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2022-06-02 · +30d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 169 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.0381
169 of 169 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-16.64%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
10.1%
in alpha space · 88.8% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-36.83%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (169 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
BFCBifrostEthereum0.070820.073003+3.08%0.05454-22.99%0.2755✓1.2318k2022-07-02
WOOWOOEthereum0.16080.161525+0.45%0.1549-3.67%0.6346✓1.471,8812022-07-02
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash188.75188.7641+0.01%106.4-43.63%0.0086✓1.274.7M2022-07-02
AAVEAaveEthereum110.87110.7069-0.15%57.8-47.87%0.1741✗1.799.0M2022-07-02
XVSVenusEthereum4.94.8892-0.22%4.61-5.92%0.8074✗1.891.8M2022-07-02
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.261.2551-0.39%0.4878-61.29%0.4215✓1.1499k2022-07-02
COMPCompoundEthereum57.457.1616-0.42%47-18.12%0.5154✗1.5532k2022-07-02
LPTLivepeerEthereum12.2212.1488-0.58%8.33-31.83%0.2088✗1.28563k2022-07-02
ZECZcashZcash91.290.6092-0.65%54-40.79%0.0939✗1.334.6M2022-07-02
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.94614.9114-0.70%5.73+15.85%0.3084✗0.34289k2022-07-02
GTGateEthereum5.45045.4117-0.71%4.1037-24.71%0.0119✓0.584.1M2022-07-02
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.821.804-0.88%1.54-15.38%0.7228✗1.92602k2022-07-02
SOLSolanaSolana40.8240.4209-0.98%33.33-18.35%0.5191✗1.55117.0M2022-07-02
LTCLitecoinLitecoin64.3863.7481-0.98%50.5-21.56%0.3639✗1.3019.8M2022-07-02
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.209530.207365-1.03%0.12309-41.25%0.3265✗1.85298k2022-07-02
ETHEthereumEthereum1,832.451,812.74-1.08%1,065.61-41.85%0.0298✓1.09393.0M2022-07-02
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.63370.626729-1.10%0.7435+17.33%0.8449✗1.473.7M2022-07-02
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.02090.02066-1.15%0.02025-3.11%0.2772✗0.65516k2022-07-02
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03530.034889-1.16%0.0374+5.95%0.8020✗1.59276k2022-07-02
ORCAOrcaSolana0.830.820169-1.18%0.7342-11.54%0.4160✗1.1591k2022-07-02
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0155150.015319-1.26%0.012077-22.16%0.3163✗1.213.1M2022-07-02
CHZChilizEthereum0.12470.123122-1.27%0.097-22.21%0.4254✗1.451.1M2022-07-02
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.8612.8234-1.31%2.242-21.64%0.2916✗1.1463k2022-07-02
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3740.369074-1.32%0.274-26.74%0.2717✗1.241.0M2022-07-02
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.027860.027492-1.32%0.01947-30.11%0.1217✗1.02188k2022-07-02
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.143.0969-1.37%2.54-19.11%0.3004✗1.09642k2022-07-02
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche24.6324.2907-1.38%16.3-33.82%0.3471✗1.6253.9M2022-07-02
NANOnanopayBase1.16821.1512-1.46%0.811141-30.57%0.2635✗1.34174k2022-07-02
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.15220.149973-1.46%0.0942-38.11%0.3124✗1.696.6M2022-07-02
AVTAventusEthereum1.051.0343-1.50%1.41+34.29%0.7380✗0.93168k2022-07-02
LCXLCXEthereum0.06720.066187-1.51%0.0586-12.80%0.4270✗1.19410k2022-07-02
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.00001120.000011029-1.53%0.00001006-10.18%0.5675✗1.441.0M2022-07-02
UNIUniswapEthereum5.2985.2157-1.55%4.91-7.32%0.6037✗1.452.6M2022-07-02
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.008480.008345-1.60%0.00655-22.76%0.1518✗0.86180k2022-07-02
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8020.788982-1.62%0.808+0.75%0.5875✗1.232.4M2022-07-02
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.930.914272-1.69%0.635-31.72%0.1680✗1.16487k2022-07-02
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0155450.015279-1.71%0.014552-6.39%0.2771✗0.71198k2022-07-02
STORJStorjEthereum0.594720.584392-1.74%0.67442+13.40%0.8740✗1.5968k2022-07-02
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos9.6299.4599-1.76%8.055-16.35%0.5343✗1.5117.6M2022-07-02
CTSICartesiEthereum0.19810.194571-1.78%0.1485-25.04%0.4581✗1.59493k2022-07-02
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.1917.0614-1.80%6.216-13.56%0.5552✗1.4926.4M2022-07-02
MANADecentralandEthereum1.03751.0187-1.81%0.83424-19.59%0.6158✗1.78958k2022-07-02
BTTCBTTC0.000001090.00000107-1.83%8.10e-7-25.69%0.1319✗0.897.6M2022-07-02
SCSiacoinnative0.005730.005624-1.84%0.00383-33.16%0.3900✗1.69291k2022-07-02
XTZTezosTezos1.9841.9468-1.87%1.4544-26.69%0.3210✗1.331.0M2022-07-02
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.5210.510793-1.96%0.3936-24.45%0.5769✗1.82739k2022-07-02
KSMKusamaHydration73.5772.123-1.97%48.79-33.68%0.2206✗1.331.7M2022-07-02
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.16270.159491-1.97%0.0764-53.04%0.2766✓1.003,4622022-07-02
MINAMina Protocolnative0.8740.856632-1.99%0.62-29.06%0.4733✗1.73710k2022-07-02
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.14130.138479-2.00%0.1126-20.31%0.5795✗1.713.8M2022-07-02
DIADIAEthereum0.442370.433421-2.02%0.3728-15.73%0.1568✗0.67165k2022-07-02
MOVRMoonriverBase21.639721.1985-2.04%11.6269-46.27%0.1290✗1.59239k2022-07-02
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12830.125616-2.09%0.1043-18.71%0.3809✗1.2314k2022-07-02
TRXTRONTron0.0843340.082553-2.11%0.064647-23.34%0.1516✗0.861.4M2022-07-02
ETCEthereum Classicnative22.4221.9418-2.13%14.76-34.17%0.2125✗1.333.4M2022-07-02
AMPAmpEthereum0.011840.011584-2.16%0.00912-22.97%0.2756✗1.121.9M2022-07-02
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.009470.009264-2.18%0.00629-33.58%0.1307✗1.13943k2022-07-02
COTICOTIEthereum0.1240.121279-2.19%0.0919-25.89%0.5175✗1.731.3M2022-07-02
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.2551.2267-2.26%0.7773-38.06%0.1835✗1.396.8M2022-07-02
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.13260.129602-2.26%0.1028-22.47%0.3672✗1.30997k2022-07-02
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.35660.348309-2.32%0.2696-24.40%0.3883✗1.407.3M2022-07-02
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.4933.4116-2.33%2.791-20.10%0.2242✗0.931.7M2022-07-02
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.08740.085356-2.34%0.0495-43.36%0.2023✓0.75299k2022-07-02
TRBTellor TributesEthereum10.810.5452-2.36%10.21-5.46%0.8875✗2.00252k2022-07-02
KCSKuCoinnative17.52117.1055-2.37%8.651-50.62%0.1989✓1.056.9M2022-07-02
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.55112.4888-2.44%1.8386-27.93%0.3282✗1.3781k2022-07-02
ZENHorizenBase20.7620.2465-2.47%13.64-34.30%0.3622✗1.6591k2022-07-02
HIVEHivenative0.57850.564122-2.49%0.4554-21.28%0.4276✗1.401.4M2022-07-02
DASHDashDash59.8358.3273-2.51%42.83-28.41%0.2681✗1.261.0M2022-07-02
DOTPolkadotPolkadot9.889.6313-2.52%6.814-31.03%0.3440✗1.5014.7M2022-07-02
GALAGALAEthereum0.07630.074376-2.52%0.0533-30.14%0.5449✗1.91159k2022-07-02
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.06850.066764-2.53%0.04887-28.66%0.7137✗2.232.8M2022-07-02
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.7480.728609-2.59%0.4908-34.39%0.3911✗1.711.5M2022-07-02
LRCLoopringEthereum0.55520.540512-2.65%0.3821-31.18%0.4116✗1.65193k2022-07-02
CVCCivicEthereum0.18010.175285-2.67%0.1406-21.93%0.4659✗1.49260k2022-07-02
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0012670.001233-2.67%0.0009498-25.04%0.4992✗1.651.8M2022-07-02
RADRadworksEthereum2.082.0242-2.68%1.59-23.56%0.3403✗1.27233k2022-07-02
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.004160.004048-2.70%0.00266-36.06%0.1351✗1.212.2M2022-07-02
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.31810.309427-2.73%0.1806-43.23%0.0886✗1.37392k2022-07-02
GITCOINGITCOIN2.7712.6954-2.73%2.5-9.78%0.9060✗2.1416k2022-07-02
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV53.90952.4299-2.74%53.894-0.03%0.5169✗1.071.2M2022-07-02
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum9.449.1785-2.77%5.236-44.53%0.2071✗1.679.4M2022-07-02
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.08270.08039-2.79%0.0498-39.78%0.2263✗1.54166k2022-07-02
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.8872.8061-2.80%2.21-23.45%0.5437✗1.70271k2022-07-02
YFIyearn.financeEthereum7,580.117,367.58-2.80%6,015.98-20.63%0.4040✗1.323.9M2022-07-02
XEMNEMnative0.0515340.050087-2.81%0.04783-7.19%0.6578✗1.5342k2022-07-02
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6510.632711-2.81%0.477-26.73%0.4612✗1.62190k2022-07-02
BTCBitcoinBitcoin30,433.7529,569.65-2.84%19,224.03-36.83%0.0288✗1.00749.9M2022-07-02
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.011940.0116-2.85%0.0093-22.11%0.5412✗1.6620.9M2022-07-02
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.16e-76.95e-7-2.90%3.29e-7-54.09%0.2979✓0.981.1M2022-07-02
LSKLiskEthereum1.38641.3455-2.95%1.0423-24.82%0.2896✗1.1952k2022-07-02
UMAUMAEthereum3.1733.0788-2.97%2.539-19.98%0.4655✗1.431.6M2022-07-02
XECeCashnative0.000049190.000047719-2.99%0.0000382-22.34%0.4410✗1.443.9M2022-07-02
SKLSKALEEthereum0.06870.066599-3.06%0.045-34.50%0.4291✗1.791.9M2022-07-02
NMRNumeraireEthereum11.9811.6102-3.09%18.11+51.17%0.9159✗1.03446k2022-07-02
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum11.310.949-3.11%8.51-24.69%0.6215✗1.905.4M2022-07-02
BANDBandEthereum1.681.6268-3.17%1.308-22.14%0.5636✗1.70389k2022-07-02
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.398850.386203-3.17%0.41244+3.41%0.6984✗1.38147k2022-07-02
ADACardanoCardano0.5870.568368-3.17%0.4552-22.45%0.5054✗1.5849.8M2022-07-02
XVGVergenative0.004990.004828-3.24%0.00285-42.89%0.2196✗1.63793k2022-07-02
QNTQuantEthereum68.3266.093-3.26%55.8-18.33%0.3761✗1.192.5M2022-07-02
FILFilecoinFilecoin7.737.4764-3.28%5.331-31.03%0.3641✗1.533.3M2022-07-02
FTTFTXEthereum27.1526.2565-3.29%24.62-9.32%0.3908✗0.9910.2M2022-07-02
UOSUltraEthereum0.37410.361777-3.29%0.25487-31.87%0.3171✗1.45681k2022-07-02
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.21353.1069-3.32%2.4435-23.96%0.5114✗1.646.1M2022-07-02
QTUMQtumQtum3.97323.8409-3.33%2.7989-29.56%0.2595✗1.2558k2022-07-02
CELLCellframeEthereum0.33850.326961-3.41%0.2545-24.82%0.4753✗1.5836k2022-07-02
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.00460.004443-3.42%0.00199-56.74%0.2149✓1.289,1402022-07-02
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.03930.03794-3.46%0.02773-29.44%0.3492✗1.4422k2022-07-02
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.345.1551-3.46%4.45-16.67%0.2188✗0.802.6M2022-07-02
IMXImmutableEthereum0.9890.954742-3.46%0.8876-10.25%0.7606✗1.814.0M2022-07-02
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.39470.380902-3.50%0.3073-22.14%0.4191✗1.3818.0M2022-07-02
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.051710.049872-3.55%0.04019-22.28%0.2717✗1.064,6802022-07-02
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum21.1120.3561-3.57%13.91-34.11%0.3738✗1.643.1M2022-07-02
SUSHISushiEthereum1.681.6195-3.60%0.97-42.26%0.2754✗1.721.8M2022-07-02
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.028960.027897-3.67%0.020601-28.86%0.2289✗1.1613k2022-07-02
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.30020.289068-3.71%0.224-25.38%0.3770✗1.38318k2022-07-02
XLMStellarStellar0.1429830.137647-3.73%0.108439-24.16%0.3238✗1.2211.9M2022-07-02
STXStacksnative0.5670.545565-3.78%0.3856-31.99%0.1888✗1.17197k2022-07-02
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.09490.09129-3.80%0.086-9.38%0.8000✗1.87468k2022-07-02
GLMRMoonbeamBase1.3481.2965-3.82%0.679-49.63%0.2827✗2.02467k2022-07-02
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4790.46066-3.83%0.385-19.62%0.4010✗1.2620k2022-07-02
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.022.9018-3.91%2.602-13.84%0.8405✗2.073.9M2022-07-02
AUCTIONBounceEthereum6.536.2645-4.07%5.24-19.75%0.5131✗1.51427k2022-07-02
DODODODOEthereum0.16980.162883-4.07%0.1257-25.97%0.5043✗1.662.6M2022-07-02
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.020920.020057-4.12%0.02298+9.85%1.2309✗2.3841.1M2022-07-02
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.374.1867-4.19%3.86-11.67%0.2954✗0.82824k2022-07-02
XYMSymbolnative0.0582130.055749-4.23%0.052801-9.30%0.3222✗0.82106k2022-07-02
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.17280.165435-4.26%0.1159-32.93%0.3600✗1.5693k2022-07-02
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.8411.7604-4.38%1.44-21.78%0.5616✗1.66110k2022-07-02
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum30,442.4029,105.74-4.39%19,272.40-36.69%0.0353✓0.9777k2022-07-02
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.793.6233-4.40%3.12-17.68%0.2727✗0.921.0M2022-07-02
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.26032.1578-4.54%1.7595-22.16%0.2602✗1.013.6M2022-07-02
OGOG Fan TokenSolana2.6522.5284-4.66%3.272+23.38%0.5626✗0.661.6M2022-07-02
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.9961.9023-4.70%1.275-36.12%0.4694✗1.89390k2022-07-02
NEXONEXOEthereum1.2591.1995-4.72%0.569-54.81%0.2450✓1.091.3M2022-07-02
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7230.688493-4.77%0.875+21.02%1.2472✗2.192.2M2022-07-02
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.15140.144112-4.81%0.1026-32.23%0.0993✗0.96307k2022-07-02
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.4642.3432-4.90%2.977+20.82%0.6653✗0.93953k2022-07-02
XMRMoneroMonero201.25191.2233-4.98%115.95-42.39%0.0027✓1.092.5M2022-07-02
DKAdKargoEthereum0.06170.058617-5.00%0.04414-28.46%0.2466✗1.1515k2022-07-02
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana4.053.8466-5.02%3.63-10.37%0.2897✗0.761.2M2022-07-02
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.772.625-5.23%2.52-9.03%0.9226✗2.10311k2022-07-02
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.46842.3361-5.36%2.142-13.22%0.3917✗1.043.0M2022-07-02
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.640.605564-5.38%0.683+6.72%0.9237✗1.759,1622022-07-02
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.920.869326-5.51%1.1402+23.93%1.0601✗1.72274k2022-07-02
BORABORAKlay Token0.434870.410652-5.57%0.29804-31.46%0.4184✗1.6118k2022-07-02
API3Api3Ethereum1.6361.5435-5.66%1.776+8.56%0.9124✗1.681.1M2022-07-02
SUNSun TokenTron0.009990.009404-5.87%0.005702-42.92%0.0103✓1.112,5562022-07-02
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana7.36.8597-6.03%6.12-16.16%0.1158✗0.501.3M2022-07-02
CBKCobakEthereum1.3381.2524-6.40%0.92699-30.72%0.2413✗1.187,1582022-07-02
FLOWFlownative2.5542.3876-6.51%1.535-39.90%0.0176✓1.00872k2022-07-02
GLMGolemEthereum0.33540.311929-7.00%0.2245-33.06%0.2945✗1.36116k2022-07-02
APEApeCoinEthereum6.3965.8965-7.81%4.515-29.41%0.7729✗2.2631.4M2022-07-02
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.7372.5232-7.81%1.829-33.18%0.1376✗1.00132k2022-07-02
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0827090.075681-8.50%0.066549-19.54%0.4383✗1.231.9M2022-07-02
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.5094.1178-8.68%3.721-17.48%0.2014✗0.664.1M2022-07-02
GMTGMTEthereum1.0530.958099-9.01%0.809-23.17%0.9061✗2.343.3M2022-07-02
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.53361.3948-9.06%0.71554-53.34%0.2980✓0.804,8222022-07-02
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.846830.768549-9.24%0.43217-48.97%0.4195✗2.17498k2022-07-02
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2940.266753-9.27%0.27-8.16%0.8899✗1.911.4M2022-07-02
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.4145170.372449-10.15%0.299812-27.67%0.4600✗1.472.9M2022-07-02
ASTRAstarEthereum0.06360.05706-10.28%0.043-32.39%0.5003✗1.7064k2022-07-02
PROPropyEthereum0.960.861057-10.31%0.83-13.54%0.3622✗0.87195k2022-07-02
STEEMSteemnative0.27280.24318-10.86%0.2145-21.37%0.6086✗1.60660k2022-07-02
LUNATerraTerra 20.000101210.000089185-11.88%0.00012312+21.65%1.8241✗3.274.2M2022-07-02
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.08021.7848-14.20%1.2504-39.89%0.2726✗1.374.4M2022-07-02
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05450.04638-14.90%0.045-17.43%0.6339✗1.45720k2022-07-02
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4071.1594-17.60%1.242-11.73%0.7751✗1.545.4M2022-07-02
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.