8=======>

2022-08-06 · +30d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 185 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1994
183 of 185 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+20.18%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
52.5%
in alpha space · 85.8% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-13.79%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (185 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.954.9527+0.05%5.0514+2.05%0.0455✓0.17228k2022-09-05
TRXTRONTron0.069510.069046-0.67%0.062937-9.46%0.0128✗0.71327k2022-09-05
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0064590.006405-0.84%0.00635-1.69%0.0648✗0.4944k2022-09-05
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017710.017539-0.97%0.01272-28.18%0.1988✓0.83176k2022-09-05
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7490.739308-1.29%1.044+39.39%0.5263✗1.22963k2022-09-05
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26130.257464-1.47%0.1628-37.70%0.4565✓0.0131k2022-09-05
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.37e-73.32e-7-1.53%8.55e-7+153.78%1.0903✗0.97153k2022-09-05
GTGateEthereum4.77754.7011-1.60%4.0071-16.13%0.0484✓0.75908k2022-09-05
C98Coin98Ethereum0.56940.559622-1.72%0.4308-24.34%0.0950✓1.1246k2022-09-05
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0232040.022784-1.81%0.020653-10.99%0.0443✗0.9612k2022-09-05
SUNSun TokenTron0.0063240.006205-1.88%0.00602-4.80%0.0975✗0.864,5222022-09-05
ZECZcashZcash67.6566.1761-2.18%63.41-6.27%0.1455✗1.271.7M2022-09-05
KCSKuCoinnative10.50110.258-2.31%9.414-10.35%0.0778✗1.102.0M2022-09-05
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.70e-79.46e-7-2.48%8.90e-7-8.25%0.0454✗0.7225k2022-09-05
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.831.7816-2.64%1.37-25.14%0.0659✓1.33129k2022-09-05
BORABORAKlay Token0.360270.350661-2.67%0.28593-20.63%0.0127✓1.2913k2022-09-05
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.6520.634559-2.68%0.5193-20.35%0.0288✓1.16755k2022-09-05
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.452.3835-2.71%4.075+66.33%0.6688✗0.8992k2022-09-05
LSKLiskEthereum1.19371.1607-2.76%1.0444-12.51%0.0509✗1.0543k2022-09-05
AAVEAaveEthereum99.0896.3201-2.79%91.3-7.85%0.1931✗1.6610.0M2022-09-05
LRCLoopringEthereum0.43530.423001-2.83%0.355-18.45%0.0198✓1.31134k2022-09-05
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.57290.556633-2.84%0.4722-17.58%0.0060✓1.15318k2022-09-05
XVSVenusEthereum6.626.427-2.92%4.93-25.53%0.0603✓1.381.4M2022-09-05
GITCOINGITCOIN3.00292.9153-2.92%2.3084-23.13%0.0020✓1.5613k2022-09-05
XYMSymbolnative0.054630.052984-3.01%0.041483-24.07%0.1607✓0.5725k2022-09-05
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.023020.022325-3.02%0.02235-2.91%0.1512✗1.01159k2022-09-05
CTKShentuOsmosis1.1781.1422-3.04%1.056-10.36%0.0156✓0.632.1M2022-09-05
CHRChromiaEthereum0.21550.208715-3.15%0.1872-13.13%0.1013✗1.421,2762022-09-05
AMPAmpEthereum0.008340.008073-3.20%0.00599-28.18%0.1628✓0.911.6M2022-09-05
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.046510.045017-3.21%0.03742-19.54%0.0461✓0.932,3002022-09-05
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8710.842646-3.26%0.676-22.39%0.0385✗1.744.4M2022-09-05
ASTRAstarEthereum0.05050.048849-3.27%0.0367-27.33%0.0941✓1.2910k2022-09-05
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.10140.098069-3.28%0.0818-19.33%0.0026✓1.205,6912022-09-05
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.07740.074852-3.29%0.1303+68.35%0.6628✗0.73159k2022-09-05
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04440.042927-3.32%0.0367-17.34%0.0265✓1.2376k2022-09-05
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.6311.2398-3.35%10.8-7.14%0.1395✗1.21290k2022-09-05
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.031370.030317-3.36%0.02511-19.96%0.0033✓1.291,3502022-09-05
GALAGALAEthereum0.06010.058079-3.36%0.0508-15.47%0.0730✗1.39179k2022-09-05
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010060.009719-3.39%0.00891-11.43%0.0441✗0.885.2M2022-09-05
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.077790.075156-3.39%0.06802-12.56%0.0084✓0.739072022-09-05
LTCLitecoinLitecoin60.8458.7668-3.41%60.36-0.79%0.2000✗1.1713.5M2022-09-05
SCSiacoinnative0.004680.00452-3.42%0.00402-14.10%0.0772✗1.31112k2022-09-05
NANOnanopayBase1.04631.0102-3.45%0.898557-14.12%0.0226✓0.9458k2022-09-05
LCXLCXEthereum0.06040.058222-3.61%0.0558-7.62%0.1666✗1.41350k2022-09-05
CBKCobakEthereum1.15881.1167-3.63%0.85582-26.15%0.1030✓1.1012k2022-09-05
DKAdKargoEthereum0.055230.053221-3.64%0.0442-19.97%0.0554✓0.8816k2022-09-05
GLMGolemEthereum0.27080.260868-3.67%0.2373-12.37%0.0696✗1.1165k2022-09-05
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.412090.396945-3.68%0.35378-14.15%0.0889✗1.38507k2022-09-05
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.97582.866-3.69%4.9518+66.40%0.6916✗0.981.2M2022-09-05
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash141.34136.0737-3.73%125.75-11.03%0.1004✗1.214.7M2022-09-05
CVCCivicEthereum0.16260.156518-3.74%0.1448-10.95%0.1070✗1.25102k2022-09-05
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.169290.162958-3.74%0.13844-18.22%0.0669✗1.55212k2022-09-05
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3534720.340158-3.77%0.298688-15.50%0.0582✗1.271.0M2022-09-05
ETHEthereumEthereum1,690.811,625.18-3.88%1,618.01-4.31%0.1865✗1.29407.7M2022-09-05
XTZTezosTezos1.87771.8038-3.94%1.546-17.67%0.0358✓1.28530k2022-09-05
MANADecentralandEthereum1.04721.0059-3.94%0.7895-24.61%0.0479✓1.31532k2022-09-05
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.12.9757-4.01%1.97-36.45%0.3381✓0.50116k2022-09-05
IMXImmutableEthereum1.12911.0835-4.04%0.8473-24.96%0.0421✓1.371.5M2022-09-05
SOLSolanaSolana40.0738.4437-4.06%32.18-19.69%0.0252✓1.3780.8M2022-09-05
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.16681.1192-4.08%0.9784-16.15%0.0071✓0.864.1M2022-09-05
BTTCBTTC9.70e-79.30e-7-4.09%8.90e-7-8.25%0.0807✗0.846.1M2022-09-05
ZENHorizenBase19.2718.4674-4.17%16.1-16.45%0.0653✗1.36118k2022-09-05
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12120.116103-4.21%0.104-14.19%0.0505✗1.08370k2022-09-05
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.23530.225376-4.22%0.209-11.18%0.1427✗1.4789k2022-09-05
FORTFortaEthereum0.3130.299797-4.22%0.2337-25.34%0.0863✓1.10300k2022-09-05
BTCBitcoinBitcoin22,960.9321,986.83-4.24%19,794.58-13.79%0.0434✗1.00427.9M2022-09-05
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV61.42458.7916-4.29%53.71-12.56%0.0342✓0.84321k2022-09-05
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.755.5033-4.29%6.64+15.48%0.2754✗0.59878k2022-09-05
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.198360.189707-4.36%0.158-20.35%0.1574✗2.291,1202022-09-05
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.55891.4907-4.37%1.6684+7.02%0.3184✗1.39619k2022-09-05
XECeCashnative0.000044740.00004278-4.38%0.00004372-2.28%0.1949✗1.171.9M2022-09-05
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.430780.4119-4.38%0.34064-20.92%0.0125✓1.20124k2022-09-05
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0686410.065632-4.38%0.062695-8.66%0.1291✗1.181.6M2022-09-05
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.34110.326115-4.39%0.2822-17.27%0.0285✓1.173.6M2022-09-05
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.25860.247211-4.40%0.2097-18.91%0.0167✓1.2299k2022-09-05
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3390.323867-4.46%0.271-20.06%0.0255✓1.031.1M2022-09-05
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.33962.2351-4.47%1.8663-20.23%0.0003✓1.2137k2022-09-05
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0202380.019332-4.48%0.025549+26.24%0.3380✗0.40173k2022-09-05
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0032410.003096-4.48%0.002935-9.44%0.0955✗1.001.0M2022-09-05
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.321.2603-4.52%0.9577-27.45%0.0903✓1.241.1M2022-09-05
STORJStorjEthereum0.691750.660416-4.53%0.55546-19.70%0.0512✗1.5178k2022-09-05
XMRMoneroMonero160.51153.183-4.56%157.52-1.86%0.1948✗1.121.1M2022-09-05
UMAUMAEthereum3.0342.8954-4.57%2.722-10.28%0.1055✗1.13572k2022-09-05
COTICOTIEthereum0.11410.108873-4.58%0.0939-17.70%0.0392✓1.26505k2022-09-05
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12980.123836-4.59%0.1025-21.03%0.0413✓1.004,7012022-09-05
DIADIAEthereum0.472490.450756-4.60%0.38052-19.46%0.0571✓0.7670k2022-09-05
UOSUltraEthereum0.316260.30167-4.61%0.35+10.67%0.3137✗1.11366k2022-09-05
CHZChilizEthereum0.14620.139402-4.65%0.2073+41.79%0.5567✗1.081.0M2022-09-05
ORCAOrcaSolana0.98850.942468-4.66%0.8257-16.47%0.1170✗1.68296k2022-09-05
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,221.9022,139.76-4.66%19,866.30-14.45%0.0368✓0.9812k2022-09-05
MINAMina Protocolnative0.8350.796041-4.67%0.663-20.60%0.0026✓1.21241k2022-09-05
BFCBifrostEthereum0.086090.082022-4.73%0.07261-15.66%0.0789✗1.3529k2022-09-05
XLMStellarStellar0.1219030.116136-4.73%0.10507-13.81%0.0468✓0.997.0M2022-09-05
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7690.732606-4.73%0.522-32.12%0.1207✓1.47135k2022-09-05
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.0413.8493-4.74%4.501+11.38%0.2417✗0.571.9M2022-09-05
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.8080.769535-4.76%0.662-18.07%0.0027✓1.03390k2022-09-05
SUSHISushiEthereum1.511.4375-4.80%1.2398-17.89%0.0615✗1.411.2M2022-09-05
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.34920.332418-4.81%0.3046-12.77%0.0836✗1.158.2M2022-09-05
FILFilecoinFilecoin9.4458.9907-4.81%6.141-34.98%0.2269✓1.043.3M2022-09-05
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.5835.3133-4.83%6.361+13.94%0.2569✗0.522.6M2022-09-05
AVTAventusEthereum1.531.456-4.84%1.45-5.23%0.0393✓0.29242k2022-09-05
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0017090.001626-4.85%0.001468-14.10%0.0505✗1.039,0932022-09-05
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.7947.4159-4.85%7.382-5.29%0.1825✗1.2616.9M2022-09-05
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0011170.001062-4.86%0.00133+19.14%0.4096✗1.241.3M2022-09-05
HIVEHivenative0.58410.555662-4.87%0.5388-7.76%0.1439✗1.182.1M2022-09-05
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.15840.150677-4.88%0.1447-8.65%0.1023✗0.963.6M2022-09-05
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08690.082655-4.89%0.0559-35.67%0.2185✓1.16126k2022-09-05
DASHDashDash52.5750-4.89%47.59-9.47%0.1151✗1.11574k2022-09-05
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011950.000011364-4.90%0.00001261+5.52%0.2883✗1.24934k2022-09-05
XVGVergenative0.00370.003518-4.93%0.00309-16.49%0.0626✗1.30551k2022-09-05
PROPropyEthereum0.920.874596-4.94%0.72-21.74%0.1090✓0.5878k2022-09-05
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.115.8064-4.97%6.72+9.98%0.2456✗0.67754k2022-09-05
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.6982.5628-5.01%1.916-28.98%0.0300✓1.76118k2022-09-05
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.6564.4224-5.02%13.008+179.38%1.1612✗0.551.3M2022-09-05
GMTGMTEthereum0.9230.876399-5.05%0.6925-24.97%0.0309✓1.80469k2022-09-05
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.12780.12132-5.07%0.104-18.62%0.0543✗1.402.9M2022-09-05
CTSICartesiEthereum0.17430.165434-5.09%0.1398-19.79%0.0180✓1.26529k2022-09-05
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2230.21149-5.16%0.173-22.42%0.0224✓1.50716k2022-09-05
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.2857.8562-5.18%6.734-18.72%0.0285✓1.236.9M2022-09-05
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.5248.0817-5.19%7.368-13.56%0.0907✗1.2311.0M2022-09-05
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.032650.030947-5.22%0.03562+9.10%0.3238✗1.2314k2022-09-05
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.63210.0767-5.22%12.633+18.82%0.4275✗1.3613.0M2022-09-05
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.56690.536842-5.30%0.307-45.85%0.3630✓1.32234k2022-09-05
KSMKusamaHydration66.4162.8364-5.38%51.33-22.71%0.0294✓1.16419k2022-09-05
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0158910.015028-5.43%0.013125-17.41%0.0013✓0.902.1M2022-09-05
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6780.640983-5.46%0.533-21.39%0.0229✓1.4090k2022-09-05
ADACardanoCardano0.51140.483336-5.49%0.4987-2.48%0.2103✗1.2140.5M2022-09-05
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13850.130877-5.50%0.1229-11.26%0.1242✗1.2661k2022-09-05
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.431.3503-5.57%1.17-18.18%0.0445✓1.272.5M2022-09-05
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.762.606-5.58%2.117-23.30%0.0054✓1.4447k2022-09-05
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.45280.427259-5.64%0.3741-17.38%0.0868✗1.48242k2022-09-05
STEEMSteemnative0.25780.243064-5.72%0.222-13.89%0.0837✗1.17768k2022-09-05
COMPCompoundEthereum65.0561.3179-5.74%48.36-25.66%0.0282✓1.4138k2022-09-05
WOOWOOEthereum0.26450.249289-5.75%0.1562-40.95%0.2737✓1.311,5612022-09-05
BANDBandEthereum1.8281.7223-5.78%1.307-28.50%0.0630✓1.43371k2022-09-05
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.08640.081399-5.79%0.07583-12.23%0.0305✓0.271.1M2022-09-05
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.655.3216-5.81%5.7+0.88%0.1588✗0.611.5M2022-09-05
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.0710.06686-5.83%0.0571-19.58%0.0199✓0.93158k2022-09-05
LUNATerraTerra 20.000100020.000094187-5.83%0.00040493+304.85%1.7693✗2.10480k2022-09-05
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.002210.002078-5.97%0.001564-29.23%0.1358✓1.001.1M2022-09-05
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07440.069936-6.00%0.0625-15.99%0.0508✓1.101.1M2022-09-05
FTTFTXEthereum30.3928.5417-6.08%26.62-12.41%0.0718✗0.959.4M2022-09-05
RADRadworksEthereum2.512.3572-6.09%2.31-7.97%0.1386✗1.07507k2022-09-05
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.9613.7171-6.16%4.31+8.81%0.2505✗0.691.5M2022-09-05
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum16.9315.8871-6.16%14.53-14.18%0.1198✗1.412.6M2022-09-05
SKLSKALEEthereum0.06470.060711-6.17%0.0496-23.34%0.0103✓1.29803k2022-09-05
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008850.008304-6.17%0.00785-11.30%0.1321✗1.27392k2022-09-05
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05470.051326-6.17%0.0446-18.46%0.0498✓1.28269k2022-09-05
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.085850.080538-6.19%0.06402-25.43%0.0092✓1.481.1M2022-09-05
ELAElastosEthereum2.2792.1372-6.22%1.752-23.12%0.0314✓1.13219k2022-09-05
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.21033.01-6.24%7.3781+129.83%1.0091✗0.761.2M2022-09-05
QTUMQtumQtum4.12753.8685-6.28%3.3484-18.88%0.0161✓1.0853k2022-09-05
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche26.6424.9517-6.34%19.44-27.03%0.0155✓1.5827.5M2022-09-05
DODODODOEthereum0.18050.16901-6.37%0.1279-29.14%0.0948✓1.243.3M2022-09-05
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum17.9416.7782-6.48%14.28-20.40%0.0370✓1.341.3M2022-09-05
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.9663.7087-6.49%2.972-25.06%0.0952✓0.85976k2022-09-05
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5490.513252-6.51%–pending––1.1516k2022-09-05
XEMNEMnative0.0518040.048418-6.54%0.043718-15.61%0.0753✗1.2037k2022-09-05
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.44783.2224-6.54%7.2089+109.09%0.9350✗0.871.6M2022-09-05
ETCEthereum Classicnative37.835.2864-6.65%39.67+4.95%0.3280✗1.4213.0M2022-09-05
API3Api3Ethereum2.1191.9776-6.67%1.69-20.25%0.0317✓1.27619k2022-09-05
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.37331.2793-6.84%1.1527-16.06%0.1229✗1.536.4M2022-09-05
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.10841.0311-6.97%–pending––1.0413k2022-09-05
STXStacksnative0.48450.450306-7.06%0.3681-24.02%0.0178✓1.24808k2022-09-05
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.888.247-7.13%9.21+3.72%0.1813✗0.481.8M2022-09-05
FLOWFlownative2.572.3837-7.25%1.919-25.33%0.0287✓1.27466k2022-09-05
APEApeCoinEthereum7.2646.7264-7.40%4.75-34.61%0.0935✓1.7111.9M2022-09-05
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.8020.74264-7.40%0.487-39.28%0.2051✓1.462,7912022-09-05
UNIUniswapEthereum8.788.1243-7.47%6.576-25.10%0.0049✓1.399.9M2022-09-05
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.034.652-7.51%4.72-6.16%0.1186✗0.701.3M2022-09-05
METISMetisEthereum41.2338.0913-7.61%30.53-25.95%0.0556✓1.87293k2022-09-05
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.9931.8402-7.67%1.465-26.49%0.0205✓1.40253k2022-09-05
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.2743.9308-8.03%3.005-29.69%0.0094✓1.755.2M2022-09-05
MOVRMoonriverBase18.505916.944-8.44%12.9054-30.26%0.1049✓1.1353k2022-09-05
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.032.7695-8.60%2.34-22.77%0.0570✓1.52234k2022-09-05
AUCTIONBounceEthereum10.69.6763-8.71%7.53-28.96%0.0417✓1.41358k2022-09-05
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.035250.032149-8.80%0.02134-39.46%0.1944✓1.4513.9M2022-09-05
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.3662.1539-8.96%1.573-33.52%0.1021✓1.43169k2022-09-05
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.09450.994009-9.18%1.1375+3.93%0.3051✗1.151.0M2022-09-05
NMRNumeraireEthereum21.6319.5397-9.66%17.32-19.93%0.0019✓0.832.6M2022-09-05
OPTIMOptimism1.9011.7149-9.79%1.199-36.93%0.0682✓1.953.1M2022-09-05
QNTQuantEthereum120.14108.0973-10.02%93.14-22.47%0.0043✓0.974.5M2022-09-05
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,723.9310,518.18-10.28%9,493.61-19.02%0.1128✗1.454.9M2022-09-05
CELLCellframeEthereum0.43230.387204-10.43%0.3145-27.25%0.0324✓1.1880k2022-09-05
TRBTellor TributesEthereum31.7328.4186-10.44%18.31-42.29%0.2336✓1.39949k2022-09-05
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.