8=======>

2022-05-06 · +30d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 164 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2099
164 of 164 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+10.68%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
89.0%
in alpha space · 97.6% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-16.94%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (164 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.024630.024685+0.22%0.0255+3.53%0.1190✓0.47405k2022-06-05
BFCBifrostEthereum0.112350.111888-0.41%0.0666-40.72%0.3803✓0.7517k2022-06-05
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0224190.022283-0.61%0.015252-31.97%0.1986✓0.974.2M2022-06-05
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana8.238.1649-0.79%5.42-34.14%0.3175✓0.502.5M2022-06-05
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.37675.3297-0.88%5.1091-4.98%0.0155✗0.31278k2022-06-05
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.390.386056-1.01%0.20206-48.19%0.3808✓1.44278k2022-06-05
GTGateEthereum6.34966.2564-1.47%5.401-14.94%0.0643✓0.454.2M2022-06-05
SUSHISushiEthereum2.252.2151-1.55%1.54-31.56%0.1127✓1.353.6M2022-06-05
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.0944.03-1.56%2.722-33.51%0.2005✓1.0373k2022-06-05
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.49360.485702-1.60%0.3487-29.36%0.1235✓1.127.9M2022-06-05
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.931.899-1.61%1.26-34.72%0.2179✓1.04134k2022-06-05
ETHEthereumEthereum2,691.722,647.99-1.62%1,804.70-32.95%0.1974✓1.00438.2M2022-06-05
TRXTRONTron0.0864820.085012-1.70%0.081368-5.91%0.0931✗0.74297k2022-06-05
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos17.6617.3558-1.72%9.166-48.10%0.4249✓1.1518.8M2022-06-05
LTCLitecoinLitecoin96.6995.0247-1.72%63.1-34.74%0.2167✓1.0417.5M2022-06-05
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.884.7925-1.79%4.51-7.58%0.0742✗0.73987k2022-06-05
MANADecentralandEthereum1.4491.4229-1.80%0.97643-32.61%0.1491✓1.23805k2022-06-05
ZECZcashZcash123.65121.368-1.85%90.36-26.92%0.0758✓1.185.1M2022-06-05
LINKChainlinkEthereum10.7910.5892-1.86%7.64-29.19%0.1057✓1.1918.3M2022-06-05
XTZTezosTezos2.50782.4596-1.92%1.9503-22.23%0.0242✓1.12847k2022-06-05
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche5755.8869-1.95%24.15-57.63%0.6133✓1.2244.2M2022-06-05
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.18733.1248-1.96%2.3523-26.20%0.1683✓0.625.0M2022-06-05
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.0411.02-2.02%0.73-29.88%0.1061✓1.232.1M2022-06-05
KCSKuCoinnative16.94316.5765-2.16%16.331-3.61%0.1296✗0.784.1M2022-06-05
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.648.453-2.16%7.43-14.00%0.0380✓0.491.3M2022-06-05
DEXEDeXeEthereum4.854.7433-2.20%3.38-30.31%0.2256✓0.61851k2022-06-05
UOSUltraEthereum0.667440.652604-2.22%0.36717-44.99%0.3266✓1.341.3M2022-06-05
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.038340.037465-2.28%0.02841-25.90%0.1205✓0.84222k2022-06-05
LSKLiskEthereum1.68681.6478-2.31%1.3849-17.90%0.0031✓0.9280k2022-06-05
BRISEBitgertEthereum8.90e-78.70e-7-2.33%6.49e-7-27.14%0.2931✓-0.00717k2022-06-05
GLMGolemEthereum0.35210.343864-2.34%0.3001-14.77%0.0745✗1.13188k2022-06-05
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash274.77268.3289-2.34%179.67-34.61%0.2132✓1.015.0M2022-06-05
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.4673.3855-2.35%4.537+30.86%0.3602✗0.362.4M2022-06-05
GITCOINGITCOIN4.6974.5856-2.37%2.731-41.86%0.2387✓1.5118k2022-06-05
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum36,069.7035,179.62-2.47%29,859.60-17.22%0.0152✓0.9726k2022-06-05
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.22630.220522-2.55%0.1408-37.78%0.1759✓1.476.5M2022-06-05
DOTPolkadotPolkadot14.3213.9509-2.58%9.339-34.78%0.1961✓1.1111.7M2022-06-05
BTTCBTTC0.000001670.000001626-2.60%0.00000109-34.73%0.2695✓0.707.7M2022-06-05
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9880.962245-2.61%0.796-19.43%0.0151✓1.103.5M2022-06-05
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum4.8944.7637-2.66%2.813-42.52%0.3038✓1.20184k2022-06-05
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.19550.190173-2.72%0.1294-33.81%0.2239✓0.871.1M2022-06-05
HIVEHivenative0.77030.749261-2.73%0.551-28.47%0.1102✓1.061.5M2022-06-05
BTCBitcoinBitcoin35,999.1035,013.99-2.74%29,901.54-16.94%0.0277✗1.00553.2M2022-06-05
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6410.623459-2.74%0.804+25.43%0.5231✗1.451.7M2022-06-05
CBKCobakEthereum1.7371.6891-2.76%1.3104-24.56%0.1056✓0.8024k2022-06-05
DIADIAEthereum0.710.690241-2.78%0.44367-37.51%0.3552✓0.4770k2022-06-05
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.9130.887262-2.82%0.504-44.80%0.3239✓1.301.1M2022-06-05
LUNATerraTerra 277.3675.1757-2.82%0.000079-100.00%13.5219✓1.316.9M2022-06-05
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000020040.00001946-2.90%0.00001078-46.21%0.3847✓1.111.3M2022-06-05
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.39850.386799-2.94%0.294-26.22%0.0985✓0.95299k2022-06-05
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.91910.892101-2.94%0.6064-34.02%0.1425✓1.316.5M2022-06-05
DKAdKargoEthereum0.076010.073763-2.96%0.06424-15.48%0.0236✓0.8730k2022-06-05
XVSVenusEthereum7.557.3222-3.02%4.53-40.00%0.2686✓1.142.8M2022-06-05
TRBTellor TributesEthereum14.2313.7985-3.03%10.3-27.62%0.0249✓1.44140k2022-06-05
STORJStorjEthereum0.850450.824573-3.04%0.57798-32.04%0.1241✓1.2588k2022-06-05
QNTQuantEthereum90.2687.4645-3.10%64.76-28.25%0.1158✓1.003.3M2022-06-05
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.01820.017633-3.11%0.01482-18.57%0.0674✓0.57193k2022-06-05
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.0370.035845-3.12%0.01983-46.41%0.2500✓1.8423.0M2022-06-05
NMRNumeraireEthereum20.3319.6944-3.13%11.72-42.35%0.3775✓0.76412k2022-06-05
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.13780.133464-3.15%0.0869-36.94%0.0616✓1.98256k2022-06-05
UMAUMAEthereum5.4675.2923-3.20%3.077-43.72%0.2739✓1.451.6M2022-06-05
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.0481.0129-3.35%0.63-39.89%0.2309✓1.31357k2022-06-05
FIDABonfidaSolana0.9780.944989-3.38%0.477-51.23%0.4776✓1.1147k2022-06-05
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.69874.5397-3.38%3.1878-32.16%0.1454✓1.128.6M2022-06-05
STXStacksnative0.860.830116-3.47%0.5329-38.03%0.2566✓1.01274k2022-06-05
SCSiacoinnative0.00790.007624-3.49%0.00559-29.24%0.0812✓1.23373k2022-06-05
WOOWOOEthereum0.33970.327815-3.50%0.1601-52.87%0.5981✓0.643,3932022-06-05
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.13.9548-3.54%4.07-0.73%0.1708✗0.77630k2022-06-05
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.058520.056435-3.56%0.03855-34.13%0.1742✓1.1170k2022-06-05
AAVEAaveEthereum138.23133.3005-3.57%103.57-25.07%0.0034✓1.348.9M2022-06-05
RADRadworksEthereum3.583.4502-3.62%2.11-41.06%0.3299✓0.87555k2022-06-05
OGOG Fan TokenSolana2.8252.7222-3.64%2.754-2.51%0.1331✗0.651.1M2022-06-05
ORCAOrcaSolana1.711.6466-3.71%0.85-50.29%0.5311✓0.70146k2022-06-05
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.579870.55832-3.72%0.382-34.12%0.1737✓1.11129k2022-06-05
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum18.417.7148-3.72%11.05-39.95%0.2181✓1.372.2M2022-06-05
GALAGALAEthereum0.14380.138376-3.77%0.0746-48.12%0.3733✓1.32180k2022-06-05
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.007070.0068-3.82%0.00487-31.12%0.2201✓0.6124k2022-06-05
LPTLivepeerEthereum21.7920.9535-3.84%12.33-43.41%0.2953✓1.27532k2022-06-05
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum3.67213.5262-3.97%2.4897-32.20%0.1428✓1.11173k2022-06-05
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.12160.116721-4.01%0.088-27.63%0.1278✓0.83146k2022-06-05
XLMStellarStellar0.1714840.164564-4.04%0.143326-16.42%0.0494✗1.0113.8M2022-06-05
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2180.209128-4.07%0.1274-41.56%0.3619✓0.7222k2022-06-05
API3Api3Ethereum3.2843.1502-4.07%1.508-54.08%0.5359✓1.082.8M2022-06-05
DYDXdYdXCosmos3.4733.3281-4.17%1.742-49.84%0.3755✓1.4679k2022-06-05
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.2952.1991-4.18%1.209-47.32%0.3495✓1.345.1M2022-06-05
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana4.544.349-4.21%4.12-9.25%0.0732✗0.69515k2022-06-05
FTTFTXEthereum35.8934.375-4.22%26.13-27.19%0.1039✓0.9211.7M2022-06-05
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.18862.0951-4.27%1.4874-32.04%0.2201✓0.6614k2022-06-05
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.99352.8652-4.29%2.5379-15.22%0.0013✓0.662.9M2022-06-05
IMXImmutableEthereum1.5071.4416-4.34%0.977-35.17%0.1290✓1.408.3M2022-06-05
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum28.5127.2652-4.37%20.08-29.57%0.0456✓1.403.8M2022-06-05
KSMKusamaHydration126.34120.7987-4.39%67.69-46.42%0.3719✓1.121.0M2022-06-05
XEMNEMnative0.08310.079439-4.41%0.051007-38.62%0.2608✓0.9855k2022-06-05
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum1.2411.1856-4.46%0.596-51.97%0.4714✓1.1743k2022-06-05
CELLCellframeEthereum0.64550.616484-4.50%0.3423-46.97%0.3589✓1.24101k2022-06-05
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.36220.345871-4.51%0.3297-8.97%0.1618✗1.13486k2022-06-05
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.008470.008086-4.53%0.00419-50.53%0.4397✓1.172.0M2022-06-05
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.19770.188735-4.53%0.1655-16.29%0.1222✗1.37110k2022-06-05
ARPAARPAEthereum0.05240.050005-4.57%0.0341-34.92%0.1590✓1.21179k2022-06-05
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum3.02752.8888-4.58%1.9583-35.32%0.2096✓0.9710.0M2022-06-05
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.70.667211-4.68%0.82431+17.76%0.4474✗1.27424k2022-06-05
AMPAmpEthereum0.017960.017101-4.78%0.01146-36.19%0.2600✓0.763.2M2022-06-05
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.7019970.667951-4.85%0.407448-41.96%0.2868✓1.125.5M2022-06-05
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.014130.013433-4.93%0.00895-36.66%0.2395✓0.901.0M2022-06-05
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.29520.280458-4.99%0.156-47.15%0.3518✓1.276.5M2022-06-05
MOVRMoonriverBase37.03735.07-5.31%20.9153-43.53%0.2492✓1.44173k2022-06-05
YFIyearn.financeEthereum16,718.3215,829.27-5.32%7,431.12-55.55%0.5696✓1.012.5M2022-06-05
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.062910.059518-5.39%0.05212-17.15%0.0242✓0.8510k2022-06-05
COMPCompoundEthereum103.597.8766-5.43%58.45-43.53%0.2871✓1.2330k2022-06-05
LRCLoopringEthereum0.72480.685083-5.48%0.5059-30.20%0.0516✓1.36307k2022-06-05
XMRMoneroMonero218.44206.2489-5.58%187.77-14.04%0.0768✗0.923.1M2022-06-05
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum12.4711.7726-5.59%7.34-41.14%0.2407✓1.258.5M2022-06-05
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.40720.383507-5.82%0.1403-65.55%0.9258✓0.43565k2022-06-05
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.2174.9127-5.83%3.53-32.34%0.2099✓0.651.5M2022-06-05
ADACardanoCardano0.78310.736769-5.92%0.5669-27.61%0.0463✓1.1641.1M2022-06-05
MASKMask NetworkEthereum3.713.4892-5.95%1.72-53.64%0.4361✓1.46355k2022-06-05
AUCTIONBounceEthereum10.9510.2971-5.96%6.47-40.91%0.2709✓1.04887k2022-06-05
BANDBandEthereum2.9262.7507-5.99%1.629-44.33%0.2830✓1.30504k2022-06-05
NANOnanopayBase1.68051.5796-6.00%1.1647-30.69%0.0945✓1.13145k2022-06-05
QTUMQtumQtum5.44765.1171-6.07%3.8688-28.98%0.0642✓1.1698k2022-06-05
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.7572.5863-6.19%2.923+6.02%0.2583✗0.73824k2022-06-05
AVTAventusEthereum1.931.81-6.22%1.05-45.60%0.4414✓0.56272k2022-06-05
APEApeCoinEthereum13.25912.4255-6.29%6.092-54.05%0.3456✓1.9875.7M2022-06-05
FILFilecoinFilecoin13.8712.9935-6.32%7.358-46.95%0.3555✓1.157.4M2022-06-05
SOLSolanaSolana81.6676.463-6.36%38.49-52.87%0.4575✓1.2385.8M2022-06-05
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.21570.201925-6.39%0.1129-47.66%0.2550✓1.761.1M2022-06-05
CVCCivicEthereum0.24720.231336-6.42%0.1822-26.29%0.0156✓1.20380k2022-06-05
CTSICartesiEthereum0.26810.250588-6.53%0.2192-18.24%0.1150✗1.34722k2022-06-05
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1277160.119368-6.54%0.081039-36.55%0.2113✓0.957.1M2022-06-05
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.4140.386618-6.61%0.273-34.06%0.1402✓1.124.3M2022-06-05
PROPropyEthereum1.751.6335-6.66%1.23-29.71%0.1717✓0.60507k2022-06-05
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.01720.016053-6.67%0.01211-29.59%0.0167✓1.6148.2M2022-06-05
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.5964.2886-6.69%2.609-43.23%0.2158✓1.527.3M2022-06-05
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.16150.150107-7.05%0.06666-58.72%0.6262✓1.003.8M2022-06-05
CHZChilizEthereum0.17310.160784-7.12%0.1262-27.09%0.0186✓1.201.3M2022-06-05
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.69790.647829-7.17%0.3914-43.92%0.3188✓1.0010.9M2022-06-05
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.08960.083084-7.27%0.0534-40.40%0.2843✓0.852.5M2022-06-05
XVGVergenative0.008050.007456-7.38%0.00493-38.76%0.2010✓1.15926k2022-06-05
XYMSymbolnative0.08670.080288-7.40%0.05681-34.48%0.2181✓0.69657k2022-06-05
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.036940.034151-7.55%0.028859-21.88%0.0079✓0.8632k2022-06-05
HIGHHighstreetEthereum3.5993.3246-7.62%1.946-45.93%0.2185✓1.711.3M2022-06-05
SPELLSpellEthereum0.003140.002898-7.70%0.001262-59.81%0.6158✓1.164.0M2022-06-05
SUNSun TokenTron0.0129840.011968-7.82%0.009685-25.41%0.0461✓0.8940k2022-06-05
ETCEthereum Classicnative27.9525.7546-7.85%21.8-22.00%0.0578✓1.214.8M2022-06-05
GLMRMoonbeamBase2.3272.1425-7.93%1.371-41.08%0.1562✓1.56713k2022-06-05
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.3561.2484-7.94%0.858-36.73%0.1863✓1.02462k2022-06-05
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.016290.014989-7.99%0.00902-44.63%0.3514✓0.84223k2022-06-05
GTCGitcoinEthereum4.74.3233-8.01%2.73-41.91%0.1736✓1.54339k2022-06-05
STEEMSteemnative0.37590.345041-8.21%0.3016-19.77%0.0510✓1.003.9M2022-06-05
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.8381.6793-8.63%1.424-22.52%0.0457✓1.1417.4M2022-06-05
LCXLCXEthereum0.10440.095374-8.65%0.0646-38.12%0.2304✓0.86425k2022-06-05
DASHDashDash87.6379.9138-8.81%58.53-33.21%0.1119✓1.081.2M2022-06-05
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.491.3582-8.84%0.87-41.61%0.1919✓1.37909k2022-06-05
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.570.519468-8.87%0.387-32.11%0.1481✓0.791.3M2022-06-05
DODODODOEthereum0.2880.261854-9.08%0.1652-42.64%0.2203✓1.295.0M2022-06-05
COTICOTIEthereum0.19130.173923-9.08%0.1188-37.90%0.1221✓1.401.9M2022-06-05
BORABORAKlay Token0.584460.530702-9.20%0.41162-29.57%0.0317✓1.2053k2022-06-05
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1410.127915-9.28%0.0607-56.95%0.6443✓0.54148k2022-06-05
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV72.4465.6498-9.37%56.443-22.08%0.0077✓0.862.1M2022-06-05
SKLSKALEEthereum0.14160.12827-9.41%0.068-51.98%0.3905✓1.324.3M2022-06-05
UNIUniswapEthereum7.596.8743-9.43%5.092-32.91%0.0922✓1.124.3M2022-06-05
ZENHorizenBase36.3932.8191-9.81%19.72-45.81%0.2608✓1.34173k2022-06-05
XECeCashnative0.000071540.000064504-9.83%0.00004817-32.67%0.1006✓1.037.6M2022-06-05
MINAMina Protocolnative1.841.6535-10.14%0.837-54.51%0.4641✓1.17929k2022-06-05
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.