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2022-07-06 · +30d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 181 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0506
181 of 181 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+9.57%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
35.9%
in alpha space · 13.3% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+13.52%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (181 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
SUNSun TokenTron0.0060970.006211+1.88%0.006334+3.88%0.1101✗1.023,9102022-08-05
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.4920.498836+1.39%0.5836+18.62%0.0127✓1.14208k2022-08-05
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0015880.001599+0.69%0.001677+5.60%0.0832✗1.0312k2022-08-05
AAVEAaveEthereum62.9463.3391+0.63%103.27+64.08%0.2819✓1.637.6M2022-08-05
GTGateEthereum4.01424.0315+0.43%4.7375+18.02%0.0681✓0.731.2M2022-08-05
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash105.86106.0733+0.20%141.93+34.07%0.1467✓1.146.0M2022-08-05
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.07570.075792+0.12%0.1005+32.76%0.1229✓1.267,2862022-08-05
TRXTRONTron0.0675040.067537+0.05%0.069837+3.46%0.0752✗0.86546k2022-08-05
NEXONEXOEthereum0.6370.634939-0.32%0.753+18.21%0.0162✗1.22952k2022-08-05
ZECZcashZcash58.1657.8181-0.59%69.15+18.90%0.0070✗1.361.9M2022-08-05
KCSKuCoinnative8.9798.9087-0.78%10.44+16.27%0.0140✗1.143.1M2022-08-05
LTCLitecoinLitecoin50.2949.8234-0.93%62.49+24.26%0.0760✗1.1918.8M2022-08-05
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.12610.12483-1.01%0.17777+40.98%0.1458✗1.64169k2022-08-05
XMRMoneroMonero125.33123.8898-1.15%161.87+29.16%0.1188✗1.171.4M2022-08-05
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.50550.499341-1.22%0.6718+32.90%0.1379✗1.25634k2022-08-05
LPTLivepeerEthereum8.698.5806-1.26%12.03+38.43%0.1874✗1.19374k2022-08-05
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.019580.019328-1.29%0.02241+14.45%0.0214✗1.0094k2022-08-05
ETHEthereumEthereum1,185.611,170.12-1.31%1,736.79+46.49%0.2461✗1.17339.3M2022-08-05
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.80465.728-1.32%4.9519-14.69%0.1729✓0.22291k2022-08-05
ZENHorizenBase15.2915.0747-1.41%18.43+20.54%0.0211✗1.4267k2022-08-05
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0120590.011877-1.51%0.016324+35.37%0.2116✗0.841.5M2022-08-05
LSKLiskEthereum1.0591.0428-1.52%1.196+12.94%0.0055✓1.1259k2022-08-05
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3076780.302857-1.57%0.358859+16.63%0.0078✓1.282.2M2022-08-05
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2830.278351-1.64%0.337+19.08%0.0593✗1.04639k2022-08-05
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.461.435-1.71%1.77+21.23%0.0205✗1.49386k2022-08-05
BTTCBTTC8.70e-78.55e-7-1.71%9.80e-7+12.64%0.0288✗0.855.5M2022-08-05
MOVRMoonriverBase12.311112.0963-1.74%15.3166+24.41%0.0808✗1.22316k2022-08-05
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.27550.270668-1.75%0.3403+23.52%0.0747✗1.223.0M2022-08-05
CHZChilizEthereum0.09960.097844-1.76%0.1459+46.49%0.2540✗1.15560k2022-08-05
NANOnanopayBase0.9111820.89485-1.79%1.0527+15.53%0.0272✗1.07100k2022-08-05
XVSVenusEthereum5.064.9686-1.81%6.65+31.42%0.0990✗1.521.5M2022-08-05
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.09860.096795-1.83%0.131+32.86%0.1297✗1.362.9M2022-08-05
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.02040.020026-1.83%0.01819-10.83%0.1938✓0.77417k2022-08-05
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.442.3946-1.86%2.47+1.23%0.0893✓0.95157k2022-08-05
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.11680.114559-1.92%0.1507+29.02%0.1476✗1.004.0M2022-08-05
SUSHISushiEthereum1.151.1274-1.97%1.51+31.30%0.0964✗1.54749k2022-08-05
ETCEthereum Classicnative15.1814.8812-1.97%38.27+152.11%0.7932✗1.192.0M2022-08-05
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.19060.186838-1.97%0.2419+26.92%0.0720✗1.47155k2022-08-05
SOLSolanaSolana37.0136.2689-2.00%40.54+9.54%0.0584✓1.3492.9M2022-08-05
SCSiacoinnative0.003870.003792-2.02%0.0047+21.45%0.0378✗1.39167k2022-08-05
GLMGolemEthereum0.24290.237913-2.05%0.2713+11.69%0.0156✓1.1671k2022-08-05
LRCLoopringEthereum0.40740.398875-2.09%0.438+7.51%0.0844✓1.4096k2022-08-05
CVCCivicEthereum0.14280.139757-2.13%0.164+14.85%0.0060✓1.31112k2022-08-05
COTICOTIEthereum0.09280.09079-2.17%0.1139+22.74%0.0480✗1.41762k2022-08-05
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum20,413.5019,967.27-2.19%23,205.30+13.68%0.0253✗0.9943k2022-08-05
XTZTezosTezos1.54331.5094-2.20%1.8665+20.94%0.0480✗1.30654k2022-08-05
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.83761.797-2.21%2.3513+27.95%0.1079✗1.2760k2022-08-05
ASTRAstarEthereum0.0430.042046-2.22%0.0495+15.12%0.0143✓1.4011k2022-08-05
LCXLCXEthereum0.06070.059342-2.24%0.0624+2.80%0.1357✓1.47329k2022-08-05
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006680.00653-2.25%0.00904+35.33%0.1969✗1.01417k2022-08-05
UOSUltraEthereum0.281130.274614-2.32%0.32566+15.84%0.0070✓1.29467k2022-08-05
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.09270.090533-2.34%0.0739-20.28%0.3036✓0.79183k2022-08-05
MANADecentralandEthereum0.914590.893049-2.36%1.0756+17.60%0.0112✓1.38586k2022-08-05
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.040920.039932-2.41%0.04533+10.78%0.0005✓1.003,1732022-08-05
DOTPolkadotPolkadot6.9156.7462-2.44%8.81+27.40%0.1078✗1.2512.9M2022-08-05
GALAGALAEthereum0.05420.052865-2.46%0.061+12.55%0.0492✓1.52136k2022-08-05
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.051580.050301-2.48%0.08336+61.61%0.3137✗1.511.0M2022-08-05
AMPAmpEthereum0.009130.008899-2.53%0.00843-7.67%0.1769✓0.971.2M2022-08-05
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.422.3579-2.56%3.0096+24.36%0.1082✗1.071.5M2022-08-05
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6240.60799-2.57%0.833+33.49%0.1963✗0.93412k2022-08-05
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8850.862178-2.58%1.159+30.96%0.1884✗0.851.6M2022-08-05
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.063.9548-2.59%5.7+40.39%0.2825✗0.65916k2022-08-05
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,542.6720,010.56-2.59%23,320.81+13.52%0.0262✓1.00493.8M2022-08-05
PROPropyEthereum0.850.82793-2.60%0.74-12.94%0.2057✓0.74152k2022-08-05
COMPCompoundEthereum4644.8029-2.60%61.31+33.28%0.1342✗1.4128k2022-08-05
UMAUMAEthereum2.6422.5731-2.61%3.047+15.33%0.0160✓1.211.0M2022-08-05
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0069250.006743-2.63%0.006749-2.54%0.0780✓0.62114k2022-08-05
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana2.832.7555-2.63%3.946+39.43%0.2586✗0.79742k2022-08-05
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.028340.027586-2.66%0.03358+18.49%0.0289✗1.3224k2022-08-05
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6720.654123-2.66%0.848+26.19%0.0921✗1.32169k2022-08-05
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.79611.7479-2.68%3.4602+92.65%0.5761✗0.841.1M2022-08-05
QTUMQtumQtum2.87732.7997-2.70%4.0794+41.78%0.2335✗1.1332k2022-08-05
STXStacksnative0.3980.387204-2.71%0.4918+23.57%0.0753✗1.29318k2022-08-05
DASHDashDash44.242.9946-2.73%52.4+18.55%0.0572✗1.11739k2022-08-05
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.75810.737326-2.74%1.1895+56.91%0.3433✗1.064.0M2022-08-05
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.22320.217-2.78%0.2612+17.03%0.0197✓1.31233k2022-08-05
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.3276.1502-2.79%7.878+24.51%0.0834✗1.2926.6M2022-08-05
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10610.103113-2.82%0.1255+18.28%0.0546✗1.12437k2022-08-05
UNIUniswapEthereum5.3425.1912-2.82%8.972+67.95%0.3746✗1.365.5M2022-08-05
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.792.7112-2.83%4.154+48.89%0.2834✗1.13577k2022-08-05
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum10.269.9673-2.85%17.22+67.84%0.3583✗1.491.2M2022-08-05
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.79e-73.68e-7-2.89%3.48e-7-8.12%0.1942✓1.09590k2022-08-05
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.256.0655-2.95%8.9+42.40%0.3196✗0.50910k2022-08-05
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.5595.3947-2.96%8.341+50.04%0.2865✗1.182.3M2022-08-05
CELLCellframeEthereum0.25980.252111-2.96%0.4379+68.55%0.3975✗1.2227k2022-08-05
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0685160.066484-2.97%0.069799+1.87%0.1071✓1.232.1M2022-08-05
BFCBifrostEthereum0.055720.054046-3.01%0.0866+55.42%0.2974✗1.3728k2022-08-05
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche19.1518.5745-3.01%24.97+30.39%0.1023✗1.5330.2M2022-08-05
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000010470.000010154-3.02%0.00001212+15.76%0.0172✓1.261.0M2022-08-05
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.54.3625-3.06%6.06+34.67%0.2448✗0.66914k2022-08-05
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.12510.121267-3.06%0.1383+10.55%0.0433✓1.3832k2022-08-05
FLOWFlownative1.61.5496-3.15%2.732+70.75%0.4138✗1.21304k2022-08-05
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.002720.002634-3.16%0.003213+18.12%0.0631✗1.071.4M2022-08-05
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum5.6245.4457-3.17%8.382+49.04%0.2630✗1.335.5M2022-08-05
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.39261.3484-3.18%1.6+14.89%0.0053✓1.31750k2022-08-05
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010250.009924-3.18%0.0103+0.49%0.0983✓1.075.9M2022-08-05
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos8.8868.6028-3.19%10.966+23.41%0.0711✗1.3516.6M2022-08-05
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6770.655425-3.19%0.758+11.96%0.0605✓1.62242k2022-08-05
SKLSKALEEthereum0.0470.045494-3.20%0.0674+43.40%0.2186✗1.381.0M2022-08-05
XLMStellarStellar0.1092830.105774-3.21%0.118541+8.47%0.0158✓1.029.5M2022-08-05
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.540.522531-3.24%0.708+31.11%0.1242✗1.4299k2022-08-05
STEEMSteemnative0.21510.20812-3.24%0.2623+21.94%0.0789✗1.20695k2022-08-05
SPELLSpellEthereum0.00095920.000927942-3.26%0.001125+17.32%0.0239✓1.332.8M2022-08-05
XECeCashnative0.000042620.000041229-3.26%0.00004553+6.83%0.0613✓1.272.6M2022-08-05
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.2972.2219-3.27%2.845+23.86%0.0663✗1.4367k2022-08-05
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV54.63652.8191-3.33%62.05+13.57%0.0531✗0.85756k2022-08-05
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.31060.300146-3.37%0.3589+15.55%0.0261✓1.209.6M2022-08-05
XYMSymbolnative0.05170.049947-3.39%0.055256+6.88%0.0184✓0.6519k2022-08-05
BANDBandEthereum1.3471.3007-3.44%1.831+35.93%0.1554✗1.47471k2022-08-05
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.7714.2515-3.51%18.43+24.78%0.0820✗1.381.5M2022-08-05
ADACardanoCardano0.46190.445592-3.53%0.5176+12.06%0.0161✓1.3162.0M2022-08-05
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.05110.049277-3.57%0.0745+45.79%0.3151✗0.77213k2022-08-05
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.2912.2076-3.64%2.752+20.12%0.0043✓1.7097k2022-08-05
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18160.174981-3.64%0.2201+21.20%0.1026✗1.002,7282022-08-05
FTTFTXEthereum26.2825.3084-3.70%30.76+17.05%0.0755✗0.9412.9M2022-08-05
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10610.102174-3.70%0.1296+22.15%0.1098✗1.016,3732022-08-05
KSMKusamaHydration51.2549.3528-3.70%63.5+23.90%0.0996✗1.20472k2022-08-05
QNTQuantEthereum61.9759.6657-3.72%107.26+73.08%0.4622✗0.982.2M2022-08-05
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.12142.0414-3.77%3.2379+52.63%0.3538✗0.851.5M2022-08-05
XVGVergenative0.003090.002973-3.77%0.00385+24.60%0.0843✗1.37664k2022-08-05
APEApeCoinEthereum5.0144.8241-3.79%7.573+51.04%0.2220✗1.8116.6M2022-08-05
WOOWOOEthereum0.18660.179497-3.81%0.2306+23.58%0.0740✗1.393,3092022-08-05
RADRadworksEthereum1.661.5964-3.83%2.51+51.20%0.3082✗1.14133k2022-08-05
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.070490.067777-3.85%0.07814+10.85%0.0373✓0.832,3812022-08-05
HIVEHivenative0.45550.437118-4.04%0.5908+29.70%0.1366✗1.301.1M2022-08-05
ELAElastosEthereum1.4671.4077-4.04%3.073+109.48%0.6539✗1.00167k2022-08-05
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2611.2097-4.07%1.432+13.56%0.0080✓1.393.3M2022-08-05
DODODODOEthereum0.13350.127976-4.14%0.1844+38.13%0.1999✗1.302.9M2022-08-05
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.028860.02763-4.26%0.03111+7.80%0.0082✓1.002,0362022-08-05
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.3771.318-4.28%2.025+47.06%0.2405✗1.49169k2022-08-05
XEMNEMnative0.0407620.038981-4.37%0.052815+29.57%0.1519✗1.2014k2022-08-05
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0206570.019717-4.55%0.023038+11.53%0.0221✓1.059552022-08-05
TRBTellor TributesEthereum11.911.3539-4.59%32.59+173.87%0.8497✗1.61463k2022-08-05
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.2611.2029-4.61%1.35+7.06%0.0373✓1.201.7M2022-08-05
IMXImmutableEthereum1.01390.966337-4.69%1.1864+17.01%0.0128✓1.522.2M2022-08-05
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15260.14542-4.71%0.1787+17.10%0.0327✓1.37437k2022-08-05
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03710.035346-4.73%0.0451+21.56%0.0813✗1.28168k2022-08-05
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.6122.4875-4.77%4.061+55.47%0.2613✗1.803.7M2022-08-05
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0160490.015277-4.81%0.020288+26.41%0.2109✗0.57357k2022-08-05
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.042.8928-4.84%3.17+4.28%0.0353✓1.0082k2022-08-05
CRVCurve DAOEthereum0.960.91244-4.95%1.4417+50.18%0.2807✗1.394.4M2022-08-05
DKAdKargoEthereum0.044410.042208-4.96%0.05101+14.86%0.0683✗0.957,5132022-08-05
AUCTIONBounceEthereum5.645.3583-4.99%10.63+88.48%0.5153✗1.34323k2022-08-05
YFIyearn.financeEthereum6,308.795,992.71-5.01%12,281.30+94.67%0.5489✗1.334.5M2022-08-05
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.713.5239-5.02%4.72+27.22%0.2082✗0.662.2M2022-08-05
C98Coin98Ethereum0.50930.483283-5.11%0.5966+17.14%0.0838✗1.0093k2022-08-05
FIDABonfidaSolana0.3930.372855-5.13%0.57+45.04%0.2821✗1.1211k2022-08-05
FORTFortaEthereum0.25040.237126-5.30%0.3054+21.96%0.1262✗1.00650k2022-08-05
GITCOINGITCOIN2.4982.3613-5.47%3.1425+25.80%0.0718✗1.695,9182022-08-05
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04750.044885-5.51%0.0559+17.68%0.0600✗1.26255k2022-08-05
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26130.246464-5.68%0.2615+0.08%0.0676✓1.0067k2022-08-05
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.0020.945055-5.68%1.0748+7.27%0.0337✓1.28252k2022-08-05
BORABORAKlay Token0.298480.281398-5.72%0.3677+23.19%0.0909✗1.393,1392022-08-05
DIADIAEthereum0.394340.371622-5.76%0.47865+21.38%0.1630✗0.7157k2022-08-05
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.512.3651-5.77%3.17+26.29%0.0883✗1.61298k2022-08-05
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.441390.415757-5.81%0.42676-3.31%0.1359✓1.28155k2022-08-05
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.778160.732761-5.83%1.0569+35.82%0.2615✗0.832702022-08-05
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2820.265517-5.85%0.228-19.15%0.3590✓1.631.1M2022-08-05
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.025120.023621-5.97%0.03628+44.43%0.2087✗1.7421.5M2022-08-05
CBKCobakEthereum0.94080.88206-6.24%1.1532+22.58%0.1188✗1.182,3312022-08-05
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.4493.2281-6.41%5.341+54.86%0.4266✗0.612.6M2022-08-05
STORJStorjEthereum0.7020.656466-6.49%0.69514-0.98%0.1509✓1.6499k2022-08-05
AVTAventusEthereum1.481.3826-6.58%1.58+6.76%0.0948✗0.30648k2022-08-05
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.8261.7056-6.59%2.333+27.77%0.1244✗1.49127k2022-08-05
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.843.5755-6.89%5.69+48.18%0.3837✗0.641.0M2022-08-05
OPTIMOptimism0.5430.505558-6.90%1.946+258.38%1.1299✗1.721.6M2022-08-05
FISStafiEthereum0.35930.334451-6.92%0.3903+8.63%0.0276✓1.006412022-08-05
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.09910.092202-6.96%0.0907-8.48%0.1870✓1.34171k2022-08-05
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8490.788304-7.15%0.875+3.06%0.1439✓1.9615.6M2022-08-05
GMTGMTEthereum0.9650.893007-7.46%0.939-2.69%0.1824✓1.83774k2022-08-05
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.9552.7252-7.77%3.911+32.35%0.2798✗0.643.6M2022-08-05
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.44970.411119-8.58%0.4587+2.00%0.1051✓1.69205k2022-08-05
API3Api3Ethereum2.0841.8927-9.18%2.195+5.33%0.0281✓1.391.1M2022-08-05
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.2515.6419-9.32%21.35+23.77%0.1763✗1.06336k2022-08-05
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.6940.627656-9.56%0.824+18.73%0.0811✓1.512,9032022-08-05
ORCAOrcaSolana0.79990.717174-10.34%0.9869+23.38%0.1101✗1.65101k2022-08-05
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.192.8423-10.90%5.02+57.37%0.4800✗0.70846k2022-08-05
LUNATerraTerra 20.00011220.000098205-12.47%0.00010097-10.01%0.2161✓1.92920k2022-08-05
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.240490.209106-13.05%0.19602-18.49%0.1915✓1.008412022-08-05
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.09490.082258-13.32%0.0689-27.40%0.3259✓1.1794k2022-08-05
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.441920.377021-14.69%0.42795-3.16%0.0755✓1.591.8M2022-08-05
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.