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2022-08-09 · +30d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 185 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0821
184 of 185 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+5.77%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
46.2%
in alpha space · 84.8% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-16.57%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (185 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.02185.0156-0.12%4.9672-1.09%0.0165✗0.14367k2022-09-08
TRXTRONTron0.0684650.068105-0.53%0.061193-10.62%0.0024✓0.60216k2022-09-08
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0061810.006126-0.89%0.006191+0.16%0.1006✗0.5050k2022-09-08
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.01750.017293-1.18%0.01167-33.31%0.2682✓0.69167k2022-09-08
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26130.257998-1.26%0.1397-46.54%0.6112✓0.0135k2022-09-08
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.29e-73.25e-7-1.31%7.48e-7+127.10%0.9569✗0.68150k2022-09-08
PROPropyEthereum0.780.767863-1.56%0.73-6.41%0.0341✗0.4783k2022-09-08
NEXONEXOEthereum0.810.797362-1.56%0.894+10.37%0.3290✗1.18968k2022-09-08
GTGateEthereum4.77384.6984-1.58%4.0459-15.25%0.0206✓0.71887k2022-09-08
SUNSun TokenTron0.0064850.006376-1.69%0.005905-8.94%0.0550✗0.734,4282022-09-08
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.031790.031185-1.90%0.02409-24.22%0.0229✓1.301,7322022-09-08
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.08250.080924-1.91%0.06606-19.93%0.0629✓0.779072022-09-08
DKAdKargoEthereum0.050770.049789-1.93%0.04438-12.59%0.0241✗0.7717k2022-09-08
C98Coin98Ethereum0.51710.506973-1.96%0.3993-22.78%0.0341✓1.1350k2022-09-08
XVSVenusEthereum6.516.3679-2.18%4.8-26.27%0.0800✓1.121.4M2022-09-08
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.026320.02574-2.20%0.02088-20.67%0.0587✓0.83159k2022-09-08
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0228290.022301-2.31%0.020726-9.21%0.0812✗0.8512k2022-09-08
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.70e-79.47e-7-2.35%8.90e-7-8.25%0.0698✗0.7322k2022-09-08
KCSKuCoinnative10.53610.2874-2.36%9.277-11.95%0.0812✗1.021.9M2022-09-08
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09770.095311-2.45%0.0926-5.22%0.1532✗1.017,6272022-09-08
ZECZcashZcash79.8177.8186-2.50%61.13-23.41%0.0203✓1.222.0M2022-09-08
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.711.6659-2.58%1.4-18.13%0.0188✓1.06140k2022-09-08
WOOWOOEthereum0.2360.229833-2.61%0.1562-33.81%0.1826✓1.121,5612022-09-08
LSKLiskEthereum1.16891.1378-2.66%1.0517-10.03%0.0931✗0.9552k2022-09-08
AAVEAaveEthereum97.9695.3272-2.69%88.29-9.87%0.2042✗1.558.2M2022-09-08
XYMSymbolnative0.0552930.053795-2.71%0.040974-25.90%0.1789✓0.5229k2022-09-08
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8560.832798-2.71%0.643-24.88%0.0111✓1.494.4M2022-09-08
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04750.046175-2.79%0.0351-26.11%0.0976✓0.9810k2022-09-08
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,209.6022,549.03-2.85%19,295.10-16.87%0.0197✓0.9712k2022-09-08
CTKShentuOsmosis1.0180.988725-2.88%1.038+1.96%0.1472✗0.543.7M2022-09-08
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04280.041557-2.90%0.0382-10.75%0.1064✗1.0577k2022-09-08
NANOnanopayBase1.03761.0073-2.92%0.875349-15.64%0.0046✓0.8056k2022-09-08
CHRChromiaEthereum0.21830.211847-2.96%0.1767-19.06%0.0760✗1.421,2802022-09-08
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.044640.043313-2.97%0.03746-16.08%0.0066✓0.842,3482022-09-08
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.5392.4631-2.99%4.722+85.98%0.8033✗0.8486k2022-09-08
SCSiacoinnative0.004510.004369-3.13%0.00399-11.53%0.1120✗1.1299k2022-09-08
LTCLitecoinLitecoin59.1857.3248-3.13%57.99-2.01%0.2018✗1.0513.7M2022-09-08
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.62340.60316-3.25%0.5067-18.72%0.0118✓0.90755k2022-09-08
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.405040.391797-3.27%0.32661-19.36%0.0087✓1.05481k2022-09-08
GLMGolemEthereum0.26010.251479-3.31%0.3012+15.80%0.3582✗0.9865k2022-09-08
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.22610.218559-3.34%0.2042-9.69%0.1842✗1.3997k2022-09-08
LRCLoopringEthereum0.44990.434774-3.36%0.3426-23.85%0.0261✓1.17165k2022-09-08
GITCOINGITCOIN2.89562.7958-3.45%2.2544-22.14%0.0264✓1.3313k2022-09-08
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.59180.571376-3.45%0.4736-19.97%0.0164✓1.13318k2022-09-08
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3441840.332288-3.46%0.305298-11.30%0.1181✗1.12875k2022-09-08
CVCCivicEthereum0.15480.149443-3.46%0.1402-9.43%0.1304✗1.07110k2022-09-08
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.3610.9665-3.46%9.92-12.68%0.1060✗1.14306k2022-09-08
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009870.009525-3.50%0.00886-10.23%0.0610✗0.745.3M2022-09-08
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash134.7129.9727-3.51%126.62-6.00%0.1778✗1.135.0M2022-09-08
AMPAmpEthereum0.008250.007955-3.57%0.00567-31.27%0.2187✓0.661.6M2022-09-08
LCXLCXEthereum0.05890.056792-3.58%0.0517-12.22%0.1332✗1.25339k2022-09-08
ZENHorizenBase19.9219.2044-3.59%15.53-22.04%0.0031✓1.19118k2022-09-08
XTZTezosTezos1.80571.7405-3.61%1.5877-12.07%0.1157✗1.15530k2022-09-08
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.25120.241921-3.69%0.2135-15.01%0.0625✗1.0491k2022-09-08
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV59.71957.5072-3.70%53.27-10.80%0.0543✗0.72321k2022-09-08
FORTFortaEthereum0.30380.292537-3.71%0.2268-25.35%0.0575✓1.09294k2022-09-08
KSMKusamaHydration60.2658.0127-3.73%50.26-16.59%0.0496✗1.07489k2022-09-08
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.872.7615-3.78%1.84-35.89%0.3150✓0.50110k2022-09-08
MANADecentralandEthereum1.01980.980841-3.82%0.77284-24.21%0.0387✓1.10543k2022-09-08
ETHEthereumEthereum1,703.351,638.20-3.82%1,635.73-3.97%0.2345✗1.30453.9M2022-09-08
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.190920.183515-3.88%0.15778-17.36%0.2581✗2.261,0642022-09-08
PHAPHALAEthereum0.1270.122036-3.91%0.0993-21.81%0.0507✓0.864,5002022-09-08
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.031560.030305-3.98%0.03515+11.38%0.3365✗1.0414k2022-09-08
XECeCashnative0.00004340.00004167-3.99%0.00004219-2.79%0.1682✗0.861.9M2022-09-08
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12320.118265-4.01%0.1109-9.98%0.0950✗0.88370k2022-09-08
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0201610.019352-4.01%0.024425+21.15%0.2632✗0.17215k2022-09-08
UMAUMAEthereum2.9452.8264-4.03%2.656-9.81%0.0945✗0.87585k2022-09-08
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.32860.315211-4.07%0.2794-14.97%0.0680✗1.043.5M2022-09-08
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.10271.0575-4.10%0.9741-11.66%0.0463✗0.714.4M2022-09-08
COTICOTIEthereum0.11290.108265-4.11%0.0972-13.91%0.0862✗1.07566k2022-09-08
XMRMoneroMonero158.78152.2442-4.12%152.39-4.02%0.1869✗1.031.2M2022-09-08
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.29562.2009-4.12%1.851-19.37%0.0246✓1.0938k2022-09-08
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3280.314439-4.13%0.263-19.82%0.0258✓0.841.1M2022-09-08
BORABORAKlay Token0.355090.340274-4.17%0.27969-21.23%0.0098✓1.1413k2022-09-08
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.173820.166538-4.19%0.13663-21.40%0.0420✓1.32216k2022-09-08
STORJStorjEthereum0.665210.637341-4.19%0.52967-20.38%0.0642✗1.3857k2022-09-08
ELAElastosEthereum2.1012.0128-4.20%1.685-19.80%0.0083✓1.03261k2022-09-08
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.52581.4617-4.20%1.7721+16.14%0.4284✗1.30698k2022-09-08
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.0133.8441-4.21%4.29+6.90%0.1593✗0.272.2M2022-09-08
MOVRMoonriverBase17.038916.3208-4.21%12.7985-24.89%0.0567✓1.0358k2022-09-08
CBKCobakEthereum1.10541.0583-4.25%0.85429-22.71%0.0362✓0.9812k2022-09-08
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.0447.7005-4.27%5.865-27.09%0.1125✓0.885.7M2022-09-08
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0690280.06607-4.29%0.060978-11.66%0.1075✗1.041.6M2022-09-08
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.2941.2384-4.30%0.9148-29.30%0.0784✓1.241.1M2022-09-08
SOLSolanaSolana40.3538.6163-4.30%33.62-16.68%0.0877✗1.2579.4M2022-09-08
IMXImmutableEthereum1.10741.0596-4.32%0.8184-26.10%0.0304✓1.262.0M2022-09-08
AVTAventusEthereum1.531.4637-4.33%1.42-7.19%0.0167✓0.07173k2022-09-08
CTSICartesiEthereum0.16970.162341-4.34%0.1491-12.14%0.1153✗1.11548k2022-09-08
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0016570.001585-4.37%0.00152-8.27%0.1031✗0.808,9342022-09-08
GALAGALAEthereum0.05990.05725-4.42%0.049-18.20%0.0476✗1.12185k2022-09-08
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.7442.6211-4.48%2.072-24.49%0.0149✓1.2254k2022-09-08
XLMStellarStellar0.1220430.116546-4.50%0.104355-14.49%0.0580✗0.937.1M2022-09-08
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,158.2722,111.48-4.52%19,321.87-16.57%0.0463✗1.00455.4M2022-09-08
SUSHISushiEthereum1.431.3652-4.53%1.3273-7.18%0.2056✗1.291.2M2022-09-08
DASHDashDash52.9750.5703-4.53%46.28-12.63%0.0934✗1.00552k2022-09-08
LUNATerraTerra 20.000096780.000092376-4.55%0.00051629+433.47%1.8332✗0.62421k2022-09-08
BFCBifrostEthereum0.085980.082061-4.56%0.07073-17.74%0.0563✗1.1329k2022-09-08
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07120.067944-4.57%0.0555-22.05%0.0561✓0.81151k2022-09-08
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012050.000011494-4.61%0.00001223+1.49%0.2406✗0.99864k2022-09-08
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.435250.41509-4.63%0.33034-24.10%0.0400✓1.04124k2022-09-08
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7160.682835-4.63%0.501-30.03%0.0690✓1.33137k2022-09-08
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.7022.5753-4.69%1.843-31.79%0.0190✓1.74131k2022-09-08
DIADIAEthereum0.481560.458709-4.75%0.37908-21.28%0.0973✓0.5268k2022-09-08
BTTCBTTC9.70e-79.24e-7-4.78%8.80e-7-9.28%0.0912✗0.776.0M2022-09-08
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.51630.491518-4.80%0.3149-39.01%0.2040✓1.33245k2022-09-08
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.83682.7006-4.80%4.474+57.71%0.6099✗0.581.2M2022-09-08
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2190.208473-4.81%0.17034-22.22%0.0241✓1.25716k2022-09-08
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13650.129933-4.81%0.1624+18.97%0.4236✗1.1155k2022-09-08
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0033560.003193-4.86%0.002728-18.71%0.0006✓0.87988k2022-09-08
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.34520.328372-4.87%0.3078-10.83%0.1131✗0.988.4M2022-09-08
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.8080.768573-4.88%0.638-21.04%0.0172✓0.93377k2022-09-08
ORCAOrcaSolana0.95310.906521-4.89%0.8317-12.74%0.2051✗1.61296k2022-09-08
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.515.2389-4.92%6.34+15.06%0.2551✗0.361.1M2022-09-08
GMTGMTEthereum0.9490.902274-4.92%0.6533-31.16%0.0511✓1.50469k2022-09-08
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.43170.410383-4.94%0.4045-6.30%0.2293✗1.35207k2022-09-08
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08810.083731-4.96%0.0599-32.01%0.1746✓0.89127k2022-09-08
COMPCompoundEthereum59.2456.2893-4.98%48.43-18.25%0.0810✗1.2835k2022-09-08
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.38910.8199-5.00%13.883+21.90%0.4706✗1.2214.4M2022-09-08
STEEMSteemnative0.25080.238171-5.04%0.2219-11.52%0.0990✗0.94681k2022-09-08
LINKChainlinkEthereum8.758.3068-5.07%7.407-15.35%0.0904✗1.1318.6M2022-09-08
XVGVergenative0.003680.003492-5.10%0.00316-14.13%0.1031✗1.12517k2022-09-08
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0153410.014557-5.11%0.012974-15.43%0.0128✓0.712.1M2022-09-08
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3651.2951-5.12%1.188-12.97%0.1127✗1.102.5M2022-09-08
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.002140.00203-5.13%0.001463-31.64%0.1465✓1.001.2M2022-09-08
MINAMina Protocolnative0.9540.904552-5.18%0.652-31.66%0.1453✓1.01263k2022-09-08
ADACardanoCardano0.5130.486288-5.21%0.479-6.63%0.1827✗1.0940.5M2022-09-08
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.5644.3248-5.24%12.416+172.04%1.0994✗0.251.1M2022-09-08
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.13960.132176-5.32%0.1043-25.29%0.0198✓1.203.1M2022-09-08
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.670.634049-5.37%0.525-21.64%0.0370✓1.2591k2022-09-08
CHZChilizEthereum0.14570.13786-5.38%0.187+28.35%0.4668✗0.891.1M2022-09-08
HIVEHivenative0.60670.573988-5.39%0.5518-9.05%0.1483✗1.042.4M2022-09-08
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.4616.1124-5.40%6.112-5.40%0.0330✓0.183.4M2022-09-08
BANDBandEthereum1.7671.668-5.60%1.273-27.96%0.0266✓1.35383k2022-09-08
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.8257.3846-5.63%6.478-17.21%0.0594✗1.055.9M2022-09-08
API3Api3Ethereum1.961.8493-5.65%1.763-10.05%0.1312✗0.99588k2022-09-08
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.7630.719511-5.70%0.469-38.53%0.2002✓1.262,7022022-09-08
UOSUltraEthereum0.34890.328996-5.70%0.38118+9.25%0.3103✗0.90396k2022-09-08
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.9028.3897-5.76%7.389-17.00%0.0725✗1.1011.8M2022-09-08
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.855.5125-5.77%6.37+8.89%0.2116✗0.37894k2022-09-08
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05380.050685-5.79%0.0465-13.57%0.1030✗1.04248k2022-09-08
FTTFTXEthereum29.8828.1391-5.83%26.05-12.82%0.0901✗0.929.4M2022-09-08
DODODODOEthereum0.17140.161259-5.92%0.1249-27.13%0.0664✓1.042.8M2022-09-08
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche27.4325.8015-5.94%19.14-30.22%0.0442✓1.4030.7M2022-09-08
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.17650.165977-5.96%0.131-25.78%0.1074✓0.713.9M2022-09-08
SKLSKALEEthereum0.06420.060359-5.98%0.0483-24.77%0.0189✓1.13827k2022-09-08
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.5714.6354-6.00%15.71+0.90%0.2898✗1.212.6M2022-09-08
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.08110.076176-6.07%0.0618-23.80%0.0043✓1.131.4M2022-09-08
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum17.5816.5025-6.13%13.85-21.22%0.0497✓1.241.4M2022-09-08
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008710.008165-6.26%0.00743-14.70%0.1115✗1.14457k2022-09-08
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.29261.2115-6.28%1.1279-12.74%0.1891✗1.446.8M2022-09-08
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.102850.096354-6.32%0.06043-41.24%0.2330✓1.291.6M2022-09-08
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.28163.0712-6.41%6.8937+110.07%0.8999✗0.501.8M2022-09-08
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.9273.6724-6.48%4.056+3.28%0.1663✗0.371.6M2022-09-08
QTUMQtumQtum4.01453.7524-6.53%3.1692-21.06%0.0158✓1.0257k2022-09-08
XEMNEMnative0.0493070.046068-6.57%0.044321-10.11%0.1451✗1.0137k2022-09-08
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.06592.8643-6.58%7.6822+150.57%1.0550✗0.381.4M2022-09-08
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.264.912-6.62%5.32+1.14%0.1379✗0.322.1M2022-09-08
RADRadworksEthereum2.632.4546-6.67%2.6-1.14%0.2316✗0.96726k2022-09-08
STXStacksnative0.47780.445706-6.72%0.3621-24.22%0.0055✓1.18892k2022-09-08
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.8123.5417-7.09%2.931-23.11%0.1030✗1.615.2M2022-09-08
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5190.48179-7.17%0.418-19.46%0.0408✓1.0113k2022-09-08
APEApeCoinEthereum7.0246.5129-7.28%4.5-35.93%0.1172✓1.3911.9M2022-09-08
UNIUniswapEthereum8.4397.8219-7.31%6.173-26.85%0.0007✓1.319.9M2022-09-08
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.089460.082869-7.37%0.06787-24.13%0.1573✓0.231.1M2022-09-08
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.14511.0593-7.49%–pending––1.1013k2022-09-08
DEXEDeXeEthereum4.3874.0563-7.54%3.093-29.50%0.1317✓0.771.1M2022-09-08
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.032150.029678-7.69%0.0209-34.99%0.1647✓1.0313.9M2022-09-08
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.824.4476-7.73%4.54-5.81%0.0949✗0.411.3M2022-09-08
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.03820.955845-7.93%1.2129+16.83%0.4102✗0.95907k2022-09-08
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.3372.147-8.13%1.45-37.95%0.1826✓1.16172k2022-09-08
METISMetisEthereum42.6539.1587-8.19%29.13-31.70%0.0438✓1.88328k2022-09-08
FLOWFlownative2.9972.7508-8.22%1.956-34.73%0.1072✓1.29587k2022-09-08
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.892.6525-8.22%2.27-21.45%0.0768✓1.28227k2022-09-08
HIGHHighstreetEthereum2.0321.8623-8.35%1.415-30.36%0.0576✓1.20234k2022-09-08
ETCEthereum Classicnative36.433.32-8.46%37.1+1.92%0.3569✗1.3813.5M2022-09-08
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.517.7623-8.79%8.78+3.17%0.1540✗0.171.8M2022-09-08
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.13360.121714-8.90%0.13-2.69%0.2204✗0.85203k2022-09-08
QNTQuantEthereum125.81114.5988-8.91%101.92-18.99%0.0428✓0.884.2M2022-09-08
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0014790.00134-9.41%0.001335-9.74%0.1557✗0.881.3M2022-09-08
NMRNumeraireEthereum20.5718.6028-9.56%17.38-15.51%0.0620✓0.722.6M2022-09-08
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,188.0110,101.34-9.71%9,266.66-17.17%0.1558✗1.345.4M2022-09-08
AUCTIONBounceEthereum10.319.3083-9.72%7.37-28.52%0.0275✓1.14482k2022-09-08
CELLCellframeEthereum0.44530.399493-10.29%0.2984-32.99%0.0930✓1.1080k2022-09-08
OPTIMOptimism1.6181.4412-10.93%1.178-27.19%0.1524✗1.953.1M2022-09-08
TRBTellor TributesEthereum39.3534.3959-12.59%15.9-59.59%0.5511✓1.221.3M2022-09-08
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.