.66%23.5-9.51%0.0180✓0.967.5M2022-09-25
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.6812.5553-4.69%3.035+13.20%0.2207✗0.66653k2022-09-25
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2740.261031-4.73%0.25-8.76%0.0105✓0.73826k2022-09-25
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.72351.6408-4.80%1.163-32.52%0.2680✓1.041.2M2022-09-25
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04720.044925-4.82%0.0373-20.97%0.1142✓0.98843k2022-09-25
UMAUMAEthereum2.72.5695-4.83%2.367-12.33%0.0191✓0.86749k2022-09-25
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26110.248414-4.86%0.1178-54.88%0.7455✓0.0191k2022-09-25
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.6925.4129-4.90%5.84+2.60%0.1037✗0.385.3M2022-09-25
UOSUltraEthereum0.340.322921-5.02%0.38138+12.17%0.2358✗0.95321k2022-09-25
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.0351.931-5.11%1.695-16.71%0.0454✓1.1655k2022-09-25
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.3861.315-5.12%1.35-2.60%0.1128✗1.18130k2022-09-25
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.474.241-5.12%4.61+3.13%0.1175✗0.461.3M2022-09-25
MANADecentralandEthereum0.778130.738168-5.14%0.69888-10.18%0.0127✓0.92523k2022-09-25
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.1493.9359-5.14%4.058-2.19%0.0407✓0.142.4M2022-09-25
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5090.482787-5.15%0.458-10.02%0.0313✓1.1488k2022-09-25
DKAdKargoEthereum0.044580.04226-5.20%0.04104-7.94%0.0217✓0.7016k2022-09-25
API3Api3Ethereum1.6831.5941-5.28%1.593-5.35%0.0687✗0.95782k2022-09-25
XVGVergenative0.003030.00287-5.30%0.00325+7.26%0.2003✗1.03537k2022-09-25
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0635310.060147-5.33%0.061274-3.55%0.0949✗1.041.9M2022-09-25
XYMSymbolnative0.0454970.043055-5.37%0.037449-17.69%0.1014✓0.5233k2022-09-25
XEMNEMnative0.0438050.041452-5.37%0.039806-9.13%0.0224✓0.8632k2022-09-25
PROPropyEthereum0.730.69057-5.40%0.65-10.96%0.0348✓0.35105k2022-09-25
ORCAOrcaSolana0.80010.756442-5.46%0.8499+6.22%0.2215✗1.43193k2022-09-25
SCSiacoinnative0.003910.003697-5.46%0.00353-9.72%0.0270✓1.00158k2022-09-25
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12460.117784-5.47%0.1109-11.00%0.0180✓0.584.1M2022-09-25
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.1243.8982-5.48%3.981-3.47%0.0483✓0.371.9M2022-09-25
LRCLoopringEthereum0.35560.336066-5.49%0.295-17.04%0.0489✓1.11175k2022-09-25
GITCOINGITCOIN2.16622.0438-5.65%1.7195-20.62%0.0829✓1.2313k2022-09-25
RADRadworksEthereum2.252.1223-5.67%2.03-9.78%0.0136✓0.79451k2022-09-25
KSMKusamaHydration44.5241.9248-5.83%40.47-9.10%0.0376✓0.99610k2022-09-25
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.05290.991152-5.86%0.8882-15.64%0.0001✓1.494.9M2022-09-25
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.975.6192-5.88%6.13+2.68%0.1184✗0.432.5M2022-09-25
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.045.6794-5.97%6.91+14.40%0.2271✗0.422.1M2022-09-25
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.036890.034676-6.00%0.02945-20.17%0.0899✓1.0031k2022-09-25
QNTQuantEthereum98.2392.3315-6.00%116.27+18.37%0.2932✗0.853.5M2022-09-25
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.021860.020546-6.01%0.02274+4.03%0.1636✗0.8513.4M2022-09-25
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.5046.1113-6.04%7.869+20.99%0.3313✗1.0719.5M2022-09-25
CTSICartesiEthereum0.13960.13108-6.10%0.138-1.15%0.1235✗0.98638k2022-09-25
CBKCobakEthereum0.867510.814419-6.12%0.79361-8.52%0.0460✓0.9813k2022-09-25
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.234.9086-6.15%5.36+2.49%0.1176✗0.402.8M2022-09-25
UNIUniswapEthereum6.1545.775-6.16%5.659-8.04%0.0758✗1.3110.3M2022-09-25
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0207260.019449-6.16%0.019355-6.61%0.0560✓0.8313k2022-09-25
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.2253.9602-6.27%3.81-9.82%0.0334✓0.98269k2022-09-25
CHZChilizEthereum0.20770.194599-6.31%0.2555+23.01%0.3322✗0.822.8M2022-09-25
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5460.511521-6.31%0.465-14.84%0.0150✓1.0996k2022-09-25
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.7232.5495-6.37%2.321-14.76%0.0225✓1.594.0M2022-09-25
LUNATerraTerra 20.000123060.000115208-6.38%0.00019608+59.34%0.5952✗0.86340k2022-09-25
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.9421.8172-6.43%1.589-18.18%0.0083✓1.72106k2022-09-25
QTUMQtumQtum3.12052.9156-6.57%2.7901-10.59%0.0302✓1.0128k2022-09-25
GALAGALAEthereum0.04980.046516-6.59%0.0406-18.47%0.0626✓1.00251k2022-09-25
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007650.00714-6.67%0.0069-9.80%0.0484✓1.13503k2022-09-25
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum12.2711.4315-6.83%13.81+12.55%0.2718✗1.131.9M2022-09-25
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0231980.021603-6.88%0.025743+10.97%0.1841✗0.12250k2022-09-25
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.003120.002903-6.95%0.002104-32.56%0.2565✓0.891.1M2022-09-25
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.10060.093569-6.99%0.0879-12.62%0.0074✓0.75247k2022-09-25
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0013750.001278-7.03%0.001035-24.67%0.1517✓0.802.0M2022-09-25
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.30273.9953-7.14%5.704+32.57%0.4294✗1.00169k2022-09-25
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.693.4237-7.22%3.974+7.70%0.1920✗0.593.5M2022-09-25
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.08664.7191-7.23%6.5495+28.76%0.3431✗0.215.1M2022-09-25
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10240.094995-7.23%0.1012-1.17%0.1437✗1.103.9M2022-09-25
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.39830.369307-7.28%0.2949-25.96%0.1434✓1.11152k2022-09-25
STXStacksnative0.36120.33486-7.29%0.3268-9.52%0.0613✓1.17450k2022-09-25
BORABORAKlay Token0.280990.260499-7.29%0.24186-13.93%0.0027✓1.0512k2022-09-25
FLOWFlownative1.8511.7122-7.50%1.644-11.18%0.0569✓1.331.2M2022-09-25
IMXImmutableEthereum0.77510.716386-7.58%0.7301-5.81%0.0989✗1.092.1M2022-09-25
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.291.1914-7.64%1.13-12.40%0.0177✓0.96182k2022-09-25
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum13.312.2829-7.65%12.39-6.84%0.0991✗1.231.2M2022-09-25
BANDBandEthereum1.2231.1274-7.82%1.22-0.25%0.1697✗1.24534k2022-09-25
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.47730.439806-7.86%0.4159-12.86%0.0045✓0.82625k2022-09-25
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.317.6516-7.92%8.41+1.20%0.1276✗0.452.3M2022-09-25
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6470.593912-8.21%0.573-11.44%0.0297✓0.89253k2022-09-25
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.24891.1456-8.27%1.1659-6.65%0.0864✗0.941.5M2022-09-25
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06260.057396-8.31%0.055-12.14%0.0471✓1.221.0M2022-09-25
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.085260.078163-8.32%0.07522-11.78%0.0335✓0.07637k2022-09-25
OPTIMOptimism1.0190.93318-8.42%0.904-11.29%0.0961✗1.743.5M2022-09-25
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.161.9772-8.46%1.74-19.44%0.0370✓1.24299k2022-09-25
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.78814.3768-8.59%7.7616+62.10%0.5913✗0.254.2M2022-09-25
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain11.74410.7315-8.62%18.429+56.92%0.5760✗0.484.8M2022-09-25
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.063210.057751-8.64%0.06083-3.77%0.1342✗1.122.4M2022-09-25
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.57e-76.91e-7-8.67%4.79e-7-36.69%0.3064✓0.82192k2022-09-25
DOTPolkadotPolkadot6.9226.3206-8.69%6.206-10.34%0.0572✓1.0314.0M2022-09-25
TRBTellor TributesEthereum37.3934.1283-8.72%15.23-59.27%0.7434✓0.871.8M2022-09-25
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.6715.17-8.84%5.717+0.81%0.1641✗0.8710.1M2022-09-25
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.326.6568-9.06%6.34-13.39%0.0329✓1.11638k2022-09-25
METISMetisEthereum31.128.1232-9.57%23.75-23.63%0.0309✓1.88348k2022-09-25
CELLCellframeEthereum0.33230.298689-10.11%0.2916-12.25%0.0609✓1.16112k2022-09-25
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.6321.465-10.23%1.21-25.86%0.1026✓1.2196k2022-09-25
ETCEthereum Classicnative33.9130.389-10.38%28.38-16.31%0.0373✓1.4416.0M2022-09-25
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.2215.2582-11.39%15.04-12.66%0.0378✓0.711.2M2022-09-25
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9280.807403-13.00%0.862-7.11%0.0956✓0.414.2M2022-09-25
YFIyearn.financeEthereum8,981.547,781.51-13.36%8,084.45-9.99%0.1379✓1.367.3M2022-09-25
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.