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2022-08-04 · +30d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 185 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2174
184 of 185 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+22.13%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
49.5%
in alpha space · 84.2% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-12.33%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (185 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LEOLEO TokenEthereum55.0111+0.22%5.1775+3.55%0.0557✓0.17219k2022-09-03
TRXTRONTron0.0689810.068768-0.31%0.06311-8.51%0.0055✗0.69345k2022-09-03
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0224480.022291-0.70%0.020633-8.09%0.0495✗0.9611k2022-09-03
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7380.732722-0.72%1.037+40.51%0.5069✗1.21968k2022-09-03
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017580.01742-0.91%0.01336-24.00%0.1573✓0.82193k2022-09-03
GTGateEthereum4.554.5062-0.96%4.2494-6.61%0.0395✗0.75920k2022-09-03
BORABORAKlay Token0.362810.358379-1.22%0.29127-19.72%0.0358✓1.3013k2022-09-03
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.00670.006605-1.43%0.006407-4.37%0.0373✗0.5140k2022-09-03
SUNSun TokenTron0.0061460.006048-1.60%0.005893-4.11%0.0856✗0.857,1222022-09-03
ZECZcashZcash64.3863.2139-1.81%62.7-2.61%0.1562✗1.251.6M2022-09-03
CTKShentuOsmosis1.2141.1907-1.92%1.014-16.47%0.0752✓0.651.9M2022-09-03
KCSKuCoinnative10.0359.8249-2.09%9.192-8.40%0.0787✗1.102.0M2022-09-03
LSKLiskEthereum1.15021.1244-2.24%1.0572-8.08%0.0766✗1.0543k2022-09-03
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.56e-73.48e-7-2.29%8.93e-7+150.93%1.0728✗0.99164k2022-09-03
CHRChromiaEthereum0.19950.194929-2.29%0.1738-12.88%0.0690✗1.401,2762022-09-03
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09750.095241-2.32%0.0824-15.49%0.0135✓1.207,1482022-09-03
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.021130.020634-2.35%0.02203+4.26%0.1990✗1.02159k2022-09-03
CVCCivicEthereum0.15610.152389-2.38%0.1418-9.16%0.0897✗1.23107k2022-09-03
XVSVenusEthereum6.436.2763-2.39%4.84-24.73%0.0771✓1.391.2M2022-09-03
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.50e-79.27e-7-2.42%8.70e-7-8.42%0.0681✗1.0025k2022-09-03
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.59650.581915-2.45%0.5007-16.06%0.0001✓1.14690k2022-09-03
CBKCobakEthereum1.11291.0856-2.46%0.86852-21.96%0.0777✓1.1111k2022-09-03
PROPropyEthereum0.740.721465-2.50%0.73-1.35%0.0904✗0.6079k2022-09-03
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.54540.531726-2.51%0.4583-15.97%0.0009✓1.14333k2022-09-03
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.545.4008-2.51%6.85+23.65%0.3155✗0.59873k2022-09-03
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.71.6563-2.57%1.29-24.12%0.0765✓1.32122k2022-09-03
LRCLoopringEthereum0.41620.405367-2.60%0.354-14.94%0.0374✗1.31127k2022-09-03
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04820.046932-2.63%0.0358-25.73%0.0996✓1.307,5232022-09-03
AAVEAaveEthereum96.3493.7668-2.67%87.18-9.51%0.1449✗1.6610.2M2022-09-03
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4152.3502-2.68%4.026+66.71%0.6555✗0.89110k2022-09-03
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.043860.042676-2.70%0.03762-14.23%0.0025✓0.942,0262022-09-03
XYMSymbolnative0.0542640.052794-2.71%0.042307-22.03%0.1452✓0.5825k2022-09-03
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04210.04095-2.73%0.0354-15.91%0.0155✓1.2376k2022-09-03
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.0927.8709-2.73%6.507-19.59%0.0529✓1.042.5M2022-09-03
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.030380.029539-2.77%0.02472-18.63%0.0068✓1.301,4012022-09-03
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3402110.330635-2.81%0.292785-13.94%0.0454✗1.271.0M2022-09-03
NANOnanopayBase1.01510.986384-2.83%0.885648-12.76%0.0161✓0.9460k2022-09-03
AMPAmpEthereum0.008220.007982-2.89%0.00602-26.76%0.1633✓0.901.6M2022-09-03
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07330.071172-2.90%0.0608-17.05%0.0120✓1.111.1M2022-09-03
LTCLitecoinLitecoin59.6557.8928-2.95%60.19+0.91%0.1907✗1.1513.6M2022-09-03
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26110.253337-2.97%0.1834-29.76%0.3215✓0.0129k2022-09-03
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009790.009495-3.01%0.00869-11.24%0.0273✓0.885.1M2022-09-03
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.0710.7326-3.05%10.12-8.58%0.0991✗1.20263k2022-09-03
SCSiacoinnative0.004540.0044-3.08%0.00397-12.56%0.0690✗1.31112k2022-09-03
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash134.34130.1481-3.12%117.83-12.29%0.0582✗1.204.6M2022-09-03
GLMGolemEthereum0.26060.252125-3.25%0.2386-8.44%0.0913✗1.1165k2022-09-03
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.07310.07072-3.26%0.119+62.79%0.6163✗0.73159k2022-09-03
LCXLCXEthereum0.06160.059583-3.27%0.0556-9.74%0.1188✗1.43350k2022-09-03
GALAGALAEthereum0.05930.05735-3.29%0.05-15.68%0.0463✗1.39172k2022-09-03
SOLSolanaSolana38.8237.5356-3.31%31.12-19.84%0.0077✓1.3781.1M2022-09-03
DKAdKargoEthereum0.04910.047445-3.37%0.04477-8.82%0.0585✗0.8915k2022-09-03
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum22,495.2021,732.54-3.39%19,875.80-11.64%0.0396✗0.9813k2022-09-03
XTZTezosTezos1.82491.7628-3.40%1.5227-16.56%0.0204✓1.27530k2022-09-03
GITCOINGITCOIN3.18543.077-3.40%2.2636-28.94%0.1014✓1.5612k2022-09-03
BTTCBTTC9.60e-79.27e-7-3.42%8.80e-7-8.33%0.0579✗0.846.4M2022-09-03
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.825.6209-3.42%6.87+18.04%0.2897✗0.68746k2022-09-03
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.595.3964-3.46%5.78+3.40%0.1492✗0.611.4M2022-09-03
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.91752.8164-3.47%4.8007+64.55%0.6623✗0.981.2M2022-09-03
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.160.154425-3.48%0.13707-14.33%0.0825✗1.53212k2022-09-03
CHZChilizEthereum0.14470.139583-3.54%0.2171+50.03%0.5842✗1.08907k2022-09-03
MANADecentralandEthereum0.992450.957041-3.57%0.78775-20.63%0.0239✓1.30532k2022-09-03
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3330.321039-3.59%0.269-19.22%0.0403✓1.041.1M2022-09-03
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7270.700142-3.69%0.527-27.51%0.0905✓1.47121k2022-09-03
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.24850.239273-3.71%0.2102-15.41%0.0311✓1.22101k2022-09-03
IMXImmutableEthereum1.12731.0853-3.72%0.8243-26.88%0.0949✓1.371.4M2022-09-03
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8460.81438-3.74%0.669-20.92%0.0322✓1.744.6M2022-09-03
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.33060.318089-3.78%0.2804-15.18%0.0272✓1.173.5M2022-09-03
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.092.973-3.79%1.93-37.54%0.3671✓0.49109k2022-09-03
ZENHorizenBase17.3216.6636-3.79%15.52-10.39%0.1109✗1.38116k2022-09-03
COMPCompoundEthereum5653.8548-3.83%47.89-14.48%0.0655✗1.3935k2022-09-03
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.1564.9572-3.86%6.609+28.18%0.3568✗0.532.4M2022-09-03
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0030690.00295-3.87%0.002948-3.94%0.1296✗0.991.0M2022-09-03
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.5021.4438-3.87%1.7051+13.52%0.3502✗1.40594k2022-09-03
HIVEHivenative0.58130.558741-3.88%0.5434-6.52%0.1280✗1.181.8M2022-09-03
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.22630.21751-3.88%0.212-6.32%0.1672✗1.4787k2022-09-03
FORTFortaEthereum0.3020.290174-3.92%0.2308-23.58%0.0824✓1.11300k2022-09-03
ETHEthereumEthereum1,608.161,545.17-3.92%1,557.70-3.14%0.1759✗1.28407.7M2022-09-03
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13920.133731-3.93%0.1363-2.08%0.1437✗0.953.6M2022-09-03
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11680.112207-3.93%0.1012-13.36%0.0382✓1.08370k2022-09-03
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0673530.064701-3.94%0.062675-6.94%0.1223✗1.171.7M2022-09-03
RADRadworksEthereum2.482.3817-3.96%2.26-8.87%0.0891✗1.08507k2022-09-03
BTCBitcoinBitcoin22,623.9421,726.36-3.97%19,835.47-12.33%0.0405✗1.00427.9M2022-09-03
COTICOTIEthereum0.10960.105183-4.03%0.0949-13.41%0.0620✗1.25505k2022-09-03
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7820.750385-4.04%0.671-14.19%0.0466✗1.20225k2022-09-03
STORJStorjEthereum0.665910.638988-4.04%0.54122-18.72%0.0327✓1.5188k2022-09-03
C98Coin98Ethereum0.56770.544638-4.06%0.4418-22.18%0.0627✓1.1146k2022-09-03
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.18992.1002-4.10%1.7905-18.24%0.0017✓1.2032k2022-09-03
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV60.26957.7895-4.11%52.516-12.86%0.0139✓0.83321k2022-09-03
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.076930.073735-4.15%0.06648-13.58%0.0073✓0.739772022-09-03
XECeCashnative0.000042940.000041136-4.20%0.00004471+4.12%0.2354✗1.161.9M2022-09-03
XLMStellarStellar0.1139210.109134-4.20%0.105238-7.62%0.0940✗0.996.9M2022-09-03
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.404330.387202-4.24%0.33497-17.15%0.0117✓1.19107k2022-09-03
UOSUltraEthereum0.313380.300094-4.24%0.35+11.69%0.3017✗1.12396k2022-09-03
DASHDashDash49.447.3056-4.24%46.77-5.32%0.1328✗1.10574k2022-09-03
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.8443.6797-4.27%4.797+24.79%0.3420✗0.581.9M2022-09-03
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.987.6357-4.31%6.499-18.56%0.0007✓1.227.0M2022-09-03
WOOWOOEthereum0.21750.208112-4.32%0.1524-29.93%0.1396✓1.311,5612022-09-03
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.0927.7424-4.32%7.29-9.91%0.1002✗1.2211.0M2022-09-03
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.3647.0452-4.33%6.861-6.83%0.1380✗1.2516.9M2022-09-03
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.33610.321541-4.33%0.303-9.85%0.0894✗1.138.2M2022-09-03
DIADIAEthereum0.457070.437234-4.34%0.3754-17.87%0.0521✓0.7668k2022-09-03
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.12020.114976-4.35%0.1018-15.31%0.0586✗1.372.9M2022-09-03
MOVRMoonriverBase14.635913.9869-4.43%12.6808-13.36%0.0529✗1.1558k2022-09-03
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.6164.4108-4.44%13.804+199.05%1.2150✗0.561.4M2022-09-03
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0155950.014897-4.48%0.013081-16.12%0.0125✓0.892.1M2022-09-03
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.419540.400743-4.48%0.36179-13.77%0.0791✗1.38583k2022-09-03
UMAUMAEthereum2.9822.8483-4.48%2.744-7.98%0.1098✗1.12591k2022-09-03
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.2971.2386-4.50%0.9295-28.33%0.1237✓1.241.1M2022-09-03
SUSHISushiEthereum1.471.4038-4.50%1.1328-22.94%0.0291✓1.411.2M2022-09-03
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.18531.1316-4.53%0.9676-18.37%0.0421✓0.874.1M2022-09-03
KSMKusamaHydration61.1258.346-4.54%48.81-20.14%0.0241✓1.17379k2022-09-03
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.14162.998-4.57%7.5278+139.62%1.0211✗0.761.1M2022-09-03
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13470.128541-4.57%0.1211-10.10%0.1075✗1.2761k2022-09-03
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.188870.180214-4.58%0.15784-16.43%0.1717✗2.311,1512022-09-03
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010890.001038-4.63%0.001326+21.79%0.4076✗1.241.3M2022-09-03
XMRMoneroMonero159.25151.8791-4.63%154.44-3.02%0.1624✗1.111.2M2022-09-03
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.758.3422-4.66%9.31+6.40%0.1739✗0.491.8M2022-09-03
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0016570.00158-4.67%0.001499-9.54%0.0835✗1.039,0682022-09-03
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.833.6511-4.67%4.492+17.28%0.2986✗0.691.5M2022-09-03
GMTGMTEthereum0.9090.866343-4.69%0.678-25.41%0.0131✓1.76496k2022-09-03
ORCAOrcaSolana1.01920.970877-4.74%0.8416-17.43%0.0825✗1.71241k2022-09-03
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011850.000011283-4.79%0.0000123+3.80%0.2504✗1.25951k2022-09-03
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0205250.01954-4.80%0.026685+30.01%0.3669✗0.42167k2022-09-03
BFCBifrostEthereum0.086150.081975-4.85%0.07135-17.18%0.0406✓1.3629k2022-09-03
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12690.120747-4.85%0.102-19.62%0.0377✓1.004,7012022-09-03
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.085410.08125-4.87%0.07801-8.66%0.0051✓0.271.1M2022-09-03
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.7282.5945-4.89%2.045-25.04%0.0499✓1.4349k2022-09-03
AVTAventusEthereum1.581.5021-4.93%1.49-5.70%0.0311✓0.30242k2022-09-03
ETCEthereum Classicnative34.833.0841-4.93%32.23-7.39%0.1586✗1.4011.4M2022-09-03
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6860.652062-4.95%0.52-24.20%0.0425✓1.4088k2022-09-03
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.3599.844-4.97%12.627+21.89%0.4272✗1.3513.7M2022-09-03
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.5962.4668-4.98%1.881-27.54%0.0406✓1.75109k2022-09-03
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.08090.076867-4.98%0.06279-22.39%0.0068✓1.49871k2022-09-03
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2180.20708-5.01%0.17-22.02%0.0016✓1.51782k2022-09-03
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7990.758845-5.03%0.688-13.89%0.0361✓1.02377k2022-09-03
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.43880.416718-5.03%0.3659-16.61%0.0645✗1.48278k2022-09-03
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.032310.030649-5.14%0.03443+6.56%0.2783✗1.2314k2022-09-03
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08540.081-5.15%0.0572-33.02%0.1967✓1.15126k2022-09-03
ELAElastosEthereum1.8141.7201-5.17%1.771-2.37%0.1122✗0.63206k2022-09-03
XVGVergenative0.003770.003572-5.25%0.00311-17.51%0.0319✓1.30551k2022-09-03
STXStacksnative0.47370.448591-5.30%0.361-23.79%0.0543✓1.24808k2022-09-03
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06670.063159-5.31%0.0578-13.34%0.0349✓0.94183k2022-09-03
ADACardanoCardano0.49970.473095-5.32%0.4804-3.86%0.1735✗1.2040.5M2022-09-03
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3991.3239-5.37%1.159-17.16%0.0347✓1.282.6M2022-09-03
CTSICartesiEthereum0.16420.155228-5.46%0.1379-16.02%0.0449✓1.24518k2022-09-03
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.37213.1872-5.48%7.3234+117.18%0.9490✗0.891.4M2022-09-03
STEEMSteemnative0.25220.238344-5.49%0.2228-11.66%0.0853✗1.16768k2022-09-03
FTTFTXEthereum29.1427.52-5.56%26.2-10.09%0.0757✗0.9510.0M2022-09-03
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche23.3722.0705-5.56%18.9-19.13%0.0528✓1.5826.1M2022-09-03
QTUMQtumQtum3.95923.7368-5.62%3.1511-20.41%0.0277✓1.0945k2022-09-03
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0021890.002065-5.66%0.001655-24.39%0.0898✓1.001.4M2022-09-03
BANDBandEthereum1.7551.6556-5.67%1.319-24.84%0.0392✓1.43341k2022-09-03
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05370.050647-5.68%0.0443-17.50%0.0345✓1.28284k2022-09-03
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.8614.9562-5.70%14.03-11.54%0.1210✗1.412.5M2022-09-03
LUNATerraTerra 20.000099250.000093451-5.84%0.00026115+163.12%1.2961✗2.04516k2022-09-03
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.834.5463-5.87%4.96+2.69%0.1793✗0.701.3M2022-09-03
DODODODOEthereum0.17290.16229-6.14%0.1258-27.24%0.0939✓1.223.5M2022-09-03
SKLSKALEEthereum0.0630.059132-6.14%0.0485-23.02%0.0295✓1.28802k2022-09-03
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0090.008442-6.20%0.00798-11.33%0.1120✗1.28387k2022-09-03
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.05050.985184-6.22%–pending––1.0513k2022-09-03
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.32861.2446-6.33%1.0729-19.25%0.0480✓1.495.6M2022-09-03
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.57760.54103-6.33%0.3093-46.45%0.3783✓1.38234k2022-09-03
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.9671.8416-6.38%1.482-24.66%0.0315✓1.41266k2022-09-03
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum17.7516.6112-6.42%15.21-14.31%0.0837✗1.311.3M2022-09-03
CELLCellframeEthereum0.3290.307408-6.56%0.3208-2.49%0.1908✗1.1377k2022-09-03
XEMNEMnative0.050210.046863-6.67%0.043496-13.37%0.0829✗1.2035k2022-09-03
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.9823.7151-6.70%2.976-25.26%0.1092✓0.86922k2022-09-03
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.7773.5216-6.76%2.941-22.13%0.0490✓1.745.0M2022-09-03
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.7860.732108-6.86%0.519-33.97%0.1525✓1.463,1392022-09-03
API3Api3Ethereum2.2232.0667-7.03%1.68-24.43%0.0401✓1.27626k2022-09-03
UNIUniswapEthereum8.8198.1842-7.20%6.305-28.51%0.0777✓1.399.9M2022-09-03
APEApeCoinEthereum7.4376.8798-7.49%4.756-36.05%0.1414✓1.7313.1M2022-09-03
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.034970.032335-7.54%0.02059-41.12%0.2617✓1.4413.9M2022-09-03
AUCTIONBounceEthereum9.28.5042-7.56%7.65-16.85%0.0765✓1.39334k2022-09-03
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5580.514705-7.76%0.412-26.16%0.0720✓1.1414k2022-09-03
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.03390.947081-8.40%1.1337+9.65%0.3310✗1.151.0M2022-09-03
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.2522.059-8.57%1.543-31.48%0.1058✓1.39172k2022-09-03
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.122.8525-8.57%2.25-27.88%0.0376✓1.52211k2022-09-03
YFIyearn.financeEthereum10,646.829,718.30-8.72%9,785.94-8.09%0.1943✗1.424.5M2022-09-03
QNTQuantEthereum103.7494.5766-8.83%93.83-9.55%0.1222✗0.994.2M2022-09-03
OPTIMOptimism1.9181.7421-9.17%1.195-37.70%0.1176✓1.972.8M2022-09-03
TRBTellor TributesEthereum27.9925.4215-9.18%19.02-32.05%0.1116✓1.36946k2022-09-03
NMRNumeraireEthereum21.6219.6342-9.18%17.13-20.77%0.0254✓0.842.4M2022-09-03
FLOWFlownative2.62.2853-12.11%1.951-24.96%0.0078✓1.26448k2022-09-03
METISMetisEthereum46.0140.0444-12.97%30.98-32.67%0.0170✓1.82266k2022-09-03
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.