8=======>

2022-05-24 · +30d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 168 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0553
168 of 168 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+6.27%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
26.2%
in alpha space · 86.9% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-28.76%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (168 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
XVSVenusEthereum4.724.7569+0.78%5.03+6.57%0.6344✓1.712.5M2022-06-23
AAVEAaveEthereum106.62107.2045+0.55%67.99-36.23%0.0575✓1.519.2M2022-06-23
BFCBifrostEthereum0.070790.071138+0.49%0.05324-24.79%0.0775✓1.0817k2022-06-23
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash195.39196.3028+0.47%116.28-40.49%0.1287✗1.164.9M2022-06-23
COMPCompoundEthereum69.9169.8894-0.03%43.2-38.21%0.0102✓1.3930k2022-06-23
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.931.9287-0.07%1.45-24.87%0.2988✗1.72625k2022-06-23
GTGateEthereum5.64075.6308-0.18%4.2526-24.61%0.1091✓0.514.9M2022-06-23
LPTLivepeerEthereum13.6113.584-0.19%8.62-36.66%0.0407✓1.22766k2022-06-23
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.3830.382134-0.23%0.994+159.53%1.5684✗1.811.8M2022-06-23
NANOnanopayBase1.12451.1202-0.38%0.840715-25.23%0.1341✗1.24165k2022-06-23
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.218070.217109-0.44%0.1406-35.53%0.1256✗1.65302k2022-06-23
ZECZcashZcash100.1899.7008-0.48%65.49-34.63%0.0194✗1.305.1M2022-06-23
DIADIAEthereum0.467980.465705-0.49%0.38952-16.77%0.0237✗0.6095k2022-06-23
SOLSolanaSolana49.6449.3849-0.51%38.13-23.19%0.2343✗1.4599.2M2022-06-23
WOOWOOEthereum0.19760.196556-0.53%0.212+7.29%0.4238✗1.031,8912022-06-23
ORCAOrcaSolana0.830.825609-0.53%0.44-46.99%0.2644✓1.0895k2022-06-23
LTCLitecoinLitecoin70.269.7505-0.64%55.73-20.61%0.1754✗1.1819.8M2022-06-23
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.93244.9007-0.64%5.7918+17.42%0.2476✗0.24307k2022-06-23
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche29.0328.8391-0.66%18.29-37.00%0.0431✗1.4752.0M2022-06-23
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.371.361-0.66%0.52-62.04%0.5946✓1.08132k2022-06-23
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.15470.153671-0.67%0.1115-27.93%0.1851✗1.498.8M2022-06-23
CHZChilizEthereum0.11910.118246-0.72%0.0977-17.97%0.2550✗1.311.1M2022-06-23
MOVRMoonriverBase24.864124.6827-0.73%11.415-54.09%0.2849✓1.43229k2022-06-23
LCXLCXEthereum0.06530.064737-0.86%0.0632-3.22%0.3774✗1.18406k2022-06-23
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.9952.9688-0.88%2.586-13.66%0.2336✗1.1095k2022-06-23
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum29,426.0029,137.42-0.98%21,083.40-28.35%0.0071✓0.9778k2022-06-23
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011740.000011623-1.00%0.00001031-12.18%0.3208✗1.301.1M2022-06-23
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03770.037313-1.03%0.0312-17.24%0.3038✗1.42198k2022-06-23
ETHEthereumEthereum1,978.151,957.40-1.05%1,144.00-42.17%0.1869✓1.03425.9M2022-06-23
TRBTellor TributesEthereum9.79.5982-1.05%11.46+18.14%0.7258✗1.62188k2022-06-23
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.66590.658668-1.09%0.8619+29.43%0.7482✗1.414.9M2022-06-23
CTSICartesiEthereum0.18910.18699-1.12%0.1615-14.60%0.3640✗1.51572k2022-06-23
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.4060.401323-1.15%0.285-29.80%0.0233✗1.081.0M2022-06-23
BTTCBTTC0.000001130.000001117-1.16%8.10e-7-28.32%0.0502✓0.807.6M2022-06-23
MANADecentralandEthereum1.03871.0262-1.20%0.89427-13.90%0.3904✗1.561.1M2022-06-23
MINAMina Protocolnative1.0221.0097-1.20%0.645-36.89%0.0516✗1.47775k2022-06-23
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.9282.8917-1.24%2.673-8.71%0.4409✗1.53298k2022-06-23
STORJStorjEthereum0.576320.569-1.27%0.93545+62.31%0.9972✗1.4787k2022-06-23
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.5740.566556-1.30%0.471-17.94%0.3525✗1.58844k2022-06-23
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.26820.264654-1.32%0.2239-16.52%0.2599✗1.26305k2022-06-23
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.0710.9222-1.34%8.151-26.37%0.1919✗1.4321.0M2022-06-23
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.383.3344-1.35%2.74-18.93%0.1284✗0.96758k2022-06-23
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.33980.335167-1.36%0.3006-11.54%0.3276✗1.298.6M2022-06-23
KCSKuCoinnative16.06115.839-1.38%10.674-33.54%0.0665✓0.976.6M2022-06-23
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.227.1138-1.47%6.987-3.23%0.4352✗1.3419.2M2022-06-23
SCSiacoinnative0.005490.005405-1.55%0.00407-25.87%0.2424✗1.55367k2022-06-23
HIVEHivenative0.49450.486782-1.56%0.4057-17.96%0.2519✗1.281.5M2022-06-23
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.009630.009479-1.57%0.00682-29.18%0.0323✗1.071.2M2022-06-23
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.927.7945-1.58%5.818-26.54%0.2111✗1.487.8M2022-06-23
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.009210.009061-1.61%0.006997-24.03%0.0085✓0.79178k2022-06-23
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.0880.086563-1.63%0.0543-38.30%0.1982✓0.79230k2022-06-23
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.14720.144777-1.65%0.1203-18.27%0.3782✗1.66105k2022-06-23
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.6910.679376-1.68%0.536-22.43%0.2743✗1.511.7M2022-06-23
TRXTRONTron0.0805070.079146-1.69%0.063705-20.87%0.0522✗0.791.3M2022-06-23
UNIUniswapEthereum5.65.505-1.70%5.617+0.30%0.4257✗1.203.1M2022-06-23
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.13120.12896-1.71%0.1021-22.18%0.1446✗1.11943k2022-06-23
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.2551.2335-1.71%0.831-33.78%0.0482✗1.317.3M2022-06-23
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8180.803737-1.74%0.857+4.77%0.4428✗1.122.9M2022-06-23
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.29930.293891-1.81%0.185-38.19%0.0410✓1.24438k2022-06-23
KSMKusamaHydration81.6480.1276-1.85%54.29-33.50%0.0228✗1.211.4M2022-06-23
AVTAventusEthereum1.151.1282-1.90%1.67+45.22%0.6600✗0.79192k2022-06-23
GLMGolemEthereum0.26060.255648-1.90%0.2488-4.53%0.4401✗1.38152k2022-06-23
LSKLiskEthereum1.28731.2625-1.93%1.0803-16.08%0.2331✗1.1565k2022-06-23
DASHDashDash62.3361.095-1.98%48.6-22.03%0.1681✗1.171.2M2022-06-23
XTZTezosTezos2.12282.08-2.02%1.4401-32.16%0.0649✗1.281.3M2022-06-23
COTICOTIEthereum0.11960.117168-2.03%0.0959-19.82%0.3453✗1.611.4M2022-06-23
SPELLSpellEthereum0.001380.001351-2.07%0.000816-40.87%0.0098✓1.522.9M2022-06-23
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.15370.150482-2.09%0.1297-15.61%0.3992✗1.625.5M2022-06-23
GALAGALAEthereum0.08320.081439-2.12%0.0577-30.65%0.2362✗1.71212k2022-06-23
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.02740.026819-2.12%0.01686-38.47%0.2673✓0.58436k2022-06-23
LRCLoopringEthereum0.55470.542915-2.12%0.4038-27.20%0.1964✗1.45219k2022-06-23
AMPAmpEthereum0.013270.012986-2.14%0.00929-29.99%0.0171✓1.042.5M2022-06-23
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.0690.067506-2.16%0.05328-22.78%0.1025✗1.002.9M2022-06-23
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,069.188,869.81-2.20%5,425.65-40.17%0.0852✓1.203.4M2022-06-23
GITCOINGITCOIN2.6422.5816-2.29%2.5659-2.88%0.6125✗1.8219k2022-06-23
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.57932.5203-2.29%1.9109-25.92%0.1426✗1.2491k2022-06-23
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.395710.386593-2.30%0.40678+2.80%0.4861✗1.28197k2022-06-23
DOTPolkadotPolkadot10.189.9416-2.34%7.774-23.63%0.2083✗1.3413.8M2022-06-23
UOSUltraEthereum0.384920.375874-2.35%0.28214-26.70%0.1845✗1.391.1M2022-06-23
BRISEBitgertEthereum6.94e-76.78e-7-2.37%3.51e-7-49.47%0.3277✓0.981.5M2022-06-23
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.08990.087759-2.38%0.0602-33.04%0.1631✗1.59162k2022-06-23
ETCEthereum Classicnative24.1823.6018-2.39%15.91-34.20%0.0278✗1.243.9M2022-06-23
ZENHorizenBase20.6120.1154-2.40%14.51-29.60%0.1987✗1.55156k2022-06-23
BTCBitcoinBitcoin29,626.4428,912.43-2.41%21,104.45-28.76%0.0244✓1.00749.9M2022-06-23
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.004570.004459-2.42%0.002627-42.52%0.1341✓1.161.9M2022-06-23
RADRadworksEthereum2.082.0285-2.47%1.64-21.15%0.1672✗1.12219k2022-06-23
CVCCivicEthereum0.17880.174211-2.57%0.1434-19.80%0.2716✗1.37372k2022-06-23
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.683.5835-2.62%3.006-18.32%0.1480✗0.951.9M2022-06-23
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.9940.967916-2.62%0.712-28.37%0.0594✗1.08658k2022-06-23
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum12.412.0691-2.67%9.2-25.81%0.2543✗1.556.9M2022-06-23
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.0481.9926-2.71%1.462-28.61%0.2069✗1.5295k2022-06-23
UMAUMAEthereum3.4493.3556-2.71%2.514-27.11%0.2769✗1.672.2M2022-06-23
BANDBandEthereum1.7661.718-2.72%1.434-18.80%0.3220✗1.48433k2022-06-23
GLMRMoonbeamBase1.3911.3529-2.74%0.648-53.41%0.1615✓1.69503k2022-06-23
XECeCashnative0.000050510.000049087-2.82%0.00003919-22.41%0.2159✗1.305.7M2022-06-23
ADACardanoCardano0.52140.506703-2.82%0.4798-7.98%0.3998✗1.3448.2M2022-06-23
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV53.451.8748-2.86%64.247+20.31%0.5402✗0.961.5M2022-06-23
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6880.668108-2.89%0.522-24.13%0.2558✗1.48294k2022-06-23
QNTQuantEthereum68.3266.336-2.90%55.68-18.50%0.1807✗1.053.5M2022-06-23
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum21.2620.6403-2.92%14.7-30.86%0.1282✗1.383.3M2022-06-23
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.555.3879-2.92%4.54-18.20%0.0770✗0.733.3M2022-06-23
XMRMoneroMonero193.08187.3697-2.96%122.44-36.59%0.0602✓1.082.6M2022-06-23
PHAPHALAEthereum0.13420.130224-2.96%0.1063-20.79%0.1834✗1.1416k2022-06-23
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.41870.406153-3.00%0.3361-19.73%0.2215✗1.2116.1M2022-06-23
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.6242.5429-3.09%3.111+18.56%0.7850✗1.724.6M2022-06-23
XLMStellarStellar0.1329610.128836-3.10%0.117978-11.27%0.2783✗1.0812.0M2022-06-23
XVGVergenative0.005320.005154-3.12%0.00324-39.10%0.0210✓1.43845k2022-06-23
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.012510.012118-3.13%0.01022-18.31%0.3284✗1.4734.2M2022-06-23
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.039740.038483-3.16%0.02983-24.94%0.2134✗1.3844k2022-06-23
NMRNumeraireEthereum12.9812.5677-3.18%8.92-31.28%0.0386✓0.90568k2022-06-23
FTTFTXEthereum29.8328.8506-3.28%26.34-11.70%0.2339✗0.9610.4M2022-06-23
API3Api3Ethereum1.7251.6675-3.33%1.743+1.04%0.5806✗1.581.8M2022-06-23
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.673.5444-3.42%3.81+3.81%0.3480✗0.81717k2022-06-23
QTUMQtumQtum4.10823.9653-3.48%2.9483-28.23%0.0957✗1.16113k2022-06-23
XEMNEMnative0.0530.051156-3.48%0.042293-20.20%0.2695✗1.3656k2022-06-23
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.180.173729-3.48%0.0823-54.28%0.4079✓1.003,4222022-06-23
IMXImmutableEthereum0.9560.92259-3.49%0.839-12.24%0.4321✗1.556.1M2022-06-23
STXStacksnative0.590.569332-3.50%0.4025-31.78%0.0208✓1.08256k2022-06-23
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.48.1001-3.57%5.787-31.11%0.0978✗1.285.0M2022-06-23
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5780.557145-3.61%0.343-40.66%0.0848✓1.1831k2022-06-23
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.353.2278-3.65%3.23-3.58%0.3362✗0.99571k2022-06-23
SUSHISushiEthereum1.661.5973-3.77%1.25-24.70%0.2601✗1.492.9M2022-06-23
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.234.0703-3.78%4.04-4.49%0.2688✗0.81824k2022-06-23
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.048530.046559-4.06%0.04226-12.92%0.2362✗0.986,4572022-06-23
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.21110.201675-4.46%0.1166-44.77%0.3155✓0.69369k2022-06-23
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0169930.016226-4.51%0.017319+1.92%0.2827✗0.64199k2022-06-23
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.682.5584-4.54%2.6-2.99%0.6203✗1.78390k2022-06-23
GMTGMTEthereum1.3981.3345-4.54%0.816-41.63%0.1527✓1.004.0M2022-06-23
AUCTIONBounceEthereum6.586.2805-4.55%4.87-25.99%0.2201✗1.40623k2022-06-23
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.11780.112266-4.70%0.0772-34.47%0.2224✗1.76593k2022-06-23
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.037180.035408-4.77%0.02005-46.07%0.2375✓0.98180k2022-06-23
CELLCellframeEthereum0.38890.370206-4.81%0.2404-38.18%0.0123✓1.3165k2022-06-23
NEXONEXOEthereum1.281.218-4.84%0.689-46.17%0.2305✓1.002.8M2022-06-23
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.42.2799-5.01%3.107+29.46%0.6537✗1.01763k2022-06-23
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0217330.020635-5.05%0.01226-43.59%0.1691✓1.043.5M2022-06-23
SUNSun TokenTron0.009090.008625-5.12%0.006249-31.25%0.0245✓1.0210k2022-06-23
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.51293.3254-5.34%2.5773-26.63%0.2553✗1.508.3M2022-06-23
SKLSKALEEthereum0.08320.078736-5.37%0.0554-33.41%0.2033✗1.642.5M2022-06-23
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.20592.086-5.43%1.7994-18.43%0.1540✗0.894.3M2022-06-23
HIGHHighstreetEthereum2.1352.016-5.57%1.296-39.30%0.2095✗1.92690k2022-06-23
BORABORAKlay Token0.413110.389887-5.62%0.30448-26.30%0.3291✗1.7026k2022-06-23
CBKCobakEthereum1.1861.119-5.65%0.98926-16.59%0.2247✗1.0312k2022-06-23
DKAdKargoEthereum0.054920.051815-5.65%0.0485-11.69%0.2956✗1.0717k2022-06-23
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.027790.02619-5.76%0.021811-21.51%0.1637✗1.0217k2022-06-23
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2390.224811-5.94%0.255+6.69%0.6627✗1.582.0M2022-06-23
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.42972.2839-6.00%2.158-11.18%0.2670✗0.952.8M2022-06-23
OGOG Fan TokenSolana2.5282.3742-6.09%2.685+6.21%0.3665✗0.72949k2022-06-23
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.004480.004192-6.44%0.002925-34.71%0.0137✓1.1013k2022-06-23
APEApeCoinEthereum7.5056.9923-6.83%4.387-41.55%0.3249✗2.3375.7M2022-06-23
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.72.5127-6.94%2.181-19.22%0.1976✗1.00155k2022-06-23
PROPropyEthereum1.060.98391-7.18%0.89-16.04%0.1420✗0.71369k2022-06-23
XYMSymbolnative0.0620.057511-7.24%0.054198-12.58%0.1959✗0.75184k2022-06-23
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.02730.025273-7.42%0.02478-9.23%0.7395✗2.2426.5M2022-06-23
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.6780.627215-7.49%0.487-28.17%0.2533✗1.4916k2022-06-23
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana7.857.2478-7.67%6.7-14.65%0.0752✓0.451.2M2022-06-23
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.910.839009-7.80%0.77-15.38%0.4375✗1.54525k2022-06-23
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.544.139-8.83%3.72-18.06%0.0160✓0.363.3M2022-06-23
STEEMSteemnative0.26170.236599-9.59%0.2285-12.69%0.5434✗1.701.0M2022-06-23
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.53531.3784-10.22%0.8138-46.99%0.3163✓0.6211k2022-06-23
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.849690.754821-11.17%0.53135-37.47%0.1872✗1.59329k2022-06-23
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0835630.073413-12.15%0.063939-23.48%0.2415✗1.125.8M2022-06-23
DODODODOEthereum0.1780.15493-12.96%0.1258-29.33%0.3134✗1.543.2M2022-06-23
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.4297660.372852-13.24%0.290214-32.47%0.1992✗1.335.6M2022-06-23
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.0540.046721-13.48%0.0417-22.78%0.3073✗1.241.3M2022-06-23
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.27261.8846-17.08%1.3973-38.52%0.1541✓1.347.1M2022-06-23
ASTRAstarEthereum0.07190.058626-18.46%0.0467-35.05%0.2000✓1.2685k2022-06-23
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.431.1348-20.64%1.45+1.40%0.7223✗1.419.7M2022-06-23
LUNATerraTerra 20.000180.000127742-29.03%0.00005759-68.01%0.2061✓2.966.3M2022-06-23
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.