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2022-05-29 · +30d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 169 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.0774
169 of 169 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-11.31%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
11.8%
in alpha space · 86.4% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-31.22%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (169 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3161.0953-16.77%1.308-0.61%0.7602✗1.567.3M2022-06-28
LUNATerraTerra 20.000103280.000088818-14.00%0.00010791+4.48%1.3048✗2.974.9M2022-06-28
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04930.042745-13.30%0.0448-9.13%0.5755✗1.411.0M2022-06-28
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.94911.6933-13.13%1.3393-31.29%0.2458✗1.285.5M2022-06-28
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.9720.849932-12.56%0.989+1.75%0.9857✗2.232.0M2022-06-28
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3900590.348452-10.67%0.317444-18.62%0.4576✗1.473.6M2022-06-28
ASTRAstarEthereum0.05730.051387-10.32%0.0466-18.67%0.5183✗1.6573k2022-06-28
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0825980.074469-9.84%0.065943-20.16%0.3370✗1.232.8M2022-06-28
STEEMSteemnative0.24660.223051-9.55%0.219-11.19%0.6226✗1.71782k2022-06-28
DODODODOEthereum0.1780.161125-9.48%0.1208-32.13%0.3764✗1.782.6M2022-06-28
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.2773.9077-8.63%3.8-11.15%0.1756✗0.544.3M2022-06-28
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.48631.3595-8.53%0.78691-47.06%0.2493✓0.795,6992022-06-28
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.616560.567999-7.88%0.49508-19.70%0.5740✗1.90397k2022-06-28
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.5932.3942-7.67%1.957-24.53%0.1727✗1.00132k2022-06-28
PROPropyEthereum0.980.911177-7.02%0.89-9.18%0.2906✗0.84246k2022-06-28
FLOWFlownative2.4312.2627-6.92%1.608-33.85%0.0327✓1.001.1M2022-06-28
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana7.617.0878-6.86%6.25-17.87%0.0253✓0.401.3M2022-06-28
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.840.783369-6.74%0.7251-13.68%0.5425✗1.66329k2022-06-28
APEApeCoinEthereum6.2325.8157-6.68%4.897-21.42%0.7002✗2.3341.9M2022-06-28
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.6170.577633-6.38%0.647+4.86%0.7408✗1.6811k2022-06-28
BORABORAKlay Token0.428760.401898-6.27%0.30824-28.11%0.3703✗1.7021k2022-06-28
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.34812.2211-5.41%2.2052-6.09%0.3968✗1.083.0M2022-06-28
GMTGMTEthereum1.0781.0198-5.40%0.876-18.74%0.7409✗2.393.8M2022-06-28
SUNSun TokenTron0.009240.008742-5.39%0.005802-37.21%0.0143✓1.135,3132022-06-28
DKAdKargoEthereum0.05450.051587-5.35%0.04874-10.57%0.3704✗1.1414k2022-06-28
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2050.194129-5.30%0.271+32.20%1.0017✗1.791.4M2022-06-28
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.522.3876-5.25%2.7+7.14%0.8537✗1.95354k2022-06-28
XYMSymbolnative0.0560.053075-5.22%0.052599-6.07%0.2923✗0.81119k2022-06-28
NEXONEXOEthereum1.2471.1819-5.22%0.621-50.20%0.2190✓1.131.8M2022-06-28
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.02250.021333-5.19%0.02343+4.13%0.9847✗2.3826.5M2022-06-28
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.4362.3128-5.06%3.039+24.75%0.6594✗1.03811k2022-06-28
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.15930.151326-5.01%0.1286-19.27%0.1572✗0.85313k2022-06-28
CBKCobakEthereum1.16931.1108-5.00%0.98938-15.39%0.3252✗1.187,1582022-06-28
IMXImmutableEthereum1.0110.961463-4.90%0.8635-14.59%0.5492✗1.754.2M2022-06-28
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.21712.1097-4.84%1.81-18.36%0.2148✗0.984.2M2022-06-28
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.004480.004266-4.79%0.002688-40.00%0.0043✓1.229,8712022-06-28
API3Api3Ethereum1.631.5526-4.75%1.657+1.66%0.7008✗1.701.6M2022-06-28
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.444.2377-4.56%3.93-11.49%0.2177✗0.78829k2022-06-28
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5030.480405-4.49%0.348-30.82%0.1593✗1.2930k2022-06-28
OGOG Fan TokenSolana2.6042.4883-4.44%3.055+17.32%0.4828✗0.741.3M2022-06-28
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.9051.8209-4.41%1.224-35.75%0.3274✗1.94508k2022-06-28
AUCTIONBounceEthereum6.626.3289-4.40%5.12-22.66%0.3321✗1.45535k2022-06-28
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.7571.6802-4.37%1.365-22.31%0.3949✗1.61110k2022-06-28
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana4.284.0974-4.27%3.64-14.95%0.1629✗0.75921k2022-06-28
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.10830.103684-4.26%0.1012-6.56%0.6791✗1.88501k2022-06-28
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.723.5615-4.26%3.06-17.74%0.2009✗0.94741k2022-06-28
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0268990.025758-4.24%0.02148-20.15%0.2413✗1.1313k2022-06-28
SKLSKALEEthereum0.06630.063518-4.20%0.0529-20.21%0.4911✗1.802.2M2022-06-28
GLMRMoonbeamBase1.2281.1775-4.11%0.648-47.23%0.0938✗1.85478k2022-06-28
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum29,404.7028,213.13-4.05%20,284.10-31.02%0.0326✓0.9778k2022-06-28
UOSUltraEthereum0.363020.348339-4.04%0.268-26.17%0.2951✗1.49751k2022-06-28
XEMNEMnative0.04910.047185-3.90%0.040352-17.82%0.4149✗1.5331k2022-06-28
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.9180.88235-3.88%0.74-19.39%0.2634✗1.17658k2022-06-28
QTUMQtumQtum3.85673.7116-3.76%2.8847-25.20%0.2104✗1.2463k2022-06-28
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.2513.1305-3.71%2.5339-22.06%0.4217✗1.696.5M2022-06-28
XLMStellarStellar0.1309160.126149-3.64%0.114237-12.74%0.3389✗1.1710.5M2022-06-28
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.375.1751-3.63%4.63-13.78%0.1786✗0.772.8M2022-06-28
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.012390.011941-3.63%0.00936-24.46%0.3528✗1.5922.3M2022-06-28
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.37860.365182-3.54%0.3124-17.49%0.3384✗1.3217.7M2022-06-28
QNTQuantEthereum66.3664.0203-3.53%57.6-13.20%0.3179✗1.132.6M2022-06-28
CELLCellframeEthereum0.3140.30294-3.52%0.2323-26.02%0.2900✗1.4845k2022-06-28
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.036650.035365-3.51%0.02843-22.43%0.3316✗1.4736k2022-06-28
GALAGALAEthereum0.07860.075854-3.49%0.0563-28.37%0.4119✗1.90173k2022-06-28
FTTFTXEthereum27.2826.342-3.44%25.63-6.05%0.3467✗1.0010.2M2022-06-28
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum18.4817.8489-3.42%15.29-17.26%0.3953✗1.473.1M2022-06-28
NMRNumeraireEthereum12.2711.851-3.41%9.27-24.45%0.1197✗0.98473k2022-06-28
PHAPHALAEthereum0.13060.126205-3.37%0.1008-22.82%0.2461✗1.2616k2022-06-28
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.08710.084202-3.33%0.0556-36.17%0.1888✗1.61162k2022-06-28
XVGVergenative0.004950.004786-3.32%0.00303-38.79%0.1251✗1.56807k2022-06-28
STXStacksnative0.520.502783-3.31%0.4147-20.25%0.2343✗1.14217k2022-06-28
UMAUMAEthereum3.1863.0823-3.25%2.591-18.68%0.3682✗1.452.2M2022-06-28
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.25990.25147-3.24%0.2321-10.70%0.4296✗1.36318k2022-06-28
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum10.149.8147-3.21%8.81-13.12%0.5156✗1.676.1M2022-06-28
FILFilecoinFilecoin7.617.3686-3.17%5.516-27.52%0.2663✗1.494.6M2022-06-28
RADRadworksEthereum2.172.1014-3.16%1.76-18.89%0.2849✗1.23247k2022-06-28
GITCOINGITCOIN2.4962.4171-3.16%2.7158+8.81%0.8617✗1.9916k2022-06-28
ADACardanoCardano0.48170.466548-3.15%0.469-2.64%0.5485✗1.4544.7M2022-06-28
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.047910.046418-3.11%0.0434-9.41%0.3303✗1.064,9292022-06-28
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.372280.360766-3.09%0.3695-0.75%0.5425✗1.39168k2022-06-28
BTCBitcoinBitcoin29,447.0728,536.49-3.09%20,252.89-31.22%0.0314✗1.00676.2M2022-06-28
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.62.5199-3.08%2.488-4.31%0.7020✗1.914.0M2022-06-28
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6120.593321-3.05%0.531-13.24%0.4880✗1.60210k2022-06-28
BANDBandEthereum1.5471.5001-3.03%1.367-11.64%0.5132✗1.62418k2022-06-28
XECeCashnative0.000047790.000046344-3.03%0.00003938-17.60%0.3706✗1.434.7M2022-06-28
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.55842.4812-3.02%1.855-27.49%0.2158✗1.3588k2022-06-28
SPELLSpellEthereum0.001290.001251-3.02%0.0008908-30.95%0.3005✗1.712.2M2022-06-28
ETCEthereum Classicnative23.6522.9453-2.98%15.41-34.84%0.1003✗1.333.9M2022-06-28
SUSHISushiEthereum1.51.4562-2.92%1.09-27.33%0.3188✗1.632.3M2022-06-28
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0143290.013913-2.90%0.015124+5.55%0.3626✗0.75176k2022-06-28
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV52.58251.0573-2.90%57.136+8.66%0.5054✗1.051.2M2022-06-28
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.9662.8806-2.88%2.717-8.40%0.5685✗1.67271k2022-06-28
CVCCivicEthereum0.16350.158928-2.80%0.1434-12.29%0.4652✗1.52314k2022-06-28
DOTPolkadotPolkadot9.989.7026-2.78%7.301-26.84%0.2744✗1.4913.8M2022-06-28
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.06550.063724-2.71%0.05048-22.93%0.6295✗2.302.9M2022-06-28
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.3323.2417-2.71%2.859-14.20%0.2500✗1.001.7M2022-06-28
ZENHorizenBase20.2519.7178-2.63%13.58-32.94%0.2476✗1.6696k2022-06-28
DASHDashDash57.6956.1756-2.63%46.27-19.80%0.2633✗1.221.2M2022-06-28
AMPAmpEthereum0.01180.011493-2.60%0.00876-25.76%0.1369✗1.092.1M2022-06-28
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.2531.2208-2.57%0.6951-44.53%0.0399✓1.406.8M2022-06-28
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.0870.084784-2.55%0.0526-39.54%0.1906✓0.77239k2022-06-28
XMRMoneroMonero185.63180.9427-2.53%117.52-36.69%0.0079✓1.132.5M2022-06-28
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8460.82483-2.50%0.772-8.75%0.3875✗1.212.5M2022-06-28
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.004220.004115-2.48%0.002893-31.45%0.1026✗1.222.1M2022-06-28
BRISEBitgertEthereum6.90e-76.73e-7-2.47%3.70e-7-46.35%0.2686✓0.881.5M2022-06-28
CTSICartesiEthereum0.19960.194684-2.46%0.1502-24.75%0.3479✗1.62493k2022-06-28
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.14620.142622-2.45%0.1188-18.74%0.4374✗1.6689k2022-06-28
GLMGolemEthereum0.25730.25119-2.37%0.2406-6.49%0.4716✗1.37105k2022-06-28
YFIyearn.financeEthereum7,435.407,259.98-2.36%5,637.11-24.19%0.2266✗1.283.5M2022-06-28
LRCLoopringEthereum0.49440.48285-2.34%0.3874-21.64%0.3730✗1.58217k2022-06-28
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.009290.009074-2.32%0.00669-27.99%0.1034✗1.09997k2022-06-28
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.27840.271983-2.31%0.1952-29.89%0.1647✗1.33420k2022-06-28
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.008450.008257-2.29%0.006893-18.43%0.1157✗0.79146k2022-06-28
TRBTellor TributesEthereum10.099.8608-2.27%10.58+4.86%0.7616✗1.85188k2022-06-28
COTICOTIEthereum0.11470.112099-2.27%0.0971-15.34%0.4991✗1.721.3M2022-06-28
MINAMina Protocolnative0.8880.867909-2.26%0.656-26.13%0.3348✗1.64749k2022-06-28
KSMKusamaHydration71.5569.9588-2.22%50.26-29.76%0.1686✗1.331.6M2022-06-28
LSKLiskEthereum1.24411.2171-2.17%1.1426-8.16%0.4009✗1.2454k2022-06-28
KCSKuCoinnative16.47416.1187-2.16%10.181-38.20%0.0643✓1.066.6M2022-06-28
MOVRMoonriverBase21.929521.4622-2.13%11.0131-49.78%0.0681✓1.60247k2022-06-28
MANADecentralandEthereum0.972980.952448-2.11%0.88757-8.78%0.5686✗1.711.2M2022-06-28
XTZTezosTezos1.98461.9429-2.10%1.5132-23.75%0.2491✗1.331.1M2022-06-28
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.1340.13121-2.08%0.1264-5.67%0.6081✗1.725.4M2022-06-28
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.023830.023343-2.05%0.01995-16.28%0.0565✗0.57582k2022-06-28
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.15780.154645-2.00%0.0762-51.71%0.3335✓1.003,0542022-06-28
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.126.9783-1.99%5.472-23.15%0.3452✗1.578.0M2022-06-28
STORJStorjEthereum0.550150.539262-1.98%0.75096+36.50%0.9376✗1.6265k2022-06-28
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03770.03696-1.96%0.0423+12.20%0.7300✗1.59269k2022-06-28
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0171580.016826-1.93%0.011804-31.20%0.0840✗1.173.2M2022-06-28
SCSiacoinnative0.00540.005296-1.92%0.00393-27.22%0.3349✗1.69329k2022-06-28
AVTAventusEthereum1.11.0795-1.86%1.57+42.73%0.6427✗0.72174k2022-06-28
TRXTRONTron0.0804590.07898-1.84%0.065755-18.28%0.1474✗0.881.5M2022-06-28
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.5210.511517-1.82%0.4373-16.07%0.5237✗1.82785k2022-06-28
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.32790.321982-1.80%0.2751-16.10%0.3606✗1.388.2M2022-06-28
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.6470.635413-1.79%0.5306-17.99%0.4250✗1.621.7M2022-06-28
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.130.127675-1.79%0.1018-21.69%0.2591✗1.30951k2022-06-28
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos9.599.4191-1.78%7.34-23.46%0.2962✗1.4618.8M2022-06-28
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.7532.7041-1.78%2.463-10.53%0.3121✗1.0884k2022-06-28
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011480.000011278-1.76%0.00000995-13.33%0.4146✗1.441.0M2022-06-28
HIVEHivenative0.47270.4644-1.76%0.6213+31.44%0.8025✗1.371.3M2022-06-28
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.14230.139984-1.63%0.0999-29.80%0.2732✗1.637.2M2022-06-28
BTTCBTTC0.000001030.000001014-1.56%9.20e-7-10.68%0.2218✗0.857.6M2022-06-28
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.153.1021-1.52%2.51-20.32%0.1832✗1.06660k2022-06-28
UNIUniswapEthereum4.944.8658-1.50%4.917-0.47%0.5239✗1.373.0M2022-06-28
CHZChilizEthereum0.11360.112015-1.40%0.1024-9.86%0.4326✗1.40998k2022-06-28
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche26.1325.7709-1.37%18.08-30.81%0.2388✗1.5852.8M2022-06-28
DIADIAEthereum0.45460.448487-1.34%0.37305-17.94%0.0444✗0.61121k2022-06-28
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.716.6207-1.33%6.303-6.07%0.4902✗1.4419.8M2022-06-28
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.62180.613781-1.29%0.7367+18.48%0.7441✗1.504.8M2022-06-28
ETHEthereumEthereum1,811.101,788.87-1.23%1,142.65-36.91%0.0464✓1.07383.9M2022-06-28
NANOnanopayBase1.12051.1069-1.21%0.810935-27.63%0.1921✗1.34167k2022-06-28
COMPCompoundEthereum56.0855.4025-1.21%46.65-16.82%0.3956✗1.5230k2022-06-28
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3720.367653-1.17%0.285-23.39%0.2000✗1.21970k2022-06-28
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.206070.203668-1.17%0.13391-35.02%0.2698✗1.84293k2022-06-28
LCXLCXEthereum0.06310.062367-1.16%0.0607-3.80%0.4517✗1.28406k2022-06-28
LTCLitecoinLitecoin63.5862.9182-1.04%52.65-17.19%0.2982✗1.2719.8M2022-06-28
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.13635.0847-1.00%5.7501+11.95%0.2363✗0.30289k2022-06-28
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.029950.02965-1.00%0.02025-32.39%0.0164✗1.06188k2022-06-28
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.271.2575-0.98%0.4962-60.93%0.5086✓1.1399k2022-06-28
ORCAOrcaSolana0.850.841801-0.96%0.8133-4.32%0.3915✗1.1487k2022-06-28
SOLSolanaSolana44.9144.478-0.96%35.3-21.40%0.3403✗1.53104.0M2022-06-28
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.851.8325-0.95%1.49-19.46%0.4904✗1.86602k2022-06-28
WOOWOOEthereum0.1620.160644-0.84%0.1888+16.54%0.6957✗1.431,7182022-06-28
LPTLivepeerEthereum12.6612.5568-0.81%9.07-28.36%0.1657✗1.31655k2022-06-28
ZECZcashZcash92.391.6347-0.72%58.81-36.28%0.0610✗1.354.9M2022-06-28
GTGateEthereum5.41485.3778-0.68%4.1715-22.96%0.0541✓0.534.4M2022-06-28
XVSVenusEthereum4.664.6512-0.19%4.68+0.43%0.7122✗1.891.9M2022-06-28
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash184.88184.8339-0.02%103.04-44.27%0.1215✓1.244.6M2022-06-28
AAVEAaveEthereum95.3395.8492+0.54%60.04-37.02%0.1598✓1.688.3M2022-06-28
BFCBifrostEthereum0.065480.066348+1.33%0.06235-4.78%0.3679✓1.1516k2022-06-28
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.