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2022-07-21 · +30d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 183 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2395
183 of 183 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+2.63%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
40.4%
in alpha space · 62.6% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-8.70%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (183 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
NMRNumeraireEthereum19.2517.1307-11.01%18.41-4.36%0.1588✗0.952.0M2022-08-20
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.464420.42316-8.88%0.37019-20.29%0.0003✓1.47733k2022-08-20
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.4222.2129-8.63%1.596-34.10%0.1962✓1.44132k2022-08-20
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.8770.801371-8.62%0.569-35.12%0.2016✓1.556,1452022-08-20
QNTQuantEthereum102.8494.5836-8.03%104.84+1.94%0.1944✗1.002.7M2022-08-20
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.40311.2919-7.92%0.9995-28.76%0.1221✓1.484.7M2022-08-20
LUNATerraTerra 20.00010370.000097148-6.32%0.00008807-15.07%0.0794✗1.95735k2022-08-20
APEApeCoinEthereum6.4226.0384-5.97%5.036-21.58%0.0227✓1.7411.7M2022-08-20
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.94510.894755-5.33%1.3649+44.42%0.5321✗1.211.2M2022-08-20
ORCAOrcaSolana0.93910.890627-5.16%0.8612-8.30%0.1118✗1.60214k2022-08-20
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.2833.1139-5.15%2.746-16.36%0.0274✓1.683.8M2022-08-20
TRBTellor TributesEthereum16.5915.7373-5.14%41.66+151.12%1.1147✗1.55431k2022-08-20
API3Api3Ethereum1.831.7398-4.93%1.86+1.64%0.1825✗1.27626k2022-08-20
UNIUniswapEthereum7.2226.8693-4.88%7.004-3.02%0.1427✗1.355.7M2022-08-20
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.6461.5704-4.59%1.525-7.35%0.1030✗1.45203k2022-08-20
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05020.047948-4.49%0.0458-8.76%0.0636✗1.20282k2022-08-20
DODODODOEthereum0.15230.145547-4.43%0.131-13.99%0.0122✓1.292.8M2022-08-20
OPTIMOptimism0.7770.744235-4.22%1.131+45.56%0.5811✗1.791.1M2022-08-20
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.760.728075-4.20%0.722-5.00%0.1523✗1.765.8M2022-08-20
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5590.535705-4.17%0.463-17.17%0.0386✓1.1811k2022-08-20
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.0690.066141-4.14%0.0602-12.75%0.0046✓0.98183k2022-08-20
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07780.074606-4.11%0.0668-14.14%0.0166✓1.03209k2022-08-20
YFIyearn.financeEthereum6,719.996,444.14-4.10%8,539.61+27.08%0.4028✗1.334.2M2022-08-20
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.025980.024918-4.09%0.02152-17.17%0.0002✓1.6114.2M2022-08-20
AVTAventusEthereum1.531.469-3.99%1.39-9.15%0.0338✓0.24419k2022-08-20
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche25.0124.02-3.96%22.3-10.84%0.0683✗1.5727.5M2022-08-20
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.09040.08684-3.94%0.0659-27.10%0.1628✓1.24202k2022-08-20
AUCTIONBounceEthereum6.215.9658-3.93%8.12+30.76%0.4280✗1.31263k2022-08-20
FORTFortaEthereum0.30090.289172-3.90%0.2676-11.07%0.0398✗1.29395k2022-08-20
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.9482.8333-3.89%2.096-28.90%0.1430✓1.7484k2022-08-20
MOVRMoonriverBase14.89714.3303-3.80%13.7071-7.99%0.0641✗1.19165k2022-08-20
WOOWOOEthereum0.21810.209871-3.77%0.1683-22.83%0.0931✓1.402,0152022-08-20
GMTGMTEthereum0.9940.956546-3.77%0.799-19.62%0.0158✓1.80561k2022-08-20
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.04710.6385-3.70%10.236-7.34%0.0846✗1.3513.0M2022-08-20
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.42160.406175-3.66%0.3699-12.26%0.0454✗1.53208k2022-08-20
XVGVergenative0.003730.003594-3.64%0.00328-12.06%0.0306✓1.34612k2022-08-20
FTTFTXEthereum29.4828.4184-3.60%26.69-9.46%0.0236✓0.9510.6M2022-08-20
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3821.3335-3.51%1.04-24.75%0.1373✓1.221.6M2022-08-20
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011990.000011578-3.43%0.00001291+7.67%0.2227✗1.251.3M2022-08-20
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6150.594818-3.28%0.557-9.43%0.0638✗1.4284k2022-08-20
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.46280.447847-3.23%0.3838-17.07%0.0633✓1.00258k2022-08-20
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12970.12554-3.21%0.1064-17.96%0.0762✓0.985,8712022-08-20
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.072940.070637-3.16%0.06888-5.57%0.0416✗0.731,5492022-08-20
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.96.6875-3.08%6.305-8.62%0.0569✗1.275.2M2022-08-20
METISMetisEthereum33.0532.0388-3.06%32.45-1.82%0.1038✗1.00131k2022-08-20
STORJStorjEthereum0.670.649706-3.03%0.56747-15.30%0.0064✓1.56104k2022-08-20
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0174540.016939-2.95%0.022499+28.90%0.3279✗0.48167k2022-08-20
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.8383.7253-2.94%6.408+66.96%0.5935✗0.562.2M2022-08-20
SPELLSpellEthereum0.001110.001078-2.92%0.001507+35.72%0.4528✗1.291.7M2022-08-20
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2150.208945-2.82%0.181-15.81%0.0027✓1.55881k2022-08-20
FISStafiEthereum0.44510.432716-2.78%0.3666-17.64%0.0748✓1.004752022-08-20
STEEMSteemnative0.24890.242096-2.73%0.2331-6.35%0.0690✗1.17733k2022-08-20
ETCEthereum Classicnative26.3425.6204-2.73%32.83+24.64%0.3643✗1.281.2M2022-08-20
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.9253.8182-2.72%10.894+177.55%1.1049✗0.621.4M2022-08-20
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.180440.175532-2.72%0.15686-13.07%0.1118✗2.461,0532022-08-20
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4741.4347-2.66%1.22-17.23%0.0439✓1.302.8M2022-08-20
DIADIAEthereum0.431230.419744-2.66%0.39983-7.28%0.0182✓0.7351k2022-08-20
KSMKusamaHydration61.1859.5947-2.59%48.54-20.66%0.0957✓1.20231k2022-08-20
XEMNEMnative0.0490110.047758-2.56%0.045083-8.01%0.0515✗1.2018k2022-08-20
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.83190.810743-2.54%1.0652+28.04%0.3632✗0.993.5M2022-08-20
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.401070.390978-2.52%0.35603-11.23%0.0182✓1.23123k2022-08-20
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.973.8703-2.51%5.82+46.60%0.4651✗0.63723k2022-08-20
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.482.4183-2.49%2.36-4.84%0.1131✗1.51205k2022-08-20
SUSHISushiEthereum1.421.3852-2.45%1.17-17.61%0.0340✓1.48910k2022-08-20
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.34940.340886-2.44%0.3003-14.05%0.0206✓1.178.0M2022-08-20
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05560.054247-2.43%0.0503-9.53%0.0459✗1.33802k2022-08-20
COMPCompoundEthereum58.0856.6935-2.39%49.23-15.24%0.0166✓1.3733k2022-08-20
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.943.8461-2.38%5.07+28.68%0.3460✗0.77597k2022-08-20
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.243.1631-2.37%2.74-15.43%0.0996✓0.4886k2022-08-20
RADRadworksEthereum1.871.8258-2.36%2.41+28.88%0.3778✗1.10150k2022-08-20
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26130.255437-2.24%0.2613+0.00%0.1137✗1.0048k2022-08-20
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum12.9912.6989-2.24%12.68-2.39%0.1326✗1.471.1M2022-08-20
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0030470.002979-2.24%0.003393+11.36%0.2254✗1.051.1M2022-08-20
HIVEHivenative0.47010.459674-2.22%0.5428+15.46%0.2800✗1.251.3M2022-08-20
UOSUltraEthereum0.345310.337718-2.20%0.30514-11.63%0.0112✓1.24411k2022-08-20
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum15.7815.437-2.17%14.13-10.46%0.0361✗1.371.3M2022-08-20
ELAElastosEthereum1.6041.5696-2.14%1.857+15.77%0.2591✗1.00182k2022-08-20
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.2233.1557-2.09%3.057-5.15%0.0668✗1.08562k2022-08-20
AAVEAaveEthereum95.3593.392-2.05%82.79-13.17%0.0284✗1.6410.8M2022-08-20
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13950.13664-2.05%0.1226-12.11%0.0152✓1.023.3M2022-08-20
CTSICartesiEthereum0.16610.162715-2.04%0.1493-10.11%0.0306✗1.28354k2022-08-20
ETHEthereumEthereum1,575.681,543.93-2.02%1,575.76+0.01%0.1323✗1.23326.5M2022-08-20
SOLSolanaSolana43.142.2373-2.00%35.29-18.12%0.0582✓1.3381.1M2022-08-20
BANDBandEthereum1.5171.4875-1.94%1.299-14.37%0.0042✓1.44382k2022-08-20
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.2233.161-1.92%5.051+56.72%0.5257✗0.631.7M2022-08-20
ADACardanoCardano0.49960.490134-1.89%0.4513-9.67%0.0331✗1.2743.9M2022-08-20
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.5272.4793-1.89%2.152-14.84%0.0137✓1.4143k2022-08-20
DKAdKargoEthereum0.047830.046934-1.87%0.04516-5.58%0.0446✗0.919,2922022-08-20
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,153.9622,726.73-1.85%21,139.23-8.70%0.0186✓1.00398.7M2022-08-20
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.9956.867-1.83%6.902-1.33%0.1201✗1.2617.9M2022-08-20
STXStacksnative0.43060.422741-1.83%0.3896-9.52%0.0337✗1.27414k2022-08-20
XLMStellarStellar0.1135920.111574-1.78%0.109019-4.03%0.0681✗1.007.2M2022-08-20
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.22592.1878-1.71%5.6922+155.73%1.0380✗0.90890k2022-08-20
IMXImmutableEthereum0.98440.96766-1.70%0.8617-12.46%0.0137✓1.421.4M2022-08-20
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0699520.068767-1.69%0.069428-0.75%0.1190✗1.202.0M2022-08-20
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.31142.2728-1.67%4.3606+88.66%0.7243✗0.80947k2022-08-20
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6880.677497-1.53%0.676-1.74%0.0860✗0.97434k2022-08-20
XECeCashnative0.000040990.000040365-1.53%0.00003899-4.88%0.0734✗1.191.9M2022-08-20
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.24480.241175-1.48%0.2207-9.84%0.0248✗1.25129k2022-08-20
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12080.119038-1.46%0.1097-9.19%0.0169✗1.08398k2022-08-20
FLOWFlownative1.8771.8522-1.32%2.124+13.16%0.2501✗1.24332k2022-08-20
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.08590.084798-1.28%0.1034+20.37%0.2702✗0.79157k2022-08-20
UMAUMAEthereum2.7142.6809-1.22%2.824+4.05%0.1524✗1.10621k2022-08-20
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.021080.020824-1.21%0.02244+6.45%0.1710✗1.06127k2022-08-20
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.46941.4516-1.21%1.7871+21.62%0.3373✗1.42651k2022-08-20
BTTCBTTC9.20e-79.09e-7-1.20%8.70e-7-5.43%0.0314✗0.836.2M2022-08-20
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.894.8317-1.19%6.52+33.33%0.3605✗0.67574k2022-08-20
XMRMoneroMonero151.18149.3907-1.18%149.22-1.30%0.1003✗1.111.3M2022-08-20
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03690.036473-1.16%0.0394+6.78%0.1895✗1.2385k2022-08-20
DASHDashDash48.1747.6187-1.14%45.75-5.02%0.0594✗1.09606k2022-08-20
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.364.3105-1.14%6.33+45.18%0.4421✗0.64579k2022-08-20
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.5317.4466-1.12%7.228-4.02%0.0823✗1.239.0M2022-08-20
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13490.133496-1.04%0.1223-9.34%0.0324✗1.3244k2022-08-20
CHRChromiaEthereum0.19790.195843-1.04%0.1673-15.46%0.0291✓1.412,4852022-08-20
COTICOTIEthereum0.10750.106458-0.97%0.0956-11.07%0.0124✗1.32526k2022-08-20
QTUMQtumQtum3.10443.0746-0.96%3.3461+7.78%0.1837✗1.0926k2022-08-20
CHZChilizEthereum0.11020.109156-0.95%0.1832+66.24%0.6183✗1.10560k2022-08-20
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.29940.296777-0.88%0.2842-5.08%0.0650✗1.192.8M2022-08-20
XVSVenusEthereum5.465.4139-0.84%5.88+7.69%0.2111✗1.411.1M2022-08-20
C98Coin98Ethereum0.49590.491883-0.81%0.4104-17.24%0.0810✓1.1049k2022-08-20
LSKLiskEthereum1.1281.119-0.80%1.0708-5.07%0.0546✗1.0845k2022-08-20
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.22850.226695-0.79%0.239+4.60%0.1873✗1.48117k2022-08-20
AMPAmpEthereum0.009230.009158-0.78%0.00713-22.75%0.1672✓0.911.3M2022-08-20
XTZTezosTezos1.68111.6687-0.74%1.5629-7.03%0.0496✗1.26494k2022-08-20
LTCLitecoinLitecoin58.0357.6184-0.71%54.1-6.77%0.0402✗1.1314.6M2022-08-20
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.055850.055476-0.67%0.06829+22.27%0.3410✗1.46773k2022-08-20
BFCBifrostEthereum0.064080.063651-0.67%0.07704+20.22%0.3107✗1.3225k2022-08-20
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.030040.02984-0.67%0.03745+24.67%0.3430✗1.2722k2022-08-20
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV56.84356.4744-0.65%53.04-6.69%0.0131✗0.83387k2022-08-20
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.52252.5063-0.64%3.4859+38.19%0.4197✗0.991.1M2022-08-20
ZENHorizenBase17.0116.9128-0.57%15.84-6.88%0.0610✗1.39100k2022-08-20
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.139750.138971-0.56%0.13909-0.47%0.1462✗1.60155k2022-08-20
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.00680.006764-0.52%0.00725+6.62%0.1608✗1.01376k2022-08-20
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0069070.006873-0.49%0.006855-0.75%0.0506✗0.5950k2022-08-20
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.6215.5937-0.49%6.249+11.17%0.2112✗1.101.9M2022-08-20
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.027320.027197-0.45%0.02642-3.29%0.0952✗1.361,3802022-08-20
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.019070.018985-0.45%0.0177-7.18%0.0020✓0.75354k2022-08-20
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7290.72577-0.44%0.611-16.19%0.0335✓1.52108k2022-08-20
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009260.009225-0.38%0.00924-0.22%0.0909✗0.984.9M2022-08-20
SCSiacoinnative0.004360.004346-0.32%0.00415-4.82%0.0756✗1.34122k2022-08-20
LCXLCXEthereum0.06790.067688-0.31%0.0617-9.13%0.0341✗1.39316k2022-08-20
CELLCellframeEthereum0.27860.27779-0.29%0.3105+11.45%0.2138✗1.1342k2022-08-20
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,097.6023,035.68-0.27%21,129.20-8.52%0.0025✓0.9826k2022-08-20
MANADecentralandEthereum0.940430.937909-0.27%0.83183-11.55%0.0028✗1.35423k2022-08-20
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.016150.01611-0.25%0.014688-9.05%0.0086✓0.921.2M2022-08-20
CTKShentuOsmosis0.7850.783666-0.17%0.843+7.39%0.1436✗0.781.1M2022-08-20
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.1070.106875-0.12%0.1029-3.83%0.0862✗1.362.5M2022-08-20
GLMGolemEthereum0.25160.251328-0.11%0.2549+1.31%0.1130✗1.0961k2022-08-20
LPTLivepeerEthereum9.239.2205-0.10%10.01+8.45%0.1886✗1.17282k2022-08-20
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3213450.321187-0.05%0.301686-6.12%0.0493✗1.231.3M2022-08-20
KCSKuCoinnative10.16210.1609-0.01%9.372-7.77%0.0203✗1.112.2M2022-08-20
PROPropyEthereum0.780.779984-0.00%0.73-6.41%0.0020✓0.71107k2022-08-20
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.093970.094016+0.05%0.09157-2.55%0.0647✓1.00626k2022-08-20
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.38785.3934+0.10%5.0769-5.77%0.0427✗0.19274k2022-08-20
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.05341.0552+0.18%1.06+0.63%0.0919✓0.961,6652022-08-20
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.52960.530571+0.18%0.5172-2.34%0.0841✓1.20470k2022-08-20
GALAGALAEthereum0.05420.054312+0.21%0.0523-3.51%0.0964✓1.47119k2022-08-20
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.786.794+0.21%8.89+31.12%0.3135✓0.49670k2022-08-20
NANOnanopayBase0.9532040.955385+0.23%0.896517-5.95%0.0285✓1.0159k2022-08-20
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.51490.516143+0.24%0.4742-7.90%0.0189✓1.14333k2022-08-20
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.91951.926+0.34%1.8646-2.86%0.0792✓1.2326k2022-08-20
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.40e-79.43e-7+0.34%8.80e-7-6.38%0.0216✓1.0026k2022-08-20
XYMSymbolnative0.054150.054433+0.52%0.049123-9.28%0.0460✗0.6214k2022-08-20
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.57e-73.58e-7+0.54%7.06e-7+98.06%0.7688✓1.00244k2022-08-20
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash123.12123.9053+0.64%114.78-6.77%0.0270✓1.144.0M2022-08-20
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.6872.7057+0.69%3.919+45.85%0.4522✓0.90105k2022-08-20
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.51.5105+0.70%1.34-10.67%0.0112✓1.44134k2022-08-20
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.3343.3578+0.71%4.487+34.58%0.3598✓0.77488k2022-08-20
CVCCivicEthereum0.14540.146468+0.73%0.147+1.10%0.1168✓1.2487k2022-08-20
ZECZcashZcash61.8662.4096+0.89%62.92+1.71%0.1265✓1.301.5M2022-08-20
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7340.740594+0.90%0.708-3.54%0.0704✓1.27139k2022-08-20
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7070.716697+1.37%0.869+22.91%0.3050✓1.23807k2022-08-20
LRCLoopringEthereum0.43060.437069+1.50%0.3713-13.77%0.0410✗1.34104k2022-08-20
TRXTRONTron0.0680150.069061+1.54%0.065857-3.17%0.0245✓0.79369k2022-08-20
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04450.045221+1.62%0.0403-9.44%0.0074✓1.357,6872022-08-20
CBKCobakEthereum1.07551.0932+1.64%0.94144-12.47%0.0471✗1.127,2992022-08-20
GTGateEthereum4.12464.2+1.83%4.4355+7.54%0.1186✓0.70930k2022-08-20
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2990.305186+2.07%0.29-3.01%0.0449✓1.05673k2022-08-20
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0222810.022917+2.85%0.02156-3.24%0.0288✓0.991,5692022-08-20
SUNSun TokenTron0.005960.006138+3.00%0.005866-1.57%0.0378✓0.913,1552022-08-20
GITCOINGITCOIN2.48132.556+3.01%2.314-6.74%0.0429✓1.567,1792022-08-20
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08580.088476+3.12%0.0849-1.05%0.0705✓1.236,9982022-08-20
BORABORAKlay Token0.320190.330688+3.28%0.29724-7.17%0.0156✓1.347,0062022-08-20
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.