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2022-07-30 · +30d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2406
184 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+12.61%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
40.8%
in alpha space · 74.9% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-14.22%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
SUNSun TokenTron0.0061490.006405+4.17%0.005874-4.47%0.0512✓0.909,1592022-08-29
TRXTRONTron0.0690340.070378+1.95%0.063437-8.11%0.0142✓0.77376k2022-08-29
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0221980.022612+1.87%0.020994-5.42%0.0758✓0.989,2332022-08-29
BORABORAKlay Token0.317750.322751+1.57%0.30106-5.25%0.1317✓1.3111k2022-08-29
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06710.068125+1.53%0.0617-8.05%0.0658✓1.08351k2022-08-29
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04520.045878+1.50%0.0373-17.48%0.0016✓1.347,5232022-08-29
GITCOINGITCOIN2.8162.8492+1.18%2.1453-23.82%0.0430✗1.5711k2022-08-29
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08740.088229+0.95%0.0843-3.55%0.1406✓1.216,3652022-08-29
GTGateEthereum4.44444.4842+0.89%4.397-1.07%0.0920✓0.73947k2022-08-29
ZECZcashZcash65.1365.6476+0.79%63.75-2.12%0.1630✓1.251.5M2022-08-29
LRCLoopringEthereum0.43120.43412+0.68%0.3664-15.03%0.0340✓1.33104k2022-08-29
CVCCivicEthereum0.14780.148721+0.62%0.148+0.14%0.1857✓1.2488k2022-08-29
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.05165.0783+0.53%5.2836+4.59%0.0721✓0.21210k2022-08-29
PROPropyEthereum0.750.75316+0.42%0.74-1.33%0.0753✓0.6179k2022-08-29
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.029750.029844+0.32%0.02554-14.15%0.0454✓1.311,3342022-08-29
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.645.6533+0.24%6.38+13.12%0.2225✓0.66554k2022-08-29
NANOnanopayBase1.01461.0166+0.20%0.918733-9.44%0.0460✓0.9658k2022-08-29
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.60e-73.61e-7+0.13%8.65e-7+140.30%1.0211✓0.95188k2022-08-29
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.59140.592108+0.12%0.523-11.57%0.0534✓1.16624k2022-08-29
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.641.6414+0.08%1.33-18.90%0.0001✓1.37114k2022-08-29
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4672.4677+0.03%4.203+70.37%0.6735✓0.92105k2022-08-29
GALAGALAEthereum0.05570.055698-0.00%0.0525-5.75%0.1606✗1.43140k2022-08-29
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0069720.006971-0.01%0.006696-3.96%0.0423✗0.5439k2022-08-29
LSKLiskEthereum1.14191.1415-0.04%1.0621-6.99%0.0911✗1.0643k2022-08-29
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3090.308768-0.07%0.283-8.41%0.0723✗1.04766k2022-08-29
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7240.723224-0.11%0.989+36.60%0.4998✗1.22776k2022-08-29
XVSVenusEthereum6.766.7501-0.15%5.12-24.26%0.0625✓1.391.0M2022-08-29
XYMSymbolnative0.0578340.057726-0.19%0.044446-23.15%0.1695✓0.6022k2022-08-29
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.018670.018628-0.22%0.0151-19.12%0.0935✓0.76254k2022-08-29
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.159.1286-0.23%8.46-7.54%0.0046✗0.531.2M2022-08-29
CBKCobakEthereum1.04951.047-0.24%0.87542-16.59%0.0103✓1.109,9742022-08-29
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.595.5743-0.28%5.31-5.01%0.0459✗0.62956k2022-08-29
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.570.568312-0.30%0.4607-19.18%0.0353✓1.14350k2022-08-29
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3487630.347448-0.38%0.305285-12.47%0.0713✗1.311.0M2022-08-29
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03850.038294-0.53%0.0365-5.19%0.1387✗1.2268k2022-08-29
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.6843.664-0.54%4.177+13.38%0.2419✗0.721.1M2022-08-29
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.611.5148-0.73%10.28-11.38%0.0725✗1.21241k2022-08-29
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.71372.6932-0.76%3.8811+43.02%0.5154✗0.981.0M2022-08-29
SCSiacoinnative0.004370.004336-0.77%0.00407-6.86%0.1385✗1.32103k2022-08-29
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.60e-79.53e-7-0.78%8.80e-7-8.33%0.0742✗1.0024k2022-08-29
KCSKuCoinnative10.18310.1013-0.80%9.1-10.64%0.0618✗1.082.6M2022-08-29
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.166140.164778-0.82%0.13956-16.00%0.0711✗1.55207k2022-08-29
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.043020.042661-0.83%0.03792-11.85%0.0300✗0.961,9372022-08-29
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.02150.02132-0.84%0.02336+8.65%0.2499✗1.03149k2022-08-29
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.034.9862-0.87%6.29+25.05%0.3262✗0.61605k2022-08-29
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.090580.089767-0.90%0.08429-6.94%0.0209✓0.27985k2022-08-29
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009610.009521-0.92%0.00891-7.28%0.0821✗0.974.7M2022-08-29
RADRadworksEthereum2.412.3866-0.97%2.13-11.62%0.0517✗1.08207k2022-08-29
C98Coin98Ethereum0.5070.501605-1.06%0.4238-16.41%0.0035✓1.1245k2022-08-29
GLMGolemEthereum0.25650.253695-1.09%0.2484-3.16%0.1442✗1.0863k2022-08-29
CELLCellframeEthereum0.28810.284922-1.10%0.3223+11.87%0.2976✗1.1475k2022-08-29
CTKShentuOsmosis1.0591.0471-1.12%0.946-10.67%0.0050✓0.691.3M2022-08-29
LCXLCXEthereum0.06410.063382-1.12%0.0576-10.14%0.1188✗1.40339k2022-08-29
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.7493.7064-1.14%4.266+13.79%0.2316✗0.591.5M2022-08-29
MANADecentralandEthereum1.00880.997032-1.17%0.79536-21.16%0.0236✓1.32431k2022-08-29
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7930.782825-1.28%0.698-11.98%0.0744✗1.23210k2022-08-29
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.25462.2252-1.30%1.8412-18.34%0.0002✓1.2324k2022-08-29
CHRChromiaEthereum0.21860.215628-1.36%0.1725-21.09%0.0096✓1.391,0652022-08-29
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.24350.240141-1.38%0.2102-13.68%0.0556✗1.23101k2022-08-29
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8840.871758-1.38%0.684-22.62%0.0215✗1.725.2M2022-08-29
LTCLitecoinLitecoin60.4759.6233-1.40%55.79-7.74%0.1109✗1.1613.5M2022-08-29
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.029780.029338-1.49%0.03677+23.47%0.4160✗1.2414k2022-08-29
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0016440.001619-1.49%0.001529-7.00%0.0997✗1.0216k2022-08-29
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13140.129401-1.52%0.123-6.39%0.1462✗1.2850k2022-08-29
AMPAmpEthereum0.009010.00887-1.56%0.00649-27.97%0.1718✓0.921.6M2022-08-29
IMXImmutableEthereum1.1871.1681-1.59%0.8693-26.76%0.0800✓1.401.4M2022-08-29
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.31650.311459-1.59%0.291-8.06%0.1139✗1.192.9M2022-08-29
CHZChilizEthereum0.12670.124601-1.66%0.2159+70.40%0.7180✗1.10617k2022-08-29
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.0780.076677-1.70%0.1032+32.31%0.4236✗0.82148k2022-08-29
AAVEAaveEthereum95.2693.6055-1.74%85.76-9.97%0.1676✗1.6610.0M2022-08-29
ZENHorizenBase17.7217.4076-1.76%16.44-7.22%0.1535✗1.37108k2022-08-29
XTZTezosTezos1.81721.7851-1.77%1.5357-15.49%0.0422✗1.26492k2022-08-29
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.534.449-1.79%4.53+0.00%0.1273✗0.71912k2022-08-29
BFCBifrostEthereum0.081650.080172-1.81%0.07284-10.79%0.1105✗1.3528k2022-08-29
BTTCBTTC9.40e-79.23e-7-1.82%8.90e-7-5.32%0.0914✗0.836.0M2022-08-29
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0695750.068162-2.03%0.063828-8.26%0.1101✗1.151.7M2022-08-29
STXStacksnative0.43030.421322-2.09%0.3701-13.99%0.0615✗1.25613k2022-08-29
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.8042.7453-2.09%2.089-25.50%0.0548✓1.4243k2022-08-29
DASHDashDash50.7149.6421-2.11%47.46-6.41%0.1249✗1.11574k2022-08-29
DIADIAEthereum0.461420.451635-2.12%0.3855-16.45%0.0381✓0.7857k2022-08-29
COTICOTIEthereum0.10980.107465-2.13%0.0924-15.85%0.0480✗1.30491k2022-08-29
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.58661.5526-2.14%1.7099+7.77%0.3180✗1.44609k2022-08-29
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.3380.330745-2.15%0.2981-11.80%0.0694✗1.137.7M2022-08-29
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0156130.015275-2.16%0.013701-12.25%0.0269✗0.881.2M2022-08-29
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash145.47142.2875-2.19%119.61-17.78%0.0089✓1.193.9M2022-08-29
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11790.115296-2.21%0.1045-11.37%0.0648✗1.06337k2022-08-29
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.83142.7685-2.22%6.0774+114.64%0.9050✗0.77978k2022-08-29
MOVRMoonriverBase14.700814.3579-2.33%12.6602-13.88%0.0548✗1.1870k2022-08-29
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.13190.128762-2.38%0.1063-19.41%0.0190✓1.372.5M2022-08-29
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.23560.229957-2.40%0.2219-5.81%0.1919✗1.4892k2022-08-29
UOSUltraEthereum0.32150.313795-2.40%0.36085+12.24%0.3189✗1.17400k2022-08-29
XLMStellarStellar0.1196680.116796-2.40%0.105918-11.49%0.0545✗0.996.8M2022-08-29
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7660.746919-2.49%0.672-12.27%0.0455✗0.99360k2022-08-29
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV62.6861.1155-2.50%54.194-13.54%0.0094✓0.84386k2022-08-29
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.2128.0067-2.50%7.276-11.40%0.0950✗1.249.4M2022-08-29
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.244.1329-2.53%12.777+201.34%1.2188✗0.591.3M2022-08-29
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.95050.926473-2.53%0.9656+1.59%0.1784✗0.893.6M2022-08-29
STORJStorjEthereum0.676430.6593-2.53%0.55401-18.10%0.0580✗1.5181k2022-08-29
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.8020.781687-2.53%0.553-31.05%0.1172✓1.4980k2022-08-29
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.11121.083-2.54%–pending––1.0313k2022-08-29
XECeCashnative0.000044180.000043042-2.58%0.00004993+13.01%0.3259✗1.161.9M2022-08-29
UMAUMAEthereum2.962.8826-2.62%2.856-3.51%0.1615✗1.11619k2022-08-29
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.7913.691-2.64%3.276-13.58%0.0171✓0.89754k2022-08-29
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2160.210233-2.67%0.174-19.44%0.0427✗1.51786k2022-08-29
KSMKusamaHydration63.161.4082-2.68%50.12-20.57%0.0213✓1.19257k2022-08-29
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.8237.6104-2.72%6.7-14.36%0.0661✗1.2616.2M2022-08-29
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.077850.075731-2.72%0.06742-13.40%0.0033✓0.741,1722022-08-29
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26120.254089-2.72%0.2615+0.11%0.0305✗0.0129k2022-08-29
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.14570.141731-2.72%0.1306-10.36%0.0692✗0.983.5M2022-08-29
WOOWOOEthereum0.22930.223018-2.74%0.164-28.48%0.0978✓1.371,5612022-08-29
XVGVergenative0.003630.003529-2.79%0.00301-17.08%0.0413✗1.31566k2022-08-29
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.2788.0462-2.80%6.682-19.28%0.0061✓1.255.9M2022-08-29
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0031720.003082-2.84%0.003238+2.08%0.2046✗1.01999k2022-08-29
FLOWFlownative1.9231.8679-2.86%1.919-0.21%0.2223✗1.27413k2022-08-29
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.45870.445558-2.87%0.3499-23.72%0.0160✓1.47242k2022-08-29
XMRMoneroMonero155.85151.3247-2.90%152.71-2.01%0.1782✗1.101.3M2022-08-29
ELAElastosEthereum1.821.7667-2.93%1.768-2.86%0.0982✗0.64219k2022-08-29
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.405530.393175-3.05%0.3476-14.29%0.0622✗1.21118k2022-08-29
SOLSolanaSolana43.8442.498-3.06%32.41-26.07%0.0629✓1.3681.8M2022-08-29
SUSHISushiEthereum1.491.444-3.09%1.1021-26.03%0.0498✓1.441.1M2022-08-29
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,650.1322,912.74-3.12%20,286.97-14.22%0.0317✗1.00427.9M2022-08-29
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3781.3348-3.13%1.189-13.72%0.0801✗1.282.4M2022-08-29
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.193.0897-3.14%2.24-29.78%0.2451✓0.5077k2022-08-29
FORTFortaEthereum0.29690.287533-3.15%0.2566-13.57%0.0600✗1.13309k2022-08-29
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.192340.186269-3.16%0.15839-17.65%0.1936✗2.321,1512022-08-29
ADACardanoCardano0.52670.509946-3.18%0.4505-14.47%0.0675✗1.2543.2M2022-08-29
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6270.606822-3.22%0.527-15.95%0.0735✗1.4086k2022-08-29
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12710.123-3.23%0.101-20.54%0.0451✓0.995,2722022-08-29
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010970.001061-3.26%0.001401+27.70%0.4746✗1.281.5M2022-08-29
AVTAventusEthereum1.511.46-3.31%1.44-4.64%0.0198✓0.22268k2022-08-29
ETHEthereumEthereum1,698.011,641.07-3.35%1,551.65-8.62%0.1369✗1.26387.0M2022-08-29
BANDBandEthereum1.7951.7344-3.38%1.263-29.64%0.0955✓1.45316k2022-08-29
QTUMQtumQtum4.32124.1746-3.39%3.1823-26.36%0.1042✓1.0933k2022-08-29
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.6272.5378-3.40%1.955-25.58%0.0084✓1.7692k2022-08-29
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3381.2922-3.42%0.987-26.23%0.0792✓1.241.2M2022-08-29
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011930.000011518-3.45%0.00001248+4.61%0.2689✗1.23951k2022-08-29
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0208760.020142-3.52%0.023085+10.58%0.2156✗0.52167k2022-08-29
CTSICartesiEthereum0.16840.162413-3.56%0.1447-14.07%0.0757✗1.25446k2022-08-29
HIVEHivenative0.52750.508631-3.58%0.5461+3.53%0.2488✗1.161.4M2022-08-29
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.7110.3253-3.59%11.438+6.80%0.3126✗1.3715.0M2022-08-29
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum24,608.2023,714.38-3.63%20,303.80-17.49%0.0050✓0.9817k2022-08-29
API3Api3Ethereum1.9311.8606-3.64%1.729-10.46%0.1214✗1.27637k2022-08-29
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05350.051529-3.68%0.0441-17.57%0.0373✓1.26263k2022-08-29
GMTGMTEthereum0.9760.939499-3.74%0.6813-30.19%0.0504✓1.77513k2022-08-29
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.7614.202-3.78%12.6-14.63%0.0988✗1.421.7M2022-08-29
COMPCompoundEthereum58.2356.0057-3.82%48.57-16.59%0.0709✗1.3932k2022-08-29
STEEMSteemnative0.25120.241468-3.87%0.2257-10.15%0.1064✗1.13681k2022-08-29
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05860.056243-4.02%0.0491-16.21%0.0640✗1.30787k2022-08-29
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0023420.002246-4.08%0.001636-30.15%0.1637✓1.001.8M2022-08-29
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08930.085619-4.12%0.0637-28.67%0.1154✓1.18155k2022-08-29
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.862.7404-4.18%2.15-24.83%0.0089✓1.52192k2022-08-29
XEMNEMnative0.049120.046979-4.36%0.044565-9.27%0.1298✗1.1935k2022-08-29
FISStafiEthereum0.43520.416035-4.40%–pending––0.902142022-08-29
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche24.2523.1754-4.43%19.33-20.29%0.0633✗1.6027.5M2022-08-29
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.08972.9492-4.55%5.7778+87.00%0.8093✗0.891.1M2022-08-29
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum19.1218.2469-4.57%13.83-27.67%0.0709✓1.341.3M2022-08-29
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.3195.0756-4.58%6.102+14.72%0.2679✗0.552.0M2022-08-29
DKAdKargoEthereum0.047250.04504-4.68%0.04816+1.93%0.2052✗0.9015k2022-08-29
FTTFTXEthereum31.1129.6475-4.70%27.34-12.12%0.0651✗0.9510.8M2022-08-29
DODODODOEthereum0.1710.162572-4.93%0.1311-23.33%0.0226✓1.263.1M2022-08-29
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5050.479539-5.04%0.441-12.67%0.0927✗1.1513k2022-08-29
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.5710.542129-5.06%0.3367-41.03%0.2608✓1.40234k2022-08-29
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.0720.068326-5.10%0.0606-15.83%0.0266✓0.96183k2022-08-29
METISMetisEthereum34.4932.6268-5.40%32.49-5.80%0.2954✗1.95213k2022-08-29
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.6473.4483-5.45%3.47-4.85%0.2711✗1.734.3M2022-08-29
LUNATerraTerra 20.000098120.000092769-5.45%0.0001317+34.22%0.6478✗1.94635k2022-08-29
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.9661.8579-5.50%1.495-23.96%0.0013✓1.42234k2022-08-29
UNIUniswapEthereum8.788.2966-5.51%6.339-27.80%0.0549✓1.407.7M2022-08-29
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.0347.583-5.61%6.015-25.13%0.0668✓1.082.3M2022-08-29
ETCEthereum Classicnative39.4837.2625-5.62%33.55-15.02%0.1110✗1.412.8M2022-08-29
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.431880.406919-5.78%0.33586-22.23%0.0216✓1.39583k2022-08-29
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.35861.28-5.79%1.0799-20.51%0.0601✗1.506.4M2022-08-29
ORCAOrcaSolana0.97430.915797-6.00%0.7824-19.70%0.0935✗1.64202k2022-08-29
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.033190.031187-6.03%0.02267-31.70%0.0848✓1.5311.5M2022-08-29
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.010270.009641-6.12%0.00853-16.94%0.0707✗1.26355k2022-08-29
APEApeCoinEthereum6.6976.2858-6.14%4.983-25.59%0.0337✓1.7311.0M2022-08-29
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.084940.079576-6.31%0.06651-21.70%0.0504✓1.50768k2022-08-29
AUCTIONBounceEthereum8.067.4821-7.17%7.74-3.97%0.2426✗1.36256k2022-08-29
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.980.902706-7.89%1.2628+28.86%0.5149✗1.171.2M2022-08-29
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.840.773146-7.96%0.525-37.50%0.1586✓1.493,1392022-08-29
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.3282.1242-8.75%1.615-30.63%0.0569✓1.42169k2022-08-29
QNTQuantEthereum106.3597.0334-8.76%101.16-4.88%0.1969✗1.014.2M2022-08-29
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.1915.611-9.19%17.22+0.17%0.2327✗0.882.2M2022-08-29
OPTIMOptimism1.8091.6423-9.21%1.174-35.10%0.0332✓1.971.3M2022-08-29
TRBTellor TributesEthereum32.0328.7254-10.32%35+9.27%0.4092✗1.38563k2022-08-29
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,772.2010,387.04-11.77%9,081.72-22.85%0.0785✓1.394.0M2022-08-29
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.