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2022-07-21 · +30d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 183 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1961
183 of 183 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-1.56%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
51.4%
in alpha space · 62.1% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-8.70%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (183 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08580.090787+5.81%0.0849-1.05%0.0447✓1.236,9982022-08-20
CHRChromiaEthereum0.19790.206636+4.41%0.1673-15.46%0.0828✗1.412,4852022-08-20
GTGateEthereum4.12464.3064+4.41%4.4355+7.54%0.0936✓0.70930k2022-08-20
QTUMQtumQtum3.10443.2296+4.03%3.3461+7.78%0.1345✓1.0926k2022-08-20
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04450.046219+3.86%0.0403-9.44%0.0144✓1.357,6872022-08-20
GLMGolemEthereum0.25160.261285+3.85%0.2549+1.31%0.0741✓1.0961k2022-08-20
BORABORAKlay Token0.320190.331563+3.55%0.29724-7.17%0.0129✓1.347,0062022-08-20
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.787.0067+3.34%8.89+31.12%0.2827✓0.49670k2022-08-20
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12970.133819+3.18%0.1064-17.96%0.1401✗0.985,8712022-08-20
SUNSun TokenTron0.005960.006145+3.11%0.005866-1.57%0.0367✓0.913,1552022-08-20
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.401070.413093+3.00%0.35603-11.23%0.0369✗1.23123k2022-08-20
CBKCobakEthereum1.07551.1067+2.90%0.94144-12.47%0.0594✗1.127,2992022-08-20
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,097.6023,749.33+2.82%21,129.20-8.52%0.0280✗0.9826k2022-08-20
LSKLiskEthereum1.1281.1592+2.76%1.0708-5.07%0.0193✓1.0845k2022-08-20
FISStafiEthereum0.44510.457063+2.69%0.3666-17.64%0.1295✗1.004752022-08-20
DKAdKargoEthereum0.047830.049073+2.60%0.04516-5.58%0.0000✓0.919,2922022-08-20
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.6872.7561+2.57%3.919+45.85%0.4338✓0.90105k2022-08-20
SCSiacoinnative0.004360.004471+2.55%0.00415-4.82%0.0472✓1.34122k2022-08-20
LRCLoopringEthereum0.43060.441062+2.43%0.3713-13.77%0.0501✗1.34104k2022-08-20
LCXLCXEthereum0.06790.069548+2.43%0.0617-9.13%0.0070✓1.39316k2022-08-20
TRXTRONTron0.0680150.06957+2.29%0.065857-3.17%0.0172✓0.79369k2022-08-20
XMRMoneroMonero151.18154.4567+2.17%149.22-1.30%0.0670✓1.111.3M2022-08-20
AUCTIONBounceEthereum6.216.3445+2.17%8.12+30.76%0.3664✓1.31263k2022-08-20
NANOnanopayBase0.9532040.973475+2.13%0.896517-5.95%0.0097✓1.0159k2022-08-20
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7070.721673+2.08%0.869+22.91%0.2981✓1.23807k2022-08-20
GALAGALAEthereum0.05420.055298+2.02%0.0523-3.51%0.0784✓1.47119k2022-08-20
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6880.700825+1.86%0.676-1.74%0.0521✓0.97434k2022-08-20
XYMSymbolnative0.054150.05515+1.85%0.049123-9.28%0.0591✗0.6214k2022-08-20
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13490.137388+1.84%0.1223-9.34%0.0037✓1.3244k2022-08-20
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.021080.02145+1.75%0.02244+6.45%0.1414✓1.06127k2022-08-20
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.52252.5626+1.59%3.4859+38.19%0.3975✓0.991.1M2022-08-20
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.38785.4697+1.52%5.0769-5.77%0.0568✗0.19274k2022-08-20
AMPAmpEthereum0.009230.00937+1.51%0.00713-22.75%0.1901✗0.911.3M2022-08-20
CVCCivicEthereum0.14540.14759+1.51%0.147+1.10%0.1091✓1.2487k2022-08-20
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.139750.141806+1.47%0.13909-0.47%0.1260✓1.60155k2022-08-20
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.030040.030477+1.45%0.03745+24.67%0.3219✓1.2722k2022-08-20
GITCOINGITCOIN2.48132.5167+1.43%2.314-6.74%0.0584✓1.567,1792022-08-20
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.027320.027704+1.40%0.02642-3.29%0.0767✓1.361,3802022-08-20
ZENHorizenBase17.0117.2372+1.34%15.84-6.88%0.0420✓1.39100k2022-08-20
CTKShentuOsmosis0.7850.795171+1.30%0.843+7.39%0.1290✓0.781.1M2022-08-20
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2990.302752+1.25%0.29-3.01%0.0529✓1.05673k2022-08-20
CHZChilizEthereum0.11020.111511+1.19%0.1832+66.24%0.5970✓1.10560k2022-08-20
LPTLivepeerEthereum9.239.3371+1.16%10.01+8.45%0.1760✓1.17282k2022-08-20
CELLCellframeEthereum0.27860.281823+1.16%0.3105+11.45%0.1994✓1.1342k2022-08-20
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7340.742282+1.13%0.708-3.54%0.0681✓1.27139k2022-08-20
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.974.0143+1.11%5.82+46.60%0.4286✓0.63723k2022-08-20
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26130.264148+1.09%0.2613+0.00%0.0802✓1.0048k2022-08-20
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.91951.9398+1.05%1.8646-2.86%0.0721✓1.2326k2022-08-20
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.180440.182247+1.00%0.15686-13.07%0.0742✓2.461,0532022-08-20
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.31142.3344+0.99%4.3606+88.66%0.6975✓0.80947k2022-08-20
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12080.121993+0.99%0.1097-9.19%0.0076✓1.08398k2022-08-20
HIVEHivenative0.47010.473613+0.75%0.5428+15.46%0.2501✓1.251.3M2022-08-20
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03690.03715+0.68%0.0394+6.78%0.1711✓1.2385k2022-08-20
MANADecentralandEthereum0.940430.946072+0.60%0.83183-11.55%0.0059✓1.35423k2022-08-20
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.894.9188+0.59%6.52+33.33%0.3427✓0.67574k2022-08-20
ZECZcashZcash61.8662.1488+0.47%62.92+1.71%0.1307✓1.301.5M2022-08-20
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.5272.5383+0.45%2.152-14.84%0.0372✗1.4143k2022-08-20
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.22850.229522+0.45%0.239+4.60%0.1749✓1.48117k2022-08-20
UOSUltraEthereum0.345310.3467+0.40%0.30514-11.63%0.0151✗1.24411k2022-08-20
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.24480.245417+0.25%0.2207-9.84%0.0073✓1.25129k2022-08-20
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.364.3691+0.21%6.33+45.18%0.4286✓0.64579k2022-08-20
IMXImmutableEthereum0.98440.985553+0.12%0.8617-12.46%0.0047✗1.421.4M2022-08-20
UMAUMAEthereum2.7142.7169+0.11%2.824+4.05%0.1391✓1.10621k2022-08-20
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.072940.073015+0.10%0.06888-5.57%0.0085✓0.731,5492022-08-20
LTCLitecoinLitecoin58.0358.0855+0.10%54.1-6.77%0.0321✓1.1314.6M2022-08-20
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0174540.017465+0.06%0.022499+28.90%0.2974✓0.48167k2022-08-20
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0699520.069985+0.05%0.069428-0.75%0.1014✓1.202.0M2022-08-20
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.46941.4699+0.04%1.7871+21.62%0.3247✓1.42651k2022-08-20
BFCBifrostEthereum0.064080.064087+0.01%0.07704+20.22%0.3039✓1.3225k2022-08-20
PROPropyEthereum0.780.77992-0.01%0.73-6.41%0.0019✓0.71107k2022-08-20
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0030470.003046-0.02%0.003393+11.36%0.2030✗1.051.1M2022-08-20
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.1070.106956-0.04%0.1029-3.83%0.0855✗1.362.5M2022-08-20
BTTCBTTC9.20e-79.19e-7-0.05%8.70e-7-5.43%0.0199✗0.836.2M2022-08-20
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.51490.514614-0.06%0.4742-7.90%0.0219✗1.14333k2022-08-20
XVGVergenative0.003730.003727-0.08%0.00328-12.06%0.0056✓1.34612k2022-08-20
KCSKuCoinnative10.16210.1385-0.23%9.372-7.77%0.0225✗1.112.2M2022-08-20
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0069070.006888-0.28%0.006855-0.75%0.0485✗0.5950k2022-08-20
ELAElastosEthereum1.6041.5992-0.30%1.857+15.77%0.2405✗1.00182k2022-08-20
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV56.84356.6649-0.31%53.04-6.69%0.0097✗0.83387k2022-08-20
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3213450.320145-0.37%0.301686-6.12%0.0525✗1.231.3M2022-08-20
DASHDashDash48.1747.9899-0.37%45.75-5.02%0.0516✗1.09606k2022-08-20
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009260.009221-0.42%0.00924-0.22%0.0913✗0.984.9M2022-08-20
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.51.492-0.53%1.34-10.67%0.0235✗1.44134k2022-08-20
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.42160.419292-0.55%0.3699-12.26%0.0136✗1.53208k2022-08-20
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.00680.006758-0.62%0.00725+6.62%0.1618✗1.01376k2022-08-20
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.2233.2028-0.63%3.057-5.15%0.0520✗1.08562k2022-08-20
FLOWFlownative1.8771.8645-0.67%2.124+13.16%0.2435✗1.24332k2022-08-20
XECeCashnative0.000040990.000040686-0.74%0.00003899-4.88%0.0655✗1.191.9M2022-08-20
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.3343.3087-0.76%4.487+34.58%0.3745✗0.77488k2022-08-20
STEEMSteemnative0.24890.246999-0.76%0.2331-6.35%0.0489✗1.17733k2022-08-20
RADRadworksEthereum1.871.8555-0.77%2.41+28.88%0.3616✗1.10150k2022-08-20
STXStacksnative0.43060.426847-0.87%0.3896-9.52%0.0240✗1.27414k2022-08-20
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011990.000011881-0.91%0.00001291+7.67%0.1970✗1.251.3M2022-08-20
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13950.138204-0.93%0.1226-12.11%0.0266✓1.023.3M2022-08-20
C98Coin98Ethereum0.49590.491146-0.96%0.4104-17.24%0.0796✓1.1049k2022-08-20
WOOWOOEthereum0.21810.215927-1.00%0.1683-22.83%0.1215✓1.402,0152022-08-20
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6150.608638-1.03%0.557-9.43%0.0408✗1.4284k2022-08-20
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.09040.089463-1.04%0.0659-27.10%0.1926✓1.24202k2022-08-20
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash123.12121.7836-1.09%114.78-6.77%0.0442✗1.144.0M2022-08-20
BANDBandEthereum1.5171.5001-1.11%1.299-14.37%0.0127✓1.44382k2022-08-20
SOLSolanaSolana43.142.6073-1.14%35.29-18.12%0.0669✓1.3381.1M2022-08-20
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.055850.055198-1.17%0.06829+22.27%0.3460✗1.46773k2022-08-20
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.29940.295805-1.20%0.2842-5.08%0.0683✗1.192.8M2022-08-20
YFIyearn.financeEthereum6,719.996,630.55-1.33%8,539.61+27.08%0.3743✗1.334.2M2022-08-20
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.52960.522481-1.34%0.5172-2.34%0.0994✗1.20470k2022-08-20
COTICOTIEthereum0.10750.105965-1.43%0.0956-11.07%0.0171✗1.32526k2022-08-20
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.6215.5398-1.44%6.249+11.17%0.2209✗1.101.9M2022-08-20
XTZTezosTezos1.68111.656-1.49%1.5629-7.03%0.0572✗1.26494k2022-08-20
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.9956.883-1.60%6.902-1.33%0.1178✗1.2617.9M2022-08-20
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.025980.025544-1.68%0.02152-17.17%0.0246✓1.6114.2M2022-08-20
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0222810.021893-1.74%0.02156-3.24%0.0746✗0.991,5692022-08-20
MOVRMoonriverBase14.89714.6351-1.76%13.7071-7.99%0.0430✗1.19165k2022-08-20
XVSVenusEthereum5.465.3635-1.77%5.88+7.69%0.2205✗1.411.1M2022-08-20
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.9253.854-1.81%10.894+177.55%1.0956✗0.621.4M2022-08-20
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.2233.1636-1.84%5.051+56.72%0.5249✗0.631.7M2022-08-20
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,153.9622,720.40-1.87%21,139.23-8.70%0.0189✓1.00398.7M2022-08-20
FTTFTXEthereum29.4828.8976-1.98%26.69-9.46%0.0069✓0.9510.6M2022-08-20
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.019070.018688-2.00%0.0177-7.18%0.0138✓0.75354k2022-08-20
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05560.054486-2.00%0.0503-9.53%0.0415✗1.33802k2022-08-20
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.5317.3792-2.02%7.228-4.02%0.0914✗1.239.0M2022-08-20
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.57e-73.49e-7-2.20%7.06e-7+98.06%0.7965✗1.00244k2022-08-20
CTSICartesiEthereum0.16610.162439-2.20%0.1493-10.11%0.0323✗1.28354k2022-08-20
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.08590.083972-2.24%0.1034+20.37%0.2800✗0.79157k2022-08-20
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.482.4198-2.43%2.36-4.84%0.1125✗1.51205k2022-08-20
XLMStellarStellar0.1135920.110732-2.52%0.109019-4.03%0.0757✗1.007.2M2022-08-20
API3Api3Ethereum1.831.7806-2.70%1.86+1.64%0.1593✗1.27626k2022-08-20
STORJStorjEthereum0.670.651827-2.71%0.56747-15.30%0.0032✓1.56104k2022-08-20
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.8383.7332-2.73%6.408+66.96%0.5914✗0.562.2M2022-08-20
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum15.7815.3483-2.74%14.13-10.46%0.0419✗1.371.3M2022-08-20
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05020.048808-2.77%0.0458-8.76%0.0459✗1.20282k2022-08-20
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7290.708392-2.83%0.611-16.19%0.0093✓1.52108k2022-08-20
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.34940.339436-2.85%0.3003-14.05%0.0164✓1.178.0M2022-08-20
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4741.4318-2.86%1.22-17.23%0.0419✓1.302.8M2022-08-20
SPELLSpellEthereum0.001110.001078-2.93%0.001507+35.72%0.4529✗1.291.7M2022-08-20
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2150.208499-3.02%0.181-15.81%0.0006✓1.55881k2022-08-20
AVTAventusEthereum1.531.4834-3.05%1.39-9.15%0.0436✓0.24419k2022-08-20
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.243.1373-3.17%2.74-15.43%0.0914✓0.4886k2022-08-20
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.83190.805-3.23%1.0652+28.04%0.3703✗0.993.5M2022-08-20
ADACardanoCardano0.49960.483005-3.32%0.4513-9.67%0.0477✗1.2743.9M2022-08-20
DIADIAEthereum0.431230.414792-3.81%0.39983-7.28%0.0301✓0.7351k2022-08-20
DODODODOEthereum0.15230.146055-4.10%0.131-13.99%0.0087✓1.292.8M2022-08-20
COMPCompoundEthereum58.0855.6919-4.11%49.23-15.24%0.0013✓1.3733k2022-08-20
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.6461.5768-4.20%1.525-7.35%0.0990✗1.45203k2022-08-20
XEMNEMnative0.0490110.046783-4.55%0.045083-8.01%0.0721✗1.2018k2022-08-20
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.96.5619-4.90%6.305-8.62%0.0758✗1.275.2M2022-08-20
AAVEAaveEthereum95.3590.5376-5.05%82.79-13.17%0.0594✗1.6410.8M2022-08-20
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3821.3093-5.26%1.04-24.75%0.1190✓1.221.6M2022-08-20
KSMKusamaHydration61.1857.9406-5.29%48.54-20.66%0.0675✓1.20231k2022-08-20
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.093970.088981-5.31%0.09157-2.55%0.1197✗1.00626k2022-08-20
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.760.719056-5.39%0.722-5.00%0.1647✗1.765.8M2022-08-20
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.016150.015254-5.55%0.014688-9.05%0.0460✓0.921.2M2022-08-20
SUSHISushiEthereum1.421.3409-5.57%1.17-17.61%0.0015✓1.48910k2022-08-20
ETHEthereumEthereum1,575.681,487.46-5.60%1,575.76+0.01%0.1695✗1.23326.5M2022-08-20
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.0690.065108-5.64%0.0602-12.75%0.0112✓0.98183k2022-08-20
GMTGMTEthereum0.9940.936978-5.74%0.799-19.62%0.0048✓1.80561k2022-08-20
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.22592.0955-5.86%5.6922+155.73%1.0811✗0.90890k2022-08-20
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.464420.436847-5.94%0.37019-20.29%0.0321✓1.47733k2022-08-20
FORTFortaEthereum0.30090.281957-6.30%0.2676-11.07%0.0651✗1.29395k2022-08-20
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum12.9912.1509-6.46%12.68-2.39%0.1767✗1.471.1M2022-08-20
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.943.679-6.62%5.07+28.68%0.3904✗0.77597k2022-08-20
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07780.072517-6.79%0.0668-14.14%0.0118✓1.03209k2022-08-20
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.04710.2906-6.85%10.236-7.34%0.1178✗1.3513.0M2022-08-20
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.40e-78.75e-7-6.92%8.80e-7-6.38%0.0968✗1.0026k2022-08-20
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche25.0123.2604-7.00%22.3-10.84%0.1004✗1.5727.5M2022-08-20
METISMetisEthereum33.0530.601-7.41%32.45-1.82%0.1497✗1.00131k2022-08-20
ORCAOrcaSolana0.93910.869412-7.42%0.8612-8.30%0.1359✗1.60214k2022-08-20
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.46280.427719-7.58%0.3838-17.07%0.0173✓1.00258k2022-08-20
LUNATerraTerra 20.00010370.000095605-7.81%0.00008807-15.07%0.0954✗1.95735k2022-08-20
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.9482.7154-7.89%2.096-28.90%0.1005✓1.7484k2022-08-20
TRBTellor TributesEthereum16.5915.2653-7.99%41.66+151.12%1.1452✗1.55431k2022-08-20
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.4222.2255-8.11%1.596-34.10%0.2018✓1.44132k2022-08-20
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.05340.966414-8.25%1.06+0.63%0.1798✗0.961,6652022-08-20
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.94510.864673-8.51%1.3649+44.42%0.5663✗1.211.2M2022-08-20
UNIUniswapEthereum7.2226.6003-8.61%7.004-3.02%0.1826✗1.355.7M2022-08-20
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.2832.9985-8.66%2.746-16.36%0.0652✓1.683.8M2022-08-20
APEApeCoinEthereum6.4225.8496-8.91%5.036-21.58%0.0091✓1.7411.7M2022-08-20
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.8770.795919-9.25%0.569-35.12%0.1948✓1.556,1452022-08-20
QNTQuantEthereum102.8493.0611-9.51%104.84+1.94%0.2106✗1.002.7M2022-08-20
OPTIMOptimism0.7770.702054-9.65%1.131+45.56%0.6395✗1.791.1M2022-08-20
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.40311.2659-9.78%0.9995-28.76%0.1018✓1.484.7M2022-08-20
ETCEthereum Classicnative26.3423.7407-9.87%32.83+24.64%0.4405✗1.281.2M2022-08-20
NMRNumeraireEthereum19.2517.18-10.75%18.41-4.36%0.1559✗0.952.0M2022-08-20
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5590.491136-12.14%0.463-17.17%0.0483✓1.1811k2022-08-20
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.