8=======>

2022-06-16 · +30d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 173 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1427
171 of 173 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+5.16%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
67.3%
in alpha space · 69.6% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+4.01%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (173 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
AAVEAaveEthereum56.5159.6523+5.56%92.83+64.27%0.3764✓1.677.7M2022-07-16
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash109.37115.099+5.24%109.45+0.07%0.0981✗1.214.4M2022-07-16
XMRMoneroMonero106.33111.5846+4.94%139.03+30.75%0.1753✓1.131.7M2022-07-16
GTGateEthereum3.95084.1403+4.80%4.1277+4.48%0.0302✓0.692.0M2022-07-16
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum20,300.7021,159.34+4.23%21,072.80+3.80%0.0431✗0.9929k2022-07-16
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.60.624887+4.15%0.4944-17.60%0.2803✗1.1771k2022-07-16
TRXTRONTron0.0589940.061404+4.08%0.068911+16.81%0.0767✓0.98887k2022-07-16
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.0850.087977+3.50%0.0821-3.41%0.1243✗1.404,0262022-07-16
SUNSun TokenTron0.006230.006443+3.41%0.0058-6.90%0.1471✗1.072,5622022-07-16
XTZTezosTezos1.3551.4012+3.41%1.6007+18.13%0.0810✓1.32914k2022-07-16
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.34e-73.45e-7+3.31%3.56e-7+6.70%0.0023✓0.88984k2022-07-16
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,372.0021,024.06+3.20%21,189.68+4.01%0.0315✗1.00620.3M2022-07-16
CRVCurve DAOEthereum0.6640.685099+3.18%1.1736+76.75%0.4836✓1.395.0M2022-07-16
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.09730.100385+3.17%0.1013+4.11%0.0486✗1.465.2M2022-07-16
SNXSynthetixEthereum1.7431.7971+3.10%2.804+60.87%0.3765✓1.742.7M2022-07-16
NANOnanopayBase0.7981180.822803+3.09%0.922382+15.57%0.0705✓1.11119k2022-07-16
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000007950.000008194+3.07%0.00001104+38.87%0.2486✓1.26850k2022-07-16
ZECZcashZcash58.9460.7464+3.06%63.24+7.30%0.0130✓1.353.4M2022-07-16
MINAMina Protocolnative0.5930.611163+3.06%0.687+15.85%0.0629✓1.37556k2022-07-16
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2530.260693+3.04%0.291+15.02%0.0677✓1.07847k2022-07-16
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.2780.286391+3.02%0.4097+47.37%0.2971✓1.55383k2022-07-16
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche15.7716.2425+3.00%21.24+34.69%0.2105✓1.4749.3M2022-07-16
LPTLivepeerEthereum7.137.3428+2.98%8.77+23.00%0.1306✓1.20502k2022-07-16
NEXONEXOEthereum0.6670.686516+2.93%0.592-11.24%0.1946✗1.18979k2022-07-16
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.79411.846+2.89%1.8316+2.09%0.0611✗1.3568k2022-07-16
COMPCompoundEthereum30.1631.0133+2.83%55.1+82.69%0.5171✓1.4627k2022-07-16
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.1580.162406+2.79%0.2279+44.24%0.2808✓1.47191k2022-07-16
UNIUniswapEthereum3.8293.9342+2.75%7.375+92.61%0.5751✓1.353.3M2022-07-16
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.8070.828472+2.66%0.616-23.67%0.3657✗1.76303k2022-07-16
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2610840.267999+2.65%0.307861+17.92%0.0832✓1.412.4M2022-07-16
STORJStorjEthereum0.427820.438991+2.61%0.691+61.52%0.3987✓1.4063k2022-07-16
XVGVergenative0.002860.002935+2.61%0.00372+30.07%0.1792✓1.47648k2022-07-16
STXStacksnative0.32860.33713+2.60%0.395+20.21%0.1064✓1.32175k2022-07-16
ORCAOrcaSolana0.480.492274+2.56%0.8342+73.79%0.4809✓1.1856k2022-07-16
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0007830.000802998+2.55%0.001022+30.46%0.1864✓1.382.0M2022-07-16
LSKLiskEthereum0.9544320.978544+2.53%1.076+12.74%0.0480✓1.1949k2022-07-16
LTCLitecoinLitecoin44.7445.8665+2.52%55.09+23.13%0.1358✓1.2117.5M2022-07-16
UOSUltraEthereum0.243440.249554+2.51%0.34099+40.07%0.2619✓1.28453k2022-07-16
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006410.006569+2.48%0.00669+4.37%0.0234✓1.06557k2022-07-16
MOVRMoonriverBase12.973613.2942+2.47%14.0567+8.35%0.0031✓1.34211k2022-07-16
CVCCivicEthereum0.1240.127035+2.45%0.1421+14.60%0.0580✓1.37166k2022-07-16
ETCEthereum Classicnative13.8214.1552+2.43%17.26+24.89%0.1468✓1.312.3M2022-07-16
ETHEthereumEthereum1,066.871,092.27+2.38%1,355.70+27.07%0.1718✓1.13386.3M2022-07-16
FLOWFlownative1.3911.424+2.37%1.601+15.10%0.0778✓1.00568k2022-07-16
SUSHISushiEthereum0.960.982573+2.35%1.45+51.04%0.3269✓1.581.1M2022-07-16
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.05810.05945+2.32%0.0537-7.57%0.1328✗0.79313k2022-07-16
DASHDashDash41.8642.7972+2.24%44.83+7.10%0.0020✓1.13837k2022-07-16
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0551660.056387+2.21%0.064309+16.57%0.0815✓1.271.3M2022-07-16
LRCLoopringEthereum0.3620.369933+2.19%0.3872+6.96%0.0145✓1.53160k2022-07-16
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.125180.127897+2.17%0.13785+10.12%0.0122✓1.60247k2022-07-16
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.3442.3943+2.15%2.554+8.96%0.0253✓1.0075k2022-07-16
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.620.633196+2.13%0.9435+52.18%0.3415✓1.46192k2022-07-16
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.1051.1284+2.12%2.13+92.76%0.5766✓1.4979k2022-07-16
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.025550.026085+2.09%0.02772+8.49%0.0069✓1.3719k2022-07-16
SOLSolanaSolana30.130.7257+2.08%39.6+31.56%0.1982✓1.41112.7M2022-07-16
SCSiacoinnative0.003410.00348+2.06%0.004+17.30%0.0788✓1.53239k2022-07-16
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.11340.115732+2.06%0.1198+5.64%0.0049✓1.003.3M2022-07-16
COTICOTIEthereum0.08690.088655+2.02%0.1011+16.34%0.0721✓1.511.2M2022-07-16
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos6.3296.4542+1.98%9.237+45.95%0.3058✓1.3414.5M2022-07-16
XVSVenusEthereum4.054.1296+1.97%5.18+27.90%0.1605✓1.681.6M2022-07-16
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.6991.7323+1.96%2.267+33.43%0.2068✓1.5892k2022-07-16
QTUMQtumQtum2.64612.6975+1.94%2.8867+9.10%0.0208✓1.1942k2022-07-16
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0119640.012195+1.93%0.012711+6.24%0.0068✓0.882.0M2022-07-16
GALAGALAEthereum0.05520.056225+1.86%0.0509-7.79%0.1622✗1.59142k2022-07-16
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.19590.199464+1.82%0.2385+21.75%0.1237✓1.40480k2022-07-16
QNTQuantEthereum44.4245.2264+1.82%102.74+131.29%0.7809✓1.012.0M2022-07-16
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.8330.847961+1.80%1.253+50.42%0.3511✓1.001.6M2022-07-16
KSMKusamaHydration49.250.079+1.79%56.39+14.61%0.0695✓1.251.0M2022-07-16
CHZChilizEthereum0.09220.093847+1.79%0.1106+19.96%0.1157✓1.23852k2022-07-16
CELLCellframeEthereum0.23140.235411+1.73%0.2597+12.23%0.0491✓1.2531k2022-07-16
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.047180.047989+1.71%0.05205+10.32%0.0184✓1.601.7M2022-07-16
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.231.2508+1.69%1.528+24.23%0.1352✓1.65231k2022-07-16
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.35991.3826+1.67%1.4063+3.41%0.0331✗1.271.7M2022-07-16
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.271.291+1.66%1.47+15.75%0.0657✓1.63596k2022-07-16
KCSKuCoinnative11.08711.2681+1.63%9.29-16.21%0.2357✗1.085.1M2022-07-16
APEApeCoinEthereum3.3723.4269+1.63%4.769+41.43%0.2572✓1.8617.0M2022-07-16
BTTCBTTC7.60e-77.72e-7+1.60%9.00e-7+18.42%0.1184✓0.885.5M2022-07-16
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.117.2238+1.60%7.192+1.15%0.0576✗1.3513.5M2022-07-16
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.0520.05283+1.60%0.0721+38.65%0.2648✓1.17132k2022-07-16
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum1.9782.0094+1.59%2.23+12.74%0.0442✓1.5292k2022-07-16
YFIyearn.financeEthereum4,598.444,670.90+1.58%6,261.84+36.17%0.2420✓1.303.6M2022-07-16
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.09280.094258+1.57%0.1088+17.24%0.0972✓1.18721k2022-07-16
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008890.009028+1.55%0.00924+3.94%0.0138✓0.9411.4M2022-07-16
GMTGMTEthereum0.5930.602142+1.54%0.932+57.17%0.3670✓1.771.7M2022-07-16
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.10160.103118+1.49%0.131+28.94%0.1837✓1.4149k2022-07-16
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.25510.258897+1.49%0.2788+9.29%0.0239✓1.285.6M2022-07-16
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.4250.431039+1.42%0.513+20.71%0.1170✓1.45116k2022-07-16
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.044.0957+1.38%4.83+19.55%0.1361✓0.731.5M2022-07-16
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum13.6113.7953+1.36%14.36+5.51%0.0174✗1.462.3M2022-07-16
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.50.506642+1.33%0.5194+3.88%0.0283✗1.35771k2022-07-16
GLMGolemEthereum0.20520.207925+1.33%0.2416+17.74%0.1043✓1.16100k2022-07-16
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.5740.581374+1.28%0.667+16.20%0.0967✓1.03372k2022-07-16
AMPAmpEthereum0.008770.008881+1.27%0.00905+3.19%0.0227✗1.061.5M2022-07-16
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0032620.003303+1.25%–pending––1.114,6932022-07-16
BFCBifrostEthereum0.045580.046113+1.17%0.06043+32.58%0.2176✓1.3470k2022-07-16
STEEMSteemnative0.18540.187531+1.15%0.2194+18.34%0.1082✓1.24656k2022-07-16
IMXImmutableEthereum0.6850.692421+1.08%0.9278+35.45%0.2294✓1.613.2M2022-07-16
ZENHorizenBase13.4813.626+1.08%16.91+25.45%0.1581✓1.4760k2022-07-16
ASTRAstarEthereum0.0430.043465+1.08%0.0429-0.23%0.0740✗1.5518k2022-07-16
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum8.028.1055+1.07%9.7+20.95%0.1131✓1.692.6M2022-07-16
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.39262.4178+1.05%2.5538+6.74%0.0119✓1.093.0M2022-07-16
XECeCashnative0.000037020.000037398+1.02%0.00004029+8.83%0.0220✓1.332.9M2022-07-16
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.3025.3559+1.02%5.397+1.79%0.0448✗1.332.6M2022-07-16
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017730.017892+0.92%0.01829+3.16%0.0057✓0.70631k2022-07-16
AUCTIONBounceEthereum4.344.3784+0.89%5.81+33.87%0.2273✓1.41400k2022-07-16
HIVEHivenative0.3450.348051+0.88%0.4543+31.68%0.2104✓1.421.2M2022-07-16
LCXLCXEthereum0.05580.056279+0.86%0.0733+31.36%0.2032✓1.55418k2022-07-16
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0028010.002823+0.80%0.002859+2.07%0.0324✗1.142.2M2022-07-16
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.019050.0192+0.79%0.02058+8.03%0.0269✓1.08144k2022-07-16
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0067220.006765+0.64%0.00693+3.09%0.0056✓0.75167k2022-07-16
NMRNumeraireEthereum7.917.9584+0.61%14.78+86.85%0.5789✓1.02281k2022-07-16
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.321270.323191+0.60%0.39774+23.80%0.1567✓1.29105k2022-07-16
MANADecentralandEthereum0.808330.812876+0.56%0.86694+7.25%0.0096✓1.39743k2022-07-16
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.30180.303315+0.50%0.3404+12.79%0.0665✓1.2414.6M2022-07-16
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05260.052853+0.48%0.0516-1.90%0.0819✗1.471.7M2022-07-16
PROPropyEthereum0.860.864119+0.48%0.81-5.81%0.0944✗0.76187k2022-07-16
FTTFTXEthereum23.2823.389+0.47%28.01+20.32%0.1441✓0.929.9M2022-07-16
UMAUMAEthereum2.642.6518+0.45%2.664+0.91%0.0448✗1.251.1M2022-07-16
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana2.8452.8555+0.37%3.406+19.72%0.1426✓0.861.8M2022-07-16
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.03450.034623+0.36%0.0489+41.74%0.2898✓1.41368k2022-07-16
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.05385.0679+0.28%5.4+6.85%0.0539✓0.24235k2022-07-16
BORABORAKlay Token0.275750.276464+0.26%0.29418+6.68%0.0035✓1.4914k2022-07-16
RADRadworksEthereum1.521.5239+0.25%1.78+17.11%0.1081✓1.20270k2022-07-16
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.056.0529+0.05%6.81+12.56%0.0977✓0.512.0M2022-07-16
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum5.3115.3113+0.01%7.116+33.99%0.2364✓1.4311.1M2022-07-16
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.72941.7292-0.01%2.1124+22.15%0.1647✗0.903.0M2022-07-16
BANDBandEthereum1.3481.3478-0.01%1.421+5.42%0.0086✓1.56402k2022-07-16
API3Api3Ethereum1.2841.2837-0.02%1.837+43.07%0.2985✗1.52879k2022-07-16
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.3810.380698-0.08%0.637+67.19%0.4531✗1.573,9802022-07-16
OPTIMOptimism0.490.489459-0.11%0.52+6.12%0.0212✗1.006.4M2022-07-16
ARPAARPAEthereum0.02750.027468-0.12%0.0368+33.82%0.2403✗1.33221k2022-07-16
XLMStellarStellar0.109050.108857-0.18%0.109556+0.46%0.0367✓1.0911.1M2022-07-16
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.12370.12343-0.22%0.0961-22.31%0.2901✓1.01255k2022-07-16
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0189880.018944-0.23%0.021122+11.24%0.0616✗1.208,7652022-07-16
CTSICartesiEthereum0.14480.144444-0.25%0.1588+9.67%0.0374✗1.46917k2022-07-16
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10490.104633-0.25%0.1114+6.20%0.0203✗1.087,2892022-07-16
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.61430.612139-0.35%0.8133+32.39%0.2380✗1.172.8M2022-07-16
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV50.90150.6245-0.54%54.299+6.68%0.0353✗0.881.2M2022-07-16
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.3526.3162-0.56%6.596+3.84%0.0085✓1.3241.5M2022-07-16
CTKShentuOsmosis0.7850.780039-0.63%0.787+0.25%0.0286✓0.951.7M2022-07-16
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.038380.03811-0.70%–pending––1.102,9602022-07-16
WOOWOOEthereum0.14940.147914-0.99%0.187+25.17%0.1863✗1.223,2642022-07-16
FIDABonfidaSolana0.3240.320518-1.07%0.678+109.26%0.7037✗1.1615k2022-07-16
CBKCobakEthereum0.841230.831882-1.11%1.0257+21.93%0.1606✗1.246,0082022-07-16
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.572.5408-1.14%3.177+23.62%0.1795✗1.12663k2022-07-16
XYMSymbolnative0.05010.049524-1.15%0.052325+4.44%0.0279✗0.6965k2022-07-16
DIADIAEthereum0.379660.375219-1.17%0.42764+12.64%0.1038✗0.69276k2022-07-16
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana3.863.8108-1.27%4.39+13.73%0.1142✗0.691.7M2022-07-16
DODODODOEthereum0.12190.120228-1.37%0.1648+35.19%0.2589✗1.434.4M2022-07-16
ADACardanoCardano0.47560.468593-1.47%0.4579-3.72%0.0788✓1.4271.0M2022-07-16
GITCOINGITCOIN2.26192.2244-1.66%2.4213+7.05%0.0146✓1.7817k2022-07-16
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.061110.060004-1.81%0.07438+21.71%0.1754✗1.001,6002022-07-16
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.12022.0786-1.96%2.2955+8.27%0.0639✗0.903.3M2022-07-16
DKAdKargoEthereum0.045770.044865-1.98%0.04627+1.09%0.0096✓1.0315k2022-07-16
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0148960.014596-2.02%0.017372+16.62%0.1501✗0.61469k2022-07-16
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.573.4921-2.18%3.9+9.24%0.0867✗0.602.1M2022-07-16
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.292.2356-2.38%2.45+6.99%0.0256✗1.68311k2022-07-16
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2120.206953-2.38%0.214+0.94%0.0309✓1.631.2M2022-07-16
XEMNEMnative0.0380320.037092-2.47%0.041793+9.89%0.0677✗1.3126k2022-07-16
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08170.079659-2.50%0.091+11.38%0.0776✗1.41346k2022-07-16
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.63.5055-2.62%3.957+9.92%0.0946✗0.676.7M2022-07-16
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.113.0259-2.70%3.52+13.18%0.1198✗0.801.7M2022-07-16
TRBTellor TributesEthereum10.8110.4998-2.87%16.75+54.95%0.4009✗1.68333k2022-07-16
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.311.27-3.05%1.306-0.31%0.0313✓1.505.1M2022-07-16
LUNATerraTerra 20.0000580.000056126-3.23%0.00010569+82.22%0.5473✗2.181.6M2022-07-16
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.020590.019918-3.26%0.02384+15.78%0.1039✗1.9340.1M2022-07-16
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.919950.886139-3.68%0.75449-17.99%0.1935✓0.838792022-07-16
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.0782.9217-5.08%3.112+1.10%0.0350✓0.714.9M2022-07-16
C98Coin98Ethereum0.46920.445038-5.15%0.4797+2.24%0.0356✓1.00162k2022-07-16
OGOG Fan TokenSolana2.9092.7556-5.27%3.738+28.50%0.2827✗0.564.5M2022-07-16
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.496660.467947-5.78%0.46536-6.30%0.0769✓1.813.6M2022-07-16
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8220.772943-5.97%0.789-4.01%0.0591✓2.0229.5M2022-07-16
AVTAventusEthereum1.471.3799-6.13%1.58+7.48%0.1083✗0.69166k2022-07-16
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.