8=======>

2022-04-29 · +30d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 162 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1996
162 of 162 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+20.94%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
92.6%
in alpha space · 98.1% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-23.70%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (162 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
BFCBifrostEthereum0.133640.132817-0.62%0.06548-51.00%0.5093✓0.7317k2022-05-29
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.70645.6463-1.05%5.1363-9.99%0.0372✗0.49234k2022-05-29
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.029770.029452-1.07%0.02383-19.95%0.0574✓0.57458k2022-05-29
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0272190.026876-1.26%0.017158-36.96%0.1742✓1.024.3M2022-05-29
TRXTRONTron0.0636360.062499-1.79%0.080459+26.44%0.4159✗0.60273k2022-05-29
GTGateEthereum6.42136.3025-1.85%5.4148-15.67%0.0307✓0.454.7M2022-05-29
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.072.0301-1.93%1.27-38.65%0.2013✓0.99148k2022-05-29
ETHEthereumEthereum2,816.942,758.54-2.07%1,811.10-35.71%0.1504✓1.00464.4M2022-05-29
LTCLitecoinLitecoin100.3998.1982-2.18%63.58-36.67%0.1622✓1.0118.2M2022-05-29
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.2294.127-2.41%2.753-34.90%0.1528✓0.9364k2022-05-29
UOSUltraEthereum0.778750.759842-2.43%0.36302-53.38%0.4065✓1.231.5M2022-05-29
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.1470.143426-2.43%0.0871-40.75%0.0887✗2.17279k2022-05-29
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana10.4510.1834-2.55%7.61-27.18%0.1860✓0.391.9M2022-05-29
GITCOINGITCOIN5.1695.0349-2.59%2.496-51.71%0.3145✓1.4318k2022-05-29
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos19.4318.893-2.76%9.59-50.64%0.3916✓1.0621.5M2022-05-29
LINKChainlinkEthereum11.9811.6387-2.85%6.71-43.99%0.2556✓1.0921.3M2022-05-29
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.040910.039655-3.07%0.02995-26.79%0.0671✓0.79292k2022-05-29
XTZTezosTezos2.68832.6045-3.12%1.9846-26.18%0.0052✓1.02873k2022-05-29
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.98773.8626-3.14%2.2171-44.40%0.4157✓0.525.8M2022-05-29
KCSKuCoinnative18.80218.1843-3.29%16.474-12.38%0.1081✗0.775.0M2022-05-29
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.21240.205162-3.41%0.13-38.79%0.2321✓0.831.4M2022-05-29
QNTQuantEthereum94.5991.2703-3.51%66.36-29.84%0.1000✓0.813.4M2022-05-29
BTCBitcoinBitcoin38,593.1037,233.12-3.52%29,447.07-23.70%0.0359✗1.00553.2M2022-05-29
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.455.2495-3.68%4.44-18.53%0.0084✓0.651.3M2022-05-29
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.31372.2283-3.69%1.4863-35.76%0.2373✓0.6213k2022-05-29
CTKShentuOsmosis1.0661.0266-3.70%0.846-20.64%0.0859✗1.033.8M2022-05-29
DKAdKargoEthereum0.083340.080212-3.75%0.0545-34.61%0.1755✓0.7832k2022-05-29
BTTCBTTC0.000001710.000001646-3.77%0.00000103-39.77%0.2781✓0.708.3M2022-05-29
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000022180.00002134-3.79%0.00001148-48.24%0.3383✓1.041.6M2022-05-29
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum38,623.3037,158.80-3.79%29,404.70-23.87%0.0167✓0.9326k2022-05-29
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum5.8535.6285-3.84%2.966-49.33%0.3327✓1.14201k2022-05-29
CBKCobakEthereum1.9821.9057-3.85%1.1693-41.00%0.2950✓0.7224k2022-05-29
ZECZcashZcash128.4123.4081-3.89%92.3-28.12%0.0079✓1.046.6M2022-05-29
API3Api3Ethereum3.7353.5869-3.96%1.63-56.36%0.5306✓0.952.8M2022-05-29
WOOWOOEthereum0.36950.354617-4.03%0.162-56.16%0.6790✓0.395,0922022-05-29
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum16.315.6386-4.06%10.14-37.79%0.0711✓1.342.2M2022-05-29
DIADIAEthereum0.810.777129-4.06%0.4546-43.88%0.4090✓0.4775k2022-05-29
UMAUMAEthereum5.2044.9918-4.08%3.186-38.78%0.0612✓1.431.7M2022-05-29
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche63.460.7436-4.19%26.13-58.79%0.5301✓1.1648.7M2022-05-29
LSKLiskEthereum1.94051.8589-4.20%1.2441-35.88%0.1737✓0.8489k2022-05-29
GLMGolemEthereum0.37450.358649-4.23%0.2573-31.30%0.0121✓1.27237k2022-05-29
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.04190.040126-4.23%0.0225-46.30%0.1521✓1.5830.5M2022-05-29
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.45420.43481-4.27%0.2599-42.78%0.2821✓0.86380k2022-05-29
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.095.8284-4.29%3.15-48.28%0.4637✓0.56985k2022-05-29
HIVEHivenative0.84120.805004-4.30%0.4727-43.81%0.2698✓0.971.8M2022-05-29
STXStacksnative1.010.965565-4.40%0.52-48.51%0.3670✓0.93354k2022-05-29
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.48063.327-4.41%2.3481-32.54%0.1898✓0.594.6M2022-05-29
IMXImmutableEthereum1.5451.4763-4.44%1.011-34.56%0.1064✓1.017.8M2022-05-29
DOTPolkadotPolkadot16.1915.4635-4.49%9.98-38.36%0.1659✓1.0112.0M2022-05-29
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.460.438689-4.63%0.20607-55.20%0.3594✓1.46317k2022-05-29
XMRMoneroMonero220.75210.51-4.64%185.63-15.91%0.1214✗0.913.3M2022-05-29
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.57360.546965-4.64%0.3279-42.83%0.2497✓0.977.9M2022-05-29
XYMSymbolnative0.09670.092199-4.65%0.056-42.09%0.3247✓0.64823k2022-05-29
XLMStellarStellar0.1779150.169581-4.68%0.130916-26.42%0.0015✓0.9615.9M2022-05-29
COMPCompoundEthereum112.56107.1365-4.82%56.08-50.18%0.3386✓1.1453k2022-05-29
MANADecentralandEthereum1.66771.5871-4.83%0.97298-41.66%0.1986✓1.071.1M2022-05-29
NMRNumeraireEthereum23.7622.6078-4.85%12.27-48.36%0.3675✓0.90478k2022-05-29
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.039630.037703-4.86%0.026899-32.12%0.1188✓0.8153k2022-05-29
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.9720.923351-5.01%0.521-46.40%0.2866✓1.061.3M2022-05-29
RADRadworksEthereum4.033.8269-5.04%2.17-46.15%0.3361✓0.85638k2022-05-29
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum3.94793.7447-5.15%2.5584-35.20%0.1217✓0.96250k2022-05-29
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.232.1149-5.16%1.253-43.81%0.1774✓1.286.7M2022-05-29
SUNSun TokenTron0.0131990.012517-5.17%0.00924-29.99%0.0697✓0.8653k2022-05-29
STORJStorjEthereum0.941940.892664-5.23%0.55015-41.59%0.1799✓1.12142k2022-05-29
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2470.233894-5.31%0.1306-47.13%0.4027✓0.6727k2022-05-29
PROPropyEthereum1.711.6193-5.31%0.98-42.69%0.3498✓0.56304k2022-05-29
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash294.68278.6941-5.42%184.88-37.26%0.1502✓0.965.6M2022-05-29
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.2985.009-5.45%3.251-38.64%0.1259✓1.1311.2M2022-05-29
LUNATerraTerra 285.180.4558-5.46%0.00010328-100.00%13.2161✓1.299.0M2022-05-29
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.7434060.70253-5.50%0.390059-47.53%0.3170✓1.005.0M2022-05-29
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.963.7412-5.53%4.277+8.01%0.2132✗0.292.5M2022-05-29
XEMNEMnative0.08910.084153-5.55%0.0491-44.89%0.2887✓0.9266k2022-05-29
LPTLivepeerEthereum23.4422.1357-5.56%12.66-45.99%0.2240✓1.24644k2022-05-29
ORCAOrcaSolana1.991.877-5.68%0.85-57.29%0.6009✓0.71191k2022-05-29
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.628640.592449-5.76%0.37228-40.78%0.1910✓1.01145k2022-05-29
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.0961.0322-5.82%0.647-40.97%0.1604✓1.132.2M2022-05-29
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1348870.126993-5.85%0.082598-38.76%0.1815✓0.927.2M2022-05-29
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.13370.125858-5.87%0.087-34.93%0.1135✓0.95178k2022-05-29
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.2071.1344-6.02%0.612-49.30%0.2873✓1.22394k2022-05-29
CELLCellframeEthereum0.74080.695751-6.08%0.314-57.61%0.4658✓1.22144k2022-05-29
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7090.665365-6.15%0.972+37.09%0.7503✗1.371.7M2022-05-29
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.04590.98104-6.20%0.6218-40.55%0.1244✓1.238.4M2022-05-29
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.12.9074-6.21%2.604-16.00%0.0530✓0.601.6M2022-05-29
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0249220.023366-6.24%0.014329-42.50%0.3513✓0.51198k2022-05-29
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.065720.061596-6.27%0.03665-44.23%0.2423✓1.02114k2022-05-29
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.40410.378201-6.41%0.1593-60.58%0.8025✓0.23640k2022-05-29
AVTAventusEthereum1.981.8497-6.58%1.1-44.44%0.3821✓0.51283k2022-05-29
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.009130.008519-6.69%0.00448-50.93%0.4761✓0.6228k2022-05-29
DYDXdYdXCosmos4.0283.7562-6.75%1.757-56.38%0.4097✓1.2986k2022-05-29
GALAGALAEthereum0.15480.144303-6.78%0.0786-49.22%0.2921✓1.17204k2022-05-29
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana12.0811.258-6.80%5.37-55.55%0.6161✓0.462.9M2022-05-29
SCSiacoinnative0.009040.008425-6.81%0.0054-40.27%0.1353✓1.14433k2022-05-29
KSMKusamaHydration145.12135.2235-6.82%71.55-50.70%0.3494✓1.061.1M2022-05-29
AAVEAaveEthereum157.17146.4018-6.85%95.33-39.35%0.0913✓1.2511.8M2022-05-29
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.018260.017008-6.86%0.01239-32.15%0.0729✗1.4447.0M2022-05-29
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.22640.210807-6.89%0.1462-35.42%0.0156✓1.30136k2022-05-29
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.08390.078113-6.90%0.0493-41.24%0.2122✓0.922.6M2022-05-29
FTTFTXEthereum38.7936.1003-6.93%27.28-29.67%0.0395✓0.8915.9M2022-05-29
BRISEBitgertEthereum0.000001130.000001051-6.94%6.90e-7-38.88%0.4435✓-0.09580k2022-05-29
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.074950.069736-6.96%0.04791-36.08%0.1723✓0.7522k2022-05-29
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.25310.235399-6.99%0.134-47.06%0.1837✓1.408.0M2022-05-29
MOVRMoonriverBase45.487642.2979-7.01%21.9295-51.79%0.2745✓1.41205k2022-05-29
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana4.874.5278-7.03%4.28-12.11%0.1208✗0.65701k2022-05-29
SUSHISushiEthereum2.72.51-7.04%1.5-44.44%0.1843✓1.224.2M2022-05-29
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.9824.6304-7.06%2.6-47.81%0.2051✓1.388.7M2022-05-29
ARPAARPAEthereum0.05760.053509-7.10%0.0377-34.55%0.0460✓1.12231k2022-05-29
GLMRMoonbeamBase2.6472.4578-7.15%1.228-53.61%0.2798✓1.53816k2022-05-29
NANOnanopayBase1.83811.7063-7.17%1.1205-39.04%0.1469✓1.01170k2022-05-29
TRBTellor TributesEthereum16.2215.0492-7.22%10.09-37.79%0.0382✓1.34159k2022-05-29
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.574.2367-7.29%3.72-18.60%0.0624✓0.711.1M2022-05-29
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1430.132509-7.34%0.0573-59.93%0.7218✓0.43175k2022-05-29
FIDABonfidaSolana1.1261.0427-7.40%0.503-55.33%0.4700✓0.9656k2022-05-29
AUCTIONBounceEthereum11.8810.9884-7.51%6.62-44.28%0.2321✓1.021.1M2022-05-29
ZENHorizenBase30.7828.4634-7.53%20.25-34.21%0.0119✓1.30235k2022-05-29
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.21890.202335-7.57%0.1083-50.53%0.1673✓1.692.0M2022-05-29
DODODODOEthereum0.3420.31611-7.57%0.178-47.95%0.2758✓1.107.1M2022-05-29
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.019040.017563-7.76%0.00845-55.62%0.4599✓1.00339k2022-05-29
AMPAmpEthereum0.020620.01902-7.76%0.0118-42.77%0.2862✓0.714.1M2022-05-29
APEApeCoinEthereum19.14717.6568-7.78%6.232-67.45%0.3983✓2.3845.8M2022-05-29
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum5.3534.9349-7.81%1.9491-63.59%0.7261✓0.7510.0M2022-05-29
XVSVenusEthereum9.328.5904-7.83%4.66-50.00%0.3406✓1.003.6M2022-05-29
CVCCivicEthereum0.27680.254962-7.89%0.1635-40.93%0.1525✓1.08428k2022-05-29
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.00830.007626-8.13%0.00422-49.16%0.2796✓1.153.1M2022-05-29
MINAMina Protocolnative1.871.718-8.13%0.888-52.51%0.3680✓1.081.3M2022-05-29
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.4720.433365-8.19%0.205-56.57%0.4722✓1.024.3M2022-05-29
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.5822.3699-8.22%1.316-49.03%0.3247✓0.9715.2M2022-05-29
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.45270.415423-8.23%0.2784-38.50%0.1088✓1.08569k2022-05-29
CHZChilizEthereum0.19020.174415-8.30%0.1136-40.27%0.1260✓1.122.3M2022-05-29
LRCLoopringEthereum0.7880.721647-8.42%0.4944-37.26%0.0466✓1.23406k2022-05-29
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana6.5145.9653-8.42%3.332-48.85%0.4175✓0.611.6M2022-05-29
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.840.767376-8.65%0.61656-26.60%0.0670✓1.06538k2022-05-29
CTSICartesiEthereum0.28840.263234-8.73%0.1996-30.79%0.0736✓1.30888k2022-05-29
XECeCashnative0.000074970.000068417-8.74%0.00004779-36.25%0.1046✓0.949.1M2022-05-29
SPELLSpellEthereum0.003440.003138-8.79%0.00129-62.50%0.6061✓1.056.0M2022-05-29
QTUMQtumQtum5.79615.2815-8.88%3.8567-33.46%0.0122✓1.12134k2022-05-29
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.641.4921-9.02%0.84-48.78%0.2245✓1.291.4M2022-05-29
LCXLCXEthereum0.10490.095285-9.17%0.0631-39.85%0.1741✓0.88557k2022-05-29
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum34.3431.1847-9.19%18.48-46.19%0.1977✓1.204.4M2022-05-29
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.9922.7161-9.22%2.436-18.58%0.0741✓0.681.1M2022-05-29
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.6060.549734-9.28%0.372-38.61%0.1846✓0.761.9M2022-05-29
ETCEthereum Classicnative29.226.4527-9.41%23.65-19.01%0.1811✗1.085.7M2022-05-29
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.015710.014228-9.43%0.00929-40.87%0.1911✓0.871.4M2022-05-29
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.2591.1402-9.43%0.918-27.08%0.0564✓1.01501k2022-05-29
BORABORAKlay Token0.662860.600078-9.47%0.42876-35.32%0.0370✓1.11117k2022-05-29
YFIyearn.financeEthereum16,934.3815,327.86-9.49%7,435.40-56.09%0.4548✓0.993.1M2022-05-29
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV75.8568.6315-9.52%52.582-30.68%0.0526✓0.792.5M2022-05-29
UNIUniswapEthereum7.626.8928-9.54%4.94-35.17%0.0551✓1.035.0M2022-05-29
COTICOTIEthereum0.1990.179855-9.62%0.1147-42.36%0.1090✓1.262.3M2022-05-29
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum14.1512.7769-9.70%7.12-49.68%0.2963✓1.079.4M2022-05-29
SOLSolanaSolana93.9184.7461-9.76%44.91-52.18%0.3116✓1.20103.4M2022-05-29
BANDBandEthereum3.2472.9285-9.81%1.547-52.36%0.3099✓1.21588k2022-05-29
ADACardanoCardano0.80490.725496-9.87%0.4817-40.15%0.1287✓1.0443.8M2022-05-29
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.13.6941-9.90%1.85-54.88%0.3210✓1.37385k2022-05-29
FILFilecoinFilecoin17.3115.5854-9.96%7.61-56.04%0.4415✓1.029.2M2022-05-29
XVGVergenative0.008690.007813-10.09%0.00495-43.04%0.1680✓1.071.2M2022-05-29
DASHDashDash92.0482.6251-10.23%57.69-37.32%0.0879✓1.001.4M2022-05-29
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.35030.31428-10.28%0.1423-59.38%0.4723✓1.189.3M2022-05-29
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.63820.571371-10.47%0.3786-40.68%0.1612✓0.9310.9M2022-05-29
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum1.7591.5721-10.63%0.617-64.92%0.6573✓1.0378k2022-05-29
HIGHHighstreetEthereum4.1343.6416-11.91%1.905-53.92%0.1900✓1.691.7M2022-05-29
GTCGitcoinEthereum5.174.5305-12.37%2.52-51.26%0.1922✓1.46339k2022-05-29
SKLSKALEEthereum0.16720.143839-13.97%0.0663-60.35%0.4427✓1.237.9M2022-05-29
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.