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2022-07-31 · +30d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1757
184 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+15.38%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
37.5%
in alpha space · 77.2% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-14.99%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
SUNSun TokenTron0.0062840.006408+1.98%0.005787-7.90%0.0438✓0.909,1592022-08-30
TRXTRONTron0.0689340.069616+0.99%0.064705-6.13%0.0520✓0.77373k2022-08-30
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0226140.02283+0.96%0.021461-5.10%0.0967✓0.989,2332022-08-30
XVSVenusEthereum6.386.413+0.52%4.86-23.82%0.0502✗1.401.0M2022-08-30
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.01035.0317+0.43%5.3918+7.61%0.1033✓0.21210k2022-08-30
GITCOINGITCOIN3.16883.1804+0.37%2.0768-34.46%0.1723✗1.5611k2022-08-30
ZECZcashZcash64.3964.5711+0.28%59.87-7.02%0.1280✓1.251.5M2022-08-30
GTGateEthereum4.45154.4622+0.24%4.2549-4.42%0.0705✓0.73920k2022-08-30
BORABORAKlay Token0.323170.323773+0.19%0.29332-9.24%0.1143✓1.3111k2022-08-30
LRCLoopringEthereum0.41870.41887+0.04%0.3561-14.95%0.0534✓1.33112k2022-08-30
ASTRAstarEthereum0.0480.047991-0.02%0.036-25.00%0.0709✓1.337,5232022-08-30
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06780.067704-0.14%0.0617-9.00%0.0816✗1.07432k2022-08-30
NANOnanopayBase1.01361.0119-0.17%0.900508-11.16%0.0392✗0.9658k2022-08-30
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.691.6863-0.22%1.32-21.89%0.0223✓1.37114k2022-08-30
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.41e-73.41e-7-0.23%0.000001089+218.95%1.3170✗0.95178k2022-08-30
CBKCobakEthereum1.12031.1167-0.32%0.88331-21.16%0.0565✓1.1010k2022-08-30
CVCCivicEthereum0.15080.150225-0.38%0.1464-2.92%0.1757✗1.2490k2022-08-30
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9860.981215-0.49%0.994+0.81%0.1265✗0.701.3M2022-08-30
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.006770.006736-0.50%0.006537-3.44%0.0575✗0.5439k2022-08-30
NEXONEXOEthereum0.710.706388-0.51%1.019+43.52%0.5643✗1.22776k2022-08-30
PROPropyEthereum0.760.756111-0.51%0.74-2.63%0.0765✗0.6079k2022-08-30
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.018410.018299-0.61%0.01422-22.76%0.1285✓0.76248k2022-08-30
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.030560.030345-0.70%0.02474-19.04%0.0080✗1.311,3342022-08-30
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09670.095976-0.75%0.0815-15.72%0.0323✗1.216,7862022-08-30
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.3662.3451-0.89%3.795+60.40%0.6306✗0.92105k2022-08-30
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.62480.619223-0.89%0.5123-18.01%0.0021✓1.15624k2022-08-30
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.685.628-0.92%6.14+8.10%0.1942✗0.66588k2022-08-30
GALAGALAEthereum0.0570.056458-0.95%0.0507-11.05%0.1250✗1.43152k2022-08-30
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.56270.557184-0.98%0.4471-20.54%0.0353✓1.14350k2022-08-30
LSKLiskEthereum1.17851.1658-1.08%1.0458-11.26%0.0638✗1.0643k2022-08-30
MANADecentralandEthereum0.976480.965384-1.14%0.77064-21.08%0.0107✓1.32487k2022-08-30
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03860.038146-1.18%0.0353-8.55%0.1201✗1.2268k2022-08-30
IMXImmutableEthereum1.08221.0688-1.24%0.8324-23.08%0.0212✓1.411.4M2022-08-30
XYMSymbolnative0.0570680.056359-1.24%0.042966-24.71%0.1739✓0.6022k2022-08-30
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3884020.38357-1.24%0.298969-23.03%0.0379✓1.301.0M2022-08-30
KCSKuCoinnative10.059.9245-1.25%8.973-10.72%0.0751✗1.082.4M2022-08-30
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.755.6781-1.25%5.19-9.74%0.0099✓0.611.1M2022-08-30
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.021210.020942-1.26%0.02405+13.39%0.3064✗1.03159k2022-08-30
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.5211.3669-1.33%10.09-12.41%0.0780✗1.21241k2022-08-30
CHRChromiaEthereum0.2070.204033-1.43%0.1811-12.51%0.1076✗1.401,1792022-08-30
C98Coin98Ethereum0.50440.497094-1.45%0.4301-14.73%0.0372✗1.1245k2022-08-30
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.18.9669-1.46%8.31-8.68%0.0092✓0.531.4M2022-08-30
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.70e-79.55e-7-1.54%8.80e-7-9.28%0.0806✗1.0024k2022-08-30
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.096250.094752-1.56%0.08237-14.42%0.1016✓0.241.1M2022-08-30
XTZTezosTezos1.74081.7118-1.67%1.4973-13.99%0.0707✗1.26492k2022-08-30
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010310.010136-1.69%0.00864-16.20%0.0030✓0.964.7M2022-08-30
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.044190.043425-1.73%0.03799-14.03%0.0223✗0.962,3002022-08-30
CHZChilizEthereum0.12190.119789-1.73%0.1967+61.36%0.6745✗1.10685k2022-08-30
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7730.759561-1.74%0.671-13.20%0.0762✗1.23212k2022-08-30
GLMGolemEthereum0.26330.258661-1.76%0.2442-7.25%0.1172✗1.0865k2022-08-30
LTCLitecoinLitecoin59.7658.7058-1.76%53.01-11.30%0.0856✗1.1613.5M2022-08-30
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.166050.163112-1.77%0.1352-18.58%0.0631✗1.54207k2022-08-30
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.72362.6752-1.78%3.8429+41.10%0.5208✗0.981.0M2022-08-30
SCSiacoinnative0.004560.004477-1.81%0.00402-11.84%0.1056✗1.31112k2022-08-30
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.074.9776-1.82%6.03+18.93%0.2908✗0.61668k2022-08-30
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.724.633-1.84%5.751+21.84%0.3058✗0.552.0M2022-08-30
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.19622.1537-1.93%1.8168-17.27%0.0304✗1.2326k2022-08-30
LCXLCXEthereum0.06290.06167-1.96%0.0576-8.43%0.1589✗1.40339k2022-08-30
AAVEAaveEthereum97.6395.6455-2.03%84.38-13.57%0.1446✗1.6610.2M2022-08-30
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8610.843369-2.05%0.669-22.30%0.0484✗1.725.2M2022-08-30
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.6793.6034-2.06%4.11+11.72%0.2281✗0.591.6M2022-08-30
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.713.6333-2.07%4.099+10.49%0.2378✗0.721.3M2022-08-30
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.31750.3108-2.11%0.2879-9.32%0.1160✗1.193.0M2022-08-30
RADRadworksEthereum2.592.5353-2.11%2.06-20.46%0.0334✓1.07258k2022-08-30
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3420.334733-2.12%0.284-16.96%0.0034✓1.03794k2022-08-30
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.07160.070072-2.13%0.1115+55.73%0.5982✗0.82148k2022-08-30
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.24990.244311-2.24%0.2089-16.41%0.0428✗1.2399k2022-08-30
AMPAmpEthereum0.00910.008896-2.25%0.0062-31.87%0.2122✓0.921.6M2022-08-30
QTUMQtumQtum4.06893.9769-2.26%3.1158-23.42%0.0664✓1.0934k2022-08-30
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash139.37136.1611-2.30%114.69-17.71%0.0219✓1.194.2M2022-08-30
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.030290.029592-2.30%0.03529+16.51%0.3772✗1.2414k2022-08-30
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.8732.8067-2.31%2.049-28.68%0.0836✓1.4247k2022-08-30
BTTCBTTC9.80e-79.57e-7-2.39%8.80e-7-10.20%0.0513✗0.836.1M2022-08-30
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0017510.001709-2.40%0.001486-15.13%0.0260✗1.0216k2022-08-30
WOOWOOEthereum0.2270.221537-2.41%0.1487-34.49%0.1768✓1.371,6972022-08-30
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.1280.124761-2.53%0.103-19.53%0.0317✗1.382.6M2022-08-30
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13560.132156-2.54%0.1227-9.51%0.1340✗1.2855k2022-08-30
UMAUMAEthereum2.872.7966-2.56%2.775-3.31%0.1733✗1.11619k2022-08-30
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12070.117597-2.57%0.1027-14.91%0.0372✗1.06352k2022-08-30
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.54221.5024-2.58%1.7301+12.18%0.3764✗1.45589k2022-08-30
DIADIAEthereum0.4620.449801-2.64%0.37644-18.52%0.0509✓0.7863k2022-08-30
STXStacksnative0.43890.427174-2.67%0.3613-17.68%0.0345✗1.24643k2022-08-30
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.14370.139845-2.68%0.1325-7.79%0.1062✗0.993.5M2022-08-30
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.068140.066282-2.73%0.06142-9.86%0.1101✗1.151.7M2022-08-30
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.33610.326832-2.76%0.2917-13.21%0.0696✗1.137.7M2022-08-30
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.77522.6976-2.80%6.0023+116.28%0.9256✗0.77978k2022-08-30
COTICOTIEthereum0.10960.106518-2.81%0.0889-18.89%0.0299✗1.30472k2022-08-30
DASHDashDash51.1749.7222-2.83%45.51-11.06%0.0911✗1.11574k2022-08-30
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.23390.227243-2.85%0.2211-5.47%0.2135✗1.4897k2022-08-30
STORJStorjEthereum0.685450.665887-2.85%0.5402-21.19%0.0364✗1.5188k2022-08-30
UOSUltraEthereum0.312690.303765-2.85%0.34582+10.60%0.3194✗1.17398k2022-08-30
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0159540.015499-2.85%0.013148-17.59%0.0208✓0.881.2M2022-08-30
ZENHorizenBase18.9518.4074-2.86%15.8-16.62%0.0697✗1.37116k2022-08-30
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV61.17959.4093-2.89%51.582-15.69%0.0039✓0.85369k2022-08-30
XLMStellarStellar0.1176240.114179-2.93%0.102411-12.93%0.0526✗0.996.8M2022-08-30
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.92120.894021-2.95%0.9633+4.57%0.2199✗0.893.2M2022-08-30
KSMKusamaHydration63.861.8958-2.98%47.47-25.60%0.0730✓1.18303k2022-08-30
CELLCellframeEthereum0.30590.296673-3.02%0.3098+1.27%0.2274✗1.1375k2022-08-30
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7620.738734-3.05%0.652-14.44%0.0351✗0.98360k2022-08-30
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0031290.003033-3.07%0.002993-4.35%0.1510✗1.01999k2022-08-30
XECeCashnative0.000043840.000042492-3.08%0.00004589+4.68%0.2650✗1.161.9M2022-08-30
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.667.4237-3.08%6.558-14.39%0.0811✗1.2616.2M2022-08-30
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2140.207357-3.10%0.169-21.03%0.0411✗1.51803k2022-08-30
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.794.6402-3.13%4.47-6.68%0.0778✗0.711.1M2022-08-30
BFCBifrostEthereum0.08360.080973-3.14%0.07109-14.96%0.0880✗1.3429k2022-08-30
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26120.252971-3.15%0.2608-0.15%0.0323✗0.0128k2022-08-30
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.80.774699-3.16%0.519-35.13%0.1584✓1.4980k2022-08-30
FISStafiEthereum0.38580.37358-3.17%–pending––0.941922022-08-30
BANDBandEthereum1.6811.6268-3.23%1.233-26.65%0.0418✓1.45327k2022-08-30
SOLSolanaSolana42.3841.0114-3.23%31.48-25.72%0.0438✓1.3681.1M2022-08-30
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.400650.387695-3.23%0.33647-16.02%0.0548✗1.21113k2022-08-30
MOVRMoonriverBase14.833514.3499-3.26%12.3167-16.97%0.0383✗1.1870k2022-08-30
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6140.593849-3.28%0.515-16.12%0.0849✗1.4086k2022-08-30
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.1984.0602-3.28%12.481+197.31%1.2180✗0.581.2M2022-08-30
FORTFortaEthereum0.2940.284263-3.31%0.2461-16.29%0.0388✗1.13303k2022-08-30
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.07921.043-3.35%–pending––1.0313k2022-08-30
SUSHISushiEthereum1.441.3914-3.38%1.0506-27.04%0.0473✓1.441.1M2022-08-30
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.194230.187556-3.44%0.15379-20.82%0.1775✗2.311,2222022-08-30
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.381.3325-3.44%1.188-13.91%0.0924✗1.282.4M2022-08-30
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.4640.447979-3.45%0.3341-28.00%0.0547✓1.47273k2022-08-30
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.03972.9329-3.51%5.6189+84.85%0.7951✗0.891.2M2022-08-30
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,400.0022,569.74-3.55%19,869.30-15.09%0.0320✓0.9814k2022-08-30
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12840.123788-3.59%0.097-24.45%0.0831✓0.995,2722022-08-30
FLOWFlownative1.9241.8548-3.60%2.012+4.57%0.2878✗1.27415k2022-08-30
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3081.2604-3.64%0.9513-27.27%0.0798✓1.241.2M2022-08-30
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.8113.6722-3.64%3.133-17.79%0.0145✓0.89754k2022-08-30
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,307.4422,456.91-3.65%19,813.17-14.99%0.0372✓1.00414.2M2022-08-30
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.9788.6494-3.66%6.257-30.31%0.1215✓1.256.5M2022-08-30
ADACardanoCardano0.51650.497458-3.69%0.453-12.29%0.1093✗1.2541.9M2022-08-30
XMRMoneroMonero155.01149.2717-3.70%148.87-3.96%0.1768✗1.101.3M2022-08-30
XVGVergenative0.003710.003573-3.70%0.00292-21.29%0.0103✓1.31570k2022-08-30
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.080910.077914-3.70%0.06652-17.79%0.0392✓0.731,0512022-08-30
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011720.000011282-3.74%0.00001218+3.92%0.2767✗1.23951k2022-08-30
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010870.001046-3.74%0.001348+24.02%0.4619✗1.281.5M2022-08-30
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.6338.3079-3.77%7.008-18.82%0.0313✓1.249.4M2022-08-30
ETHEthereumEthereum1,679.311,615.88-3.78%1,524.81-9.20%0.1461✗1.26387.0M2022-08-30
CTSICartesiEthereum0.16740.16095-3.85%0.1389-17.03%0.0553✗1.25475k2022-08-30
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.5972.4963-3.88%1.89-27.22%0.0068✓1.7592k2022-08-30
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.393.2565-3.94%2.07-38.94%0.3733✓0.4981k2022-08-30
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.3579.949-3.94%11.928+15.17%0.4043✗1.3714.4M2022-08-30
AVTAventusEthereum1.541.4785-3.99%1.61+4.55%0.1204✗0.22268k2022-08-30
ELAElastosEthereum1.7931.7207-4.03%1.823+1.67%0.1616✗0.64206k2022-08-30
COMPCompoundEthereum57.0454.7034-4.10%47-17.60%0.0741✗1.3932k2022-08-30
API3Api3Ethereum1.9481.8678-4.12%1.632-16.22%0.0712✗1.27637k2022-08-30
HIVEHivenative0.53010.507886-4.19%0.5489+3.55%0.2657✗1.161.4M2022-08-30
GMTGMTEthereum0.9550.914497-4.24%0.6566-31.25%0.0441✓1.77513k2022-08-30
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05870.056157-4.33%0.0484-17.55%0.0630✗1.30787k2022-08-30
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05420.051828-4.38%0.0429-20.85%0.0148✓1.25269k2022-08-30
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum18.0617.2685-4.38%13.86-23.26%0.0007✓1.351.3M2022-08-30
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06690.063962-4.39%0.0579-13.45%0.0561✗0.96229k2022-08-30
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08840.084435-4.49%0.0625-29.30%0.1098✓1.18146k2022-08-30
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0213810.020417-4.51%0.022785+6.57%0.1935✗0.52167k2022-08-30
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0024970.002384-4.51%0.001548-38.01%0.2696✓1.001.9M2022-08-30
STEEMSteemnative0.25630.244727-4.52%0.226-11.82%0.1045✗1.13701k2022-08-30
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.3313.6551-4.71%12.2-14.86%0.1184✗1.421.7M2022-08-30
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche23.7522.6309-4.71%19.38-18.40%0.1039✗1.5927.5M2022-08-30
ETCEthereum Classicnative36.534.7546-4.78%32.31-11.48%0.1565✗1.415.4M2022-08-30
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.5650.53793-4.79%0.3252-42.44%0.2754✓1.40234k2022-08-30
XEMNEMnative0.0494080.046974-4.93%0.043415-12.13%0.1141✗1.1938k2022-08-30
FTTFTXEthereum30.3928.884-4.96%26.6-12.47%0.0725✗0.9510.2M2022-08-30
DKAdKargoEthereum0.049060.046599-5.02%0.04661-4.99%0.1461✗0.9015k2022-08-30
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.084020.079678-5.17%0.06327-24.70%0.0129✓1.50768k2022-08-30
DODODODOEthereum0.17320.16422-5.18%0.1276-26.33%0.0484✓1.263.4M2022-08-30
ORCAOrcaSolana0.92660.87781-5.27%0.9192-0.80%0.3123✗1.64202k2022-08-30
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.00960.009087-5.35%0.00806-16.04%0.0852✗1.26355k2022-08-30
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.9811.8719-5.51%1.43-27.81%0.0380✓1.42234k2022-08-30
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.5633.3653-5.55%2.977-16.45%0.1581✗1.735.0M2022-08-30
LUNATerraTerra 20.000098070.000092625-5.55%0.00015837+61.49%0.8486✗1.92592k2022-08-30
UNIUniswapEthereum8.3277.8554-5.66%6.174-25.86%0.0133✓1.408.2M2022-08-30
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.777.3166-5.84%7.98+2.70%0.3082✗1.36256k2022-08-30
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.31791.2404-5.88%1.0635-19.30%0.0898✗1.505.6M2022-08-30
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.426660.400909-6.04%0.31982-25.04%0.0000✓1.39592k2022-08-30
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5280.495603-6.14%0.425-19.51%0.0326✓1.1513k2022-08-30
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.23.0036-6.14%2.07-35.31%0.1258✓1.52192k2022-08-30
METISMetisEthereum34.6132.4486-6.24%31.05-10.29%0.2708✗1.94229k2022-08-30
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.034230.032026-6.44%0.02038-40.46%0.2042✓1.5311.5M2022-08-30
APEApeCoinEthereum6.7336.2899-6.58%4.809-28.58%0.0132✓1.7310.6M2022-08-30
TRBTellor TributesEthereum26.3724.5832-6.78%22.31-15.40%0.1291✗1.39585k2022-08-30
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.99490.91472-8.06%1.1881+19.42%0.4510✗1.171.2M2022-08-30
OPTIMOptimism1.5831.4502-8.39%1.083-31.59%0.0304✓1.981.3M2022-08-30
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.8750.801159-8.44%0.497-43.20%0.2357✓1.493,1392022-08-30
YFIyearn.financeEthereum10,863.909,934.40-8.56%8,874.58-18.31%0.1131✗1.394.1M2022-08-30
QNTQuantEthereum102.6193.6546-8.73%95.63-6.80%0.1857✗1.014.2M2022-08-30
FILFilecoinFilecoin9.7898.8623-9.47%5.711-41.66%0.2666✓1.062.3M2022-08-30
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.5032.2498-10.11%1.556-37.83%0.1394✓1.41172k2022-08-30
NMRNumeraireEthereum21.0718.5074-12.16%17.33-17.75%0.0749✓0.872.2M2022-08-30
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.