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2022-07-14 · +30d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 182 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1608
182 of 182 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+4.60%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
36.3%
in alpha space · 5.0% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+18.85%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (182 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
SUNSun TokenTron0.0056870.005734+0.83%0.006994+22.98%0.0396✓0.923,1492022-08-13
GTGateEthereum4.00914.0101+0.03%5.1095+27.45%0.1186✓0.721.1M2022-08-13
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash102.99102.7024-0.28%144.43+40.24%0.1477✗1.124.5M2022-08-13
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.39995.3831-0.31%4.8922-9.40%0.1279✓0.19335k2022-08-13
TRXTRONTron0.0669340.066692-0.36%0.069903+4.44%0.0944✓0.82453k2022-08-13
NEXONEXOEthereum0.6110.608558-0.40%1.038+69.89%0.3241✗1.21867k2022-08-13
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.4670.46456-0.52%0.6153+31.76%0.0867✗1.13311k2022-08-13
ZECZcashZcash57.5957.1797-0.71%76.21+32.33%0.0584✗1.331.6M2022-08-13
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.07690.076308-0.77%0.1028+33.68%0.0847✗1.246,9262022-08-13
LPTLivepeerEthereum8.338.2644-0.79%12.18+46.22%0.1827✗1.19288k2022-08-13
GITCOINGITCOIN2.26142.2356-1.14%3.2141+42.13%0.0834✗1.624,8022022-08-13
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017880.017646-1.31%0.01788+0.00%0.1202✓0.77381k2022-08-13
LRCLoopringEthereum0.38370.378639-1.32%0.4939+28.72%0.0344✗1.3494k2022-08-13
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2840.280175-1.35%0.333+17.25%0.0059✓1.03575k2022-08-13
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0120520.011888-1.36%0.01624+34.75%0.1708✗0.821.3M2022-08-13
LTCLitecoinLitecoin51.3250.5543-1.49%63.86+24.43%0.0311✗1.1715.5M2022-08-13
ETHEthereumEthereum1,192.701,174.66-1.51%1,984.75+66.41%0.3185✗1.19326.5M2022-08-13
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2907120.286268-1.53%0.387693+33.36%0.0850✗1.261.7M2022-08-13
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.129640.127575-1.59%0.18116+39.74%0.0709✗1.62155k2022-08-13
KCSKuCoinnative9.18.9533-1.61%10.697+17.55%0.0143✓1.112.5M2022-08-13
GLMGolemEthereum0.2350.231102-1.66%0.2886+22.81%0.0321✗1.1060k2022-08-13
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.019740.019412-1.66%0.02741+38.86%0.1619✗1.0699k2022-08-13
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.2162.1767-1.78%4.135+86.60%0.4850✗0.9198k2022-08-13
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.431.4046-1.78%1.85+29.37%0.0219✗1.47155k2022-08-13
LSKLiskEthereum1.02531.007-1.78%1.2916+25.97%0.0607✗1.0952k2022-08-13
XTZTezosTezos1.56011.5321-1.80%1.9104+22.45%0.0001✓1.28582k2022-08-13
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.77041.7384-1.81%2.4159+36.46%0.1144✗1.2436k2022-08-13
XVSVenusEthereum5.195.0958-1.82%6.65+28.13%0.0131✓1.471.3M2022-08-13
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.50710.497885-1.82%0.6271+23.66%0.0215✗1.21536k2022-08-13
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.26880.263899-1.82%0.3595+33.74%0.1029✗1.193.0M2022-08-13
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.6832.6334-1.85%4.065+51.51%0.2401✗1.12534k2022-08-13
MANADecentralandEthereum0.835040.819334-1.88%1.0614+27.10%0.0275✗1.34411k2022-08-13
CHZChilizEthereum0.1050.10302-1.89%0.1616+53.90%0.2594✗1.10549k2022-08-13
XMRMoneroMonero133.62131.0674-1.91%168.13+25.83%0.0536✗1.131.3M2022-08-13
ETCEthereum Classicnative14.7414.4567-1.92%43.58+195.66%0.9001✗1.181.3M2022-08-13
BTTCBTTC8.60e-78.43e-7-1.93%0.00000102+18.60%0.0440✗0.855.8M2022-08-13
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.12560.123171-1.93%0.1512+20.38%0.0261✓1.3435k2022-08-13
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum9.189.0013-1.95%15.39+67.65%0.2842✗1.461.1M2022-08-13
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.18910.185358-1.98%0.2699+42.73%0.1234✗1.46127k2022-08-13
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.09610.094184-1.99%0.1441+49.95%0.1926✗1.352.5M2022-08-13
CTKShentuOsmosis0.7990.783026-2.00%0.991+24.03%0.0991✗0.791.3M2022-08-13
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04230.041448-2.01%0.0501+18.44%0.0450✓1.368,3162022-08-13
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.027090.026522-2.10%0.04514+66.63%0.3106✗1.2819k2022-08-13
CVCCivicEthereum0.13680.133909-2.11%0.1743+27.41%0.0471✗1.2593k2022-08-13
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum20,493.5020,060.00-2.12%24,547.20+19.78%0.0315✗0.9945k2022-08-13
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10670.104421-2.14%0.1296+21.46%0.0258✗1.10388k2022-08-13
PROPropyEthereum0.820.802231-2.17%0.82+0.00%0.1068✓0.74114k2022-08-13
ZENHorizenBase15.4115.0736-2.18%20.82+35.11%0.0786✗1.4177k2022-08-13
SOLSolanaSolana37.1236.3024-2.20%46.63+25.62%0.0211✓1.3384.4M2022-08-13
NANOnanopayBase0.885170.865588-2.21%1.0828+22.32%0.0476✗1.0274k2022-08-13
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.1140.111437-2.25%0.1717+50.61%0.2582✗1.013.9M2022-08-13
COTICOTIEthereum0.09190.089824-2.26%0.1229+33.73%0.0786✗1.36547k2022-08-13
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009480.009264-2.27%0.01031+8.76%0.0718✓1.035.1M2022-08-13
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.049560.048414-2.31%0.09698+95.68%0.4408✗1.47778k2022-08-13
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006410.006261-2.32%0.00886+38.22%0.1757✗0.99392k2022-08-13
RADRadworksEthereum1.651.6112-2.35%2.66+61.21%0.3092✗1.11117k2022-08-13
BFCBifrostEthereum0.056930.055583-2.37%0.09127+60.32%0.2573✗1.3824k2022-08-13
BORABORAKlay Token0.288030.28096-2.45%0.37115+28.86%0.0444✗1.353,2762022-08-13
FLOWFlownative1.5621.5234-2.47%2.923+87.13%0.4416✗1.22287k2022-08-13
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.792540.772872-2.48%1.243+56.84%0.3235✗0.883222022-08-13
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.70e-73.61e-7-2.53%3.22e-7-13.15%0.3037✓1.09441k2022-08-13
UOSUltraEthereum0.289410.282066-2.54%0.3817+31.89%0.0860✗1.25421k2022-08-13
QTUMQtumQtum2.7332.6635-2.54%4.2917+57.03%0.2874✗1.1027k2022-08-13
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.78561.7401-2.55%3.4312+92.16%0.5301✗0.86845k2022-08-13
SCSiacoinnative0.003880.003781-2.56%0.00504+29.90%0.0538✗1.35141k2022-08-13
LCXLCXEthereum0.06610.064399-2.57%0.0784+18.61%0.0496✓1.43299k2022-08-13
AMPAmpEthereum0.008990.008755-2.62%0.00828-7.90%0.2149✓0.921.2M2022-08-13
STEEMSteemnative0.20250.197169-2.63%0.2759+36.25%0.1284✗1.20705k2022-08-13
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana2.7952.7203-2.67%4.086+46.19%0.2763✗0.76488k2022-08-13
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.08880.086414-2.69%0.1176+32.43%0.1680✗0.81145k2022-08-13
DKAdKargoEthereum0.045020.043808-2.69%0.05467+21.43%0.0626✗0.925,7282022-08-13
GALAGALAEthereum0.04960.04826-2.70%0.0672+35.48%0.0755✗1.48106k2022-08-13
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6150.598316-2.71%0.872+41.79%0.2137✗0.94391k2022-08-13
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.276.0962-2.77%9.149+45.92%0.1888✗1.2619.7M2022-08-13
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana3.993.8789-2.79%6.12+53.38%0.3473✗0.63555k2022-08-13
STXStacksnative0.38020.369566-2.80%0.5095+34.01%0.1023✗1.27405k2022-08-13
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.32011.2832-2.80%1.7029+29.00%0.0379✗1.42651k2022-08-13
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,577.0219,999.79-2.81%24,456.49+18.85%0.0285✓1.00453.1M2022-08-13
XYMSymbolnative0.0508990.049461-2.83%0.056988+11.96%0.0344✗0.6214k2022-08-13
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6680.649057-2.84%0.917+37.28%0.1265✗1.27127k2022-08-13
DASHDashDash43.6242.3468-2.92%57.07+30.83%0.1062✗1.11628k2022-08-13
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.33592.2671-2.94%2.999+28.39%0.1077✗1.001.1M2022-08-13
UMAUMAEthereum2.5762.4995-2.97%3.746+45.42%0.2102✗1.13895k2022-08-13
DOTPolkadotPolkadot6.7226.5213-2.99%9.31+38.50%0.1432✗1.239.7M2022-08-13
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.05190.050326-3.03%0.0823+58.57%0.3570✗0.78204k2022-08-13
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5010.4857-3.05%0.702+40.12%0.1276✗1.3985k2022-08-13
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.1782.1112-3.06%2.867+31.63%0.0600✗1.4252k2022-08-13
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0205260.019891-3.09%0.025853+25.95%0.0885✗1.019372022-08-13
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.00001060.000010271-3.10%0.00001262+19.06%0.0089✓1.241.2M2022-08-13
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.80490.779842-3.11%1.1627+44.45%0.2227✗1.024.5M2022-08-13
XECeCashnative0.000038990.000037773-3.12%0.0000474+21.57%0.0178✓1.211.9M2022-08-13
IMXImmutableEthereum0.91640.887726-3.13%1.138+24.18%0.0036✓1.461.5M2022-08-13
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0067570.006546-3.13%0.006824+0.99%0.0572✓0.5784k2022-08-13
SPELLSpellEthereum0.00095450.000924598-3.13%0.001473+54.30%0.2441✗1.281.9M2022-08-13
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10770.104297-3.16%0.1341+24.51%0.0826✗0.986,6852022-08-13
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.3545.1845-3.17%8.374+56.41%0.2828✗1.141.9M2022-08-13
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.2322.1611-3.17%2.902+30.02%0.0013✓1.7084k2022-08-13
ELAElastosEthereum1.4581.4116-3.18%2.107+44.51%0.2278✗1.00178k2022-08-13
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0623920.060404-3.19%0.072906+16.85%0.0219✓1.222.0M2022-08-13
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos8.9818.6934-3.20%11.906+32.57%0.0804✗1.3612.7M2022-08-13
ADACardanoCardano0.44140.427178-3.22%0.5598+26.82%0.0509✗1.2746.2M2022-08-13
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.387560.375056-3.23%0.46097+18.94%0.0095✓1.25130k2022-08-13
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.25.9999-3.23%8.81+42.10%0.2999✗0.49657k2022-08-13
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04430.042868-3.23%0.0714+61.17%0.2777✗1.35837k2022-08-13
HIVEHivenative0.42440.410651-3.24%0.6334+49.25%0.2157✗1.261.2M2022-08-13
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.095360.092197-3.32%0.08755-8.19%0.2244✓1.00379k2022-08-13
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.026010.025142-3.34%0.03326+27.87%0.0260✓1.471,9122022-08-13
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche19.7419.0785-3.35%29.19+47.87%0.1581✗1.5525.2M2022-08-13
XLMStellarStellar0.1071370.103522-3.37%0.126836+18.39%0.0290✓1.017.8M2022-08-13
CELLCellframeEthereum0.25690.248225-3.38%0.4375+70.30%0.3678✗1.1533k2022-08-13
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.22860.220822-3.40%0.2745+20.08%0.0001✓1.26172k2022-08-13
BANDBandEthereum1.3541.3076-3.42%1.823+34.64%0.0803✗1.46387k2022-08-13
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6090.588002-3.45%0.733+20.36%0.0439✓1.53118k2022-08-13
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.434.2761-3.48%6.06+36.79%0.2346✗0.66609k2022-08-13
APEApeCoinEthereum4.6854.5203-3.52%6.66+42.16%0.0843✗1.7613.1M2022-08-13
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03620.034925-3.52%0.0442+22.10%0.0181✓1.2699k2022-08-13
CHRChromiaEthereum0.17490.168723-3.53%0.2195+25.50%0.0083✓1.482,7942022-08-13
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV52.20450.348-3.56%63.346+21.34%0.0846✗0.84414k2022-08-13
C98Coin98Ethereum0.46250.445908-3.59%0.5584+20.74%0.0346✓1.1053k2022-08-13
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0027490.002649-3.63%0.004633+68.53%0.3793✗1.041.2M2022-08-13
AAVEAaveEthereum91.2287.8911-3.65%110.5+21.14%0.0626✓1.6910.4M2022-08-13
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15150.145965-3.65%0.1908+25.94%0.0365✓1.34349k2022-08-13
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.1252.0453-3.75%3.4228+61.07%0.3771✗0.80922k2022-08-13
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum13.9613.4204-3.87%19.24+37.82%0.1252✗1.361.3M2022-08-13
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.0690.066322-3.88%0.0716+3.77%0.0969✓1.00145k2022-08-13
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.174850.168037-3.90%0.20197+15.51%0.2938✓2.778962022-08-13
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2110.202747-3.91%0.235+11.37%0.1240✓1.571.0M2022-08-13
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.2051.1573-3.96%1.326+10.04%0.0669✓1.181.5M2022-08-13
WOOWOOEthereum0.18660.179211-3.96%0.2265+21.38%0.0062✓1.392,2342022-08-13
KSMKusamaHydration51.5149.4701-3.96%61.18+18.77%0.0095✓1.17235k2022-08-13
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.4421.3848-3.97%1.994+38.28%0.1069✗1.49182k2022-08-13
FTTFTXEthereum25.8924.8572-3.99%31.33+21.01%0.0697✗0.9411.0M2022-08-13
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.8326.5543-4.06%8.197+19.98%0.0063✓1.335.5M2022-08-13
CBKCobakEthereum0.970160.930403-4.10%1.2311+26.90%0.0835✗1.143,5002022-08-13
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.32970.316099-4.13%0.3686+11.80%0.0511✓1.198.5M2022-08-13
SUSHISushiEthereum1.391.3324-4.14%1.54+10.79%0.1204✓1.54768k2022-08-13
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2261.175-4.16%1.485+21.13%0.0076✓1.312.5M2022-08-13
STORJStorjEthereum0.650460.622859-4.24%0.72052+10.77%0.1367✓1.63130k2022-08-13
YFIyearn.financeEthereum6,010.905,752.02-4.31%11,424.48+90.06%0.4548✗1.344.4M2022-08-13
FORTFortaEthereum0.250.239059-4.38%0.3084+23.36%0.0820✗1.00503k2022-08-13
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.6983.5359-4.38%4.814+30.18%0.2010✗0.621.6M2022-08-13
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26160.250041-4.42%0.261-0.23%0.1298✓1.0045k2022-08-13
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.38910.371665-4.48%0.5216+34.05%0.1662✗1.00180k2022-08-13
XEMNEMnative0.0399020.038092-4.54%0.054466+36.50%0.1588✗1.1515k2022-08-13
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.4583.2991-4.59%6.38+84.50%0.5668✗0.542.1M2022-08-13
XVGVergenative0.003490.003329-4.61%0.00389+11.46%0.0787✓1.36664k2022-08-13
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04650.044349-4.62%0.0554+19.14%0.0078✓1.24257k2022-08-13
MOVRMoonriverBase12.353411.7806-4.64%17.0389+37.93%0.1627✗1.19265k2022-08-13
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.023640.022542-4.64%0.03126+32.23%0.0425✓1.6517.7M2022-08-13
COMPCompoundEthereum54.9752.3705-4.73%65.44+19.05%0.0157✓1.3828k2022-08-13
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.122.9718-4.75%3.03-2.88%0.0578✓0.4582k2022-08-13
OPTIMOptimism0.4910.467602-4.77%1.542+214.05%0.8991✗1.701.2M2022-08-13
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4080.388312-4.83%0.558+36.76%0.1702✗1.119,6592022-08-13
AUCTIONBounceEthereum5.725.4371-4.95%10.46+82.87%0.4179✗1.37256k2022-08-13
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.40470.384183-5.07%0.462+14.16%0.0877✓1.58197k2022-08-13
DODODODOEthereum0.14780.140204-5.14%0.1759+19.01%0.0005✓1.312.8M2022-08-13
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08620.081761-5.15%0.0916+6.26%0.1050✓1.27171k2022-08-13
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.93090.882944-5.15%1.419+52.43%0.2591✗1.25794k2022-08-13
METISMetisEthereum22.3321.1759-5.17%47.76+113.88%0.6406✗1.00126k2022-08-13
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.262.1421-5.22%3.24+43.36%0.1452✗1.56216k2022-08-13
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.7092.5664-5.26%3.972+46.62%0.1345✗1.753.5M2022-08-13
AVTAventusEthereum1.491.4107-5.33%1.55+4.03%0.0510✓0.25512k2022-08-13
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.074240.070216-5.42%0.08281+11.54%0.0217✓0.831,9362022-08-13
API3Api3Ethereum1.8171.7183-5.43%2.408+32.53%0.1119✗1.31864k2022-08-13
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0173790.01643-5.46%0.020481+17.85%0.1302✗0.52199k2022-08-13
DIADIAEthereum0.407030.383931-5.67%0.53395+31.18%0.1989✗0.7654k2022-08-13
GMTGMTEthereum0.9420.888101-5.72%0.974+3.40%0.2190✓1.80528k2022-08-13
FISStafiEthereum0.37350.351293-5.95%0.3736+0.03%0.1112✓1.004752022-08-13
ORCAOrcaSolana0.78890.741763-5.98%1.0121+28.29%0.0331✓1.61180k2022-08-13
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.643.4153-6.17%5.4+48.35%0.3498✗0.63672k2022-08-13
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.8912.6838-7.17%4.099+41.78%0.3154✗0.632.1M2022-08-13
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7810.724728-7.21%0.912+16.77%0.0906✓1.867.9M2022-08-13
UNIUniswapEthereum7.0136.5045-7.25%8.987+28.15%0.0828✗1.395.6M2022-08-13
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.6470.599738-7.30%0.792+22.41%0.0187✓1.503,6872022-08-13
NMRNumeraireEthereum14.5913.5092-7.41%21.34+46.26%0.2871✗0.991.7M2022-08-13
LUNATerraTerra 20.00009210.000085029-7.68%0.00009674+5.04%0.2019✓1.92682k2022-08-13
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.1681.0695-8.43%1.4348+22.84%0.0444✓1.444.3M2022-08-13
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.0361.8574-8.77%2.328+14.34%0.0325✓1.50112k2022-08-13
TRBTellor TributesEthereum17.1615.6245-8.95%40.15+133.97%0.6554✗1.67427k2022-08-13
QNTQuantEthereum97.5487.6853-10.10%126.57+29.76%0.1913✗1.022.6M2022-08-13
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.142.8069-10.61%4.96+57.96%0.4460✗0.71572k2022-08-13
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.450.388097-13.76%0.41477-7.83%0.1951✓1.511.0M2022-08-13
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.