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2022-08-24 · +30d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 187 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1343
186 of 187 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+3.71%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
65.6%
in alpha space · 85.5% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-9.74%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (187 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
TRXTRONTron0.064820.064402-0.64%0.060491-6.68%0.0031✓0.58164k2022-09-23
AAVEAaveEthereum88.4187.5399-0.98%77.03-12.87%0.0300✗1.546.5M2022-09-23
GTGateEthereum4.49224.4216-1.57%4.233-5.77%0.0359✗0.78827k2022-09-23
SUNSun TokenTron0.0057610.005656-1.83%0.005038-12.56%0.0474✓0.672,6422022-09-23
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017340.016933-2.35%0.01061-38.81%0.3984✓0.67167k2022-09-23
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7270.709071-2.47%0.576-20.77%0.0703✓1.345.0M2022-09-23
CHRChromiaEthereum0.1710.16668-2.53%0.157-8.19%0.0787✗1.352,1742022-09-23
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.0910.088592-2.65%0.0859-5.60%0.0689✗0.9713k2022-09-23
STORJStorjEthereum0.587630.571187-2.80%0.46747-20.45%0.0690✓1.2845k2022-09-23
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.166880.162187-2.81%0.16406-1.69%0.2285✗2.126042022-09-23
KCSKuCoinnative9.6319.3589-2.83%8.985-6.71%0.0570✗0.951.8M2022-09-23
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.3865.2329-2.84%4.2279-21.50%0.1980✓0.15169k2022-09-23
BFCBifrostEthereum0.074280.07209-2.95%0.06183-16.76%0.0316✓1.1929k2022-09-23
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3088440.299735-2.95%0.279195-9.60%0.0394✗1.08778k2022-09-23
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03770.036585-2.96%0.0337-10.61%0.0129✓0.9381k2022-09-23
LTCLitecoinLitecoin56.4654.7868-2.96%55.23-2.18%0.1097✗0.9913.5M2022-09-23
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9560.927628-2.97%0.969+1.36%0.1687✗1.221.3M2022-09-23
AVTAventusEthereum1.381.339-2.97%1.44+4.35%0.0667✗-0.06105k2022-09-23
FORTFortaEthereum0.270.261425-3.18%0.1633-39.52%0.3700✓0.98112k2022-09-23
SOLSolanaSolana34.8833.7689-3.19%33.66-3.50%0.1150✗1.1575.2M2022-09-23
XTZTezosTezos1.60061.5491-3.22%1.5171-5.22%0.0906✗1.09388k2022-09-23
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06060.05863-3.25%0.0538-11.22%0.0075✓0.91120k2022-09-23
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.20e-78.90e-7-3.29%8.00e-7-13.04%0.0223✓0.8217k2022-09-23
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.21970.212435-3.31%0.1977-10.01%0.0305✓1.0067k2022-09-23
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.48610.469845-3.34%0.4363-10.24%0.0399✗1.11400k2022-09-23
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,418.4020,701.16-3.35%19,121.60-10.72%0.0182✓0.9511k2022-09-23
WOOWOOEthereum0.17250.166657-3.39%0.1415-17.97%0.0540✓1.071,7802022-09-23
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.040140.038724-3.53%0.03513-12.48%0.0134✓0.822,7072022-09-23
C98Coin98Ethereum0.41070.396124-3.55%0.369-10.15%0.0429✗1.1189k2022-09-23
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.37380.360328-3.60%0.3197-14.47%0.0075✓1.24215k2022-09-23
COMPCompoundEthereum51.1749.3257-3.60%63.56+24.21%0.3792✗1.2315k2022-09-23
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.0910.6878-3.63%9.52-14.16%0.0050✓1.18439k2022-09-23
LSKLiskEthereum1.11721.0759-3.70%0.957295-14.32%0.0296✓0.8553k2022-09-23
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.03010.991775-3.72%0.917-10.98%0.0223✓0.553.7M2022-09-23
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.5880.566096-3.73%0.408-30.61%0.2022✓1.221,8732022-09-23
NANOnanopayBase0.9351460.900191-3.74%0.8-14.45%0.0369✓0.7977k2022-09-23
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.365710.352035-3.74%0.41152+12.53%0.2570✗0.98435k2022-09-23
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11040.106253-3.76%0.1008-8.70%0.0368✓0.87255k2022-09-23
COTICOTIEthereum0.0990.095272-3.77%0.1073+8.38%0.2151✗0.94430k2022-09-23
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.04441.005-3.77%0.9226-11.66%0.0385✗1.211.0M2022-09-23
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.22390.215391-3.80%0.1776-20.68%0.0544✓1.35124k2022-09-23
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.023590.022686-3.83%0.01977-16.19%0.0541✓0.81444k2022-09-23
ETHEthereumEthereum1,656.741,593.05-3.84%1,326.82-19.91%0.0464✓1.33608.4M2022-09-23
ZECZcashZcash67.6965.0742-3.86%56.05-17.20%0.0348✓1.122.0M2022-09-23
GMTGMTEthereum0.78610.75543-3.90%0.6373-18.93%0.0263✓1.40267k2022-09-23
ELAElastosEthereum1.8271.755-3.94%1.424-22.06%0.1108✓0.96147k2022-09-23
XMRMoneroMonero150.55144.5998-3.95%141.47-6.03%0.0801✗1.001.2M2022-09-23
DIADIAEthereum0.403120.387149-3.96%0.38048-5.62%0.0789✗0.9462k2022-09-23
GLMGolemEthereum0.25570.245512-3.98%0.2785+8.92%0.2231✗0.9584k2022-09-23
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.00160.001535-4.06%0.001487-7.06%0.0402✓0.709,9742022-09-23
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV55.49553.229-4.08%49.795-10.27%0.0091✓0.74332k2022-09-23
ZENHorizenBase17.0116.3039-4.15%14.19-16.58%0.0259✓1.10130k2022-09-23
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.070090.067158-4.18%0.06346-9.46%0.0269✓0.818802022-09-23
PHAPHALAEthereum0.11180.107109-4.20%0.0927-17.08%0.0724✓0.703,6712022-09-23
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.00910.008717-4.21%0.00719-20.99%0.1159✓0.756.4M2022-09-23
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.12490.119594-4.25%0.132+5.68%0.2021✗1.0135k2022-09-23
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.367940.352288-4.25%0.31522-14.33%0.0126✓0.9687k2022-09-23
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.141860.135806-4.27%0.12632-10.95%0.0535✗1.23223k2022-09-23
XVSVenusEthereum5.725.4751-4.28%4.61-19.41%0.0857✓0.841.6M2022-09-23
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.29830.285472-4.30%0.2841-4.76%0.0920✗0.953.4M2022-09-23
STEEMSteemnative0.23530.224917-4.41%0.2263-3.82%0.0982✗0.90510k2022-09-23
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.026920.02573-4.42%0.02202-18.20%0.0258✓1.273,2032022-09-23
BTCBitcoinBitcoin21,367.1220,421.51-4.43%19,286.01-9.74%0.0453✗1.00485.5M2022-09-23
LUNATerraTerra 20.000099910.000095456-4.46%0.00025656+156.79%1.0706✗0.80329k2022-09-23
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04020.038403-4.47%0.0398-1.00%0.1226✗0.8511k2022-09-23
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.85031.7673-4.49%1.2188-34.13%0.2624✓1.07862k2022-09-23
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.25990.248125-4.53%0.12-53.83%0.7255✓0.0187k2022-09-23
BTTCBTTC9.10e-78.68e-7-4.56%8.00e-7-12.09%0.0004✓0.802.6M2022-09-23
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.772.643-4.58%1.93-30.32%0.2632✓0.5093k2022-09-23
DODODODOEthereum0.14080.134291-4.62%0.1288-8.52%0.0575✗0.971.9M2022-09-23
AMPAmpEthereum0.006980.006657-4.63%0.00501-28.22%0.2182✓0.641.3M2022-09-23
XECeCashnative0.000038750.000036952-4.64%0.00003923+1.24%0.1503✗0.881.7M2022-09-23
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06760.06444-4.67%0.0596-11.83%0.0154✓0.91113k2022-09-23
MOVRMoonriverBase13.867113.2181-4.68%10.7456-22.51%0.1091✓0.9640k2022-09-23
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.006680.006367-4.68%0.00634-5.09%0.0410✓0.4457k2022-09-23
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7210.687168-4.69%0.608-15.67%0.0287✓0.91322k2022-09-23
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash130.34124.2075-4.71%120.12-7.84%0.0809✗1.124.9M2022-09-23
LCXLCXEthereum0.06410.06108-4.71%0.0481-24.96%0.1207✓1.15266k2022-09-23
ADACardanoCardano0.45770.436133-4.71%0.4617+0.87%0.1637✗1.0442.0M2022-09-23
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04640.04416-4.83%0.0424-8.62%0.0594✗0.98184k2022-09-23
PROPropyEthereum0.740.703475-4.94%0.63-14.86%0.0714✓0.38105k2022-09-23
UMAUMAEthereum2.9322.7859-4.98%2.361-19.47%0.0795✓0.84749k2022-09-23
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4520.429412-5.00%0.403-10.84%0.0384✓0.998,8922022-09-23
HIVEHivenative0.55770.5298-5.00%0.5079-8.93%0.0487✓0.891.8M2022-09-23
DASHDashDash49.1346.6465-5.06%42.1-14.31%0.0033✓0.97504k2022-09-23
ORCAOrcaSolana0.81510.77384-5.06%0.8521+4.54%0.2467✗1.47205k2022-09-23
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1860.17653-5.09%0.15984-14.06%0.0098✓1.06519k2022-09-23
DKAdKargoEthereum0.046560.044169-5.14%0.04111-11.71%0.0014✓0.6916k2022-09-23
CVCCivicEthereum0.14810.140489-5.14%0.1314-11.28%0.0354✓1.00149k2022-09-23
SCSiacoinnative0.004090.003879-5.16%0.00359-12.22%0.0239✓0.99152k2022-09-23
MANADecentralandEthereum0.83270.789615-5.17%0.72024-13.51%0.0020✓0.92507k2022-09-23
XLMStellarStellar0.1094820.103797-5.19%0.123119+12.46%0.2585✗0.867.8M2022-09-23
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0017290.001639-5.20%0.001612-6.77%0.0744✗0.89653k2022-09-23
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.30230.286289-5.30%0.3992+32.05%0.4266✗0.928.2M2022-09-23
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.194.9123-5.35%4.69-9.63%0.0049✓0.401.4M2022-09-23
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5620.531895-5.36%0.485-13.70%0.0233✓1.1388k2022-09-23
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.2642.1427-5.36%1.774-21.64%0.0715✓1.1560k2022-09-23
XYMSymbolnative0.0482590.045672-5.36%0.038148-20.95%0.1252✓0.5330k2022-09-23
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2850.269681-5.38%0.253-11.23%0.0095✓0.72826k2022-09-23
XVGVergenative0.003210.003037-5.38%0.00331+3.12%0.1916✗1.03537k2022-09-23
SUSHISushiEthereum1.19711.1317-5.46%1.0827-9.56%0.0826✗1.24981k2022-09-23
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0143020.013518-5.48%0.011863-17.05%0.0658✓0.631.5M2022-09-23
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.241.1718-5.50%1.104-10.97%0.0410✓0.982.1M2022-09-23
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000013050.000012331-5.51%0.00001108-15.10%0.0135✓0.91864k2022-09-23
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche23.0121.7324-5.55%17.97-21.90%0.0579✓1.2924.5M2022-09-23
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.96541.8546-5.64%1.7684-10.02%0.0610✗1.0633k2022-09-23
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos13.01912.2826-5.66%14.215+9.19%0.2596✗1.1110.4M2022-09-23
FTTFTXEthereum27.5525.9693-5.74%23.88-13.32%0.0139✓0.957.6M2022-09-23
UOSUltraEthereum0.340780.321136-5.76%0.39482+15.86%0.3011✗0.92321k2022-09-23
LRCLoopringEthereum0.38710.36433-5.88%0.3065-20.82%0.0605✓1.10174k2022-09-23
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.946.5249-5.98%6.74-2.88%0.0713✗0.382.1M2022-09-23
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0678370.063736-6.05%0.063375-6.58%0.0989✗1.021.7M2022-09-23
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.8764.5806-6.06%4.236-13.13%0.0452✓0.321.9M2022-09-23
XEMNEMnative0.0462280.043413-6.09%0.041508-10.21%0.0412✓0.8432k2022-09-23
RARESuperRareEthereum0.22010.206667-6.10%0.1731-21.35%0.0748✓1.00152k2022-09-23
DEXEDeXeEthereum32.8163-6.12%2.966-1.13%0.1166✗0.63693k2022-09-23
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15090.141523-6.21%0.1397-7.42%0.0860✗0.97614k2022-09-23
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.8166.3917-6.23%5.77-15.35%0.0718✓0.305.3M2022-09-23
RADRadworksEthereum2.342.1941-6.23%1.97-15.81%0.0247✓0.81636k2022-09-23
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.1762.039-6.30%1.654-23.99%0.0318✓1.73114k2022-09-23
QNTQuantEthereum108101.1903-6.31%110.81+2.60%0.1774✗0.853.5M2022-09-23
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.94.5901-6.33%4.117-15.98%0.1001✓0.082.4M2022-09-23
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13280.124387-6.33%0.116-12.65%0.0133✓0.553.9M2022-09-23
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.5481.4498-6.34%1.367-11.69%0.0615✓1.17138k2022-09-23
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.1226.6661-6.40%7.446+4.55%0.2197✗1.0619.5M2022-09-23
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05180.048467-6.43%0.0388-25.10%0.1245✓0.96827k2022-09-23
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.4065.9922-6.46%6.21-3.06%0.1303✗0.925.2M2022-09-23
API3Api3Ethereum1.9361.8095-6.53%1.627-15.96%0.0134✓0.91782k2022-09-23
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.15.701-6.54%5.7-6.56%0.0369✓0.363.1M2022-09-23
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.856.4006-6.56%6.37-7.01%0.0326✓0.372.7M2022-09-23
KSMKusamaHydration48.9945.7569-6.60%42.17-13.92%0.0197✓0.99606k2022-09-23
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.421.3258-6.63%1.2-15.49%0.0023✓0.95182k2022-09-23
GALAGALAEthereum0.05490.051187-6.76%0.042-23.50%0.0960✓0.99256k2022-09-23
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.87695.4793-6.77%6.3531+8.10%0.1643✗0.164.5M2022-09-23
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0222610.020749-6.79%0.019843-10.86%0.0386✓0.8113k2022-09-23
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.60.558945-6.84%0.467-22.17%0.0685✓1.09102k2022-09-23
APEApeCoinEthereum5.3124.9439-6.93%5.681+6.95%0.2777✗1.3510.1M2022-09-23
GITCOINGITCOIN2.44032.269-7.02%1.8779-23.05%0.0658✓1.2013k2022-09-23
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.00820.007618-7.10%0.00707-13.78%0.0422✓1.14513k2022-09-23
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0034260.003183-7.11%0.002176-36.49%0.2923✓0.861.1M2022-09-23
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.10520.097558-7.26%0.092-12.55%0.0125✓0.69247k2022-09-23
CBKCobakEthereum0.946690.877609-7.30%0.79781-15.73%0.0037✓0.9713k2022-09-23
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.34224.023-7.35%3.8939-10.32%0.0221✓0.532.5M2022-09-23
BANDBandEthereum1.3641.263-7.40%1.172-14.08%0.0508✓1.23534k2022-09-23
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0015350.00142-7.47%0.001069-30.38%0.2049✓0.782.0M2022-09-23
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.17661.0885-7.48%0.9427-19.88%0.0085✓1.494.9M2022-09-23
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.7244.3703-7.49%4.075-13.74%0.0285✓0.96172k2022-09-23
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.56794.2255-7.50%6.0773+33.04%0.4659✗1.00173k2022-09-23
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.11460.105751-7.72%0.103-10.12%0.0831✗1.073.7M2022-09-23
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0234390.021608-7.81%0.025913+10.56%0.1932✗0.11239k2022-09-23
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.5656.9687-7.88%6.433-14.96%0.0245✓1.0214.0M2022-09-23
IMXImmutableEthereum0.85810.790191-7.91%0.7708-10.17%0.0850✗1.072.2M2022-09-23
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.040160.036923-8.06%0.03075-23.43%0.0823✓0.9825k2022-09-23
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain14.33913.1759-8.11%19.032+32.73%0.4116✗0.433.0M2022-09-23
CHZChilizEthereum0.24240.22243-8.24%0.2705+11.59%0.2796✗0.822.3M2022-09-23
BORABORAKlay Token0.29790.273308-8.26%0.24767-16.86%0.0085✓1.0412k2022-09-23
STXStacksnative0.38670.354637-8.29%0.3371-12.83%0.0675✓1.15487k2022-09-23
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.5513.3419-8.30%13.17-9.48%0.1127✗1.231.3M2022-09-23
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.50890.466623-8.31%0.4301-15.48%0.0011✓0.81625k2022-09-23
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.40980.37545-8.38%0.3044-25.72%0.0794✓1.27152k2022-09-23
QTUMQtumQtum3.47983.1843-8.49%2.913-16.29%0.0125✓0.9934k2022-09-23
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.412.2029-8.59%1.86-22.82%0.0451✓1.21299k2022-09-23
UNIUniswapEthereum7.0456.4349-8.66%5.913-16.07%0.0480✓1.2910.3M2022-09-23
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.084250.076895-8.73%0.07819-7.19%0.0260✓0.09737k2022-09-23
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.023820.021733-8.76%0.02356-1.09%0.1697✗0.8713.4M2022-09-23
TRBTellor TributesEthereum37.3334.0216-8.86%15.34-58.91%0.7061✓0.881.8M2022-09-23
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.61725.1142-8.95%7.2387+28.87%0.3662✗0.182.6M2022-09-23
BRISEBitgertEthereum8.05e-77.32e-7-9.01%5.09e-7-36.69%0.2834✓0.77180k2022-09-23
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.298.4494-9.05%8.65-6.89%0.0673✓0.432.6M2022-09-23
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum13.8312.5769-9.06%13.99+1.16%0.2217✗1.122.0M2022-09-23
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7270.661091-9.07%0.595-18.16%0.0154✓0.88253k2022-09-23
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06690.060471-9.61%0.0569-14.95%0.0640✓1.221.0M2022-09-23
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.2745.6476-9.98%5.695-9.23%0.0951✓0.8510.1M2022-09-23
FLOWFlownative2.1471.9326-9.99%1.708-20.45%0.0102✓1.311.2M2022-09-23
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.0342.729-10.05%2.471-18.56%0.0620✓1.574.0M2022-09-23
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.071010.063509-10.56%0.06473-8.84%0.1329✗1.112.4M2022-09-23
AUCTIONBounceEthereum8.047.1769-10.73%6.75-16.04%0.0532✓1.12638k2022-09-23
NMRNumeraireEthereum18.3416.367-10.76%15.28-16.68%0.0030✓0.701.5M2022-09-23
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.53831.3709-10.88%1.2661-17.69%0.0161✓0.931.4M2022-09-23
ETCEthereum Classicnative35.4531.4219-11.36%28.88-18.53%0.0616✓1.4216.0M2022-09-23
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.7661.5635-11.47%1.283-27.35%0.0755✓1.19114k2022-09-23
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8860.782224-11.71%0.894+0.90%0.1771✗0.434.3M2022-09-23
CELLCellframeEthereum0.37370.329382-11.86%0.2839-24.03%0.0311✓1.15111k2022-09-23
METISMetisEthereum35.7631.263-12.58%24.57-31.29%0.0490✓1.87365k2022-09-23
OPTIMOptimism1.2261.0714-12.61%0.949-22.59%0.0558✓1.733.6M2022-09-23
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,349.198,008.35-14.34%8,416.07-9.98%0.1887✗1.367.3M2022-09-23
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.062010.009584-84.54%–pending––0.8612k2022-09-23
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.