8=======>

2022-04-28 · +30d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 162 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1832
162 of 162 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+21.49%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
93.8%
in alpha space · 98.8% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-27.01%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (162 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
BFCBifrostEthereum0.134360.133335-0.76%0.0663-50.65%0.4661✓0.7416k2022-05-28
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.70325.6492-0.95%5.0994-10.59%0.0518✗0.49221k2022-05-28
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0281430.027721-1.50%0.0177-37.11%0.1283✓1.024.3M2022-05-28
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.030450.029962-1.60%0.02384-21.71%0.0480✓0.57458k2022-05-28
GTGateEthereum6.19476.0849-1.77%5.3291-13.97%0.0137✓0.464.7M2022-05-28
TRXTRONTron0.0637420.062454-2.02%0.081148+27.31%0.4547✗0.61273k2022-05-28
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.152.1017-2.25%1.24-42.33%0.2167✓0.99137k2022-05-28
ETHEthereumEthereum2,935.912,862.76-2.49%1,790.23-39.02%0.1555✓1.00448.2M2022-05-28
LTCLitecoinLitecoin103.33100.681-2.56%62.99-39.04%0.1516✓1.0118.7M2022-05-28
GITCOINGITCOIN5.4265.283-2.64%2.346-56.76%0.3606✓1.4318k2022-05-28
UOSUltraEthereum0.833920.810698-2.78%0.34755-58.32%0.4633✓1.221.6M2022-05-28
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.6554.5167-2.97%2.573-44.73%0.2762✓0.9164k2022-05-28
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.16610.160874-3.15%0.083-50.03%0.0097✓2.13328k2022-05-28
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana11.0310.6823-3.15%7.89-28.47%0.1834✓0.381.9M2022-05-28
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.79693.6727-3.27%2.2935-39.60%0.3011✓0.545.6M2022-05-28
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.041940.040563-3.28%0.02564-38.87%0.2025✓0.81329k2022-05-28
XTZTezosTezos2.80592.7121-3.34%1.9618-30.08%0.0020✓1.02873k2022-05-28
LINKChainlinkEthereum12.6512.2-3.56%6.56-48.14%0.2788✓1.0922.4M2022-05-28
KCSKuCoinnative19.41518.7218-3.57%15.304-21.17%0.0394✗0.775.0M2022-05-28
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.42022.3333-3.59%1.4536-39.94%0.2805✓0.6112k2022-05-28
CTKShentuOsmosis1.1251.0834-3.70%0.81-28.00%0.0305✓1.023.8M2022-05-28
BTCBitcoinBitcoin39,743.2238,238.08-3.79%29,008.99-27.01%0.0386✓1.00565.5M2022-05-28
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.22310.214575-3.82%0.1266-43.25%0.2693✓0.821.5M2022-05-28
DKAdKargoEthereum0.088550.085018-3.99%0.05265-40.54%0.2366✓0.7732k2022-05-28
WOOWOOEthereum0.41430.397519-4.05%0.1592-61.57%0.8072✓0.345,5292022-05-28
CBKCobakEthereum2.1012.0135-4.17%1.1524-45.15%0.3354✓0.7124k2022-05-28
QNTQuantEthereum100.2396.0463-4.17%65.4-34.75%0.1330✓0.803.4M2022-05-28
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000022950.00002199-4.18%0.00001078-53.03%0.3853✓1.041.6M2022-05-28
DIADIAEthereum0.820.784669-4.31%0.43931-46.43%0.4322✓0.4775k2022-05-28
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.245.9692-4.34%3.1-50.32%0.4787✓0.56993k2022-05-28
BTTCBTTC0.000001780.000001702-4.37%0.00000103-42.13%0.2813✓0.708.6M2022-05-28
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum39,816.8038,074.01-4.38%28,840.90-27.57%0.0139✓0.9325k2022-05-28
API3Api3Ethereum3.9813.8067-4.38%1.583-60.24%0.5812✓0.942.8M2022-05-28
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos20.7419.8249-4.41%9.41-54.63%0.4151✓1.0521.5M2022-05-28
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.535.2815-4.49%4.4-20.43%0.0231✓0.651.3M2022-05-28
LSKLiskEthereum2.03791.9454-4.54%1.1868-41.76%0.2321✓0.8396k2022-05-28
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.583.4145-4.62%2.4046-32.83%0.1669✓0.584.6M2022-05-28
HIVEHivenative0.90690.86452-4.67%0.4761-47.50%0.2946✓0.961.8M2022-05-28
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.47810.455651-4.70%0.2538-46.91%0.3160✓0.85412k2022-05-28
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum6.255.9557-4.71%2.679-57.14%0.4444✓1.13201k2022-05-28
XMRMoneroMonero227.38216.6078-4.74%175.92-22.63%0.0796✗0.913.3M2022-05-28
RADRadworksEthereum4.294.0859-4.76%2.11-50.82%0.3935✓0.85685k2022-05-28
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.041370.039399-4.76%0.026406-36.17%0.1468✓0.8056k2022-05-28
IMXImmutableEthereum1.6821.6-4.87%0.915-45.60%0.2465✓0.997.8M2022-05-28
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum18.7217.8072-4.88%10.19-45.57%0.1420✓1.322.2M2022-05-28
XYMSymbolnative0.10040.095463-4.92%0.0564-43.82%0.3256✓0.64823k2022-05-28
STXStacksnative1.050.996797-5.07%0.52-50.48%0.3572✓0.93379k2022-05-28
XLMStellarStellar0.1858470.17622-5.18%0.122588-34.04%0.0607✓0.9616.4M2022-05-28
NMRNumeraireEthereum25.1123.7885-5.26%11.87-52.73%0.4162✓0.89478k2022-05-28
SUNSun TokenTron0.0135880.012873-5.26%0.009135-32.77%0.0705✓0.8753k2022-05-28
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.61650.583511-5.35%0.3193-48.21%0.3013✓0.968.0M2022-05-28
LPTLivepeerEthereum24.4123.052-5.56%12.22-49.94%0.2441✓1.24669k2022-05-28
GLMGolemEthereum0.39520.37314-5.58%0.2526-36.08%0.0073✓1.26249k2022-05-28
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1374840.129803-5.59%0.081785-40.51%0.1717✓0.926.0M2022-05-28
UMAUMAEthereum5.5695.2558-5.62%3.14-43.62%0.0660✓1.431.8M2022-05-28
XEMNEMnative0.09470.089362-5.64%0.0479-49.42%0.3341✓0.9266k2022-05-28
ORCAOrcaSolana21.887-5.65%0.84-58.00%0.5846✓0.71191k2022-05-28
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.8152030.768988-5.67%0.379026-53.51%0.3967✓0.995.0M2022-05-28
DOTPolkadotPolkadot16.9716.0062-5.68%9.64-43.19%0.1914✓1.0012.5M2022-05-28
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.3992.2599-5.80%1.219-49.19%0.2170✓1.277.1M2022-05-28
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.2951.2188-5.89%0.599-53.75%0.3271✓1.22438k2022-05-28
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2610.245544-5.92%0.1263-51.61%0.4582✓0.6629k2022-05-28
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.14713.9015-5.92%2.4133-41.81%0.1786✓0.96256k2022-05-28
LUNATerraTerra 289.0583.6926-6.02%0.00009177-100.00%13.3180✓1.299.9M2022-05-28
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.1350.126851-6.04%0.0864-36.00%0.0845✓0.95184k2022-05-28
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash306.57287.7272-6.15%178.71-41.71%0.1745✓0.965.7M2022-05-28
ZECZcashZcash147137.7958-6.26%86.67-41.04%0.1432✓1.026.6M2022-05-28
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0261860.024544-6.27%0.014613-44.20%0.3621✓0.50198k2022-05-28
STORJStorjEthereum1.00880.945067-6.32%0.52442-48.02%0.2375✓1.12142k2022-05-28
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.5565.2028-6.36%3.3129-40.37%0.0965✓1.1311.2M2022-05-28
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche67.2862.9989-6.36%24.73-63.24%0.5704✓1.1654.4M2022-05-28
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.656610.614085-6.48%0.36882-43.83%0.1932✓1.01145k2022-05-28
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.078920.073786-6.51%0.04736-39.99%0.2099✓0.7425k2022-05-28
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.07991.0092-6.54%0.6066-43.83%0.1240✓1.228.7M2022-05-28
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.0220.955104-6.55%0.505-50.59%0.3071✓1.051.3M2022-05-28
COMPCompoundEthereum124.85116.6604-6.56%56.65-54.63%0.3700✓1.1256k2022-05-28
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana11.7410.9684-6.57%5.42-53.83%0.5567✓0.472.9M2022-05-28
BRISEBitgertEthereum0.0000010830.000001011-6.59%7.17e-7-33.74%0.3680✓-0.08580k2022-05-28
PROPropyEthereum1.821.6998-6.60%0.92-49.45%0.4417✓0.55298k2022-05-28
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.181.1014-6.66%0.651-44.83%0.1657✓1.142.3M2022-05-28
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.510.475985-6.67%0.1824-64.24%0.5025✓1.45319k2022-05-28
AVTAventusEthereum2.141.9951-6.77%1.12-47.66%0.4225✓0.49303k2022-05-28
MANADecentralandEthereum1.80141.678-6.85%0.95601-46.93%0.2269✓1.071.2M2022-05-28
KSMKusamaHydration157.92146.6676-7.13%67.51-57.25%0.4463✓1.051.1M2022-05-28
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.24230.224987-7.15%0.1416-41.56%0.0617✓1.27164k2022-05-28
DODODODOEthereum0.3640.337424-7.30%0.137-62.36%0.5553✓1.107.7M2022-05-28
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.070150.064994-7.35%0.03613-48.50%0.2680✓1.01114k2022-05-28
NANOnanopayBase1.93521.7926-7.37%1.0974-43.29%0.1744✓1.00170k2022-05-28
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.2043.8936-7.38%4.41+4.90%0.2118✗0.282.5M2022-05-28
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.09410.08703-7.51%0.0477-49.31%0.3207✓0.892.6M2022-05-28
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.172.9306-7.55%2.832-10.66%0.1548✗0.601.8M2022-05-28
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.019840.018342-7.55%0.00849-57.21%0.4537✓1.01353k2022-05-28
FTTFTXEthereum39.8436.8229-7.57%27.11-31.95%0.0250✓0.8916.1M2022-05-28
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.011110.010263-7.62%0.00437-60.67%0.6733✓0.5728k2022-05-28
SCSiacoinnative0.009620.008886-7.63%0.00536-44.28%0.1481✓1.14433k2022-05-28
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.04560.042021-7.85%0.0238-47.81%0.0591✓1.6230.9M2022-05-28
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1550.142823-7.86%0.0564-63.61%0.7983✓0.42175k2022-05-28
AMPAmpEthereum0.020820.019184-7.86%0.01166-44.00%0.2739✓0.714.2M2022-05-28
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.020030.018438-7.95%0.0117-41.59%0.0027✓1.4448.3M2022-05-28
DYDXdYdXCosmos4.3944.0445-7.95%1.683-61.70%0.4725✓1.2891k2022-05-28
AUCTIONBounceEthereum12.1511.1816-7.97%6.45-46.91%0.2302✓1.021.1M2022-05-28
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum5.52685.084-8.01%2.0387-63.11%0.6818✓0.749.8M2022-05-28
MOVRMoonriverBase50.118146.0977-8.02%21.4319-57.24%0.3246✓1.40205k2022-05-28
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.074.6625-8.04%4.77-5.92%0.2272✗0.65756k2022-05-28
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7880.723999-8.12%0.525-33.38%0.1056✗1.361.7M2022-05-28
GALAGALAEthereum0.16810.154398-8.15%0.0725-56.87%0.3941✓1.15204k2022-05-28
AAVEAaveEthereum166.2152.6371-8.16%95.38-42.61%0.0783✓1.2412.2M2022-05-28
ARPAARPAEthereum0.06180.056751-8.17%0.0305-50.65%0.2702✓1.11244k2022-05-28
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.7282.5048-8.18%1.299-52.38%0.3522✓0.9713.0M2022-05-28
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.00820.007527-8.20%0.00403-50.85%0.2577✓1.173.1M2022-05-28
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.5395.0843-8.21%2.477-55.28%0.2868✓1.379.1M2022-05-28
XVSVenusEthereum9.78.9028-8.22%4.42-54.43%0.3871✓0.993.6M2022-05-28
FIDABonfidaSolana1.2161.1159-8.23%0.492-59.54%0.5134✓0.9757k2022-05-28
CELLCellframeEthereum0.80410.737226-8.32%0.306-61.95%0.4993✓1.21159k2022-05-28
CVCCivicEthereum0.28590.262121-8.32%0.1577-44.84%0.1671✓1.08428k2022-05-28
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.27210.24946-8.32%0.1288-52.66%0.2226✓1.398.4M2022-05-28
GLMRMoonbeamBase2.9972.7462-8.37%1.213-59.53%0.3433✓1.51807k2022-05-28
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.46460.424481-8.64%0.1686-63.71%0.8613✓0.20656k2022-05-28
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.5220.47646-8.72%0.198-62.07%0.5633✓1.004.5M2022-05-28
ZENHorizenBase33.3930.4666-8.76%19.24-42.38%0.0513✓1.30238k2022-05-28
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.791.6322-8.82%0.81-54.75%0.2962✓1.281.6M2022-05-28
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.724.3019-8.86%3.91-17.16%0.1275✗0.711.2M2022-05-28
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.46750.426001-8.88%0.2862-38.78%0.0581✓1.08616k2022-05-28
CHZChilizEthereum0.20230.184101-9.00%0.1128-44.24%0.1397✓1.112.4M2022-05-28
XECeCashnative0.000080420.000073137-9.06%0.0000473-41.18%0.1422✓0.939.1M2022-05-28
TRBTellor TributesEthereum17.7816.155-9.14%9.06-49.04%0.1613✓1.32163k2022-05-28
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.2490.225911-9.27%0.098-60.64%0.3079✓1.672.1M2022-05-28
MINAMina Protocolnative2.011.8234-9.29%0.843-58.06%0.4352✓1.071.3M2022-05-28
SUSHISushiEthereum2.992.7079-9.43%1.52-49.16%0.1984✓1.204.2M2022-05-28
QTUMQtumQtum6.05775.4768-9.59%3.7424-38.22%0.0295✓1.12135k2022-05-28
SPELLSpellEthereum0.003710.003352-9.64%0.00124-66.58%0.6594✓1.066.6M2022-05-28
BORABORAKlay Token0.712970.642902-9.83%0.42364-40.58%0.0819✓1.06121k2022-05-28
LRCLoopringEthereum0.84070.757951-9.84%0.4839-42.44%0.0664✓1.21424k2022-05-28
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV78.2270.5158-9.85%49.222-37.07%0.1105✓0.792.7M2022-05-28
FILFilecoinFilecoin18.116.272-10.10%7.53-58.40%0.4504✓1.029.9M2022-05-28
LCXLCXEthereum0.11120.099935-10.13%0.0634-42.99%0.1753✓0.89573k2022-05-28
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.016140.014489-10.23%0.0091-43.62%0.1891✓0.881.5M2022-05-28
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.6450.579028-10.23%0.35-45.74%0.2676✓0.752.1M2022-05-28
SOLSolanaSolana98.2288.1525-10.25%44.2-55.00%0.3135✓1.20106.8M2022-05-28
YFIyearn.financeEthereum17,884.9416,048.99-10.27%7,633.86-57.32%0.4315✓0.993.1M2022-05-28
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.3031.1686-10.32%0.916-29.70%0.0755✓1.01547k2022-05-28
CTSICartesiEthereum0.30760.275642-10.39%0.1814-41.03%0.0120✓1.29941k2022-05-28
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.1052.7805-10.45%2.39-23.03%0.0598✓0.671.3M2022-05-28
BANDBandEthereum3.5093.1244-10.96%1.505-57.11%0.3520✓1.20612k2022-05-28
ADACardanoCardano0.84330.750734-10.98%0.4643-44.94%0.1547✓1.0343.8M2022-05-28
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana6.3465.6459-11.03%3.322-47.65%0.3343✓0.621.6M2022-05-28
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum15.1313.4505-11.10%7.22-52.28%0.2898✓1.069.9M2022-05-28
COTICOTIEthereum0.21650.192318-11.17%0.1103-49.05%0.1634✓1.252.5M2022-05-28
ETCEthereum Classicnative31.1327.6499-11.18%22.74-26.95%0.1422✗1.075.7M2022-05-28
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.35830.317935-11.27%0.1373-61.68%0.4666✓1.199.3M2022-05-28
DASHDashDash96.4385.5536-11.28%56.51-41.40%0.1005✓1.001.4M2022-05-28
APEApeCoinEthereum23.71420.9893-11.49%6.228-73.74%0.5253✓2.1945.8M2022-05-28
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.940.831594-11.53%0.62113-33.92%0.0358✓1.04546k2022-05-28
UNIUniswapEthereum8.177.2184-11.65%4.98-39.05%0.0495✓1.025.3M2022-05-28
XVGVergenative0.00930.008213-11.69%0.00491-47.20%0.1817✓1.061.2M2022-05-28
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.69910.61542-11.97%0.367-47.50%0.2308✓0.9110.9M2022-05-28
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum38.0333.3939-12.19%18.54-51.25%0.2138✓1.194.6M2022-05-28
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum1.9341.6854-12.85%0.626-67.63%0.6742✓1.0078k2022-05-28
GTCGitcoinEthereum5.464.7165-13.62%2.35-56.96%0.2376✓1.46382k2022-05-28
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.684.0091-14.33%1.77-62.18%0.3935✓1.35385k2022-05-28
HIGHHighstreetEthereum4.443.7769-14.94%1.841-58.54%0.1911✓1.681.7M2022-05-28
SKLSKALEEthereum0.19450.154229-20.71%0.0629-67.66%0.5213✓1.198.1M2022-05-28
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.