8=======>

2022-05-17 · +30d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 168 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0509
168 of 168 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+7.28%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
39.3%
in alpha space · 77.4% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-33.01%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (168 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
AAVEAaveEthereum92.5394.6722+2.32%56.51-38.93%0.0911✓1.528.7M2022-06-16
XVSVenusEthereum4.734.8315+2.15%4.05-14.38%0.4216✓1.492.8M2022-06-16
BFCBifrostEthereum0.072130.073518+1.92%0.04558-36.81%0.0640✗1.0318k2022-06-16
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash206.73210.5126+1.83%109.37-47.10%0.1967✗1.145.4M2022-06-16
KSMKusamaHydration82.0482.9982+1.17%49.2-40.03%0.0207✗1.251.4M2022-06-16
MOVRMoonriverBase24.710724.9792+1.09%12.9736-47.50%0.0782✗1.44207k2022-06-16
NANOnanopayBase1.16071.1726+1.03%0.798118-31.24%0.1169✓1.25161k2022-06-16
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.17980.181468+0.93%0.0973-45.88%0.0152✗1.528.8M2022-06-16
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012550.000012649+0.79%0.00000795-36.65%0.0669✓1.331.2M2022-06-16
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.01870.018848+0.79%0.01773-5.19%0.2079✓0.67400k2022-06-16
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche34.3834.6436+0.77%15.77-54.13%0.2067✗1.4548.8M2022-06-16
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.009050.009115+0.71%0.006722-25.72%0.0289✓0.83222k2022-06-16
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3840.386663+0.69%0.253-34.11%0.0031✓1.051.1M2022-06-16
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.209630.210874+0.59%0.12518-40.29%0.1226✓1.61273k2022-06-16
SOLSolanaSolana57.0257.3517+0.58%30.1-47.21%0.0775✗1.4293.8M2022-06-16
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.3420.343738+0.51%0.822+140.35%1.5660✓1.731.8M2022-06-16
OGOG Fan TokenSolana1.6741.681+0.42%2.909+73.78%0.9448✓0.99779k2022-06-16
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03530.035434+0.38%0.0275-22.10%0.2961✓1.37189k2022-06-16
WOOWOOEthereum0.21090.211665+0.36%0.1494-29.16%0.0781✓1.062,6012022-06-16
DIADIAEthereum0.397630.399034+0.35%0.37966-4.52%0.2713✓0.8070k2022-06-16
GLMRMoonbeamBase1.3991.4032+0.30%0.807-42.32%0.1340✓1.72665k2022-06-16
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.831.8353+0.29%1.27-30.60%0.3096✓1.69452k2022-06-16
CHZChilizEthereum0.120.120197+0.16%0.0922-23.17%0.2865✓1.381.1M2022-06-16
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum3.133.1335+0.11%1.978-36.81%0.1688✓1.57240k2022-06-16
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.6230.623296+0.05%0.5-19.74%0.4271✓1.621.7M2022-06-16
LTCLitecoinLitecoin73.0473.0644+0.03%44.74-38.75%0.0264✗1.1619.1M2022-06-16
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.0573.0572+0.00%2.344-23.32%0.1583✓1.0699k2022-06-16
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.029710.029706-0.01%0.01905-35.88%0.0439✓1.00194k2022-06-16
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.4611.4568-0.03%6.329-44.77%0.0408✓1.3821.0M2022-06-16
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.14520.14506-0.10%0.1134-21.90%0.3835✗1.576.0M2022-06-16
LPTLivepeerEthereum15.2115.1947-0.10%7.13-53.12%0.2326✓1.31822k2022-06-16
XTZTezosTezos1.85681.8548-0.11%1.355-27.02%0.1958✗1.271.1M2022-06-16
GTGateEthereum5.75215.7435-0.15%3.9508-31.32%0.1595✓0.545.2M2022-06-16
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.471.4676-0.16%0.6-59.18%0.4599✓1.08134k2022-06-16
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.5930.591979-0.17%0.278-53.12%0.1616✓1.48929k2022-06-16
TRBTellor TributesEthereum10.3410.3182-0.21%10.81+4.55%0.6698✗1.56154k2022-06-16
ORCAOrcaSolana0.970.967789-0.23%0.48-50.52%0.3112✓0.97119k2022-06-16
TRXTRONTron0.0721420.071963-0.25%0.058994-18.23%0.1251✗0.811.2M2022-06-16
LCXLCXEthereum0.07110.07092-0.25%0.0558-21.52%0.2156✗1.14407k2022-06-16
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.984.9658-0.28%5.0538+1.48%0.1207✗0.26294k2022-06-16
PHAPHALAEthereum0.13110.130691-0.31%0.1049-19.98%0.1831✗1.0119k2022-06-16
UOSUltraEthereum0.380480.379176-0.34%0.24344-36.02%0.1329✗1.441.4M2022-06-16
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.41490.413468-0.35%0.32127-22.57%0.2627✗1.29223k2022-06-16
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum30,409.8030,297.28-0.37%20,300.70-33.24%0.0099✓0.9790k2022-06-16
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.717.6804-0.38%6.352-17.61%0.3386✗1.3218.8M2022-06-16
KCSKuCoinnative14.91614.8524-0.43%11.087-25.67%0.0969✗0.974.9M2022-06-16
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.628.5825-0.43%5.311-38.39%0.0959✗1.448.3M2022-06-16
GALAGALAEthereum0.08920.088808-0.44%0.0552-38.12%0.2083✗1.71239k2022-06-16
MANADecentralandEthereum1.21591.2105-0.44%0.80833-33.52%0.1979✗1.501.2M2022-06-16
DASHDashDash60.1159.8268-0.47%41.86-30.36%0.1236✗1.201.2M2022-06-16
COMPCompoundEthereum74.6974.3144-0.50%30.16-59.62%0.3522✓1.3728k2022-06-16
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.09070.090234-0.51%0.0581-35.94%0.1023✓0.84183k2022-06-16
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,984.139,932.42-0.52%4,598.44-53.94%0.3030✓1.172.9M2022-06-16
BTTCBTTC0.000001130.000001124-0.54%7.60e-7-32.74%0.0763✓0.797.7M2022-06-16
AVTAventusEthereum1.161.1537-0.54%1.47+26.72%0.5751✗0.83204k2022-06-16
CTSICartesiEthereum0.20220.201072-0.56%0.1448-28.39%0.2535✗1.45683k2022-06-16
RADRadworksEthereum2.042.0286-0.56%1.52-25.49%0.1274✗1.04315k2022-06-16
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.39060.388318-0.58%0.2551-34.69%0.0875✗1.279.0M2022-06-16
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.57862.5631-0.60%1.7941-30.42%0.1402✗1.24145k2022-06-16
ETHEthereumEthereum2,088.962,076.21-0.61%1,066.87-48.93%0.2573✓1.02494.1M2022-06-16
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.01040.010332-0.65%0.00641-38.37%0.0306✓1.121.3M2022-06-16
UNIUniswapEthereum5.475.4322-0.69%3.829-30.00%0.1341✗1.213.5M2022-06-16
DOTPolkadotPolkadot11.0210.9416-0.71%7.11-35.48%0.0924✗1.3113.7M2022-06-16
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana1.7481.7342-0.79%3.078+76.09%0.9999✗1.06714k2022-06-16
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.0342.0177-0.80%1.105-45.67%0.0683✗1.6799k2022-06-16
ZECZcashZcash114.63113.7057-0.81%58.94-48.58%0.1337✓1.315.7M2022-06-16
MINAMina Protocolnative1.11.091-0.82%0.593-46.09%0.0468✓1.40775k2022-06-16
LRCLoopringEthereum0.50040.496185-0.84%0.362-27.66%0.2880✗1.51307k2022-06-16
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.14930.148034-0.85%0.0928-37.84%0.0381✓1.071.2M2022-06-16
SUSHISushiEthereum1.431.4179-0.85%0.96-32.87%0.2030✗1.483.6M2022-06-16
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana2.852.825-0.88%3.57+25.26%0.6427✗1.02440k2022-06-16
SCSiacoinnative0.005610.005561-0.88%0.00341-39.22%0.1097✗1.49403k2022-06-16
ETCEthereum Classicnative21.7621.5619-0.91%13.82-36.49%0.0615✗1.264.2M2022-06-16
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana2.742.7149-0.92%3.11+13.50%0.5559✗1.05553k2022-06-16
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.73650.729729-0.92%0.6143-16.59%0.3975✗1.426.1M2022-06-16
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.3891.3758-0.95%0.664-52.20%0.1539✓1.436.6M2022-06-16
STORJStorjEthereum0.612540.606659-0.96%0.42782-30.16%0.2395✗1.4793k2022-06-16
COTICOTIEthereum0.1210.119818-0.98%0.0869-28.18%0.3231✗1.611.7M2022-06-16
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.08030.079512-0.98%0.052-35.24%0.2895✗1.78169k2022-06-16
ZENHorizenBase22.1421.9183-1.00%13.48-39.11%0.1302✗1.54171k2022-06-16
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.01670.016529-1.03%0.02059+23.29%1.1135✗2.2325.3M2022-06-16
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8170.807451-1.17%0.785-3.92%0.4174✗1.113.2M2022-06-16
HIVEHivenative0.54110.534763-1.17%0.345-36.24%0.0688✗1.271.5M2022-06-16
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.25890.255865-1.17%0.1959-24.33%0.2369✗1.26280k2022-06-16
LSKLiskEthereum1.29541.2792-1.26%0.954432-26.32%0.1390✗1.0898k2022-06-16
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.763.7124-1.27%2.57-31.65%0.0511✓0.79788k2022-06-16
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.9580.945274-1.33%0.574-40.08%0.0531✓1.11769k2022-06-16
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0162330.016016-1.34%0.011964-26.30%0.1516✗1.114.2M2022-06-16
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.740.729858-1.37%0.425-42.57%0.0500✗1.47338k2022-06-16
XMRMoneroMonero172.72170.335-1.38%106.33-38.44%0.0404✓1.083.5M2022-06-16
STXStacksnative0.580.571882-1.40%0.3286-43.34%0.0990✓1.14314k2022-06-16
SPELLSpellEthereum0.001440.00142-1.40%0.000783-45.62%0.0006✓1.493.5M2022-06-16
CELLCellframeEthereum0.36140.356324-1.40%0.2314-35.97%0.0869✗1.2991k2022-06-16
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.15250.150271-1.46%0.1016-33.38%0.2578✗1.62109k2022-06-16
BANDBandEthereum1.7651.738-1.53%1.348-23.63%0.3255✗1.45500k2022-06-16
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.15e-77.04e-7-1.54%3.34e-7-53.27%0.5367✓0.521.6M2022-06-16
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana3.613.5535-1.56%3.86+6.93%0.4681✗0.96798k2022-06-16
XECeCashnative0.000049360.000048573-1.59%0.00003702-25.00%0.2521✗1.316.5M2022-06-16
GITCOINGITCOIN2.752.7061-1.60%2.2619-17.75%0.5058✗1.7123k2022-06-16
UMAUMAEthereum3.3143.2596-1.64%2.64-20.34%0.4593✗1.672.6M2022-06-16
ADACardanoCardano0.5770.567154-1.71%0.4756-17.57%0.3489✗1.3148.6M2022-06-16
CVCCivicEthereum0.18040.177269-1.74%0.124-31.26%0.2074✗1.41386k2022-06-16
XVGVergenative0.005460.005361-1.81%0.00286-47.62%0.0729✓1.39949k2022-06-16
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.005120.005026-1.84%0.002801-45.29%0.0910✓1.231.9M2022-06-16
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.92712.873-1.85%2.3926-18.26%0.4740✗1.649.8M2022-06-16
BTCBitcoinBitcoin30,412.1229,846.08-1.86%20,372.00-33.01%0.0188✗1.00675.4M2022-06-16
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana5.865.7481-1.91%6.05+3.24%0.4105✗0.901.2M2022-06-16
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum22.421.9665-1.94%13.61-39.24%0.1059✗1.463.4M2022-06-16
NMRNumeraireEthereum13.6613.3943-1.94%7.91-42.09%0.1552✓0.93571k2022-06-16
AMPAmpEthereum0.014070.013784-2.03%0.00877-37.67%0.0281✓1.063.3M2022-06-16
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.68411.6496-2.05%1.7294+2.69%0.4971✗1.124.3M2022-06-16
GLMGolemEthereum0.27050.264849-2.09%0.2052-24.14%0.3182✗1.43172k2022-06-16
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum12.4412.1726-2.15%8.02-35.53%0.2006✗1.546.4M2022-06-16
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.3460.338112-2.28%0.158-54.34%0.2267✓1.33463k2022-06-16
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.582.5207-2.30%2.29-11.24%0.6045✗1.75390k2022-06-16
QNTQuantEthereum74.4672.7135-2.35%44.42-40.34%0.0798✓1.033.6M2022-06-16
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain1.96881.9213-2.42%2.1202+7.69%0.5498✗1.132.4M2022-06-16
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.49470.482429-2.48%0.3018-38.99%0.0112✓1.2015.2M2022-06-16
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0153680.014958-2.66%0.014896-3.07%0.3027✗0.77198k2022-06-16
API3Api3Ethereum1.9051.8537-2.69%1.284-32.60%0.2093✗1.442.3M2022-06-16
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.568.3283-2.71%5.302-38.06%0.0530✗1.265.8M2022-06-16
XLMStellarStellar0.1415430.137667-2.74%0.10905-22.96%0.2003✗1.0813.4M2022-06-16
QTUMQtumQtum4.21874.1022-2.76%2.6461-37.28%0.0387✗1.19134k2022-06-16
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.08440.08195-2.90%0.04718-44.10%0.1515✓1.003.0M2022-06-16
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.040940.039728-2.96%0.02555-37.59%0.1029✗1.3694k2022-06-16
XEMNEMnative0.06140.059576-2.97%0.038032-38.06%0.0765✗1.31127k2022-06-16
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.047380.045917-3.09%0.03838-19.00%0.2111✗0.978,0692022-06-16
FTTFTXEthereum32.0330.9794-3.28%23.28-27.32%0.0931✗0.9513.2M2022-06-16
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.25470.245959-3.43%0.1237-51.43%0.5016✓0.46410k2022-06-16
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.1263.975-3.66%2.845-31.05%0.0968✗1.081.5M2022-06-16
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.385080.37049-3.79%0.49666+28.98%0.9735✗1.70331k2022-06-16
SUNSun TokenTron0.0089630.008615-3.88%0.00623-30.49%0.0888✗1.0315k2022-06-16
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.910.874417-3.91%0.62-31.87%0.2723✗1.54800k2022-06-16
NEXONEXOEthereum1.3951.3329-4.46%0.667-52.19%0.2916✓1.004.4M2022-06-16
CBKCobakEthereum1.2311.1737-4.65%0.84123-31.66%0.0648✗0.9924k2022-06-16
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.18920.180372-4.67%0.085-55.07%0.3517✓1.004,7802022-06-16
BORABORAKlay Token0.393370.374357-4.83%0.27575-29.90%0.3535✗1.6527k2022-06-16
DKAdKargoEthereum0.055230.05252-4.91%0.04577-17.13%0.2686✗1.0125k2022-06-16
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.029040.02759-4.99%0.018988-34.61%0.0275✓1.0025k2022-06-16
SKLSKALEEthereum0.09130.086709-5.03%0.0526-42.39%0.1283✗1.573.6M2022-06-16
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV55.7552.883-5.14%50.901-8.70%0.3441✗0.951.7M2022-06-16
GMTGMTEthereum1.581.4979-5.20%0.593-62.47%0.5259✓1.006.6M2022-06-16
AUCTIONBounceEthereum6.536.1662-5.57%4.34-33.54%0.1988✗1.37666k2022-06-16
APEApeCoinEthereum8.8778.3551-5.88%3.372-62.01%0.1277✗2.5894.8M2022-06-16
FIDABonfidaSolana0.6290.588911-6.37%0.324-48.49%0.1213✓1.1938k2022-06-16
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2530.236541-6.51%0.212-16.21%0.5004✗1.523.4M2022-06-16
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.14180.132481-6.57%0.0817-42.38%0.2120✗1.74694k2022-06-16
IMXImmutableEthereum0.9130.852619-6.61%0.685-24.97%0.4020✗1.557.6M2022-06-16
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.640.597245-6.68%0.381-40.47%0.1435✗1.4816k2022-06-16
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0901510.08389-6.95%0.055166-38.81%0.0282✓1.126.3M2022-06-16
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.354.9723-7.06%4.04-24.49%0.1577✗0.912.7M2022-06-16
PROPropyEthereum1.211.1229-7.20%0.86-28.93%0.0175✓0.71429k2022-06-16
RUNETHORChainTHORChain3.33.0521-7.51%1.699-48.52%0.1851✓1.00213k2022-06-16
HIGHHighstreetEthereum2.1151.9545-7.59%1.23-41.84%0.3348✗1.99903k2022-06-16
ASTRAstarEthereum0.07120.065568-7.91%0.043-39.61%0.0027✓1.05113k2022-06-16
XYMSymbolnative0.06970.063876-8.36%0.0501-28.12%0.0583✓0.75536k2022-06-16
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.004430.004058-8.40%0.003262-26.37%0.1790✗0.9919k2022-06-16
DODODODOEthereum0.1680.153764-8.47%0.1219-27.44%0.3638✗1.494.0M2022-06-16
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.68181.5348-8.74%0.91995-45.30%0.2628✓0.6215k2022-06-16
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.8832.6087-9.51%1.743-39.54%0.2746✗1.696.7M2022-06-16
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.4248170.378613-10.88%0.261084-38.54%0.1746✗1.366.1M2022-06-16
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.1482.787-11.47%3.6+14.36%0.5892✗0.832.1M2022-06-16
STEEMSteemnative0.29990.263913-12.00%0.1854-38.18%0.0476✓1.001.6M2022-06-16
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05620.048712-13.32%0.0345-38.61%0.1367✓1.201.5M2022-06-16
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.014680.012373-15.71%0.00889-39.44%0.2639✗1.4844.1M2022-06-16
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4131.1004-22.12%1.31-7.29%0.7435✗1.4214.3M2022-06-16
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.181.6826-22.82%1.3599-37.62%0.2908✗1.268.8M2022-06-16
LUNATerraTerra 20.000190.000032005-83.16%0.000058-69.47%1.6296✓2.588.4M2022-06-16
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.