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2022-06-05 · +30d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 170 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.0893
170 of 170 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-3.58%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
10.0%
in alpha space · 85.3% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-32.60%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (170 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
PROPropyEthereum1.231.0055-18.25%0.83-32.52%0.1532✓0.87187k2022-07-05
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4241.1775-17.31%1.252-12.08%0.6695✗1.545.0M2022-07-05
STEEMSteemnative0.30160.257243-14.71%0.2136-29.18%0.4508✗1.61585k2022-07-05
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.95831.6893-13.74%1.3742-29.83%0.3361✗1.382.8M2022-07-05
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05340.046319-13.26%0.0461-13.67%0.5624✗1.44556k2022-07-05
ASTRAstarEthereum0.06070.055052-9.31%0.0425-29.98%0.4179✗1.7244k2022-07-05
LUNATerraTerra 20.0000790.000072099-8.73%0.00011635+47.28%1.7667✗3.262.7M2022-07-05
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.824310.755256-8.38%0.43936-46.70%0.3091✗2.161.9M2022-07-05
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.5374.162-8.27%3.68-18.89%0.1356✗0.665.1M2022-07-05
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2730.250557-8.22%0.286+4.76%0.8839✗1.911.2M2022-07-05
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.48741.367-8.10%0.78762-47.05%0.2546✓0.754,7612022-07-05
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.8252.6064-7.74%2.104-25.52%0.5159✗1.85124k2022-07-05
APEApeCoinEthereum6.0925.6323-7.55%4.911-19.39%0.7541✗2.2627.5M2022-07-05
FLOWFlownative2.4372.2754-6.63%1.602-34.26%0.0436✓1.00721k2022-07-05
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.2991.213-6.62%1.184-8.85%0.3703✗1.001.0M2022-07-05
GMTGMTEthereum0.9360.874105-6.61%0.903-3.53%0.9476✗2.322.6M2022-07-05
CBKCobakEthereum1.31041.2274-6.34%0.91331-30.31%0.1708✗1.186,7502022-07-05
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.732.5595-6.24%2.48-9.16%0.7901✗2.08271k2022-07-05
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.7421.6351-6.14%1.85+6.20%0.7772✗1.6679k2022-07-05
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana7.436.9787-6.07%6.12-17.63%0.0694✗0.511.4M2022-07-05
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.53792.3947-5.64%2.0787-18.09%0.2694✗1.043.1M2022-07-05
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.870.821252-5.60%1.0407+19.62%0.9115✗1.71237k2022-07-05
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.073.8524-5.35%3.11-23.59%0.1439✗0.911.2M2022-07-05
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana4.123.9058-5.20%3.7-10.19%0.2436✗0.751.3M2022-07-05
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.9232.7748-5.07%2.936+0.44%0.4127✗0.901.7M2022-07-05
DKAdKargoEthereum0.064240.061018-5.02%0.04396-31.57%0.1208✗1.1415k2022-07-05
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8040.76409-4.96%0.839+4.35%0.9098✗2.072.8M2022-07-05
API3Api3Ethereum1.5081.4337-4.93%2.125+40.92%1.0485✗1.66900k2022-07-05
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.9461.8518-4.84%1.291-33.66%0.3889✗1.90303k2022-07-05
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0810390.077122-4.83%0.06703-17.29%0.3455✗1.231.6M2022-07-05
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.11290.107557-4.73%0.0904-19.93%0.5603✗1.86451k2022-07-05
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.14030.13384-4.60%0.0973-30.65%0.0707✗0.99285k2022-07-05
OGOG Fan TokenSolana2.7542.6278-4.58%3.307+20.08%0.4852✗0.652.3M2022-07-05
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum29,859.6028,496.51-4.57%20,328.40-31.92%0.0467✗0.9775k2022-07-05
QTUMQtumQtum3.86883.6929-4.55%2.8613-26.04%0.2382✗1.2553k2022-07-05
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.35232.2456-4.54%1.7642-25.00%0.1585✗1.013.7M2022-07-05
BORABORAKlay Token0.411620.392989-4.53%0.29801-27.60%0.3580✗1.6118k2022-07-05
XYMSymbolnative0.056810.054271-4.47%0.051-10.23%0.2595✗0.8292k2022-07-05
AUCTIONBounceEthereum6.476.1817-4.46%5.31-17.93%0.4401✗1.50414k2022-07-05
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.004870.004655-4.42%0.00161-66.94%0.5581✓1.287,3792022-07-05
GLMRMoonbeamBase1.3711.3106-4.41%0.674-50.84%0.1323✗2.02399k2022-07-05
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.514.3124-4.38%4.06-9.98%0.2629✗0.82830k2022-07-05
CELLCellframeEthereum0.34230.327738-4.25%0.2658-22.35%0.4132✗1.5835k2022-07-05
XLMStellarStellar0.1433260.137327-4.19%0.107769-24.81%0.2334✗1.2111.2M2022-07-05
NEXONEXOEthereum1.2071.1566-4.18%0.602-50.12%0.2193✓1.101.2M2022-07-05
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum20.0819.2446-4.16%14.47-27.94%0.3608✗1.643.0M2022-07-05
DODODODOEthereum0.16520.158366-4.14%0.1219-26.21%0.3895✗1.652.6M2022-07-05
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.5960.571451-4.12%0.675+13.26%0.8559✗1.755,9962022-07-05
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.3820.366335-4.10%0.44014+15.22%0.7260✗1.37141k2022-07-05
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.019830.019021-4.08%0.02445+23.30%1.1908✗2.3837.4M2022-07-05
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.39140.375487-4.07%0.3075-21.44%0.3444✗1.3815.6M2022-07-05
XEMNEMnative0.0510070.048952-4.03%0.040319-20.95%0.4118✗1.5445k2022-07-05
ADACardanoCardano0.56690.544134-4.02%0.4567-19.44%0.4483✗1.5844.7M2022-07-05
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum11.0510.6077-4.00%9.3-15.84%0.6186✗1.904.3M2022-07-05
FTTFTXEthereum26.1325.0878-3.99%25.16-3.71%0.3947✗0.999.5M2022-07-05
XMRMoneroMonero187.77180.3096-3.97%122.3-34.87%0.0410✗1.092.4M2022-07-05
GITCOINGITCOIN2.7312.6225-3.97%2.5475-6.72%0.8106✗2.1313k2022-07-05
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.16550.159043-3.90%0.1261-23.81%0.3839✗1.5676k2022-07-05
IMXImmutableEthereum0.9770.939113-3.88%0.9895+1.28%0.7725✗1.833.0M2022-07-05
GLMGolemEthereum0.30010.288475-3.87%0.2401-19.99%0.3485✗1.35107k2022-07-05
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.425.2127-3.83%4.44-18.08%0.1540✗0.801.9M2022-07-05
QNTQuantEthereum64.7662.3047-3.79%59.71-7.80%0.4217✗1.182.3M2022-07-05
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0288590.027766-3.79%0.020598-28.63%0.1597✗1.1612k2022-07-05
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.2940.282879-3.78%0.2231-24.12%0.3068✗1.38330k2022-07-05
UMAUMAEthereum3.0772.9628-3.71%2.633-14.43%0.4397✗1.411.4M2022-07-05
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.32970.317535-3.69%0.1943-41.07%0.0405✗1.35311k2022-07-05
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.48972.398-3.68%1.8084-27.36%0.2588✗1.3759k2022-07-05
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.5040.485441-3.68%0.3805-24.50%0.4735✗1.82683k2022-07-05
XVGVergenative0.004930.004749-3.68%0.00303-38.54%0.1948✗1.63753k2022-07-05
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.18783.0715-3.65%2.415-24.24%0.3918✗1.605.2M2022-07-05
NMRNumeraireEthereum11.7211.2935-3.64%17.9+52.73%0.8644✗1.02396k2022-07-05
STXStacksnative0.53290.513588-3.62%0.4007-24.81%0.2104✗1.16165k2022-07-05
CVCCivicEthereum0.18220.175611-3.62%0.1431-21.46%0.3838✗1.49199k2022-07-05
FILFilecoinFilecoin7.3587.0925-3.61%5.479-25.54%0.3456✗1.532.9M2022-07-05
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.038550.037166-3.59%0.0276-28.40%0.2758✗1.4520k2022-07-05
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.630.607403-3.59%0.536-14.92%0.5139✗1.62163k2022-07-05
BTCBitcoinBitcoin29,901.5428,840.42-3.55%20,153.51-32.60%0.0361✓1.00638.2M2022-07-05
SKLSKALEEthereum0.0680.065601-3.53%0.0466-31.47%0.3642✗1.791.8M2022-07-05
BANDBandEthereum1.6291.572-3.50%1.325-18.66%0.5002✗1.70342k2022-07-05
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV56.44354.5013-3.44%54.116-4.12%0.4070✗1.051.1M2022-07-05
YFIyearn.financeEthereum7,431.127,175.74-3.44%6,140.60-17.37%0.3586✗1.303.9M2022-07-05
SUNSun TokenTron0.0096850.009353-3.43%0.006187-36.12%0.0263✓1.112,4432022-07-05
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.012110.011704-3.35%0.00988-18.41%0.4717✗1.6317.8M2022-07-05
XECeCashnative0.000048170.000046556-3.35%0.00004156-13.72%0.4545✗1.443.4M2022-07-05
LSKLiskEthereum1.38491.3388-3.33%1.0387-25.00%0.2216✗1.2054k2022-07-05
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.066660.064442-3.33%0.04963-25.55%0.6168✗2.232.5M2022-07-05
DASHDashDash58.5356.62-3.26%43.13-26.31%0.2225✗1.25948k2022-07-05
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.0880.085129-3.26%0.0507-42.39%0.2229✓0.75299k2022-07-05
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.004190.004055-3.23%0.002587-38.26%0.0258✓1.202.2M2022-07-05
UOSUltraEthereum0.367170.355315-3.23%0.25813-29.70%0.2496✗1.44546k2022-07-05
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4770.461919-3.16%0.394-17.40%0.3333✗1.2519k2022-07-05
TRBTellor TributesEthereum10.39.9761-3.14%11.11+7.86%0.8936✗1.99197k2022-07-05
GALAGALAEthereum0.07460.072309-3.07%0.0532-28.69%0.4449✗1.91142k2022-07-05
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.8132.7267-3.07%2.221-21.05%0.4623✗1.69271k2022-07-05
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.2091.172-3.06%0.9543-21.07%0.3423✗1.396.2M2022-07-05
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.052120.050553-3.01%0.04112-21.11%0.2122✗1.064,6802022-07-05
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.08690.084346-2.94%0.0817-5.98%0.5723✗1.53172k2022-07-05
DOTPolkadotPolkadot9.3399.0648-2.94%6.845-26.71%0.3132✗1.5113.7M2022-07-05
ZENHorizenBase19.7219.1474-2.90%14.6-25.96%0.3795✗1.6579k2022-07-05
KSMKusamaHydration67.6965.7691-2.84%50.3-25.69%0.2620✗1.341.4M2022-07-05
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.533.4303-2.83%2.828-19.89%0.1707✗0.921.6M2022-07-05
SUSHISushiEthereum1.541.497-2.79%1.08-29.87%0.3531✗1.721.5M2022-07-05
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12940.125805-2.78%0.1039-19.71%0.3218✗1.30951k2022-07-05
LRCLoopringEthereum0.50590.491892-2.77%0.4041-20.12%0.4542✗1.65159k2022-07-05
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008950.008703-2.77%0.00659-26.37%0.1574✗1.10917k2022-07-05
MINAMina Protocolnative0.8370.813921-2.76%0.65-22.34%0.4578✗1.73622k2022-07-05
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.34870.339107-2.75%0.2713-22.20%0.3273✗1.406.7M2022-07-05
HIVEHivenative0.5510.535939-2.73%0.4418-19.82%0.3587✗1.401.6M2022-07-05
AMPAmpEthereum0.011460.011148-2.73%0.00911-20.51%0.2393✗1.121.7M2022-07-05
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.14080.136966-2.72%0.1149-18.39%0.4923✗1.693.6M2022-07-05
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12740.123939-2.72%0.1037-18.60%0.3089✗1.2313k2022-07-05
STORJStorjEthereum0.577980.562414-2.69%0.63801+10.39%0.7523✗1.5965k2022-07-05
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.730.710372-2.69%0.4874-33.23%0.2968✗1.711.1M2022-07-05
ETCEthereum Classicnative21.821.2157-2.68%14.91-31.61%0.1683✗1.323.1M2022-07-05
RADRadworksEthereum2.112.0541-2.65%1.59-24.64%0.2401✗1.26233k2022-07-05
AVTAventusEthereum1.051.0222-2.64%1.51+43.81%0.7525✗0.92152k2022-07-05
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0012620.001229-2.58%0.000955-24.33%0.3952✗1.641.8M2022-07-05
COTICOTIEthereum0.11880.11575-2.57%0.093-21.72%0.4593✗1.721.2M2022-07-05
BTTCBTTC0.000001090.000001062-2.56%8.70e-7-20.18%0.1507✗0.897.0M2022-07-05
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.6092.5449-2.46%2.649+1.53%0.8554✗2.073.3M2022-07-05
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.4074480.397452-2.45%0.301121-26.10%0.3045✗1.482.5M2022-07-05
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.009020.0088-2.44%0.006866-23.88%0.0822✗0.84184k2022-07-05
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.647.4553-2.42%6.305-17.47%0.4201✗1.4927.1M2022-07-05
MOVRMoonriverBase20.915320.4125-2.40%12.0365-42.45%0.0952✗1.58239k2022-07-05
CTSICartesiEthereum0.21920.214013-2.37%0.1479-32.53%0.2400✗1.54572k2022-07-05
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.8580.837819-2.35%0.621-27.62%0.1590✗1.16487k2022-07-05
NANOnanopayBase1.16471.1375-2.34%0.836041-28.22%0.2157✗1.33170k2022-07-05
MANADecentralandEthereum0.976430.954221-2.27%0.87377-10.51%0.6117✗1.77855k2022-07-05
XTZTezosTezos1.95031.9063-2.26%1.4657-24.85%0.2619✗1.33928k2022-07-05
CTKShentuOsmosis0.7960.778134-2.24%0.781-1.88%0.4830✗1.212.3M2022-07-05
SCSiacoinnative0.005590.005467-2.19%0.00379-32.20%0.3024✗1.70259k2022-07-05
DIADIAEthereum0.443670.433963-2.19%0.38098-14.13%0.1232✗0.64190k2022-07-05
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.02550.024943-2.18%0.02034-20.24%0.0460✗0.63516k2022-07-05
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.1560.152645-2.15%0.0965-38.14%0.2100✗1.696.4M2022-07-05
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos9.1668.9729-2.11%8.91-2.79%0.5869✗1.5116.5M2022-07-05
BRISEBitgertEthereum6.49e-76.35e-7-2.10%3.46e-7-46.72%0.2051✓1.02961k2022-07-05
KCSKuCoinnative16.33115.9917-2.08%8.821-45.99%0.1824✓1.056.9M2022-07-05
CHZChilizEthereum0.12620.123602-2.06%0.0986-21.87%0.3301✗1.41996k2022-07-05
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000010780.000010559-2.05%0.00001032-4.27%0.5410✗1.43957k2022-07-05
LCXLCXEthereum0.06460.063306-2.00%0.0598-7.43%0.4129✗1.19386k2022-07-05
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche24.1523.6745-1.97%18.03-25.34%0.3716✗1.6352.5M2022-07-05
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.028410.027876-1.88%0.01956-31.15%0.0428✗1.01184k2022-07-05
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03410.033462-1.87%0.0364+6.74%0.7129✗1.59224k2022-07-05
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3870.379811-1.86%0.279-27.91%0.1811✗1.241.0M2022-07-05
TRXTRONTron0.0813680.079871-1.84%0.068129-16.27%0.1809✗0.861.2M2022-07-05
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0152520.014983-1.76%0.011942-21.70%0.2438✗1.192.6M2022-07-05
GTGateEthereum5.4015.308-1.72%4.0529-24.96%0.0414✓0.583.9M2022-07-05
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.347.2155-1.70%5.504-25.01%0.3977✗1.6910.1M2022-07-05
ETHEthereumEthereum1,804.701,774.37-1.68%1,131.26-37.32%0.0207✓1.09344.3M2022-07-05
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.14830.145906-1.61%0.0744-49.83%0.0484✗1.832,8332022-07-05
ORCAOrcaSolana0.850.836472-1.59%0.02292-97.30%3.1508✓1.1381k2022-07-05
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.202060.198978-1.53%0.12055-40.34%0.2306✗1.85298k2022-07-05
ZECZcashZcash90.3689.0091-1.50%57.05-36.86%0.0754✗1.324.3M2022-07-05
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.721.6947-1.47%1.43-16.86%0.5858✗1.92580k2022-07-05
UNIUniswapEthereum5.0925.0173-1.47%5.295+3.99%0.6221✗1.442.6M2022-07-05
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.014820.014603-1.46%0.015798+6.60%0.3521✗0.69212k2022-07-05
LTCLitecoinLitecoin63.162.1822-1.45%49.65-21.32%0.2857✗1.2918.2M2022-07-05
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.60640.597592-1.45%0.7492+23.55%0.8028✗1.463.6M2022-07-05
SOLSolanaSolana38.4937.9427-1.42%35.37-8.11%0.5415✗1.55112.7M2022-07-05
LPTLivepeerEthereum12.3312.1586-1.39%8.35-32.28%0.1258✗1.27546k2022-07-05
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.383.3333-1.38%2.6-23.08%0.1817✗1.09663k2022-07-05
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.7222.6849-1.36%2.326-14.55%0.3031✗1.1363k2022-07-05
COMPCompoundEthereum58.4557.6549-1.36%46.7-20.10%0.3940✗1.5331k2022-07-05
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.10915.0412-1.33%5.7325+12.20%0.2643✗0.34270k2022-07-05
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.261.2462-1.10%0.4872-61.33%0.4885✓1.1477k2022-07-05
WOOWOOEthereum0.16010.159526-0.36%0.1853+15.74%0.7425✗1.502,3482022-07-05
XVSVenusEthereum4.534.5186-0.25%4.93+8.83%0.8329✗1.891.6M2022-07-05
AAVEAaveEthereum103.57103.3769-0.19%60.57-41.52%0.1702✗1.798.9M2022-07-05
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash179.67179.3369-0.19%103.95-42.14%0.0473✓1.264.6M2022-07-05
BFCBifrostEthereum0.06660.068839+3.36%0.05704-14.35%0.2969✓1.2323k2022-07-05
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.