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2022-07-15 · +30d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 183 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1832
183 of 183 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+3.31%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
38.8%
in alpha space · 7.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+16.75%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (183 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
GTGateEthereum4.00674.0111+0.11%5.0549+26.16%0.1206✓0.711.0M2022-08-14
SUNSun TokenTron0.0056970.0057+0.05%0.006713+17.84%0.0212✓0.923,0112022-08-14
NEXONEXOEthereum0.5770.577163+0.03%1.008+74.70%0.3709✓1.21867k2022-08-14
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.30345.2935-0.19%5.1274-3.32%0.0604✓0.18335k2022-08-14
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.07640.076148-0.33%0.0995+30.24%0.0765✗1.236,9262022-08-14
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash106.07105.7113-0.34%139.45+31.47%0.1033✗1.124.3M2022-08-14
TRXTRONTron0.0670240.066713-0.46%0.070349+4.96%0.0734✓0.82433k2022-08-14
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.46710.464207-0.62%0.5947+27.32%0.0736✗1.12294k2022-08-14
ZECZcashZcash58.3757.9616-0.70%73.71+26.28%0.0351✗1.331.6M2022-08-14
LPTLivepeerEthereum8.568.4965-0.74%11.81+37.97%0.1450✗1.19288k2022-08-14
GITCOINGITCOIN2.30132.2838-0.76%3.077+33.71%0.0475✗1.624,8022022-08-14
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2850.282371-0.92%0.327+14.74%0.0134✓1.03575k2022-08-14
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.70e-78.62e-7-0.97%0.00000101+16.09%0.0041✓1.0033k2022-08-14
LRCLoopringEthereum0.37650.371985-1.20%0.4837+28.47%0.0560✗1.3382k2022-08-14
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.018090.017861-1.27%0.01762-2.60%0.1333✓0.77381k2022-08-14
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.019390.019124-1.37%0.02573+32.70%0.1332✗1.0699k2022-08-14
LTCLitecoinLitecoin51.7651.0437-1.38%63.17+22.04%0.0317✗1.1715.4M2022-08-14
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.128940.12715-1.39%0.1773+37.51%0.0822✗1.62155k2022-08-14
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0122360.012064-1.40%0.015677+28.12%0.1351✗0.821.2M2022-08-14
CTKShentuOsmosis0.7690.757742-1.46%0.932+21.20%0.0857✗0.781.3M2022-08-14
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2941580.289735-1.50%0.374117+27.18%0.0599✗1.261.7M2022-08-14
GLMGolemEthereum0.23760.233999-1.52%0.2868+20.71%0.0331✗1.1060k2022-08-14
XVSVenusEthereum5.165.0806-1.54%6.42+24.42%0.0076✓1.461.2M2022-08-14
ETHEthereumEthereum1,231.101,212.04-1.55%1,935.85+57.25%0.2831✗1.20326.5M2022-08-14
KCSKuCoinnative9.199.0457-1.57%10.646+15.84%0.0094✓1.112.4M2022-08-14
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.49540.487562-1.58%0.6094+23.01%0.0362✗1.21491k2022-08-14
CHZChilizEthereum0.10580.10409-1.62%0.1811+71.17%0.3827✗1.10549k2022-08-14
MANADecentralandEthereum0.847240.832971-1.68%1.0735+26.71%0.0464✗1.34411k2022-08-14
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.431.4055-1.72%1.75+22.38%0.0078✓1.47153k2022-08-14
LSKLiskEthereum1.04781.0293-1.76%1.2606+20.30%0.0337✗1.0948k2022-08-14
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.7342.6854-1.78%3.865+41.37%0.1901✗1.12534k2022-08-14
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.76811.7364-1.79%2.3122+30.78%0.0943✗1.2434k2022-08-14
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.027280.026786-1.81%0.04879+78.85%0.4015✗1.2819k2022-08-14
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum9.219.0413-1.83%14.53+57.76%0.2488✗1.461.1M2022-08-14
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.27060.265637-1.83%0.3467+28.12%0.0816✗1.193.0M2022-08-14
XTZTezosTezos1.57431.5452-1.85%1.8226+15.77%0.0326✓1.28555k2022-08-14
PROPropyEthereum0.810.794695-1.89%0.81+0.00%0.0959✓0.74111k2022-08-14
ETCEthereum Classicnative15.0614.7729-1.91%41.57+176.03%0.8521✗1.181.2M2022-08-14
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.3332.2875-1.95%3.944+69.05%0.4034✗0.9188k2022-08-14
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10640.104324-1.95%0.1284+20.68%0.0374✗1.10380k2022-08-14
BTTCBTTC8.70e-78.53e-7-1.95%0.00000101+16.09%0.0378✗0.855.7M2022-08-14
BORABORAKlay Token0.288960.283318-1.95%0.36752+27.19%0.0506✗1.353,2762022-08-14
CVCCivicEthereum0.13990.137167-1.95%0.1716+22.66%0.0297✗1.2593k2022-08-14
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009190.009008-1.99%0.01037+12.84%0.0183✓1.034.9M2022-08-14
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.58e-73.51e-7-1.99%4.26e-7+18.73%0.0242✗1.08392k2022-08-14
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.09860.096608-2.02%0.1393+41.28%0.1570✗1.352.5M2022-08-14
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04090.040071-2.03%0.0472+15.40%0.0457✓1.357,6892022-08-14
NANOnanopayBase0.8882140.86985-2.07%1.0568+18.98%0.0368✗1.0268k2022-08-14
SOLSolanaSolana37.3736.5965-2.07%44.89+20.12%0.0011✓1.3383.9M2022-08-14
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006420.006283-2.13%0.00865+34.74%0.1660✗0.99390k2022-08-14
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.19830.194043-2.15%0.2555+28.85%0.0482✗1.47117k2022-08-14
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.050590.049486-2.18%0.09281+83.46%0.4010✗1.47778k2022-08-14
FLOWFlownative1.5461.5116-2.22%2.832+83.18%0.4401✗1.21287k2022-08-14
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.11940.116667-2.29%0.1641+37.44%0.1842✗1.013.9M2022-08-14
DKAdKargoEthereum0.045240.044188-2.33%0.05538+22.41%0.0834✗0.925,7282022-08-14
ZENHorizenBase16.0315.6516-2.36%20.14+25.64%0.0325✗1.4274k2022-08-14
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.12790.124859-2.38%0.1477+15.48%0.0392✓1.3434k2022-08-14
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.812210.792731-2.40%1.207+48.61%0.2841✗0.883642022-08-14
XMRMoneroMonero138.94135.5968-2.41%168.04+20.94%0.0387✗1.141.3M2022-08-14
SCSiacoinnative0.00390.003804-2.45%0.00499+27.95%0.0619✗1.35136k2022-08-14
BFCBifrostEthereum0.060290.058804-2.46%0.0883+46.46%0.1918✗1.3925k2022-08-14
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6670.649941-2.56%0.887+32.98%0.1149✗1.27120k2022-08-14
AMPAmpEthereum0.009010.008779-2.56%0.00825-8.44%0.2047✓0.921.2M2022-08-14
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0208250.020289-2.57%0.025582+22.84%0.0760✗1.011,2172022-08-14
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.1772.1207-2.58%2.808+28.98%0.0186✓1.6984k2022-08-14
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.09070.088333-2.61%0.1275+40.57%0.2406✗0.82145k2022-08-14
STEEMSteemnative0.20010.194848-2.62%0.2723+36.08%0.1491✗1.20705k2022-08-14
RADRadworksEthereum1.71.6552-2.64%2.55+50.00%0.2595✗1.12117k2022-08-14
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.43932.3747-2.65%3.1608+29.58%0.1310✗1.001.1M2022-08-14
GALAGALAEthereum0.04950.048184-2.66%0.0703+42.02%0.1490✗1.48102k2022-08-14
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.3216.1513-2.68%8.77+38.74%0.1601✗1.2619.3M2022-08-14
DASHDashDash43.2442.0773-2.69%55.08+27.38%0.0974✗1.11623k2022-08-14
CELLCellframeEthereum0.24030.233825-2.69%0.4118+71.37%0.3891✗1.1433k2022-08-14
QTUMQtumQtum2.78182.7066-2.70%4.1906+50.65%0.2671✗1.1026k2022-08-14
IMXImmutableEthereum0.90110.876673-2.71%1.0962+21.65%0.0015✓1.451.4M2022-08-14
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6530.635156-2.73%0.839+28.48%0.1311✗0.95405k2022-08-14
COTICOTIEthereum0.10080.098026-2.75%0.1166+15.67%0.0388✓1.37547k2022-08-14
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10810.105091-2.78%0.1308+21.00%0.0676✗0.986,6852022-08-14
STXStacksnative0.38290.372199-2.79%0.4917+28.41%0.0824✗1.27405k2022-08-14
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche19.3518.8079-2.80%28.19+45.68%0.1659✗1.5425.2M2022-08-14
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.92251.8685-2.81%3.6932+92.10%0.5466✗0.87845k2022-08-14
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,827.5520,239.44-2.82%24,316.71+16.75%0.0286✗1.00447.1M2022-08-14
DOTPolkadotPolkadot6.7946.6015-2.83%8.955+31.81%0.1142✗1.239.6M2022-08-14
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5010.486781-2.84%0.699+39.52%0.1463✗1.3985k2022-08-14
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.05310.051577-2.87%0.0809+52.35%0.3289✗0.78204k2022-08-14
WOOWOOEthereum0.17710.172013-2.87%0.2284+28.97%0.0696✗1.382,2022022-08-14
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.2265.0725-2.94%8.235+57.58%0.3094✗1.131.8M2022-08-14
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.1972.1324-2.94%2.773+26.22%0.0424✗1.4247k2022-08-14
XYMSymbolnative0.0519240.050396-2.94%0.056453+8.72%0.0169✓0.6214k2022-08-14
ELAElastosEthereum1.4841.4403-2.94%2.039+37.40%0.1927✗1.00180k2022-08-14
AAVEAaveEthereum90.4187.7265-2.97%107.44+18.84%0.0580✓1.6810.2M2022-08-14
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0067390.006537-2.99%0.00672-0.28%0.0613✓0.5772k2022-08-14
ADACardanoCardano0.44190.428347-3.07%0.5701+29.01%0.0894✗1.2746.2M2022-08-14
XECeCashnative0.000039220.000038004-3.10%0.00004614+17.64%0.0065✓1.211.9M2022-08-14
UMAUMAEthereum2.5932.5124-3.11%3.446+32.90%0.1417✗1.12830k2022-08-14
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.80140.776241-3.14%1.1212+39.91%0.2097✗1.024.1M2022-08-14
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.093970.091015-3.14%0.08572-8.78%0.2148✓1.00394k2022-08-14
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos9.0588.7698-3.18%11.588+27.93%0.0689✗1.3512.7M2022-08-14
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.062970.060945-3.22%0.0817+29.74%0.1048✗1.222.0M2022-08-14
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.23020.222791-3.22%0.2693+16.99%0.0053✓1.26167k2022-08-14
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.41591.3703-3.22%1.6481+16.40%0.0364✓1.43651k2022-08-14
ARPAARPAEthereum0.0360.034838-3.23%0.0428+18.89%0.0114✓1.2695k2022-08-14
UOSUltraEthereum0.311360.30129-3.23%0.37655+20.94%0.0273✓1.26411k2022-08-14
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.388830.376176-3.25%0.44475+14.38%0.0255✓1.25128k2022-08-14
XLMStellarStellar0.1074120.103899-3.27%0.125646+16.98%0.0341✗1.017.4M2022-08-14
SPELLSpellEthereum0.00097060.00093885-3.27%0.001432+47.49%0.2231✗1.281.8M2022-08-14
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000010840.000010484-3.29%0.00001688+55.72%0.2834✗1.251.1M2022-08-14
LCXLCXEthereum0.07170.069327-3.31%0.0765+6.69%0.1236✓1.43299k2022-08-14
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV52.43350.6857-3.33%62.391+18.99%0.0779✗0.84410k2022-08-14
HIVEHivenative0.43260.418156-3.34%0.6213+43.62%0.2007✗1.261.2M2022-08-14
BANDBandEthereum1.3661.3203-3.35%1.732+26.79%0.0457✗1.46385k2022-08-14
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6130.592442-3.35%0.7+14.19%0.0699✓1.53112k2022-08-14
APEApeCoinEthereum4.6014.446-3.37%6.368+38.40%0.0881✗1.7512.2M2022-08-14
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,161.6020,446.40-3.38%24,209.70+14.40%0.0157✓0.9943k2022-08-14
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.026870.025959-3.39%0.03229+20.17%0.0098✓1.471,7332022-08-14
CTSICartesiEthereum0.1560.150662-3.42%0.1842+18.08%0.0067✓1.34349k2022-08-14
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.374.2133-3.59%6.12+40.05%0.2740✗0.64555k2022-08-14
CHRChromiaEthereum0.17910.172655-3.60%0.2112+17.92%0.0269✓1.472,7232022-08-14
SUSHISushiEthereum1.41.3493-3.62%1.48+5.71%0.1450✓1.53768k2022-08-14
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04950.047691-3.66%0.067+35.35%0.1293✗1.36837k2022-08-14
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0027970.002695-3.66%0.00419+49.80%0.2802✗1.041.2M2022-08-14
C98Coin98Ethereum0.47310.455678-3.68%0.5344+12.96%0.0117✓1.1052k2022-08-14
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.174570.168132-3.69%0.1917+9.81%0.2945✓2.758962022-08-14
FIDABonfidaSolana0.3960.381372-3.69%0.534+34.85%0.1648✗1.119,9052022-08-14
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum13.9713.4479-3.74%18.56+32.86%0.1116✗1.361.3M2022-08-14
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.5452.4497-3.75%3.821+50.14%0.1753✗1.743.7M2022-08-14
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.84.6176-3.80%6.17+28.54%0.1858✗0.67609k2022-08-14
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.32750.314951-3.83%0.3642+11.21%0.0379✓1.188.3M2022-08-14
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.2522.1655-3.84%3.5378+57.10%0.3662✗0.80922k2022-08-14
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.2061.1594-3.86%1.341+11.19%0.0359✓1.171.4M2022-08-14
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.4511.3949-3.86%1.939+33.63%0.0989✗1.49182k2022-08-14
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.8136.5453-3.93%8.001+17.44%0.0048✓1.335.5M2022-08-14
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2080.199661-4.01%0.225+8.17%0.1232✓1.57964k2022-08-14
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.89880.86276-4.01%1.4588+62.31%0.3332✗1.24838k2022-08-14
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2691.2172-4.08%1.445+13.87%0.0320✓1.312.5M2022-08-14
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07350.070483-4.10%0.0721-1.90%0.1339✓1.01181k2022-08-14
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.4070.390267-4.11%0.5199+27.74%0.1319✗1.00202k2022-08-14
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.766.4807-4.13%8.97+32.69%0.2479✗0.50657k2022-08-14
FTTFTXEthereum26.7825.6658-4.16%30.84+15.16%0.0381✓0.9410.7M2022-08-14
KSMKusamaHydration54.3752.1029-4.17%58.87+8.28%0.0606✓1.18235k2022-08-14
XEMNEMnative0.0404450.038722-4.26%0.053806+33.03%0.1507✗1.1515k2022-08-14
XVGVergenative0.003440.003293-4.27%0.00403+17.15%0.0076✓1.35664k2022-08-14
AUCTIONBounceEthereum5.625.3774-4.32%10.26+82.56%0.4347✗1.36256k2022-08-14
OPTIMOptimism0.4830.462093-4.33%1.44+198.14%0.8741✗1.701.2M2022-08-14
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.023470.022441-4.39%0.02926+24.67%0.0109✓1.6416.9M2022-08-14
CBKCobakEthereum1.01880.973833-4.41%1.2058+18.36%0.0366✓1.144,5462022-08-14
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.39680.379233-4.43%0.4793+20.79%0.0092✓1.57197k2022-08-14
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.613.45-4.43%6.354+76.01%0.5269✗0.542.1M2022-08-14
COMPCompoundEthereum55.2952.8365-4.44%63.04+14.02%0.0372✓1.3829k2022-08-14
YFIyearn.financeEthereum6,152.705,877.92-4.47%11,226.83+82.47%0.4394✗1.344.2M2022-08-14
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.2610.24925-4.50%0.2611+0.04%0.1084✓1.0037k2022-08-14
DODODODOEthereum0.14630.139713-4.50%0.171+16.88%0.0004✓1.312.8M2022-08-14
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04810.045797-4.79%0.0541+12.47%0.0264✓1.25257k2022-08-14
MOVRMoonriverBase12.83112.2121-4.82%16.2019+26.27%0.0974✗1.20242k2022-08-14
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.823.6334-4.88%5.932+55.29%0.3932✗0.631.6M2022-08-14
STORJStorjEthereum0.683460.64999-4.90%0.71015+3.91%0.1651✓1.64131k2022-08-14
FORTFortaEthereum0.26450.251464-4.93%0.2996+13.27%0.0422✓1.40439k2022-08-14
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.074630.070951-4.93%0.08115+8.74%0.0062✓0.831,9712022-08-14
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0170930.016245-4.96%0.019846+16.11%0.1197✗0.52179k2022-08-14
GMTGMTEthereum0.920.874178-4.98%0.981+6.63%0.1629✓1.80528k2022-08-14
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.193.0311-4.98%2.98-6.58%0.0875✓0.4678k2022-08-14
METISMetisEthereum23.4922.3043-5.05%43.26+84.16%0.5076✗1.00127k2022-08-14
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.332.2117-5.08%3.06+31.33%0.0836✗1.56216k2022-08-14
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08630.081916-5.08%0.0854-1.04%0.1543✓1.26171k2022-08-14
UNIUniswapEthereum6.7816.4257-5.24%8.882+30.98%0.1093✗1.385.6M2022-08-14
DIADIAEthereum0.406450.384324-5.44%0.49265+21.21%0.1310✗0.7654k2022-08-14
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.913.6928-5.56%5.42+38.62%0.2852✗0.64672k2022-08-14
FISStafiEthereum0.38250.361231-5.56%0.4905+28.24%0.1510✗1.004832022-08-14
AVTAventusEthereum1.551.4616-5.70%1.5-3.23%0.0136✓0.26485k2022-08-14
API3Api3Ethereum1.8361.7293-5.81%2.387+30.01%0.1200✗1.31816k2022-08-14
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.2563.0525-6.25%4.102+25.98%0.1963✗0.642.1M2022-08-14
ORCAOrcaSolana0.83940.782545-6.77%1.0019+19.36%0.0026✓1.61192k2022-08-14
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.10671.031-6.84%1.3892+25.53%0.0761✗1.434.2M2022-08-14
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.6350.591068-6.92%0.753+18.58%0.0102✓1.503,6872022-08-14
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7790.724377-7.01%0.874+12.20%0.0988✓1.857.5M2022-08-14
NMRNumeraireEthereum14.7213.631-7.40%21.24+44.29%0.2911✗0.981.7M2022-08-14
TRBTellor TributesEthereum16.5315.2456-7.77%39.27+137.57%0.6889✗1.66421k2022-08-14
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.0361.8658-8.36%2.187+7.42%0.0724✓1.49112k2022-08-14
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.8313.4867-8.99%4.154+8.43%0.0516✓0.80488k2022-08-14
LUNATerraTerra 20.000107430.000097459-9.28%0.00010014-6.79%0.2747✓1.95682k2022-08-14
QNTQuantEthereum104.4293.5911-10.37%118.61+13.59%0.0783✓1.022.6M2022-08-14
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.563.0673-13.84%5.06+42.13%0.3876✗0.73572k2022-08-14
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.463960.39777-14.27%0.40475-12.76%0.2174✓1.52945k2022-08-14
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.