8=======>

2022-05-14 · +30d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 166 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1430
166 of 166 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+21.02%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
57.2%
in alpha space · 46.4% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-25.23%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (166 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LUNATerraTerra 20.000460.000061286-86.68%0.00006043-86.86%0.8370✓2.938.4M2022-06-13
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1211.0003-10.76%1.458+30.06%0.7715✗1.3614.9M2022-06-13
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.73291.5799-8.83%1.2396-28.47%0.1149✗1.239.6M2022-06-13
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04720.043716-7.38%0.0358-24.15%0.1378✗1.161.5M2022-06-13
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.4175280.389735-6.66%0.252041-39.63%0.0474✓1.346.1M2022-06-13
STEEMSteemnative0.25420.237298-6.65%0.1835-27.81%0.0337✓1.002.1M2022-06-13
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.67441.5764-5.85%1.0426-37.73%0.2287✓0.6416k2022-06-13
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.7532.601-5.52%1.912-30.55%0.1790✗1.677.4M2022-06-13
XYMSymbolnative0.06970.065949-5.38%0.0486-30.27%0.0908✓0.74568k2022-06-13
APEApeCoinEthereum8.6468.2272-4.84%3.485-59.69%0.1003✓2.6194.8M2022-06-13
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.003950.003759-4.84%0.00331-16.20%0.1495✗0.9519k2022-06-13
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010130.009668-4.56%0.00971-4.15%0.4847✗1.6543.3M2022-06-13
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.134.8998-4.49%4.54-11.50%0.1766✗0.872.7M2022-06-13
PROPropyEthereum1.111.061-4.42%0.9-18.92%0.0346✓0.68470k2022-06-13
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.7313.5682-4.36%3.092-17.13%0.1602✗1.041.5M2022-06-13
ASTRAstarEthereum0.07290.069931-4.07%0.048-34.16%0.0737✓1.04115k2022-06-13
IMXImmutableEthereum0.8570.823532-3.91%0.7-18.32%0.2816✗1.537.6M2022-06-13
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.6350.61043-3.87%0.392-38.27%0.0210✓1.4517k2022-06-13
DODODODOEthereum0.1580.151889-3.87%0.136-13.92%0.3126✗1.454.4M2022-06-13
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.12070.116127-3.79%0.0833-30.99%0.2133✗1.88694k2022-06-13
GMTGMTEthereum1.5331.4759-3.73%0.591-61.45%0.6244✓1.008.1M2022-06-13
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2280.220802-3.16%0.189-17.11%0.2755✗1.484.0M2022-06-13
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV53.9752.3569-2.99%46.677-13.51%0.1660✗0.971.8M2022-06-13
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.0740.0718-2.97%0.04897-33.82%0.0919✓1.003.8M2022-06-13
AUCTIONBounceEthereum5.635.4644-2.94%4.53-19.54%0.2130✗1.38572k2022-06-13
NEXONEXOEthereum1.3571.3182-2.86%0.778-42.67%0.2365✓1.005.2M2022-06-13
BORABORAKlay Token0.399530.389208-2.58%0.25719-35.63%0.0744✗1.6832k2022-06-13
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.8271.7822-2.45%1.255-31.31%0.2240✗1.98973k2022-06-13
SUNSun TokenTron0.0093150.009099-2.32%0.00763-18.09%0.1232✗1.0327k2022-06-13
FTTFTXEthereum31.5330.8712-2.09%24.51-22.26%0.0481✗0.9615.2M2022-06-13
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.04610.045243-1.86%0.03724-19.22%0.0861✗0.978,2452022-06-13
DKAdKargoEthereum0.053370.052386-1.84%0.04329-18.89%0.0980✗0.9925k2022-06-13
FIDABonfidaSolana0.6210.609692-1.82%0.332-46.54%0.2594✓1.2040k2022-06-13
XLMStellarStellar0.1381110.135692-1.75%0.106761-22.70%0.0712✗1.0713.6M2022-06-13
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0893580.087802-1.74%0.054172-39.38%0.1607✓1.116.3M2022-06-13
CBKCobakEthereum1.1411.1249-1.41%0.80971-29.04%0.0414✓0.9924k2022-06-13
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum9.629.4954-1.30%8.03-16.53%0.2842✗1.555.9M2022-06-13
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.4630.457297-1.23%0.3039-34.36%0.0630✓1.1914.3M2022-06-13
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.351630.347385-1.21%0.45073+28.18%0.7346✗1.63331k2022-06-13
NMRNumeraireEthereum12.7112.5847-0.99%8.14-35.96%0.1736✓0.90555k2022-06-13
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.28640.283657-0.96%0.1335-53.39%0.6142✓0.48458k2022-06-13
SKLSKALEEthereum0.08660.085778-0.95%0.0508-41.34%0.0795✓1.533.6M2022-06-13
BTCBitcoinBitcoin30,041.8829,762.62-0.93%22,460.97-25.23%0.0093✗1.00672.6M2022-06-13
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.026460.026218-0.91%0.018258-31.00%0.0680✓1.0126k2022-06-13
QNTQuantEthereum72.1171.5178-0.82%49.66-31.13%0.0638✓1.033.6M2022-06-13
API3Api3Ethereum1.8391.824-0.82%1.149-37.52%0.0446✓1.442.5M2022-06-13
QTUMQtumQtum4.10784.0805-0.66%2.7762-32.42%0.0340✓1.21135k2022-06-13
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.27590.27413-0.64%0.1607-41.75%0.1669✓1.26463k2022-06-13
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum22.422.2741-0.56%13.49-39.78%0.0853✓1.433.5M2022-06-13
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8180.813524-0.55%0.776-5.13%0.2721✗1.103.3M2022-06-13
CVCCivicEthereum0.18290.182075-0.45%0.1272-30.45%0.0562✗1.43375k2022-06-13
GLMGolemEthereum0.25650.255461-0.41%0.1992-22.34%0.1582✗1.40180k2022-06-13
UMAUMAEthereum2.9922.9809-0.37%1.997-33.26%0.0838✗1.672.4M2022-06-13
AMPAmpEthereum0.013760.013716-0.32%0.00905-34.23%0.1070✓1.063.2M2022-06-13
ADACardanoCardano0.53710.535384-0.32%0.4636-13.68%0.2285✗1.2846.3M2022-06-13
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.533.5197-0.29%2.75-22.10%0.0322✓0.74777k2022-06-13
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.88.7832-0.19%5.329-39.44%0.1364✓1.257.4M2022-06-13
BRISEBitgertEthereum5.58e-75.57e-7-0.18%3.58e-7-35.81%0.2910✓0.521.4M2022-06-13
COMPCompoundEthereum71.4571.3322-0.16%35.73-49.99%0.2940✓1.3730k2022-06-13
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.880.87903-0.11%0.68-22.73%0.1915✗1.54801k2022-06-13
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.004710.004706-0.08%0.00285-39.49%0.1509✓1.211.8M2022-06-13
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.065.0614+0.03%5.3088+4.92%0.1261✓0.27285k2022-06-13
HIVEHivenative0.50930.509546+0.05%0.3584-29.63%0.0110✓1.251.5M2022-06-13
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0119920.012001+0.08%0.012961+8.08%0.2925✓0.74198k2022-06-13
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.038980.039011+0.08%0.02635-32.40%0.0041✓1.3694k2022-06-13
ZENHorizenBase21.2121.2341+0.11%14.12-33.43%0.0352✓1.52167k2022-06-13
KSMKusamaHydration74.374.402+0.14%46.08-37.98%0.1252✗1.221.2M2022-06-13
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.582.5838+0.15%2.19-15.12%0.3458✓1.76378k2022-06-13
ETHEthereumEthereum2,053.332,056.48+0.15%1,207.82-41.18%0.2328✗1.03494.1M2022-06-13
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana3.183.1857+0.18%4.2+32.08%0.5494✓0.94798k2022-06-13
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.7430.744473+0.20%0.447-39.84%0.0783✗1.48357k2022-06-13
ETCEthereum Classicnative21.0521.0993+0.23%14.4-31.59%0.0165✗1.264.2M2022-06-13
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.4131.4163+0.24%0.718-49.19%0.2624✗1.436.6M2022-06-13
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.58832.5955+0.28%1.8846-27.19%0.0388✓1.23173k2022-06-13
BTTCBTTC0.000001110.000001113+0.30%8.10e-7-27.03%0.0889✗0.797.9M2022-06-13
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.48951.4939+0.30%1.7211+15.55%0.4548✓1.084.3M2022-06-13
BANDBandEthereum1.7441.75+0.35%1.318-24.43%0.1333✓1.43500k2022-06-13
XMRMoneroMonero153.49154.0978+0.40%132.56-13.64%0.1493✓1.033.2M2022-06-13
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain1.7811.7891+0.46%3.335+87.25%0.8297✓0.711.9M2022-06-13
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11980.120423+0.52%0.0914-23.71%0.0504✓1.121.1M2022-06-13
MANADecentralandEthereum1.33181.3387+0.52%0.82849-37.79%0.0341✗1.531.1M2022-06-13
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13750.138218+0.52%0.1013-26.33%0.1710✓1.66109k2022-06-13
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.73262.7483+0.58%2.313-15.36%0.2993✓1.628.0M2022-06-13
DOTPolkadotPolkadot11.2811.346+0.58%7.032-37.66%0.1013✗1.3012.2M2022-06-13
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.64010.643984+0.61%0.5649-11.75%0.2723✓1.396.1M2022-06-13
PHAPHALAEthereum0.11710.117842+0.63%0.0991-15.37%0.0911✓0.9119k2022-06-13
STXStacksnative0.560.563566+0.64%0.347-38.04%0.1638✗1.10296k2022-06-13
LSKLiskEthereum1.19581.2035+0.64%0.939069-21.47%0.0581✓1.0598k2022-06-13
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.9380.944013+0.64%0.599-36.14%0.1328✗1.11769k2022-06-13
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana2.42.4155+0.65%3.52+46.67%0.6813✓1.05548k2022-06-13
TRXTRONTron0.072360.072838+0.66%0.063701-11.97%0.1010✓0.811.1M2022-06-13
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum29,968.5030,173.28+0.68%22,471.70-25.02%0.0115✗0.9768k2022-06-13
DASHDashDash60.8661.2803+0.69%42.59-30.02%0.0197✗1.181.1M2022-06-13
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.421.43+0.70%0.88-38.03%0.1714✗1.08140k2022-06-13
CTSICartesiEthereum0.20080.202234+0.71%0.1611-19.77%0.1989✓1.47649k2022-06-13
GTGateEthereum5.55515.5964+0.74%4.2445-23.59%0.1200✗0.544.9M2022-06-13
XEMNEMnative0.05680.057223+0.74%0.039006-31.33%0.0259✗1.23164k2022-06-13
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana2.572.5893+0.75%4.17+62.26%0.7603✓0.98453k2022-06-13
YFIyearn.financeEthereum10,210.4910,288.29+0.76%4,951.67-51.50%0.3932✗1.162.7M2022-06-13
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.538.5992+0.81%5.442-36.20%0.0518✗1.408.0M2022-06-13
TRBTellor TributesEthereum10.6410.7269+0.82%11.71+10.06%0.5215✓1.49136k2022-06-13
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.34930.352157+0.82%0.2574-26.31%0.0509✓1.258.5M2022-06-13
MINAMina Protocolnative1.0921.101+0.82%0.662-39.38%0.1055✗1.39760k2022-06-13
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.08790.088631+0.83%0.0654-25.60%0.0590✗0.84169k2022-06-13
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.24970.251819+0.85%0.195-21.91%0.1069✓1.25292k2022-06-13
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain1.64381.6582+0.88%2.0689+25.86%0.5395✓1.092.5M2022-06-13
SUSHISushiEthereum1.311.3218+0.90%0.97-25.95%0.1163✓1.463.6M2022-06-13
ZECZcashZcash105.67106.6666+0.94%65.48-38.03%0.1198✗1.275.3M2022-06-13
XVGVergenative0.004770.004815+0.95%0.00303-36.48%0.0736✗1.34885k2022-06-13
LTCLitecoinLitecoin68.8169.4815+0.98%43.45-36.86%0.1361✗1.1518.2M2022-06-13
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.417580.4218+1.01%0.28493-31.77%0.0227✗1.27199k2022-06-13
XTZTezosTezos1.83041.8491+1.02%1.4008-23.47%0.0897✓1.26878k2022-06-13
GITCOINGITCOIN2.4472.4722+1.03%2.0821-14.91%0.3245✓1.7123k2022-06-13
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana5.085.1344+1.07%6.79+33.66%0.5170✓0.821.3M2022-06-13
UNIUniswapEthereum5.175.2261+1.08%3.662-29.17%0.0073✓1.203.6M2022-06-13
XECeCashnative0.000042570.000043045+1.12%0.00003827-10.10%0.2818✓1.376.5M2022-06-13
SCSiacoinnative0.005120.005177+1.12%0.00359-29.88%0.0563✓1.45403k2022-06-13
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.01710.017296+1.15%0.01829+6.96%0.7055✓2.2325.3M2022-06-13
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.257.334+1.16%5.917-18.39%0.1661✓1.3118.3M2022-06-13
CELLCellframeEthereum0.36470.368934+1.16%0.2205-39.54%0.1461✗1.2793k2022-06-13
GALAGALAEthereum0.09940.100564+1.17%0.0599-39.74%0.0234✗1.70215k2022-06-13
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.14290.144599+1.19%0.149+4.27%0.4857✓1.576.2M2022-06-13
DYDXdYdXCosmos22.0239+1.19%1.145-42.75%0.0880✗1.6687k2022-06-13
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.630.637551+1.20%0.493-21.75%0.1980✓1.571.7M2022-06-13
LPTLivepeerEthereum14.9215.1054+1.24%8.36-43.97%0.2119✗1.31822k2022-06-13
KCSKuCoinnative12.96813.1317+1.26%11.706-9.73%0.1564✓0.934.1M2022-06-13
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0152870.015492+1.34%0.01281-16.20%0.1319✓1.114.3M2022-06-13
LCXLCXEthereum0.06340.064252+1.34%0.0519-18.14%0.1193✓1.14415k2022-06-13
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.024960.025301+1.37%0.01883-24.56%0.0132✓1.06202k2022-06-13
UOSUltraEthereum0.377370.382548+1.37%0.25822-31.57%0.0446✓1.501.4M2022-06-13
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.0193.0609+1.39%2.414-20.04%0.0666✓1.0596k2022-06-13
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.7710.9243+1.43%6.495-39.69%0.1318✗1.3320.1M2022-06-13
ORCAOrcaSolana0.90.913262+1.47%0.6-33.33%0.1493✗0.93137k2022-06-13
WOOWOOEthereum0.20080.203766+1.48%0.1305-35.01%0.1430✗1.042,6012022-06-13
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.009440.00958+1.48%0.00632-33.05%0.0966✗1.101.1M2022-06-13
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.19240.19525+1.48%0.1066-44.59%0.1536✗1.558.6M2022-06-13
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.831.8572+1.49%1.29-29.51%0.1300✓1.70418k2022-06-13
LRCLoopringEthereum0.47580.483366+1.59%0.3765-20.87%0.1780✓1.47307k2022-06-13
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.015660.015913+1.62%0.01967+25.61%0.4119✓0.69400k2022-06-13
AVTAventusEthereum0.950.9654+1.62%1.61+69.47%0.7408✓0.79201k2022-06-13
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07140.072568+1.64%0.0561-21.43%0.2901✓1.88176k2022-06-13
STORJStorjEthereum0.547610.556615+1.64%0.37168-32.13%0.0120✓1.4393k2022-06-13
COTICOTIEthereum0.11090.112794+1.71%0.0926-16.50%0.2561✓1.561.7M2022-06-13
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03380.034387+1.74%0.0291-13.91%0.2225✓1.34179k2022-06-13
SPELLSpellEthereum0.001340.001366+1.94%0.000828-38.21%0.0682✗1.493.8M2022-06-13
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.196760.200596+1.95%0.13259-32.61%0.0552✓1.61262k2022-06-13
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.010010.010211+2.01%0.00733-26.77%0.1003✗0.80269k2022-06-13
CHZChilizEthereum0.11710.119456+2.01%0.0945-19.30%0.1607✓1.361.2M2022-06-13
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana1.531.5621+2.10%3.225+110.78%1.0268✓1.04683k2022-06-13
SOLSolanaSolana52.3753.4833+2.13%28.58-45.43%0.2214✗1.3987.4M2022-06-13
RADRadworksEthereum1.891.9324+2.24%1.52-19.58%0.0572✓1.02381k2022-06-13
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche33.8934.6815+2.34%16.09-52.52%0.3477✗1.4545.0M2022-06-13
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.3050.312216+2.37%0.941+208.52%1.6075✓1.731.8M2022-06-13
DIADIAEthereum0.376460.385426+2.38%0.38009+0.96%0.2097✓0.7770k2022-06-13
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.5982.6625+2.48%2.042-21.40%0.1768✓1.52221k2022-06-13
MOVRMoonriverBase22.493223.0765+2.59%14.6487-34.87%0.0335✗1.45195k2022-06-13
OGOG Fan TokenSolana1.5141.5537+2.62%3.286+117.04%1.0267✓0.95779k2022-06-13
NANOnanopayBase1.15951.1905+2.67%0.845884-27.05%0.0238✓1.26161k2022-06-13
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012570.00001291+2.70%0.00000802-36.20%0.0944✗1.311.3M2022-06-13
GLMRMoonbeamBase1.231.2634+2.72%0.858-30.24%0.1031✓1.69582k2022-06-13
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.4960.510308+2.88%0.301-39.31%0.1065✗1.45869k2022-06-13
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash208.47214.7533+3.01%126.93-39.11%0.1982✗1.135.3M2022-06-13
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3330.344988+3.60%0.256-23.12%0.0072✓1.001.1M2022-06-13
AAVEAaveEthereum86.4489.5791+3.63%59.74-30.89%0.0284✓1.497.8M2022-06-13
BFCBifrostEthereum0.068470.071074+3.80%0.04562-33.37%0.1401✗1.0419k2022-06-13
XVSVenusEthereum4.64.7855+4.03%3.88-15.65%0.2106✓1.452.8M2022-06-13
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.