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2022-05-13 · +30d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 166 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0809
166 of 166 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+25.69%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
42.8%
in alpha space · 36.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-9.16%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (166 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
XVSVenusEthereum4.244.4631+5.26%4.29+1.18%0.0982✓1.432.9M2022-06-12
BFCBifrostEthereum0.064240.067556+5.16%0.05792-9.84%0.0548✗1.0319k2022-06-12
AAVEAaveEthereum82.2886.2634+4.84%70.3-14.56%0.0617✗1.498.6M2022-06-12
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3440.358554+4.23%0.277-19.48%0.1605✗1.021.1M2022-06-12
OGOG Fan TokenSolana1.3241.3734+3.73%3.026+128.55%0.8788✓0.92826k2022-06-12
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash201.94209.3929+3.69%145.97-27.72%0.2526✗1.135.3M2022-06-12
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.14830.153753+3.68%0.1114-24.88%0.1787✗1.498.1M2022-06-12
NANOnanopayBase1.07641.1142+3.52%0.911103-15.35%0.0816✗1.25161k2022-06-12
GLMRMoonbeamBase1.1941.2357+3.49%0.979-18.01%0.0708✗1.69582k2022-06-12
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.2830.292864+3.49%1.13+299.29%1.5160✓1.731.8M2022-06-12
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche32.1733.2541+3.37%17.27-46.32%0.5168✗1.4445.0M2022-06-12
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.4962.5799+3.36%2.189-12.30%0.0185✓1.52216k2022-06-12
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana1.4461.4945+3.36%3.294+127.80%0.8892✓1.03714k2022-06-12
RADRadworksEthereum1.781.8395+3.34%1.72-3.37%0.0300✓1.01381k2022-06-12
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012810.000013237+3.33%0.00000859-32.94%0.3051✗1.331.3M2022-06-12
AVTAventusEthereum0.830.857436+3.31%1.69+103.61%0.7512✓0.76204k2022-06-12
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.4990.5152+3.25%0.34-31.86%0.2754✗1.46869k2022-06-12
SPELLSpellEthereum0.001320.001362+3.18%0.000825-37.50%0.3582✗1.493.8M2022-06-12
CHZChilizEthereum0.1110.114474+3.13%0.0972-12.43%0.0335✗1.351.2M2022-06-12
SOLSolanaSolana48.8950.4177+3.12%30.56-37.49%0.3676✗1.3987.4M2022-06-12
MOVRMoonriverBase22.637623.3394+3.10%15.5809-31.17%0.2641✗1.46195k2022-06-12
DIADIAEthereum0.376820.387973+2.96%0.42327+12.33%0.1613✓0.7770k2022-06-12
LCXLCXEthereum0.05730.058979+2.93%0.063+9.95%0.1741✓1.13415k2022-06-12
LRCLoopringEthereum0.46310.476505+2.89%0.4054-12.46%0.0200✓1.47307k2022-06-12
WOOWOOEthereum0.18970.195059+2.82%0.1183-37.64%0.4013✗1.032,9402022-06-12
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03290.033808+2.76%0.03-8.81%0.0092✓1.34189k2022-06-12
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.195840.20117+2.72%0.15043-23.19%0.1349✗1.62250k2022-06-12
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07140.073342+2.72%0.0657-7.98%0.0726✓1.90177k2022-06-12
STORJStorjEthereum0.499640.513217+2.72%0.42173-15.59%0.0604✗1.4291k2022-06-12
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.4870.499955+2.66%0.489+0.41%0.1226✓1.511.7M2022-06-12
COTICOTIEthereum0.11020.11313+2.66%0.1-9.26%0.0272✓1.571.8M2022-06-12
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.009850.010107+2.61%0.00818-16.95%0.1353✗0.79246k2022-06-12
UOSUltraEthereum0.350770.359765+2.56%0.28555-18.59%0.0874✗1.491.4M2022-06-12
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0145860.014956+2.54%0.012288-15.75%0.0907✗1.104.4M2022-06-12
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana4.874.9931+2.53%6.62+35.93%0.3597✓0.811.3M2022-06-12
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.661.7014+2.49%1.34-19.28%0.0769✗1.69399k2022-06-12
GITCOINGITCOIN2.32.3573+2.49%2.4285+5.59%0.1931✓1.7023k2022-06-12
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.01640.016799+2.44%0.01815+10.67%0.2922✓2.2426.5M2022-06-12
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.792.8572+2.41%2.7-3.23%0.0425✓1.0390k2022-06-12
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.310.5415+2.34%7.06-31.46%0.2730✗1.3320.9M2022-06-12
MINAMina Protocolnative1.0411.0653+2.34%0.63-39.48%0.3925✗1.38755k2022-06-12
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.9481.9933+2.32%1.246-36.04%0.3105✗1.6699k2022-06-12
MANADecentralandEthereum1.0221.0448+2.24%0.78892-22.80%0.1395✗1.47970k2022-06-12
GALAGALAEthereum0.09170.093731+2.21%0.0573-37.51%0.3299✗1.69215k2022-06-12
CTSICartesiEthereum0.18070.1847+2.21%0.1887+4.43%0.1605✓1.45640k2022-06-12
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.22080.225687+2.21%0.2317+4.94%0.1437✓1.22292k2022-06-12
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.009530.00974+2.21%0.00687-27.91%0.2428✗1.111.0M2022-06-12
SCSiacoinnative0.004660.004763+2.20%0.00405-13.09%0.0240✗1.44403k2022-06-12
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.383220.391603+2.19%0.30712-19.86%0.1223✗1.26188k2022-06-12
ORCAOrcaSolana0.890.909153+2.15%0.66-25.84%0.2307✗0.93137k2022-06-12
CELLCellframeEthereum0.3750.382917+2.11%0.25-33.33%0.3033✗1.2893k2022-06-12
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.015980.016317+2.11%0.02308+44.43%0.4136✓0.70400k2022-06-12
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.137.2793+2.09%6.26-12.20%0.0247✗1.3119.6M2022-06-12
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.023990.024491+2.09%0.02308-3.79%0.0422✓1.06214k2022-06-12
XTZTezosTezos1.76611.8029+2.09%1.6356-7.39%0.0238✓1.26878k2022-06-12
XMRMoneroMonero143.73146.7072+2.07%159.28+10.82%0.1804✓1.023.2M2022-06-12
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana2.392.439+2.05%3.83+60.25%0.5436✓0.96470k2022-06-12
STXStacksnative0.520.530295+1.98%0.4189-19.44%0.1310✗1.09274k2022-06-12
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.312.3556+1.97%2.42+4.76%0.1941✓1.74378k2022-06-12
UNIUniswapEthereum5.135.2307+1.96%4.054-20.97%0.1392✗1.203.9M2022-06-12
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.47832.5265+1.95%2.1474-13.35%0.0443✗1.23177k2022-06-12
XECeCashnative0.000042120.000042933+1.93%0.00004105-2.54%0.0877✓1.386.7M2022-06-12
LSKLiskEthereum1.13791.1594+1.89%1.0921-4.02%0.0408✓1.0598k2022-06-12
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13990.142542+1.89%0.1095-21.73%0.1128✗1.576.2M2022-06-12
ZECZcashZcash93.8195.5796+1.89%79.32-15.45%0.0669✗1.245.1M2022-06-12
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.820.835332+1.87%0.71-13.41%0.0153✓1.53815k2022-06-12
LPTLivepeerEthereum14.7315.0053+1.87%9.36-36.46%0.3460✗1.31822k2022-06-12
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.023790.024215+1.79%0.0224-5.84%0.0171✓0.9927k2022-06-12
DASHDashDash57.9859.0158+1.79%46.05-20.58%0.1349✗1.181.1M2022-06-12
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.08720.088758+1.79%0.0788-9.63%0.0378✗0.85169k2022-06-12
XVGVergenative0.004720.004803+1.76%0.00342-27.54%0.2104✗1.35885k2022-06-12
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.12270.124855+1.76%0.1199-2.28%0.1157✓1.63109k2022-06-12
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.31590.321419+1.75%0.2816-10.86%0.0137✓1.238.5M2022-06-12
SUSHISushiEthereum1.391.4142+1.74%1.13-18.71%0.0814✗1.494.1M2022-06-12
TRBTellor TributesEthereum9.399.5534+1.74%12.2+29.93%0.3856✓1.47134k2022-06-12
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana2.322.3602+1.73%3.55+53.02%0.5086✓1.05553k2022-06-12
KSMKusamaHydration73.8475.1117+1.72%50.78-31.23%0.2740✗1.221.2M2022-06-12
KCSKuCoinnative12.51112.7246+1.71%14.122+12.88%0.1935✓0.934.1M2022-06-12
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.035180.035777+1.70%0.02929-16.74%0.0708✗1.3594k2022-06-12
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,926.0510,092.03+1.67%6,006.74-39.49%0.4072✗1.162.6M2022-06-12
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.1120.11387+1.67%0.0974-13.04%0.0496✗1.111.1M2022-06-12
DOTPolkadotPolkadot10.4410.6068+1.60%7.393-29.19%0.2375✗1.2911.9M2022-06-12
LTCLitecoinLitecoin67.7868.8317+1.55%47.86-29.39%0.2529✗1.1517.8M2022-06-12
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain1.61191.6366+1.53%2.083+29.23%0.3464✓1.102.5M2022-06-12
CVCCivicEthereum0.14910.151367+1.52%0.1443-3.22%0.0850✓1.38372k2022-06-12
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.391.4104+1.47%1.01-27.34%0.2300✗1.08140k2022-06-12
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12230.124077+1.45%0.1072-12.35%0.0574✗0.9319k2022-06-12
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum29,332.5029,745.90+1.41%26,697.30-8.98%0.0145✗0.9858k2022-06-12
XEMNEMnative0.0580.058815+1.41%0.041719-28.07%0.2241✗1.24127k2022-06-12
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.3121.3304+1.40%0.864-34.15%0.2949✗1.425.8M2022-06-12
HIVEHivenative0.45490.461221+1.39%0.4325-4.92%0.0535✓1.231.5M2022-06-12
BANDBandEthereum1.721.7427+1.32%1.417-17.62%0.0687✗1.44537k2022-06-12
ETCEthereum Classicnative20.4720.7237+1.24%16.59-18.95%0.1016✗1.264.4M2022-06-12
GLMGolemEthereum0.23340.236289+1.24%0.2316-0.77%0.1116✓1.37180k2022-06-12
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6720.680266+1.23%0.49-27.08%0.1871✗1.47344k2022-06-12
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.004290.004341+1.18%0.00318-25.87%0.1970✗1.191.7M2022-06-12
GTGateEthereum5.55845.6197+1.10%4.8594-12.58%0.0933✗0.544.9M2022-06-12
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana3.093.1237+1.09%4.2+35.92%0.3860✓0.94817k2022-06-12
TRXTRONTron0.07420.074999+1.08%0.076131+2.60%0.0939✓0.821.1M2022-06-12
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.9140.923789+1.07%0.65-28.88%0.2451✗1.11729k2022-06-12
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum20.4520.6516+0.99%14.43-29.44%0.2225✗1.423.8M2022-06-12
API3Api3Ethereum1.621.635+0.92%1.185-26.85%0.1863✗1.412.5M2022-06-12
SKLSKALEEthereum0.08210.082846+0.91%0.0518-36.91%0.3231✗1.523.6M2022-06-12
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.46751.4806+0.89%1.7899+21.97%0.2934✓1.084.3M2022-06-12
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.738.807+0.88%5.672-35.03%0.3195✗1.257.5M2022-06-12
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain1.831.846+0.88%3.675+100.82%0.7580✓0.721.8M2022-06-12
ETHEthereumEthereum2,005.482,022.10+0.83%1,433.19-28.54%0.2452✗1.03494.1M2022-06-12
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum9.279.3438+0.80%5.636-39.20%0.3686✗1.438.0M2022-06-12
BTTCBTTC0.000001120.000001129+0.79%9.30e-7-16.96%0.1174✗0.797.9M2022-06-12
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.66530.670237+0.74%0.5869-11.78%0.0025✓1.416.1M2022-06-12
ZENHorizenBase20.2420.387+0.73%15.15-25.15%0.1507✗1.52173k2022-06-12
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.25190.25365+0.69%0.2037-19.13%0.0996✗1.25480k2022-06-12
QTUMQtumQtum3.86813.8941+0.67%3.0871-20.19%0.1170✗1.20135k2022-06-12
CBKCobakEthereum1.0561.0608+0.46%0.998-5.49%0.0325✓0.9725k2022-06-12
UMAUMAEthereum2.9132.926+0.44%2.296-21.18%0.0821✗1.672.4M2022-06-12
AMPAmpEthereum0.01350.013558+0.43%0.01007-25.41%0.1953✗1.063.4M2022-06-12
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.340.341399+0.41%0.51439+51.29%0.5665✓1.63351k2022-06-12
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.273.2829+0.40%3.21-1.83%0.0468✓0.72770k2022-06-12
ADACardanoCardano0.52810.530151+0.39%0.4899-7.23%0.0445✓1.2843.7M2022-06-12
AUCTIONBounceEthereum4.764.7778+0.37%5.1+7.14%0.1941✓1.34629k2022-06-12
BORABORAKlay Token0.344170.345213+0.30%0.31445-8.64%0.0613✓1.6135k2022-06-12
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.08995.103+0.26%5.5114+8.28%0.1032✓0.27284k2022-06-12
COMPCompoundEthereum68.4568.6024+0.22%41.2-39.81%0.3788✗1.3630k2022-06-12
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.88482.8893+0.16%2.3596-18.21%0.0442✗1.657.0M2022-06-12
BRISEBitgertEthereum6.19e-76.19e-7+0.14%4.01e-7-35.17%0.3816✗0.551.4M2022-06-12
FIDABonfidaSolana0.6090.609566+0.09%0.373-38.75%0.3760✗1.2042k2022-06-12
NMRNumeraireEthereum12.7112.7157+0.04%9.32-26.67%0.2236✗0.91555k2022-06-12
QNTQuantEthereum68.5868.6048+0.04%49.57-27.72%0.2262✗1.033.5M2022-06-12
BTCBitcoinBitcoin29,232.1829,237.96+0.02%26,555.20-9.16%0.0002✓1.00672.6M2022-06-12
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.013310.013302-0.06%0.012724-4.40%0.0298✗0.77200k2022-06-12
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8140.813345-0.08%0.849+4.30%0.1490✗1.103.3M2022-06-12
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.28280.281766-0.37%0.1563-44.73%0.5436✓0.48458k2022-06-12
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.07040.070092-0.44%0.05315-24.50%0.1806✓1.003.9M2022-06-12
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.7581.7497-0.47%1.484-15.59%0.0256✗1.981.0M2022-06-12
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.44260.44008-0.57%0.3246-26.66%0.1906✓1.1812.8M2022-06-12
IMXImmutableEthereum0.8320.826347-0.68%0.733-11.90%0.0270✗1.537.9M2022-06-12
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.042970.042673-0.69%0.0437+1.70%0.1154✗0.958,5302022-06-12
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0882440.087613-0.72%0.063482-28.06%0.2153✓1.117.1M2022-06-12
DKAdKargoEthereum0.050050.049692-0.72%0.05067+1.24%0.1138✗0.9825k2022-06-12
XLMStellarStellar0.1320630.130962-0.83%0.118556-10.23%0.0028✓1.0713.8M2022-06-12
FTTFTXEthereum30.8330.5665-0.85%27.9-9.50%0.0009✓0.9615.2M2022-06-12
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum9.769.6758-0.86%8.45-13.42%0.0152✗1.575.9M2022-06-12
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.10180.100729-1.05%0.083-18.47%0.0167✓1.84734k2022-06-12
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV51.8951.3201-1.10%48.273-6.97%0.0312✗0.961.9M2022-06-12
DODODODOEthereum0.1520.150132-1.23%0.1504-1.05%0.1413✗1.454.5M2022-06-12
NEXONEXOEthereum1.3031.2845-1.42%0.953-26.86%0.2025✓1.005.3M2022-06-12
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2060.202997-1.46%0.203-1.46%0.1408✗1.474.1M2022-06-12
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.864.7883-1.48%4.64-4.53%0.0511✗0.862.7M2022-06-12
GMTGMTEthereum1.4931.4703-1.52%0.664-55.53%0.6989✓1.008.8M2022-06-12
SUNSun TokenTron0.0094570.009291-1.76%0.00867-8.32%0.0308✗1.0428k2022-06-12
STEEMSteemnative0.21850.213951-2.08%0.208-4.81%0.0678✗1.002.1M2022-06-12
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.670.655741-2.13%0.45-32.84%0.2349✓1.4720k2022-06-12
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.003770.003686-2.23%0.00368-2.39%0.0890✗0.9420k2022-06-12
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.6072.5488-2.23%2.216-15.00%0.0206✓1.677.7M2022-06-12
ASTRAstarEthereum0.0710.069332-2.35%0.0502-29.30%0.2230✓1.04115k2022-06-12
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009890.009657-2.36%0.00946-4.35%0.1384✗1.6644.1M2022-06-12
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.4873.3784-3.11%3.11-10.81%0.0165✓1.031.5M2022-06-12
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3664160.353212-3.60%0.297576-18.79%0.0455✓1.316.1M2022-06-12
PROPropyEthereum1.191.1435-3.91%1.05-11.76%0.0174✓0.71495k2022-06-12
XYMSymbolnative0.06990.06706-4.06%0.0525-24.89%0.1735✓0.74568k2022-06-12
APEApeCoinEthereum8.538.1539-4.41%3.885-54.45%0.4869✓2.6594.8M2022-06-12
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.72541.6486-4.45%1.2017-30.35%0.2541✓0.6516k2022-06-12
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.55161.4808-4.57%1.439-7.26%0.0876✗1.219.8M2022-06-12
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04630.043848-5.30%0.0423-8.64%0.0758✗1.161.6M2022-06-12
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.0040.93373-7.00%1.723+71.61%0.7412✗1.3414.9M2022-06-12
LUNATerraTerra 20.000120.000012943-89.21%0.00006946-42.12%1.9263✓2.567.8M2022-06-12
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.