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2022-08-25 · +30d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1110
186 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-1.30%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
65.1%
in alpha space · 87.6% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-12.24%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,795.518,228.47-16.00%8,220.83-16.08%0.1760✗1.367.3M2022-09-24
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9230.796836-13.67%0.874-5.31%0.1483✗0.434.2M2022-09-24
METISMetisEthereum35.2330.7783-12.64%24.66-30.00%0.0221✓1.87365k2022-09-24
OPTIMOptimism1.1781.0336-12.26%0.919-21.99%0.1072✓1.723.6M2022-09-24
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.811.5932-11.98%1.237-31.66%0.0976✓1.19103k2022-09-24
CELLCellframeEthereum0.37170.328204-11.70%0.2903-21.90%0.0251✓1.13111k2022-09-24
ETCEthereum Classicnative37.1432.8397-11.58%28.66-22.83%0.0509✓1.4316.0M2022-09-24
NMRNumeraireEthereum18.4216.3056-11.48%15.1-18.02%0.0143✓0.701.4M2022-09-24
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.3565.6276-11.46%5.575-12.29%0.1004✓0.8410.1M2022-09-24
AUCTIONBounceEthereum8.067.1775-10.95%6.54-18.86%0.0509✓1.10638k2022-09-24
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.069790.062201-10.87%0.06107-12.49%0.1260✗1.112.4M2022-09-24
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.0212.7049-10.46%2.41-20.23%0.0906✓1.584.0M2022-09-24
FLOWFlownative2.1371.9147-10.40%1.678-21.48%0.0378✓1.301.2M2022-09-24
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06760.06083-10.02%0.0553-18.20%0.0640✓1.221.0M2022-09-24
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7240.654186-9.64%0.591-18.37%0.0121✓0.87253k2022-09-24
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.57665.0453-9.53%6.738+20.83%0.3129✗0.183.5M2022-09-24
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.38941.26-9.32%1.173-15.58%0.0483✓0.921.5M2022-09-24
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.023910.021715-9.18%0.02275-4.85%0.1583✗0.8613.4M2022-09-24
UNIUniswapEthereum7.0236.3922-8.98%5.794-17.50%0.0698✓1.2910.3M2022-09-24
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.118.2921-8.98%8.33-8.56%0.0605✓0.432.4M2022-09-24
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum13.612.3849-8.93%13.63+0.22%0.2412✗1.111.9M2022-09-24
TRBTellor TributesEthereum37.8934.5107-8.92%14.95-60.54%0.7219✓0.881.8M2022-09-24
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.482.2591-8.91%1.81-27.02%0.0636✓1.21299k2022-09-24
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.7213.4176-8.85%12.7-13.72%0.1043✗1.221.3M2022-09-24
BORABORAKlay Token0.304110.277306-8.81%0.24602-19.10%0.0163✓1.0413k2022-09-24
STXStacksnative0.39980.364755-8.77%0.3317-17.03%0.0556✓1.15470k2022-09-24
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.50980.465211-8.75%0.4153-18.54%0.0072✓0.81625k2022-09-24
QTUMQtumQtum3.47713.1739-8.72%2.849-18.06%0.0210✓0.9930k2022-09-24
IMXImmutableEthereum0.86580.790711-8.67%0.7405-14.47%0.0749✓1.082.2M2022-09-24
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.084050.076786-8.64%0.07767-7.59%0.0232✓0.09637k2022-09-24
BRISEBitgertEthereum8.04e-77.36e-7-8.49%5.04e-7-37.36%0.2741✓0.80192k2022-09-24
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.5836.9556-8.27%6.27-17.32%0.0296✓1.0214.0M2022-09-24
LUNATerraTerra 20.000131320.000120478-8.26%0.00022573+71.89%0.7343✗0.82340k2022-09-24
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain13.86212.718-8.25%17.384+25.41%0.3673✗0.423.8M2022-09-24
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.38010.349443-8.07%0.2999-21.10%0.0115✓1.26152k2022-09-24
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.11590.106813-7.84%0.1006-13.20%0.0796✓1.073.7M2022-09-24
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.041110.037906-7.79%0.03006-26.88%0.1038✓0.9828k2022-09-24
BANDBandEthereum1.3831.2768-7.68%1.19-13.96%0.0887✗1.22534k2022-09-24
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0015250.001409-7.65%0.001057-30.73%0.1866✓0.772.0M2022-09-24
CBKCobakEthereum0.951410.878789-7.63%0.80386-15.51%0.0365✓0.9613k2022-09-24
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.60.55478-7.54%0.451-24.83%0.0650✓1.09102k2022-09-24
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.25273.9323-7.53%3.6408-14.39%0.0070✓0.542.9M2022-09-24
GITCOINGITCOIN2.47642.2901-7.52%1.8174-26.61%0.0745✓1.2013k2022-09-24
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.71975.295-7.43%5.9377+3.81%0.1347✗0.155.0M2022-09-24
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.431.3241-7.40%1.18-17.48%0.0087✓0.95182k2022-09-24
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.11240.104084-7.40%0.0864-23.13%0.0950✓0.70250k2022-09-24
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0034950.00324-7.29%0.002211-36.74%0.2698✓0.861.1M2022-09-24
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.181.0947-7.23%0.9213-21.92%0.0213✓1.484.9M2022-09-24
APEApeCoinEthereum5.3794.9904-7.22%5.425+0.86%0.2599✗1.3510.1M2022-09-24
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008010.007432-7.21%0.00708-11.61%0.0997✗1.14513k2022-09-24
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0233430.021662-7.20%0.026013+11.44%0.1968✗0.11250k2022-09-24
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.7214.3877-7.06%3.906-17.26%0.0081✓0.95225k2022-09-24
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.86.3282-6.94%6.03-11.32%0.0005✓0.372.7M2022-09-24
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.30774.011-6.89%5.2757+22.47%0.4046✗1.00171k2022-09-24
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.192.0393-6.88%1.652-24.57%0.0138✓1.72114k2022-09-24
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0225110.020964-6.87%0.019685-12.55%0.0433✓0.8113k2022-09-24
CHZChilizEthereum0.22450.209179-6.82%0.2653+18.17%0.3427✗0.802.6M2022-09-24
GALAGALAEthereum0.05480.051115-6.72%0.0414-24.45%0.0817✓0.99256k2022-09-24
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.5411.439-6.62%1.368-11.23%0.1014✗1.16138k2022-09-24
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13780.128748-6.57%0.1132-17.85%0.0570✓0.553.9M2022-09-24
API3Api3Ethereum1.9431.8158-6.55%1.578-18.79%0.0220✓0.91782k2022-09-24
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.865.4771-6.53%5.32-9.22%0.0200✓0.382.9M2022-09-24
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.3525.9381-6.52%6.057-4.64%0.1396✗0.925.2M2022-09-24
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.136.6672-6.49%7.625+6.94%0.2726✗1.0619.5M2022-09-24
KSMKusamaHydration48.5445.3905-6.49%41.14-15.25%0.0301✓0.98607k2022-09-24
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.0042.8096-6.47%3.023+0.63%0.1557✗0.63669k2022-09-24
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.7114.4101-6.39%3.923-16.73%0.1059✓0.092.4M2022-09-24
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05290.049577-6.28%0.0379-28.36%0.1444✓0.95877k2022-09-24
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.846.4115-6.26%6.68-2.34%0.0902✗0.382.1M2022-09-24
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.6824.3897-6.24%3.917-16.34%0.0723✓0.321.9M2022-09-24
RADRadworksEthereum2.322.1753-6.24%2.1-9.48%0.0687✗0.80520k2022-09-24
QNTQuantEthereum106.79100.1288-6.24%114.65+7.36%0.2452✗0.843.5M2022-09-24
UOSUltraEthereum0.374470.351235-6.20%0.381+1.74%0.2021✗0.93321k2022-09-24
XEMNEMnative0.0478160.044861-6.18%0.04064-15.01%0.0109✓0.8432k2022-09-24
LRCLoopringEthereum0.3950.370738-6.14%0.2967-24.89%0.0802✓1.09174k2022-09-24
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.5496.1469-6.14%5.479-16.34%0.0737✓0.325.3M2022-09-24
RARESuperRareEthereum0.21790.204523-6.14%0.1697-22.12%0.0561✓1.00149k2022-09-24
CTSICartesiEthereum0.1550.145521-6.12%0.139-10.32%0.0800✗0.96668k2022-09-24
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0691720.064986-6.05%0.063176-8.67%0.1061✗1.031.7M2022-09-24
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000013930.000013089-6.04%0.00001124-19.31%0.0327✓0.92900k2022-09-24
FTTFTXEthereum27.9426.2611-6.01%23.68-15.25%0.0207✓0.957.5M2022-09-24
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2621.1885-5.83%1.08-14.42%0.0321✓0.982.1M2022-09-24
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche22.9821.6598-5.74%17.6-23.41%0.0396✓1.2924.1M2022-09-24
XVGVergenative0.003280.003092-5.72%0.00321-2.13%0.1720✗1.03537k2022-09-24
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2960.279142-5.70%0.252-14.86%0.0085✓0.72826k2022-09-24
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.2892.1591-5.68%1.739-24.03%0.0672✓1.1460k2022-09-24
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0144820.01366-5.67%0.011796-18.55%0.0647✓0.631.4M2022-09-24
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0017620.001664-5.58%0.001558-11.58%0.0517✓0.90590k2022-09-24
ORCAOrcaSolana0.81970.774842-5.47%0.8516+3.89%0.2852✗1.46205k2022-09-24
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5710.539753-5.47%0.47-17.69%0.0082✓1.1288k2022-09-24
DKAdKargoEthereum0.047920.045302-5.46%0.0406-15.28%0.0211✓0.6816k2022-09-24
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.30740.290745-5.42%0.3853+25.34%0.4010✗0.927.8M2022-09-24
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.9911.8833-5.41%1.7298-13.12%0.0535✓1.0633k2022-09-24
CVCCivicEthereum0.15750.148986-5.41%0.1301-17.40%0.0052✓1.00178k2022-09-24
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.054.7798-5.35%4.45-11.88%0.0173✓0.411.3M2022-09-24
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1910.180786-5.35%0.14704-23.02%0.0680✓1.06500k2022-09-24
MANADecentralandEthereum0.840180.795367-5.33%0.70794-15.74%0.0024✓0.91507k2022-09-24
XLMStellarStellar0.1104010.104574-5.28%0.11814+7.01%0.2335✗0.857.8M2022-09-24
SCSiacoinnative0.00420.00398-5.24%0.00356-15.24%0.0175✓0.99152k2022-09-24
SUSHISushiEthereum1.20061.138-5.22%1.069-10.96%0.0988✗1.24981k2022-09-24
HIVEHivenative0.56910.539487-5.20%0.5008-12.00%0.0411✓0.881.7M2022-09-24
DASHDashDash49.1846.6223-5.20%41.6-15.41%0.0116✓0.96504k2022-09-24
UMAUMAEthereum2.9462.7937-5.17%2.398-18.60%0.0429✓0.84749k2022-09-24
XYMSymbolnative0.0473860.044987-5.06%0.037461-20.95%0.1148✓0.5233k2022-09-24
PROPropyEthereum0.730.693828-4.96%0.6-17.81%0.0977✓0.36105k2022-09-24
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7440.70724-4.94%0.607-18.41%0.0333✓0.92322k2022-09-24
XECeCashnative0.000039470.000037532-4.91%0.00003974+0.68%0.1730✗0.891.7M2022-09-24
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos12.84712.224-4.85%13.638+6.16%0.2532✗1.1010.4M2022-09-24
ADACardanoCardano0.46420.441719-4.84%0.4511-2.82%0.1565✗1.0440.7M2022-09-24
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04690.04463-4.84%0.0418-10.87%0.0617✗0.97182k2022-09-24
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4580.435999-4.80%0.398-13.10%0.0384✓0.998,8922022-09-24
BTTCBTTC9.20e-78.76e-7-4.77%7.90e-7-14.13%0.0002✓0.792.4M2022-09-24
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.00680.006478-4.74%0.006417-5.63%0.0481✓0.4457k2022-09-24
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash130.69124.5376-4.71%117.26-10.28%0.0853✗1.114.9M2022-09-24
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.374150.356611-4.69%0.30895-17.43%0.0182✓0.9687k2022-09-24
LCXLCXEthereum0.06360.060628-4.67%0.0464-27.04%0.1171✓1.15258k2022-09-24
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06910.065871-4.67%0.058-16.06%0.0098✓0.90116k2022-09-24
DODODODOEthereum0.14080.134232-4.66%0.1278-9.23%0.0749✗0.951.9M2022-09-24
AMPAmpEthereum0.007040.006712-4.66%0.00493-29.97%0.2253✓0.641.2M2022-09-24
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04070.038809-4.65%0.0392-3.69%0.1193✗0.8411k2022-09-24
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.81051.7268-4.62%1.1961-33.94%0.2292✓1.06980k2022-09-24
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13090.124854-4.62%0.1318+0.69%0.1865✗1.0135k2022-09-24
BTCBitcoinBitcoin21,561.8620,574.93-4.58%18,923.20-12.24%0.0469✓1.00485.5M2022-09-24
STEEMSteemnative0.24180.230767-4.56%0.2268-6.20%0.0996✗0.90510k2022-09-24
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26080.248929-4.55%0.1188-54.45%0.7384✓0.0187k2022-09-24
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0015970.001525-4.54%0.001515-5.13%0.0866✗0.719,9742022-09-24
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.143260.136853-4.47%0.12433-13.21%0.0637✗1.22213k2022-09-24
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.30560.291955-4.47%0.2788-8.77%0.0773✗0.953.4M2022-09-24
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009140.008737-4.41%0.00697-23.74%0.1269✓0.766.4M2022-09-24
XVSVenusEthereum5.695.4419-4.36%4.67-17.93%0.0438✓0.841.6M2022-09-24
MOVRMoonriverBase13.461512.876-4.35%10.8104-19.69%0.0510✓0.9539k2022-09-24
ZENHorizenBase17.1916.454-4.28%14.09-18.03%0.0115✓1.10130k2022-09-24
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.23840.228434-4.18%0.1752-26.51%0.0892✓1.35133k2022-09-24
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.672.5587-4.17%1.94-27.34%0.2121✓0.5093k2022-09-24
GLMGolemEthereum0.26260.251691-4.15%0.2769+5.45%0.2195✗0.9583k2022-09-24
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.023030.022075-4.15%0.01924-16.46%0.0325✓0.80419k2022-09-24
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV55.61553.3088-4.15%49.307-11.34%0.0182✓0.74332k2022-09-24
LSKLiskEthereum1.13421.0877-4.10%0.948552-16.37%0.0260✓0.8553k2022-09-24
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.027320.026202-4.09%0.02171-20.53%0.0226✓1.273,4352022-09-24
COMPCompoundEthereum51.4849.3766-4.09%60.6+17.72%0.3640✗1.2215k2022-09-24
ELAElastosEthereum1.8561.7803-4.08%1.416-23.71%0.1038✓0.96146k2022-09-24
DIADIAEthereum0.411010.39438-4.05%0.37751-8.15%0.0794✗0.9462k2022-09-24
GMTGMTEthereum0.7910.75955-3.98%0.6362-19.57%0.0083✓1.42259k2022-09-24
XMRMoneroMonero153.94147.8539-3.95%141.98-7.77%0.0890✗0.991.2M2022-09-24
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.365110.350757-3.93%0.37942+3.92%0.2059✗0.98435k2022-09-24
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10980.105491-3.92%0.0908-17.30%0.0586✓0.703,6712022-09-24
ETHEthereumEthereum1,695.271,628.91-3.91%1,317.25-22.30%0.0387✓1.33608.4M2022-09-24
ZECZcashZcash67.7565.1067-3.90%55.64-17.87%0.0114✓1.122.0M2022-09-24
C98Coin98Ethereum0.42470.40822-3.88%0.3626-14.62%0.0269✓1.1189k2022-09-24
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11160.107294-3.86%0.1001-10.30%0.0429✗0.86255k2022-09-24
COTICOTIEthereum0.09890.095132-3.81%0.1064+7.58%0.2337✗0.93430k2022-09-24
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.37540.361257-3.77%0.3197-14.84%0.0390✗1.23205k2022-09-24
NANOnanopayBase0.9588910.922855-3.76%0.796-16.99%0.0439✓0.8084k2022-09-24
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.3810.9547-3.74%9.37-17.66%0.0020✓1.18439k2022-09-24
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.04851.0097-3.70%0.8876-15.35%0.0286✓1.211.0M2022-09-24
AVTAventusEthereum1.441.3868-3.69%1.42-1.39%0.0157✓-0.06115k2022-09-24
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.22890.220514-3.66%0.2052-10.35%0.0589✗1.0070k2022-09-24
WOOWOOEthereum0.17250.1662-3.65%0.1359-21.22%0.0625✓1.061,7802022-09-24
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.039930.038479-3.63%0.03492-12.55%0.0094✓0.822,7072022-09-24
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.0080.971964-3.57%0.9169-9.04%0.0134✓0.553.6M2022-09-24
XTZTezosTezos1.6691.6099-3.54%1.4784-11.42%0.0570✗1.09355k2022-09-24
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06030.05817-3.53%0.0544-9.78%0.0515✗0.91112k2022-09-24
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3216440.310479-3.47%0.272484-15.28%0.0100✓1.08743k2022-09-24
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.070310.067876-3.46%0.0639-9.12%0.0459✗0.819142022-09-24
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.49610.479181-3.41%0.4369-11.93%0.0528✗1.11400k2022-09-24
SOLSolanaSolana35.2534.0535-3.39%33.38-5.30%0.1301✗1.1570.1M2022-09-24
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.10e-78.81e-7-3.24%8.30e-7-8.79%0.0474✗0.8217k2022-09-24
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03890.037652-3.21%0.0335-13.88%0.0036✓0.9286k2022-09-24
FORTFortaEthereum0.26920.260638-3.18%0.1635-39.26%0.3382✓0.98109k2022-09-24
BFCBifrostEthereum0.075880.073484-3.16%0.06277-17.28%0.0025✓1.1929k2022-09-24
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9980.966899-3.12%0.931-6.71%0.1217✗1.221.3M2022-09-24
LTCLitecoinLitecoin56.6254.8856-3.06%53.43-5.63%0.1022✗0.9913.5M2022-09-24
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,605.6020,950.77-3.03%18,988.80-12.11%0.0258✓0.9512k2022-09-24
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.580.562704-2.98%0.387-33.28%0.2151✓1.222,3272022-09-24
KCSKuCoinnative9.7639.4769-2.93%8.909-8.75%0.0628✗0.951.8M2022-09-24
STORJStorjEthereum0.608460.5907-2.92%0.46599-23.41%0.0699✓1.2845k2022-09-24
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18370.178374-2.90%0.1619-11.87%0.0805✗1.362,2552022-09-24
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.165330.160594-2.86%0.16399-0.81%0.2969✗2.116042022-09-24
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09090.088368-2.79%0.0824-9.35%0.0549✗0.9613k2022-09-24
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7340.71481-2.61%0.564-23.16%0.0628✓1.335.0M2022-09-24
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.17415.0523-2.35%4.2695-17.48%0.1494✓0.14158k2022-09-24
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.016660.016299-2.17%0.01037-37.76%0.3650✓0.67173k2022-09-24
SUNSun TokenTron0.0058560.005735-2.07%0.00497-15.13%0.0559✓0.672,6192022-09-24
GTGateEthereum4.5674.4876-1.74%4.2479-6.99%0.0460✗0.77827k2022-09-24
AAVEAaveEthereum93.3592.0249-1.42%74.94-19.72%0.0048✓1.546.7M2022-09-24
TRXTRONTron0.0654990.064997-0.77%0.059922-8.51%0.0055✓0.58151k2022-09-24
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.