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2022-07-10 · +30d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 182 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1084
181 of 182 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+3.68%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
39.8%
in alpha space · 13.8% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+11.07%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (182 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.480080.405948-15.44%0.40504-15.63%0.1658✓1.561.4M2022-08-09
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood4.263.7731-11.43%2.87-32.63%0.3033✓0.2882k2022-08-09
LUNATerraTerra 20.000110910.000098801-10.92%0.00009678-12.74%0.2278✓1.97766k2022-08-09
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.222.8703-10.86%4.82+49.69%0.4451✗0.70765k2022-08-09
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.051.8536-9.58%2.337+14.00%0.0773✓1.47114k2022-08-09
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.7060.646768-8.39%0.763+8.07%0.0081✓1.503,2002022-08-09
NMRNumeraireEthereum15.7114.4702-7.89%20.57+30.94%0.2439✗1.03501k2022-08-09
QNTQuantEthereum81.4375.1591-7.70%125.81+54.50%0.4109✗0.992.5M2022-08-09
ORCAOrcaSolana0.80390.744965-7.33%0.9531+18.56%0.0747✓1.64160k2022-08-09
CBKCobakEthereum1.02750.953274-7.22%1.1054+7.58%0.0274✓1.151,9162022-08-09
API3Api3Ethereum1.9011.7716-6.81%1.96+3.10%0.0385✓1.33953k2022-08-09
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.9952.7943-6.70%4.013+33.99%0.2957✗0.632.4M2022-08-09
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.15690.146428-6.67%0.1365-13.00%0.2099✓1.3334k2022-08-09
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.743.4909-6.66%5.26+40.64%0.3452✗0.62755k2022-08-09
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.026080.024347-6.64%0.03215+23.27%0.1041✗1.6621.5M2022-08-09
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8320.777459-6.56%0.856+2.88%0.1033✓1.9010.2M2022-08-09
TRBTellor TributesEthereum14.5613.6189-6.46%39.35+170.26%0.8853✗1.67463k2022-08-09
AVTAventusEthereum1.561.4593-6.45%1.53-1.92%0.0235✓0.23575k2022-08-09
OPTIMOptimism0.5340.500263-6.32%1.618+203.00%0.9950✗1.701.5M2022-08-09
GMTGMTEthereum0.9520.893437-6.15%0.949-0.32%0.1298✓1.81620k2022-08-09
DIADIAEthereum0.416580.391373-6.05%0.48156+15.60%0.1307✗0.7355k2022-08-09
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.09230.086831-5.93%0.0881-4.55%0.1207✓1.29179k2022-08-09
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0174060.016381-5.89%0.020161+15.83%0.1492✗0.56291k2022-08-09
FISStafiEthereum0.3550.334999-5.63%–pending––1.005252022-08-09
FORTFortaEthereum0.25020.23628-5.56%0.3038+21.42%0.1464✗1.00436k2022-08-09
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.4533.264-5.47%6.461+87.11%0.6232✗0.572.2M2022-08-09
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2660.251504-5.45%0.219-17.67%0.2977✓1.521.1M2022-08-09
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.93720.886803-5.38%1.0382+10.78%0.0258✓1.26284k2022-08-09
CRVCurve DAOEthereum0.95220.902195-5.25%1.2926+35.75%0.2142✗1.384.5M2022-08-09
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.40210.381084-5.23%0.5163+28.40%0.1987✗1.00179k2022-08-09
STORJStorjEthereum0.681670.646321-5.19%0.66521-2.41%0.1450✓1.66120k2022-08-09
UNIUniswapEthereum6.2345.9166-5.09%8.439+35.37%0.2133✗1.355.4M2022-08-09
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.39160.371808-5.05%0.4317+10.24%0.0197✓1.61208k2022-08-09
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26140.248432-4.96%0.2613-0.04%0.0545✓1.0046k2022-08-09
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.412.2915-4.92%2.89+19.92%0.0665✗1.58236k2022-08-09
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.7763.5947-4.80%4.564+20.87%0.1733✗0.621.8M2022-08-09
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.2630.250411-4.79%0.2512-4.49%0.1302✓1.27220k2022-08-09
XEMNEMnative0.0404150.038507-4.72%0.049307+22.00%0.1246✗1.1714k2022-08-09
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04670.044578-4.54%0.0538+15.20%0.0577✗1.24264k2022-08-09
COMPCompoundEthereum53.3250.9524-4.44%59.24+11.10%0.0031✓1.4127k2022-08-09
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.021310.020368-4.42%0.022829+7.13%0.0073✓1.028952022-08-09
METISMetisEthereum22.0421.0729-4.39%42.65+93.51%0.6001✗1.00126k2022-08-09
YFIyearn.financeEthereum6,033.035,770.68-4.35%11,188.01+85.45%0.5227✗1.334.5M2022-08-09
DKAdKargoEthereum0.045660.043682-4.33%0.05077+11.19%0.0528✗0.935,7282022-08-09
XVGVergenative0.003380.003236-4.25%0.00368+8.88%0.0137✓1.35664k2022-08-09
AUCTIONBounceEthereum5.465.2288-4.23%10.31+88.83%0.5383✗1.34264k2022-08-09
C98Coin98Ethereum0.4920.471418-4.18%0.5171+5.10%0.0237✓1.1167k2022-08-09
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03950.037854-4.17%0.0428+8.35%0.0102✓1.27112k2022-08-09
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15330.146987-4.12%0.1697+10.70%0.0038✓1.33353k2022-08-09
BORABORAKlay Token0.304380.291885-4.10%0.35509+16.66%0.0517✗1.372,9402022-08-09
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.173020.165968-4.08%0.19092+10.35%0.1718✓2.978572022-08-09
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2721.2213-3.98%1.365+7.31%0.0323✓1.372.9M2022-08-09
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.408090.392032-3.93%0.43525+6.66%0.0268✓1.25155k2022-08-09
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.3591.3059-3.91%2.032+49.52%0.2873✗1.47170k2022-08-09
CHRChromiaEthereum0.1920.184516-3.90%0.2183+13.70%0.0085✓1.522,7942022-08-09
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07170.068914-3.89%0.0712-0.70%0.0773✓1.05108k2022-08-09
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.18052.0962-3.87%3.0659+40.61%0.2971✗0.791.1M2022-08-09
FTTFTXEthereum25.8824.8842-3.85%29.88+15.46%0.0851✗0.9311.6M2022-08-09
HIVEHivenative0.46440.446543-3.85%0.6067+30.64%0.1722✗1.281.2M2022-08-09
APEApeCoinEthereum4.7834.6052-3.72%7.024+46.85%0.2349✗1.7816.6M2022-08-09
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.786020.756832-3.71%1.1451+45.68%0.3255✗0.842472022-08-09
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.4432.3536-3.66%3.812+56.04%0.2977✗1.763.4M2022-08-09
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.00001120.000010791-3.65%0.00001205+7.59%0.0214✓1.261.3M2022-08-09
ELAElastosEthereum1.531.4743-3.64%2.101+37.32%0.2492✗1.00178k2022-08-09
BANDBandEthereum1.4361.3845-3.59%1.767+23.05%0.0917✗1.45428k2022-08-09
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.026780.025823-3.57%0.03179+18.71%0.0361✓1.642,0362022-08-09
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.31060.299521-3.57%0.3452+11.14%0.0175✓1.199.4M2022-08-09
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.3012.219-3.56%2.702+17.43%0.0197✓1.6990k2022-08-09
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.068420.065988-3.55%0.0825+20.58%0.1381✗0.812,3072022-08-09
DODODODOEthereum0.13430.129532-3.55%0.1714+27.62%0.1453✗1.282.8M2022-08-09
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.1611.1198-3.55%1.294+11.46%0.0219✓1.171.7M2022-08-09
ADACardanoCardano0.46220.445835-3.54%0.513+10.99%0.0064✓1.2846.7M2022-08-09
SPELLSpellEthereum0.001010.000974142-3.53%0.001479+46.46%0.2827✗1.292.7M2022-08-09
SUSHISushiEthereum1.321.2738-3.50%1.43+8.33%0.0413✓1.50784k2022-08-09
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.4113.9122-3.45%17.58+22.00%0.0907✗1.371.5M2022-08-09
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0028390.002742-3.40%0.003356+18.21%0.0935✗1.031.3M2022-08-09
KSMKusamaHydration49.9448.2505-3.38%60.26+20.66%0.0987✗1.18333k2022-08-09
RADRadworksEthereum1.711.6527-3.35%2.63+53.80%0.3450✗1.14114k2022-08-09
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010630.010275-3.34%0.00987-7.15%0.1484✓1.035.5M2022-08-09
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5260.508576-3.31%0.67+27.38%0.1299✗1.3999k2022-08-09
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4170.403214-3.31%0.519+24.46%0.1357✗1.1111k2022-08-09
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.3856.1741-3.30%7.825+22.55%0.0949✗1.355.5M2022-08-09
XECeCashnative0.000040350.000039017-3.30%0.0000434+7.56%0.0222✓1.232.4M2022-08-09
XLMStellarStellar0.1073790.103952-3.19%0.122043+13.66%0.0541✗1.019.2M2022-08-09
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos8.7718.4923-3.18%11.389+29.85%0.1534✗1.3313.1M2022-08-09
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.78420.759642-3.13%1.1027+40.61%0.2644✗1.034.0M2022-08-09
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0672080.065105-3.13%0.069028+2.71%0.0682✓1.212.3M2022-08-09
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV54.24752.5535-3.12%59.719+10.09%0.0398✗0.84488k2022-08-09
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04660.045146-3.12%0.0642+37.77%0.2092✗1.36897k2022-08-09
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.484.342-3.08%5.85+30.58%0.2290✗0.66795k2022-08-09
IMXImmutableEthereum0.91270.884637-3.07%1.1074+21.33%0.0722✗1.452.0M2022-08-09
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.101730.098604-3.07%0.08946-12.06%0.2023✓1.00347k2022-08-09
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.266.0681-3.07%8.51+35.94%0.2871✗0.49815k2022-08-09
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.05180.05023-3.03%0.0811+56.56%0.3978✗0.77209k2022-08-09
FLOWFlownative1.6411.5915-3.02%2.997+82.63%0.5075✗1.19297k2022-08-09
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.4845.3198-2.99%8.044+46.68%0.2931✗1.152.2M2022-08-09
UMAUMAEthereum2.6152.5376-2.96%2.945+12.62%0.0272✓1.16969k2022-08-09
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche19.1618.5931-2.96%27.43+43.16%0.2292✗1.5227.8M2022-08-09
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6490.62981-2.96%0.716+10.32%0.0363✓1.57214k2022-08-09
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0067280.006531-2.93%0.006181-8.13%0.1162✓0.5897k2022-08-09
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,850.6520,246.02-2.90%23,158.27+11.07%0.0294✓1.00472.7M2022-08-09
XYMSymbolnative0.0518980.050398-2.89%0.055293+6.54%0.0251✓0.6415k2022-08-09
MOVRMoonriverBase12.042511.6983-2.86%17.0389+41.49%0.2510✗1.19316k2022-08-09
STXStacksnative0.40560.394061-2.84%0.4778+17.80%0.0596✗1.27354k2022-08-09
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.09890.096098-2.83%0.1336+35.09%0.2442✗0.81157k2022-08-09
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.41092.3432-2.81%2.8368+17.67%0.0846✗1.021.3M2022-08-09
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.3151.2784-2.78%1.5258+16.03%0.0334✗1.37685k2022-08-09
QTUMQtumQtum2.94282.8611-2.77%4.0145+36.42%0.2232✗1.1030k2022-08-09
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.80e-73.69e-7-2.77%3.29e-7-13.34%0.2315✓1.11543k2022-08-09
DOTPolkadotPolkadot6.8496.6605-2.75%8.902+29.98%0.1600✗1.2411.3M2022-08-09
CELLCellframeEthereum0.25890.251776-2.75%0.4453+72.00%0.4499✗1.1531k2022-08-09
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.033.922-2.68%5.51+36.72%0.2724✗0.64689k2022-08-09
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.2392.1792-2.67%2.744+22.55%0.0814✗1.4266k2022-08-09
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.1916.026-2.66%8.75+41.33%0.2388✗1.2820.5M2022-08-09
STEEMSteemnative0.23610.229868-2.64%0.2508+6.23%0.0388✓1.20695k2022-08-09
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.82511.7773-2.62%3.2816+79.80%0.5239✗0.85954k2022-08-09
GLMGolemEthereum0.2550.248382-2.60%0.2601+2.00%0.0713✓1.1262k2022-08-09
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana2.92.825-2.59%3.927+35.41%0.2496✗0.76583k2022-08-09
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.051090.049772-2.58%0.10285+101.31%0.5699✗1.49847k2022-08-09
WOOWOOEthereum0.17450.170025-2.56%0.236+35.24%0.1812✗1.403,2022022-08-09
MINAMina Protocolnative0.670.65303-2.53%0.954+42.39%0.2437✗1.29157k2022-08-09
UOSUltraEthereum0.282550.275408-2.53%0.3489+23.48%0.1033✗1.27464k2022-08-09
AMPAmpEthereum0.009160.00893-2.51%0.00825-9.93%0.1776✓0.941.2M2022-08-09
DASHDashDash45.1644.0285-2.51%52.97+17.29%0.0703✗1.09739k2022-08-09
CVCCivicEthereum0.14970.145978-2.49%0.1548+3.41%0.0748✓1.27102k2022-08-09
COTICOTIEthereum0.09720.094818-2.45%0.1129+16.15%0.0342✗1.34696k2022-08-09
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.742.6732-2.44%4.387+60.11%0.3787✗1.11552k2022-08-09
GALAGALAEthereum0.0530.051749-2.36%0.0599+13.02%0.0102✓1.49118k2022-08-09
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006830.006671-2.33%0.00871+27.53%0.1614✗1.00407k2022-08-09
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04320.042198-2.32%0.0475+9.95%0.0248✓1.369,9202022-08-09
BFCBifrostEthereum0.057710.056383-2.30%0.08598+48.99%0.2757✗1.3927k2022-08-09
PROPropyEthereum0.850.830662-2.28%0.78-8.24%0.1382✓0.72129k2022-08-09
MANADecentralandEthereum0.868830.849065-2.27%1.0198+17.37%0.0418✗1.35547k2022-08-09
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10470.102331-2.26%0.127+21.30%0.1121✗0.997,0862022-08-09
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.11940.116769-2.20%0.1765+47.82%0.3086✗1.004.0M2022-08-09
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10830.105978-2.14%0.1232+13.76%0.0351✗1.10401k2022-08-09
XTZTezosTezos1.62581.591-2.14%1.8057+11.07%0.0075✓1.28555k2022-08-09
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.29710.290806-2.12%0.3286+10.60%0.0019✓1.183.0M2022-08-09
SOLSolanaSolana36.6935.9172-2.11%40.35+9.98%0.0211✓1.3190.8M2022-08-09
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.19860.194425-2.10%0.2261+13.85%0.0033✓1.47146k2022-08-09
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum20,768.9020,333.89-2.09%23,209.60+11.75%0.0286✗0.9946k2022-08-09
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.019920.019505-2.08%0.0175-12.15%0.1893✓0.77414k2022-08-09
ZENHorizenBase17.0216.6662-2.08%19.92+17.04%0.0307✗1.4176k2022-08-09
CHZChilizEthereum0.10520.103047-2.05%0.1457+38.50%0.2290✗1.12551k2022-08-09
BTTCBTTC8.90e-78.72e-7-2.01%9.70e-7+8.99%0.0183✓0.845.7M2022-08-09
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8060.790136-1.97%1.018+26.30%0.1685✗0.811.6M2022-08-09
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum9.49.2153-1.96%15.57+65.64%0.3723✗1.451.1M2022-08-09
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.09990.097943-1.96%0.1396+39.74%0.2133✗1.342.8M2022-08-09
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.86271.8264-1.95%2.2956+23.24%0.0984✗1.2437k2022-08-09
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6380.625592-1.94%0.808+26.65%0.1591✗0.92419k2022-08-09
XMRMoneroMonero129.44127.0053-1.88%158.78+22.67%0.1025✗1.151.3M2022-08-09
LSKLiskEthereum1.07361.0537-1.86%1.1689+8.87%0.0119✓1.1065k2022-08-09
LCXLCXEthereum0.06310.061928-1.86%0.0589-6.66%0.2021✓1.45322k2022-08-09
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.028520.027994-1.85%0.03156+10.66%0.0165✓1.3024k2022-08-09
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.521.4923-1.83%1.71+12.50%0.0178✓1.47284k2022-08-09
XVSVenusEthereum5.15.0077-1.81%6.51+27.65%0.1080✗1.471.3M2022-08-09
LRCLoopringEthereum0.39140.384314-1.81%0.4499+14.95%0.0148✓1.3694k2022-08-09
SCSiacoinnative0.004080.004007-1.79%0.00451+10.54%0.0241✓1.36169k2022-08-09
ETCEthereum Classicnative15.1314.8683-1.73%36.4+140.58%0.7717✗1.181.7M2022-08-09
GITCOINGITCOIN2.38942.3495-1.67%2.8956+21.19%0.0357✗1.654,8022022-08-09
NANOnanopayBase0.8800540.86608-1.59%1.0376+17.91%0.0728✗1.0393k2022-08-09
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.49330.48566-1.55%0.6234+26.37%0.1225✗1.21634k2022-08-09
ETHEthereumEthereum1,167.681,150.12-1.50%1,703.35+45.87%0.2699✗1.17339.3M2022-08-09
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0125130.012338-1.40%0.015341+22.60%0.1304✗0.831.4M2022-08-09
KCSKuCoinnative9.279.1418-1.38%10.536+13.66%0.0243✗1.123.1M2022-08-09
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3125850.308285-1.38%0.344184+10.11%0.0226✓1.262.3M2022-08-09
LPTLivepeerEthereum9.159.0288-1.32%11.36+24.15%0.1070✗1.17307k2022-08-09
LTCLitecoinLitecoin52.0951.4302-1.27%59.18+13.61%0.0166✗1.1818.8M2022-08-09
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2740.27089-1.14%0.328+19.71%0.0843✗1.02600k2022-08-09
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.124530.123255-1.02%0.17382+39.58%0.1735✗1.62198k2022-08-09
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.63775.58-1.02%5.0218-10.92%0.1250✓0.19291k2022-08-09
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4392.4152-0.98%2.539+4.10%0.0468✓0.92148k2022-08-09
ZECZcashZcash59.6359.1071-0.88%79.81+33.84%0.1617✗1.321.8M2022-08-09
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.020120.019944-0.88%0.02632+30.82%0.1653✗1.0798k2022-08-09
AAVEAaveEthereum77.7377.0756-0.84%97.96+26.03%0.0672✗1.648.9M2022-08-09
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.07870.078289-0.52%0.0977+24.14%0.0895✗1.267,1372022-08-09
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash106.77106.5475-0.21%134.7+26.16%0.1152✗1.145.7M2022-08-09
NEXONEXOEthereum0.6220.621103-0.14%0.81+30.23%0.1373✗1.22952k2022-08-09
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.48250.483031+0.11%0.5918+22.65%0.0855✓1.12252k2022-08-09
TRXTRONTron0.0676050.06771+0.16%0.068465+1.27%0.0761✗0.83611k2022-08-09
GTGateEthereum3.91893.9313+0.32%4.7738+21.81%0.1192✓0.711.2M2022-08-09
SUNSun TokenTron0.0056630.005715+0.93%0.006485+14.53%0.0258✓0.963,1492022-08-09
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.