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2022-08-07 · +30d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1781
185 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+19.44%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
57.8%
in alpha space · 89.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-18.93%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.040570.034375-15.27%0.02171-46.49%0.2452✓1.02159k2022-09-06
CELLCellframeEthereum0.46930.411833-12.25%0.296-36.93%0.0924✓1.1380k2022-09-06
TRBTellor TributesEthereum32.4828.9499-10.87%15.93-50.95%0.2890✓1.471.1M2022-09-06
OPTIMOptimism1.9121.7087-10.63%1.095-42.73%0.0361✓1.953.1M2022-09-06
QNTQuantEthereum126.46113.6943-10.09%90.03-28.81%0.0403✓0.924.5M2022-09-06
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,438.5410,299.02-9.96%8,612.34-24.71%0.1164✗1.415.2M2022-09-06
NMRNumeraireEthereum22.1919.9972-9.88%16.78-24.38%0.0169✓0.762.6M2022-09-06
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.107270.097232-9.36%0.05773-46.18%0.2109✓1.481.2M2022-09-06
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.8296.2178-8.95%5.919-13.33%0.0417✓0.432.7M2022-09-06
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.372.1583-8.93%1.457-38.52%0.1202✓1.30160k2022-09-06
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.062.7877-8.90%2.1-31.37%0.0165✓1.43234k2022-09-06
METISMetisEthereum44.2240.4009-8.64%28.84-34.78%0.0558✓1.87293k2022-09-06
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.034360.031449-8.47%0.01917-44.21%0.2195✓1.3113.9M2022-09-06
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.04390.95565-8.45%1.0186-2.42%0.2923✗1.09933k2022-09-06
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.9981.8354-8.14%1.395-30.18%0.0143✓1.38234k2022-09-06
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.8110.745253-8.11%0.439-45.87%0.2361✓1.402,7022022-09-06
UNIUniswapEthereum8.7848.0816-8.00%5.829-33.64%0.0377✓1.389.9M2022-09-06
AUCTIONBounceEthereum10.039.2345-7.93%6.8-32.20%0.0243✓1.34385k2022-09-06
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.948.2333-7.90%8.6-3.80%0.1163✗0.351.8M2022-09-06
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.083.7603-7.84%2.791-31.59%0.0565✓1.695.2M2022-09-06
STXStacksnative0.49070.453024-7.68%0.3401-30.69%0.0324✓1.21808k2022-09-06
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.074.6841-7.61%4.37-13.81%0.0585✓0.611.3M2022-09-06
ETCEthereum Classicnative37.7134.8747-7.52%34.44-8.67%0.2875✗1.4313.0M2022-09-06
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5510.509634-7.51%0.399-27.59%0.0108✓1.1114k2022-09-06
APEApeCoinEthereum7.2086.6697-7.47%4.301-40.33%0.1039✓1.6011.9M2022-09-06
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.11241.0322-7.21%–pending––1.1013k2022-09-06
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.40241.3017-7.18%1.0359-26.13%0.0897✗1.526.4M2022-09-06
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07940.073924-6.90%0.0605-23.80%0.0374✓1.131.3M2022-09-06
FLOWFlownative2.6242.4456-6.80%1.772-32.47%0.0560✓1.27505k2022-09-06
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche27.926.0191-6.74%18.21-34.73%0.0307✓1.5529.2M2022-09-06
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.47363.2401-6.72%6.6193+90.56%0.8693✗0.741.7M2022-09-06
XEMNEMnative0.0515510.048099-6.70%0.041181-20.12%0.0726✗1.0937k2022-09-06
QTUMQtumQtum4.09193.818-6.70%2.9851-27.05%0.0194✓1.0853k2022-09-06
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum18.4917.259-6.66%13.11-29.10%0.0019✓1.301.4M2022-09-06
DEXEDeXeEthereum4.0123.7488-6.56%2.889-27.99%0.0832✓0.85976k2022-09-06
RADRadworksEthereum2.482.3173-6.56%2.26-8.87%0.2008✗1.08507k2022-09-06
API3Api3Ethereum2.0891.9527-6.52%1.597-23.55%0.0347✓1.12606k2022-09-06
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.21833.0086-6.52%7.2344+124.79%1.0110✗0.641.2M2022-09-06
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.009060.008477-6.43%0.00747-17.55%0.1287✗1.22421k2022-09-06
DODODODOEthereum0.18190.170263-6.40%0.1191-34.52%0.1066✓1.203.3M2022-09-06
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum16.8815.8041-6.37%14.19-15.94%0.1787✗1.372.6M2022-09-06
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.085320.079914-6.34%0.07402-13.24%0.0200✓0.271.1M2022-09-06
FTTFTXEthereum30.6728.7462-6.27%25.64-16.40%0.0855✗0.959.1M2022-09-06
SKLSKALEEthereum0.06430.060272-6.26%0.0453-29.55%0.0246✓1.24799k2022-09-06
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.1090.102316-6.13%0.1124+3.12%0.2548✗0.77163k2022-09-06
MOVRMoonriverBase18.297317.1856-6.08%12.1746-33.46%0.1131✓1.1053k2022-09-06
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.0583.8129-6.04%3.962-2.37%0.1599✗0.581.6M2022-09-06
BANDBandEthereum1.8091.701-5.97%1.182-34.66%0.0709✓1.40371k2022-09-06
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05440.051205-5.87%0.0433-20.40%0.0849✗1.20256k2022-09-06
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0159520.015016-5.86%0.012145-23.87%0.0377✓0.832.1M2022-09-06
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.655.3228-5.79%5.2-7.96%0.0873✗0.532.1M2022-09-06
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.4660.439059-5.78%0.431-7.51%0.3017✗1.53207k2022-09-06
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0022850.002156-5.66%0.001603-29.85%0.0864✓1.001.2M2022-09-06
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.2497.7852-5.62%6.22-24.60%0.0271✓1.206.8M2022-09-06
ADACardanoCardano0.52770.498069-5.62%0.4626-12.34%0.1683✗1.1539.5M2022-09-06
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.6578.1741-5.58%6.874-20.60%0.0728✗1.1711.0M2022-09-06
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6820.643987-5.57%0.482-29.33%0.0071✓1.3590k2022-09-06
COMPCompoundEthereum63.8560.3349-5.51%45.35-28.97%0.0022✓1.3738k2022-09-06
CHZChilizEthereum0.15130.142993-5.49%0.185+22.27%0.4701✗1.011.1M2022-09-06
STEEMSteemnative0.25950.245303-5.47%0.2072-20.15%0.0596✗1.09766k2022-09-06
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4251.3474-5.45%1.103-22.60%0.0557✓1.222.5M2022-09-06
LUNATerraTerra 20.000099560.000094149-5.43%0.00037885+280.52%1.7676✗1.79466k2022-09-06
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0011930.001128-5.43%0.001265+6.09%0.3628✗1.181.3M2022-09-06
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.37410.7595-5.40%11.775+3.53%0.3642✗1.3113.7M2022-09-06
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2250.212868-5.39%0.15955-29.09%0.0091✓1.42703k2022-09-06
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.7982.648-5.36%1.947-30.41%0.0176✓1.3848k2022-09-06
LINKChainlinkEthereum8.347.8987-5.29%6.659-20.16%0.0841✗1.2116.7M2022-09-06
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13740.130141-5.28%0.116-15.57%0.1371✗1.2061k2022-09-06
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07350.069617-5.28%0.0558-24.08%0.0243✓0.94158k2022-09-06
KSMKusamaHydration65.4261.9686-5.28%45.56-30.36%0.0685✓1.14419k2022-09-06
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.56360.534006-5.25%0.3016-46.49%0.2952✓1.32232k2022-09-06
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.12830.12163-5.20%0.0977-23.85%0.0661✗1.362.9M2022-09-06
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08930.084672-5.18%0.0592-33.71%0.1237✓1.12124k2022-09-06
GMTGMTEthereum0.9310.882882-5.17%0.6322-32.09%0.0040✓1.61462k2022-09-06
XVGVergenative0.003740.003548-5.13%0.00295-21.12%0.0816✗1.27534k2022-09-06
HIVEHivenative0.59910.568346-5.13%0.5213-12.99%0.1490✗1.122.1M2022-09-06
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.6854.4447-5.13%11.915+154.32%1.0763✗0.431.2M2022-09-06
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0017290.001641-5.08%0.001469-15.04%0.0891✗0.958,9342022-09-06
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.7922.6516-5.03%1.774-36.46%0.0295✓1.78126k2022-09-06
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.35590.338035-5.02%0.2855-19.78%0.0553✗1.078.2M2022-09-06
CTSICartesiEthereum0.17580.167043-4.98%0.1307-25.65%0.0016✓1.16529k2022-09-06
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012020.000011421-4.98%0.00001199-0.25%0.2859✗1.13926k2022-09-06
SUSHISushiEthereum1.51.4256-4.96%1.1464-23.57%0.0727✗1.391.2M2022-09-06
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.033020.031393-4.93%0.03333+0.94%0.3065✗1.1814k2022-09-06
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.15880.151049-4.88%0.1271-19.96%0.0031✓0.843.6M2022-09-06
DASHDashDash53.3550.7479-4.88%42.68-20.00%0.0531✗1.08552k2022-09-06
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0034230.003256-4.87%0.002767-19.16%0.0377✓0.961.0M2022-09-06
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7590.722045-4.87%0.475-37.42%0.1160✓1.44135k2022-09-06
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.8070.767805-4.86%0.608-24.66%0.0403✓0.92380k2022-09-06
XLMStellarStellar0.1238730.117889-4.83%0.099872-19.38%0.0386✓0.977.0M2022-09-06
MINAMina Protocolnative0.8580.816647-4.82%0.624-27.27%0.0231✓1.17246k2022-09-06
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.045.7494-4.81%6.26+3.64%0.2083✗0.59887k2022-09-06
DIADIAEthereum0.475240.452446-4.80%0.36615-22.95%0.0709✓0.6770k2022-09-06
AVTAventusEthereum1.571.4947-4.79%1.47-6.37%0.0331✓0.24207k2022-09-06
ORCAOrcaSolana0.98850.941298-4.78%0.8135-17.70%0.2171✗1.73296k2022-09-06
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12940.123256-4.75%0.0961-25.73%0.0288✓1.054,5002022-09-06
UOSUltraEthereum0.316950.302053-4.70%0.33208+4.77%0.3046✗1.00366k2022-09-06
XMRMoneroMonero164.87157.1228-4.70%144.79-12.18%0.1374✗1.041.1M2022-09-06
COTICOTIEthereum0.11920.113628-4.67%0.0892-25.17%0.0096✓1.20529k2022-09-06
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.068960.065777-4.62%0.058897-14.59%0.1269✗1.131.6M2022-09-06
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,177.3922,111.67-4.60%18,790.91-18.93%0.0471✓1.00414.2M2022-09-06
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3390.323553-4.56%0.25-26.25%0.0454✓1.011.1M2022-09-06
XECeCashnative0.000045320.000043257-4.55%0.00004054-10.55%0.1607✗1.081.8M2022-09-06
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.43380.414078-4.55%0.31421-27.57%0.0372✓1.14124k2022-09-06
STORJStorjEthereum0.688430.657345-4.52%0.5036-26.85%0.0421✓1.4769k2022-09-06
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3191.2597-4.50%0.8793-33.34%0.0992✓1.241.1M2022-09-06
FISStafiEthereum0.39040.372877-4.49%0.3-23.16%0.0206✓0.941492022-09-06
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.16631.114-4.49%0.938-19.57%0.0020✓0.814.1M2022-09-06
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.25950.247879-4.48%0.1963-24.35%0.0093✓1.1698k2022-09-06
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.57481.5046-4.46%1.6782+6.57%0.4021✗1.40619k2022-09-06
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12640.120771-4.45%0.1014-19.78%0.0353✓1.00398k2022-09-06
BFCBifrostEthereum0.083860.080134-4.44%0.06801-18.90%0.1099✗1.3129k2022-09-06
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.34310.327858-4.44%0.2593-24.42%0.0030✓1.133.6M2022-09-06
SOLSolanaSolana40.6238.8436-4.37%30.87-24.00%0.0530✗1.3579.4M2022-09-06
UMAUMAEthereum3.0332.9011-4.35%2.544-16.12%0.0836✗1.02585k2022-09-06
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.23920.228816-4.34%0.2009-16.01%0.1866✗1.5189k2022-09-06
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.775.5203-4.33%6.09+5.55%0.2057✗0.51964k2022-09-06
BTTCBTTC9.70e-79.28e-7-4.32%8.70e-7-10.31%0.1096✗0.836.0M2022-09-06
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV61.87859.2079-4.32%49.549-19.92%0.0118✓0.79306k2022-09-06
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.177350.169715-4.30%0.13097-26.15%0.0608✗1.53207k2022-09-06
IMXImmutableEthereum1.13871.0897-4.30%0.7744-31.99%0.0557✓1.361.7M2022-09-06
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.1473.9691-4.29%4.174+0.65%0.1497✗0.471.9M2022-09-06
CBKCobakEthereum1.16571.1158-4.27%0.80255-31.15%0.1027✓1.0812k2022-09-06
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.122.987-4.26%1.96-37.18%0.3159✓0.50116k2022-09-06
ELAElastosEthereum2.1832.0906-4.23%1.727-20.89%0.0436✗1.12225k2022-09-06
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0198730.019035-4.22%0.025115+26.38%0.3398✗0.30173k2022-09-06
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.98842.865-4.13%4.417+47.80%0.6096✗0.841.2M2022-09-06
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.195980.187926-4.11%0.15332-21.77%0.2764✗2.291,0642022-09-06
WOOWOOEthereum0.25510.244676-4.09%0.1524-40.26%0.2080✓1.271,5612022-09-06
LRCLoopringEthereum0.48060.460982-4.08%0.3263-32.11%0.0736✓1.30155k2022-09-06
MANADecentralandEthereum1.05961.0167-4.05%0.73689-30.45%0.0600✓1.25532k2022-09-06
XTZTezosTezos1.8881.8117-4.04%1.433-24.10%0.0175✓1.20530k2022-09-06
GLMGolemEthereum0.27110.260206-4.02%0.2232-17.67%0.0714✗1.0765k2022-09-06
ETHEthereumEthereum1,700.421,632.34-4.00%1,559.28-8.30%0.2307✗1.32407.7M2022-09-06
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.7928.4489-3.90%5.599-36.32%0.2043✓0.994.0M2022-09-06
GALAGALAEthereum0.06060.058236-3.90%0.0473-21.95%0.0722✗1.34179k2022-09-06
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.10470.100695-3.83%0.0785-25.02%0.0106✓1.145,6912022-09-06
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.33262.2438-3.81%1.6996-27.14%0.0332✓1.1738k2022-09-06
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010460.010062-3.80%0.00852-18.55%0.0270✓0.925.1M2022-09-06
FORTFortaEthereum0.3080.296317-3.79%0.2418-21.49%0.0265✓1.10300k2022-09-06
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash140.98135.6681-3.77%112.17-20.44%0.0570✗1.184.7M2022-09-06
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,110.7022,241.16-3.76%18,917.90-18.14%0.0438✗0.9812k2022-09-06
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3544730.341173-3.75%0.272462-23.14%0.0284✓1.211.0M2022-09-06
CVCCivicEthereum0.16180.155731-3.75%0.1322-18.29%0.0805✗1.16102k2022-09-06
NANOnanopayBase1.05491.0157-3.71%0.84826-19.59%0.0059✓0.8951k2022-09-06
LCXLCXEthereum0.06050.058268-3.69%0.052-14.05%0.1832✗1.42339k2022-09-06
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.7411.3123-3.64%9.48-19.25%0.0767✗1.21263k2022-09-06
SCSiacoinnative0.004710.004544-3.53%0.00379-19.53%0.0822✗1.26102k2022-09-06
ASTRAstarEthereum0.05120.049395-3.53%0.0358-30.08%0.0599✓1.2510k2022-09-06
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.59270.571817-3.52%0.4434-25.19%0.0114✓1.16303k2022-09-06
ZENHorizenBase19.1718.4947-3.52%14.54-24.15%0.0319✓1.30118k2022-09-06
LTCLitecoinLitecoin61.1258.9847-3.49%54.12-11.45%0.1465✗1.1113.5M2022-09-06
BORABORAKlay Token0.358150.345871-3.43%0.26857-25.01%0.0091✓1.2513k2022-09-06
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.427190.412629-3.41%0.31667-25.87%0.0037✓1.28507k2022-09-06
AMPAmpEthereum0.008370.00809-3.34%0.00551-34.17%0.2251✓0.761.6M2022-09-06
GITCOINGITCOIN3.05572.9537-3.34%2.136-30.10%0.0140✓1.4813k2022-09-06
CHRChromiaEthereum0.21460.2076-3.26%0.1824-15.00%0.1670✗1.411,1742022-09-06
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04410.042694-3.19%0.0348-21.09%0.0375✗1.1577k2022-09-06
XVSVenusEthereum6.846.6256-3.13%4.52-33.92%0.1169✓1.271.4M2022-09-06
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8710.843753-3.13%0.614-29.51%0.0392✗1.704.3M2022-09-06
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.079690.077219-3.10%0.06355-20.25%0.0415✓0.738502022-09-06
XYMSymbolnative0.0550550.053392-3.02%0.040185-27.01%0.1600✓0.5926k2022-09-06
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.66390.644072-2.99%0.5082-23.45%0.0110✓1.08726k2022-09-06
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.031720.030773-2.99%0.02333-26.45%0.0059✓1.291,3502022-09-06
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.045810.04446-2.95%0.03561-22.27%0.0282✓0.922,3482022-09-06
AAVEAaveEthereum101.3198.3496-2.92%83.58-17.50%0.1791✗1.639.9M2022-09-06
CTKShentuOsmosis1.1111.0791-2.87%0.94-15.39%0.0120✓0.602.1M2022-09-06
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4582.3885-2.83%3.885+58.06%0.6728✗0.8992k2022-09-06
LSKLiskEthereum1.21621.1823-2.79%0.977259-19.65%0.0245✓1.0243k2022-09-06
DKAdKargoEthereum0.053780.052283-2.78%0.04195-22.00%0.0388✓0.8616k2022-09-06
ZECZcashZcash70.2668.4917-2.52%57.93-17.55%0.0896✗1.231.8M2022-09-06
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.80e-79.56e-7-2.48%8.70e-7-11.22%0.0570✗0.7225k2022-09-06
C98Coin98Ethereum0.58870.574299-2.45%0.3885-34.01%0.1547✓1.1346k2022-09-06
KCSKuCoinnative10.60210.3566-2.31%9.033-14.80%0.0909✗1.091.9M2022-09-06
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.811.769-2.27%1.23-32.04%0.0996✓1.26132k2022-09-06
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0234910.022979-2.18%0.019706-16.11%0.0456✗0.9512k2022-09-06
SUNSun TokenTron0.0064750.006349-1.94%0.005724-11.60%0.0610✗0.784,5222022-09-06
PROPropyEthereum0.840.823929-1.91%0.71-15.48%0.0275✓0.5878k2022-09-06
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.42e-73.37e-7-1.65%7.89e-7+130.63%1.0378✗0.88150k2022-09-06
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7510.739239-1.57%0.907+20.77%0.4694✗1.26963k2022-09-06
GTGateEthereum4.76024.6882-1.51%3.9648-16.71%0.0075✓0.76887k2022-09-06
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26140.258265-1.20%0.1539-41.12%0.5150✓0.0131k2022-09-06
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017880.017708-0.96%0.01183-33.84%0.2408✓0.78175k2022-09-06
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0063310.00628-0.81%0.006199-2.08%0.0938✗0.5148k2022-09-06
TRXTRONTron0.0696580.069124-0.77%0.060766-12.77%0.0001✓0.61279k2022-09-06
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.8994.9019+0.06%5.1426+4.97%0.0853✓0.18234k2022-09-06
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.