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2022-07-23 · +30d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 185 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1783
184 of 185 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+3.18%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
41.8%
in alpha space · 57.6% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-4.69%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (185 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
BORABORAKlay Token0.310980.318804+2.52%0.29531-5.04%0.0121✓1.348,9402022-08-22
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0218060.022251+2.04%0.021328-2.19%0.0051✓0.993,8342022-08-22
GITCOINGITCOIN2.45732.5023+1.83%2.4125-1.82%0.0385✓1.568,0962022-08-22
TRXTRONTron0.0669070.067707+1.20%0.065631-1.91%0.0069✓0.79369k2022-08-22
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08330.084128+0.99%0.0891+6.96%0.1163✓1.236,9982022-08-22
SUNSun TokenTron0.0058780.005936+0.98%0.005817-1.03%0.0237✓0.913,1552022-08-22
GTGateEthereum4.11364.1472+0.82%4.5685+11.06%0.1305✓0.70930k2022-08-22
CBKCobakEthereum1.06671.0691+0.23%0.93212-12.62%0.0832✗1.127,7462022-08-22
ZECZcashZcash59.1459.1324-0.01%65.09+10.06%0.1583✗1.301.5M2022-08-22
NEXONEXOEthereum0.6860.685552-0.07%0.9+31.20%0.3313✗1.23758k2022-08-22
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2870.286237-0.27%0.28-2.44%0.0286✗1.05673k2022-08-22
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4372.4296-0.30%4.77+95.73%0.7180✗0.90105k2022-08-22
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.23175.2129-0.36%5.1079-2.37%0.0110✓0.20219k2022-08-22
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.481.4734-0.44%1.38-6.76%0.0035✓1.44129k2022-08-22
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.308240.306292-0.63%0.305622-0.85%0.0569✗1.231.2M2022-08-22
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash122.51121.7084-0.65%122.68+0.14%0.0624✗1.134.2M2022-08-22
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.50450.501123-0.67%0.4905-2.78%0.0332✗1.14333k2022-08-22
LRCLoopringEthereum0.40690.40385-0.75%0.3773-7.27%0.0034✓1.3483k2022-08-22
LCXLCXEthereum0.06390.063382-0.81%0.0641+0.31%0.0781✗1.39325k2022-08-22
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0150350.014908-0.85%0.01426-5.15%0.0003✓0.921.2M2022-08-22
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.74e-73.71e-7-0.88%6.81e-7+81.91%0.6549✗0.99234k2022-08-22
CVCCivicEthereum0.14260.14127-0.93%0.1467+2.88%0.0975✗1.2584k2022-08-22
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.097680.096755-0.95%0.0872-10.73%0.0560✓1.00677k2022-08-22
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.018680.018503-0.95%0.01775-4.98%0.0056✓0.75354k2022-08-22
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7330.726005-0.95%0.713-2.73%0.0427✗1.27149k2022-08-22
KCSKuCoinnative9.849.7457-0.96%9.582-2.62%0.0363✗1.112.3M2022-08-22
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.020320.020123-0.97%0.02224+9.45%0.1510✗1.06123k2022-08-22
LPTLivepeerEthereum8.998.8998-1.00%10.09+12.24%0.1816✗1.17263k2022-08-22
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.2353.2023-1.01%4.978+53.88%0.4782✗0.77488k2022-08-22
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.40e-79.30e-7-1.04%8.90e-7-5.32%0.0038✓1.0026k2022-08-22
NANOnanopayBase0.9474550.937215-1.08%0.913455-3.59%0.0228✗1.0158k2022-08-22
CTKShentuOsmosis0.7820.772955-1.16%0.855+9.34%0.1382✗0.781.1M2022-08-22
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04340.042853-1.26%0.0406-6.45%0.0106✓1.357,6872022-08-22
LSKLiskEthereum1.11351.0991-1.29%1.1382+2.22%0.0869✗1.0845k2022-08-22
LTCLitecoinLitecoin56.3455.5657-1.37%57.22+1.56%0.0838✗1.1314.0M2022-08-22
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0067170.006624-1.38%0.006798+1.21%0.0540✗0.5849k2022-08-22
GALAGALAEthereum0.05390.053146-1.40%0.0533-1.11%0.0736✗1.47135k2022-08-22
PROPropyEthereum0.810.798603-1.41%0.71-12.35%0.0840✓0.7095k2022-08-22
BFCBifrostEthereum0.068930.067959-1.41%0.07313+6.09%0.1359✗1.3027k2022-08-22
XVSVenusEthereum5.395.3117-1.45%5.66+5.01%0.1313✗1.411.0M2022-08-22
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.159210.156894-1.45%0.1406-11.69%0.0339✓1.58166k2022-08-22
MANADecentralandEthereum0.978550.964092-1.48%0.83161-15.02%0.0832✓1.35423k2022-08-22
GLMGolemEthereum0.25510.251249-1.51%0.2541-0.39%0.0634✗1.0961k2022-08-22
ZENHorizenBase17.0416.7805-1.52%17.06+0.12%0.0831✗1.39105k2022-08-22
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.756.6458-1.54%9.64+42.81%0.3956✗0.49670k2022-08-22
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.62620.616456-1.56%0.5031-19.66%0.1460✓1.19624k2022-08-22
SCSiacoinnative0.004250.004183-1.57%0.0041-3.53%0.0441✗1.34115k2022-08-22
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.04220.041533-1.58%0.03992-5.40%0.0069✓0.972,7572022-08-22
XYMSymbolnative0.0542760.053412-1.59%0.04966-8.50%0.0430✓0.6217k2022-08-22
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03620.035623-1.60%0.0372+2.76%0.1026✗1.2384k2022-08-22
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.0090.008855-1.61%0.00929+3.22%0.0949✗0.984.9M2022-08-22
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.1060.104267-1.63%0.1111+4.81%0.1288✗1.362.5M2022-08-22
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.001530.001504-1.71%0.001778+16.21%0.2170✗1.0317k2022-08-22
XTZTezosTezos1.6541.6256-1.72%1.589-3.93%0.0379✗1.26485k2022-08-22
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.08382.0466-1.79%1.918-7.96%0.0064✓1.2226k2022-08-22
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006790.006668-1.80%0.00844+24.30%0.2839✗1.00359k2022-08-22
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.027350.026855-1.81%0.02625-4.02%0.0425✗1.361,3182022-08-22
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.3792.3355-1.83%2.192-7.86%0.0042✓1.4143k2022-08-22
CHRChromiaEthereum0.19010.186605-1.84%0.1649-13.26%0.0558✓1.411,3132022-08-22
CHZChilizEthereum0.10890.106895-1.84%0.2228+104.59%0.7875✗1.11647k2022-08-22
UMAUMAEthereum2.8082.7561-1.85%2.876+2.42%0.0955✗1.10621k2022-08-22
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.30170.29601-1.89%0.2905-3.71%0.0382✗1.192.8M2022-08-22
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.990230.971546-1.89%1.0344+4.46%0.1088✗0.965,7282022-08-22
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.053890.052862-1.91%0.0684+26.93%0.3279✗1.46747k2022-08-22
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5230.51297-1.92%0.439-16.06%0.0989✓1.1811k2022-08-22
BTTCBTTC9.10e-78.92e-7-1.99%8.90e-7-2.20%0.0375✗0.826.0M2022-08-22
AAVEAaveEthereum89.3687.55-2.03%88.51-0.95%0.0897✗1.649.2M2022-08-22
XMRMoneroMonero146.19143.2125-2.04%153.73+5.16%0.1245✗1.121.2M2022-08-22
ETCEthereum Classicnative25.6725.1437-2.05%34.05+32.65%0.3647✗1.281.2M2022-08-22
C98Coin98Ethereum0.49090.480749-2.07%0.4022-18.07%0.1256✓1.1045k2022-08-22
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.5795.4614-2.11%6.323+13.34%0.1994✗1.101.9M2022-08-22
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07240.070837-2.16%0.0655-9.53%0.0286✓1.04216k2022-08-22
IMXImmutableEthereum0.92480.904625-2.18%0.85-8.09%0.0063✓1.431.3M2022-08-22
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum22,275.9021,785.30-2.20%21,122.20-5.18%0.0160✓0.9821k2022-08-22
DASHDashDash47.6846.6234-2.22%47.23-0.94%0.0653✗1.09594k2022-08-22
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV57.21355.9327-2.24%55.291-3.36%0.0283✗0.83383k2022-08-22
AMPAmpEthereum0.009050.008846-2.25%0.00698-22.87%0.1931✓0.911.3M2022-08-22
COTICOTIEthereum0.10430.101948-2.26%0.0981-5.94%0.0249✗1.32510k2022-08-22
SOLSolanaSolana39.9839.0746-2.26%35.43-11.38%0.0337✓1.3480.3M2022-08-22
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.45222.3961-2.29%4.4842+82.86%0.6739✗0.98917k2022-08-22
CELLCellframeEthereum0.29220.28542-2.32%0.3507+20.02%0.2601✗1.1353k2022-08-22
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.22260.217332-2.37%0.217-2.52%0.0693✗1.48115k2022-08-22
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.680.66386-2.37%0.701+3.09%0.1010✗0.97419k2022-08-22
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.42471.3908-2.38%1.9268+35.24%0.3944✗1.42609k2022-08-22
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6980.681286-2.39%0.623-10.74%0.0162✓1.52105k2022-08-22
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11960.116721-2.41%0.1106-7.53%0.0019✓1.08398k2022-08-22
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.1320.12881-2.42%0.1214-8.03%0.0041✓1.3244k2022-08-22
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.09120.088969-2.45%0.1+9.65%0.1544✗0.78148k2022-08-22
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.24020.234286-2.46%0.2183-9.12%0.0108✓1.25119k2022-08-22
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.3217.1404-2.47%7.401+1.09%0.0950✗1.238.6M2022-08-22
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13470.131295-2.53%0.1283-4.75%0.0262✗1.033.3M2022-08-22
WOOWOOEthereum0.1850.180311-2.53%0.1683-9.03%0.0010✓1.421,7812022-08-22
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.354.2379-2.58%7.03+61.61%0.5367✗0.64504k2022-08-22
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0679810.06621-2.61%0.068381+0.59%0.0900✗1.201.9M2022-08-22
ELAElastosEthereum1.6131.5706-2.63%1.818+12.71%0.1776✗0.65206k2022-08-22
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.20362.1456-2.63%6.4198+191.33%1.1390✗0.90969k2022-08-22
STXStacksnative0.42420.412939-2.65%0.387-8.77%0.0042✓1.26521k2022-08-22
XECeCashnative0.000041750.000040623-2.70%0.00003884-6.97%0.0119✓1.181.9M2022-08-22
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.824.6875-2.75%6.95+44.19%0.4261✗0.67514k2022-08-22
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.86660.842671-2.76%1.0364+19.59%0.2543✗0.993.5M2022-08-22
ETHEthereumEthereum1,549.151,505.14-2.84%1,624.78+4.88%0.1355✗1.23339.7M2022-08-22
MOVRMoonriverBase13.479713.0961-2.85%13.4763-0.03%0.0862✗1.2088k2022-08-22
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum12.712.3372-2.86%13.67+7.64%0.1732✗1.471.2M2022-08-22
FLOWFlownative1.8471.794-2.87%2.13+15.32%0.2312✗1.24332k2022-08-22
BTCBitcoinBitcoin22,450.6921,806.05-2.87%21,398.25-4.69%0.0291✗1.00374.5M2022-08-22
XEMNEMnative0.0506860.04923-2.87%0.045657-9.92%0.0179✓1.2019k2022-08-22
METISMetisEthereum29.6128.7586-2.88%32.76+10.64%0.1783✗1.00135k2022-08-22
SUSHISushiEthereum1.341.301-2.91%1.19-11.19%0.0179✓1.48856k2022-08-22
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.26492.1988-2.92%6.1535+171.69%1.0674✗0.80941k2022-08-22
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.387660.376344-2.92%0.36185-6.66%0.0198✓1.23113k2022-08-22
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.8446.6389-3.00%7.045+2.94%0.1200✗1.2617.4M2022-08-22
XLMStellarStellar0.1116330.108275-3.01%0.109492-1.92%0.0593✗1.006.8M2022-08-22
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.029260.028375-3.02%0.03687+26.01%0.3231✗1.2719k2022-08-22
HIVEHivenative0.45620.441879-3.14%0.5535+21.33%0.2853✗1.251.4M2022-08-22
QTUMQtumQtum3.46233.3531-3.15%3.4703+0.23%0.0862✗1.0826k2022-08-22
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010580.001024-3.18%0.001485+40.38%0.4336✗1.291.7M2022-08-22
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.1333.0323-3.22%5.285+68.69%0.5858✗0.631.6M2022-08-22
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.7433.6224-3.22%7.119+90.20%0.7028✗0.572.2M2022-08-22
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.179610.173812-3.23%0.15772-12.19%0.0207✓2.451,0922022-08-22
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.073160.070783-3.25%0.07069-3.38%0.0339✗0.731,6422022-08-22
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12350.119451-3.28%0.1051-14.90%0.0805✓0.996,9162022-08-22
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.33510.324078-3.29%0.3032-9.52%0.0106✓1.177.7M2022-08-22
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.8713.7412-3.35%14.607+277.34%1.3919✗0.621.3M2022-08-22
CTSICartesiEthereum0.16090.15548-3.37%0.1493-7.21%0.0210✓1.28356k2022-08-22
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3941.347-3.37%1.22-12.48%0.0364✓1.302.6M2022-08-22
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26160.252757-3.38%0.2612-0.15%0.0335✓0.0142k2022-08-22
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.6262.5371-3.38%2.096-20.18%0.1072✓1.7587k2022-08-22
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05310.051269-3.45%0.0509-4.14%0.0568✗1.33800k2022-08-22
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.1269.7735-3.48%11.09+9.52%0.1915✗1.3613.0M2022-08-22
UOSUltraEthereum0.34210.330122-3.50%0.32171-5.96%0.0336✓1.24400k2022-08-22
RADRadworksEthereum1.91.8329-3.53%2.32+22.11%0.2885✗1.10150k2022-08-22
STORJStorjEthereum0.663320.639405-3.61%0.5697-14.11%0.0407✓1.5695k2022-08-22
COMPCompoundEthereum55.9653.9309-3.63%50.45-9.85%0.0010✓1.3734k2022-08-22
ADACardanoCardano0.51710.498343-3.63%0.4615-10.75%0.0159✓1.2743.2M2022-08-22
DIADIAEthereum0.434260.418264-3.68%0.39068-10.04%0.0330✓0.7351k2022-08-22
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011630.000011194-3.75%0.00001316+13.16%0.2219✗1.251.2M2022-08-22
KSMKusamaHydration67.0864.5521-3.77%50.58-24.60%0.1867✓1.19231k2022-08-22
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.676.4183-3.77%6.382-4.32%0.0555✗1.275.0M2022-08-22
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.993.839-3.78%6.52+63.41%0.5598✗0.63694k2022-08-22
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.5563.4195-3.84%3.083-13.30%0.0517✓1.08575k2022-08-22
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5930.570224-3.84%0.552-6.91%0.0358✓1.4284k2022-08-22
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.193.0668-3.86%2.72-14.73%0.0968✓0.4886k2022-08-22
BANDBandEthereum1.5731.5122-3.86%1.347-14.37%0.0466✓1.44349k2022-08-22
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.003190.003066-3.89%0.003502+9.78%0.1830✗1.041.0M2022-08-22
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2110.202588-3.99%0.184-12.80%0.0219✓1.55881k2022-08-22
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.017650.016946-3.99%0.023564+33.51%0.3529✗0.48165k2022-08-22
FTTFTXEthereum28.527.3491-4.04%27.72-2.74%0.0590✗0.9510.6M2022-08-22
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.863.7034-4.06%5.41+40.16%0.4159✗0.77597k2022-08-22
STEEMSteemnative0.24310.233209-4.07%0.2327-4.28%0.0542✗1.18701k2022-08-22
DKAdKargoEthereum0.047020.045097-4.09%0.0462-1.74%0.0680✗0.9113k2022-08-22
GMTGMTEthereum0.9460.906962-4.13%0.784-17.12%0.0591✓1.80601k2022-08-22
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08590.082312-4.18%0.0685-20.26%0.1238✓1.25202k2022-08-22
FORTFortaEthereum0.30250.289802-4.20%0.2744-9.29%0.0065✓1.27365k2022-08-22
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3461.2893-4.22%1.053-21.77%0.1436✓1.221.5M2022-08-22
YFIyearn.financeEthereum6,490.006,207.16-4.36%8,930.03+37.60%0.4276✗1.334.1M2022-08-22
AVTAventusEthereum1.471.4058-4.37%1.6+8.84%0.1407✗0.23366k2022-08-22
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.45010.429799-4.51%0.3755-16.57%0.0870✓1.00241k2022-08-22
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche23.6322.5626-4.52%22.56-4.53%0.0752✗1.5727.5M2022-08-22
XVGVergenative0.003660.003494-4.52%0.00321-12.30%0.0206✓1.34577k2022-08-22
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.462.3449-4.68%2.41-2.03%0.0999✗1.51216k2022-08-22
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04930.046949-4.77%0.0461-6.49%0.0395✓1.20276k2022-08-22
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.4470.425607-4.79%0.3834-14.23%0.0312✓1.53208k2022-08-22
API3Api3Ethereum1.7491.6633-4.90%1.89+8.06%0.1888✗1.27611k2022-08-22
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06820.064799-4.99%0.0597-12.46%0.0348✓0.98156k2022-08-22
UNIUniswapEthereum6.9656.6099-5.10%6.983+0.26%0.1201✗1.365.6M2022-08-22
DODODODOEthereum0.15870.150426-5.21%0.137-13.67%0.0317✓1.292.8M2022-08-22
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.2313.0618-5.24%3.003-7.06%0.0615✗1.693.7M2022-08-22
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.611.5251-5.27%1.515-5.90%0.0633✗1.46212k2022-08-22
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.90770.859512-5.31%1.3574+49.54%0.5150✗1.211.2M2022-08-22
ORCAOrcaSolana0.92080.871171-5.39%0.8216-10.77%0.0179✓1.59281k2022-08-22
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.027490.026004-5.40%0.02253-18.04%0.0662✓1.6114.2M2022-08-22
AUCTIONBounceEthereum6.25.8639-5.42%7.79+25.65%0.3471✗1.31263k2022-08-22
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum18.2217.2028-5.58%14.28-21.62%0.1208✓1.361.3M2022-08-22
FISStafiEthereum0.45990.433269-5.79%–pending––1.123902022-08-22
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7570.712129-5.93%0.704-7.00%0.0732✗1.765.4M2022-08-22
LUNATerraTerra 20.000099760.000093291-6.48%0.00009153-8.25%0.0734✗1.93735k2022-08-22
OPTIMOptimism0.9410.879785-6.51%1.169+24.23%0.3687✗1.761.1M2022-08-22
APEApeCoinEthereum6.6436.2022-6.64%5.205-21.65%0.0917✓1.7411.7M2022-08-22
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.39691.2984-7.05%1.0995-21.29%0.0955✓1.474.7M2022-08-22
NMRNumeraireEthereum16.8515.5315-7.82%18.19+7.95%0.2042✗0.962.1M2022-08-22
TRBTellor TributesEthereum20.3718.7032-8.18%45.2+121.89%0.9565✗1.54431k2022-08-22
QNTQuantEthereum100.4991.981-8.47%107.36+6.84%0.2028✗1.003.2M2022-08-22
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.161.9768-8.48%1.719-20.42%0.0706✓1.44128k2022-08-22
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.830.755642-8.96%0.595-28.31%0.1644✓1.555,0122022-08-22
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.440650.398977-9.46%0.40324-8.49%0.0810✓1.47647k2022-08-22
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.