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2022-07-20 · +30d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 183 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1554
183 of 183 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-0.65%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
36.1%
in alpha space · 59.6% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-10.30%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (183 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08460.087638+3.59%0.0848+0.24%0.1004✓1.236,8122022-08-19
GITCOINGITCOIN2.51392.597+3.30%2.3044-8.33%0.0501✓1.567,1792022-08-19
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0219530.022649+3.17%0.021066-4.04%0.0345✓0.981,5692022-08-19
BORABORAKlay Token0.308830.318542+3.14%0.29333-5.02%0.0631✓1.345,5012022-08-19
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2990.306546+2.52%0.272-9.03%0.0052✓1.05664k2022-08-19
SUNSun TokenTron0.0058690.006011+2.41%0.005861-0.14%0.0741✓0.912,9222022-08-19
NEXONEXOEthereum0.6850.701432+2.40%0.834+21.75%0.3071✓1.23858k2022-08-19
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04240.043353+2.25%0.0398-6.13%0.0607✓1.347,6872022-08-19
GTGateEthereum4.15454.2345+1.92%4.373+5.26%0.1085✓0.70930k2022-08-19
TRXTRONTron0.0675750.068869+1.91%0.063977-5.32%0.0128✓0.80373k2022-08-19
CBKCobakEthereum1.06881.087+1.70%0.94175-11.89%0.0214✗1.125,8422022-08-19
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7270.738784+1.62%0.708-2.61%0.0949✓1.26139k2022-08-19
ZECZcashZcash62.0663.0032+1.52%62.23+0.27%0.1289✓1.301.5M2022-08-19
LRCLoopringEthereum0.42580.432109+1.48%0.3724-12.54%0.0036✓1.3396k2022-08-19
NANOnanopayBase0.9176340.929876+1.33%0.884025-3.66%0.0590✓1.0163k2022-08-19
XYMSymbolnative0.0545280.055187+1.21%0.04825-11.51%0.0668✗0.6214k2022-08-19
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.596.6682+1.19%9.57+45.22%0.4141✓0.49670k2022-08-19
CVCCivicEthereum0.14580.147488+1.16%0.1502+3.02%0.1530✓1.2487k2022-08-19
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash121.82123.2011+1.13%114.49-6.02%0.0497✓1.134.0M2022-08-19
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.51.5164+1.09%1.32-12.00%0.0172✓1.43142k2022-08-19
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.5652.5913+1.03%3.13+22.03%0.2865✓0.9098k2022-08-19
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.989020.998014+0.91%1.1177+13.01%0.2171✓0.961,6652022-08-19
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.89641.9128+0.87%1.8825-0.73%0.1169✓1.2227k2022-08-19
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.10e-79.18e-7+0.84%8.70e-7-4.40%0.0554✓1.0028k2022-08-19
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.52370.5279+0.80%0.4967-5.16%0.0698✓1.20491k2022-08-19
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.2143.2377+0.74%4.701+46.27%0.4561✓0.77488k2022-08-19
GALAGALAEthereum0.05370.054056+0.66%0.0532-0.93%0.1437✓1.47115k2022-08-19
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7070.711601+0.65%0.609-13.86%0.0097✓1.52108k2022-08-19
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.030040.030225+0.62%0.0386+28.50%0.3825✓1.2723k2022-08-19
GLMGolemEthereum0.24570.247202+0.61%0.2516+2.40%0.1354✓1.0861k2022-08-19
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10470.10533+0.60%0.1055+0.76%0.1495✓1.362.5M2022-08-19
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.50580.508766+0.59%0.4754-6.01%0.0555✓1.14333k2022-08-19
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3138160.315454+0.52%0.302298-3.67%0.0916✓1.231.4M2022-08-19
MANADecentralandEthereum0.920020.924229+0.46%0.84451-8.21%0.0560✓1.35423k2022-08-19
LPTLivepeerEthereum9.019.0509+0.45%9.77+8.44%0.2032✓1.17288k2022-08-19
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.24145.2623+0.40%5.2071-0.65%0.0108✓0.20335k2022-08-19
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.71e-73.72e-7+0.35%6.08e-7+63.93%0.5999✓1.00268k2022-08-19
PROPropyEthereum0.810.812022+0.25%0.74-8.64%0.0162✗0.71111k2022-08-19
XTZTezosTezos1.61811.6209+0.18%1.5782-2.47%0.1102✓1.26499k2022-08-19
QTUMQtumQtum3.05453.0583+0.13%3.3477+9.60%0.2083✓1.0827k2022-08-19
KCSKuCoinnative10.27710.2896+0.12%9.359-8.93%0.0259✓1.112.2M2022-08-19
CTKShentuOsmosis0.7720.772939+0.12%0.847+9.72%0.1754✓0.771.1M2022-08-19
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.45872.4612+0.10%3.7255+51.52%0.5231✓1.001.1M2022-08-19
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.027250.027259+0.03%0.02581-5.28%0.0936✓1.361,4722022-08-19
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009230.009232+0.02%0.00905-1.95%0.0862✓0.984.9M2022-08-19
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.744.7394-0.01%7.02+48.10%0.4652✗0.67574k2022-08-19
SCSiacoinnative0.004410.004409-0.03%0.00412-6.58%0.0773✗1.33127k2022-08-19
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.134620.134568-0.04%0.13844+2.84%0.2018✗1.60158k2022-08-19
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.5845.5803-0.07%6.466+15.80%0.2667✗1.101.9M2022-08-19
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13470.134559-0.10%0.1221-9.35%0.0457✗1.3144k2022-08-19
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0069740.006964-0.14%0.006691-4.06%0.0234✗0.5851k2022-08-19
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006840.00683-0.15%0.00743+8.63%0.1936✗1.01387k2022-08-19
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.4331.43-0.21%1.7825+24.39%0.3744✗1.42684k2022-08-19
COTICOTIEthereum0.10530.105048-0.24%0.0975-7.41%0.0686✗1.32526k2022-08-19
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.29240.291694-0.24%0.2828-3.28%0.0979✗1.192.9M2022-08-19
LTCLitecoinLitecoin57.2257.0716-0.26%54.02-5.59%0.0681✗1.1314.8M2022-08-19
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.055910.055743-0.30%0.07173+28.30%0.4112✗1.46773k2022-08-19
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.234.2171-0.30%6.87+62.41%0.5570✗0.63579k2022-08-19
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV55.62655.456-0.31%51.302-7.77%0.0127✗0.83387k2022-08-19
CELLCellframeEthereum0.28420.283247-0.34%0.3103+9.18%0.2132✗1.1242k2022-08-19
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.019270.019205-0.34%0.01707-11.42%0.0364✓0.75354k2022-08-19
CHZChilizEthereum0.1090.108627-0.34%0.1961+79.91%0.7104✗1.10560k2022-08-19
BFCBifrostEthereum0.061730.061492-0.39%0.07429+20.35%0.3319✗1.3125k2022-08-19
AMPAmpEthereum0.009350.009313-0.40%0.00703-24.81%0.1815✓0.921.3M2022-08-19
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11150.111048-0.41%0.1085-2.69%0.0944✗1.08398k2022-08-19
LSKLiskEthereum1.12581.1211-0.42%1.068-5.13%0.0679✗1.0745k2022-08-19
XVSVenusEthereum5.375.347-0.43%5.8+8.01%0.2339✗1.401.2M2022-08-19
DASHDashDash47.1246.8515-0.57%44.86-4.80%0.0749✗1.09616k2022-08-19
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.090530.090013-0.57%0.08741-3.45%0.0793✗1.00589k2022-08-19
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,318.4023,181.11-0.59%21,334.30-8.51%0.0232✗0.9829k2022-08-19
C98Coin98Ethereum0.49960.496607-0.60%0.4043-19.08%0.0862✓1.1049k2022-08-19
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.4697.4199-0.66%7.303-2.22%0.1176✗1.239.0M2022-08-19
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.23250.230924-0.68%0.2125-8.60%0.0771✗1.47117k2022-08-19
ZENHorizenBase16.7716.6539-0.69%16.17-3.58%0.1211✗1.3996k2022-08-19
UMAUMAEthereum2.6632.6422-0.78%2.82+5.90%0.1850✗1.10673k2022-08-19
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.020830.020666-0.79%0.02251+8.07%0.2001✗1.05134k2022-08-19
LCXLCXEthereum0.07160.071007-0.83%0.0635-11.31%0.0394✗1.39312k2022-08-19
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6740.668362-0.84%0.678+0.59%0.1194✗0.97443k2022-08-19
BTTCBTTC9.10e-79.02e-7-0.84%8.70e-7-4.40%0.0530✗0.825.8M2022-08-19
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.09030.089458-0.93%0.1096+21.37%0.2895✗0.80150k2022-08-19
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13250.131237-0.95%0.1279-3.47%0.0852✗1.023.5M2022-08-19
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.4462.4225-0.96%2.151-12.06%0.0336✗1.4043k2022-08-19
XMRMoneroMonero151.47149.8292-1.08%142.31-6.05%0.0698✗1.121.3M2022-08-19
FLOWFlownative1.8591.8387-1.09%2.121+14.09%0.2779✗1.24332k2022-08-19
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.1633.1283-1.10%3-5.15%0.0754✗1.08555k2022-08-19
BANDBandEthereum1.5011.4842-1.12%1.325-11.73%0.0427✗1.44385k2022-08-19
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.24240.23968-1.12%0.2209-8.87%0.0537✗1.24147k2022-08-19
CTSICartesiEthereum0.16290.161068-1.12%0.1513-7.12%0.0764✗1.28354k2022-08-19
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03720.036774-1.14%0.0347-6.72%0.0757✗1.2395k2022-08-19
XECeCashnative0.000040810.000040333-1.17%0.00003843-5.83%0.0805✗1.191.9M2022-08-19
IMXImmutableEthereum0.97570.964228-1.18%0.879-9.91%0.0622✗1.421.4M2022-08-19
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.24512.2186-1.18%5.0422+124.59%0.9077✗0.80947k2022-08-19
STXStacksnative0.4140.409081-1.19%0.3909-5.58%0.0919✗1.26414k2022-08-19
CHRChromiaEthereum0.20780.205277-1.21%0.1722-17.13%0.0222✓1.412,6032022-08-19
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.8696.7845-1.23%6.899+0.44%0.1538✗1.2617.9M2022-08-19
AAVEAaveEthereum90.8889.7251-1.27%83.37-8.26%0.1037✗1.6311.3M2022-08-19
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05320.052493-1.33%0.051-4.14%0.1157✗1.33817k2022-08-19
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum11.311.1472-1.35%12.8+13.27%0.2980✗1.471.1M2022-08-19
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.070030.069076-1.36%0.067937-2.99%0.1138✗1.202.0M2022-08-19
ADACardanoCardano0.49110.484385-1.37%0.4497-8.43%0.0635✗1.2743.9M2022-08-19
XLMStellarStellar0.1120570.110507-1.38%0.108067-3.56%0.0865✗1.007.2M2022-08-19
FISStafiEthereum0.3670.361815-1.41%0.3599-1.93%0.1034✗1.004752022-08-19
SUSHISushiEthereum1.331.3105-1.46%1.18-11.28%0.0554✗1.47910k2022-08-19
KSMKusamaHydration60.359.3774-1.53%48.63-19.35%0.0690✓1.20235k2022-08-19
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.52.4609-1.57%2.3-8.00%0.0960✗1.51216k2022-08-19
ETHEthereumEthereum1,522.121,497.94-1.59%1,608.72+5.69%0.2047✗1.23326.5M2022-08-19
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.113.0586-1.65%4.972+59.87%0.5537✗0.621.7M2022-08-19
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,226.9922,839.61-1.67%20,834.94-10.30%0.0168✗1.00398.7M2022-08-19
MOVRMoonriverBase13.094612.876-1.67%12.9755-0.91%0.1370✗1.19194k2022-08-19
SOLSolanaSolana42.0541.3471-1.67%35.82-14.82%0.0013✓1.3381.1M2022-08-19
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum15.5215.2533-1.72%14.23-8.31%0.0788✗1.361.3M2022-08-19
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.09492.0586-1.73%6.7571+222.55%1.2863✗0.90890k2022-08-19
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.392260.385452-1.74%0.36149-7.84%0.0692✗1.23128k2022-08-19
METISMetisEthereum3029.4691-1.77%32.4+8.00%0.2035✗1.00130k2022-08-19
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.071380.070099-1.79%0.06643-6.93%0.0259✗0.731,5492022-08-19
ETCEthereum Classicnative23.3422.9192-1.80%32.98+41.30%0.5022✗1.271.2M2022-08-19
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0030470.00299-1.86%0.003321+8.99%0.2185✗1.051.1M2022-08-19
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.34480.338182-1.92%0.303-12.12%0.0166✓1.168.2M2022-08-19
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12050.118138-1.96%0.1065-11.62%0.0026✓0.985,8712022-08-19
HIVEHivenative0.45370.444784-1.97%0.5569+22.75%0.3605✗1.251.3M2022-08-19
RADRadworksEthereum1.931.8921-1.97%2.29+18.65%0.3104✗1.10150k2022-08-19
DKAdKargoEthereum0.046640.045684-2.05%0.04452-4.55%0.0732✗0.918,1912022-08-19
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.172710.169112-2.08%0.16055-7.04%0.2156✗2.461,0532022-08-19
ELAElastosEthereum1.6331.5986-2.11%1.87+14.51%0.2655✗1.00181k2022-08-19
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4830.47279-2.11%0.429-11.18%0.0305✗1.1811k2022-08-19
UOSUltraEthereum0.349190.341623-2.17%0.29551-15.37%0.0104✓1.24411k2022-08-19
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.823.737-2.17%6.23+63.09%0.5793✗0.63715k2022-08-19
COMPCompoundEthereum56.3455.113-2.18%49.91-11.41%0.0493✗1.3733k2022-08-19
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.80880.791115-2.19%1.0221+26.37%0.3640✗0.993.5M2022-08-19
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010750.001051-2.20%0.001441+34.05%0.4551✗1.291.7M2022-08-19
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26150.255517-2.29%0.2612-0.11%0.1307✗1.0046k2022-08-19
WOOWOOEthereum0.20340.198723-2.30%0.1767-13.13%0.0345✗1.402,1172022-08-19
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.83.712-2.32%5.39+41.84%0.4559✗0.76597k2022-08-19
DIADIAEthereum0.423320.413333-2.36%0.38673-8.64%0.0130✓0.7352k2022-08-19
XEMNEMnative0.048110.04695-2.41%0.045265-5.91%0.0937✗1.2017k2022-08-19
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.7336.5702-2.42%6.409-4.81%0.1130✗1.275.5M2022-08-19
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2130.207732-2.47%0.186-12.68%0.0577✗1.55881k2022-08-19
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos9.6819.4373-2.52%10.759+11.14%0.2777✗1.3512.9M2022-08-19
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0173670.016929-2.52%0.025967+49.52%0.4797✗0.48171k2022-08-19
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.6292.5622-2.54%2.112-19.67%0.0043✓1.7484k2022-08-19
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.44420.432887-2.55%0.3796-14.54%0.0227✓1.00258k2022-08-19
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.7263.629-2.60%6.927+85.91%0.7074✗0.562.2M2022-08-19
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5960.580292-2.64%0.562-5.70%0.1222✗1.4284k2022-08-19
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.8523.7488-2.68%13.488+250.16%1.3481✗0.621.4M2022-08-19
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.463.3665-2.70%2.75-20.52%0.1495✓0.4986k2022-08-19
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.40110.390193-2.72%0.36-10.25%0.0852✗1.53208k2022-08-19
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3261.2879-2.87%1.045-21.19%0.0762✓1.221.7M2022-08-19
FTTFTXEthereum28.7727.9313-2.92%26.41-8.20%0.0470✗0.9511.0M2022-08-19
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.024630.023901-2.96%0.0224-9.05%0.1100✗1.6114.6M2022-08-19
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche23.5922.8693-3.06%22.44-4.87%0.1510✗1.5627.0M2022-08-19
XVGVergenative0.003670.003558-3.06%0.0032-12.81%0.0395✗1.34649k2022-08-19
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.5681.5192-3.11%1.506-3.95%0.1490✗1.45203k2022-08-19
STORJStorjEthereum0.666950.645987-3.14%0.5697-14.58%0.0434✗1.56104k2022-08-19
OPTIMOptimism0.6860.663286-3.31%1.222+78.13%0.8049✗1.781.1M2022-08-19
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.00001190.000011505-3.32%0.00001317+10.67%0.2708✗1.251.3M2022-08-19
GMTGMTEthereum0.9790.946188-3.35%0.776-20.74%0.0024✓1.80574k2022-08-19
STEEMSteemnative0.25430.245633-3.41%0.2304-9.40%0.0635✗1.17703k2022-08-19
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0173590.016767-3.41%0.01381-20.44%0.0937✓0.921.2M2022-08-19
AUCTIONBounceEthereum5.975.7662-3.41%7.67+28.48%0.4282✗1.31256k2022-08-19
YFIyearn.financeEthereum6,493.436,268.93-3.46%8,613.21+32.64%0.4622✗1.334.4M2022-08-19
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08860.085467-3.54%0.0618-30.25%0.1894✓1.24188k2022-08-19
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.8612.7594-3.55%2.801-2.10%0.1979✗1.683.8M2022-08-19
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.541.4832-3.69%1.206-21.69%0.0655✓1.302.8M2022-08-19
DODODODOEthereum0.14860.14309-3.71%0.1293-12.99%0.0386✗1.292.9M2022-08-19
AVTAventusEthereum1.541.482-3.77%1.38-10.39%0.0453✓0.24426k2022-08-19
UNIUniswapEthereum6.8576.5972-3.79%6.895+0.55%0.1910✗1.355.7M2022-08-19
FORTFortaEthereum0.29720.28583-3.83%0.2715-8.65%0.0890✗1.29409k2022-08-19
TRBTellor TributesEthereum15.2814.6926-3.84%41.75+173.23%1.2124✗1.55431k2022-08-19
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7610.731573-3.87%0.676-11.17%0.1124✗1.766.3M2022-08-19
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04880.046903-3.89%0.0447-8.40%0.0821✗1.20282k2022-08-19
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07080.068013-3.94%0.0562-20.62%0.0839✓0.98229k2022-08-19
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.93180.892815-4.18%1.2326+32.28%0.4532✗1.201.2M2022-08-19
APEApeCoinEthereum5.8745.6202-4.32%5.106-13.07%0.0925✗1.7311.7M2022-08-19
API3Api3Ethereum1.8011.7219-4.39%1.914+6.27%0.2437✗1.27637k2022-08-19
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.0780.07405-5.06%0.0657-15.77%0.0077✓1.03209k2022-08-19
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.15851.0986-5.17%1.0504-9.33%0.1140✗1.464.7M2022-08-19
ORCAOrcaSolana0.9810.93-5.20%0.8698-11.34%0.1070✗1.60214k2022-08-19
LUNATerraTerra 20.00010080.000094662-6.09%0.00008591-14.77%0.1126✗1.93715k2022-08-19
QNTQuantEthereum96.6490.0935-6.77%99.28+2.73%0.2060✗1.002.7M2022-08-19
NMRNumeraireEthereum14.3813.3213-7.36%17.46+21.42%0.3736✗0.951.9M2022-08-19
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.7910.730686-7.63%0.574-27.43%0.0739✓1.545,0122022-08-19
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.4292.2224-8.51%1.661-31.62%0.1357✓1.43128k2022-08-19
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.450760.410637-8.90%0.33831-24.95%0.0347✓1.46791k2022-08-19
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.