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2022-08-17 · +30d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 188 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0348
187 of 188 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+3.89%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
67.9%
in alpha space · 90.9% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-15.17%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (188 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
OPTIMOptimism1.3211.174-11.13%1.112-15.82%0.2627✗1.933.6M2022-09-16
TRBTellor TributesEthereum40.0935.7487-10.83%16.31-59.32%0.6119✓1.051.8M2022-09-16
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.757.8322-10.49%8.46-3.31%0.1428✗0.401.8M2022-09-16
AUCTIONBounceEthereum9.48.425-10.37%6.63-29.47%0.0612✓1.08523k2022-09-16
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,164.6210,035.05-10.12%8,661.73-22.42%0.0719✓1.336.8M2022-09-16
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07780.070112-9.88%0.0575-26.09%0.0041✓1.181.4M2022-09-16
BRISEBitgertEthereum6.87e-76.19e-7-9.88%5.40e-7-21.44%0.0330✓0.63164k2022-09-16
NMRNumeraireEthereum19.4217.5649-9.55%16-17.61%0.0183✓0.682.2M2022-09-16
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.08320.075313-9.48%0.06472-22.21%0.1107✓0.251.0M2022-09-16
ETCEthereum Classicnative40.2936.6597-9.01%34.05-15.49%0.1538✗1.3816.5M2022-09-16
CELLCellframeEthereum0.37410.342561-8.43%0.2667-28.71%0.0677✓1.11105k2022-09-16
CHZChilizEthereum0.22220.203562-8.39%0.2101-5.45%0.1719✗0.851.2M2022-09-16
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.085980.078817-8.33%0.06104-29.01%0.0639✓1.172.4M2022-09-16
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.8991.7411-8.32%1.34-29.44%0.0570✓1.25142k2022-09-16
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.525.0756-8.05%5.31-3.80%0.1065✗0.372.0M2022-09-16
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.5053.2243-8.01%2.596-25.93%0.0421✓1.575.2M2022-09-16
QTUMQtumQtum4.0123.6962-7.87%2.9941-25.37%0.0502✓0.9848k2022-09-16
FLOWFlownative2.5652.3648-7.80%1.78-30.60%0.0736✓1.281.0M2022-09-16
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.1937.5566-7.77%5.824-28.91%0.1268✓0.819.9M2022-09-16
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.65774.3023-7.63%4.6927+0.75%0.2514✗1.00140k2022-09-16
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.922.6994-7.55%1.92-34.25%0.1445✓1.19269k2022-09-16
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.20421.1142-7.48%–pending––1.1412k2022-09-16
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.944.575-7.39%4.31-12.75%0.0048✓0.391.1M2022-09-16
METISMetisEthereum38.7935.9615-7.29%24.55-36.71%0.0596✓1.96408k2022-09-16
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.025750.023914-7.13%0.02055-20.19%0.0065✓0.8814.3M2022-09-16
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.8541.7263-6.89%1.38-25.57%0.0397✓1.12170k2022-09-16
APEApeCoinEthereum6.1075.6893-6.84%4.665-23.61%0.0248✓1.3611.8M2022-09-16
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.47123.2342-6.83%5.9681+71.93%0.6642✗0.311.8M2022-09-16
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.41071.3154-6.75%1.2302-12.80%0.0882✗0.941.0M2022-09-16
UNIUniswapEthereum7.9617.4259-6.72%5.824-26.84%0.0290✓1.3010.3M2022-09-16
RARESuperRareEthereum0.24860.232003-6.68%0.1847-25.70%0.0635✓1.00111k2022-09-16
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.18211.1032-6.67%1.0589-10.42%0.2095✗1.525.6M2022-09-16
XEMNEMnative0.0502950.046998-6.56%0.042068-16.36%0.0366✓0.9043k2022-09-16
QNTQuantEthereum109.91102.7335-6.53%107.74-1.97%0.1835✗0.833.6M2022-09-16
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008140.007609-6.52%0.00771-5.28%0.1959✗1.11456k2022-09-16
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.09970.093283-6.44%0.1059+6.22%0.2590✗0.80215k2022-09-16
STXStacksnative0.45670.427618-6.37%0.3492-23.54%0.0192✓1.11808k2022-09-16
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.7414.7389-6.36%14.52-7.75%0.1644✗1.092.6M2022-09-16
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.1443.8849-6.25%3.867-6.68%0.0454✓0.301.5M2022-09-16
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.6165.2662-6.23%5.56-1.00%0.0675✗0.083.4M2022-09-16
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0015460.00145-6.20%0.001201-22.29%0.0574✓0.791.6M2022-09-16
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum16.8815.8367-6.18%12.83-23.99%0.0082✓1.231.6M2022-09-16
FTTFTXEthereum30.1128.2515-6.17%24.08-20.03%0.0069✓0.939.1M2022-09-16
RADRadworksEthereum2.372.228-5.99%2.13-10.13%0.1025✗0.90636k2022-09-16
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9090.854538-5.99%0.928+2.09%0.1578✗0.464.4M2022-09-16
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5150.484304-5.96%0.434-15.73%0.0535✓0.999,8012022-09-16
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.386.9416-5.94%6.185-16.19%0.0438✓0.975.4M2022-09-16
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0039360.003706-5.85%0.002807-28.68%0.1475✓0.791.0M2022-09-16
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche25.5624.0904-5.75%18.06-29.34%0.0631✓1.3728.7M2022-09-16
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.81143.5925-5.74%5.5996+46.92%0.5197✗0.462.0M2022-09-16
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.3727.8913-5.74%6.906-17.51%0.0354✓1.0314.4M2022-09-16
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7810.736341-5.72%0.605-22.54%0.0436✓0.93280k2022-09-16
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000014760.000013927-5.65%0.00001157-21.61%0.0271✓0.96827k2022-09-16
API3Api3Ethereum2.2662.1389-5.61%1.541-31.99%0.1760✓0.92680k2022-09-16
HIVEHivenative0.59610.56267-5.61%0.5573-6.51%0.1460✗0.952.0M2022-09-16
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.14530.137171-5.59%0.1213-16.52%0.0234✓0.614.4M2022-09-16
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.12260.115753-5.58%0.1057-13.78%0.0914✗1.113.8M2022-09-16
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0151840.014342-5.55%0.012294-19.03%0.0555✓0.602.1M2022-09-16
STEEMSteemnative0.27560.260407-5.51%0.2244-18.58%0.0063✓0.87550k2022-09-16
IMXImmutableEthereum0.96510.912056-5.50%0.7965-17.47%0.0578✗1.182.2M2022-09-16
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05990.056634-5.45%0.0411-31.39%0.1506✓1.03877k2022-09-16
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.34080.322293-5.43%0.2979-12.59%0.0742✗0.938.3M2022-09-16
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0239350.022635-5.43%0.020411-14.72%0.0295✓0.8113k2022-09-16
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.9665.6435-5.41%11.384+90.81%0.7621✗0.371.2M2022-09-16
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.225.8855-5.38%6.26+0.64%0.1214✗0.361.1M2022-09-16
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0219640.020785-5.37%0.025951+18.15%0.2546✗0.20233k2022-09-16
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0019550.001851-5.30%0.001658-15.19%0.0541✓1.00950k2022-09-16
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.4133.2325-5.29%2.987-12.48%0.0248✓0.63853k2022-09-16
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.7511.1338-5.24%16.596+41.24%0.5850✗1.1312.0M2022-09-16
ADACardanoCardano0.53860.510464-5.22%0.4748-11.85%0.0968✗1.0343.6M2022-09-16
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6430.609688-5.18%0.497-22.71%0.0134✓1.16105k2022-09-16
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.6823.4915-5.17%4.006+8.80%0.2785✗0.86124k2022-09-16
XLMStellarStellar0.1213050.115075-5.14%0.107109-11.70%0.0747✗0.897.8M2022-09-16
DODODODOEthereum0.1590.150841-5.13%0.1221-23.21%0.0501✓0.982.1M2022-09-16
LINKChainlinkEthereum8.0617.648-5.12%7.655-5.04%0.1790✗1.0820.0M2022-09-16
UOSUltraEthereum0.329720.312969-5.08%0.38821+17.74%0.3613✗0.89402k2022-09-16
MOVRMoonriverBase14.827214.0749-5.07%11.2265-24.28%0.0693✓0.9553k2022-09-16
DKAdKargoEthereum0.050730.048175-5.04%0.04256-16.10%0.0056✓0.7216k2022-09-16
GALAGALAEthereum0.0630.059833-5.03%0.0476-24.44%0.0607✓1.02253k2022-09-16
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6720.638752-4.95%0.489-27.23%0.0702✓1.20130k2022-09-16
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.70661.6223-4.94%1.8924+10.89%0.3517✗1.20598k2022-09-16
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.09832.9453-4.94%3.6957+19.28%0.3097✗0.501.3M2022-09-16
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13810.131284-4.94%0.1457+5.50%0.2750✗1.0441k2022-09-16
ORCAOrcaSolana0.98420.935696-4.93%0.8516-13.47%0.1614✗1.55244k2022-09-16
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.35.9906-4.91%5.78-8.25%0.0268✓0.381.6M2022-09-16
XYMSymbolnative0.0535190.050894-4.90%0.039113-26.92%0.1815✓0.5033k2022-09-16
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.43710.415816-4.87%0.3144-28.07%0.0514✓1.39209k2022-09-16
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.4762.3562-4.84%1.715-30.74%0.0286✓1.76134k2022-09-16
BORABORAKlay Token0.344910.328216-4.84%0.26134-24.23%0.0569✓1.0413k2022-09-16
ELAElastosEthereum1.9911.8948-4.83%1.475-25.92%0.0863✓1.00181k2022-09-16
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05090.04844-4.83%0.043-15.52%0.0414✓0.98212k2022-09-16
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.046850.044593-4.82%0.03294-29.69%0.1422✓0.9821k2022-09-16
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,341.1722,221.57-4.80%19,801.04-15.17%0.0492✗1.00482.6M2022-09-16
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.07930.075512-4.78%0.0646-18.54%0.0261✓0.79130k2022-09-16
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7730.736164-4.77%0.616-20.31%0.0230✓0.94344k2022-09-16
DASHDashDash52.8750.3698-4.73%43.69-17.36%0.0167✓0.97548k2022-09-16
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.361.2957-4.73%1.173-13.75%0.0653✗1.002.5M2022-09-16
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.893.7073-4.70%3.874-0.41%0.0752✗0.191.9M2022-09-16
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,298.3022,205.80-4.69%19,713.60-15.39%0.0410✓0.977,5932022-09-16
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.20162.0987-4.68%1.7566-20.21%0.0050✓1.0536k2022-09-16
XVGVergenative0.003780.003604-4.66%0.00319-15.61%0.0457✓1.02528k2022-09-16
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.56530.538978-4.66%0.4698-16.89%0.0026✓0.82755k2022-09-16
LCXLCXEthereum0.07080.067515-4.64%0.0498-29.66%0.1142✓1.16331k2022-09-16
KSMKusamaHydration54.7752.2353-4.63%43.86-19.92%0.0078✓1.01595k2022-09-16
SUSHISushiEthereum1.371.3088-4.46%1.1346-17.18%0.0638✗1.261.1M2022-09-16
XECeCashnative0.000043330.000041413-4.42%0.00004223-2.54%0.1628✗0.871.9M2022-09-16
CTSICartesiEthereum0.16970.162236-4.40%0.1558-8.19%0.1353✗1.07616k2022-09-16
CBKCobakEthereum1.11151.0626-4.39%0.82039-26.19%0.1036✓0.9412k2022-09-16
ZENHorizenBase19.0118.1767-4.38%14.36-24.46%0.0514✓1.12130k2022-09-16
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2170.207626-4.32%0.15442-28.84%0.1146✓1.10696k2022-09-16
GITCOINGITCOIN2.92612.8005-4.29%1.9192-34.41%0.1789✓1.2113k2022-09-16
BTTCBTTC9.60e-79.19e-7-4.29%8.20e-7-14.58%0.0158✓0.795.3M2022-09-16
BANDBandEthereum1.5631.4961-4.28%1.237-20.86%0.0203✓1.28529k2022-09-16
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.001680.001608-4.27%0.001455-13.39%0.0133✓0.699,5772022-09-16
DIADIAEthereum0.460510.440981-4.24%0.37431-18.72%0.0150✓0.9170k2022-09-16
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.5252.418-4.24%1.988-21.27%0.0017✓1.1864k2022-09-16
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.25350.242841-4.20%0.2047-19.25%0.0044✓1.0183k2022-09-16
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.922.7973-4.20%1.76-39.73%0.3776✓0.5296k2022-09-16
COMPCompoundEthereum58.3155.8629-4.20%54.06-7.29%0.1705✗1.2420k2022-09-16
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.41880.401235-4.19%0.346-17.38%0.0595✗1.26239k2022-09-16
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12140.116316-4.19%0.1034-14.83%0.0246✓0.87311k2022-09-16
XMRMoneroMonero168.3161.2562-4.19%149.19-11.35%0.0792✗0.951.2M2022-09-16
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06620.06344-4.17%0.0555-16.16%0.0053✓0.78116k2022-09-16
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04390.042077-4.15%0.0352-19.82%0.0228✓0.9576k2022-09-16
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010860.010415-4.09%0.00835-23.11%0.0991✓0.745.8M2022-09-16
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.0921.0473-4.09%0.9744-10.77%0.0302✓0.623.9M2022-09-16
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.2410.231144-4.09%0.1907-20.87%0.0348✓1.38117k2022-09-16
COTICOTIEthereum0.10910.104666-4.06%0.0976-10.54%0.0929✗0.99456k2022-09-16
BFCBifrostEthereum0.08710.083564-4.06%0.06705-23.02%0.0314✓1.1529k2022-09-16
GMTGMTEthereum0.9670.927885-4.04%0.6518-32.60%0.1180✓1.43469k2022-09-16
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV59.92257.5064-4.03%52.013-13.20%0.0156✓0.71365k2022-09-16
MANADecentralandEthereum0.967770.929123-3.99%0.7411-23.42%0.0716✓0.94623k2022-09-16
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3030.290993-3.96%0.262-13.53%0.0133✓0.721.0M2022-09-16
XTZTezosTezos1.88471.811-3.91%1.5208-19.31%0.0085✓1.11488k2022-09-16
ZECZcashZcash74.2271.328-3.90%56.74-23.55%0.0473✓1.102.0M2022-09-16
UMAUMAEthereum3.2633.1362-3.88%2.56-21.54%0.0664✓0.83719k2022-09-16
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.409860.394004-3.87%0.32095-21.69%0.0419✓0.9995k2022-09-16
SOLSolanaSolana40.5538.9835-3.86%32.23-20.52%0.0060✓1.1981.1M2022-09-16
AMPAmpEthereum0.007940.007634-3.85%0.00531-33.12%0.2577✓0.641.6M2022-09-16
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.31980.30749-3.85%0.2626-17.89%0.0049✓0.993.6M2022-09-16
LUNATerraTerra 20.00009510.000091538-3.75%0.00030458+220.27%1.3678✗1.01336k2022-09-16
GLMGolemEthereum0.29130.280401-3.74%0.3024+3.81%0.2283✗0.9381k2022-09-16
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.2181.1728-3.71%0.8768-28.01%0.0871✓1.241.1M2022-09-16
ETHEthereumEthereum1,834.611,767.42-3.66%1,433.73-21.85%0.0091✓1.33534.1M2022-09-16
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.383270.369245-3.66%0.30013-21.69%0.0633✓0.88435k2022-09-16
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.611.5512-3.65%1.28-20.50%0.0332✓0.97182k2022-09-16
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash133.83129.0004-3.61%119.59-10.64%0.1056✗1.105.1M2022-09-16
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.02990.028825-3.60%0.02271-24.05%0.0249✓1.302,9912022-09-16
LSKLiskEthereum1.21191.1686-3.58%1.003-17.24%0.0086✓0.8855k2022-09-16
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.6540.631076-3.51%0.418-36.09%0.2160✓1.192,9182022-09-16
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.006750.006516-3.47%0.006297-6.71%0.0395✗0.4555k2022-09-16
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.3610.9659-3.47%9.36-17.61%0.0289✓1.14313k2022-09-16
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3480820.336304-3.38%0.283015-18.69%0.0002✓1.05916k2022-09-16
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0801150.077419-3.37%0.060443-24.55%0.0785✓1.031.9M2022-09-16
FISStafiEthereum0.41420.400266-3.36%0.3538-14.58%0.0251✓0.901922022-09-16
SCSiacoinnative0.004680.004525-3.32%0.00373-20.30%0.0275✓1.01158k2022-09-16
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.077550.074995-3.29%0.0652-15.93%0.0123✓0.789142022-09-16
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.158730.153603-3.23%0.13109-17.41%0.0450✗1.24250k2022-09-16
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.54010.522808-3.20%0.4634-14.20%0.0637✗1.12388k2022-09-16
C98Coin98Ethereum0.47010.455283-3.15%0.4409-6.21%0.1561✗1.1464k2022-09-16
LRCLoopringEthereum0.42060.407401-3.14%0.3247-22.80%0.0447✓1.11190k2022-09-16
LTCLitecoinLitecoin60.5258.6245-3.13%55.93-7.58%0.1176✗1.0013.5M2022-09-16
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12090.117169-3.09%0.0959-20.68%0.0838✓0.714,2082022-09-16
XVSVenusEthereum65.8168-3.05%4.36-27.33%0.1385✓0.911.5M2022-09-16
CVCCivicEthereum0.17690.171515-3.04%0.1384-21.76%0.0485✓1.01140k2022-09-16
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.045180.043822-3.01%0.03549-21.45%0.0790✓0.802,6002022-09-16
CHRChromiaEthereum0.19540.189566-2.99%0.155-20.68%0.0343✗1.431,3972022-09-16
PROPropyEthereum0.780.756745-2.98%0.7-10.26%0.0081✓0.42105k2022-09-16
STORJStorjEthereum0.652840.633434-2.97%0.49675-23.91%0.0273✓1.3147k2022-09-16
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04270.041442-2.95%0.0374-12.41%0.0512✗0.9411k2022-09-16
FORTFortaEthereum0.2940.285541-2.88%0.19-35.37%0.2313✓1.07160k2022-09-16
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9280.901723-2.83%0.896-3.45%0.1951✗1.221.1M2022-09-16
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.024860.024162-2.81%0.02106-15.29%0.0094✓0.89310k2022-09-16
KCSKuCoinnative10.2569.9757-2.73%9.137-10.91%0.0717✗0.971.9M2022-09-16
NANOnanopayBase0.978230.952065-2.67%0.810979-17.10%0.0377✓0.7577k2022-09-16
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8040.783467-2.55%0.586-27.11%0.0583✓1.414.6M2022-09-16
AVTAventusEthereum1.41.3646-2.53%1.44+2.86%0.0436✗-0.06124k2022-09-16
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26130.254789-2.49%0.119-54.46%0.7592✓0.0165k2022-09-16
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.70e-79.46e-7-2.45%8.30e-7-14.43%0.0043✓0.7721k2022-09-16
WOOWOOEthereum0.19750.193113-2.22%0.151-23.54%0.0729✓1.051,7922022-09-16
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.17940.175768-2.02%0.15812-11.86%0.2617✗2.236712022-09-16
AAVEAaveEthereum100.1498.1884-1.95%79.37-20.74%0.0390✗1.536.4M2022-09-16
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.30115.2025-1.86%4.9422-6.77%0.0291✓0.14217k2022-09-16
GTGateEthereum4.84494.7581-1.79%4.2657-11.95%0.0110✓0.73882k2022-09-16
SUNSun TokenTron0.006520.006403-1.79%0.005888-9.70%0.0312✗0.703,0362022-09-16
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.10180.100338-1.44%0.0859-15.62%0.0081✓0.9912k2022-09-16
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.018080.017891-1.04%0.01206-33.30%0.2931✓0.62153k2022-09-16
TRXTRONTron0.0681260.068049-0.11%0.061288-10.04%0.0040✓0.61182k2022-09-16
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.