8=======>

2022-05-07 · +30d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 165 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2282
165 of 165 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+9.87%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
89.1%
in alpha space · 95.8% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-11.60%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (165 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.024720.024758+0.15%0.02592+4.85%0.1042✓0.47405k2022-06-06
BFCBifrostEthereum0.110270.109769-0.45%0.07063-35.95%0.3528✓0.7117k2022-06-06
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.370.36781-0.59%0.20236-45.31%0.4214✓1.43268k2022-06-06
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0224810.022303-0.79%0.01521-32.34%0.2621✓0.984.2M2022-06-06
ZECZcashZcash112.65111.6131-0.92%94.38-16.22%0.0220✓1.185.1M2022-06-06
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.27335.2244-0.93%5.1334-2.65%0.0194✗0.30278k2022-06-06
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana8.888.7895-1.02%5.58-37.16%0.3946✓0.482.5M2022-06-06
SUSHISushiEthereum2.142.1166-1.09%1.62-24.30%0.1003✓1.353.3M2022-06-06
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.76562.7338-1.15%2.3293-15.78%0.0808✓0.645.0M2022-06-06
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos16.4316.2305-1.21%9.457-42.44%0.3972✓1.1618.8M2022-06-06
TRXTRONTron0.0833540.082307-1.26%0.081464-2.27%0.0812✗0.74304k2022-06-06
GTGateEthereum6.30716.2268-1.27%5.4841-13.05%0.0723✓0.444.1M2022-06-06
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.9640.949856-1.47%0.719-25.41%0.1245✓1.251.9M2022-06-06
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.871.8409-1.56%1.29-31.02%0.2277✓1.04134k2022-06-06
MANADecentralandEthereum1.37041.3488-1.57%1.0154-25.90%0.1344✓1.21760k2022-06-06
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.47650.468967-1.58%0.3639-23.63%0.1150✓1.127.9M2022-06-06
LINKChainlinkEthereum10.2110.0464-1.60%7.971-21.93%0.0839✓1.2017.5M2022-06-06
LTCLitecoinLitecoin94.2792.7459-1.62%64.38-31.71%0.2376✓1.0317.3M2022-06-06
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.0613.9948-1.63%2.833-30.24%0.2167✓1.0367k2022-06-06
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.20940.205969-1.64%0.1476-29.51%0.1509✓1.486.3M2022-06-06
ETHEthereumEthereum2,634.802,591.35-1.65%1,858.21-29.47%0.2085✓1.01437.0M2022-06-06
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6130.602812-1.66%1.053+71.78%0.7365✗1.451.6M2022-06-06
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche55.0354.1058-1.68%25.98-52.79%0.5833✓1.2243.7M2022-06-06
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash267.87263.3462-1.69%185.41-30.78%0.2255✓1.024.9M2022-06-06
BRISEBitgertEthereum8.69e-78.53e-7-1.75%6.31e-7-27.38%0.3018✓0.00717k2022-06-06
DEXEDeXeEthereum4.454.3716-1.76%3.21-27.87%0.2321✓0.62851k2022-06-06
GLMGolemEthereum0.33160.325726-1.77%0.306-7.72%0.0788✗1.15188k2022-06-06
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.874.7801-1.85%4.97+2.05%0.1288✗0.73930k2022-06-06
LUNATerraTerra 268.0266.7427-1.88%0.00008059-100.00%13.4622✓1.346.9M2022-06-06
XTZTezosTezos2.51172.4631-1.94%2.061-17.94%0.0395✓1.12847k2022-06-06
KCSKuCoinnative16.73116.3897-2.04%16.559-1.03%0.1064✗0.784.0M2022-06-06
LSKLiskEthereum1.63191.5986-2.04%1.43-12.37%0.0021✓0.9280k2022-06-06
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.3763.3051-2.10%4.612+36.61%0.3781✗0.362.4M2022-06-06
AAVEAaveEthereum132.21129.3604-2.16%105.84-19.95%0.0352✓1.348.3M2022-06-06
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum4.5724.471-2.21%2.866-37.31%0.2955✓1.21174k2022-06-06
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9480.926865-2.23%0.813-14.24%0.0068✓1.123.3M2022-06-06
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum35,568.5034,772.54-2.24%31,441.50-11.60%0.0187✓0.9726k2022-06-06
UOSUltraEthereum0.630660.616478-2.25%0.36796-41.65%0.3510✓1.341.3M2022-06-06
TRBTellor TributesEthereum13.413.0936-2.29%10.96-18.21%0.0015✓1.43136k2022-06-06
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.87460.854301-2.32%0.6122-30.00%0.1694✓1.336.3M2022-06-06
ORCAOrcaSolana1.531.4944-2.33%0.84-45.10%0.4873✓0.72142k2022-06-06
BTTCBTTC0.000001620.000001582-2.33%0.00000109-32.72%0.2852✓0.717.6M2022-06-06
DOTPolkadotPolkadot13.7513.4271-2.35%9.492-30.97%0.2102✓1.1111.6M2022-06-06
XVSVenusEthereum7.437.2537-2.37%4.57-38.49%0.3214✓1.142.6M2022-06-06
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.648.4326-2.40%7.53-12.85%0.0536✓0.481.2M2022-06-06
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.03960.038643-2.42%0.02849-28.06%0.2017✓0.84227k2022-06-06
DIADIAEthereum0.690.672854-2.48%0.45239-34.44%0.3387✓0.4770k2022-06-06
GITCOINGITCOIN4.4914.3774-2.53%2.804-37.56%0.2594✓1.5118k2022-06-06
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.19130.186388-2.57%0.1323-30.84%0.2347✓0.881.2M2022-06-06
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000019280.000018776-2.62%0.00001106-42.63%0.3987✓1.061.2M2022-06-06
HIVEHivenative0.74230.722805-2.63%0.5692-23.32%0.1083✓1.061.4M2022-06-06
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.03450.033555-2.74%0.02403-30.35%0.0998✓1.9022.0M2022-06-06
STORJStorjEthereum0.807880.785528-2.77%0.6076-24.79%0.1025✓1.2588k2022-06-06
BTCBitcoinBitcoin35,458.0034,465.73-2.80%31,343.61-11.60%0.0284✗1.00542.5M2022-06-06
UMAUMAEthereum5.2745.1251-2.82%3.103-41.16%0.3222✓1.461.6M2022-06-06
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04940.047991-2.85%0.035-29.15%0.1664✓1.21176k2022-06-06
SCSiacoinnative0.007570.007354-2.86%0.00581-23.25%0.0822✓1.24373k2022-06-06
OGOG Fan TokenSolana2.7212.6426-2.88%3.162+16.21%0.2607✗0.661.1M2022-06-06
QNTQuantEthereum87.0984.5495-2.92%67.76-22.20%0.0984✓1.003.4M2022-06-06
GALAGALAEthereum0.13580.131837-2.92%0.0879-35.27%0.2422✓1.32180k2022-06-06
CBKCobakEthereum1.6581.6096-2.92%1.3642-17.72%0.0661✓0.8024k2022-06-06
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.9040.877541-2.93%0.504-44.25%0.3934✓1.311.0M2022-06-06
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.38830.376895-2.94%0.3228-16.87%0.0373✓0.95297k2022-06-06
NMRNumeraireEthereum20.2119.6163-2.94%12.09-40.18%0.3890✓0.77445k2022-06-06
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.056110.05444-2.98%0.03982-29.03%0.1752✓1.1155k2022-06-06
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.37050.35941-2.99%0.1442-61.08%0.8601✓0.43540k2022-06-06
WOOWOOEthereum0.32810.318221-3.01%0.1941-40.84%0.4151✓0.643,2632022-06-06
DKAdKargoEthereum0.073660.071433-3.02%0.06463-12.26%0.0084✓0.8829k2022-06-06
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.9960.965875-3.02%0.652-34.54%0.2319✓1.31344k2022-06-06
RADRadworksEthereum3.443.3334-3.10%2.22-35.47%0.2998✓0.87541k2022-06-06
FIDABonfidaSolana0.9570.926261-3.21%0.485-49.32%0.5095✓1.1143k2022-06-06
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0173340.016769-3.26%0.015286-11.81%0.0203✓0.59193k2022-06-06
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.556810.53864-3.26%0.40356-27.52%0.1515✓1.11129k2022-06-06
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.14190.137239-3.28%0.0872-38.55%0.2113✓1.96256k2022-06-06
STXStacksnative0.810.782849-3.35%0.5587-31.02%0.2140✓1.00260k2022-06-06
LPTLivepeerEthereum21.7921.0399-3.44%12.56-42.36%0.3607✓1.26532k2022-06-06
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.82654.6577-3.50%3.2249-33.18%0.2303✓1.118.6M2022-06-06
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.083.9365-3.52%4.09+0.25%0.1331✗0.77585k2022-06-06
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.77262.6729-3.60%2.5863-6.72%0.0495✗0.672.8M2022-06-06
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum1.1331.0898-3.81%0.602-46.87%0.4484✓1.1836k2022-06-06
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.2272.1418-3.82%1.286-42.25%0.3434✓1.355.1M2022-06-06
API3Api3Ethereum3.1223.0013-3.87%1.562-49.97%0.5188✓1.092.6M2022-06-06
XLMStellarStellar0.1675110.160991-3.89%0.144814-13.55%0.0181✓1.0113.6M2022-06-06
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.00780.007494-3.92%0.00431-44.74%0.4106✓1.161.7M2022-06-06
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2170.208423-3.95%0.1275-41.24%0.4028✓0.7222k2022-06-06
KSMKusamaHydration117.99113.3175-3.96%70.26-40.45%0.3404✓1.121.0M2022-06-06
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.63622.5313-3.98%1.9814-24.84%0.1231✓0.9910.0M2022-06-06
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.18950.181949-3.98%0.1709-9.82%0.1065✗1.37109k2022-06-06
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana4.484.3013-3.99%4.21-6.03%0.0630✗0.68497k2022-06-06
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum18.317.5512-4.09%12.17-33.50%0.1979✓1.362.3M2022-06-06
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.70.671291-4.10%0.84358+20.51%0.3852✗1.27412k2022-06-06
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.12030.115363-4.10%0.0925-23.11%0.1173✓0.84136k2022-06-06
FTTFTXEthereum35.0933.63-4.16%27.37-22.00%0.0923✓0.9211.7M2022-06-06
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.013920.013338-4.18%0.00924-33.62%0.2558✓0.901.0M2022-06-06
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum12.0511.545-4.19%7.576-37.13%0.2678✓1.248.3M2022-06-06
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.29180.279382-4.26%0.1585-45.68%0.4118✓1.266.3M2022-06-06
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum3.63373.4787-4.27%2.565-29.41%0.1679✓1.11173k2022-06-06
LRCLoopringEthereum0.69460.664733-4.30%0.5543-20.20%0.0179✓1.33296k2022-06-06
AMPAmpEthereum0.017810.017044-4.30%0.01186-33.41%0.2702✓0.752.9M2022-06-06
MOVRMoonriverBase34.658833.1369-4.39%20.5584-40.68%0.3000✓1.44173k2022-06-06
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum28.6527.3911-4.39%20.69-27.78%0.1131✓1.363.5M2022-06-06
DYDXdYdXCosmos3.4253.2742-4.40%1.794-47.62%0.4238✓1.4475k2022-06-06
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.22422.125-4.46%1.5277-31.31%0.2485✓0.6614k2022-06-06
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.36540.349103-4.46%0.3225-11.74%0.0601✗1.13487k2022-06-06
BANDBandEthereum2.7842.6582-4.52%1.72-38.22%0.2743✓1.31499k2022-06-06
ADACardanoCardano0.75980.724956-4.59%0.6087-19.89%0.0309✓1.1740.5M2022-06-06
IMXImmutableEthereum1.4221.3558-4.66%1.04-26.86%0.0901✓1.428.3M2022-06-06
MASKMask NetworkEthereum3.523.3559-4.66%1.75-50.28%0.4706✓1.46349k2022-06-06
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.0610.058149-4.67%0.05285-13.36%0.0095✓0.859,8712022-06-06
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.00710.006768-4.68%0.0051-28.17%0.2073✓0.6121k2022-06-06
QTUMQtumQtum5.2284.9812-4.72%4.0349-22.82%0.0672✓1.1698k2022-06-06
SOLSolanaSolana78.8375.0601-4.78%42.35-46.28%0.4195✓1.2482.2M2022-06-06
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.667580.635097-4.87%0.428069-35.88%0.2554✓1.135.6M2022-06-06
YFIyearn.financeEthereum16,364.7315,559.67-4.92%7,455.25-54.44%0.6103✓1.022.3M2022-06-06
CELLCellframeEthereum0.6640.631182-4.94%0.3392-48.92%0.4732✓1.2097k2022-06-06
XEMNEMnative0.08060.076556-5.02%0.053095-34.13%0.2437✓0.9954k2022-06-06
FILFilecoinFilecoin13.2512.5726-5.11%7.563-42.92%0.3661✓1.156.5M2022-06-06
CVCCivicEthereum0.23550.223203-5.22%0.1942-17.54%0.0100✓1.21372k2022-06-06
COMPCompoundEthereum99.0693.8363-5.27%59.38-40.06%0.3054✓1.2331k2022-06-06
AUCTIONBounceEthereum10.49.8429-5.36%6.61-36.44%0.2686✓1.05748k2022-06-06
CTSICartesiEthereum0.25650.242527-5.45%0.2146-16.34%0.0433✓1.34675k2022-06-06
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.722.5695-5.53%3.017+10.92%0.2511✗0.73788k2022-06-06
XVGVergenative0.007690.00725-5.72%0.00484-37.06%0.2623✓1.15898k2022-06-06
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.3155.0084-5.77%3.611-32.06%0.2470✓0.651.4M2022-06-06
APEApeCoinEthereum12.35311.6245-5.90%6.382-48.34%0.3534✓2.0075.7M2022-06-06
PROPropyEthereum1.681.5798-5.97%1.07-36.31%0.3130✓0.62507k2022-06-06
AVTAventusEthereum1.941.8228-6.04%1.06-45.36%0.4734✓0.56264k2022-06-06
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.2991.2197-6.10%0.874-32.72%0.2080✓1.02501k2022-06-06
XMRMoneroMonero204.44191.7887-6.19%189.44-7.34%0.1019✗0.933.0M2022-06-06
CHZChilizEthereum0.16740.15691-6.27%0.1296-22.58%0.0448✓1.191.3M2022-06-06
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.3164.0453-6.27%2.776-35.68%0.1881✓1.537.1M2022-06-06
NANOnanopayBase1.73281.6235-6.30%1.1816-31.81%0.1787✓1.13145k2022-06-06
ETCEthereum Classicnative26.8725.1674-6.34%22.51-16.23%0.0385✓1.224.6M2022-06-06
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1273390.119239-6.36%0.082485-35.22%0.2525✓0.947.1M2022-06-06
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.371.2823-6.40%0.88-35.77%0.2061✓1.38875k2022-06-06
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.21650.202163-6.62%0.1106-48.91%0.3945✓1.691.1M2022-06-06
UNIUniswapEthereum7.176.6925-6.66%5.369-25.12%0.0820✓1.124.2M2022-06-06
GTCGitcoinEthereum4.524.2184-6.67%2.84-37.17%0.2059✓1.54335k2022-06-06
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.74840.697701-6.77%0.4126-44.87%0.4038✓0.9910.9M2022-06-06
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.01550.014447-6.80%0.00859-44.58%0.4137✓0.86209k2022-06-06
HIGHHighstreetEthereum3.4563.2185-6.87%1.98-42.71%0.2745✓1.711.2M2022-06-06
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.15410.143443-6.92%0.06821-55.74%0.6200✓1.003.4M2022-06-06
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.390.362824-6.97%0.281-27.95%0.1169✓1.124.3M2022-06-06
SPELLSpellEthereum0.003070.002854-7.02%0.001275-58.47%0.6632✓1.163.9M2022-06-06
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.08580.079733-7.07%0.0536-37.53%0.2920✓0.852.4M2022-06-06
GLMRMoonbeamBase2.2182.0593-7.15%1.349-39.18%0.2309✓1.56665k2022-06-06
DASHDashDash83.4177.4367-7.16%60.01-28.05%0.1226✓1.071.1M2022-06-06
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.016270.015061-7.43%0.01214-25.38%0.0160✓1.6248.2M2022-06-06
GMTGMTEthereum2.5622.3667-7.62%1.005-60.77%0.7332✓1.009.0M2022-06-06
COTICOTIEthereum0.18190.167975-7.66%0.1224-32.71%0.1430✓1.411.8M2022-06-06
BORABORAKlay Token0.541590.499822-7.71%0.42235-22.02%0.0186✓1.2148k2022-06-06
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.036220.033419-7.73%0.029571-18.36%0.0152✓0.8731k2022-06-06
SKLSKALEEthereum0.13480.124265-7.82%0.069-48.81%0.4248✓1.333.8M2022-06-06
LCXLCXEthereum0.10110.093186-7.83%0.0684-32.34%0.2053✓0.84416k2022-06-06
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1330.122586-7.83%0.0634-52.33%0.5906✓0.56134k2022-06-06
SUNSun TokenTron0.0125430.011556-7.87%0.00958-23.62%0.0773✓0.8939k2022-06-06
ZENHorizenBase35.3832.5556-7.98%20.95-40.79%0.2758✓1.34173k2022-06-06
XYMSymbolnative0.08410.077318-8.06%0.059309-29.48%0.1805✓0.69657k2022-06-06
STEEMSteemnative0.38560.353536-8.32%0.284-26.35%0.0957✓1.003.5M2022-06-06
DODODODOEthereum0.2740.251018-8.39%0.1715-37.41%0.2213✓1.294.9M2022-06-06
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.7321.5838-8.56%1.559-9.99%0.1256✗1.1517.4M2022-06-06
MINAMina Protocolnative1.721.5694-8.76%0.873-49.24%0.4424✓1.17835k2022-06-06
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV70.3364.0188-8.97%57.654-18.02%0.0010✓0.862.1M2022-06-06
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.5770.524678-9.07%0.369-36.05%0.2562✓0.781.3M2022-06-06
XECeCashnative0.000069860.000063334-9.34%0.00005296-24.19%0.0516✓1.037.2M2022-06-06
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.