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2022-08-01 · +30d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 185 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1190
184 of 185 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+14.68%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
47.3%
in alpha space · 80.4% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-13.86%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (185 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
HIVEHivenative0.77450.679563-12.26%0.5573-28.04%0.0244✓1.171.4M2022-08-31
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,611.3210,546.00-9.17%9,021.07-22.31%0.0522✓1.404.2M2022-08-31
QNTQuantEthereum103.4694.2527-8.90%96.47-6.76%0.1745✗1.014.2M2022-08-31
NMRNumeraireEthereum19.217.5104-8.80%17.27-10.05%0.1148✗0.862.2M2022-08-31
OPTIMOptimism1.5121.3794-8.77%1.129-25.33%0.0956✗1.981.7M2022-08-31
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.4162.2054-8.72%1.522-37.00%0.1602✓1.41177k2022-08-31
ORCAOrcaSolana1.13981.0439-8.42%0.9023-20.84%0.1001✗1.65205k2022-08-31
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.03150.947312-8.16%1.1394+10.46%0.3588✗1.171.1M2022-08-31
TRBTellor TributesEthereum28.4426.1951-7.89%19.03-33.09%0.1118✓1.39641k2022-08-31
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.8310.771148-7.20%0.475-42.84%0.2627✓1.493,6872022-08-31
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.03680.034232-6.98%0.02026-44.95%0.2972✓1.5212.6M2022-08-31
METISMetisEthereum33.6231.3727-6.68%31.03-7.70%0.2790✗1.94229k2022-08-31
AUCTIONBounceEthereum87.4911-6.36%7.66-4.25%0.2262✗1.37263k2022-08-31
APEApeCoinEthereum6.6446.2277-6.27%4.761-28.34%0.0103✓1.7311.3M2022-08-31
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5190.487231-6.12%0.418-19.46%0.0176✓1.1513k2022-08-31
UNIUniswapEthereum8.3657.8575-6.07%6.142-26.58%0.0372✓1.408.5M2022-08-31
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.30621.2277-6.01%1.1463-12.24%0.1560✗1.515.6M2022-08-31
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.6053.3904-5.95%2.959-17.92%0.1219✗1.735.0M2022-08-31
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.41280.388747-5.83%0.31794-22.98%0.0070✓1.39583k2022-08-31
LUNATerraTerra 20.000104790.000098735-5.78%0.00022156+111.43%1.0981✗1.94592k2022-08-31
XEMNEMnative0.0514460.048604-5.52%0.043941-14.59%0.0762✗1.1938k2022-08-31
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.891.7882-5.38%1.43-24.34%0.0111✓1.42234k2022-08-31
FTTFTXEthereum30.7529.1055-5.35%26.73-13.07%0.0569✗0.9510.2M2022-08-31
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.1813.4429-5.20%12.5-11.85%0.1374✗1.411.9M2022-08-31
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.009380.008895-5.17%0.00799-14.82%0.0809✗1.26359k2022-08-31
DODODODOEthereum0.17760.168486-5.13%0.1276-28.15%0.0905✓1.263.5M2022-08-31
API3Api3Ethereum2.0221.9207-5.01%1.65-18.40%0.0388✓1.28637k2022-08-31
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.7768.3422-4.94%5.746-34.53%0.2142✓1.062.4M2022-08-31
SKLSKALEEthereum0.06120.058175-4.94%0.0484-20.92%0.0106✓1.30799k2022-08-31
CELLCellframeEthereum0.32380.307883-4.92%0.3041-6.08%0.1585✗1.1576k2022-08-31
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.8773.6867-4.91%2.922-24.63%0.1005✓0.88754k2022-08-31
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche23.5922.4344-4.90%19.13-18.91%0.0788✗1.6027.5M2022-08-31
ELAElastosEthereum1.7951.7074-4.88%1.818+1.28%0.1581✗0.64189k2022-08-31
FLOWFlownative2.0251.9267-4.86%2.072+2.32%0.2625✗1.27415k2022-08-31
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.54010.513964-4.84%0.3203-40.70%0.2622✓1.41234k2022-08-31
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05320.050656-4.78%0.044-17.29%0.0457✓1.25269k2022-08-31
STEEMSteemnative0.26570.253102-4.74%0.2291-13.77%0.0687✗1.13768k2022-08-31
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06740.064207-4.74%0.0574-14.84%0.0309✓0.96229k2022-08-31
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.862.7255-4.70%2.15-24.83%0.0106✓1.52192k2022-08-31
DKAdKargoEthereum0.051690.049271-4.68%0.04593-11.14%0.0644✗0.9015k2022-08-31
COMPCompoundEthereum58.956.1731-4.63%47.14-19.97%0.0323✓1.3932k2022-08-31
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0024290.002317-4.61%0.001503-38.12%0.2837✓1.001.8M2022-08-31
XMRMoneroMonero160.69153.3435-4.57%149.22-7.14%0.1385✗1.111.3M2022-08-31
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum17.8817.0718-4.52%14.14-20.92%0.0127✓1.351.3M2022-08-31
GMTGMTEthereum0.9550.912202-4.48%0.6723-29.60%0.0408✓1.77513k2022-08-31
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.07791.0301-4.44%–pending––1.0313k2022-08-31
AVTAventusEthereum1.561.4908-4.44%1.52-2.56%0.0517✗0.22268k2022-08-31
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0199980.019122-4.38%0.030314+51.59%0.5376✗0.51165k2022-08-31
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,172.7022,175.29-4.30%19,990.40-13.73%0.0426✓0.9814k2022-08-31
CTSICartesiEthereum0.1720.164598-4.30%0.1395-18.90%0.0209✓1.25491k2022-08-31
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.3999.9566-4.25%11.825+13.71%0.3769✗1.3714.4M2022-08-31
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08580.082172-4.23%0.0595-30.65%0.1472✓1.18137k2022-08-31
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.4710.451377-4.17%0.3462-26.50%0.0460✓1.47273k2022-08-31
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010960.001051-4.15%0.001342+22.42%0.4363✗1.291.4M2022-08-31
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.28523.149-4.14%6.6294+101.80%0.8776✗0.891.2M2022-08-31
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4231.3646-4.11%1.205-15.32%0.0653✗1.272.5M2022-08-31
XVGVergenative0.003750.003596-4.10%0.00335-10.67%0.1242✗1.31559k2022-08-31
ETCEthereum Classicnative35.0233.5861-4.09%32.41-7.45%0.1748✗1.416.9M2022-08-31
CHZChilizEthereum0.14940.143322-4.07%0.2179+45.85%0.5840✗1.11698k2022-08-31
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011970.000011485-4.05%0.00001208+0.92%0.2345✗1.23986k2022-08-31
BANDBandEthereum1.7181.6492-4.00%1.275-25.79%0.0410✓1.45327k2022-08-31
ADACardanoCardano0.51280.492291-4.00%0.4458-13.07%0.0873✗1.2541.9M2022-08-31
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6460.620469-3.95%0.515-20.28%0.0231✓1.4088k2022-08-31
COTICOTIEthereum0.11620.111648-3.92%0.0899-22.63%0.0227✓1.30472k2022-08-31
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3231.2715-3.89%0.9427-28.75%0.1140✓1.241.2M2022-08-31
ETHEthereumEthereum1,630.821,568.15-3.84%1,554.00-4.71%0.1783✗1.26387.0M2022-08-31
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,273.8622,385.40-3.82%20,048.26-13.86%0.0389✗1.00414.2M2022-08-31
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.3644.1984-3.80%13.005+198.01%1.2175✗0.581.2M2022-08-31
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0032560.003133-3.77%0.002994-8.05%0.1065✗1.021.0M2022-08-31
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.5652.4685-3.76%1.915-25.34%0.0079✓1.7595k2022-08-31
DIADIAEthereum0.487140.469083-3.71%0.3717-23.70%0.1156✓0.7863k2022-08-31
FORTFortaEthereum0.30590.294578-3.70%0.2325-23.99%0.0689✓1.12300k2022-08-31
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.074.8824-3.70%4.79-5.52%0.0868✗0.711.2M2022-08-31
BFCBifrostEthereum0.084190.081082-3.69%0.07274-13.60%0.0919✗1.3429k2022-08-31
XECeCashnative0.000045140.000043475-3.69%0.00004452-1.37%0.1969✗1.161.9M2022-08-31
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.419380.403979-3.67%0.33416-20.32%0.0089✓1.21118k2022-08-31
MOVRMoonriverBase15.134314.5798-3.66%12.38-18.20%0.0119✓1.1868k2022-08-31
SUSHISushiEthereum1.421.3683-3.64%1.0347-27.13%0.0648✓1.441.1M2022-08-31
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.14380.13859-3.62%0.1236-14.05%0.0771✗1.2859k2022-08-31
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.333.2097-3.61%2.03-39.04%0.3849✓0.4994k2022-08-31
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.08050.077594-3.61%0.06211-22.84%0.0012✓1.50773k2022-08-31
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.15410.148619-3.56%0.1324-14.08%0.0320✓0.993.5M2022-08-31
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.19250.18573-3.52%0.15568-19.13%0.1688✗2.311,2222022-08-31
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.032040.030917-3.50%0.03519+9.83%0.3145✗1.2414k2022-08-31
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2210.213277-3.49%0.168-23.98%0.0126✓1.51821k2022-08-31
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12550.121207-3.42%0.1003-20.08%0.0416✓0.994,9522022-08-31
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.57471.521-3.41%1.7276+9.71%0.3416✗1.44589k2022-08-31
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26180.25297-3.37%0.247-5.65%0.0222✓0.0128k2022-08-31
XLMStellarStellar0.1183040.11433-3.36%0.104365-11.78%0.0572✗0.996.8M2022-08-31
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.5747.3206-3.35%6.628-12.49%0.0892✗1.2616.9M2022-08-31
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7720.746207-3.34%0.663-14.12%0.0290✓0.99377k2022-08-31
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.859.5211-3.34%8.84-10.25%0.0039✓0.521.7M2022-08-31
SOLSolanaSolana41.6740.2801-3.34%31.5-24.41%0.0431✓1.3681.1M2022-08-31
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.93880.907812-3.30%0.9535+1.57%0.1827✗0.903.2M2022-08-31
UMAUMAEthereum2.962.8625-3.29%2.728-7.84%0.1187✗1.12619k2022-08-31
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.9472.8508-3.26%2.012-31.73%0.1358✓1.4349k2022-08-31
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.94512.8497-3.24%7.8611+166.92%1.1302✗0.77978k2022-08-31
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.187.9184-3.20%7.033-14.02%0.0664✗1.2410.0M2022-08-31
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.34240.331627-3.15%0.2885-15.74%0.0307✓1.147.7M2022-08-31
STORJStorjEthereum0.711570.689296-3.13%0.55118-22.54%0.0020✓1.5188k2022-08-31
QTUMQtumQtum4.14614.0166-3.12%3.149-24.05%0.0802✓1.0939k2022-08-31
KSMKusamaHydration64.2362.2266-3.12%47.42-26.17%0.0950✓1.18354k2022-08-31
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.536.3264-3.12%5.61-14.09%0.0279✓0.621.2M2022-08-31
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.23070.223599-3.08%0.2184-5.33%0.1977✗1.4897k2022-08-31
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV60.67658.8292-3.04%51.915-14.44%0.0011✓0.85345k2022-08-31
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0687210.066632-3.04%0.061277-10.83%0.0875✗1.151.7M2022-08-31
UOSUltraEthereum0.309120.29982-3.01%0.35+13.22%0.3291✗1.17398k2022-08-31
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.26310.25526-2.98%0.2112-19.73%0.0061✓1.23101k2022-08-31
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.078980.076668-2.93%0.06618-16.21%0.0380✓0.731,1722022-08-31
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12070.117227-2.88%0.1033-14.42%0.0333✗1.07352k2022-08-31
STXStacksnative0.46130.448095-2.86%0.365-20.88%0.0193✓1.25778k2022-08-31
DASHDashDash49.7548.3317-2.85%44.55-10.45%0.0836✗1.11574k2022-08-31
ZENHorizenBase18.1617.6452-2.83%15.53-14.48%0.0768✗1.37116k2022-08-31
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.9343.8256-2.75%4.337+10.24%0.2327✗0.721.4M2022-08-31
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.3360.326788-2.74%0.2809-16.40%0.0252✓1.183.1M2022-08-31
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.12360.120245-2.71%0.1026-16.99%0.0473✗1.382.8M2022-08-31
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.8493.7459-2.68%4.449+15.59%0.2607✗0.591.7M2022-08-31
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.348.1184-2.66%6.25-25.06%0.0758✓1.246.8M2022-08-31
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.26812.208-2.65%1.7939-20.91%0.0234✓1.2329k2022-08-31
WOOWOOEthereum0.21060.205015-2.65%0.1531-27.30%0.0893✓1.361,6972022-08-31
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0016970.001652-2.64%0.00156-8.07%0.0951✗1.0211k2022-08-31
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.06410.062452-2.57%0.1161+81.12%0.7411✗0.81155k2022-08-31
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8610.839017-2.55%0.673-21.84%0.0370✗1.735.0M2022-08-31
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7930.773164-2.50%0.663-16.39%0.0302✗1.23218k2022-08-31
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.9194.7961-2.50%6.047+22.93%0.3140✗0.552.0M2022-08-31
XTZTezosTezos1.81991.7749-2.47%1.5108-16.98%0.0272✗1.26492k2022-08-31
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.092360.090089-2.46%0.08149-11.77%0.0640✓0.241.1M2022-08-31
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash137.87134.5155-2.43%115.16-16.47%0.0224✓1.194.3M2022-08-31
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.79682.7292-2.42%4.0516+44.87%0.5408✗0.981.0M2022-08-31
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.165410.161631-2.28%0.13698-17.19%0.0647✗1.54212k2022-08-31
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0150170.014674-2.28%0.013176-12.26%0.0239✗0.881.6M2022-08-31
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.815.6782-2.27%6.4+10.15%0.2107✗0.61732k2022-08-31
GLMGolemEthereum0.2770.270723-2.27%0.2447-11.66%0.0595✗1.0867k2022-08-31
GALAGALAEthereum0.06480.063351-2.24%0.0503-22.38%0.0161✓1.44154k2022-08-31
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7310.714893-2.20%0.528-27.77%0.0806✓1.4980k2022-08-31
AAVEAaveEthereum96.5894.5348-2.12%84.85-12.15%0.1399✗1.6610.2M2022-08-31
BTTCBTTC9.70e-79.50e-7-2.08%8.80e-7-9.28%0.0477✗0.836.4M2022-08-31
MANADecentralandEthereum1.01630.995478-2.05%0.77191-24.05%0.0570✓1.32525k2022-08-31
IMXImmutableEthereum1.07891.057-2.03%0.8327-22.82%0.0276✓1.411.4M2022-08-31
CHRChromiaEthereum0.2070.202794-2.03%0.1824-11.88%0.1023✗1.401,1792022-08-31
LCXLCXEthereum0.06020.058999-1.99%0.0577-4.15%0.1870✗1.40339k2022-08-31
SCSiacoinnative0.004780.004685-1.98%0.00404-15.48%0.0481✗1.32112k2022-08-31
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4352.3878-1.94%3.743+53.72%0.5867✗0.92105k2022-08-31
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.2511.034-1.92%10.1-10.22%0.0928✗1.21243k2022-08-31
AMPAmpEthereum0.008420.008259-1.91%0.00619-26.48%0.1520✓0.911.6M2022-08-31
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010210.010018-1.88%0.00858-15.96%0.0110✓0.974.7M2022-08-31
LTCLitecoinLitecoin59.4758.3512-1.88%53.84-9.47%0.0920✗1.1613.6M2022-08-31
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.046180.045318-1.87%0.03845-16.74%0.0210✓0.962,3002022-08-31
RADRadworksEthereum2.392.3498-1.68%2.13-10.88%0.0614✗1.07301k2022-08-31
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.021560.021204-1.65%0.02304+6.86%0.2370✗1.03159k2022-08-31
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04130.040628-1.63%0.0349-15.50%0.0312✗1.2371k2022-08-31
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.030010.02953-1.60%0.02455-18.19%0.0102✓1.311,2932022-08-31
XYMSymbolnative0.0572340.056326-1.59%0.043128-24.65%0.1776✓0.6022k2022-08-31
CVCCivicEthereum0.16470.162189-1.52%0.1445-12.26%0.0699✗1.2494k2022-08-31
C98Coin98Ethereum0.49660.489084-1.51%0.439-11.60%0.0591✗1.1247k2022-08-31
LSKLiskEthereum1.2461.2275-1.48%1.0708-14.06%0.0220✗1.0643k2022-08-31
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3350.330105-1.46%0.282-15.82%0.0036✓1.03959k2022-08-31
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.55740.549274-1.46%0.4594-17.58%0.0086✓1.14341k2022-08-31
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.60e-79.47e-7-1.36%8.70e-7-9.37%0.0644✗1.0025k2022-08-31
KCSKuCoinnative9.9639.8292-1.34%9.001-9.66%0.0737✗1.082.1M2022-08-31
CBKCobakEthereum1.19911.1839-1.27%0.89656-25.23%0.1141✓1.1010k2022-08-31
PROPropyEthereum0.780.770173-1.26%0.73-6.41%0.0367✗0.6179k2022-08-31
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.16.0314-1.12%6.7+9.84%0.2040✗0.66623k2022-08-31
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.61960.613243-1.03%0.5054-18.43%0.0210✓1.16642k2022-08-31
CTKShentuOsmosis1.081.0698-0.94%0.91-15.74%0.0572✓0.701.5M2022-08-31
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3627650.359422-0.92%0.29809-17.83%0.0066✓1.301.0M2022-08-31
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.006650.006597-0.80%0.006495-2.33%0.0649✗0.5438k2022-08-31
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7270.721735-0.72%1.078+48.28%0.5823✗1.21806k2022-08-31
NANOnanopayBase1.01851.0124-0.60%0.894603-12.16%0.0194✗0.9660k2022-08-31
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.01790.017794-0.59%0.01358-24.13%0.1536✓0.78229k2022-08-31
LRCLoopringEthereum0.42390.421676-0.52%0.3513-17.13%0.0156✗1.33127k2022-08-31
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07050.070171-0.47%0.0622-11.77%0.0400✗1.08567k2022-08-31
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09510.094774-0.34%0.0821-13.67%0.0362✗1.216,7862022-08-31
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.29e-73.28e-7-0.28%9.25e-7+181.07%1.1793✗0.96178k2022-08-31
XVSVenusEthereum6.516.4976-0.19%4.86-25.35%0.0815✓1.401.1M2022-08-31
ZECZcashZcash62.8762.8706+0.00%59.88-4.76%0.1380✓1.251.5M2022-08-31
GITCOINGITCOIN2.8592.8615+0.09%2.1594-24.47%0.0481✗1.5612k2022-08-31
GTGateEthereum4.41644.4221+0.13%4.3008-2.62%0.0810✓0.73916k2022-08-31
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.195.1992+0.18%5.8014+11.78%0.1407✓0.21210k2022-08-31
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04830.048419+0.25%0.0357-26.09%0.1042✗1.347,6872022-08-31
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.631.6348+0.30%1.31-19.63%0.0170✗1.37114k2022-08-31
TRXTRONTron0.0699720.070192+0.31%0.063428-9.35%0.0146✓0.78373k2022-08-31
SUNSun TokenTron0.0063210.006348+0.43%0.005668-10.32%0.0210✓0.909,1592022-08-31
BORABORAKlay Token0.345490.347539+0.59%0.31172-9.77%0.0874✓1.3112k2022-08-31
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0236210.023804+0.78%0.02152-8.89%0.0448✓0.989,6292022-08-31
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.