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2022-07-13 · +30d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 181 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0960
181 of 181 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+2.99%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
30.4%
in alpha space · 4.4% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+20.75%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (181 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
SUNSun TokenTron0.0055490.00558+0.57%0.006893+24.23%0.0380✓0.923,1492022-08-12
GTGateEthereum3.95943.9572-0.06%5.044+27.39%0.1081✗0.711.1M2022-08-12
TRXTRONTron0.0662310.066134-0.15%0.070487+6.43%0.0912✓0.82462k2022-08-12
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.285.2639-0.31%4.7972-9.14%0.1276✓0.18335k2022-08-12
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash102.54102.0825-0.45%143.1+39.56%0.1266✗1.124.8M2022-08-12
NEXONEXOEthereum0.6060.602937-0.51%0.942+55.45%0.2170✗1.22874k2022-08-12
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.46030.457831-0.54%0.6074+31.96%0.0707✗1.12311k2022-08-12
ZECZcashZcash54.9254.5744-0.63%77.34+40.82%0.0997✗1.321.7M2022-08-12
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.07410.073527-0.77%0.104+40.35%0.1148✗1.236,9262022-08-12
LPTLivepeerEthereum8.128.0493-0.87%12.4+52.71%0.2096✗1.18288k2022-08-12
ETHEthereumEthereum1,114.261,099.46-1.33%1,959.91+75.89%0.3551✗1.18326.5M2022-08-12
LRCLoopringEthereum0.36920.364143-1.37%0.476+28.93%0.0160✗1.3494k2022-08-12
XMRMoneroMonero124.11122.3592-1.41%166.92+34.49%0.0982✗1.131.3M2022-08-12
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017750.017498-1.42%0.01781+0.34%0.1282✓0.77385k2022-08-12
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2830910.279063-1.42%0.388363+37.19%0.0932✗1.261.8M2022-08-12
LTCLitecoinLitecoin49.548.7903-1.43%62.95+27.17%0.0337✗1.1716.5M2022-08-12
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.019120.01884-1.46%0.02664+39.33%0.1481✗1.05100k2022-08-12
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0119380.011758-1.51%0.01628+36.37%0.1713✗0.821.3M2022-08-12
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.122480.120556-1.57%0.18299+49.40%0.1132✗1.61155k2022-08-12
GITCOINGITCOIN2.18762.1521-1.62%3.2354+47.90%0.1022✗1.624,8022022-08-12
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.720570.708856-1.63%1.2293+70.60%0.3876✗0.862982022-08-12
AAVEAaveEthereum79.7878.482-1.63%114.79+43.88%0.0656✗1.679.9M2022-08-12
KCSKuCoinnative8.9378.7911-1.63%10.654+19.21%0.0178✓1.112.8M2022-08-12
XTZTezosTezos1.51911.4941-1.64%1.9249+26.71%0.0121✓1.28603k2022-08-12
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.381.3564-1.71%1.9+37.68%0.0605✗1.47160k2022-08-12
CHZChilizEthereum0.10190.100133-1.73%0.164+60.94%0.2857✗1.10549k2022-08-12
XVSVenusEthereum5.074.9812-1.75%6.66+31.36%0.0136✓1.471.3M2022-08-12
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum8.878.7089-1.82%16.03+80.72%0.3353✗1.461.1M2022-08-12
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.26570.260836-1.83%0.3631+36.66%0.1054✗1.203.1M2022-08-12
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2820.276833-1.83%0.329+16.67%0.0228✓1.04575k2022-08-12
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.1852.1439-1.88%4.051+85.40%0.4656✗0.91105k2022-08-12
ETCEthereum Classicnative14.4114.1366-1.90%43.41+201.25%0.9003✗1.181.3M2022-08-12
LSKLiskEthereum1.0140.994734-1.90%1.2878+27.00%0.0530✗1.0954k2022-08-12
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.49440.48497-1.91%0.644+30.26%0.0561✗1.21579k2022-08-12
MANADecentralandEthereum0.814170.798543-1.92%1.0686+31.25%0.0392✗1.34433k2022-08-12
SOLSolanaSolana34.9434.252-1.97%45.5+30.22%0.0354✗1.3284.4M2022-08-12
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.73941.7051-1.97%2.3981+37.87%0.1064✗1.2536k2022-08-12
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.1270.124471-1.99%0.1535+20.87%0.0431✓1.3435k2022-08-12
BTTCBTTC8.40e-78.23e-7-2.00%0.00000103+22.62%0.0646✗0.855.8M2022-08-12
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum20,219.9019,814.91-2.00%24,153.80+19.46%0.0119✓0.9948k2022-08-12
NANOnanopayBase0.8632120.845826-2.01%1.1083+28.39%0.0790✗1.0181k2022-08-12
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.09380.091903-2.02%0.1472+56.93%0.2173✗1.352.5M2022-08-12
GLMGolemEthereum0.23560.230793-2.04%0.2956+25.47%0.0396✗1.1060k2022-08-12
CTKShentuOsmosis0.7810.764853-2.07%1.013+29.71%0.1317✗0.791.5M2022-08-12
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.18230.178466-2.10%0.2537+39.17%0.0777✗1.45136k2022-08-12
COTICOTIEthereum0.08680.084948-2.13%0.1237+42.51%0.1210✗1.35576k2022-08-12
LCXLCXEthereum0.06140.060082-2.15%0.0739+20.36%0.0596✓1.41299k2022-08-12
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.026730.026153-2.16%0.04843+81.18%0.3750✗1.2821k2022-08-12
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10270.10048-2.16%0.1304+26.97%0.0538✗1.10388k2022-08-12
CVCCivicEthereum0.13550.132537-2.19%0.1752+29.30%0.0423✗1.2696k2022-08-12
RADRadworksEthereum1.621.584-2.22%2.59+59.88%0.2808✗1.12117k2022-08-12
ZENHorizenBase15.2914.9501-2.22%21.35+39.63%0.0889✗1.4277k2022-08-12
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006290.006146-2.29%0.00892+41.81%0.1853✗0.99392k2022-08-12
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.11210.109447-2.37%0.1745+55.66%0.2773✗1.004.0M2022-08-12
SCSiacoinnative0.00390.003807-2.39%0.00511+31.03%0.0386✗1.36153k2022-08-12
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos8.2188.0205-2.40%12.061+46.76%0.1550✗1.3412.7M2022-08-12
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009390.009163-2.42%0.01039+10.65%0.0679✓1.035.1M2022-08-12
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.58e-73.50e-7-2.44%3.20e-7-10.73%0.2939✓1.09465k2022-08-12
QTUMQtumQtum2.72412.6566-2.48%4.2925+57.57%0.2723✗1.1030k2022-08-12
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04260.041515-2.55%0.0502+17.84%0.0659✓1.368,3162022-08-12
BFCBifrostEthereum0.055170.053754-2.57%0.0916+66.03%0.2729✗1.3824k2022-08-12
STEEMSteemnative0.20490.199569-2.60%0.2777+35.53%0.1027✗1.21731k2022-08-12
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.5940.578528-2.60%0.88+48.15%0.2425✗0.94405k2022-08-12
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.049540.048244-2.62%0.10047+102.81%0.4558✗1.47793k2022-08-12
FLOWFlownative1.5111.4714-2.62%2.945+94.90%0.4653✗1.21287k2022-08-12
PROPropyEthereum0.820.798454-2.63%0.83+1.22%0.0935✓0.70114k2022-08-12
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.28471.2509-2.63%1.6851+31.17%0.0306✗1.42684k2022-08-12
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.74771.7018-2.63%3.4443+97.08%0.5434✗0.86857k2022-08-12
GALAGALAEthereum0.04880.047486-2.69%0.066+35.25%0.0501✗1.48108k2022-08-12
AMPAmpEthereum0.008880.008641-2.69%0.00838-5.63%0.2041✓0.921.2M2022-08-12
DASHDashDash42.3941.2079-2.79%56.16+32.48%0.0998✗1.11632k2022-08-12
DOTPolkadotPolkadot6.4646.2809-2.83%9.484+46.72%0.1802✗1.2310.3M2022-08-12
UOSUltraEthereum0.291830.283475-2.86%0.39278+34.59%0.0887✗1.26445k2022-08-12
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.09030.08771-2.87%0.127+40.64%0.2160✗0.82150k2022-08-12
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.1725.9943-2.88%9.333+51.22%0.2050✗1.2620.2M2022-08-12
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,220.2319,636.71-2.89%24,415.18+20.75%0.0293✓1.00453.1M2022-08-12
STXStacksnative0.37740.36647-2.90%0.5099+35.11%0.0916✗1.27405k2022-08-12
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana3.943.8259-2.90%6.32+60.41%0.3836✗0.63584k2022-08-12
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6550.635931-2.91%0.938+43.21%0.1495✗1.27143k2022-08-12
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche18.8118.256-2.95%29.35+56.03%0.1844✗1.5425.2M2022-08-12
SUSHISushiEthereum1.241.2034-2.95%1.56+25.81%0.0272✓1.52768k2022-08-12
UMAUMAEthereum2.5352.4595-2.98%3.223+27.14%0.0582✗1.13929k2022-08-12
IMXImmutableEthereum0.88290.856523-2.99%1.1467+29.88%0.0180✓1.451.6M2022-08-12
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.4840.469523-2.99%0.7+44.63%0.1375✗1.3988k2022-08-12
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana2.7992.7152-2.99%4.151+48.30%0.2816✗0.76497k2022-08-12
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.85730.831541-3.00%1.4259+66.32%0.3066✗1.23622k2022-08-12
SPELLSpellEthereum0.00093240.00090434-3.01%0.001509+61.87%0.2705✗1.282.0M2022-08-12
DKAdKargoEthereum0.043670.042356-3.01%0.05396+23.56%0.0690✗0.925,7282022-08-12
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.80340.779212-3.01%1.1564+43.94%0.2016✗1.024.5M2022-08-12
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.12.0367-3.01%2.964+41.14%0.0562✗1.6984k2022-08-12
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.1392.0742-3.03%2.947+37.77%0.0830✗1.4260k2022-08-12
COMPCompoundEthereum48.3946.9104-3.06%65.12+34.57%0.0709✗1.3627k2022-08-12
WOOWOOEthereum0.16440.15932-3.09%0.2434+48.05%0.1661✗1.372,4272022-08-12
CELLCellframeEthereum0.23910.231689-3.10%0.4449+86.07%0.4369✗1.1433k2022-08-12
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.384740.372796-3.10%0.46635+21.21%0.0116✓1.25142k2022-08-12
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000010530.000010203-3.11%0.0000127+20.61%0.0157✓1.241.2M2022-08-12
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0067490.006539-3.11%0.006832+1.23%0.0627✓0.5795k2022-08-12
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.7892.7017-3.13%4.17+49.52%0.2207✗1.13534k2022-08-12
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10280.099563-3.15%0.139+35.21%0.1506✗0.976,6852022-08-12
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.22740.220198-3.17%0.2787+22.56%0.0028✓1.26185k2022-08-12
BORABORAKlay Token0.287360.278201-3.19%0.37096+29.09%0.0320✓1.363,2762022-08-12
XYMSymbolnative0.0508050.049171-3.22%0.056411+11.03%0.0202✓0.6214k2022-08-12
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.27242.1993-3.22%3.0168+32.76%0.1293✗0.991.2M2022-08-12
XECeCashnative0.000038640.000037395-3.22%0.00004784+23.81%0.0177✓1.211.9M2022-08-12
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.2955.1241-3.23%8.751+65.27%0.3202✗1.142.0M2022-08-12
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04280.041409-3.25%0.0733+71.26%0.3184✗1.34855k2022-08-12
HIVEHivenative0.42210.408369-3.25%0.6348+50.39%0.2034✗1.261.2M2022-08-12
CHRChromiaEthereum0.16480.159344-3.31%0.2224+34.95%0.0573✗1.462,9732022-08-12
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.094850.091708-3.31%0.08726-8.00%0.2382✓1.00373k2022-08-12
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.025310.02447-3.32%0.03363+32.87%0.0406✗1.471,9122022-08-12
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0618380.059754-3.37%0.072322+16.95%0.0386✓1.222.1M2022-08-12
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.05030.048595-3.39%0.0827+64.41%0.3853✗0.78204k2022-08-12
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.145.9304-3.41%8.86+44.30%0.3086✗0.49670k2022-08-12
XLMStellarStellar0.1052750.101654-3.44%0.126413+20.08%0.0268✓1.018.4M2022-08-12
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0202080.019511-3.45%0.025466+26.02%0.0767✗1.019372022-08-12
BANDBandEthereum1.2851.2406-3.46%1.801+40.16%0.0996✗1.45387k2022-08-12
ADACardanoCardano0.43820.423029-3.46%0.5407+23.39%0.0053✓1.2746.2M2022-08-12
ARPAARPAEthereum0.0360.034748-3.48%0.0445+23.61%0.0094✓1.2699k2022-08-12
ELAElastosEthereum1.4331.3831-3.48%2.075+44.80%0.2171✗1.00172k2022-08-12
C98Coin98Ethereum0.45050.434748-3.50%0.5574+23.73%0.0411✗1.1055k2022-08-12
APEApeCoinEthereum4.584.417-3.56%7.035+53.60%0.1351✗1.7514.8M2022-08-12
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV51.85849.9924-3.60%63.536+22.52%0.0812✗0.84417k2022-08-12
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6030.581135-3.63%0.741+22.89%0.0473✓1.54129k2022-08-12
KSMKusamaHydration49.0647.2802-3.63%61.14+24.62%0.0361✓1.17247k2022-08-12
CTSICartesiEthereum0.14580.140425-3.69%0.196+34.43%0.0818✗1.33349k2022-08-12
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2090.201287-3.69%0.236+12.92%0.1361✓1.571.1M2022-08-12
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.444.2733-3.75%6.13+38.06%0.2359✗0.66664k2022-08-12
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0027460.002643-3.77%0.004523+64.71%0.3419✗1.041.3M2022-08-12
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum13.3712.8616-3.80%18.66+39.57%0.1161✗1.361.3M2022-08-12
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.1691.1245-3.81%1.334+14.11%0.0504✓1.171.6M2022-08-12
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.08812.0081-3.83%3.3109+58.56%0.3501✗0.80976k2022-08-12
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.30970.297668-3.89%0.3656+18.05%0.0165✓1.188.7M2022-08-12
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.5152.4166-3.91%4.15+65.01%0.2121✗1.743.3M2022-08-12
STORJStorjEthereum0.638180.613209-3.91%0.72656+13.85%0.1383✓1.63120k2022-08-12
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.4936.2377-3.93%8.394+29.28%0.0469✗1.335.5M2022-08-12
FTTFTXEthereum2524.0045-3.98%31.22+24.88%0.0866✗0.9311.0M2022-08-12
DODODODOEthereum0.13310.127502-4.21%0.1809+35.91%0.1056✗1.302.8M2022-08-12
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1971.1465-4.22%1.496+24.98%0.0204✓1.302.6M2022-08-12
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07190.068853-4.24%0.0727+1.11%0.1385✓1.02131k2022-08-12
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.6613.5046-4.27%4.875+33.16%0.2125✗0.621.7M2022-08-12
YFIyearn.financeEthereum5,907.645,652.76-4.31%11,508.57+94.81%0.4583✗1.344.5M2022-08-12
CBKCobakEthereum0.947520.906436-4.34%1.2318+30.00%0.0927✗1.142,3312022-08-12
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.066990.064022-4.43%0.08331+24.36%0.1124✗0.801,9502022-08-12
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.38910.371859-4.43%0.4764+22.44%0.0487✓1.57202k2022-08-12
FIDABonfidaSolana0.3760.359181-4.47%0.554+47.34%0.2247✗1.119,6592022-08-12
UNIUniswapEthereum6.1185.8443-4.47%9.21+50.54%0.1958✗1.375.6M2022-08-12
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26170.249975-4.48%0.2614-0.11%0.1438✓1.0045k2022-08-12
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.175560.167665-4.50%0.19851+13.07%0.3583✓2.808572022-08-12
XEMNEMnative0.0388410.03709-4.51%0.055699+43.40%0.1898✗1.1515k2022-08-12
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.4171.3522-4.57%2.034+43.54%0.1269✗1.49173k2022-08-12
MOVRMoonriverBase11.981411.4326-4.58%17.1241+42.92%0.1797✗1.19289k2022-08-12
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.3713.2147-4.64%6.594+95.61%0.6178✗0.532.1M2022-08-12
AUCTIONBounceEthereum5.495.2322-4.70%10.7+94.90%0.4601✗1.35256k2022-08-12
API3Api3Ethereum1.751.6676-4.71%2.426+38.63%0.1246✗1.33864k2022-08-12
OPTIMOptimism0.4750.452611-4.71%1.651+247.58%0.9737✗1.701.3M2022-08-12
XVGVergenative0.00340.003239-4.74%0.00392+15.29%0.0640✓1.35664k2022-08-12
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.023660.022533-4.76%0.03262+37.87%0.0586✗1.6518.5M2022-08-12
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.37510.357125-4.79%0.5531+47.45%0.2489✗1.00180k2022-08-12
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04570.043502-4.81%0.0569+24.51%0.0350✓1.24257k2022-08-12
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.173.0142-4.92%3-5.36%0.0899✓0.4582k2022-08-12
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.22.0892-5.04%3.25+47.73%0.1481✗1.56218k2022-08-12
GMTGMTEthereum0.8850.839848-5.10%0.983+11.07%0.1812✓1.80574k2022-08-12
METISMetisEthereum21.620.4719-5.22%49.07+127.18%0.6857✗1.00110k2022-08-12
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08630.081739-5.29%0.0919+6.49%0.1208✓1.26171k2022-08-12
FORTFortaEthereum0.27010.255739-5.32%0.3094+14.55%0.0020✓1.00565k2022-08-12
DIADIAEthereum0.390620.369209-5.48%0.48246+23.51%0.1249✗0.7654k2022-08-12
ORCAOrcaSolana0.78120.734752-5.95%1.0248+31.18%0.0300✓1.61180k2022-08-12
AVTAventusEthereum1.551.457-6.00%1.59+2.58%0.0399✓0.25535k2022-08-12
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0177970.016686-6.24%0.020089+12.88%0.0854✗0.53222k2022-08-12
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.553.3187-6.52%5.53+55.77%0.3930✗0.62672k2022-08-12
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.7981.6804-6.54%2.341+30.20%0.0527✓1.48115k2022-08-12
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.04820.976487-6.84%1.4231+35.77%0.1077✗1.434.2M2022-08-12
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7650.709063-7.31%0.944+23.40%0.0632✓1.858.4M2022-08-12
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.6470.598757-7.46%0.792+22.41%0.0044✓1.513,2002022-08-12
NMRNumeraireEthereum14.6213.5044-7.63%21.15+44.66%0.2626✗0.991.6M2022-08-12
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.8622.6402-7.75%4.176+45.91%0.3408✗0.622.2M2022-08-12
QNTQuantEthereum84.7878.132-7.84%128.24+51.26%0.3081✗0.992.6M2022-08-12
LUNATerraTerra 20.000094970.000087215-8.17%0.00009809+3.29%0.2441✓1.92724k2022-08-12
TRBTellor TributesEthereum16.4515.0059-8.78%39.38+139.39%0.6505✗1.67427k2022-08-12
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.112.7886-10.33%5.08+63.34%0.4654✗0.71597k2022-08-12
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.444970.385181-13.44%0.42697-4.05%0.1829✓1.521.1M2022-08-12
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.