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2022-05-25 · +30d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 168 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1238
168 of 168 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+19.27%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
17.9%
in alpha space · 83.9% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-28.06%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (168 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LUNATerraTerra 20.000190.000135293-28.79%0.00005899-68.95%0.1310✓2.926.0M2022-06-24
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3911.1304-18.74%1.486+6.83%0.7404✗1.428.8M2022-06-24
RADRadworksEthereum3.372.7566-18.20%1.65-51.04%0.1362✓1.14219k2022-06-24
ASTRAstarEthereum0.0670.057201-14.63%0.049-26.87%0.2747✗1.3083k2022-06-24
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.14811.8398-14.35%1.462-31.94%0.2098✗1.336.4M2022-06-24
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05290.045941-13.15%0.0423-20.04%0.3354✗1.271.3M2022-06-24
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.4190690.367715-12.25%0.301756-27.99%0.2453✗1.345.5M2022-06-24
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0828550.072881-12.04%0.066862-19.30%0.2873✗1.134.8M2022-06-24
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.62451.4486-10.83%0.8599-47.07%0.3143✓0.639,5522022-06-24
DODODODOEthereum0.1710.15395-9.97%0.131-23.39%0.3525✗1.563.2M2022-06-24
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.785130.708914-9.71%0.54988-29.96%0.2773✗1.61329k2022-06-24
STEEMSteemnative0.25790.233212-9.57%0.2308-10.51%0.5511✗1.70970k2022-06-24
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.363.9452-9.51%3.34-23.39%0.1657✗1.01571k2022-06-24
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.6964.2633-9.21%3.826-18.53%0.0174✓0.383.6M2022-06-24
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.167.4779-8.36%6.85-16.05%0.0644✓0.461.2M2022-06-24
BORABORAKlay Token0.455880.418523-8.19%0.31756-30.34%0.2848✗1.7025k2022-06-24
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.9492.7104-8.09%2.291-22.31%0.1613✗1.00144k2022-06-24
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.6840.631577-7.66%0.533-22.08%0.3219✗1.4916k2022-06-24
PROPropyEthereum1.060.981357-7.42%0.87-17.92%0.1207✗0.73337k2022-06-24
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.52492.3453-7.11%1.8858-25.31%0.0835✗0.924.3M2022-06-24
APEApeCoinEthereum7.336.8131-7.05%4.483-38.84%0.3496✗2.3365.3M2022-06-24
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.57032.3898-7.02%2.2352-13.04%0.2551✗0.982.9M2022-06-24
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.870.81042-6.85%0.79-9.20%0.4881✗1.56507k2022-06-24
CBKCobakEthereum1.2451.1604-6.79%1.0063-19.17%0.1976✗1.039,6192022-06-24
XYMSymbolnative0.06020.056495-6.16%0.056-6.98%0.2445✗0.77180k2022-06-24
OGOG Fan TokenSolana2.6282.4748-5.83%3.55+35.08%0.6029✗0.731.1M2022-06-24
DKAdKargoEthereum0.056340.053083-5.78%0.04889-13.22%0.2722✗1.0817k2022-06-24
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.5312.3857-5.74%3.276+29.44%0.6578✗1.03763k2022-06-24
SUNSun TokenTron0.0093360.008806-5.68%0.006458-30.83%0.0338✓1.048,6362022-06-24
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.02390.022574-5.55%0.02871+20.13%0.9740✗2.2326.5M2022-06-24
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.004420.00418-5.43%0.00291-34.16%0.0050✓1.1111k2022-06-24
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.027540.026079-5.31%0.022291-19.06%0.1835✗1.0317k2022-06-24
HIGHHighstreetEthereum2.132.0185-5.23%1.352-36.53%0.2317✗1.92649k2022-06-24
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.51293.3309-5.18%2.64-24.85%0.2829✗1.567.6M2022-06-24
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.5512.4191-5.17%3.029+18.74%0.7913✗1.724.5M2022-06-24
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2230.211511-5.15%0.261+17.04%0.7382✗1.601.8M2022-06-24
NEXONEXOEthereum1.2861.2208-5.07%0.686-46.66%0.2470✓1.002.3M2022-06-24
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.1060.100678-5.02%0.0603-43.11%0.0114✓1.59162k2022-06-24
SKLSKALEEthereum0.08270.078557-5.01%0.0573-30.71%0.2274✗1.652.3M2022-06-24
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.654.4205-4.94%4.14-10.97%0.2084✗0.83824k2022-06-24
CELLCellframeEthereum0.38750.368496-4.90%0.2632-32.08%0.1143✗1.3762k2022-06-24
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.11640.110785-4.82%0.0791-32.04%0.2544✗1.80588k2022-06-24
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.612.4853-4.78%2.8+7.28%0.7095✗1.79378k2022-06-24
GMTGMTEthereum1.3741.3085-4.77%0.834-39.30%0.1210✓1.003.8M2022-06-24
FIDABonfidaSolana0.530.505004-4.72%0.359-32.26%0.0542✗1.2030k2022-06-24
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana4.063.8738-4.59%3.93-3.20%0.2887✗0.83717k2022-06-24
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.21040.200839-4.54%0.1149-45.39%0.3195✓0.73357k2022-06-24
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.016990.016233-4.45%0.016005-5.80%0.2028✗0.66198k2022-06-24
AUCTIONBounceEthereum6.356.0876-4.13%5.32-16.22%0.3342✗1.42553k2022-06-24
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0216860.020796-4.11%0.012119-44.12%0.1906✓1.063.6M2022-06-24
XMRMoneroMonero204.07195.9178-3.99%126.48-38.02%0.0788✓1.092.5M2022-06-24
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.048280.046426-3.84%0.0437-9.49%0.2672✗0.994,9292022-06-24
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.177.8565-3.84%6.109-25.23%0.1727✗1.294.6M2022-06-24
QTUMQtumQtum4.07073.9159-3.80%3.1049-23.72%0.1500✗1.1694k2022-06-24
LRCLoopringEthereum0.61120.588072-3.78%0.4251-30.45%0.1582✗1.47219k2022-06-24
XEMNEMnative0.05190.049994-3.67%0.0431-16.96%0.3024✗1.3743k2022-06-24
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.925.7052-3.63%4.75-19.76%0.0620✗0.743.3M2022-06-24
SUSHISushiEthereum1.651.5902-3.62%1.28-22.42%0.2807✗1.512.8M2022-06-24
API3Api3Ethereum1.671.6097-3.61%1.714+2.63%0.5784✗1.571.7M2022-06-24
STXStacksnative0.590.569404-3.49%0.4119-30.19%0.0361✗1.09252k2022-06-24
IMXImmutableEthereum0.9340.902088-3.42%0.875-6.32%0.4879✗1.575.6M2022-06-24
UOSUltraEthereum0.371570.359672-3.20%0.2966-20.18%0.2703✗1.41973k2022-06-24
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum20.8820.2163-3.18%17.12-18.01%0.2907✗1.393.2M2022-06-24
XLMStellarStellar0.1320740.127878-3.18%0.127732-3.29%0.3570✗1.0911.5M2022-06-24
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.0782.0133-3.11%1.56-24.93%0.2553✗1.5595k2022-06-24
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.012380.011995-3.11%0.01027-17.04%0.3380✗1.5031.1M2022-06-24
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6830.661786-3.11%0.543-20.50%0.2954✗1.50269k2022-06-24
NMRNumeraireEthereum12.5112.1241-3.09%9.14-26.94%0.0082✓0.88555k2022-06-24
FTTFTXEthereum2928.1183-3.04%26.72-7.86%0.2658✗0.9610.4M2022-06-24
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.40530.393003-3.03%0.3499-13.67%0.2863✗1.2216.4M2022-06-24
QNTQuantEthereum67.0665.0607-2.98%58.51-12.75%0.2415✗1.063.4M2022-06-24
XVGVergenative0.005080.004931-2.94%0.00332-34.65%0.0832✗1.45837k2022-06-24
BANDBandEthereum1.6871.638-2.91%1.505-10.79%0.4093✗1.50433k2022-06-24
ADACardanoCardano0.51390.499001-2.90%0.4979-3.11%0.4434✗1.3546.3M2022-06-24
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV53.34251.8246-2.84%64.278+20.50%0.5346✗0.971.5M2022-06-24
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.16880.164003-2.84%0.0898-46.80%0.2729✓1.003,0542022-06-24
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.8123.7049-2.81%3.174-16.74%0.1660✗0.972.0M2022-06-24
UMAUMAEthereum3.373.2759-2.79%2.833-15.93%0.4116✗1.692.2M2022-06-24
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.9670.940032-2.79%0.755-21.92%0.1418✗1.10658k2022-06-24
PHAPHALAEthereum0.13550.13174-2.78%0.1087-19.78%0.1911✗1.1617k2022-06-24
XECeCashnative0.000049190.000047834-2.76%0.00004299-12.60%0.3237✗1.315.7M2022-06-24
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.038160.037112-2.75%0.03156-17.30%0.2951✗1.3942k2022-06-24
GITCOINGITCOIN2.5812.5103-2.74%2.721+5.42%0.6865✗1.8417k2022-06-24
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum12.2611.9267-2.72%9.91-19.17%0.3326✗1.576.9M2022-06-24
CVCCivicEthereum0.17380.169172-2.66%0.1463-15.82%0.3119✗1.39359k2022-06-24
ZENHorizenBase20.2919.7611-2.61%15.65-22.87%0.2771✗1.55156k2022-06-24
BTCBitcoinBitcoin29,503.4928,772.23-2.48%21,223.72-28.06%0.0251✗1.00708.0M2022-06-24
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.027080.026431-2.40%0.01697-37.33%0.2423✓0.61509k2022-06-24
GLMRMoonbeamBase1.2991.268-2.39%0.686-47.19%0.0485✓1.72503k2022-06-24
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.53032.4701-2.38%2.017-20.28%0.2106✗1.2590k2022-06-24
TRXTRONTron0.0847060.082696-2.37%0.065776-22.35%0.0344✗0.801.4M2022-06-24
GALAGALAEthereum0.080.078109-2.36%0.0625-21.87%0.3411✗1.71188k2022-06-24
SPELLSpellEthereum0.001370.001338-2.36%0.000841-38.61%0.0445✗1.542.8M2022-06-24
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.004350.00425-2.29%0.00279-35.86%0.0324✓1.181.9M2022-06-24
DOTPolkadotPolkadot9.879.6464-2.27%8.182-17.10%0.2785✗1.3513.2M2022-06-24
COTICOTIEthereum0.12030.117634-2.22%0.1001-16.79%0.3757✗1.631.4M2022-06-24
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.389530.381076-2.17%0.43995+12.94%0.5691✗1.29204k2022-06-24
DASHDashDash62.1260.7847-2.15%51.61-16.92%0.2250✗1.181.1M2022-06-24
GLMGolemEthereum0.25760.252102-2.13%0.2537-1.51%0.4601✗1.38150k2022-06-24
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.06930.06784-2.11%0.0552-20.35%0.1232✗1.003.0M2022-06-24
AMPAmpEthereum0.012780.012514-2.08%0.00941-26.37%0.0582✗1.042.5M2022-06-24
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.14730.144237-2.08%0.1222-17.04%0.3813✗1.6697k2022-06-24
XTZTezosTezos2.12892.085-2.06%1.5327-28.01%0.1123✗1.281.3M2022-06-24
ETCEthereum Classicnative23.7923.3012-2.05%16.42-30.98%0.0633✗1.253.9M2022-06-24
AVTAventusEthereum1.141.1168-2.03%1.7+49.12%0.6876✗0.81181k2022-06-24
BRISEBitgertEthereum6.44e-76.31e-7-1.99%3.57e-7-44.60%0.2409✓1.001.5M2022-06-24
KSMKusamaHydration79.2177.6902-1.92%57.36-27.58%0.1038✗1.241.3M2022-06-24
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.2331.2095-1.91%0.841-31.79%0.0716✗1.327.1M2022-06-24
LSKLiskEthereum1.2771.2527-1.90%1.1037-13.57%0.2566✗1.1659k2022-06-24
YFIyearn.financeEthereum8,462.798,303.53-1.88%7,085.93-16.27%0.2425✗1.223.4M2022-06-24
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.009790.009608-1.86%0.00701-28.40%0.0455✗1.101.1M2022-06-24
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.26920.26433-1.81%0.2295-14.75%0.2770✗1.27305k2022-06-24
UNIUniswapEthereum5.625.5191-1.80%5.467-2.72%0.3863✗1.202.8M2022-06-24
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.29230.287218-1.74%0.2136-26.92%0.1181✗1.26434k2022-06-24
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.08780.086275-1.74%0.0548-37.59%0.1897✓0.80235k2022-06-24
HIVEHivenative0.48950.481157-1.70%0.4157-15.08%0.2787✗1.291.4M2022-06-24
CTKShentuOsmosis0.7930.779496-1.70%0.858+8.20%0.4612✗1.112.9M2022-06-24
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.757.6204-1.67%6.116-21.08%0.2759✗1.517.5M2022-06-24
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.009030.00888-1.66%0.007033-22.12%0.0183✗0.76176k2022-06-24
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.5920.582435-1.62%0.45-23.99%0.2471✗1.53844k2022-06-24
KCSKuCoinnative16.11415.8589-1.58%10.928-32.18%0.0486✓0.986.6M2022-06-24
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12810.126117-1.55%0.103-19.59%0.1700✗1.13905k2022-06-24
SCSiacoinnative0.005350.005269-1.51%0.00423-20.93%0.2955✗1.56359k2022-06-24
MINAMina Protocolnative0.9760.961424-1.49%0.67-31.35%0.1338✗1.50760k2022-06-24
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.6490.639412-1.48%0.558-14.02%0.3699✗1.541.7M2022-06-24
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.8622.82-1.47%2.726-4.75%0.4707✗1.53298k2022-06-24
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.33440.329646-1.42%0.3052-8.73%0.3516✗1.308.2M2022-06-24
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.7310.5778-1.42%8.25-23.11%0.2261✗1.4420.1M2022-06-24
MANADecentralandEthereum1.05531.0405-1.41%0.93721-11.19%0.4104✗1.561.0M2022-06-24
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.956.8523-1.41%7.256+4.40%0.5009✗1.3518.8M2022-06-24
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13930.137365-1.39%0.1499+7.61%0.6230✗1.635.5M2022-06-24
STORJStorjEthereum0.560440.552935-1.34%0.98085+75.01%1.0631✗1.4975k2022-06-24
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.313.267-1.30%2.94-11.18%0.2200✗0.99746k2022-06-24
CTSICartesiEthereum0.18670.184286-1.29%0.1671-10.50%0.4061✗1.53501k2022-06-24
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum29,838.2029,463.20-1.26%21,181.80-29.01%0.0084✓0.9878k2022-06-24
TRBTellor TributesEthereum9.449.3214-1.26%12.71+34.64%0.8435✗1.62183k2022-06-24
BTTCBTTC0.000001130.000001116-1.24%8.80e-7-22.12%0.0314✗0.827.6M2022-06-24
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.00001160.000011459-1.22%0.00001082-6.72%0.3767✗1.321.1M2022-06-24
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.64870.641575-1.10%0.8689+33.94%0.7791✗1.444.8M2022-06-24
ETHEthereumEthereum1,940.831,920.81-1.03%1,224.47-36.91%0.1082✓1.04407.6M2022-06-24
CHZChilizEthereum0.11990.118715-0.99%0.1012-15.60%0.2796✗1.331.0M2022-06-24
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3940.390208-0.96%0.287-27.16%0.0539✗1.101.0M2022-06-24
DIADIAEthereum0.458620.454744-0.85%0.40622-11.43%0.0909✗0.62100k2022-06-24
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.341.3293-0.80%0.54-59.70%0.5421✓1.09120k2022-06-24
MOVRMoonriverBase24.007523.8193-0.78%12.8216-46.59%0.1380✓1.46229k2022-06-24
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.822.7979-0.78%2.635-6.56%0.3110✗1.1390k2022-06-24
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche27.2127.0076-0.74%20.46-24.81%0.2063✗1.4751.6M2022-06-24
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.15110.149991-0.73%0.1157-23.43%0.2330✗1.508.8M2022-06-24
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.211270.209773-0.71%0.14633-30.74%0.1911✗1.67298k2022-06-24
WOOWOOEthereum0.19420.19285-0.70%0.225+15.86%0.4923✗1.031,8582022-06-24
SOLSolanaSolana47.9447.6222-0.66%41.88-12.64%0.3490✗1.4599.2M2022-06-24
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.91034.8787-0.64%5.8361+18.85%0.2633✗0.26299k2022-06-24
ORCAOrcaSolana0.850.84476-0.62%0.56-34.12%0.0583✓1.0795k2022-06-24
LCXLCXEthereum0.06120.060826-0.61%0.0652+6.54%0.4682✗1.21406k2022-06-24
LTCLitecoinLitecoin68.1667.7472-0.61%55.79-18.15%0.1979✗1.1919.5M2022-06-24
ZECZcashZcash95.5495.1584-0.40%69.14-27.63%0.1068✗1.295.1M2022-06-24
LPTLivepeerEthereum13.3213.2676-0.39%10.51-21.10%0.1711✗1.23702k2022-06-24
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.911.9028-0.37%1.56-18.32%0.3721✗1.73625k2022-06-24
NANOnanopayBase1.08641.0831-0.30%0.870963-19.83%0.2002✗1.27164k2022-06-24
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03460.034498-0.30%0.0404+16.76%0.6305✗1.43198k2022-06-24
COMPCompoundEthereum66.8266.6851-0.20%46.89-29.83%0.1091✗1.4030k2022-06-24
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.3960.395385-0.16%0.928+134.34%1.4467✗1.801.8M2022-06-24
GTGateEthereum5.59745.5894-0.14%4.2842-23.46%0.0992✓0.514.8M2022-06-24
BFCBifrostEthereum0.07080.070969+0.24%0.0566-20.06%0.1316✓1.0916k2022-06-24
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.028340.028463+0.44%0.02005-29.25%0.0230✗0.99180k2022-06-24
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash190.03191.004+0.51%114.43-39.78%0.1296✗1.164.7M2022-06-24
XVSVenusEthereum4.64.6344+0.75%5.17+12.39%0.6693✓1.702.3M2022-06-24
AAVEAaveEthereum101.87102.657+0.77%71.02-30.28%0.1372✓1.539.0M2022-06-24
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.