8=======>

2022-08-14 · +30d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 187 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0206
186 of 187 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-3.14%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
68.8%
in alpha space · 90.2% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-17.03%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (187 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
TRBTellor TributesEthereum39.2734.9116-11.10%15.2-61.29%0.6241✓1.111.7M2022-09-13
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000016880.000015017-11.04%0.00001209-28.38%0.0374✓0.96679k2022-09-13
AUCTIONBounceEthereum10.269.1501-10.82%6.97-32.07%0.0642✓1.11638k2022-09-13
OPTIMOptimism1.441.2899-10.43%1.182-17.92%0.2706✗1.923.7M2022-09-13
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.978.0704-10.03%8.75-2.45%0.1022✓0.111.8M2022-09-13
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,226.8310,147.40-9.61%9,017.07-19.68%0.1306✗1.336.5M2022-09-13
CELLCellframeEthereum0.41180.372445-9.56%0.298-27.63%0.0167✓1.10100k2022-09-13
NMRNumeraireEthereum21.2419.2395-9.42%16.8-20.90%0.0058✓0.702.2M2022-09-13
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.08090.073365-9.31%0.059-27.07%0.0040✓1.151.4M2022-09-13
ETCEthereum Classicnative41.5737.8103-9.04%35.29-15.11%0.1893✗1.3816.5M2022-09-13
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.1872.0028-8.42%1.41-35.53%0.1376✓1.14169k2022-09-13
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.45881.338-8.28%1.2429-14.80%0.1130✗1.001.0M2022-09-13
METISMetisEthereum43.2639.7426-8.13%27.9-35.51%0.0106✓1.95385k2022-09-13
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.9325.4598-7.96%12.092+103.84%0.8348✗0.211.1M2022-09-13
CHZChilizEthereum0.18110.167014-7.78%0.1934+6.79%0.3066✗0.861.1M2022-09-13
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.424.9991-7.77%5.72+5.54%0.1850✗0.272.0M2022-09-13
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.092810.085636-7.73%0.05951-35.88%0.1368✓1.222.2M2022-09-13
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.085720.079186-7.62%0.06913-19.35%0.0917✓0.241.1M2022-09-13
QTUMQtumQtum4.19063.8717-7.61%3.0233-27.86%0.0605✓1.0053k2022-09-13
FLOWFlownative2.8322.6198-7.49%1.864-34.18%0.1023✓1.27754k2022-09-13
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.062.8354-7.34%2.03-33.66%0.0961✓1.27244k2022-09-13
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.53783.2807-7.27%7.2349+104.50%0.8524✗0.331.6M2022-09-13
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.12750.118284-7.23%0.1104-13.41%0.0955✗0.88220k2022-09-13
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.8213.5471-7.17%2.719-28.84%0.0310✓1.595.3M2022-09-13
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.064.7013-7.09%4.5-11.07%0.0306✓0.401.3M2022-09-13
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.69323.4318-7.08%6.58+78.17%0.7357✗0.451.9M2022-09-13
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.9391.8032-7.00%1.455-24.96%0.0002✓1.15203k2022-09-13
QNTQuantEthereum118.61110.3073-7.00%97.87-17.49%0.0425✓0.873.8M2022-09-13
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.2071.1246-6.83%–pending––1.1013k2022-09-13
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.029260.027273-6.79%0.02043-30.18%0.1020✓1.0014.3M2022-09-13
RADRadworksEthereum2.552.3768-6.79%2.32-9.02%0.1496✗0.93636k2022-09-13
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.2357.678-6.76%5.871-28.71%0.1073✓0.868.3M2022-09-13
STXStacksnative0.49170.459714-6.51%0.3497-28.88%0.0623✓1.13808k2022-09-13
UNIUniswapEthereum8.8828.3145-6.39%6.034-32.06%0.0752✓1.3110.0M2022-09-13
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.048790.045707-6.32%0.03367-30.99%0.1154✓1.0220k2022-09-13
RARESuperRareEthereum0.28540.267401-6.31%0.1898-33.50%0.1560✓1.00108k2022-09-13
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.9443.6955-6.30%4.212+6.80%0.2922✗0.86124k2022-09-13
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.1543.8929-6.29%4.082-1.73%0.1088✗0.331.7M2022-09-13
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.5313.6207-6.26%14.53+0.00%0.2941✗1.232.6M2022-09-13
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum18.5617.3987-6.26%13.18-28.99%0.0556✓1.191.6M2022-09-13
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.38921.3026-6.23%1.0525-24.24%0.0536✓1.436.4M2022-09-13
FISStafiEthereum0.49050.460048-6.21%0.35-28.64%0.1141✓0.851382022-09-13
APEApeCoinEthereum6.3685.9734-6.20%5.136-19.35%0.1021✗1.3612.8M2022-09-13
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008650.008127-6.04%0.00796-7.98%0.1886✗1.12463k2022-09-13
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5340.502333-5.93%0.434-18.73%0.0414✓1.0014k2022-09-13
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.175.8055-5.91%6.47+4.86%0.1715✗0.341.0M2022-09-13
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche28.1926.568-5.75%18.87-33.06%0.0850✓1.3830.5M2022-09-13
XEMNEMnative0.0538060.050713-5.75%0.042163-21.64%0.0102✓0.9343k2022-09-13
SKLSKALEEthereum0.0670.063219-5.64%0.0441-34.18%0.1562✓1.09877k2022-09-13
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.0017.552-5.61%6.4-20.01%0.0254✓1.025.5M2022-09-13
MINAMina Protocolnative0.8870.837512-5.58%0.61-31.23%0.1376✓0.96280k2022-09-13
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.8653.65-5.56%3.055-20.96%0.0466✓0.701.1M2022-09-13
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.9558.4601-5.53%7.07-21.05%0.0194✓1.0713.7M2022-09-13
GALAGALAEthereum0.07030.066419-5.52%0.0479-31.86%0.1268✓1.07225k2022-09-13
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.3546.0038-5.51%6.134-3.46%0.0407✓0.103.5M2022-09-13
HIVEHivenative0.62130.587157-5.50%0.5504-11.41%0.1200✗0.992.4M2022-09-13
FTTFTXEthereum30.8429.1452-5.50%25.89-16.05%0.0559✓0.939.8M2022-09-13
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.16082.9884-5.46%4.1321+30.73%0.4187✗0.511.3M2022-09-13
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.51990.491731-5.42%0.3105-40.28%0.2119✓1.33213k2022-09-13
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0014320.001354-5.41%0.001236-13.64%0.0693✗0.861.5M2022-09-13
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.7530.712385-5.39%0.449-40.37%0.2313✓1.232,7912022-09-13
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6990.662384-5.24%0.493-29.47%0.0705✓1.20115k2022-09-13
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.14770.140062-5.17%0.1963+32.90%0.5415✗1.0946k2022-09-13
ADACardanoCardano0.57010.540873-5.13%0.4637-18.66%0.0439✓1.0642.0M2022-09-13
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.36420.345552-5.12%0.2966-18.56%0.0279✓0.978.3M2022-09-13
DODODODOEthereum0.1710.162273-5.10%0.1253-26.73%0.0704✓1.012.6M2022-09-13
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.8082.6649-5.10%1.785-36.43%0.0741✓1.75144k2022-09-13
UOSUltraEthereum0.376550.357489-5.06%0.42001+11.54%0.3253✗0.88439k2022-09-13
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.13930.132255-5.06%0.1082-22.33%0.0075✓1.123.9M2022-09-13
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4451.3721-5.04%1.152-20.28%0.0147✓1.022.6M2022-09-13
STEEMSteemnative0.27230.258689-5.00%0.2161-20.64%0.0067✓0.93551k2022-09-13
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05410.051427-4.94%0.0452-16.45%0.0560✗0.99237k2022-09-13
LINKChainlinkEthereum8.778.3412-4.89%7.025-19.90%0.0352✓1.1119.3M2022-09-13
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.47930.456034-4.85%0.4008-16.38%0.1181✗1.32242k2022-09-13
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.58811.0259-4.85%13.897+19.93%0.4497✗1.1713.2M2022-09-13
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0156770.014918-4.84%0.012152-22.49%0.0842✓0.652.1M2022-09-13
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.16410.156162-4.84%0.1243-24.25%0.1030✓0.674.4M2022-09-13
ORCAOrcaSolana1.00190.953555-4.83%0.8463-15.53%0.1765✗1.58296k2022-09-13
API3Api3Ethereum2.3872.2721-4.81%1.68-29.62%0.1202✓0.97607k2022-09-13
ELAElastosEthereum2.0391.9414-4.79%1.553-23.84%0.0369✓1.00189k2022-09-13
XLMStellarStellar0.1256460.119718-4.72%0.104654-16.71%0.0347✓0.917.2M2022-09-13
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.8390.799674-4.69%0.595-29.08%0.1215✓0.93370k2022-09-13
IMXImmutableEthereum1.09621.0457-4.61%0.8066-26.42%0.0323✓1.222.3M2022-09-13
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.004190.003999-4.57%0.002827-32.53%0.1968✓0.801.0M2022-09-13
XVGVergenative0.004030.003847-4.53%0.00337-16.38%0.0687✗1.08517k2022-09-13
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0021020.002007-4.52%0.001519-27.74%0.0919✓1.001.0M2022-09-13
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.1023.9171-4.51%4.142+0.98%0.1004✗0.242.2M2022-09-13
BTCBitcoinBitcoin24,316.7123,221.96-4.50%20,174.78-17.03%0.0461✓1.00472.7M2022-09-13
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07210.06888-4.47%0.0572-20.67%0.0300✓0.83119k2022-09-13
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.64811.5748-4.45%1.9586+18.84%0.4548✗1.27540k2022-09-13
MOVRMoonriverBase16.201915.4853-4.42%11.9339-26.34%0.0758✓0.9959k2022-09-13
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.31222.211-4.38%1.7866-22.73%0.0122✓1.0838k2022-09-13
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2250.215232-4.34%0.16284-27.63%0.0520✓1.22657k2022-09-13
BTTCBTTC0.000001019.66e-7-4.33%8.60e-7-14.85%0.0284✓0.785.7M2022-09-13
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0017920.001715-4.29%0.001531-14.56%0.0280✓0.769,0932022-09-13
BRISEBitgertEthereum4.26e-74.07e-7-4.25%6.96e-7+63.55%0.6629✗0.68150k2022-09-13
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.125.8618-4.22%6.12+0.00%0.1071✗0.341.4M2022-09-13
SOLSolanaSolana44.8943.004-4.20%33.01-26.46%0.0382✓1.2178.8M2022-09-13
GMTGMTEthereum0.9810.940045-4.17%0.6606-32.66%0.0805✓1.46407k2022-09-13
MANADecentralandEthereum1.07351.0289-4.16%0.73147-31.86%0.1550✓1.00574k2022-09-13
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08540.081874-4.13%0.0594-30.44%0.1545✓0.89130k2022-09-13
COTICOTIEthereum0.11660.111834-4.09%0.0924-20.75%0.0040✓1.04499k2022-09-13
DKAdKargoEthereum0.055380.053144-4.04%0.04273-22.84%0.0820✓0.7316k2022-09-13
XMRMoneroMonero168.04161.2563-4.04%145.44-13.45%0.0825✗0.991.2M2022-09-13
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.08170.078405-4.03%0.059635-27.01%0.0816✓1.031.8M2022-09-13
BORABORAKlay Token0.367520.352698-4.03%0.26692-27.37%0.0751✓1.0913k2022-09-13
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.444750.426916-4.01%0.32139-27.74%0.0950✓1.01109k2022-09-13
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.12121.0763-4.00%1.0223-8.82%0.0760✗0.683.9M2022-09-13
BFCBifrostEthereum0.08830.084771-4.00%0.0679-23.10%0.0108✓1.1329k2022-09-13
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.34670.332905-3.98%0.2679-22.73%0.0266✓1.023.6M2022-09-13
DASHDashDash55.0852.9016-3.95%43.77-20.53%0.0063✓0.98574k2022-09-13
SUSHISushiEthereum1.481.4215-3.95%1.1703-20.93%0.0476✗1.301.2M2022-09-13
LCXLCXEthereum0.07650.07348-3.95%0.0496-35.16%0.1653✓1.22350k2022-09-13
XECeCashnative0.000046140.000044322-3.94%0.00004395-4.75%0.1601✗0.902.1M2022-09-13
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9320.895384-3.93%0.921-1.18%0.1262✗0.524.4M2022-09-13
CVCCivicEthereum0.17160.164861-3.93%0.1392-18.88%0.0230✓1.03131k2022-09-13
CBKCobakEthereum1.20581.1589-3.89%0.82473-31.60%0.1594✓0.9712k2022-09-13
ETHEthereumEthereum1,935.851,860.62-3.89%1,574.71-18.66%0.0805✗1.32522.8M2022-09-13
CTSICartesiEthereum0.18420.17707-3.87%0.1444-21.61%0.0018✓1.10586k2022-09-13
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.17730.170479-3.85%0.13476-23.99%0.0040✓1.28243k2022-09-13
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12840.123461-3.85%0.1076-16.20%0.0326✓0.91328k2022-09-13
LRCLoopringEthereum0.48370.465135-3.84%0.3308-31.61%0.1298✓1.13190k2022-09-13
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.7732.6667-3.83%2.022-27.08%0.0571✓1.1862k2022-09-13
COMPCompoundEthereum63.0460.6362-3.81%55.83-11.44%0.1558✗1.2835k2022-09-13
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010370.00998-3.76%0.00851-17.94%0.0033✓0.845.6M2022-09-13
ZENHorizenBase20.1419.3834-3.76%14.84-26.32%0.0461✓1.18124k2022-09-13
KSMKusamaHydration58.8756.6731-3.73%46.38-21.22%0.0066✓1.04524k2022-09-13
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.70.674924-3.58%0.52-25.71%0.0195✓1.29137k2022-09-13
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3411.2932-3.57%0.8796-34.41%0.1551✓1.231.1M2022-09-13
LUNATerraTerra 20.000100140.0000966-3.53%0.00035806+257.56%1.5004✗1.02336k2022-09-13
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.60940.588012-3.51%0.4865-20.17%0.0472✓0.76784k2022-09-13
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.982.8768-3.46%1.81-39.26%0.3655✓0.52102k2022-09-13
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0198460.019162-3.45%0.024692+24.42%0.2860✗0.17230k2022-09-13
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum24,209.7023,394.46-3.37%20,237.10-16.41%0.0358✗0.977,5932022-09-13
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash139.45134.7633-3.36%117.6-15.67%0.0729✗1.125.1M2022-09-13
GITCOINGITCOIN3.0772.974-3.35%2.0329-33.93%0.1307✓1.3413k2022-09-13
XVSVenusEthereum6.426.2082-3.30%4.66-27.41%0.0894✓1.061.4M2022-09-13
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.081150.078494-3.27%0.06468-20.30%0.0498✓0.778802022-09-13
DIADIAEthereum0.492650.476534-3.27%0.38116-22.63%0.1357✓0.4770k2022-09-13
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.26930.260514-3.26%0.2085-22.58%0.0356✓1.0091k2022-09-13
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.8111.4258-3.25%9.73-17.61%0.0523✗1.14305k2022-09-13
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV62.39160.3636-3.25%51.566-17.35%0.0214✓0.73354k2022-09-13
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3741170.362139-3.20%0.289387-22.65%0.0228✓1.08916k2022-09-13
XYMSymbolnative0.0564530.054646-3.20%0.03987-29.37%0.2209✓0.5136k2022-09-13
LSKLiskEthereum1.26061.2207-3.16%1.0027-20.45%0.0258✓0.9256k2022-09-13
XTZTezosTezos1.82261.7664-3.08%1.5348-15.79%0.0709✗1.13467k2022-09-13
PHAPHALAEthereum0.13080.126772-3.08%0.0968-25.99%0.1213✓0.793,9702022-09-13
LTCLitecoinLitecoin63.1761.2313-3.07%59.1-6.44%0.1602✗1.0513.6M2022-09-13
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.59470.57664-3.04%0.4625-22.23%0.0109✓1.12365k2022-09-13
BANDBandEthereum1.7321.6797-3.02%1.244-28.18%0.0526✓1.33460k2022-09-13
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3270.317261-2.98%0.263-19.57%0.0364✓0.811.1M2022-09-13
STORJStorjEthereum0.710150.689807-2.86%0.50798-28.47%0.0570✓1.3349k2022-09-13
ZECZcashZcash73.7171.6042-2.86%58.92-20.07%0.0201✓1.152.3M2022-09-13
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04280.041579-2.85%0.0361-15.65%0.0481✗1.0176k2022-09-13
UMAUMAEthereum3.4463.3491-2.81%2.618-24.03%0.0846✓0.87640k2022-09-13
CHRChromiaEthereum0.21120.205269-2.81%0.165-21.88%0.0476✗1.421,3132022-09-13
AMPAmpEthereum0.008250.008019-2.80%0.00563-31.76%0.2334✓0.641.6M2022-09-13
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.404750.393426-2.80%0.30966-23.49%0.0593✓0.96479k2022-09-13
GLMGolemEthereum0.28680.27906-2.70%0.3444+20.08%0.3835✗0.9370k2022-09-13
WOOWOOEthereum0.22840.22226-2.69%0.1561-31.65%0.1494✓1.091,7402022-09-13
FORTFortaEthereum0.29960.291603-2.67%0.2103-29.81%0.1244✓1.08189k2022-09-13
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.25550.248752-2.64%0.199-22.11%0.0288✗1.35132k2022-09-13
KCSKuCoinnative10.64610.3875-2.43%9.254-13.08%0.0668✗0.982.0M2022-09-13
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.19170.187064-2.42%0.16738-12.69%0.3061✗2.236712022-09-13
C98Coin98Ethereum0.53440.521591-2.40%0.4014-24.89%0.0502✓1.1359k2022-09-13
AVTAventusEthereum1.51.4646-2.36%1.41-6.00%0.0365✓0.01132k2022-09-13
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.032290.031541-2.32%0.02317-28.24%0.0667✓1.292,9912022-09-13
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.025730.025139-2.30%0.02007-22.00%0.0660✓0.85209k2022-09-13
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0255820.025002-2.27%0.020191-21.07%0.0560✓0.8413k2022-09-13
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.751.7105-2.26%1.3-25.71%0.0798✓1.04190k2022-09-13
AAVEAaveEthereum107.44105.02-2.25%82.97-22.78%0.0561✗1.567.1M2022-09-13
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04720.046164-2.19%0.0403-14.62%0.0446✗0.9711k2022-09-13
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8740.856143-2.04%0.622-28.83%0.0461✓1.464.4M2022-09-13
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.049420.04857-1.72%0.03648-26.18%0.1345✓0.812,5822022-09-13
NEXONEXOEthereum1.0080.991682-1.62%0.913-9.42%0.1444✗1.221.3M2022-09-13
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.006720.006619-1.50%0.006216-7.50%0.0208✗0.4555k2022-09-13
GTGateEthereum5.05494.9813-1.46%4.1432-18.04%0.0479✓0.73882k2022-09-13
BTTBitTorrentEthereum0.000001019.96e-7-1.42%8.70e-7-13.86%0.0087✓0.7721k2022-09-13
PROPropyEthereum0.810.798807-1.38%0.71-12.35%0.0406✓0.41105k2022-09-13
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09950.098181-1.33%0.0848-14.77%0.0466✗1.039,7202022-09-13
SCSiacoinnative0.004990.004924-1.32%0.00381-23.65%0.0583✓1.06145k2022-09-13
NANOnanopayBase1.05681.0453-1.08%0.846269-19.92%0.0676✓0.7777k2022-09-13
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.12745.0741-1.04%4.9699-3.07%0.0043✓0.13233k2022-09-13
SUNSun TokenTron0.0067130.00665-0.94%0.005899-12.12%0.0145✗0.723,2222022-09-13
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017620.017497-0.70%0.01252-28.94%0.2022✓0.71155k2022-09-13
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26110.260574-0.20%0.1365-47.72%0.6441✓0.0155k2022-09-13
TRXTRONTron0.0703490.070502+0.22%0.060682-13.74%0.0366✗0.61192k2022-09-13
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.