8=======>

2022-08-16 · +30d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 188 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0470
187 of 188 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+5.36%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
72.7%
in alpha space · 93.0% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-17.41%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (188 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.44e-76.52e-7-12.36%5.79e-7-22.16%0.0051✓0.65164k2022-09-15
AUCTIONBounceEthereum10.199.0402-11.28%6.64-34.84%0.1004✓1.09592k2022-09-15
TRBTellor TributesEthereum40.6136.1354-11.02%15.76-61.19%0.6219✓1.091.8M2022-09-15
OPTIMOptimism1.4541.2939-11.01%1.131-22.21%0.2320✗1.923.7M2022-09-15
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07840.070294-10.34%0.0585-25.38%0.0393✓1.171.4M2022-09-15
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.897.987-10.16%8.14-8.44%0.0804✓0.321.8M2022-09-15
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,010.199,908.69-10.00%8,520.47-22.61%0.1021✓1.326.5M2022-09-15
NMRNumeraireEthereum20.3218.4363-9.27%16.28-19.88%0.0050✓0.682.2M2022-09-15
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana5.09874.6287-9.22%4.4233-13.25%0.1459✗1.00111k2022-09-15
ETCEthereum Classicnative39.8836.2571-9.08%35.67-10.56%0.2464✗1.3716.5M2022-09-15
CELLCellframeEthereum0.39850.362915-8.93%0.2861-28.21%0.0282✓1.10101k2022-09-15
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.085780.078241-8.79%0.06724-21.61%0.1070✓0.231.1M2022-09-15
CHZChilizEthereum0.20970.192255-8.32%0.1909-8.97%0.1566✗0.861.2M2022-09-15
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.262.991-8.25%1.94-40.49%0.1992✓1.22269k2022-09-15
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.089960.082583-8.20%0.05919-34.20%0.1151✓1.142.4M2022-09-15
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.0161.8526-8.10%1.313-34.87%0.1187✓1.18157k2022-09-15
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.445.012-7.87%5.19-4.60%0.1049✗0.372.0M2022-09-15
FLOWFlownative2.6852.4796-7.65%1.753-34.71%0.1026✓1.28873k2022-09-15
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.683.3991-7.63%2.583-29.81%0.0238✓1.565.3M2022-09-15
QTUMQtumQtum4.01273.7067-7.63%2.9863-25.58%0.0300✓0.9750k2022-09-15
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.4267.7904-7.54%5.726-32.04%0.1500✓0.839.5M2022-09-15
METISMetisEthereum38.936.0299-7.38%25.7-33.93%0.0411✓1.98408k2022-09-15
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.9241.7829-7.33%1.388-27.86%0.0354✓1.12170k2022-09-15
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.027890.025859-7.28%0.01964-29.58%0.0933✓0.9514.3M2022-09-15
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.47061.3659-7.12%1.2148-17.39%0.0663✓0.961.0M2022-09-15
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.954.5978-7.12%4.21-14.95%0.0052✓0.431.2M2022-09-15
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000015810.000014721-6.89%0.00001167-26.19%0.0521✓0.94827k2022-09-15
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.18751.1065-6.82%–pending––1.1313k2022-09-15
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0256380.023906-6.75%0.025135-1.96%0.0859✗0.19232k2022-09-15
QNTQuantEthereum116.11108.2964-6.73%103.96-10.46%0.1160✗0.823.6M2022-09-15
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.5143.2824-6.59%6.1741+75.70%0.6945✗0.331.7M2022-09-15
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.051130.047787-6.54%0.03257-36.30%0.1983✓0.9721k2022-09-15
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008540.007982-6.54%0.00782-8.43%0.1869✗1.08463k2022-09-15
STXStacksnative0.47620.445116-6.53%0.3436-27.85%0.0482✓1.10808k2022-09-15
APEApeCoinEthereum6.1975.7963-6.47%4.909-20.78%0.0884✗1.3312.6M2022-09-15
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum1514.0305-6.46%14.21-5.27%0.2340✗1.162.6M2022-09-15
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5450.509944-6.43%0.453-16.88%0.0692✗0.9811k2022-09-15
RARESuperRareEthereum0.26360.246799-6.37%0.1907-27.66%0.0666✓1.00111k2022-09-15
XEMNEMnative0.0519690.048664-6.36%0.040879-21.34%0.0035✓0.8943k2022-09-15
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum17.9516.8228-6.28%12.71-29.19%0.0512✓1.201.7M2022-09-15
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.28531.2049-6.25%1.0528-18.09%0.1357✗1.416.4M2022-09-15
UNIUniswapEthereum8.3467.826-6.23%5.884-29.50%0.0389✓1.2910.1M2022-09-15
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0015870.001489-6.16%0.00116-26.91%0.0957✓0.811.6M2022-09-15
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.0185.6504-6.11%5.586-7.18%0.0079✓0.103.4M2022-09-15
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.193.9343-6.10%3.752-10.45%0.0205✓0.361.6M2022-09-15
FTTFTXEthereum30.6728.8125-6.06%24.08-21.49%0.0026✓0.929.2M2022-09-15
RADRadworksEthereum2.362.2185-6.00%2.24-5.08%0.1851✗0.92520k2022-09-15
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.10240.096281-5.98%0.1102+7.62%0.2942✗0.83220k2022-09-15
MINAMina Protocolnative0.840.790252-5.92%0.603-28.21%0.0929✓0.93280k2022-09-15
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.8763.6493-5.85%4.046+4.39%0.2653✗0.85124k2022-09-15
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.7737.3222-5.80%6.13-21.14%0.0094✓0.985.4M2022-09-15
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.8398.3273-5.79%6.934-21.55%0.0122✓1.0214.8M2022-09-15
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche27.1125.5488-5.76%18.2-32.87%0.0827✓1.3430.5M2022-09-15
SKLSKALEEthereum0.06420.060507-5.75%0.0408-36.45%0.1961✓1.04877k2022-09-15
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0041010.003866-5.73%0.002756-32.80%0.1884✓0.781.0M2022-09-15
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0159660.015053-5.72%0.012048-24.54%0.1044✓0.622.1M2022-09-15
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.145.7892-5.71%6.06-1.30%0.1234✗0.411.1M2022-09-15
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9670.912123-5.67%0.92-4.86%0.1008✗0.484.4M2022-09-15
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.72393.5149-5.61%5.7604+54.69%0.5867✗0.481.9M2022-09-15
HIVEHivenative0.61150.577519-5.56%0.5477-10.43%0.1264✗0.942.1M2022-09-15
GALAGALAEthereum0.06960.065745-5.54%0.0471-32.33%0.1362✓1.03253k2022-09-15
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.623.4195-5.54%2.988-17.46%0.0032✓0.69976k2022-09-15
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.13010.122959-5.49%0.1085-16.60%0.0822✗1.083.9M2022-09-15
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.8895.5671-5.47%11.656+97.93%0.7913✗0.271.2M2022-09-15
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.35260.33348-5.42%0.295-16.34%0.0541✓0.928.3M2022-09-15
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.15460.146227-5.42%0.1206-21.99%0.0750✓0.624.4M2022-09-15
ADACardanoCardano0.55710.527511-5.31%0.466-16.35%0.0719✗1.0243.6M2022-09-15
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6720.63631-5.31%0.489-27.23%0.0402✓1.17115k2022-09-15
API3Api3Ethereum2.4092.2816-5.29%1.578-34.50%0.1894✓0.94680k2022-09-15
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2440.23112-5.28%0.15592-36.10%0.1749✓1.14696k2022-09-15
DODODODOEthereum0.16760.158759-5.28%0.1202-28.28%0.0949✓0.962.3M2022-09-15
UOSUltraEthereum0.353420.334796-5.27%0.40594+14.86%0.3602✗0.88402k2022-09-15
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05390.051099-5.20%0.0441-18.18%0.0413✓0.99220k2022-09-15
IMXImmutableEthereum1.02210.969388-5.16%0.7977-21.95%0.0323✓1.192.3M2022-09-15
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.002020.001916-5.15%0.0022+8.91%0.3295✗1.00901k2022-09-15
GITCOINGITCOIN3.30123.1315-5.14%1.9299-41.54%0.2463✓1.2413k2022-09-15
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.6512.515-5.13%1.72-35.12%0.0490✓1.73144k2022-09-15
STEEMSteemnative0.270.256211-5.11%0.2141-20.70%0.0141✓0.86550k2022-09-15
LINKChainlinkEthereum8.4538.0275-5.03%7.563-10.53%0.1464✗1.0820.0M2022-09-15
ELAElastosEthereum2.0611.9575-5.02%1.509-26.78%0.0710✓0.99181k2022-09-15
ORCAOrcaSolana0.9670.918613-5.00%0.8518-11.91%0.2223✗1.56244k2022-09-15
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.14370.13651-5.00%0.1738+20.95%0.4412✗1.0443k2022-09-15
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.39610.8268-4.99%14.912+30.85%0.5381✗1.1413.2M2022-09-15
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.8180.777336-4.97%0.591-27.75%0.0968✓0.93357k2022-09-15
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.47490.451416-4.95%0.3195-32.72%0.0870✓1.35211k2022-09-15
XLMStellarStellar0.121780.11582-4.89%0.102273-16.02%0.0439✓0.887.8M2022-09-15
MOVRMoonriverBase15.077914.3528-4.81%11.3056-25.02%0.0556✓0.9658k2022-09-15
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.0383.8462-4.75%3.815-5.52%0.0384✓0.242.1M2022-09-15
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4251.3576-4.73%1.126-20.98%0.0044✓1.002.5M2022-09-15
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.27012.1633-4.70%1.7321-23.70%0.0209✓1.0538k2022-09-15
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.70.667097-4.70%0.485-30.71%0.0877✓1.21135k2022-09-15
DKAdKargoEthereum0.052050.04962-4.67%0.04198-19.35%0.0326✓0.7016k2022-09-15
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,857.9322,748.09-4.65%19,703.67-17.41%0.0476✓1.00482.6M2022-09-15
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.710.677199-4.62%0.421-40.70%0.2481✓1.192,7912022-09-15
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.011540.011008-4.61%0.00833-27.82%0.1355✓0.755.8M2022-09-15
LCXLCXEthereum0.07340.070028-4.59%0.0505-31.20%0.1052✓1.16331k2022-09-15
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.296.0025-4.57%5.59-11.13%0.0005✓0.371.4M2022-09-15
ZENHorizenBase20.1219.2038-4.55%14.5-27.93%0.0644✓1.13121k2022-09-15
BFCBifrostEthereum0.091210.08708-4.53%0.06499-28.75%0.0735✓1.1529k2022-09-15
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08110.07744-4.51%0.0665-18.00%0.0053✓0.82134k2022-09-15
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.12122.981-4.49%3.7372+19.74%0.3259✗0.521.3M2022-09-15
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.6351.5618-4.48%2.0023+22.46%0.4914✗1.27598k2022-09-15
COMPCompoundEthereum61.0958.406-4.39%56.91-6.84%0.2089✗1.2323k2022-09-15
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.7522.6311-4.39%1.962-28.71%0.0725✓1.1564k2022-09-15
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12650.120944-4.39%0.1042-17.63%0.0163✓0.86317k2022-09-15
GMTGMTEthereum1.0721.025-4.38%0.6666-37.82%0.1590✓1.42469k2022-09-15
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.44640.427021-4.34%0.3559-20.27%0.0578✗1.25255k2022-09-15
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.58970.564124-4.34%0.4585-22.25%0.0507✓0.82784k2022-09-15
XECeCashnative0.000044980.00004303-4.34%0.00004321-3.94%0.1710✗0.872.0M2022-09-15
XVGVergenative0.004010.003837-4.32%0.00326-18.70%0.0343✓1.03554k2022-09-15
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,861.5022,832.91-4.31%19,833.10-16.88%0.0447✗0.977,5932022-09-15
CBKCobakEthereum1.15611.1067-4.28%0.80867-30.05%0.1354✓0.9312k2022-09-15
XYMSymbolnative0.0548020.052476-4.25%0.039421-28.07%0.1921✓0.4936k2022-09-15
XMRMoneroMonero169.61162.4165-4.24%145.86-14.00%0.0765✗0.961.2M2022-09-15
COTICOTIEthereum0.11380.10898-4.24%0.0903-20.65%0.0027✓1.00456k2022-09-15
SUSHISushiEthereum1.411.3503-4.23%1.1128-21.08%0.0471✗1.261.2M2022-09-15
CTSICartesiEthereum0.17980.172195-4.23%0.1496-16.80%0.0643✗1.07616k2022-09-15
BANDBandEthereum1.6751.6042-4.23%1.206-28.00%0.0375✓1.30520k2022-09-15
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.26450.253315-4.23%0.2063-22.00%0.0138✓1.0091k2022-09-15
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.14891.1003-4.23%0.9834-14.41%0.0074✓0.633.9M2022-09-15
DASHDashDash52.4650.2587-4.20%43.87-16.37%0.0496✗0.97595k2022-09-15
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.429220.411333-4.17%0.31479-26.66%0.0795✓0.9896k2022-09-15
BORABORAKlay Token0.355270.340496-4.16%0.25784-27.42%0.0780✓1.0514k2022-09-15
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0017610.001688-4.15%0.001455-17.38%0.0066✓0.749,4152022-09-15
SOLSolanaSolana43.0941.3058-4.14%33.07-23.25%0.0029✓1.1881.1M2022-09-15
BTTCBTTC9.70e-79.30e-7-4.13%8.30e-7-14.43%0.0358✓0.785.4M2022-09-15
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.33920.325371-4.08%0.2622-22.70%0.0311✓0.973.6M2022-09-15
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.942.8207-4.06%1.79-39.12%0.3547✓0.5296k2022-09-15
DIADIAEthereum0.471920.453216-3.96%0.36772-22.08%0.0630✓0.7670k2022-09-15
MANADecentralandEthereum1.02990.989116-3.96%0.71924-30.16%0.1377✓0.95623k2022-09-15
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.082580.079317-3.95%0.06518-21.07%0.0493✓0.778802022-09-15
ZECZcashZcash75.9572.9668-3.93%58.33-23.20%0.0137✓1.102.1M2022-09-15
LPTLivepeerEthereum12.3611.8788-3.89%9.29-24.84%0.0319✓1.12313k2022-09-15
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06880.066122-3.89%0.0557-19.04%0.0189✓0.80119k2022-09-15
LRCLoopringEthereum0.45590.438308-3.86%0.3228-29.19%0.0945✓1.10190k2022-09-15
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0870410.083745-3.79%0.058603-32.67%0.1636✓1.011.8M2022-09-15
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3160.304055-3.78%0.259-18.04%0.0178✓0.751.0M2022-09-15
CVCCivicEthereum0.18610.17907-3.78%0.1336-28.21%0.1002✓1.01140k2022-09-15
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.25560.245964-3.77%0.1903-25.55%0.0007✓1.34131k2022-09-15
UMAUMAEthereum3.3343.2084-3.77%2.546-23.64%0.0713✓0.84696k2022-09-15
XTZTezosTezos1.88871.8181-3.74%1.5204-19.50%0.0331✓1.11488k2022-09-15
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.751.6847-3.73%1.27-27.43%0.0908✓1.00190k2022-09-15
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.408580.393351-3.73%0.3001-26.55%0.0967✓0.91446k2022-09-15
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV61.16858.908-3.69%51.746-15.40%0.0032✓0.69365k2022-09-15
KSMKusamaHydration56.0754.0022-3.69%44.46-20.71%0.0001✓1.02645k2022-09-15
LSKLiskEthereum1.25351.2075-3.68%0.977095-22.05%0.0459✓0.8756k2022-09-15
ETHEthereumEthereum1,876.571,807.93-3.66%1,472.68-21.52%0.0471✗1.32534.1M2022-09-15
FISStafiEthereum0.45140.434897-3.66%0.3538-21.62%0.0398✓0.871922022-09-15
AMPAmpEthereum0.008280.007978-3.65%0.00541-34.66%0.2668✓0.641.6M2022-09-15
GLMGolemEthereum0.30010.289261-3.61%0.3312+10.36%0.3111✗0.9281k2022-09-15
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3620390.349328-3.51%0.28088-22.42%0.0190✓1.04962k2022-09-15
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.2711.2265-3.50%0.8579-32.50%0.1211✓1.241.1M2022-09-15
LUNATerraTerra 20.00009710.000093719-3.48%0.00025952+167.27%1.2005✗0.95336k2022-09-15
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash136.34131.6063-3.47%117.54-13.79%0.0973✗1.105.1M2022-09-15
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.031360.030279-3.45%0.02264-27.81%0.0431✓1.293,2032022-09-15
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.169550.163922-3.32%0.12968-23.52%0.0044✓1.25250k2022-09-15
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04260.041212-3.26%0.0355-16.67%0.0362✗0.9776k2022-09-15
CHRChromiaEthereum0.21130.204497-3.22%0.1557-26.31%0.0004✓1.421,3972022-09-15
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.56770.549958-3.13%0.4691-17.37%0.0533✗1.11388k2022-09-15
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0069370.006724-3.07%0.006336-8.66%0.0277✓0.4655k2022-09-15
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0246040.023851-3.06%0.020113-18.25%0.0160✓0.8113k2022-09-15
LTCLitecoinLitecoin61.3359.4678-3.04%56.34-8.14%0.1407✗1.0213.5M2022-09-15
STORJStorjEthereum0.692520.671746-3.00%0.48387-30.13%0.0818✓1.2951k2022-09-15
C98Coin98Ethereum0.50470.48985-2.94%0.3922-22.29%0.0050✓1.1460k2022-09-15
PHAPHALAEthereum0.1230.119429-2.90%0.0978-20.49%0.0550✓0.764,2082022-09-15
FORTFortaEthereum0.30190.293396-2.82%0.2059-31.80%0.1485✓1.07178k2022-09-15
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04450.043248-2.81%0.0367-17.53%0.0103✓0.9111k2022-09-15
NANOnanopayBase1.02260.994682-2.73%0.788148-22.93%0.0912✓0.7477k2022-09-15
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.870.846382-2.71%0.593-31.84%0.0842✓1.424.6M2022-09-15
XVSVenusEthereum5.965.7986-2.71%4.47-25.00%0.0607✓1.041.5M2022-09-15
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.046810.045552-2.69%0.03582-23.48%0.0886✓0.792,5822022-09-15
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.025390.024722-2.63%0.02027-20.17%0.0348✓0.86271k2022-09-15
SCSiacoinnative0.004760.004635-2.63%0.00375-21.22%0.0173✓1.02158k2022-09-15
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9590.933809-2.63%0.883-7.92%0.1770✗1.221.3M2022-09-15
AVTAventusEthereum1.471.4316-2.61%1.41-4.08%0.0180✓-0.01124k2022-09-15
PROPropyEthereum0.810.788846-2.61%0.7-13.58%0.0431✓0.40105k2022-09-15
KCSKuCoinnative10.3910.1223-2.58%9.109-12.33%0.0814✗0.982.0M2022-09-15
AAVEAaveEthereum109.79107.0637-2.48%78.51-28.49%0.0171✓1.536.4M2022-09-15
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.18830.184203-2.18%0.15985-15.11%0.2855✗2.236712022-09-15
WOOWOOEthereum0.2070.202911-1.98%0.1448-30.05%0.1345✓1.061,7402022-09-15
BTTBitTorrentEthereum0.0000019.80e-7-1.97%8.30e-7-17.00%0.0204✓0.7621k2022-09-15
SUNSun TokenTron0.0067670.006643-1.83%0.005941-12.21%0.0236✗0.713,2222022-09-15
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26120.257166-1.54%0.1245-52.34%0.7229✓0.0159k2022-09-15
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.25075.1706-1.53%4.8786-7.09%0.0321✓0.14225k2022-09-15
GTGateEthereum4.89324.8207-1.48%4.1854-14.46%0.0031✓0.72912k2022-09-15
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017530.017286-1.39%0.01216-30.63%0.1997✓0.79153k2022-09-15
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.10690.105603-1.21%0.0912-14.69%0.0473✗1.0110k2022-09-15
TRXTRONTron0.0697640.069757-0.01%0.061091-12.43%0.0160✓0.61182k2022-09-15
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.