8=======>

2022-06-12 · +30d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 172 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1672
170 of 172 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+6.10%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
10.0%
in alpha space · 74.4% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-27.31%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (172 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
AAVEAaveEthereum70.371.2075+1.29%68.24-2.93%0.5644✓1.907.4M2022-07-12
BRISEBitgertEthereum4.01e-74.06e-7+1.25%3.61e-7-10.00%0.1828✓0.941.0M2022-07-12
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash145.97146.2889+0.22%97.19-33.42%0.0012✓1.294.4M2022-07-12
GMTGMTEthereum0.6640.664253+0.04%0.847+27.56%0.9743✓2.291.8M2022-07-12
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.11350.113375-0.11%0.0733-35.42%0.1405✗1.814,0262022-07-12
BFCBifrostEthereum0.057920.057826-0.16%0.05308-8.36%0.3477✗1.3649k2022-07-12
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0008250.00082334-0.20%0.0009021+9.35%0.6614✗1.791.8M2022-07-12
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche17.2717.1768-0.54%16.73-3.13%0.5417✗1.7847.8M2022-07-12
LPTLivepeerEthereum9.369.307-0.57%7.74-17.31%0.2316✗1.30502k2022-07-12
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.20370.202397-0.64%0.1812-11.05%0.3751✗1.52196k2022-07-12
LTCLitecoinLitecoin47.8647.5536-0.64%47.28-1.21%0.4289✗1.3617.5M2022-07-12
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.4890.485659-0.68%0.4639-5.13%0.5320✗1.81886k2022-07-12
COMPCompoundEthereum41.240.903-0.72%46.78+13.54%0.6544✗1.6330k2022-07-12
MINAMina Protocolnative0.630.625415-0.73%0.633+0.48%0.6115✗1.88578k2022-07-12
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2975760.295372-0.74%0.272174-8.54%0.4253✗1.592.3M2022-07-12
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.011.0023-0.76%0.4374-56.69%0.4479✓1.2068k2022-07-12
TRXTRONTron0.0761310.075524-0.80%0.064572-15.18%0.1329✗0.91682k2022-07-12
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9530.94492-0.85%0.574-39.77%0.1381✓1.131.0M2022-07-12
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2770.274602-0.87%0.259-6.50%0.3535✗1.29847k2022-07-12
ETHEthereumEthereum1,433.191,420.18-0.91%1,037.34-27.62%0.0491✗1.14340.5M2022-07-12
ORCAOrcaSolana0.660.653826-0.94%0.778+17.88%0.5748✗1.2663k2022-07-12
WOOWOOEthereum0.11830.117119-1.00%0.1686+42.52%0.9065✗1.701,7522022-07-12
UNIUniswapEthereum4.0544.0108-1.06%5.528+36.36%0.8086✗1.532.6M2022-07-12
SOLSolanaSolana30.5630.2325-1.07%32.66+6.87%0.6084✗1.67103.2M2022-07-12
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos7.066.9839-1.08%7.792+10.37%0.6067✗1.5615.2M2022-07-12
XVSVenusEthereum4.294.2434-1.09%4.65+8.39%0.7276✗1.991.5M2022-07-12
NANOnanopayBase0.9111030.900978-1.11%0.84082-7.71%0.3809✗1.41120k2022-07-12
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000008590.000008492-1.14%0.00000989+15.13%0.6340✗1.51850k2022-07-12
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.341.3239-1.20%1.31-2.24%0.6389✗2.04580k2022-07-12
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.11140.110052-1.21%0.0874-21.54%0.3429✗1.805.4M2022-07-12
SUSHISushiEthereum1.131.1162-1.22%1.12-0.88%0.5701✗1.781.1M2022-07-12
CRVCurve DAOEthereum0.8640.853442-1.22%0.8753+1.31%0.4975✗1.485.1M2022-07-12
LRCLoopringEthereum0.40540.400434-1.23%0.3603-11.12%0.4782✗1.83146k2022-07-12
CHZChilizEthereum0.09720.09599-1.24%0.0966-0.62%0.4944✗1.53795k2022-07-12
GTGateEthereum4.85944.7955-1.31%3.7877-22.05%0.0357✓0.632.1M2022-07-12
STORJStorjEthereum0.421730.415967-1.37%0.60811+44.19%0.9434✗1.7761k2022-07-12
RADRadworksEthereum1.721.6964-1.37%1.6-6.98%0.3823✗1.38270k2022-07-12
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.150430.14836-1.38%0.11445-23.92%0.3483✗1.91260k2022-07-12
ZECZcashZcash79.3278.1957-1.42%51.92-34.54%0.0525✗1.453.6M2022-07-12
ETCEthereum Classicnative16.5916.3472-1.46%13.82-16.70%0.2837✗1.422.3M2022-07-12
APEApeCoinEthereum3.8853.825-1.54%4.237+9.06%0.8271✗2.2717.0M2022-07-12
SCSiacoinnative0.004050.003987-1.56%0.00364-10.12%0.4777✗1.78213k2022-07-12
ARPAARPAEthereum0.030.029527-1.58%0.0349+16.33%0.7055✗1.69221k2022-07-12
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.10950.107764-1.59%0.1038-5.21%0.5221✗1.753.2M2022-07-12
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.023080.022705-1.62%0.01901-17.63%0.1717✗1.10151k2022-07-12
MOVRMoonriverBase15.580915.3224-1.66%11.1506-28.43%0.2040✗1.64222k2022-07-12
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.58690.576868-1.71%0.7484+27.52%0.7224✗1.452.8M2022-07-12
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.09740.095716-1.73%0.0999+2.57%0.4942✗1.42733k2022-07-12
LSKLiskEthereum1.09211.0726-1.78%0.991597-9.20%0.3459✗1.3348k2022-07-12
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.650.638318-1.80%0.558-14.15%0.2624✗1.24365k2022-07-12
XTZTezosTezos1.63561.606-1.81%1.4325-12.42%0.3440✗1.44894k2022-07-12
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.023080.022661-1.81%0.01819-21.19%0.0230✓0.62637k2022-07-12
XMRMoneroMonero159.28156.3813-1.82%122.96-22.80%0.1218✗1.141.7M2022-07-12
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum5.6365.5333-1.82%6.277+11.37%0.6924✗1.7810.6M2022-07-12
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0122880.01206-1.86%0.01164-5.27%0.3654✗1.262.0M2022-07-12
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.2162.1747-1.87%2.32+4.69%0.7176✗2.052.9M2022-07-12
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006870.006738-1.92%0.00616-10.33%0.3074✗1.25607k2022-07-12
LCXLCXEthereum0.0630.061789-1.92%0.0602-4.44%0.4459✗1.48403k2022-07-12
CELLCellframeEthereum0.250.245137-1.95%0.2259-9.64%0.3946✗1.4931k2022-07-12
KCSKuCoinnative14.12213.8414-1.99%8.659-38.68%0.1194✓1.105.3M2022-07-12
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.11990.117515-1.99%0.1231+2.67%0.5483✗1.5749k2022-07-12
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.340.333167-2.01%0.3739+9.97%0.7478✗1.98530k2022-07-12
COTICOTIEthereum0.10.097983-2.02%0.0827-17.30%0.4133✗1.831.1M2022-07-12
GALAGALAEthereum0.05730.056133-2.04%0.0469-18.15%0.4972✗2.12141k2022-07-12
MANADecentralandEthereum0.788920.772513-2.08%0.78392-0.63%0.6105✗1.87789k2022-07-12
ZENHorizenBase15.1514.8345-2.08%14.3-5.61%0.5194✗1.7465k2022-07-12
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.78991.7522-2.10%1.7188-3.97%0.3544✗1.173.4M2022-07-12
UOSUltraEthereum0.285550.279538-2.11%0.26761-6.28%0.4523✗1.55453k2022-07-12
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.053150.05203-2.11%0.04715-11.29%0.5660✗2.081.8M2022-07-12
KSMKusamaHydration50.7849.707-2.11%46.86-7.72%0.3876✗1.401.0M2022-07-12
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06570.064269-2.18%0.0711+8.22%0.5370✗1.37153k2022-07-12
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.3937.2314-2.19%6.273-15.15%0.3624✗1.5813.5M2022-07-12
BTTCBTTC9.30e-79.09e-7-2.22%8.00e-7-13.98%0.1645✗0.925.5M2022-07-12
CTSICartesiEthereum0.18870.184496-2.23%0.1362-27.82%0.2019✗1.58751k2022-07-12
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.28160.275306-2.24%0.2544-9.66%0.3936✗1.486.2M2022-07-12
SUNSun TokenTron0.008670.008476-2.24%0.005673-34.57%0.0431✓1.122,4432022-07-12
IMXImmutableEthereum0.7330.716525-2.25%0.8264+12.74%0.7802✗2.002.7M2022-07-12
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05180.050624-2.27%0.0415-19.88%0.4002✗1.881.6M2022-07-12
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009460.009242-2.30%0.00959+1.37%0.5105✗1.4813.3M2022-07-12
XVGVergenative0.003420.003341-2.31%0.00316-7.60%0.4740✗1.66628k2022-07-12
GLMGolemEthereum0.23160.226215-2.33%0.23-0.69%0.4261✗1.28100k2022-07-12
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.51145.3822-2.35%5.389-2.22%0.0992✗0.31235k2022-07-12
BANDBandEthereum1.4171.3836-2.36%1.226-13.48%0.4791✗1.88342k2022-07-12
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.23170.226232-2.36%0.2221-4.14%0.4643✗1.51432k2022-07-12
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV48.27347.1334-2.36%49.484+2.51%0.3949✗1.091.1M2022-07-12
DASHDashDash46.0544.9581-2.37%39.75-13.68%0.3012✗1.33837k2022-07-12
FIDABonfidaSolana0.3730.364075-2.39%0.373+0.00%0.4514✗1.3415k2022-07-12
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.9790.955207-2.43%0.577-41.06%0.1734✗2.12319k2022-07-12
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.029290.028572-2.45%0.026-11.23%0.4124✗1.5917k2022-07-12
QNTQuantEthereum49.5748.3492-2.46%80.2+61.79%0.9101✗1.272.0M2022-07-12
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.6725.5316-2.47%5.074-10.54%0.4312✗1.622.5M2022-07-12
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.4314.0616-2.55%12.83-11.09%0.4666✗1.752.3M2022-07-12
CVCCivicEthereum0.14430.140573-2.58%0.1314-8.94%0.4462✗1.61169k2022-07-12
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.72.6302-2.59%2.205-18.33%0.1717✗1.0963k2022-07-12
DIADIAEthereum0.423270.41228-2.60%0.36924-12.76%0.1075✗0.68249k2022-07-12
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.213.1264-2.61%2.51-21.81%0.1525✗1.17722k2022-07-12
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0127240.012388-2.64%0.017618+38.46%0.5746✗0.70324k2022-07-12
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.003680.00358-2.71%–pending––1.364,6932022-07-12
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.113.0254-2.72%2.747-11.67%0.2572✗1.111.8M2022-07-12
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.2461.212-2.73%1.737+39.41%0.9244✗1.7773k2022-07-12
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.266.089-2.73%5.944-5.05%0.4830✗1.5932.8M2022-07-12
API3Api3Ethereum1.1851.1522-2.77%1.677+41.52%0.9509✗1.80826k2022-07-12
UMAUMAEthereum2.2962.2324-2.77%2.538+10.54%0.5993✗1.481.1M2022-07-12
XECeCashnative0.000041050.000039885-2.84%0.00003731-9.11%0.4435✗1.603.0M2022-07-12
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.490.47603-2.85%0.462-5.71%0.5221✗1.73116k2022-07-12
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.24.0798-2.86%3.81-9.29%0.2285✗0.931.5M2022-07-12
STXStacksnative0.41890.406707-2.91%0.3597-14.13%0.3283✗1.41165k2022-07-12
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.04370.042426-2.92%–pending––1.133,6542022-07-12
AMPAmpEthereum0.010070.009775-2.93%0.00877-12.91%0.2685✗1.181.5M2022-07-12
BTCBitcoinBitcoin26,555.2025,776.17-2.93%19,303.65-27.31%0.0298✓1.00538.8M2022-07-12
TRBTellor TributesEthereum12.211.8391-2.96%14.51+18.93%0.8726✗2.10252k2022-07-12
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0634820.061589-2.98%0.059797-5.81%0.3932✗1.331.3M2022-07-12
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.450.4365-3.00%0.608+35.11%0.9214✗1.854,3562022-07-12
QTUMQtumQtum3.08712.9944-3.00%2.5959-15.91%0.2880✗1.3533k2022-07-12
ASTRAstarEthereum0.05020.048663-3.06%0.0404-19.52%0.4162✗1.8923k2022-07-12
HIVEHivenative0.43250.419229-3.07%0.415-4.05%0.4797✗1.541.1M2022-07-12
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.307120.297633-3.09%0.36718+19.56%0.6838✗1.49105k2022-07-12
FLOWFlownative1.7941.7383-3.11%1.427-20.46%0.1216✗1.00623k2022-07-12
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.2292.1598-3.11%1.97-11.62%0.4678✗1.7697k2022-07-12
NMRNumeraireEthereum9.329.0274-3.14%15.24+63.52%0.8842✗1.13281k2022-07-12
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.4841.4369-3.18%1.263-14.89%0.4822✗1.92236k2022-07-12
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.35962.2847-3.18%2.2234-5.77%0.4323✗1.443.0M2022-07-12
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum8.458.1807-3.19%8.3-1.78%0.6689✗2.052.7M2022-07-12
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.14742.0788-3.20%1.6352-23.86%0.2425✗1.5155k2022-07-12
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.1892.1189-3.20%2.014-7.99%0.5156✗1.78139k2022-07-12
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.008180.007916-3.23%0.006495-20.60%0.0738✗0.85153k2022-07-12
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.9450.914295-3.25%1.088+15.13%0.4929✗1.001.4M2022-07-12
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.003180.003076-3.26%0.002623-17.52%0.2574✗1.312.1M2022-07-12
AUCTIONBounceEthereum5.14.9279-3.38%5.14+0.78%0.5682✗1.65405k2022-07-12
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.0832.0123-3.39%2.0329-2.41%0.4037✗1.233.3M2022-07-12
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07880.076125-3.39%0.0483-38.71%0.2307✓0.70274k2022-07-12
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8490.820126-3.40%0.765-9.89%0.2936✗1.141.7M2022-07-12
YFIyearn.financeEthereum6,006.745,799.94-3.44%5,437.91-9.47%0.3576✗1.323.6M2022-07-12
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.02240.021619-3.49%0.019824-11.50%0.3066✗1.2310k2022-07-12
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.32460.313069-3.55%0.2923-9.95%0.3955✗1.4614.4M2022-07-12
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.644.4729-3.60%4.26-8.19%0.2397✗0.901.6M2022-07-12
DODODODOEthereum0.15040.144972-3.61%0.1227-18.42%0.3734✗1.693.4M2022-07-12
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.710.684087-3.65%0.8537+20.24%0.7913✗1.79198k2022-07-12
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.626.3781-3.65%5.93-10.42%0.1451✗0.682.0M2022-07-12
XLMStellarStellar0.1185560.114193-3.68%0.10045-15.27%0.2580✗1.2110.3M2022-07-12
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.553.4184-3.71%3.03-14.65%0.1914✗0.981.7M2022-07-12
GITCOINGITCOIN2.42852.3378-3.73%2.146-11.63%0.5937✗2.1313k2022-07-12
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.15630.150434-3.75%0.092-41.14%0.1721✓1.00268k2022-07-12
BORABORAKlay Token0.314450.302632-3.76%0.28233-10.21%0.4331✗1.5814k2022-07-12
ADACardanoCardano0.48990.471249-3.81%0.4165-14.98%0.4219✗1.7149.8M2022-07-12
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10720.103091-3.83%0.1017-5.13%0.3992✗1.296,7702022-07-12
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum26,697.3025,670.32-3.85%19,265.30-27.84%0.0239✓0.9729k2022-07-12
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.018150.017402-4.12%0.02268+24.96%1.0483✗2.4632.1M2022-07-12
XYMSymbolnative0.05250.050231-4.32%0.050021-4.72%0.2556✗0.8157k2022-07-12
XEMNEMnative0.0417190.03988-4.41%0.037692-9.65%0.4563✗1.6131k2022-07-12
DKAdKargoEthereum0.050670.048427-4.43%0.0424-16.32%0.2424✗1.1815k2022-07-12
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.833.6596-4.45%3.46-9.66%0.2067✗0.821.9M2022-07-12
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.0830.079179-4.60%0.0822-0.96%0.6406✗1.89409k2022-07-12
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.4391.3709-4.73%1.1907-17.26%0.2920✗1.361.7M2022-07-12
STEEMSteemnative0.2080.19777-4.92%0.199-4.33%0.4925✗1.52585k2022-07-12
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.0262.8738-5.03%3.422+13.09%0.4465✗0.854.3M2022-07-12
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.073690.069878-5.17%0.06505-11.72%0.2473✗1.001,6002022-07-12
CBKCobakEthereum0.9980.94595-5.22%0.92188-7.63%0.3849✗1.296,0082022-07-12
FTTFTXEthereum27.926.4439-5.22%23.87-14.44%0.2014✗0.959.1M2022-07-12
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2030.192248-5.30%0.203+0.00%0.7065✗2.041.1M2022-07-12
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.2943.1144-5.45%2.867-12.96%0.2092✗0.923.7M2022-07-12
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.422.2805-5.76%2.12-12.40%0.5937✗2.09294k2022-07-12
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.131.0643-5.82%0.776-31.33%0.4077✗2.2710.6M2022-07-12
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04230.039833-5.83%0.0444+4.96%0.6020✗1.55383k2022-07-12
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.6753.4371-6.47%3.579-2.61%0.3005✗0.826.4M2022-07-12
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.514390.479659-6.75%0.4556-11.43%0.6862✗2.313.1M2022-07-12
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.20171.1128-7.40%0.67955-43.45%0.2428✓0.799702022-07-12
OPTIMOptimism0.6440.596026-7.45%0.451-29.97%0.0401✓1.007.3M2022-07-12
PROPropyEthereum1.050.944275-10.07%0.82-21.90%0.0903✓0.73183k2022-07-12
LUNATerraTerra 20.000069460.000062409-10.15%0.0000918+32.16%1.3831✗3.132.0M2022-07-12
AVTAventusEthereum1.691.5073-10.81%1.47-13.02%0.2217✗0.77153k2022-07-12
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.7231.5172-11.94%1.158-32.79%0.2445✗1.615.1M2022-07-12
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.