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2022-07-26 · +30d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 185 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1756
183 of 185 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-0.49%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
34.4%
in alpha space · 27.3% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+1.41%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (185 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.403990.365511-9.52%0.36511-9.62%0.0219✓1.48592k2022-08-25
QNTQuantEthereum92.9684.7918-8.79%106.79+14.88%0.2162✗1.033.7M2022-08-25
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.0771.9017-8.44%1.81-12.86%0.0698✓1.45132k2022-08-25
NMRNumeraireEthereum16.114.7509-8.38%18.42+14.41%0.2096✗0.892.2M2022-08-25
RADRadworksEthereum2.652.432-8.23%2.32-12.45%0.0625✓1.10157k2022-08-25
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.7520.690546-8.17%0.58-22.87%0.1961✓1.543,6872022-08-25
FISStafiEthereum0.45780.421977-7.83%–pending––1.263902022-08-25
TRBTellor TributesEthereum21.7820.1251-7.60%37.89+73.97%0.6112✗1.53454k2022-08-25
OPTIMOptimism0.8260.765061-7.38%1.178+42.62%0.4066✗1.781.1M2022-08-25
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6780.631871-6.80%0.734+8.26%0.1251✗1.765.2M2022-08-25
LUNATerraTerra 20.000092060.000085957-6.63%0.00013132+42.65%0.3974✗1.88715k2022-08-25
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.262.1218-6.11%2.48+9.73%0.1347✗1.52184k2022-08-25
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.84890.797417-6.06%1.3894+63.67%0.5383✗1.211.2M2022-08-25
AUCTIONBounceEthereum5.95.5457-6.01%8.06+36.61%0.3554✗1.32248k2022-08-25
APEApeCoinEthereum5.7585.4172-5.92%5.379-6.58%0.0311✓1.7111.5M2022-08-25
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.16861.1003-5.84%1.18+0.98%0.0492✓1.485.1M2022-08-25
DODODODOEthereum0.14280.134498-5.81%0.1408-1.40%0.0276✓1.292.8M2022-08-25
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.5211.4337-5.74%1.541+1.31%0.0518✓1.45212k2022-08-25
YFIyearn.financeEthereum6,861.886,475.68-5.63%9,795.51+42.75%0.3948✗1.364.0M2022-08-25
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4720.445763-5.56%0.458-2.97%0.0105✓1.1811k2022-08-25
CTSICartesiEthereum0.14870.140477-5.53%0.155+4.24%0.0803✗1.29379k2022-08-25
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.904410.854488-5.52%–pending––0.9910k2022-08-25
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.025070.023686-5.52%0.02391-4.63%0.0129✓1.5912.6M2022-08-25
QTUMQtumQtum3.68813.4885-5.41%3.4771-5.72%0.0184✓1.0826k2022-08-25
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0186060.017621-5.30%0.023343+25.46%0.2744✗0.48163k2022-08-25
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.42250.400278-5.26%0.3801-10.04%0.0657✓1.00224k2022-08-25
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.173.0041-5.23%2.67-15.77%0.1253✓0.5377k2022-08-25
DKAdKargoEthereum0.044310.042009-5.19%0.04792+8.15%0.1186✗0.9315k2022-08-25
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.972.8217-4.99%3.021+1.72%0.0446✓1.693.7M2022-08-25
METISMetisEthereum27.7626.3745-4.99%35.23+26.91%0.2755✗1.00164k2022-08-25
ORCAOrcaSolana0.81220.772172-4.93%0.8197+0.92%0.0370✓1.62209k2022-08-25
UNIUniswapEthereum6.6556.3338-4.83%7.023+5.53%0.0844✗1.355.7M2022-08-25
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04730.045033-4.79%0.0469-0.85%0.0234✓1.23256k2022-08-25
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06210.059124-4.79%0.0603-2.90%0.0058✓0.99156k2022-08-25
KSMKusamaHydration58.1355.3446-4.79%48.54-16.50%0.1481✓1.21231k2022-08-25
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2721.2121-4.71%1.262-0.79%0.0218✓1.322.4M2022-08-25
GMTGMTEthereum0.9010.858728-4.69%0.791-12.21%0.1072✓1.79551k2022-08-25
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1970.187796-4.67%0.191-3.05%0.0049✓1.55834k2022-08-25
FTTFTXEthereum27.0725.8087-4.66%27.94+3.21%0.0660✗0.9510.5M2022-08-25
FORTFortaEthereum0.29010.276621-4.65%0.2692-7.20%0.0442✓1.21337k2022-08-25
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.5876.2849-4.59%6.352-3.57%0.0074✓1.285.3M2022-08-25
AVTAventusEthereum1.41.336-4.57%1.44+2.86%0.0716✗0.24319k2022-08-25
XVGVergenative0.003420.003265-4.54%0.00328-4.09%0.0142✓1.35539k2022-08-25
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.07880.075305-4.44%0.0691-12.31%0.1033✓1.24162k2022-08-25
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum15.1514.4824-4.41%14.72-2.84%0.0031✓1.381.3M2022-08-25
STEEMSteemnative0.23350.223237-4.40%0.2418+3.55%0.0635✗1.17768k2022-08-25
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche20.7119.8038-4.38%22.98+10.96%0.1263✗1.6027.5M2022-08-25
XEMNEMnative0.0445030.042561-4.36%0.047816+7.44%0.0995✗1.2022k2022-08-25
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26180.250581-4.29%0.2608-0.38%0.0398✓0.0131k2022-08-25
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0030040.002877-4.24%0.003495+16.34%0.1804✗1.021.0M2022-08-25
ADACardanoCardano0.46830.448616-4.20%0.4642-0.88%0.0163✓1.2741.4M2022-08-25
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.19862.1063-4.20%5.5766+153.64%0.9627✗0.78884k2022-08-25
STXStacksnative0.39480.378249-4.19%0.3998+1.27%0.0375✓1.28606k2022-08-25
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5530.529819-4.19%0.571+3.25%0.0547✗1.4483k2022-08-25
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.94.6947-4.19%6.84+39.59%0.3672✗0.65514k2022-08-25
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6510.623726-4.19%0.6-7.83%0.0602✓1.5372k2022-08-25
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum12.812.2644-4.18%13.6+6.25%0.0835✗1.411.3M2022-08-25
DIADIAEthereum0.398220.381624-4.17%0.41101+3.21%0.0635✗0.7651k2022-08-25
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.1783.0456-4.16%4.711+48.24%0.4277✗0.611.5M2022-08-25
COMPCompoundEthereum48.1446.1474-4.14%51.48+6.94%0.0899✗1.3932k2022-08-25
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.028020.026861-4.14%0.02732-2.50%0.0021✓1.361,2882022-08-25
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.033.8634-4.13%5.05+25.31%0.2577✗0.73612k2022-08-25
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04660.044685-4.11%0.0529+13.52%0.1500✗1.34765k2022-08-25
BANDBandEthereum1.4081.3507-4.07%1.383-1.78%0.0032✓1.45303k2022-08-25
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.3110.298361-4.06%0.3074-1.16%0.0133✓1.187.5M2022-08-25
XMRMoneroMonero151.3145.265-3.99%153.94+1.74%0.0423✗1.121.2M2022-08-25
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.9113.7553-3.98%3.004-23.19%0.2366✓0.95638k2022-08-25
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.11282.0291-3.96%5.7197+170.72%1.0238✗0.89971k2022-08-25
XLMStellarStellar0.1055780.101485-3.88%0.110401+4.57%0.0701✗1.016.7M2022-08-25
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0014320.001377-3.86%0.001597+11.52%0.1336✗1.0520k2022-08-25
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.7513.6063-3.86%13.862+269.55%1.3380✗0.601.1M2022-08-25
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.3292.2393-3.85%2.19-5.97%0.0468✓1.7592k2022-08-25
PHAPHALAEthereum0.11260.10829-3.83%0.1098-2.49%0.0003✓1.015,4502022-08-25
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV54.58552.5192-3.78%55.615+1.89%0.0455✗0.84369k2022-08-25
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.3446.1041-3.78%7.13+12.39%0.1374✗1.2816.2M2022-08-25
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana7.176.9002-3.76%9.11+27.06%0.2713✗0.47704k2022-08-25
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.2613.1389-3.74%4.682+43.58%0.3901✗0.69488k2022-08-25
CELLCellframeEthereum0.27980.269325-3.74%0.3717+32.84%0.3060✗1.1570k2022-08-25
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.41540.399861-3.74%0.3754-9.63%0.0842✓1.50220k2022-08-25
HIVEHivenative0.50060.481921-3.73%0.5691+13.68%0.1496✗1.191.5M2022-08-25
SPELLSpellEthereum0.00097250.000936229-3.73%0.001525+56.84%0.4698✗1.301.7M2022-08-25
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.026830.025836-3.71%0.04111+53.22%0.4467✗1.2715k2022-08-25
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.3215.1247-3.69%6.356+19.45%0.1997✗1.111.9M2022-08-25
UOSUltraEthereum0.317390.305736-3.67%0.37447+17.98%0.1858✗1.21400k2022-08-25
API3Api3Ethereum1.5811.523-3.67%1.943+22.90%0.2255✗1.29619k2022-08-25
BFCBifrostEthereum0.06580.063389-3.66%0.07588+15.32%0.1618✗1.2927k2022-08-25
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.366150.352796-3.65%0.37415+2.18%0.0414✗1.24113k2022-08-25
BTCBitcoinBitcoin21,261.5720,493.25-3.61%21,561.86+1.41%0.0368✓1.00395.4M2022-08-25
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos9.2278.8959-3.59%12.847+39.23%0.3483✗1.3713.2M2022-08-25
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.1831.1413-3.52%1.0485-11.37%0.1023✓1.241.2M2022-08-25
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.94950.9162-3.51%1.008+6.16%0.0822✗0.953.5M2022-08-25
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.03940.038033-3.47%0.03993+1.35%0.0349✓0.981,9372022-08-25
XECeCashnative0.00003920.000037854-3.43%0.00003947+0.69%0.0252✓1.191.8M2022-08-25
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0625680.060421-3.43%0.069172+10.56%0.1190✗1.161.8M2022-08-25
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000010870.000010498-3.43%0.00001393+28.15%0.2651✗1.271.0M2022-08-25
ETCEthereum Classicnative25.1624.2997-3.42%37.14+47.62%0.4060✗1.301.3M2022-08-25
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.162440.156901-3.41%0.16533+1.78%0.0179✓2.451,1272022-08-25
XYMSymbolnative0.0524420.050664-3.39%0.047386-9.64%0.0756✓0.6218k2022-08-25
ETHEthereumEthereum1,449.631,401.35-3.33%1,695.27+16.95%0.1729✗1.25354.3M2022-08-25
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,133.3020,430.77-3.32%21,605.60+2.23%0.0422✗0.9819k2022-08-25
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6360.614929-3.31%0.744+16.98%0.1769✗0.97360k2022-08-25
DOTPolkadotPolkadot6.7826.5577-3.31%7.583+11.81%0.1278✗1.258.7M2022-08-25
SUSHISushiEthereum1.271.2287-3.25%1.2006-5.46%0.0436✓1.46912k2022-08-25
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.6913.5715-3.24%6.549+77.43%0.5989✗0.531.9M2022-08-25
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0068940.006671-3.24%0.0068-1.36%0.0113✓0.5642k2022-08-25
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.35121.3075-3.23%1.8105+33.99%0.3051✗1.45540k2022-08-25
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.3152.2402-3.23%4.2527+83.70%0.6270✗0.99806k2022-08-25
DASHDashDash43.9942.5741-3.22%49.18+11.80%0.1287✗1.11517k2022-08-25
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.364.2197-3.22%6.8+55.96%0.4686✗0.61555k2022-08-25
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06530.063199-3.22%0.0676+3.52%0.0521✗1.08264k2022-08-25
WOOWOOEthereum0.1850.179049-3.22%0.1725-6.76%0.0574✓1.431,6202022-08-25
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.20850.201811-3.21%0.2384+14.34%0.1455✗1.5099k2022-08-25
ELAElastosEthereum1.5451.4961-3.16%1.856+20.13%0.2066✗0.64223k2022-08-25
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.08310.080473-3.16%0.1124+35.26%0.3222✗0.85148k2022-08-25
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10760.104216-3.14%0.1116+3.72%0.0531✗1.09362k2022-08-25
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.2042.1349-3.14%2.289+3.86%0.0498✗1.4237k2022-08-25
UMAUMAEthereum2.5952.5143-3.11%2.946+13.53%0.1427✗1.12597k2022-08-25
COTICOTIEthereum0.09490.091954-3.10%0.0989+4.21%0.0540✗1.34491k2022-08-25
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.22450.217553-3.09%0.2289+1.96%0.0331✗1.26119k2022-08-25
GALAGALAEthereum0.04770.046239-3.06%0.0548+14.88%0.1491✗1.48109k2022-08-25
FLOWFlownative1.5961.5473-3.05%2.137+33.90%0.3052✗1.26379k2022-08-25
ZENHorizenBase15.1714.7073-3.05%17.19+13.32%0.1365✗1.3997k2022-08-25
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana4.614.4723-2.99%5.86+27.11%0.2619✗0.59713k2022-08-25
MOVRMoonriverBase12.190511.8302-2.96%13.4615+10.43%0.1124✗1.2073k2022-08-25
AMPAmpEthereum0.008370.008123-2.96%0.00704-15.89%0.1561✓0.931.4M2022-08-25
STORJStorjEthereum0.607290.589368-2.95%0.60846+0.19%0.0099✓1.5780k2022-08-25
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.068690.066678-2.93%0.07031+2.36%0.0428✗0.731,5492022-08-25
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18020.175075-2.84%0.1837+1.94%0.0284✓1.411,0652022-08-25
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12050.117077-2.84%0.1378+14.36%0.1489✗1.013.1M2022-08-25
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.049050.047667-2.82%0.06979+42.28%0.3607✗1.46747k2022-08-25
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.11950.116146-2.81%0.1309+9.54%0.1009✗1.3354k2022-08-25
CHZChilizEthereum0.10350.100628-2.78%0.2245+116.91%0.7870✗1.10617k2022-08-25
SOLSolanaSolana36.2935.3026-2.72%35.25-2.87%0.0206✓1.3781.1M2022-08-25
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006290.006119-2.71%0.00801+27.34%0.2550✗1.01352k2022-08-25
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.09720.094604-2.67%0.1159+19.24%0.1839✗1.362.4M2022-08-25
MANADecentralandEthereum0.878770.855409-2.66%0.84018-4.39%0.0370✓1.36392k2022-08-25
IMXImmutableEthereum0.81580.794217-2.65%0.8658+6.13%0.0661✗1.441.4M2022-08-25
BTTCBTTC8.70e-78.47e-7-2.64%9.20e-7+5.75%0.0708✗0.845.9M2022-08-25
PROPropyEthereum0.760.740032-2.63%0.73-3.95%0.0221✓0.6083k2022-08-25
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.86271.8138-2.63%1.991+6.88%0.0759✗1.2324k2022-08-25
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.70e-78.47e-7-2.62%9.10e-7+4.60%0.0574✗1.0025k2022-08-25
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008680.008454-2.60%0.00914+5.30%0.0641✗0.994.2M2022-08-25
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6620.644808-2.60%0.724+9.37%0.0983✗1.25149k2022-08-25
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0141890.013821-2.59%0.014482+2.06%0.0341✗0.901.2M2022-08-25
CBKCobakEthereum0.964640.940135-2.54%0.95141-1.37%0.0040✓1.139,1202022-08-25
C98Coin98Ethereum0.43510.424064-2.54%0.4247-2.39%0.0142✓1.1242k2022-08-25
SCSiacoinnative0.003960.003862-2.48%0.0042+6.06%0.0650✗1.35106k2022-08-25
CVCCivicEthereum0.13440.131109-2.45%0.1575+17.19%0.1656✗1.2784k2022-08-25
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.27630.269561-2.44%0.3056+10.60%0.1086✗1.202.7M2022-08-25
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04060.039649-2.34%0.0407+0.25%0.0069✓1.377,5232022-08-25
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.53720.52514-2.24%0.5098-5.10%0.0464✓1.19642k2022-08-25
LCXLCXEthereum0.05860.057312-2.20%0.0636+8.53%0.0838✗1.44342k2022-08-25
KCSKuCoinnative9.6649.4538-2.17%9.763+1.02%0.0165✓1.122.1M2022-08-25
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8510.832919-2.12%0.923+8.46%0.0922✗0.751.1M2022-08-25
LTCLitecoinLitecoin53.952.8043-2.03%56.62+5.05%0.0536✗1.1513.5M2022-08-25
NANOnanopayBase0.8970470.878866-2.03%0.958891+6.89%0.0734✗0.9857k2022-08-25
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2760.27041-2.03%0.296+7.25%0.0756✗1.06620k2022-08-25
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.09040.088584-2.01%0.08405-7.02%0.0666✓1.00722k2022-08-25
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.391.3629-1.95%1.43+2.88%0.0282✗1.42122k2022-08-25
GLMGolemEthereum0.23690.232276-1.95%0.2626+10.85%0.1071✗1.1162k2022-08-25
LSKLiskEthereum1.05691.0363-1.95%1.1342+7.32%0.0749✗1.1045k2022-08-25
AAVEAaveEthereum81.2679.6979-1.92%93.35+14.88%0.1349✗1.668.1M2022-08-25
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.3012.2571-1.91%4.721+105.17%0.7250✗0.92105k2022-08-25
LRCLoopringEthereum0.36680.359974-1.86%0.395+7.69%0.0738✗1.3673k2022-08-25
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash118.94116.7718-1.82%130.69+9.88%0.0964✗1.164.0M2022-08-25
XTZTezosTezos1.55611.5285-1.78%1.669+7.26%0.0700✗1.28492k2022-08-25
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.43e-73.37e-7-1.77%8.04e-7+134.55%0.8565✗0.99229k2022-08-25
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.14440.141973-1.68%0.14326-0.79%0.0132✓1.58176k2022-08-25
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03310.032593-1.53%0.0389+17.52%0.1596✗1.2368k2022-08-25
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2894490.285084-1.51%0.321644+11.12%0.1025✗1.301.0M2022-08-25
ZECZcashZcash55.7554.9137-1.50%67.75+21.52%0.1920✗1.291.4M2022-08-25
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.48870.481552-1.46%0.4961+1.51%0.0137✓1.14350k2022-08-25
LPTLivepeerEthereum8.288.1624-1.42%11.38+37.44%0.3161✗1.15241k2022-08-25
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.07630.075228-1.41%0.0909+19.13%0.1720✗1.236,3652022-08-25
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017410.017185-1.29%0.01666-4.31%0.0418✓0.77324k2022-08-25
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.019890.01966-1.15%0.02303+15.79%0.1434✗1.06136k2022-08-25
XVSVenusEthereum4.984.9264-1.08%5.69+14.26%0.1240✗1.44939k2022-08-25
NEXONEXOEthereum0.6490.643895-0.79%0.998+53.78%0.4212✗1.21758k2022-08-25
GITCOINGITCOIN2.26932.2525-0.74%2.4764+9.13%0.0727✗1.579,1162022-08-25
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0201520.02001-0.71%0.022511+11.71%0.1038✗1.006,9032022-08-25
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.09465.059-0.70%5.1741+1.56%0.0197✗0.20219k2022-08-25
SUNSun TokenTron0.0058670.005827-0.69%0.005856-0.18%0.0076✓0.913,1552022-08-25
GTGateEthereum4.01664.0046-0.30%4.567+13.70%0.1213✗0.72919k2022-08-25
TRXTRONTron0.0653390.065518+0.27%0.065499+0.24%0.0115✗0.80382k2022-08-25
BORABORAKlay Token0.292850.294279+0.49%0.30411+3.84%0.0140✓1.359,6072022-08-25
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.