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2022-07-25 · +30d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 185 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2239
184 of 185 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+6.20%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
33.2%
in alpha space · 31.5% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+0.25%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (185 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
DEXEDeXeEthereum5.0154.4936-10.40%3-40.18%0.4064✓0.96584k2022-08-24
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.406710.368089-9.50%0.36571-10.08%0.0102✓1.47602k2022-08-24
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.7816.1527-9.15%18.34+3.15%0.1248✗0.882.1M2022-08-24
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.7890.720486-8.68%0.588-25.48%0.2071✓1.544,1662022-08-24
QNTQuantEthereum87.8780.3718-8.53%108+22.91%0.2929✗1.023.2M2022-08-24
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.9341.7882-7.54%1.766-8.69%0.0161✓1.45132k2022-08-24
TRBTellor TributesEthereum20.5519.1237-6.94%37.33+81.65%0.6650✗1.53440k2022-08-24
LUNATerraTerra 20.000092210.000086073-6.66%0.00009991+8.35%0.1443✗1.90735k2022-08-24
OPTIMOptimism0.7940.741874-6.57%1.226+54.41%0.4978✗1.781.1M2022-08-24
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6930.648457-6.43%0.727+4.91%0.1099✗1.765.3M2022-08-24
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5040.472461-6.26%0.452-10.32%0.0472✓1.1811k2022-08-24
APEApeCoinEthereum5.9965.6351-6.02%5.312-11.41%0.0634✓1.7211.9M2022-08-24
AUCTIONBounceEthereum5.965.6043-5.97%8.04+34.90%0.3576✗1.31248k2022-08-24
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.17631.1065-5.93%1.1766+0.03%0.0577✓1.484.9M2022-08-24
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.252.1173-5.90%2.41+7.11%0.1257✗1.52205k2022-08-24
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.5451.4578-5.65%1.548+0.19%0.0564✓1.45212k2022-08-24
UNIUniswapEthereum7.0476.6562-5.54%7.045-0.03%0.0534✓1.355.6M2022-08-24
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0187260.017699-5.48%0.023439+25.17%0.2797✗0.48163k2022-08-24
DODODODOEthereum0.14170.134092-5.37%0.1408-0.64%0.0456✓1.292.8M2022-08-24
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.83960.795043-5.31%1.5383+83.22%0.6570✗1.211.2M2022-08-24
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.953570.904595-5.14%0.06201-93.50%2.6827✓0.998,9622022-08-24
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.213.0489-5.02%2.77-13.71%0.0973✓0.5382k2022-08-24
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.024480.023263-4.97%0.02382-2.70%0.0196✓1.6013.4M2022-08-24
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04810.045718-4.95%0.0464-3.53%0.0118✓1.22263k2022-08-24
HIVEHivenative0.5190.49357-4.90%0.5577+7.46%0.1192✗1.191.4M2022-08-24
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.9682.8247-4.83%3.034+2.22%0.0672✗1.693.7M2022-08-24
DKAdKargoEthereum0.044030.041913-4.81%0.04656+5.75%0.1028✗0.9315k2022-08-24
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.420.399827-4.80%0.4098-2.43%0.0221✓1.00234k2022-08-24
ORCAOrcaSolana0.82580.78618-4.80%0.8151-1.30%0.0321✓1.61214k2022-08-24
FISStafiEthereum0.37020.352631-4.75%–pending––1.273902022-08-24
KSMKusamaHydration58.4955.7388-4.70%48.99-16.24%0.1321✓1.20227k2022-08-24
GMTGMTEthereum0.9150.872025-4.70%0.7861-14.09%0.1082✓1.79591k2022-08-24
CTSICartesiEthereum0.14720.140306-4.68%0.1509+2.51%0.0696✗1.28379k2022-08-24
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0030990.002956-4.62%0.003426+10.55%0.1450✗1.011.0M2022-08-24
XVGVergenative0.003450.003292-4.58%0.00321-6.96%0.0286✓1.34566k2022-08-24
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08160.07789-4.55%0.0676-17.16%0.1448✓1.22172k2022-08-24
METISMetisEthereum27.3726.1306-4.53%35.76+30.65%0.3112✗1.00151k2022-08-24
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.083.8957-4.52%5.19+27.21%0.2850✗0.75597k2022-08-24
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1930.184333-4.49%0.186-3.63%0.0051✓1.55881k2022-08-24
UOSUltraEthereum0.344430.328965-4.49%0.34078-1.06%0.0323✓1.20400k2022-08-24
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.42880.409568-4.49%0.3738-12.83%0.0952✓1.50208k2022-08-24
FTTFTXEthereum27.0125.799-4.48%27.55+2.00%0.0633✗0.9510.6M2022-08-24
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche20.9119.9755-4.47%23.01+10.04%0.1374✗1.6027.0M2022-08-24
YFIyearn.financeEthereum6,273.725,998.41-4.39%9,349.19+49.02%0.4404✗1.354.0M2022-08-24
STEEMSteemnative0.23090.220775-4.38%0.2353+1.91%0.0607✗1.21701k2022-08-24
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06050.057885-4.32%0.0606+0.17%0.0434✓0.98156k2022-08-24
XEMNEMnative0.0447030.042779-4.30%0.046228+3.41%0.0745✗1.2021k2022-08-24
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2481.1943-4.30%1.24-0.64%0.0342✓1.322.4M2022-08-24
AVTAventusEthereum1.411.3494-4.30%1.38-2.13%0.0218✓0.23319k2022-08-24
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.2610.249829-4.28%0.2599-0.42%0.0395✓0.0135k2022-08-24
FORTFortaEthereum0.27410.262486-4.24%0.27-1.50%0.0252✓1.21335k2022-08-24
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6630.634912-4.24%0.6-9.50%0.0604✓1.5179k2022-08-24
ADACardanoCardano0.47490.454927-4.21%0.4577-3.62%0.0029✓1.2741.4M2022-08-24
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04760.0456-4.20%0.0518+8.82%0.1241✗1.34787k2022-08-24
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.0912.9615-4.19%4.9+58.52%0.5020✗0.631.5M2022-08-24
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.24392.1512-4.13%5.6172+150.33%0.9578✗0.79895k2022-08-24
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.31160.298789-4.11%0.3023-2.98%0.0087✓1.187.5M2022-08-24
DIADIAEthereum0.404070.3877-4.05%0.40312-0.24%0.0371✓0.7551k2022-08-24
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.2035.9526-4.04%6.406+3.27%0.0702✗1.285.3M2022-08-24
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum15.3514.7345-4.01%14.55-5.21%0.0161✓1.381.3M2022-08-24
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.4216.1652-3.98%7.122+10.92%0.1411✗1.2816.7M2022-08-24
QTUMQtumQtum3.28363.1531-3.97%3.4798+5.98%0.0959✗1.0725k2022-08-24
COMPCompoundEthereum50.2448.2606-3.94%51.17+1.85%0.0551✗1.3832k2022-08-24
SUSHISushiEthereum1.361.307-3.90%1.1971-11.98%0.0915✓1.45856k2022-08-24
STXStacksnative0.40070.385147-3.88%0.3867-3.49%0.0008✓1.28606k2022-08-24
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum12.5112.0252-3.88%13.83+10.55%0.1362✗1.461.2M2022-08-24
PHAPHALAEthereum0.11450.110075-3.86%0.1118-2.36%0.0130✓1.015,8712022-08-24
XLMStellarStellar0.1059880.1019-3.86%0.109482+3.30%0.0692✗1.016.7M2022-08-24
BANDBandEthereum1.41.3462-3.84%1.364-2.57%0.0095✓1.45317k2022-08-24
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.3662.2756-3.82%2.176-8.03%0.0492✓1.7587k2022-08-24
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.7813.6375-3.80%14.339+279.24%1.3701✗0.621.2M2022-08-24
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.764.5799-3.78%6.94+45.80%0.4140✗0.66514k2022-08-24
API3Api3Ethereum1.5961.5358-3.77%1.936+21.30%0.2284✗1.29606k2022-08-24
SPELLSpellEthereum0.00099010.000952947-3.75%0.001535+55.01%0.4733✗1.311.7M2022-08-24
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.1312.0517-3.72%5.8769+175.78%1.0501✗0.90971k2022-08-24
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,619.2020,816.14-3.71%21,418.40-0.93%0.0261✓0.9820k2022-08-24
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.2011.1575-3.62%1.0444-13.04%0.1059✓1.241.3M2022-08-24
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.040.038563-3.59%0.04014+0.35%0.0376✗0.992,0302022-08-24
BTCBitcoinBitcoin21,313.4120,549.05-3.59%21,367.12+0.25%0.0365✗1.00374.5M2022-08-24
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0014790.001426-3.57%0.0016+8.18%0.1123✗1.0620k2022-08-24
CELLCellframeEthereum0.27570.265861-3.57%0.3737+35.55%0.3376✗1.1465k2022-08-24
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.530.511162-3.55%0.562+6.04%0.0912✗1.4384k2022-08-24
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.21570.208115-3.52%0.2239+3.80%0.0693✗1.4999k2022-08-24
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.2385.0576-3.44%6.274+19.78%0.2127✗1.111.9M2022-08-24
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.90170.870804-3.43%1.0301+14.24%0.1656✗0.943.5M2022-08-24
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV54.1352.295-3.39%55.495+2.52%0.0573✗0.84369k2022-08-24
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.026750.025848-3.37%0.04016+50.13%0.4374✗1.2718k2022-08-24
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.2283.1191-3.37%4.876+51.05%0.4448✗0.77488k2022-08-24
XMRMoneroMonero144.12139.285-3.35%150.55+4.46%0.0750✗1.111.1M2022-08-24
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.946.7074-3.35%9.29+33.86%0.3245✗0.48670k2022-08-24
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos8.9738.6744-3.33%13.019+45.09%0.4026✗1.3713.0M2022-08-24
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.0710.068638-3.33%0.07009-1.28%0.0191✓0.731,6422022-08-24
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana4.334.1865-3.31%6.1+40.88%0.3749✗0.60694k2022-08-24
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.08550.082685-3.29%0.1052+23.04%0.2387✗0.84148k2022-08-24
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.3590.347205-3.29%0.36794+2.49%0.0549✗1.23113k2022-08-24
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.7053.5843-3.26%6.816+83.97%0.6413✗0.552.1M2022-08-24
DOTPolkadotPolkadot6.7576.5371-3.26%7.565+11.96%0.1429✗1.248.6M2022-08-24
DASHDashDash44.8843.4226-3.25%49.13+9.47%0.1207✗1.11498k2022-08-24
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000010690.000010344-3.23%0.00001305+22.08%0.2292✗1.261.1M2022-08-24
MOVRMoonriverBase12.677312.2678-3.23%13.8671+9.39%0.1195✗1.2078k2022-08-24
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.061930.059941-3.21%0.067837+9.54%0.1208✗1.151.8M2022-08-24
ETHEthereumEthereum1,440.751,394.49-3.21%1,656.74+14.99%0.1692✗1.24344.6M2022-08-24
FLOWFlownative1.6271.5749-3.20%2.147+31.96%0.3067✗1.26332k2022-08-24
XYMSymbolnative0.0534050.051727-3.14%0.048259-9.64%0.0710✓0.6218k2022-08-24
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.16990.164618-3.11%0.16688-1.78%0.0075✓2.451,1272022-08-24
XECeCashnative0.000038290.000037106-3.09%0.00003875+1.20%0.0404✗1.191.9M2022-08-24
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.2982.2272-3.08%4.3422+88.96%0.6651✗1.00863k2022-08-24
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6230.603915-3.06%0.721+15.73%0.1748✗0.97387k2022-08-24
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18420.178566-3.06%0.171-7.17%0.0468✓1.411,0652022-08-24
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.264.1316-3.01%6.85+60.80%0.5040✗0.62504k2022-08-24
AMPAmpEthereum0.008450.008195-3.01%0.00698-17.40%0.1629✓0.931.3M2022-08-24
STORJStorjEthereum0.597970.580085-2.99%0.58763-1.73%0.0090✓1.5686k2022-08-24
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.1772.1123-2.97%2.264+4.00%0.0658✗1.4237k2022-08-24
RADRadworksEthereum1.881.8242-2.97%2.34+24.47%0.2463✗1.08157k2022-08-24
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10780.104604-2.97%0.1104+2.41%0.0512✗1.09380k2022-08-24
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0066890.006491-2.96%0.00668-0.13%0.0273✓0.5546k2022-08-24
ELAElastosEthereum1.5571.5113-2.94%1.827+17.34%0.1881✗0.64223k2022-08-24
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.30961.2715-2.91%1.8503+41.29%0.3715✗1.46561k2022-08-24
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006550.00636-2.90%0.0082+25.19%0.2515✗1.01355k2022-08-24
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.025710.024969-2.88%0.02692+4.71%0.0718✗1.351,3002022-08-24
ZENHorizenBase15.2514.8127-2.87%17.01+11.54%0.1348✗1.3997k2022-08-24
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12320.119705-2.84%0.1328+7.79%0.1013✗1.013.1M2022-08-24
PROPropyEthereum0.790.767769-2.81%0.74-6.33%0.0386✓0.6983k2022-08-24
GALAGALAEthereum0.04760.046267-2.80%0.0549+15.34%0.1674✗1.48119k2022-08-24
COTICOTIEthereum0.09280.090219-2.78%0.099+6.68%0.0895✗1.34502k2022-08-24
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.11940.116087-2.77%0.1249+4.61%0.0698✗1.3447k2022-08-24
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.22210.216014-2.74%0.2197-1.08%0.0137✓1.26119k2022-08-24
SOLSolanaSolana36.6435.6647-2.66%34.88-4.80%0.0257✓1.3680.3M2022-08-24
IMXImmutableEthereum0.82490.803098-2.64%0.8581+4.02%0.0626✗1.441.4M2022-08-24
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.047940.046679-2.63%0.07101+48.12%0.4159✗1.46712k2022-08-24
UMAUMAEthereum2.6292.5602-2.62%2.932+11.53%0.1328✗1.12619k2022-08-24
BFCBifrostEthereum0.067820.066047-2.61%0.07428+9.53%0.1142✗1.2928k2022-08-24
BTTCBTTC8.80e-78.57e-7-2.58%9.10e-7+3.41%0.0575✗0.845.9M2022-08-24
C98Coin98Ethereum0.43540.424226-2.57%0.4107-5.67%0.0352✓1.1241k2022-08-24
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.09570.093275-2.53%0.1146+19.75%0.2024✗1.372.4M2022-08-24
CHZChilizEthereum0.10140.098838-2.53%0.2424+139.05%0.8943✗1.11617k2022-08-24
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008430.00822-2.49%0.0091+7.95%0.0993✗0.994.5M2022-08-24
WOOWOOEthereum0.1740.16971-2.47%0.1725-0.86%0.0127✓1.431,7562022-08-24
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.83871.7933-2.47%1.9654+6.89%0.0885✗1.2324k2022-08-24
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04140.040381-2.46%0.0402-2.90%0.0079✓1.357,5232022-08-24
SCSiacoinnative0.003970.003874-2.43%0.00409+3.02%0.0510✗1.34106k2022-08-24
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06420.062662-2.40%0.0669+4.21%0.0627✗1.08239k2022-08-24
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.00e-78.78e-7-2.39%9.20e-7+2.22%0.0437✗1.0025k2022-08-24
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.27480.268367-2.34%0.2983+8.55%0.1027✗1.202.7M2022-08-24
NANOnanopayBase0.9137150.892548-2.32%0.935146+2.35%0.0442✗0.9851k2022-08-24
ETCEthereum Classicnative23.2522.7135-2.31%35.45+52.47%0.4419✗1.291.3M2022-08-24
CVCCivicEthereum0.13160.12864-2.25%0.1481+12.54%0.1377✗1.2681k2022-08-24
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6740.659213-2.19%0.727+7.86%0.0947✗1.25149k2022-08-24
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4172.3664-2.09%4.724+95.45%0.6890✗0.92105k2022-08-24
LCXLCXEthereum0.0590.057811-2.02%0.0641+8.64%0.0997✗1.43328k2022-08-24
MANADecentralandEthereum0.873470.85607-1.99%0.8327-4.67%0.0311✓1.36423k2022-08-24
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.093290.091435-1.99%0.08425-9.69%0.0844✓1.00706k2022-08-24
LTCLitecoinLitecoin54.0252.9586-1.96%56.46+4.52%0.0611✗1.1513.6M2022-08-24
CTKShentuOsmosis0.7980.7827-1.92%0.886+11.03%0.1221✗0.751.1M2022-08-24
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2810.275632-1.91%0.285+1.42%0.0308✗1.05673k2022-08-24
KCSKuCoinnative9.469.2808-1.89%9.631+1.81%0.0342✗1.112.1M2022-08-24
CBKCobakEthereum0.985390.966946-1.87%0.94669-3.93%0.0240✓1.138,4242022-08-24
AAVEAaveEthereum81.479.8999-1.84%88.41+8.61%0.0970✗1.668.1M2022-08-24
GLMGolemEthereum0.23210.228052-1.74%0.2557+10.17%0.1116✗1.1161k2022-08-24
LSKLiskEthereum1.05261.0343-1.74%1.1172+6.14%0.0744✗1.1045k2022-08-24
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.013450.013219-1.72%0.014302+6.33%0.0765✗0.911.2M2022-08-24
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.52560.516672-1.70%0.5089-3.18%0.0182✓1.20642k2022-08-24
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03370.033136-1.67%0.0377+11.87%0.1259✗1.2472k2022-08-24
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.371.3472-1.66%1.42+3.65%0.0490✗1.44127k2022-08-24
LRCLoopringEthereum0.36240.356632-1.59%0.3871+6.82%0.0786✗1.3670k2022-08-24
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.57e-73.52e-7-1.59%8.05e-7+125.15%0.8251✗0.99234k2022-08-24
XTZTezosTezos1.50841.4851-1.54%1.6006+6.11%0.0717✗1.28492k2022-08-24
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash118.03116.2303-1.52%130.34+10.43%0.1117✗1.164.2M2022-08-24
LPTLivepeerEthereum8.448.3128-1.51%11.09+31.40%0.2853✗1.16243k2022-08-24
XVSVenusEthereum5.085.0068-1.44%5.72+12.60%0.1296✗1.43947k2022-08-24
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.48880.482685-1.25%0.4861-0.55%0.0042✓1.15350k2022-08-24
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017920.017696-1.25%0.01734-3.24%0.0222✓0.77354k2022-08-24
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2814470.27799-1.23%0.308844+9.73%0.1020✗1.301.1M2022-08-24
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.140170.138489-1.20%0.14186+1.21%0.0201✗1.58176k2022-08-24
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.019370.019139-1.19%0.02359+21.79%0.2064✗1.06129k2022-08-24
ZECZcashZcash54.253.5541-1.19%67.69+24.89%0.2310✗1.281.4M2022-08-24
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.07850.077746-0.96%0.091+15.92%0.1543✗1.236,7862022-08-24
SUNSun TokenTron0.0056290.005576-0.93%0.005761+2.36%0.0304✗0.912,9222022-08-24
NEXONEXOEthereum0.6810.674944-0.89%0.956+40.38%0.3451✗1.21758k2022-08-24
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.08625.0475-0.76%5.386+5.89%0.0644✗0.19214k2022-08-24
GITCOINGITCOIN2.26452.2529-0.51%2.4403+7.76%0.0759✗1.579,0562022-08-24
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0204790.020424-0.27%0.022261+8.70%0.0836✗1.006,1832022-08-24
GTGateEthereum3.96963.9657-0.10%4.4922+13.17%0.1229✗0.72919k2022-08-24
TRXTRONTron0.0636630.063957+0.46%0.06482+1.82%0.0114✓0.80373k2022-08-24
BORABORAKlay Token0.293060.295558+0.85%0.2979+1.65%0.0045✓1.349,2162022-08-24
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.