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2022-07-28 · +30d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 185 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2314
183 of 185 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+9.91%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
38.8%
in alpha space · 72.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-15.99%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (185 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
SUNSun TokenTron0.0061790.006466+4.64%0.005618-9.08%0.0140✓0.894,8812022-08-27
BORABORAKlay Token0.317510.325998+2.67%0.28228-11.10%0.0851✓1.3111k2022-08-27
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0218760.022376+2.29%0.020673-5.50%0.0924✓0.988,3682022-08-27
TRXTRONTron0.0697620.071311+2.22%0.062935-9.79%0.0122✓0.79376k2022-08-27
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08490.086512+1.90%0.0845-0.47%0.1879✓1.216,3652022-08-27
GITCOINGITCOIN2.84362.897+1.88%2.0859-26.65%0.0522✗1.5810k2022-08-27
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07010.071365+1.80%0.0608-13.27%0.0255✓1.07299k2022-08-27
GTGateEthereum4.29644.3738+1.80%4.376+1.85%0.1265✓0.72968k2022-08-27
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04430.044867+1.28%0.0366-17.38%0.0300✓1.347,1312022-08-27
CVCCivicEthereum0.14980.151245+0.96%0.1419-5.27%0.1536✓1.2587k2022-08-27
ZECZcashZcash63.6464.2457+0.95%61.36-3.58%0.1762✓1.271.5M2022-08-27
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.64e-73.67e-7+0.85%7.59e-7+108.75%0.8941✓0.96195k2022-08-27
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0069010.006951+0.72%0.00674-2.33%0.0627✓0.5440k2022-08-27
LRCLoopringEthereum0.4310.433801+0.65%0.3569-17.19%0.0406✓1.35104k2022-08-27
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3040.305863+0.61%0.28-7.89%0.0931✓1.04681k2022-08-27
XYMSymbolnative0.0550410.055325+0.52%0.0454-17.52%0.0909✗0.6120k2022-08-27
CBKCobakEthereum1.0441.0494+0.51%0.86406-17.24%0.0010✓1.119,1202022-08-27
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.54660.549166+0.47%0.4567-16.45%0.0139✓1.14350k2022-08-27
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7230.726282+0.45%0.936+29.46%0.4638✓1.21806k2022-08-27
GALAGALAEthereum0.05320.053387+0.35%0.0509-4.32%0.2062✓1.46109k2022-08-27
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.32295.3388+0.30%5.1648-2.97%0.0030✓0.21214k2022-08-27
NANOnanopayBase0.9965430.999315+0.28%0.882839-11.41%0.0465✓0.9857k2022-08-27
LCXLCXEthereum0.06290.063064+0.26%0.0604-3.97%0.2017✓1.41337k2022-08-27
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.591.5929+0.18%1.29-18.87%0.0304✓1.38114k2022-08-27
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.030570.030616+0.15%0.02469-19.23%0.0128✓1.311,3002022-08-27
PROPropyEthereum0.80.801142+0.14%0.75-6.25%0.0410✓0.6179k2022-08-27
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3309680.331249+0.08%0.296889-10.30%0.1151✓1.291.0M2022-08-27
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.020990.021007+0.08%0.02261+7.72%0.2532✓1.03136k2022-08-27
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.275.2733+0.06%5.29+0.38%0.1118✓0.62786k2022-08-27
LSKLiskEthereum1.13561.1353-0.03%1.0488-7.64%0.1080✗1.0743k2022-08-27
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.6342.6333-0.03%4.134+56.95%0.6123✗0.93105k2022-08-27
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.4983.4948-0.09%4.212+20.41%0.3096✗0.71497k2022-08-27
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.043190.043141-0.11%0.03828-11.37%0.0493✗0.971,9372022-08-27
GLMGolemEthereum0.25470.254335-0.14%0.2424-4.83%0.1412✗1.0963k2022-08-27
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8840.882725-0.14%0.84-4.98%0.0747✗0.711.2M2022-08-27
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.50212.4983-0.15%3.7353+49.29%0.5737✗0.98863k2022-08-27
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7530.751663-0.18%0.663-11.95%0.0916✗1.25178k2022-08-27
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.018830.018792-0.20%0.01518-19.38%0.0809✓0.76263k2022-08-27
XTZTezosTezos1.71661.713-0.21%1.4676-14.51%0.0647✗1.26492k2022-08-27
XVSVenusEthereum5.65.5802-0.35%4.87-13.04%0.1098✗1.41959k2022-08-27
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.094340.093896-0.47%0.08547-9.40%0.0483✓0.26859k2022-08-27
KCSKuCoinnative10.34310.294-0.47%9.134-11.69%0.0709✗1.092.4M2022-08-27
SCSiacoinnative0.004420.004398-0.50%0.00389-11.99%0.1080✗1.32106k2022-08-27
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.60e-79.54e-7-0.60%8.80e-7-8.33%0.0933✗1.0024k2022-08-27
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.57640.572902-0.61%0.5753-0.19%0.2080✗1.17624k2022-08-27
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.160010.159033-0.61%0.1322-17.38%0.0847✗1.55205k2022-08-27
CHRChromiaEthereum0.21920.217701-0.68%0.1693-22.76%0.0089✓1.391,1792022-08-27
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009230.009163-0.72%0.0087-5.74%0.1169✗0.974.7M2022-08-27
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03870.038404-0.77%0.0348-10.08%0.1159✗1.2368k2022-08-27
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.028.9408-0.88%8.4-6.87%0.0308✗0.53918k2022-08-27
C98Coin98Ethereum0.49940.495011-0.88%0.376-24.71%0.0795✓1.1242k2022-08-27
CELLCellframeEthereum0.30140.298618-0.92%0.3144+4.31%0.2511✗1.1575k2022-08-27
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.365.3103-0.93%6.18+15.30%0.2680✗0.67514k2022-08-27
AMPAmpEthereum0.008950.008865-0.95%0.0066-26.26%0.1352✓0.921.6M2022-08-27
WOOWOOEthereum0.19860.19645-1.08%0.1524-23.26%0.0148✓1.371,5612022-08-27
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.7243.6836-1.09%2.682-27.98%0.1641✓0.88754k2022-08-27
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0154290.01526-1.09%0.013178-14.59%0.0091✓0.891.2M2022-08-27
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.774.7174-1.10%6.22+30.40%0.3846✗0.62587k2022-08-27
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7490.740572-1.13%0.55-26.57%0.0351✓1.5180k2022-08-27
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.11480.113505-1.13%0.1033-10.02%0.1470✗1.382.5M2022-08-27
COTICOTIEthereum0.1060.104793-1.14%0.0908-14.34%0.0859✗1.32491k2022-08-27
IMXImmutableEthereum0.95280.941948-1.14%0.7896-17.13%0.0725✗1.431.4M2022-08-27
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.08360.082645-1.14%0.1016+21.53%0.3503✗0.83155k2022-08-27
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13060.129078-1.17%0.1186-9.19%0.1412✗1.3049k2022-08-27
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,875.3023,584.00-1.22%19,933.00-16.51%0.0024✓0.9819k2022-08-27
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.935.8543-1.28%5.829-1.70%0.1879✗1.102.0M2022-08-27
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.24420.241046-1.29%0.2067-15.36%0.0618✗1.24110k2022-08-27
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.31360.309544-1.29%0.2796-10.84%0.1062✗1.192.7M2022-08-27
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0015240.001504-1.32%0.001454-4.59%0.1431✗1.0120k2022-08-27
MANADecentralandEthereum0.980390.967199-1.35%0.77842-20.60%0.0166✗1.34399k2022-08-27
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.51.4794-1.37%1.7824+18.83%0.4358✗1.43561k2022-08-27
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.8567.7407-1.47%7.044-10.34%0.1248✗1.269.4M2022-08-27
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.3573.3075-1.47%4.23+26.01%0.3509✗0.601.5M2022-08-27
BFCBifrostEthereum0.084060.082815-1.48%0.0675-19.70%0.0285✗1.3428k2022-08-27
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.1170.115249-1.50%0.1015-13.25%0.0599✗1.07357k2022-08-27
BTTCBTTC9.50e-79.35e-7-1.61%8.70e-7-8.42%0.0740✗0.845.9M2022-08-27
STXStacksnative0.43440.427337-1.63%0.3638-16.25%0.0582✗1.26606k2022-08-27
MOVRMoonriverBase14.286314.0517-1.64%12.5391-12.23%0.0940✗1.1970k2022-08-27
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.029930.029419-1.71%0.03599+20.25%0.4200✗1.2514k2022-08-27
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0691040.067894-1.75%0.063422-8.22%0.1326✗1.151.7M2022-08-27
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.11731.0977-1.75%–pending––1.0312k2022-08-27
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.34.223-1.79%4.59+6.74%0.2087✗0.72685k2022-08-27
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13590.133466-1.79%0.1236-9.05%0.0990✗1.013.2M2022-08-27
FLOWFlownative1.8761.8424-1.79%1.823-2.83%0.2115✗1.27413k2022-08-27
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.2620.257208-1.83%0.2612-0.31%0.0173✓0.0131k2022-08-27
XLMStellarStellar0.1166880.114501-1.87%0.105594-9.51%0.0931✗1.006.8M2022-08-27
UOSUltraEthereum0.325690.319578-1.88%0.34004+4.41%0.2669✗1.18407k2022-08-27
LTCLitecoinLitecoin63.4362.2378-1.88%53.03-16.40%0.0421✗1.1613.5M2022-08-27
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.30992.2658-1.91%1.7879-22.60%0.0197✓1.2524k2022-08-27
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.33630.32986-1.91%0.2889-14.09%0.0673✗1.157.7M2022-08-27
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.9780.95925-1.92%0.963-1.53%0.1631✗0.913.9M2022-08-27
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.1164.037-1.92%5.784+40.52%0.4557✗0.552.0M2022-08-27
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.075340.073858-1.97%0.06819-9.49%0.0484✗0.741,3772022-08-27
CHZChilizEthereum0.12070.118201-2.07%0.22+82.27%0.8150✗1.11617k2022-08-27
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.24060.235598-2.08%0.2201-8.52%0.1917✗1.4999k2022-08-27
DIADIAEthereum0.446410.436981-2.11%0.36774-17.62%0.0373✓0.7853k2022-08-27
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0031070.003041-2.12%0.003041-2.12%0.1740✗1.001.0M2022-08-27
DASHDashDash52.4851.3684-2.12%45.13-14.01%0.0659✗1.12594k2022-08-27
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.9913.9042-2.17%13.227+231.42%1.3243✗0.601.1M2022-08-27
UMAUMAEthereum2.8642.8005-2.22%2.671-6.74%0.1450✗1.10597k2022-08-27
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12160.118867-2.25%0.1035-14.88%0.0352✗1.005,8712022-08-27
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.42952.3733-2.31%5.0801+109.10%0.8974✗0.78884k2022-08-27
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.7832.7162-2.40%2.028-27.13%0.0411✓1.4443k2022-08-27
ZENHorizenBase18.4618.0118-2.43%15.2-17.66%0.0711✗1.38100k2022-08-27
XECeCashnative0.000044280.000043188-2.47%0.00003688-16.71%0.0470✗1.181.7M2022-08-27
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.227.0402-2.49%6.531-9.54%0.1458✗1.2716.2M2022-08-27
ELAElastosEthereum1.7091.6658-2.53%1.758+2.87%0.1668✗0.65223k2022-08-27
AAVEAaveEthereum100.4197.8623-2.54%82.11-18.23%0.1155✗1.679.0M2022-08-27
SOLSolanaSolana42.9341.8407-2.54%31.54-26.53%0.0437✓1.3781.8M2022-08-27
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05470.053305-2.55%0.0474-13.35%0.1110✗1.31765k2022-08-27
STORJStorjEthereum0.671380.654185-2.56%0.54155-19.34%0.0771✗1.5379k2022-08-27
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.273.1846-2.61%2.47-24.46%0.1670✓0.5082k2022-08-27
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,851.7023,228.87-2.61%20,036.69-15.99%0.0265✓1.00429.5M2022-08-27
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7730.752441-2.66%0.652-15.65%0.0308✗1.00360k2022-08-27
KSMKusamaHydration65.4463.6572-2.72%45.84-29.95%0.1206✓1.19244k2022-08-27
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV63.1361.4087-2.73%52.374-17.04%0.0107✓0.85386k2022-08-27
XVGVergenative0.003690.003588-2.77%0.00292-20.87%0.0226✓1.31505k2022-08-27
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.46540.452341-2.81%0.3492-24.97%0.0014✓1.48220k2022-08-27
XMRMoneroMonero162.51157.8834-2.85%145.16-10.68%0.1072✗1.101.3M2022-08-27
HIVEHivenative0.55270.536819-2.87%0.5335-3.47%0.1968✗1.161.5M2022-08-27
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.408860.396931-2.92%0.33622-17.77%0.0470✗1.22118k2022-08-27
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06550.063564-2.96%0.0569-13.13%0.0563✗0.96183k2022-08-27
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010980.001065-2.99%0.00137+24.77%0.4778✗1.301.6M2022-08-27
ADACardanoCardano0.51290.49752-3.00%0.45-12.26%0.1183✗1.2543.2M2022-08-27
XEMNEMnative0.0492890.047802-3.02%0.044708-9.29%0.1395✗1.1832k2022-08-27
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.114.6438-3.02%11.9-21.19%0.0394✗1.421.5M2022-08-27
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.32022.2499-3.03%5.259+126.66%1.0062✗0.90979k2022-08-27
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2160.209456-3.03%0.171-20.83%0.0603✗1.51786k2022-08-27
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6120.593311-3.05%0.51-16.67%0.0947✗1.4184k2022-08-27
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011850.00001147-3.21%0.00001216+2.62%0.2754✗1.25986k2022-08-27
LPTLivepeerEthereum12.0111.6218-3.23%10-16.74%0.0621✗1.22241k2022-08-27
ETHEthereumEthereum1,725.191,669.14-3.25%1,491.22-13.56%0.1067✗1.26383.0M2022-08-27
SUSHISushiEthereum1.571.5189-3.25%1.0612-32.41%0.1052✓1.451.0M2022-08-27
API3Api3Ethereum1.8281.7677-3.30%1.69-7.55%0.1793✗1.29626k2022-08-27
STEEMSteemnative0.25050.242202-3.31%0.2211-11.74%0.1110✗1.16643k2022-08-27
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.183560.177439-3.33%0.15762-14.13%0.2859✗2.321,1272022-08-27
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.2657.0219-3.35%6.303-13.24%0.1124✗1.265.5M2022-08-27
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3741.3275-3.39%1.146-16.59%0.0774✗1.292.4M2022-08-27
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.85810.4901-3.39%11.173+2.90%0.3024✗1.3714.4M2022-08-27
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum17.1816.5961-3.40%13.8-19.67%0.0543✗1.371.3M2022-08-27
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3571.3108-3.40%0.9661-28.81%0.0889✓1.241.2M2022-08-27
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8450.816124-3.42%0.659-22.01%0.0888✗1.745.2M2022-08-27
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08460.081709-3.42%0.0639-24.47%0.0370✓1.20155k2022-08-27
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.8582.7601-3.43%1.96-31.42%0.0362✓1.7692k2022-08-27
FIDABonfidaSolana0.50.482707-3.46%0.412-17.60%0.0412✗1.1413k2022-08-27
FORTFortaEthereum0.29510.284841-3.48%0.268-9.18%0.1369✗1.13323k2022-08-27
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash155.69150.1506-3.56%115.26-25.97%0.0565✓1.193.9M2022-08-27
BANDBandEthereum1.7561.6935-3.56%1.221-30.47%0.0734✓1.46316k2022-08-27
AVTAventusEthereum1.581.5224-3.64%1.41-10.76%0.0311✓0.26283k2022-08-27
GMTGMTEthereum1.0120.97485-3.67%0.6853-32.28%0.0439✓1.77551k2022-08-27
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0209380.020159-3.72%0.023238+10.98%0.2306✗0.51165k2022-08-27
RADRadworksEthereum2.792.6845-3.78%2.14-23.30%0.0385✓1.08175k2022-08-27
CTSICartesiEthereum0.16450.158122-3.88%0.1404-14.65%0.1008✗1.26411k2022-08-27
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05240.05029-4.03%0.0436-16.79%0.0666✗1.20263k2022-08-27
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.48290.463422-4.03%0.3532-26.86%0.0973✓1.00224k2022-08-27
DKAdKargoEthereum0.047440.045507-4.07%0.04518-4.76%0.1509✗0.9115k2022-08-27
FTTFTXEthereum30.2428.9877-4.14%25.8-14.68%0.0497✗0.9510.8M2022-08-27
COMPCompoundEthereum57.9755.5507-4.17%46.09-20.49%0.0558✗1.3932k2022-08-27
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche24.2323.192-4.28%20.04-17.29%0.1332✗1.6027.5M2022-08-27
TRBTellor TributesEthereum18.5617.7465-4.38%38.17+105.66%1.0084✗1.39534k2022-08-27
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.02730.026056-4.56%0.02303-15.64%0.1458✗1.5411.5M2022-08-27
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.872.7322-4.80%2.11-26.48%0.0095✓1.54192k2022-08-27
QTUMQtumQtum4.48454.2597-5.01%3.1269-30.27%0.1172✓1.1028k2022-08-27
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.072110.068453-5.07%0.06428-10.86%0.2017✗1.52768k2022-08-27
DODODODOEthereum0.16380.155423-5.11%0.1246-23.93%0.0023✓1.282.8M2022-08-27
FISStafiEthereum0.43520.41254-5.21%–pending––0.912142022-08-27
LUNATerraTerra 20.000100260.000094897-5.35%0.0001339+33.55%0.6841✗1.95662k2022-08-27
METISMetisEthereum36.334.2831-5.56%30.05-17.22%0.2056✗1.94181k2022-08-27
ORCAOrcaSolana0.97640.919557-5.82%0.79-19.09%0.1334✗1.64209k2022-08-27
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.8531.737-6.26%1.404-24.23%0.0380✓1.44217k2022-08-27
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.425470.398712-6.29%0.32976-22.50%0.0563✓1.41592k2022-08-27
APEApeCoinEthereum6.9246.4747-6.49%4.757-31.30%0.0159✓1.6811.5M2022-08-27
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.94160.876287-6.94%1.3728+45.79%0.6547✗1.181.2M2022-08-27
UNIUniswapEthereum9.2758.5895-7.39%6.056-34.71%0.1036✓1.416.7M2022-08-27
ETCEthereum Classicnative40.8337.7639-7.51%33-19.18%0.1133✗1.421.3M2022-08-27
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.54481.4282-7.55%1.0479-32.17%0.0464✓1.515.6M2022-08-27
QNTQuantEthereum103.7894.9969-8.46%94.38-9.06%0.1704✗1.014.1M2022-08-27
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.1353.7787-8.62%2.891-30.08%0.0368✓1.753.8M2022-08-27
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.8460.77228-8.71%0.509-39.83%0.1554✓1.503,1392022-08-27
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.4315.8671-8.97%17.54+0.63%0.2528✗0.882.4M2022-08-27
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,140.608,306.92-9.12%8,782.65-3.92%0.2964✗1.384.0M2022-08-27
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.4072.1808-9.40%1.63-32.28%0.0415✓1.43160k2022-08-27
OPTIMOptimism1.4481.2786-11.70%1.025-29.21%0.1222✓1.971.1M2022-08-27
AUCTIONBounceEthereum8.227.2258-12.10%7.33-10.83%0.2519✗1.36256k2022-08-27
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.011460.009916-13.47%0.00757-33.94%0.0488✓1.27352k2022-08-27
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.