8=======>

2022-06-19 · +30d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 177 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1316
175 of 177 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+6.98%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
53.7%
in alpha space · 41.1% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+13.83%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (177 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.027080.024644-9.00%0.02588-4.43%0.1836✓1.7940.8M2022-07-19
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.52020.474699-8.75%0.47488-8.71%0.2195✓1.703.5M2022-07-19
AVTAventusEthereum1.881.7187-8.58%1.58-15.96%0.1394✓0.43185k2022-07-19
LUNATerraTerra 20.00006110.000056103-8.18%0.00010632+74.01%0.3671✗2.101.6M2022-07-19
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8170.755406-7.54%0.821+0.49%0.1668✓1.9329.5M2022-07-19
C98Coin98Ethereum0.49440.459823-6.99%0.5523+11.71%0.0537✓1.00117k2022-07-19
OGOG Fan TokenSolana2.7022.5286-6.42%3.918+45.00%0.3625✗0.584.3M2022-07-19
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.9992.8191-6.00%3.197+6.60%0.0352✓0.704.9M2022-07-19
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2610.247227-5.28%0.227-13.03%0.2918✓1.591.2M2022-07-19
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.493.3118-5.11%3.74+7.16%0.0079✓1.00327k2022-07-19
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.012.8688-4.69%4.01+33.22%0.2363✗0.761.4M2022-07-19
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.145080.138404-4.60%0.19056+31.35%0.1902✗1.001,0532022-07-19
XEMNEMnative0.039850.038139-4.29%0.052329+31.31%0.1537✗1.2626k2022-07-19
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.372.2699-4.23%2.7+13.92%0.0342✓1.60301k2022-07-19
OPTIMOptimism0.5080.487234-4.09%0.721+41.93%0.2623✗1.006.2M2022-07-19
CBKCobakEthereum0.868770.833614-4.05%1.0895+25.40%0.1102✗1.226,0082022-07-19
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.776790.746783-3.86%1.0077+29.72%0.1924✗0.839712022-07-19
GMTGMTEthereum0.7490.720311-3.83%1.054+40.72%0.1494✗1.791.5M2022-07-19
DKAdKargoEthereum0.04620.04451-3.66%0.04895+5.95%0.0315✓0.9814k2022-07-19
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.553.426-3.49%4.08+14.93%0.0946✗0.621.9M2022-07-19
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.5143.3954-3.38%3.967+12.89%0.0681✗0.684.9M2022-07-19
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.07820.075566-3.37%0.0953+21.87%0.0463✗1.43281k2022-07-19
GITCOINGITCOIN2.31762.2397-3.36%2.6913+16.12%0.0384✓1.7115k2022-07-19
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0212440.02054-3.32%0.022948+8.02%0.0323✓1.119,2332022-07-19
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.261.219-3.25%1.41+11.90%0.0404✓1.443.8M2022-07-19
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.023850.02309-3.19%0.02916+22.26%0.1039✗1.003,2752022-07-19
TRBTellor TributesEthereum10.3410.0162-3.13%16.88+63.25%0.3116✗1.62322k2022-07-19
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.13532.069-3.10%2.3765+11.30%0.0275✓0.862.6M2022-07-19
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV60.2758.4202-3.07%58.051-3.68%0.1174✓0.861.3M2022-07-19
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.3660.355283-2.93%0.869+137.43%0.6949✗1.543,1292022-07-19
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.75680.735269-2.84%0.838+10.73%0.0158✓1.132.8M2022-07-19
BORABORAKlay Token0.291050.282788-2.84%0.32256+10.83%0.0505✓1.419,0962022-07-19
CHRChromiaEthereum0.17140.166659-2.77%0.2131+24.33%0.1163✗1.002,3532022-07-19
DIADIAEthereum0.382090.372189-2.59%0.45034+17.86%0.0986✗0.71240k2022-07-19
XYMSymbolnative0.0507010.049398-2.57%0.054862+8.21%0.0199✓0.6664k2022-07-19
DODODODOEthereum0.11990.116857-2.54%0.1668+39.12%0.1756✗1.394.4M2022-07-19
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0147820.014417-2.47%0.016982+14.88%0.0815✗0.64469k2022-07-19
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15150.14795-2.34%0.1743+15.05%0.0169✓1.40917k2022-07-19
WOOWOOEthereum0.17040.16643-2.33%0.2147+26.00%0.0871✗1.293,4882022-07-19
ADACardanoCardano0.4840.47317-2.24%0.5151+6.43%0.0912✓1.3676.9M2022-07-19
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.572.5131-2.22%3.183+23.85%0.0931✗1.11624k2022-07-19
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.296.1613-2.05%6.98+10.97%0.0600✗0.501.8M2022-07-19
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana43.9241-1.90%4.48+12.00%0.0453✗0.671.3M2022-07-19
API3Api3Ethereum1.3981.372-1.86%2.003+43.28%0.2084✗1.31932k2022-07-19
FTTFTXEthereum25.0624.6035-1.82%29.12+16.20%0.0475✗0.9310.1M2022-07-19
XLMStellarStellar0.1146080.112664-1.70%0.118529+3.42%0.0860✓1.0611.6M2022-07-19
BANDBandEthereum1.3831.3601-1.66%1.619+17.06%0.0200✓1.50407k2022-07-19
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.040750.040077-1.65%–pending––1.072,6002022-07-19
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.5926.4834-1.65%7.258+10.10%0.0562✓1.3141.5M2022-07-19
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.75521.7281-1.54%2.1461+22.27%0.1028✗0.882.5M2022-07-19
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.31420.309411-1.52%0.372+18.40%0.0295✗1.1913.5M2022-07-19
RADRadworksEthereum1.511.4877-1.48%1.85+22.52%0.0696✗1.15270k2022-07-19
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum5.485.3999-1.46%7.359+34.29%0.1327✗1.3711.1M2022-07-19
ARPAARPAEthereum0.02810.027705-1.40%0.0399+41.99%0.2000✗1.27206k2022-07-19
STORJStorjEthereum0.528790.521371-1.40%0.71319+34.87%0.1244✗1.4664k2022-07-19
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.12190.120241-1.36%0.0935-23.30%0.3753✓0.96246k2022-07-19
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04680.046168-1.35%0.0465-0.64%0.1793✓1.4414k2022-07-19
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009890.009761-1.31%0.00995+0.61%0.1021✓0.949.7M2022-07-19
FIDABonfidaSolana0.3340.329654-1.30%0.523+56.59%0.3058✗1.2016k2022-07-19
CTKShentuOsmosis0.810.799576-1.29%0.834+2.96%0.0674✓0.851.9M2022-07-19
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana2.882.8431-1.28%3.347+16.22%0.0574✗0.821.5M2022-07-19
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.03540.034951-1.27%0.0518+46.33%0.2177✗1.36334k2022-07-19
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.0922.0673-1.18%2.971+42.02%0.1269✗1.822.4M2022-07-19
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.2092.1834-1.16%2.442+10.55%0.0743✓1.4488k2022-07-19
PROPropyEthereum0.890.87977-1.15%0.81-8.99%0.1802✓0.75183k2022-07-19
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum8.918.8121-1.10%10.96+23.01%0.0242✗1.502.2M2022-07-19
AUCTIONBounceEthereum4.544.4906-1.09%6.12+34.80%0.1452✗1.27400k2022-07-19
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05090.05035-1.08%0.0558+9.63%0.0777✓1.391.7M2022-07-19
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.337080.333668-1.01%0.4271+26.71%0.0815✗1.28110k2022-07-19
LCXLCXEthereum0.06150.060882-1.00%0.0745+21.14%0.0067✓1.51431k2022-07-19
NMRNumeraireEthereum8.057.9728-0.96%14.73+82.98%0.4889✗0.96244k2022-07-19
IMXImmutableEthereum0.7780.770873-0.92%1.038+33.42%0.0981✗1.543.3M2022-07-19
BFCBifrostEthereum0.04680.046378-0.90%0.06343+35.53%0.1378✗1.3570k2022-07-19
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.019570.019402-0.86%0.0215+9.86%0.0296✓1.02129k2022-07-19
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.485.4333-0.85%6.047+10.35%0.0587✓1.282.5M2022-07-19
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum13.7813.6647-0.84%16.84+22.21%0.0271✗1.401.8M2022-07-19
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.027740.027516-0.81%0.03152+13.63%0.0389✓1.3519k2022-07-19
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.4532.4335-0.79%2.5891+5.55%0.0737✓1.052.8M2022-07-19
HIVEHivenative0.37320.370316-0.77%0.4814+28.99%0.0865✗1.361.2M2022-07-19
XECeCashnative0.000037590.0000373-0.77%0.00004344+15.56%0.0132✓1.282.7M2022-07-19
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0064560.006411-0.70%0.007383+14.36%0.0434✗0.76145k2022-07-19
MANADecentralandEthereum0.826380.820936-0.66%1.0012+21.15%0.0243✗1.34695k2022-07-19
STEEMSteemnative0.20010.198795-0.65%0.2258+12.84%0.0338✓1.24669k2022-07-19
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.2561.2481-0.63%2.114+68.31%0.3319✗1.5173k2022-07-19
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10140.100776-0.62%0.1236+21.89%0.0712✗1.035,8092022-07-19
GLMGolemEthereum0.22110.219768-0.60%0.2573+16.37%0.0070✗1.1693k2022-07-19
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.00270.002685-0.56%0.003197+18.41%0.0349✗1.082.1M2022-07-19
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.15450.153644-0.55%0.14563-5.74%0.2671✓1.65246k2022-07-19
CELLCellframeEthereum0.24260.241369-0.51%0.2598+7.09%0.0866✓1.2431k2022-07-19
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.20890.208016-0.42%0.2547+21.92%0.0269✗1.35446k2022-07-19
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.540.537767-0.41%0.5689+5.35%0.1063✓1.25751k2022-07-19
KSMKusamaHydration50.8750.6603-0.41%63.01+23.86%0.0646✗1.19940k2022-07-19
APEApeCoinEthereum4.1254.1085-0.40%6.082+47.44%0.1581✗1.8115.8M2022-07-19
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.294.2731-0.39%5+16.55%0.0693✗0.681.4M2022-07-19
QNTQuantEthereum53.7353.5307-0.37%106.99+99.13%0.5681✗0.961.9M2022-07-19
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.11090.110507-0.35%0.1363+22.90%0.0318✗1.3749k2022-07-19
UMAUMAEthereum2.4742.4653-0.35%2.853+15.32%0.0125✓1.221.0M2022-07-19
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.5790.577005-0.34%0.737+27.29%0.1149✗1.00349k2022-07-19
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.5217.4979-0.31%7.794+3.63%0.1281✓1.2913.9M2022-07-19
YFIyearn.financeEthereum4,740.284,726.08-0.30%6,761.83+42.65%0.1917✗1.283.7M2022-07-19
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.680.678136-0.27%1.0065+48.01%0.2110✗1.42195k2022-07-19
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.411.4062-0.27%1.62+14.89%0.0539✓1.51574k2022-07-19
SOLSolanaSolana34.1534.0592-0.27%44.88+31.42%0.1066✗1.31101.4M2022-07-19
AMPAmpEthereum0.008940.008921-0.22%0.00946+5.82%0.0728✓1.021.4M2022-07-19
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.27320.272615-0.21%0.3086+12.96%0.0377✓1.255.0M2022-07-19
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.4390.438267-0.17%0.625+42.37%0.1742✗1.39108k2022-07-19
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.2421.2402-0.14%1.693+36.31%0.1181✗1.49223k2022-07-19
GALAGALAEthereum0.05630.056227-0.13%0.0582+3.37%0.1608✓1.51141k2022-07-19
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.09320.093091-0.12%0.1202+28.97%0.1074✗1.14642k2022-07-19
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.17935.1733-0.12%5.333+2.97%0.0003✓0.24226k2022-07-19
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.31451.3145+0.00%1.5189+15.55%0.0166✗1.241.2M2022-07-19
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos6.7656.7721+0.10%10.524+55.57%0.2704✓1.3213.7M2022-07-19
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0123250.012338+0.11%0.018119+47.01%0.2742✓0.852.0M2022-07-19
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.04770.047768+0.14%0.06017+26.14%0.0340✓1.521.5M2022-07-19
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006660.006671+0.17%0.00714+7.21%0.0633✗1.01482k2022-07-19
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.8550.856698+0.20%1.423+66.43%0.3779✓1.001.5M2022-07-19
LRCLoopringEthereum0.3660.366782+0.21%0.4514+23.33%0.0204✓1.44132k2022-07-19
SUSHISushiEthereum1.051.0526+0.24%1.42+35.24%0.0969✓1.56985k2022-07-19
DASHDashDash44.2444.3577+0.27%50.17+13.40%0.0201✗1.11810k2022-07-19
COTICOTIEthereum0.08920.089448+0.28%0.1113+24.78%0.0302✓1.451.1M2022-07-19
ZENHorizenBase13.8813.9261+0.33%18.04+29.97%0.0764✓1.4155k2022-07-19
XVSVenusEthereum4.324.3352+0.35%5.52+27.78%0.0368✓1.581.4M2022-07-19
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05270.052916+0.41%0.0752+42.69%0.1986✓1.18152k2022-07-19
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.2970.298231+0.41%0.4385+47.64%0.1899✓1.51275k2022-07-19
BTTCBTTC7.90e-77.93e-7+0.43%9.20e-7+16.46%0.0366✓0.865.3M2022-07-19
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.052430.052674+0.47%0.07728+47.40%0.2538✓1.001,5802022-07-19
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.016650.016728+0.47%0.0191+14.71%0.0300✓0.79430k2022-07-19
CHZChilizEthereum0.09340.093865+0.50%0.117+25.27%0.0633✓1.21691k2022-07-19
QTUMQtumQtum2.72952.7432+0.50%3.243+18.81%0.0166✓1.1639k2022-07-19
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.11670.117315+0.53%0.1355+16.11%0.0150✓1.003.6M2022-07-19
CVCCivicEthereum0.1330.133708+0.53%0.1547+16.32%0.0281✗1.34163k2022-07-19
ETCEthereum Classicnative15.3515.4342+0.55%25.31+64.89%0.3281✓1.292.1M2022-07-19
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6260.629473+0.55%0.788+25.88%0.0507✓1.34506k2022-07-19
XVGVergenative0.002790.002806+0.59%0.00384+37.63%0.1340✓1.39650k2022-07-19
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0603160.06067+0.59%0.069027+14.44%0.0361✗1.271.3M2022-07-19
SCSiacoinnative0.00370.003723+0.62%0.00448+21.08%0.0049✓1.47240k2022-07-19
LTCLitecoinLitecoin54.2554.6019+0.65%57.91+6.75%0.0958✗1.1917.5M2022-07-19
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.7691.7808+0.67%2.804+58.51%0.2501✓1.5792k2022-07-19
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche16.1516.2735+0.76%24.73+53.13%0.2335✓1.4342.7M2022-07-19
FLOWFlownative1.3741.3848+0.78%1.92+39.74%0.1775✓1.15457k2022-07-19
KCSKuCoinnative10.62510.7185+0.88%10.25-3.53%0.1903✗1.125.0M2022-07-19
UNIUniswapEthereum4.1844.2212+0.89%7.347+75.60%0.3779✓1.363.6M2022-07-19
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4762.4988+0.92%2.565+3.59%0.0972✗0.95111k2022-07-19
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10280.10381+0.98%0.1147+11.58%0.0766✗1.364.6M2022-07-19
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.00000820.000008282+1.00%0.00001217+48.41%0.2286✓1.21802k2022-07-19
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2670.269763+1.03%0.32+19.85%0.0394✓1.01823k2022-07-19
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.81011.8292+1.06%2.0147+11.30%0.0715✗1.3061k2022-07-19
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.05470.055297+1.09%0.0861+57.40%0.3401✓0.79326k2022-07-19
LSKLiskEthereum0.9937991.0047+1.09%1.1438+15.10%0.0205✗1.1653k2022-07-19
UOSUltraEthereum0.254950.257816+1.12%0.35354+38.67%0.1505✓1.28466k2022-07-19
ZECZcashZcash67.4168.1848+1.15%64.8-3.87%0.2246✗1.343.1M2022-07-19
ETHEthereumEthereum1,126.901,140.32+1.19%1,542.63+36.89%0.1531✓1.15388.8M2022-07-19
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,552.4420,803.94+1.22%23,395.06+13.83%0.0122✓1.00582.4M2022-07-19
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0007470.000756302+1.25%0.001151+54.15%0.2451✓1.352.2M2022-07-19
LPTLivepeerEthereum7.597.6849+1.25%9.72+28.06%0.0831✓1.17429k2022-07-19
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.28e-73.32e-7+1.33%3.78e-7+15.19%0.0074✓0.93800k2022-07-19
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2640850.267611+1.34%0.332219+25.80%0.0389✓1.372.4M2022-07-19
CRVCurve DAOEthereum0.6450.653778+1.36%1.2469+93.32%0.4661✓1.394.0M2022-07-19
COMPCompoundEthereum31.832.2805+1.51%61.04+91.95%0.4473✓1.4627k2022-07-19
XTZTezosTezos1.38781.4091+1.53%1.7452+25.75%0.0463✓1.29914k2022-07-19
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.17210.174896+1.62%0.2349+36.49%0.1067✓1.45191k2022-07-19
STXStacksnative0.35450.360464+1.68%0.4479+26.35%0.0478✓1.31203k2022-07-19
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0027660.002815+1.77%–pending––1.084,6932022-07-19
NANOnanopayBase0.782290.797158+1.90%0.969504+23.93%0.0569✓1.07120k2022-07-19
NEXONEXOEthereum0.6860.700958+2.18%0.743+8.31%0.0941✗1.18977k2022-07-19
MOVRMoonriverBase11.350211.6172+2.35%14.2261+25.34%0.0335✓1.30194k2022-07-19
SUNSun TokenTron0.0060780.006236+2.60%0.006062-0.27%0.1609✗1.022,7662022-07-19
TRXTRONTron0.0612750.062878+2.62%0.069162+12.87%0.0204✓0.891.0M2022-07-19
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08070.083164+3.05%0.0883+9.42%0.1119✗1.336,0992022-07-19
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6540.674607+3.15%0.76+16.21%0.0982✗1.68303k2022-07-19
XMRMoneroMonero114.45118.0681+3.16%146.65+28.13%0.0687✓1.141.8M2022-07-19
GTGateEthereum3.96044.0899+3.27%4.2358+6.95%0.0605✗0.741.7M2022-07-19
ORCAOrcaSolana0.420.434178+3.38%1.058+151.90%0.7590✓1.0263k2022-07-19
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash120.39124.9197+3.76%128.38+6.64%0.1233✗1.164.5M2022-07-19
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.510.530517+4.02%0.5294+3.80%0.1518✗1.1672k2022-07-19
AAVEAaveEthereum53.9756.3783+4.46%95.68+77.28%0.3143✓1.667.6M2022-07-19
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum20,529.0021,487.94+4.67%23,393.10+13.95%0.0423✓0.9836k2022-07-19
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.