8=======>

2022-05-04 · +30d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 163 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1124
163 of 163 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+20.53%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
92.0%
in alpha space · 98.8% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-25.20%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (163 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.028520.028331-0.66%0.02105-26.19%0.1682✓0.44416k2022-06-03
BFCBifrostEthereum0.126040.124682-1.08%0.06909-45.18%0.3871✓0.7017k2022-06-03
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.63895.574-1.15%4.9002-13.10%0.0055✓0.46251k2022-06-03
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0244650.024178-1.17%0.01546-36.81%0.1491✓1.034.2M2022-06-03
TRXTRONTron0.0863970.084816-1.83%0.081001-6.25%0.1513✗0.68296k2022-06-03
GTGateEthereum6.5236.3948-1.97%5.3737-17.62%0.0434✓0.454.2M2022-06-03
GITCOINGITCOIN5.1475.045-1.98%2.701-47.52%0.1974✓1.4719k2022-06-03
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.122.0728-2.22%1.2-43.40%0.2550✓1.00124k2022-06-03
ETHEthereumEthereum2,939.982,869.30-2.40%1,773.25-39.68%0.1883✓1.01438.2M2022-06-03
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum22.1521.6134-2.42%10.83-51.11%0.3145✓1.302.2M2022-06-03
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.689.4319-2.56%7.21-25.52%0.1424✓0.431.6M2022-06-03
LTCLitecoinLitecoin106.25103.4635-2.62%62.54-41.14%0.2094✓1.0117.3M2022-06-03
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.684.5502-2.77%2.754-41.15%0.2217✓0.9767k2022-06-03
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.345.1856-2.89%4.32-19.10%0.0153✓0.681.1M2022-06-03
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos19.9119.3334-2.90%9.177-53.91%0.4351✓1.0719.4M2022-06-03
LINKChainlinkEthereum12.211.835-2.99%6.847-43.88%0.2202✓1.1318.3M2022-06-03
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum39,665.5038,466.81-3.02%29,681.70-25.17%0.0142✓0.9425k2022-06-03
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.2130.206537-3.03%0.1283-39.77%0.2372✓0.821.2M2022-06-03
UOSUltraEthereum0.808090.783254-3.07%0.36301-55.08%0.4053✓1.251.4M2022-06-03
KCSKuCoinnative18.40817.8387-3.09%17.046-7.40%0.1795✗0.774.3M2022-06-03
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.36643.2561-3.28%2.2381-33.52%0.2102✓0.575.6M2022-06-03
XTZTezosTezos2.70282.6125-3.34%1.9041-29.55%0.0084✓1.06855k2022-06-03
UMAUMAEthereum5.675.4782-3.38%3.067-45.91%0.1751✓1.391.6M2022-06-03
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum5.3955.2087-3.45%2.83-47.54%0.2594✓1.21184k2022-06-03
CTKShentuOsmosis1.1151.0749-3.60%0.786-29.51%0.0042✓1.093.6M2022-06-03
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.042530.040994-3.61%0.02712-36.23%0.1798✓0.80236k2022-06-03
DKAdKargoEthereum0.084850.081768-3.63%0.06467-23.78%0.0028✓0.8232k2022-06-03
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.15440.148762-3.65%0.0827-46.44%0.0254✓2.11269k2022-06-03
BTCBitcoinBitcoin39,669.5638,209.68-3.68%29,670.85-25.20%0.0375✓1.00553.2M2022-06-03
CBKCobakEthereum1.9351.8635-3.69%1.2799-33.85%0.1563✓0.7624k2022-06-03
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.179.7899-3.74%5.25-48.38%0.5139✓0.382.5M2022-06-03
DEXEDeXeEthereum5.565.3444-3.88%3.06-44.96%0.3952✓0.56869k2022-06-03
BTTCBTTC0.000001780.000001711-3.89%0.00000107-39.89%0.2640✓0.717.7M2022-06-03
LSKLiskEthereum1.87651.8029-3.92%1.3256-29.36%0.0473✓0.9084k2022-06-03
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.45260.434526-3.99%0.2805-38.02%0.1789✓0.89299k2022-06-03
BRISEBitgertEthereum9.57e-79.19e-7-4.03%6.99e-7-26.98%0.2908✓-0.06646k2022-06-03
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000021780.0000209-4.04%0.00001081-50.37%0.3485✓1.071.4M2022-06-03
API3Api3Ethereum3.6523.5035-4.06%1.505-58.79%0.5564✓0.993.1M2022-06-03
DIADIAEthereum0.810.77694-4.08%0.45866-43.38%0.3997✓0.4471k2022-06-03
QNTQuantEthereum101.5897.4318-4.08%65.24-35.77%0.1488✓0.873.4M2022-06-03
XEMNEMnative0.09170.087903-4.14%0.049645-45.86%0.3004✓0.9355k2022-06-03
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.55380.530604-4.19%0.3465-37.43%0.1276✓1.038.0M2022-06-03
GLMGolemEthereum0.3720.356231-4.24%0.3247-12.72%0.2939✗1.33188k2022-06-03
HIVEHivenative0.82910.792879-4.37%0.5404-34.82%0.0924✓1.001.5M2022-06-03
WOOWOOEthereum0.38460.367665-4.40%0.1528-60.27%0.7249✓0.534,1372022-06-03
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.7833.6155-4.43%4.664+23.29%0.3494✗0.332.4M2022-06-03
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.47792.3666-4.49%1.5331-38.13%0.2408✓0.6715k2022-06-03
DOTPolkadotPolkadot16.3215.5537-4.70%9.365-42.62%0.2021✓1.0511.7M2022-06-03
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2370.225705-4.77%0.1244-47.51%0.3942✓0.6925k2022-06-03
ZECZcashZcash134.35127.9044-4.80%90.17-32.88%0.0227✓1.135.5M2022-06-03
LPTLivepeerEthereum23.9522.7917-4.84%11.98-49.98%0.2686✓1.29532k2022-06-03
LUNATerraTerra 286.0981.9102-4.86%0.00009548-100.00%13.2977✓1.267.3M2022-06-03
IMXImmutableEthereum1.8171.7278-4.91%0.966-46.84%0.2600✓1.118.2M2022-06-03
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.21183.0538-4.92%2.4381-24.09%0.0447✓0.623.5M2022-06-03
XLMStellarStellar0.1847210.175553-4.96%0.146016-20.95%0.0999✗0.9813.8M2022-06-03
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.021610.02053-5.00%0.01605-25.73%0.1074✓0.48193k2022-06-03
STXStacksnative0.990.940321-5.02%0.5357-45.89%0.2829✓0.96274k2022-06-03
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.00780.007408-5.02%0.00466-40.26%0.2797✓0.6328k2022-06-03
NMRNumeraireEthereum24.0822.8703-5.02%11.56-51.99%0.4231✓0.89417k2022-06-03
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.141.0819-5.10%0.708-37.89%0.0871✓1.162.2M2022-06-03
XMRMoneroMonero225.24213.6302-5.15%193.73-13.99%0.1726✗0.933.5M2022-06-03
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche67.2863.7516-5.24%22.97-65.86%0.6755✓1.1944.2M2022-06-03
MANADecentralandEthereum1.65851.5706-5.30%0.9797-40.93%0.1430✓1.13886k2022-06-03
COMPCompoundEthereum114.56108.4582-5.33%56.92-50.31%0.3063✓1.1733k2022-06-03
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.8002760.75674-5.44%0.393839-50.79%0.3545✓1.035.3M2022-06-03
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash299.95283.6127-5.45%182.82-39.05%0.1520✓0.995.3M2022-06-03
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.07944.801-5.48%3.1525-37.94%0.0852✓1.158.6M2022-06-03
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.04480.987408-5.49%0.6072-41.88%0.1218✓1.256.6M2022-06-03
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.041090.038821-5.52%0.02831-31.10%0.0715✓0.8436k2022-06-03
RADRadworksEthereum4.013.7876-5.55%2.07-48.38%0.3603✓0.84565k2022-06-03
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.12950.122185-5.65%0.0859-33.67%0.0894✓0.91156k2022-06-03
STORJStorjEthereum0.95750.90305-5.69%0.57064-40.40%0.1150✓1.1894k2022-06-03
ORCAOrcaSolana1.871.7634-5.70%0.83-55.61%0.5474✓0.71159k2022-06-03
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.23743.9804-6.07%2.4133-43.05%0.2062✓1.01173k2022-06-03
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.460.431983-6.09%0.19437-57.75%0.3677✓1.48293k2022-06-03
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.0060.944657-6.10%0.496-50.70%0.3050✓1.171.1M2022-06-03
DYDXdYdXCosmos3.83.5663-6.15%1.733-54.39%0.3257✓1.3679k2022-06-03
XYMSymbolnative0.09590.089978-6.17%0.057486-40.06%0.2521✓0.67706k2022-06-03
APEApeCoinEthereum15.55714.593-6.20%6.122-60.65%0.2798✓2.0363.9M2022-06-03
KSMKusamaHydration140.48131.7739-6.20%67.99-51.60%0.3427✓1.10954k2022-06-03
SCSiacoinnative0.008980.008416-6.28%0.00545-39.31%0.0913✓1.18382k2022-06-03
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.651350.610278-6.31%0.37809-41.95%0.1685✓1.07126k2022-06-03
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.5962.4321-6.31%1.173-54.82%0.3426✓1.335.1M2022-06-03
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.04390.041097-6.38%0.01977-54.97%0.2515✓1.6523.0M2022-06-03
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.066750.062466-6.42%0.03786-43.28%0.1900✓1.0775k2022-06-03
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7170.670679-6.46%1.068+48.95%0.8758✗1.411.6M2022-06-03
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana4.914.5893-6.53%3.96-19.35%0.0457✓0.67648k2022-06-03
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.0922.89-6.53%2.827-8.57%0.1526✗0.601.2M2022-06-03
PROPropyEthereum1.721.6062-6.61%0.92-46.51%0.3815✓0.61470k2022-06-03
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1359080.126898-6.63%0.080237-40.96%0.1879✓0.937.1M2022-06-03
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.070790.066039-6.71%0.0509-28.10%0.0289✓0.8014k2022-06-03
SUSHISushiEthereum2.622.4401-6.87%1.53-41.60%0.0950✓1.283.6M2022-06-03
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.1821.1007-6.88%0.609-48.48%0.2274✓1.25357k2022-06-03
FTTFTXEthereum39.5636.803-6.97%25.97-34.35%0.0920✓0.8811.7M2022-06-03
GALAGALAEthereum0.16130.150033-6.99%0.0734-54.49%0.3378✓1.30180k2022-06-03
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum3.73243.4715-6.99%2.0259-45.72%0.3106✓0.7810.0M2022-06-03
FIDABonfidaSolana1.1141.036-7.00%0.477-57.18%0.4849✓1.0050k2022-06-03
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.474.1563-7.02%3.83-14.32%0.1282✗0.72719k2022-06-03
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.2220.206366-7.04%0.1632-26.49%0.1673✗1.38114k2022-06-03
CVCCivicEthereum0.28290.26222-7.31%0.175-38.14%0.0822✓1.11391k2022-06-03
AAVEAaveEthereum159.43147.7138-7.35%107.05-32.85%0.0479✓1.279.8M2022-06-03
AVTAventusEthereum1.91.7592-7.41%1.03-45.79%0.3800✓0.53272k2022-06-03
AUCTIONBounceEthereum12.0311.1363-7.43%6.3-47.63%0.2741✓1.02963k2022-06-03
NANOnanopayBase1.80611.6718-7.44%1.1198-38.00%0.0898✓1.07149k2022-06-03
SUNSun TokenTron0.0136310.012608-7.51%0.00929-31.85%0.0476✓0.8943k2022-06-03
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.0734.6904-7.54%2.719-46.40%0.1258✓1.447.7M2022-06-03
AMPAmpEthereum0.019370.017903-7.57%0.01141-41.09%0.2365✓0.743.6M2022-06-03
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.7855.3442-7.62%3.416-40.95%0.2719✓0.601.5M2022-06-03
XVSVenusEthereum8.527.8647-7.69%4.57-46.36%0.2350✓1.063.0M2022-06-03
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.09730.089482-8.04%0.0541-44.40%0.2615✓0.832.8M2022-06-03
MOVRMoonriverBase43.573440.0519-8.08%20.6845-52.53%0.2343✓1.47182k2022-06-03
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.009340.008583-8.11%0.00413-55.78%0.3948✓1.162.3M2022-06-03
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.020560.018843-8.35%0.01206-41.34%0.0157✓1.4848.2M2022-06-03
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.0761.9002-8.47%1.367-34.15%0.0203✓1.0616.1M2022-06-03
CELLCellframeEthereum0.75220.688394-8.48%0.3272-56.50%0.3825✓1.24110k2022-06-03
ARPAARPAEthereum0.05980.054705-8.52%0.0341-42.98%0.1431✓1.13179k2022-06-03
TRBTellor TributesEthereum16.4515.0326-8.62%10.49-36.23%0.0475✓1.40145k2022-06-03
QTUMQtumQtum5.93685.4238-8.64%3.8179-35.69%0.0113✓1.1798k2022-06-03
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.2821.1709-8.66%0.87-32.14%0.0079✓1.05462k2022-06-03
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.394.0088-8.68%1.72-60.82%0.4315✓1.43385k2022-06-03
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.4780.436299-8.72%0.286-40.17%0.1224✓1.034.3M2022-06-03
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum1.4741.3437-8.84%0.602-59.16%0.4843✓1.1055k2022-06-03
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.015240.013882-8.91%0.0093-38.98%0.1377✓0.911.1M2022-06-03
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.34380.312959-8.97%0.1475-57.10%0.4072✓1.196.8M2022-06-03
STEEMSteemnative0.39660.360736-9.04%0.2618-33.99%0.0301✓1.003.9M2022-06-03
LRCLoopringEthereum0.81620.741563-9.14%0.5152-36.88%0.0092✓1.29311k2022-06-03
YFIyearn.financeEthereum18,332.5916,654.11-9.16%7,417.33-59.54%0.5321✓0.952.7M2022-06-03
FILFilecoinFilecoin15.7114.2604-9.23%7.374-53.06%0.3484✓1.077.5M2022-06-03
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.71530.648539-9.33%0.3809-46.75%0.2582✓0.9410.9M2022-06-03
DODODODOEthereum0.3230.292616-9.41%0.1646-49.04%0.2324✓1.185.1M2022-06-03
SOLSolanaSolana92.7683.9078-9.54%38.23-58.79%0.4359✓1.2185.8M2022-06-03
ZENHorizenBase33.730.4436-9.66%19.8-41.25%0.0388✓1.35173k2022-06-03
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.25570.230855-9.72%0.1369-46.46%0.1035✓1.446.9M2022-06-03
ADACardanoCardano0.89830.809628-9.87%0.5595-37.72%0.0542✓1.0941.1M2022-06-03
BANDBandEthereum3.3423.0093-9.95%1.612-51.77%0.2552✓1.27537k2022-06-03
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.44150.397533-9.96%0.3183-27.90%0.0919✓1.08491k2022-06-03
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.9942.6949-9.99%2.733-8.72%0.2212✗0.71915k2022-06-03
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0180.016178-10.12%0.00861-52.17%0.3373✓1.01248k2022-06-03
LCXLCXEthereum0.11090.099611-10.18%0.0636-42.65%0.1928✓0.88425k2022-06-03
CHZChilizEthereum0.1960.175881-10.27%0.1219-37.81%0.0298✓1.161.5M2022-06-03
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV78.6370.4977-10.34%55.269-29.71%0.0017✓0.832.1M2022-06-03
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.820.734265-10.46%0.81108-1.09%0.4329✗1.15430k2022-06-03
CTSICartesiEthereum0.29790.266031-10.70%0.2103-29.41%0.1439✗1.30763k2022-06-03
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.641.4615-10.89%0.88-46.34%0.1194✓1.34951k2022-06-03
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum14.2812.7162-10.95%7.905-44.64%0.1337✓1.188.7M2022-06-03
HIGHHighstreetEthereum4.1243.6573-11.32%1.871-54.63%0.1652✓1.741.4M2022-06-03
XECeCashnative0.000078520.00006952-11.46%0.00004773-39.21%0.0864✓1.007.8M2022-06-03
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum33.3329.42-11.73%19.94-40.17%0.0143✓1.294.0M2022-06-03
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.6150.542083-11.86%0.364-40.81%0.1739✓0.771.4M2022-06-03
GLMRMoonbeamBase2.7642.4359-11.87%1.291-53.29%0.1702✓1.60719k2022-06-03
DASHDashDash95.8584.4582-11.89%58.15-39.33%0.0722✓1.041.2M2022-06-03
SPELLSpellEthereum0.003530.003109-11.94%0.001257-64.39%0.5838✓1.114.2M2022-06-03
ETCEthereum Classicnative30.6126.9423-11.98%21.82-28.72%0.1248✓1.164.9M2022-06-03
XVGVergenative0.008960.007877-12.09%0.00467-47.88%0.2035✓1.10943k2022-06-03
MINAMina Protocolnative2.011.7634-12.27%0.844-58.01%0.4121✓1.121.1M2022-06-03
GTCGitcoinEthereum5.174.5298-12.38%2.73-47.20%0.0749✓1.49339k2022-06-03
BORABORAKlay Token0.675480.591565-12.42%0.41393-38.72%0.0155✓1.1873k2022-06-03
UNIUniswapEthereum7.946.9387-12.61%5.067-36.18%0.0031✓1.094.4M2022-06-03
COTICOTIEthereum0.2220.193773-12.71%0.1216-45.23%0.0848✓1.312.1M2022-06-03
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.48110.418604-12.99%0.1252-73.98%1.0943✓0.39580k2022-06-03
SKLSKALEEthereum0.15920.136682-14.14%0.0654-58.92%0.3683✓1.275.3M2022-06-03
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1680.142867-14.96%0.0591-64.82%0.7595✓0.42132k2022-06-03
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.24780.206775-16.56%0.0937-62.19%0.2970✓1.701.3M2022-06-03
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.