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2022-05-19 · +30d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 168 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0194
168 of 168 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+11.17%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
28.6%
in alpha space · 83.3% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-37.41%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (168 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LUNATerraTerra 20.000140.000028479-79.66%0.0000554-60.43%1.9221✗2.687.3M2022-06-18
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.68711.8146-32.47%1.2522-53.40%0.2485✓1.328.8M2022-06-18
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4291.1018-22.90%1.218-14.77%0.7611✗1.4113.5M2022-06-18
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05810.049537-14.74%0.0333-42.69%0.1939✗1.261.5M2022-06-18
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.67111.4894-10.87%0.75523-54.81%0.4043✓0.5914k2022-06-18
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3900030.348238-10.71%0.247565-36.52%0.3091✗1.396.1M2022-06-18
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.417.5195-10.59%6.1-27.47%0.0470✓0.551.2M2022-06-18
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.7043.3165-10.46%3.423-7.59%0.2884✗0.552.4M2022-06-18
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0866380.078194-9.75%0.052785-39.07%0.1360✗1.136.3M2022-06-18
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.012520.011325-9.54%0.00909-27.40%0.4947✗1.5340.8M2022-06-18
STEEMSteemnative0.25990.235942-9.22%0.1826-29.74%0.2123✗1.001.3M2022-06-18
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.672.4272-9.09%1.554-41.80%0.3709✗1.746.1M2022-06-18
XYMSymbolnative0.06690.060816-9.09%0.0493-26.31%0.1412✗0.75475k2022-06-18
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.004690.004322-7.84%0.002641-43.69%0.0090✓1.0319k2022-06-18
ASTRAstarEthereum0.06030.055594-7.80%0.0455-24.54%0.3515✗1.18101k2022-06-18
HIGHHighstreetEthereum2.0651.9064-7.68%1.168-43.44%0.4281✗1.96850k2022-06-18
DODODODOEthereum0.150.138917-7.39%0.1123-25.13%0.4926✗1.513.8M2022-06-18
RUNETHORChainTHORChain3.0092.7878-7.35%1.56-48.16%0.1120✓1.00183k2022-06-18
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.910.847455-6.87%0.61-32.97%0.4018✗1.56762k2022-06-18
PROPropyEthereum1.141.0618-6.86%0.85-25.44%0.0898✗0.67395k2022-06-18
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.2514.8975-6.73%2.82-46.30%0.0589✓1.051.6M2022-06-18
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2590.241674-6.69%0.233-10.04%0.7150✗1.602.7M2022-06-18
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.031980.029848-6.67%0.01535-52.00%0.3043✓0.77400k2022-06-18
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana7.176.707-6.46%4.18-41.70%0.0769✓0.852.9M2022-06-18
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.5840.547679-6.22%0.338-42.12%0.2317✗1.5216k2022-06-18
FIDABonfidaSolana0.590.55408-6.09%0.297-49.66%0.0654✓1.1937k2022-06-18
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.12380.116883-5.59%0.0691-44.18%0.3231✗1.81645k2022-06-18
APEApeCoinEthereum8.0557.6091-5.54%3.615-55.12%0.3984✗2.4494.8M2022-06-18
GMTGMTEthereum1.4951.4185-5.12%0.601-59.80%0.3902✓1.005.5M2022-06-18
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0181360.017227-5.01%0.014203-21.69%0.1350✗0.70199k2022-06-18
SKLSKALEEthereum0.08440.080222-4.95%0.0485-42.54%0.2750✗1.663.1M2022-06-18
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.026760.025445-4.92%0.02049-23.43%0.2650✗1.0324k2022-06-18
NEXONEXOEthereum1.3651.2997-4.78%0.612-55.16%0.2846✓1.004.2M2022-06-18
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.1880.179099-4.73%0.0752-60.00%0.3992✓1.004,0132022-06-18
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.06990.066652-4.65%0.04472-36.02%0.0695✗1.003.0M2022-06-18
SUNSun TokenTron0.009010.008601-4.54%0.005876-34.78%0.1068✗1.0412k2022-06-18
AUCTIONBounceEthereum6.536.2416-4.42%4.4-32.62%0.3099✗1.41785k2022-06-18
DKAdKargoEthereum0.050670.048511-4.26%0.04483-11.53%0.3951✗1.0123k2022-06-18
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.04341.9572-4.22%1.6728-18.14%0.3076✗0.994.6M2022-06-18
CBKCobakEthereum1.1221.0755-4.14%0.80868-27.93%0.1884✗1.0117k2022-06-18
XEMNEMnative0.05630.054053-3.99%0.037989-32.52%0.2735✗1.3478k2022-06-18
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.24920.239289-3.98%0.1228-50.72%0.3965✓0.58386k2022-06-18
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV51.1249.1047-3.94%55.298+8.17%0.5713✗0.971.6M2022-06-18
IMXImmutableEthereum0.8930.85839-3.88%0.712-20.27%0.5549✗1.586.7M2022-06-18
BORABORAKlay Token0.363010.349514-3.72%0.28073-22.67%0.5684✗1.6826k2022-06-18
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.1382.0615-3.58%2.936+37.32%0.8599✗1.08730k2022-06-18
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.21292.1344-3.55%2.0842-5.82%0.4701✗1.052.5M2022-06-18
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.28293.1678-3.51%2.3544-28.28%0.4354✗1.5610.1M2022-06-18
CELLCellframeEthereum0.35340.341593-3.34%0.2227-36.98%0.1820✗1.3085k2022-06-18
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.037870.036621-3.30%0.02514-33.61%0.2756✗1.3967k2022-06-18
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.652.5651-3.20%2.17-18.11%0.6733✗1.79390k2022-06-18
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.379650.367499-3.20%0.50803+33.82%1.1514✗1.77327k2022-06-18
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.343.2338-3.18%2.97-11.08%0.4084✗1.05557k2022-06-18
API3Api3Ethereum1.8751.8172-3.08%1.425-24.00%0.5122✗1.612.0M2022-06-18
FTTFTXEthereum30.9129.9747-3.03%22.79-26.27%0.1763✗0.9612.3M2022-06-18
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.643.5393-2.77%3.39-6.87%0.3706✗0.88521k2022-06-18
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.217.9844-2.75%5.103-37.84%0.1534✗1.285.4M2022-06-18
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.045280.044099-2.61%0.03819-15.66%0.3140✗0.988,0692022-06-18
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.45120.439599-2.57%0.2955-34.51%0.1769✗1.2315.4M2022-06-18
XLMStellarStellar0.1304660.127251-2.46%0.107534-17.58%0.3418✗1.0912.9M2022-06-18
QTUMQtumQtum3.97153.8775-2.37%2.5838-34.94%0.1514✗1.19133k2022-06-18
SPELLSpellEthereum0.001370.001338-2.31%0.0007-48.91%0.0613✗1.513.4M2022-06-18
BANDBandEthereum1.7691.7283-2.30%1.287-27.25%0.4115✗1.51463k2022-06-18
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.063.9671-2.29%3.86-4.93%0.3806✗0.87798k2022-06-18
DEXEDeXeEthereum4.224.124-2.27%2.46-41.71%0.0840✓0.92788k2022-06-18
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum12.6312.3464-2.25%8.89-29.61%0.4372✗1.636.7M2022-06-18
QNTQuantEthereum68.3866.9122-2.15%48.77-28.68%0.1826✗1.063.6M2022-06-18
DIADIAEthereum0.571170.559436-2.05%0.35701-37.49%0.2041✓0.5270k2022-06-18
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum21.7921.3431-2.05%12.93-40.66%0.1582✗1.413.4M2022-06-18
XVGVergenative0.005280.005172-2.05%0.00273-48.30%0.0316✗1.43922k2022-06-18
AMPAmpEthereum0.013680.013402-2.03%0.00847-38.08%0.0341✗1.053.2M2022-06-18
CVCCivicEthereum0.17650.17295-2.01%0.1231-30.25%0.3192✗1.41386k2022-06-18
NMRNumeraireEthereum13.413.1331-1.99%7.81-41.72%0.0726✓0.95622k2022-06-18
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.44e-77.30e-7-1.99%2.94e-7-60.48%0.5382✓0.791.4M2022-06-18
ADACardanoCardano0.53260.522164-1.96%0.4544-14.68%0.4960✗1.3648.2M2022-06-18
BTCBitcoinBitcoin30,274.5929,684.72-1.95%18,948.89-37.41%0.0197✗1.00686.2M2022-06-18
UMAUMAEthereum3.2433.1811-1.91%2.376-26.73%0.4983✗1.692.2M2022-06-18
STXStacksnative0.530.520017-1.88%0.3371-36.40%0.1047✗1.15274k2022-06-18
XECeCashnative0.000047070.000046207-1.83%0.00003566-24.24%0.3637✗1.336.1M2022-06-18
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.004780.004693-1.82%0.002612-45.36%0.0150✓1.221.9M2022-06-18
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.01820.017871-1.81%0.02407+32.25%1.3844✗2.3223.0M2022-06-18
AVTAventusEthereum1.261.2383-1.72%2.06+63.49%0.8946✗0.82201k2022-06-18
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum30,185.7029,684.23-1.66%19,116.80-36.67%0.0148✓0.9776k2022-06-18
GALAGALAEthereum0.08570.084304-1.63%0.0534-37.69%0.3551✗1.73215k2022-06-18
GITCOINGITCOIN2.652.6069-1.62%2.144-19.09%0.6463✗1.8022k2022-06-18
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.32290.317814-1.57%0.1531-52.59%0.1321✓1.28445k2022-06-18
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.930.915527-1.56%0.552-40.65%0.0055✓1.09769k2022-06-18
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.70.689133-1.55%0.412-41.14%0.1907✗1.50315k2022-06-18
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8240.81164-1.50%0.795-3.52%0.5071✗1.133.2M2022-06-18
GLMGolemEthereum0.26740.26345-1.48%0.2039-23.75%0.3877✗1.37167k2022-06-18
RADRadworksEthereum2.072.0414-1.38%1.46-29.47%0.1611✗1.06280k2022-06-18
SUSHISushiEthereum1.361.3426-1.28%0.93-31.62%0.3460✗1.523.3M2022-06-18
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07670.075725-1.27%0.0517-32.59%0.4599✗1.80162k2022-06-18
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.1410.139219-1.26%0.1042-26.10%0.4853✗1.65105k2022-06-18
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0163990.016202-1.20%0.011617-29.16%0.1951✗1.133.8M2022-06-18
LSKLiskEthereum1.17421.1603-1.19%0.93123-20.70%0.2941✗1.1080k2022-06-18
COTICOTIEthereum0.11470.11336-1.17%0.0832-27.46%0.4570✗1.641.7M2022-06-18
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.49172.4628-1.16%1.728-30.65%0.2340✗1.26123k2022-06-18
XMRMoneroMonero165.93164.0315-1.14%104.18-37.21%0.0584✗1.092.9M2022-06-18
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.09090.089902-1.10%0.0528-41.91%0.1537✓0.81184k2022-06-18
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,486.679,382.67-1.10%4,369.27-53.94%0.2035✓1.203.1M2022-06-18
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.9581.9372-1.06%1.063-45.71%0.1261✗1.5599k2022-06-18
DASHDashDash58.5557.9334-1.05%41.55-29.04%0.2299✗1.201.1M2022-06-18
ZENHorizenBase2120.7868-1.02%13.17-37.29%0.2894✗1.59171k2022-06-18
DOTPolkadotPolkadot10.029.9193-1.01%7.044-29.70%0.2884✗1.3513.9M2022-06-18
ETCEthereum Classicnative20.920.6938-0.99%13.68-34.55%0.1814✗1.273.9M2022-06-18
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.188.1025-0.95%5.133-37.25%0.2354✗1.488.0M2022-06-18
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.390350.386766-0.92%0.31116-20.29%0.3904✗1.30208k2022-06-18
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.13450.133282-0.91%0.0869-35.39%0.1015✗1.131.2M2022-06-18
UOSUltraEthereum0.374410.371083-0.89%0.235-37.23%0.2008✗1.401.3M2022-06-18
HIVEHivenative0.49240.488065-0.88%0.3505-28.82%0.2728✗1.291.6M2022-06-18
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.7090.702907-0.86%0.503-29.06%0.3869✗1.541.9M2022-06-18
KCSKuCoinnative15.30715.1781-0.84%9.571-37.47%0.0017✓0.985.0M2022-06-18
OGOG Fan TokenSolana1.9131.8972-0.83%2.618+36.85%0.7746✗0.97793k2022-06-18
SCSiacoinnative0.005270.005227-0.82%0.00339-35.67%0.2864✗1.54398k2022-06-18
CTSICartesiEthereum0.1960.194412-0.81%0.1405-28.32%0.3686✗1.48649k2022-06-18
BTTCBTTC0.000001120.000001111-0.77%7.40e-7-33.93%0.0407✓0.787.7M2022-06-18
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.69160.68639-0.75%0.7155+3.46%0.7298✗1.475.5M2022-06-18
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.25680.254889-0.74%0.1978-22.98%0.3330✗1.25292k2022-06-18
PHAPHALAEthereum0.13740.136427-0.71%0.0999-27.29%0.1921✗1.0820k2022-06-18
UNIUniswapEthereum5.185.1434-0.71%3.637-29.79%0.2340✗1.243.5M2022-06-18
TRXTRONTron0.0733830.072886-0.68%0.060855-17.07%0.1891✗0.791.2M2022-06-18
LRCLoopringEthereum0.48640.48315-0.67%0.3417-29.75%0.3725✗1.53289k2022-06-18
ETHEthereumEthereum2,017.572,004.82-0.63%993.64-50.75%0.2181✓1.03464.2M2022-06-18
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.34060.338452-0.63%0.2512-26.25%0.3080✗1.299.0M2022-06-18
TRBTellor TributesEthereum11.2411.1706-0.62%9.79-12.90%0.6092✗1.58159k2022-06-18
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13430.133479-0.61%0.1102-17.94%0.5682✗1.625.8M2022-06-18
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.00754.9778-0.59%5.06+1.05%0.1236✗0.23299k2022-06-18
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.217.1681-0.58%5.918-17.92%0.4384✗1.3419.2M2022-06-18
MINAMina Protocolnative1.0421.0366-0.52%0.578-44.53%0.1019✗1.46775k2022-06-18
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.8210.7682-0.48%6.069-43.91%0.1094✗1.4620.1M2022-06-18
XTZTezosTezos1.7541.7469-0.40%1.2889-26.52%0.2957✗1.281.1M2022-06-18
ORCAOrcaSolana0.910.906429-0.39%0.48-47.25%0.1538✓1.03112k2022-06-18
STORJStorjEthereum0.553870.551755-0.38%0.43006-22.35%0.4436✗1.4891k2022-06-18
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.009390.009365-0.27%0.006281-33.11%0.0195✓0.81195k2022-06-18
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.0791.0765-0.23%0.583-45.97%0.0302✗1.377.4M2022-06-18
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.9652.9584-0.22%2.377-19.83%0.2891✗1.0899k2022-06-18
ZECZcashZcash104.45104.2336-0.21%59.26-43.26%0.0551✗1.325.7M2022-06-18
MANADecentralandEthereum1.11851.1167-0.17%0.77754-30.49%0.3768✗1.581.2M2022-06-18
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.009240.009229-0.12%0.00624-32.47%0.1409✗1.141.3M2022-06-18
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum3.0413.0374-0.12%2.038-32.98%0.3169✗1.53271k2022-06-18
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.391.3886-0.10%0.49-64.75%0.5299✓1.09138k2022-06-18
LPTLivepeerEthereum14.3214.3073-0.09%7.08-50.56%0.0954✓1.30822k2022-06-18
LTCLitecoinLitecoin72.0271.9598-0.08%47.13-34.56%0.1329✗1.1919.5M2022-06-18
GTGateEthereum5.60315.5992-0.07%3.6059-35.64%0.1882✓0.545.0M2022-06-18
GLMRMoonbeamBase1.2081.2075-0.04%0.611-49.42%0.1438✗1.76527k2022-06-18
WOOWOOEthereum0.20270.202639-0.03%0.1378-32.02%0.1359✗1.112,1752022-06-18
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.5380.538259+0.05%0.271-49.63%0.0407✓1.55967k2022-06-18
LCXLCXEthereum0.06260.062641+0.07%0.0572-8.63%0.4790✓1.22406k2022-06-18
XVSVenusEthereum6.036.0347+0.08%4.07-32.50%0.3860✓1.662.7M2022-06-18
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.027190.027236+0.17%0.01934-28.87%0.1019✓0.95188k2022-06-18
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011830.000011856+0.22%0.00000771-34.83%0.1906✓1.331.2M2022-06-18
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03430.034384+0.24%0.0267-22.16%0.4102✓1.42198k2022-06-18
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3780.37914+0.30%0.259-31.48%0.1456✓1.121.1M2022-06-18
NANOnanopayBase1.09961.1031+0.32%0.758897-30.98%0.2185✓1.26161k2022-06-18
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche30.3730.4802+0.36%14.8-51.27%0.0297✗1.4848.8M2022-06-18
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.3370.338368+0.41%0.788+133.83%1.6876✓1.801.7M2022-06-18
CHZChilizEthereum0.12280.123331+0.43%0.0868-29.32%0.2776✓1.341.1M2022-06-18
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.204760.205654+0.44%0.12089-40.96%0.2409✓1.65280k2022-06-18
SOLSolanaSolana52.1352.38+0.48%32.01-38.60%0.1818✓1.4493.8M2022-06-18
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.891.9+0.53%1.33-29.63%0.4638✓1.75495k2022-06-18
KSMKusamaHydration80.4580.9256+0.59%48.42-39.81%0.0806✓1.271.6M2022-06-18
COMPCompoundEthereum67.5167.9658+0.68%28.98-57.07%0.1920✗1.4130k2022-06-18
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.16030.16157+0.79%0.0987-38.43%0.2179✓1.529.0M2022-06-18
BFCBifrostEthereum0.075460.076206+0.99%0.04148-45.03%0.1121✗1.0618k2022-06-18
MOVRMoonriverBase23.053823.319+1.15%10.6122-53.97%0.1040✗1.46210k2022-06-18
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash196.24199.079+1.45%115.22-41.29%0.0013✓1.175.3M2022-06-18
AAVEAaveEthereum91.6593.5082+2.03%49.52-45.97%0.0914✓1.559.2M2022-06-18
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.