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2022-07-29 · +30d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 185 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2620
183 of 185 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+6.01%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
43.7%
in alpha space · 74.3% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-17.79%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (185 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
SUNSun TokenTron0.0062090.006494+4.58%0.005519-11.11%0.0111✓0.897,2112022-08-28
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.021890.022503+2.80%0.020386-6.87%0.0931✓0.989,0542022-08-28
TRXTRONTron0.0692960.070823+2.20%0.061392-11.41%0.0112✓0.79376k2022-08-28
BORABORAKlay Token0.320010.326935+2.16%0.29294-8.46%0.1472✓1.3111k2022-08-28
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06920.070417+1.76%0.0604-12.72%0.0556✓1.07308k2022-08-28
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.0870.088504+1.73%0.0792-8.97%0.1266✓1.216,3652022-08-28
GITCOINGITCOIN3.02553.0741+1.61%2.0034-33.78%0.1201✗1.5711k2022-08-28
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04580.046512+1.55%0.0357-22.05%0.0023✓1.347,1312022-08-28
GTGateEthereum4.39224.4537+1.40%4.3228-1.58%0.1118✓0.72986k2022-08-28
ZECZcashZcash63.564.222+1.14%61.17-3.67%0.1988✓1.261.5M2022-08-28
CVCCivicEthereum0.14940.151041+1.10%0.1396-6.56%0.1647✓1.2488k2022-08-28
LRCLoopringEthereum0.42260.426831+1.00%0.34-19.55%0.0346✓1.34104k2022-08-28
XYMSymbolnative0.0561280.05654+0.73%0.044396-20.90%0.1232✗0.6120k2022-08-28
PROPropyEthereum0.790.795289+0.67%0.73-7.59%0.0329✓0.6179k2022-08-28
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3030.304899+0.63%0.275-9.24%0.1005✓1.04766k2022-08-28
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.57e-73.59e-7+0.48%7.78e-7+117.71%0.9575✓0.94193k2022-08-28
NANOnanopayBase0.9929390.997563+0.47%0.862501-13.14%0.0441✓0.9758k2022-08-28
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.17315.1934+0.39%5.175+0.04%0.0371✓0.21210k2022-08-28
CBKCobakEthereum1.04531.0489+0.34%0.84626-19.04%0.0011✓1.109,6842022-08-28
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7150.717417+0.34%0.916+28.11%0.4813✓1.21806k2022-08-28
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3311780.332015+0.25%0.291277-12.05%0.1227✓1.291.0M2022-08-28
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0069910.007007+0.23%0.006708-4.05%0.0607✓0.5339k2022-08-28
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.56510.566323+0.22%0.4349-23.04%0.0412✗1.14350k2022-08-28
LSKLiskEthereum1.12781.1302+0.22%1.0384-7.92%0.1238✓1.0643k2022-08-28
GALAGALAEthereum0.05490.05499+0.16%0.0493-10.20%0.1732✓1.44119k2022-08-28
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.5372.5399+0.11%4.106+61.84%0.6610✓0.92105k2022-08-28
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.043230.043277+0.11%0.03732-13.67%0.0394✓0.962,4262022-08-28
LCXLCXEthereum0.06260.062544-0.09%0.0582-7.03%0.2027✗1.40339k2022-08-28
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8840.882501-0.17%0.84-4.98%0.0888✗0.711.3M2022-08-28
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.018940.018904-0.19%0.01478-21.96%0.0984✓0.75258k2022-08-28
GLMGolemEthereum0.25160.251067-0.21%0.2362-6.12%0.1501✗1.0863k2022-08-28
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.021770.021712-0.26%0.02214+1.70%0.2219✗1.03149k2022-08-28
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.661.6554-0.27%1.23-25.90%0.0272✓1.38114k2022-08-28
XTZTezosTezos1.70931.7018-0.44%1.426-16.57%0.0689✗1.25492k2022-08-28
KCSKuCoinnative10.19710.148-0.48%8.816-13.54%0.0719✗1.092.6M2022-08-28
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.60e-79.55e-7-0.49%8.60e-7-10.42%0.0908✗1.0025k2022-08-28
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.545.5123-0.50%5.16-6.86%0.0548✗0.62786k2022-08-28
MINAMina Protocolnative0.760.755831-0.55%0.645-15.13%0.0839✗1.24205k2022-08-28
CELLCellframeEthereum0.29210.290326-0.61%0.3044+4.21%0.2695✗1.1375k2022-08-28
SCSiacoinnative0.004390.004363-0.61%0.00393-10.48%0.1533✗1.32103k2022-08-28
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.09350.092914-0.63%0.08638-7.61%0.0211✓0.26910k2022-08-28
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03880.038552-0.64%0.0345-11.08%0.1278✗1.2268k2022-08-28
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009410.009338-0.77%0.00848-9.88%0.0939✗0.974.7M2022-08-28
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.955.8955-0.92%6.04+1.51%0.1543✗0.66554k2022-08-28
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0150550.014914-0.94%0.013002-13.64%0.0360✗0.881.2M2022-08-28
C98Coin98Ethereum0.49820.493387-0.97%0.3673-26.27%0.0754✓1.1242k2022-08-28
MANADecentralandEthereum0.971150.961337-1.01%0.74832-22.94%0.0092✓1.33431k2022-08-28
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.62090.614407-1.05%0.4996-19.54%0.0211✗1.16624k2022-08-28
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.8033.7621-1.08%3.998+5.13%0.1987✗0.70670k2022-08-28
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.3090.305426-1.16%0.2731-11.62%0.1205✗1.192.8M2022-08-28
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.9665.8951-1.19%5.639-5.48%0.1676✗1.082.1M2022-08-28
AMPAmpEthereum0.008920.00881-1.23%0.00642-28.03%0.1377✓0.911.6M2022-08-28
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.029850.029478-1.25%0.03552+18.99%0.4305✗1.2514k2022-08-28
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.155.0845-1.27%5.87+13.98%0.2634✗0.61587k2022-08-28
LTCLitecoinLitecoin60.7159.9373-1.27%53.38-12.07%0.1108✗1.1613.5M2022-08-28
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.12980.128139-1.28%0.1184-8.78%0.1725✗1.2849k2022-08-28
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.28132.2517-1.30%1.7152-24.81%0.0294✓1.2424k2022-08-28
MOVRMoonriverBase14.214.0144-1.31%12.062-15.06%0.0812✗1.1870k2022-08-28
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.1730.170661-1.35%0.13172-23.86%0.0428✗1.54207k2022-08-28
CHRChromiaEthereum0.2230.219948-1.37%0.1592-28.61%0.0506✓1.391,0652022-08-28
UOSUltraEthereum0.315140.31071-1.41%0.36389+15.47%0.3867✗1.17407k2022-08-28
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.24430.240751-1.45%0.2024-17.15%0.0672✗1.23101k2022-08-28
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.659.5082-1.47%8.09-16.17%0.0589✓0.521.0M2022-08-28
COTICOTIEthereum0.10810.106484-1.50%0.0854-21.00%0.0353✗1.31491k2022-08-28
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.07950.078277-1.54%0.0981+23.40%0.3878✗0.83148k2022-08-28
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.034050.033526-1.54%0.0242-28.93%0.0694✓1.311,3182022-08-28
DASHDashDash50.6149.8079-1.58%44.14-12.78%0.0973✗1.11594k2022-08-28
IMXImmutableEthereum1.0611.0437-1.63%0.7744-27.01%0.0207✓1.421.4M2022-08-28
AAVEAaveEthereum95.694.016-1.66%78.57-17.81%0.1459✗1.6610.0M2022-08-28
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.8513.7866-1.67%3.876+0.65%0.1958✗0.88754k2022-08-28
BTTCBTTC9.50e-79.34e-7-1.68%8.50e-7-10.53%0.0694✗0.845.9M2022-08-28
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0015070.001482-1.68%0.001503-0.27%0.2118✗1.0116k2022-08-28
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11720.115194-1.71%0.1013-13.57%0.0801✗1.07352k2022-08-28
ZENHorizenBase18.1317.815-1.74%14.8-18.37%0.0845✗1.38108k2022-08-28
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13520.132821-1.76%0.1202-11.09%0.0949✗0.993.5M2022-08-28
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.33680.330855-1.77%0.2823-16.18%0.0638✗1.147.7M2022-08-28
STXStacksnative0.43040.422728-1.78%0.3529-18.01%0.0640✗1.25606k2022-08-28
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,827.5023,401.00-1.79%19,646.40-17.55%0.0168✓0.9819k2022-08-28
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.11261.0925-1.81%–pending––1.0412k2022-08-28
RADRadworksEthereum2.622.5724-1.82%2.08-20.61%0.0020✓1.07175k2022-08-28
WOOWOOEthereum0.20330.199576-1.83%0.1381-32.07%0.1002✓1.371,5612022-08-28
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.8613.7889-1.87%4.096+6.09%0.1945✗0.601.5M2022-08-28
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8880.870984-1.92%0.645-27.36%0.0375✗1.735.2M2022-08-28
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.83212.7774-1.93%3.6555+29.07%0.4662✗0.98917k2022-08-28
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0689470.067567-2.00%0.06175-10.44%0.1350✗1.151.7M2022-08-28
BFCBifrostEthereum0.088030.086248-2.02%0.06897-21.65%0.0380✗1.3428k2022-08-28
XLMStellarStellar0.1177330.115324-2.05%0.102736-12.74%0.0794✗1.006.8M2022-08-28
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7710.755212-2.05%0.525-31.91%0.0702✓1.5080k2022-08-28
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.97060.950534-2.07%0.9334-3.83%0.1575✗0.903.9M2022-08-28
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.8482.7887-2.08%1.944-31.74%0.0819✓1.4243k2022-08-28
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.1868.0114-2.13%6.861-16.19%0.0895✗1.259.4M2022-08-28
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.694.5896-2.14%4.34-7.46%0.0838✗0.71759k2022-08-28
FLOWFlownative1.8661.8254-2.18%1.692-9.32%0.1736✗1.27382k2022-08-28
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.5214.4215-2.20%5.809+28.49%0.3795✗0.542.0M2022-08-28
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.23720.231976-2.20%0.2134-10.03%0.2062✗1.4892k2022-08-28
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26150.25563-2.24%0.261-0.19%0.0230✗0.0130k2022-08-28
KSMKusamaHydration63.8762.4055-2.29%45.4-28.92%0.0863✓1.18257k2022-08-28
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.077660.075865-2.31%0.06712-13.57%0.0218✓0.741,2712022-08-28
STORJStorjEthereum0.668590.652953-2.34%0.52437-21.57%0.0778✗1.5279k2022-08-28
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.12730.124289-2.37%0.0992-22.07%0.0436✗1.372.5M2022-08-28
CHZChilizEthereum0.12920.126121-2.38%0.2102+62.69%0.7269✗1.10617k2022-08-28
SOLSolanaSolana41.9440.9373-2.39%30.45-27.40%0.0293✓1.3681.8M2022-08-28
BANDBandEthereum1.6741.6335-2.42%1.192-28.79%0.0315✓1.45316k2022-08-28
UMAUMAEthereum2.9682.8947-2.47%2.607-12.16%0.1130✗1.11619k2022-08-28
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.61461.5746-2.48%1.6656+3.16%0.3356✗1.43609k2022-08-28
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7630.743879-2.51%0.631-17.30%0.0288✗0.99360k2022-08-28
XECeCashnative0.000044990.000043853-2.53%0.00004676+3.93%0.2926✗1.171.8M2022-08-28
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash151.84147.9975-2.53%112.59-25.85%0.0405✓1.193.9M2022-08-28
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.163.0796-2.54%2.33-26.27%0.1811✓0.5082k2022-08-28
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.003160.003078-2.58%0.002987-5.47%0.1666✗1.00999k2022-08-28
XVGVergenative0.003660.003561-2.70%0.00289-21.04%0.0475✗1.31539k2022-08-28
ELAElastosEthereum1.8611.8104-2.72%1.733-6.88%0.0797✗0.63223k2022-08-28
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,784.5023,126.93-2.76%19,554.03-17.79%0.0280✓1.00439.9M2022-08-28
DIADIAEthereum0.485590.471968-2.81%0.36304-25.24%0.1103✓0.7855k2022-08-28
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010830.001053-2.82%0.001346+24.25%0.4977✗1.291.6M2022-08-28
SUSHISushiEthereum1.51.4576-2.82%1.0043-33.05%0.0910✓1.441.0M2022-08-28
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.18350.178282-2.84%0.15977-12.93%0.3448✗2.321,1272022-08-28
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2150.208864-2.85%0.164-23.72%0.0538✗1.51786k2022-08-28
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV65.86963.9591-2.90%51.793-21.37%0.0451✓0.85398k2022-08-28
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.019090.018532-2.92%0.022963+20.29%0.3109✗0.49165k2022-08-28
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.47250.458647-2.93%0.3261-30.98%0.0526✓1.47220k2022-08-28
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.8877.6549-2.94%6.251-20.74%0.0445✗1.2616.2M2022-08-28
LPTLivepeerEthereum12.5212.1514-2.94%9.51-24.04%0.0070✓1.22241k2022-08-28
XMRMoneroMonero160.25155.5119-2.96%146.4-8.64%0.1544✗1.101.3M2022-08-28
ADACardanoCardano0.52220.506465-3.01%0.4291-17.83%0.0792✗1.2543.2M2022-08-28
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.7122.6302-3.02%1.828-32.60%0.0200✓1.7692k2022-08-28
HIVEHivenative0.53710.520807-3.03%0.5282-1.66%0.2410✗1.161.5M2022-08-28
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05580.054103-3.04%0.0455-18.46%0.0817✗1.30787k2022-08-28
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6030.584479-3.07%0.488-19.07%0.0937✗1.4084k2022-08-28
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.4394.3005-3.12%12.382+178.94%1.1721✗0.591.2M2022-08-28
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.408430.395663-3.13%0.32806-19.68%0.0503✗1.21118k2022-08-28
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011740.00001137-3.16%0.00001177+0.26%0.2769✗1.24951k2022-08-28
ETHEthereumEthereum1,722.251,667.66-3.17%1,426.63-17.16%0.0904✗1.26387.0M2022-08-28
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3491.3056-3.22%1.129-16.31%0.1028✗1.272.4M2022-08-28
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3281.2852-3.22%0.9332-29.73%0.0771✓1.241.2M2022-08-28
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.6314.1546-3.25%11.33-22.56%0.0610✗1.451.6M2022-08-28
STEEMSteemnative0.24760.239243-3.38%0.2183-11.83%0.1317✗1.14643k2022-08-28
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.067.7871-3.39%6.275-22.15%0.0297✓1.255.5M2022-08-28
AVTAventusEthereum1.571.5141-3.56%1.39-11.46%0.0376✓0.24268k2022-08-28
XEMNEMnative0.0497230.047952-3.56%0.042995-13.53%0.1234✗1.1935k2022-08-28
GMTGMTEthereum0.9820.94698-3.57%0.6463-34.19%0.0378✓1.76516k2022-08-28
API3Api3Ethereum1.8711.8041-3.58%1.6-14.48%0.1289✗1.27626k2022-08-28
PHAPHALAEthereum0.1310.126291-3.59%0.0996-23.97%0.0434✓0.995,4502022-08-28
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.17110.7689-3.60%10.559-5.48%0.2480✗1.3715.1M2022-08-28
FISStafiEthereum0.40.385044-3.74%–pending––0.922142022-08-28
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05480.052727-3.78%0.0419-23.54%0.0122✓1.24263k2022-08-28
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.95162.8376-3.86%5.4352+84.14%0.8013✗0.77941k2022-08-28
CTSICartesiEthereum0.16430.157939-3.87%0.1337-18.62%0.0790✗1.25411k2022-08-28
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08870.085186-3.96%0.0619-30.21%0.0857✓1.19155k2022-08-28
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06740.064665-4.06%0.0554-17.80%0.0331✓0.96183k2022-08-28
FORTFortaEthereum0.32080.307751-4.07%0.2638-17.77%0.0668✗1.13309k2022-08-28
DKAdKargoEthereum0.047210.045275-4.10%0.04418-6.42%0.1521✗0.9015k2022-08-28
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum18.2617.4978-4.17%13.16-27.93%0.0196✓1.351.3M2022-08-28
COMPCompoundEthereum58.6956.1968-4.25%43.85-25.29%0.0235✓1.3928k2022-08-28
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche24.5123.4348-4.39%18.53-24.40%0.0775✗1.5927.5M2022-08-28
QTUMQtumQtum4.664.4519-4.46%2.9825-36.00%0.1862✓1.0932k2022-08-28
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.52130.497664-4.53%0.32-38.62%0.2458✓1.00234k2022-08-28
FTTFTXEthereum31.0929.6715-4.56%25.35-18.46%0.0294✓0.9510.8M2022-08-28
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5290.503578-4.81%0.412-22.12%0.0238✓1.1513k2022-08-28
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.972.8189-5.09%1.95-34.34%0.0697✓1.53192k2022-08-28
DODODODOEthereum0.17280.163981-5.10%0.1182-31.60%0.0801✓1.262.9M2022-08-28
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.029960.028403-5.20%0.02162-27.84%0.0270✓1.5311.5M2022-08-28
LUNATerraTerra 20.0000990.000093773-5.28%0.0001251+26.36%0.6731✗1.96646k2022-08-28
METISMetisEthereum36.7234.6931-5.52%29.26-20.32%0.2084✗1.93194k2022-08-28
ORCAOrcaSolana0.96780.911953-5.77%0.7842-18.97%0.1686✗1.63205k2022-08-28
UNIUniswapEthereum9.0858.5603-5.78%5.739-36.83%0.1259✓1.407.0M2022-08-28
APEApeCoinEthereum6.676.2832-5.80%4.649-30.30%0.0294✓1.6911.5M2022-08-28
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.429780.404623-5.85%0.31363-27.03%0.0183✓1.39592k2022-08-28
XVSVenusEthereum7.647.1817-6.00%4.82-36.91%0.1255✓1.401.0M2022-08-28
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.42951.3432-6.04%0.9934-30.51%0.0079✓1.506.1M2022-08-28
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.079620.074405-6.55%0.06229-21.77%0.1168✗1.50768k2022-08-28
TRBTellor TributesEthereum23.4421.8958-6.59%37.2+58.70%0.8008✗1.38534k2022-08-28
ETCEthereum Classicnative40.5337.8534-6.60%30.93-23.69%0.0744✗1.411.3M2022-08-28
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.043.7698-6.69%2.966-26.58%0.1001✗1.743.8M2022-08-28
HIGHHighstreetEthereum2.0531.8922-7.83%1.36-33.76%0.0501✓1.43220k2022-08-28
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.9840.903048-8.23%1.201+22.05%0.5146✗1.171.2M2022-08-28
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.3933.111-8.31%5.5537+63.68%0.7532✗0.891.0M2022-08-28
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.8330.763536-8.34%0.489-41.30%0.1552✓1.482,9182022-08-28
QNTQuantEthereum106.2997.2144-8.54%92.31-13.15%0.1471✗1.024.2M2022-08-28
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.3862.1723-8.96%1.511-36.67%0.0856✓1.42169k2022-08-28
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.4115.8288-9.08%16.67-4.25%0.2234✗0.882.4M2022-08-28
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.011340.0102-10.05%0.00825-27.25%0.0348✓1.26355k2022-08-28
OPTIMOptimism1.8431.6306-11.53%1.054-42.81%0.0501✓1.971.1M2022-08-28
YFIyearn.financeEthereum10,870.279,582.49-11.85%8,473.37-22.05%0.1484✗1.394.0M2022-08-28
AUCTIONBounceEthereum9.087.8847-13.16%7.2-20.70%0.1758✗1.36256k2022-08-28
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.