8=======>

2022-08-20 · +30d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 188 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1380
187 of 188 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+2.61%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
67.4%
in alpha space · 85.0% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-7.56%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (188 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.091570.08144-11.06%0.0621-32.18%0.2642✓0.09959k2022-09-19
TRBTellor TributesEthereum41.6637.2492-10.59%14.77-64.55%0.8518✓0.931.8M2022-09-19
NMRNumeraireEthereum18.4116.5724-9.98%15.52-15.70%0.0102✓0.701.8M2022-09-19
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.898.0403-9.56%8-10.01%0.0294✓0.442.2M2022-09-19
AUCTIONBounceEthereum8.127.3564-9.40%6.52-19.70%0.0327✓1.12638k2022-09-19
YFIyearn.financeEthereum8,539.617,767.45-9.04%8,481.63-0.68%0.1951✗1.367.3M2022-09-19
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.06e-76.43e-7-8.99%5.57e-7-21.08%0.0829✓0.76164k2022-09-19
OPTIMOptimism1.1311.0293-8.99%0.955-15.56%0.0600✓1.723.7M2022-09-19
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain10.8949.9435-8.73%12.487+14.62%0.2605✗0.421.4M2022-09-19
METISMetisEthereum32.4529.7145-8.43%24.04-25.92%0.0658✓1.86383k2022-09-19
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.36063.9995-8.28%5.92+35.76%0.4035✗0.142.1M2022-09-19
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.5961.4667-8.10%1.258-21.18%0.0591✓1.20126k2022-09-19
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.36491.2547-8.07%1.1772-13.75%0.0131✓0.981.2M2022-09-19
ETCEthereum Classicnative32.8330.1796-8.07%30.44-7.28%0.1204✗1.4216.5M2022-09-19
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.060.974488-8.07%–pending––1.1112k2022-09-19
CELLCellframeEthereum0.31050.285754-7.97%0.2802-9.76%0.0698✓1.14110k2022-09-19
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.9193.6164-7.72%4.135+5.51%0.2067✗0.92127k2022-09-19
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06680.061831-7.44%0.0563-15.72%0.0015✓1.211.3M2022-09-19
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007250.006723-7.27%0.0074+2.07%0.1804✗1.07435k2022-09-19
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.362.1898-7.21%1.88-20.34%0.0560✓1.23259k2022-09-19
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0033930.003154-7.05%0.002524-25.61%0.1573✓0.831.0M2022-09-19
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0015070.001401-7.05%0.0011-27.02%0.1808✓0.781.6M2022-09-19
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.068290.06349-7.03%0.05812-14.89%0.0004✓1.122.4M2022-09-19
FLOWFlownative2.1241.9758-6.98%1.696-20.15%0.0498✓1.311.2M2022-09-19
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7080.658728-6.96%0.598-15.54%0.0271✓0.88271k2022-09-19
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8430.784712-6.91%0.893+5.93%0.1644✗0.454.4M2022-09-19
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana5.0514.7027-6.90%3.728-26.19%0.2278✓0.062.1M2022-09-19
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.69225.3019-6.86%5.54-2.67%0.0564✓0.162.1M2022-09-19
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.10340.096313-6.85%0.0903-12.67%0.0081✓0.72220k2022-09-19
QNTQuantEthereum104.8497.7427-6.77%107.75+2.78%0.1633✗0.843.4M2022-09-19
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.825.4294-6.71%5.15-11.51%0.0245✓0.362.9M2022-09-19
UNIUniswapEthereum7.0046.5426-6.59%5.479-21.77%0.0770✓1.2810.7M2022-09-19
QTUMQtumQtum3.34613.1266-6.56%2.9221-12.67%0.0093✓0.9848k2022-09-19
STXStacksnative0.38960.364303-6.49%0.3301-15.27%0.0115✓1.11493k2022-09-19
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12260.114679-6.46%0.1151-6.12%0.0483✓0.574.1M2022-09-19
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum12.6811.8646-6.43%13.68+7.89%0.2298✗1.112.6M2022-09-19
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.1313.2241-6.41%12.27-13.16%0.0212✓1.221.4M2022-09-19
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana3.81153.5674-6.40%5.2403+37.49%0.4632✗1.00169k2022-09-19
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.021560.020185-6.38%0.020248-6.09%0.0676✗0.8213k2022-09-19
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0224990.021071-6.35%0.027182+20.81%0.2646✗0.13240k2022-09-19
KSMKusamaHydration48.5445.5192-6.22%40.04-17.51%0.0521✓0.97560k2022-09-19
API3Api3Ethereum1.861.745-6.18%1.496-19.57%0.0816✓0.92657k2022-09-19
XEMNEMnative0.0450830.042296-6.18%0.040881-9.32%0.0325✓0.8534k2022-09-19
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.2286.7836-6.15%6.385-11.66%0.0196✓1.0214.0M2022-09-19
BORABORAKlay Token0.297240.279191-6.07%0.25224-15.14%0.0187✓1.0513k2022-09-19
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.51720.485846-6.06%0.4508-12.84%0.0096✓0.83713k2022-09-19
CHZChilizEthereum0.18320.172241-5.98%0.2531+38.16%0.4495✗0.821.3M2022-09-19
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.38380.361069-5.92%0.3026-21.16%0.0756✓1.28190k2022-09-19
RADRadworksEthereum2.412.2675-5.91%2.07-14.11%0.0237✓0.86833k2022-09-19
APEApeCoinEthereum5.0364.7397-5.88%5.865+16.46%0.3190✗1.3510.9M2022-09-19
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.074.7743-5.83%4.26-15.98%0.0811✓0.421.1M2022-09-19
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6110.575406-5.83%0.473-22.59%0.1079✓1.12103k2022-09-19
IMXImmutableEthereum0.86170.811658-5.81%0.7721-10.40%0.0351✓1.082.2M2022-09-19
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.3055.9394-5.80%6.057-3.93%0.0930✗0.935.3M2022-09-19
BANDBandEthereum1.2991.2249-5.70%1.167-10.16%0.0491✓1.24518k2022-09-19
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.48593.2903-5.61%3.5781+2.64%0.1254✗0.531.5M2022-09-19
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.4874.2388-5.53%3.746-16.51%0.0957✓0.361.6M2022-09-19
CRVCurve DAOEthereum0.99950.944218-5.53%0.9829-1.66%0.1545✗1.455.0M2022-09-19
RARESuperRareEthereum0.20230.191199-5.49%0.1786-11.72%0.0105✓1.00146k2022-09-19
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0146880.013882-5.49%0.011897-19.00%0.1070✓0.601.9M2022-09-19
CBKCobakEthereum0.941440.890003-5.46%0.77846-17.31%0.0576✓0.9712k2022-09-19
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10290.097281-5.46%0.1014-1.46%0.1254✗1.073.8M2022-09-19
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.2495.9104-5.42%5.478-12.34%0.0091✓0.8510.1M2022-09-19
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.4086.0641-5.37%5.296-17.35%0.1254✓0.134.5M2022-09-19
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0694280.065717-5.35%0.05866-15.51%0.0332✓1.021.9M2022-09-19
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.037450.035455-5.33%0.03126-16.53%0.0476✓1.0023k2022-09-19
GALAGALAEthereum0.05230.049527-5.30%0.0433-17.21%0.0553✓1.00253k2022-09-19
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.021520.020385-5.27%0.0223+3.62%0.1608✗0.9013.9M2022-09-19
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012910.000012234-5.23%0.00001097-15.03%0.0378✓0.91827k2022-09-19
XYMSymbolnative0.0491230.046564-5.21%0.039404-19.79%0.1255✓0.5330k2022-09-19
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4630.438929-5.20%0.437-5.62%0.0747✗1.019,8012022-09-19
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.0961.9874-5.18%1.699-18.94%0.0225✓1.71122k2022-09-19
UOSUltraEthereum0.305140.28936-5.17%0.4068+33.32%0.4117✗0.90366k2022-09-19
FTTFTXEthereum26.6925.3105-5.17%24.19-9.37%0.0296✓0.958.6M2022-09-19
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5570.528593-5.10%0.485-12.93%0.0031✓1.1390k2022-09-19
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.5251.448-5.05%1.365-10.49%0.0358✓1.21156k2022-09-19
XLMStellarStellar0.1090190.103529-5.04%0.111743+2.50%0.1445✗0.877.4M2022-09-19
CTSICartesiEthereum0.14930.141804-5.02%0.1384-7.30%0.0538✗0.99616k2022-09-19
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05030.047778-5.01%0.0393-21.87%0.1187✓0.97827k2022-09-19
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.7462.6083-5.01%2.506-8.74%0.0825✗1.565.1M2022-09-19
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.0572.9048-4.98%2.975-2.68%0.0739✗0.64803k2022-09-19
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.9026.5593-4.97%7.3+5.77%0.1910✗1.0719.5M2022-09-19
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.30030.285456-4.94%0.3172+5.63%0.1782✗0.938.2M2022-09-19
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0017260.001643-4.80%0.001532-11.24%0.0019✓0.87806k2022-09-19
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche22.321.2374-4.77%17.28-22.51%0.1039✓1.3024.7M2022-09-19
XVGVergenative0.003280.003125-4.74%0.00326-0.61%0.1245✗1.04520k2022-09-19
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.2390.227741-4.71%0.1842-22.93%0.1049✓1.36110k2022-09-19
MANADecentralandEthereum0.831830.792898-4.68%0.72902-12.36%0.0111✓0.93560k2022-09-19
MOVRMoonriverBase13.707113.0668-4.67%11.4637-16.37%0.0561✓0.9544k2022-09-19
HIVEHivenative0.54280.517572-4.65%0.5271-2.89%0.0886✗0.891.9M2022-09-19
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.1522.0524-4.63%1.845-14.27%0.0156✓1.1660k2022-09-19
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.336.0375-4.62%5.75-9.16%0.0189✓0.381.9M2022-09-19
SUSHISushiEthereum1.171.1162-4.60%1.0665-8.85%0.0507✗1.221.1M2022-09-19
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.221.1641-4.58%1.092-10.49%0.0134✓0.982.2M2022-09-19
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.78711.7064-4.52%1.4112-21.03%0.1025✓1.11667k2022-09-19
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0014460.001381-4.51%0.001428-1.24%0.0894✗0.719,7092022-09-19
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.290.276914-4.51%0.256-11.72%0.0213✓0.73878k2022-09-19
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.86461.7805-4.51%1.7159-7.98%0.0460✓1.0636k2022-09-19
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1810.172981-4.43%0.145-19.89%0.0927✓1.06608k2022-09-19
ELAElastosEthereum1.8571.7748-4.43%1.485-20.03%0.1031✓0.96156k2022-09-19
DASHDashDash45.7543.7238-4.43%40.74-10.95%0.0057✓0.97521k2022-09-19
LCXLCXEthereum0.06170.058975-4.42%0.0498-19.29%0.0810✓1.12303k2022-09-19
GITCOINGITCOIN2.3142.2119-4.41%1.8797-18.77%0.0667✓1.2213k2022-09-19
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04580.043783-4.40%0.0432-5.68%0.0631✗0.97201k2022-09-19
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0068550.006556-4.36%0.006367-7.12%0.0077✓0.4757k2022-09-19
DKAdKargoEthereum0.045160.043208-4.32%0.04122-8.72%0.0084✓0.7116k2022-09-19
ADACardanoCardano0.45130.431846-4.31%0.4526+0.29%0.1293✗1.0542.0M2022-09-19
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26130.250162-4.26%0.1112-57.44%0.8100✓0.0181k2022-09-19
UMAUMAEthereum2.8242.7039-4.25%2.425-14.13%0.0435✓0.83749k2022-09-19
BTCBitcoinBitcoin21,139.2320,242.97-4.24%19,540.38-7.56%0.0433✓1.00469.5M2022-09-19
AMPAmpEthereum0.007130.006829-4.22%0.00502-29.59%0.2567✓0.651.3M2022-09-19
SCSiacoinnative0.004150.003975-4.21%0.00357-13.98%0.0287✓1.00152k2022-09-19
FISStafiEthereum0.36660.351206-4.20%0.3044-16.97%0.0712✓0.911922022-09-19
PROPropyEthereum0.730.699545-4.17%0.66-9.59%0.0275✓0.39105k2022-09-19
XECeCashnative0.000038990.000037365-4.17%0.0000394+1.05%0.1222✗0.881.8M2022-09-19
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06590.063165-4.15%0.0609-7.59%0.0364✓0.93126k2022-09-19
ORCAOrcaSolana0.86120.825664-4.13%0.8509-1.20%0.1473✗1.49224k2022-09-19
BTTCBTTC8.70e-78.34e-7-4.12%8.00e-7-8.05%0.0211✓0.803.3M2022-09-19
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.341.285-4.10%1.19-11.19%0.0006✓0.97182k2022-09-19
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV53.0450.8711-4.09%49.657-6.38%0.0337✓0.74349k2022-09-19
ZENHorizenBase15.8415.1979-4.05%13.84-12.63%0.0068✓1.10125k2022-09-19
DODODODOEthereum0.1310.125736-4.02%0.1251-4.50%0.0725✗0.992.1M2022-09-19
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.12230.117391-4.01%0.1327+8.50%0.2030✗1.0239k2022-09-19
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04030.038689-4.00%0.0357-11.41%0.0092✓0.9111k2022-09-19
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash114.78110.2091-3.98%112.05-2.38%0.1034✗1.105.0M2022-09-19
STEEMSteemnative0.23310.223882-3.95%0.2188-6.13%0.0481✗0.90550k2022-09-19
ETHEthereumEthereum1,575.761,513.95-3.92%1,376.17-12.67%0.0089✓1.33534.1M2022-09-19
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.526.2659-3.90%6.05-7.21%0.0043✓0.391.3M2022-09-19
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.28420.273127-3.90%0.2595-8.69%0.0236✓0.953.6M2022-09-19
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.370190.355767-3.90%0.38357+3.61%0.1618✗1.10426k2022-09-19
C98Coin98Ethereum0.41040.394684-3.83%0.3928-4.29%0.0821✗1.1074k2022-09-19
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6760.650482-3.77%0.596-11.83%0.0151✓0.92333k2022-09-19
CVCCivicEthereum0.1470.141456-3.77%0.1312-10.75%0.0045✓1.01149k2022-09-19
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.47420.456439-3.75%0.4467-5.80%0.0654✗1.11386k2022-09-19
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.2369.8527-3.74%15.618+52.58%0.5471✗1.1010.8M2022-09-19
XMRMoneroMonero149.22143.6462-3.74%140.37-5.93%0.0549✗0.991.2M2022-09-19
BFCBifrostEthereum0.077040.074178-3.72%0.06261-18.73%0.0761✓1.1929k2022-09-19
GMTGMTEthereum0.7990.769337-3.71%0.6251-21.76%0.0956✓1.42398k2022-09-19
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.36990.356277-3.68%0.3256-11.98%0.0089✓1.26223k2022-09-19
LRCLoopringEthereum0.37130.357694-3.66%0.3113-16.16%0.0547✓1.07175k2022-09-19
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.80e-78.48e-7-3.66%8.10e-7-7.95%0.0173✓0.8018k2022-09-19
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.06521.0262-3.66%0.9446-11.32%0.0393✓0.554.3M2022-09-19
DIADIAEthereum0.399830.385193-3.66%0.38968-2.54%0.0858✗0.9470k2022-09-19
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.742.6397-3.66%2.28-16.79%0.1075✓0.5093k2022-09-19
LUNATerraTerra 20.000088070.000084919-3.58%0.00031125+253.41%1.3678✗0.88327k2022-09-19
GLMGolemEthereum0.25490.245949-3.51%0.2908+14.08%0.2421✗0.9583k2022-09-19
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.139090.134238-3.49%0.12606-9.37%0.0334✓1.22250k2022-09-19
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009240.008921-3.46%0.00746-19.26%0.1198✓0.756.2M2022-09-19
CHRChromiaEthereum0.16730.161532-3.45%0.1539-8.01%0.0572✗1.341,3642022-09-19
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.041.0042-3.44%0.8565-17.64%0.0641✓1.211.1M2022-09-19
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.22070.21312-3.43%0.1992-9.74%0.0119✓1.0172k2022-09-19
AVTAventusEthereum1.391.3423-3.43%1.44+3.60%0.0673✗-0.04105k2022-09-19
ZECZcashZcash62.9260.7902-3.38%55.26-12.17%0.0068✓1.132.0M2022-09-19
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10970.106008-3.37%0.1003-8.57%0.0119✓0.86274k2022-09-19
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.026420.025533-3.36%0.02205-16.54%0.0469✓1.273,2032022-09-19
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06020.058201-3.32%0.0547-9.14%0.0136✓0.96112k2022-09-19
XVSVenusEthereum5.885.685-3.32%4.59-21.94%0.1468✓0.851.6M2022-09-19
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,129.2020,431.06-3.30%19,581.40-7.33%0.0323✓0.957,5932022-09-19
COMPCompoundEthereum49.2347.6168-3.28%52.16+5.95%0.1875✗1.2316k2022-09-19
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.356030.344731-3.17%0.30629-13.97%0.0421✓0.9795k2022-09-19
COTICOTIEthereum0.09560.09258-3.16%0.0944-1.26%0.0928✗0.93430k2022-09-19
LSKLiskEthereum1.07081.0371-3.15%0.962594-10.11%0.0063✓0.8756k2022-09-19
NANOnanopayBase0.8965170.868469-3.13%0.816606-8.91%0.0004✓0.7877k2022-09-19
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.022440.021744-3.10%0.01974-12.03%0.0285✓0.87444k2022-09-19
WOOWOOEthereum0.16830.163127-3.07%0.1389-17.47%0.0815✓1.011,7442022-09-19
NEXONEXOEthereum0.8690.842715-3.02%0.902+3.80%0.1628✗1.211.1M2022-09-19
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.019.7084-3.01%9.08-9.29%0.0258✓1.18318k2022-09-19
SOLSolanaSolana35.2934.2344-2.99%32.65-7.48%0.0439✗1.1675.2M2022-09-19
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03940.038241-2.94%0.034-13.71%0.0413✓0.9777k2022-09-19
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10640.10328-2.93%0.0949-10.81%0.0284✓0.713,9702022-09-19
XTZTezosTezos1.56291.5175-2.91%1.4887-4.75%0.0683✗1.11494k2022-09-19
FORTFortaEthereum0.26760.260105-2.80%0.1798-32.81%0.2921✓0.98145k2022-09-19
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.039560.038496-2.69%0.03487-11.86%0.0339✓0.832,6252022-09-19
LTCLitecoinLitecoin54.152.7367-2.52%52.89-2.24%0.0811✗0.9913.1M2022-09-19
KCSKuCoinnative9.3729.141-2.46%9.098-2.92%0.0697✗0.951.9M2022-09-19
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3016860.294259-2.46%0.271513-10.00%0.0051✓1.09884k2022-09-19
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.068880.067219-2.41%0.06161-10.55%0.0231✓0.819772022-09-19
STORJStorjEthereum0.567470.554073-2.36%0.47873-15.64%0.0450✓1.2946k2022-09-19
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.5690.555964-2.29%0.391-31.28%0.2552✓1.232,9182022-09-19
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.07694.9679-2.15%4.6593-8.23%0.0530✓0.14171k2022-09-19
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7220.706883-2.09%0.572-20.78%0.1032✓1.384.8M2022-09-19
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08490.083162-2.05%0.0828-2.47%0.0721✗0.979,9252022-09-19
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.156860.154096-1.76%0.15899+1.36%0.1977✗2.126672022-09-19
SUNSun TokenTron0.0058660.005774-1.58%0.005618-4.23%0.0268✗0.692,6422022-09-19
GTGateEthereum4.43554.3708-1.46%4.2119-5.04%0.0232✗0.77836k2022-09-19
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.01770.017483-1.23%0.01128-36.27%0.3876✓0.64155k2022-09-19
TRXTRONTron0.0658570.065316-0.82%0.060295-8.45%0.0335✓0.59179k2022-09-19
AAVEAaveEthereum82.7982.4221-0.44%76.38-7.74%0.0432✗1.526.4M2022-09-19
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.