8=======>

2022-04-17 · +30d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 162 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0701
162 of 162 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+10.10%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
96.3%
in alpha space · 99.4% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-23.36%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (162 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
GTCGitcoinEthereum5.855.0706-13.32%2.58-55.90%0.2718✓1.52665k2022-05-17
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.4631.2723-13.04%0.958-34.52%0.0134✓1.021.1M2022-05-17
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.7032.3544-12.90%1.413-47.72%0.2466✓0.993.8M2022-05-17
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.030.900991-12.53%0.38508-62.61%0.5359✓1.18798k2022-05-17
SUSHISushiEthereum3.22.7995-12.51%1.43-55.31%0.3401✓1.256.7M2022-05-17
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum45.4740.0427-11.94%22.4-50.74%0.2408✓1.288.8M2022-05-17
XVGVergenative0.010360.009124-11.93%0.00546-47.30%0.2046✓1.161.7M2022-05-17
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.620.546229-11.90%0.253-59.19%0.4772✓1.105.9M2022-05-17
CTSICartesiEthereum0.3350.29546-11.80%0.2022-39.64%0.0322✓1.301.6M2022-05-17
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.71080.627228-11.76%0.4947-30.40%0.0126✓0.9418.3M2022-05-17
ETCEthereum Classicnative36.5832.2894-11.73%21.76-40.51%0.1020✓1.1016.0M2022-05-17
UNIUniswapEthereum9.258.169-11.69%5.47-40.86%0.1188✓1.068.8M2022-05-17
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana6.1155.4023-11.66%4.126-32.53%0.0914✓0.671.8M2022-05-17
SKLSKALEEthereum0.180.159348-11.47%0.0913-49.28%0.2354✓1.219.4M2022-05-17
ADACardanoCardano0.91480.810396-11.41%0.577-36.93%0.0639✓1.0468.9M2022-05-17
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.0044.4334-11.40%2.883-42.39%0.0840✓1.307.3M2022-05-17
QTUMQtumQtum6.53245.7892-11.38%4.2187-35.42%0.0056✓1.17216k2022-05-17
HIGHHighstreetEthereum4.5674.0485-11.35%2.115-53.69%0.1889✓1.732.6M2022-05-17
DASHDashDash104.492.6042-11.30%60.11-42.42%0.1573✓1.032.4M2022-05-17
LRCLoopringEthereum0.8540.757915-11.25%0.5004-41.41%0.0522✓1.36870k2022-05-17
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.017490.01553-11.20%0.0104-40.54%0.1350✓1.002.1M2022-05-17
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.34860.309891-11.10%0.1798-48.42%0.2311✓1.1810.5M2022-05-17
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum16.4114.6674-10.62%8.62-47.47%0.2568✓1.0318.5M2022-05-17
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.1971.0706-10.56%0.593-50.46%0.3157✓1.031.4M2022-05-17
BANDBandEthereum3.5543.1826-10.45%1.765-50.34%0.2606✓1.24749k2022-05-17
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.19491.0702-10.43%0.7365-38.36%0.0403✓1.2511.9M2022-05-17
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.7934.2964-10.36%3.148-34.32%0.2102✓0.384.1M2022-05-17
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.123.6947-10.32%1.83-55.58%0.3293✓1.40713k2022-05-17
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.04920.044145-10.27%0.0167-66.06%0.5222✓1.6938.1M2022-05-17
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.072350.065059-10.08%0.04094-43.41%0.1831✓1.05121k2022-05-17
BRISEBitgertEthereum9.58e-78.62e-7-9.99%7.15e-7-25.41%0.2712✓-0.31596k2022-05-17
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.6693.3039-9.95%1.748-52.36%0.4352✓0.762.2M2022-05-17
FILFilecoinFilecoin19.717.7687-9.80%8.56-56.55%0.4333✓1.1210.9M2022-05-17
SOLSolanaSolana100.1890.3813-9.78%57.02-43.08%0.1281✓1.25147.4M2022-05-17
LCXLCXEthereum0.11680.105582-9.60%0.0711-39.13%0.0890✓1.15952k2022-05-17
MINAMina Protocolnative2.282.0611-9.60%1.1-51.75%0.3374✓1.091.2M2022-05-17
CELLCellframeEthereum0.9420.851721-9.58%0.3614-61.63%0.4820✓1.41231k2022-05-17
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.57310.519073-9.43%0.346-39.63%0.0725✓1.25967k2022-05-17
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.370.335244-9.39%0.1418-61.68%0.3775✓1.812.3M2022-05-17
FTTFTXEthereum44.840.6164-9.34%32.03-28.50%0.0308✓1.0115.1M2022-05-17
UMAUMAEthereum6.165.5935-9.20%3.314-46.20%0.1349✓1.462.8M2022-05-17
TRBTellor TributesEthereum19.6417.8398-9.17%10.34-47.35%0.1854✓1.35226k2022-05-17
YFIyearn.financeEthereum18,713.4917,005.26-9.13%9,984.13-46.65%0.2368✓1.115.0M2022-05-17
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana14.8713.5135-9.12%5.35-64.02%0.7955✓0.492.9M2022-05-17
GALAGALAEthereum0.19250.174977-9.10%0.0892-53.66%0.3689✓1.15251k2022-05-17
AUCTIONBounceEthereum13.2812.0719-9.10%6.53-50.83%0.3135✓1.131.5M2022-05-17
ZENHorizenBase36.4733.1628-9.07%22.14-39.29%0.0451✓1.35431k2022-05-17
ASTRAstarEthereum0.2210.20098-9.06%0.0712-67.78%0.8595✓0.67100k2022-05-17
SCSiacoinnative0.010130.009214-9.05%0.00561-44.62%0.1796✓1.19565k2022-05-17
LUNATerraTerra 277.2870.3291-8.99%0.00019-100.00%12.4833✓1.277.7M2022-05-17
KSMKusamaHydration168.62153.4956-8.97%82.04-51.35%0.3464✓1.051.1M2022-05-17
XVSVenusEthereum9.768.8982-8.83%4.73-51.54%0.3246✓1.154.7M2022-05-17
GLMRMoonbeamBase3.8453.5077-8.77%1.399-63.62%0.5367✓1.44720k2022-05-17
DYDXdYdXCosmos4.5134.1192-8.73%2.034-54.93%0.4312✓1.03119k2022-05-17
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.6876660.628941-8.54%0.424817-38.22%0.0966✓1.113.2M2022-05-17
AAVEAaveEthereum167.03152.7823-8.53%92.53-44.60%0.1525✓1.3113.5M2022-05-17
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.724790.663678-8.43%0.4149-42.76%0.1916✓1.05180k2022-05-17
AMPAmpEthereum0.022240.020373-8.40%0.01407-36.74%0.1568✓0.804.9M2022-05-17
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.01040.009532-8.35%0.00512-50.77%0.3105✓1.173.4M2022-05-17
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.32340.296595-8.29%0.1452-55.10%0.3269✓1.469.4M2022-05-17
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8060.739564-8.24%0.342-57.57%0.4102✓1.362.7M2022-05-17
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum2.1261.951-8.23%0.64-69.90%0.8502✓0.9994k2022-05-17
XECeCashnative0.000088780.000081524-8.17%0.00004936-44.40%0.2352✓1.009.5M2022-05-17
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.931.7724-8.16%0.91-52.85%0.3132✓1.331.6M2022-05-17
CVCCivicEthereum0.28320.260146-8.14%0.1804-36.30%0.0548✓1.17524k2022-05-17
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV83.6276.8523-8.09%55.75-33.33%0.1082✓0.803.5M2022-05-17
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.37774.9442-8.06%2.9271-45.57%0.2017✓1.2112.0M2022-05-17
ZECZcashZcash137.47126.3949-8.06%114.63-16.61%0.1747✗1.029.2M2022-05-17
SPELLSpellEthereum0.004060.003734-8.03%0.00144-64.53%0.6253✓1.239.6M2022-05-17
CHZChilizEthereum0.2220.204516-7.88%0.12-45.95%0.2166✓1.193.2M2022-05-17
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.23510.216591-7.87%0.1525-35.13%0.0169✓1.38368k2022-05-17
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum13.7112.6394-7.81%12.44-9.26%0.3314✗1.312.5M2022-05-17
COTICOTIEthereum0.23330.2151-7.80%0.121-48.14%0.2157✓1.353.5M2022-05-17
LPTLivepeerEthereum22.2320.5033-7.77%15.21-31.58%0.0490✓1.31752k2022-05-17
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.017990.016607-7.69%0.01468-18.40%0.2675✗1.4749.4M2022-05-17
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0272570.025163-7.68%0.015368-43.62%0.3111✓0.68195k2022-05-17
MANADecentralandEthereum2.05321.8955-7.68%1.2159-40.78%0.1419✓1.141.6M2022-05-17
BORABORAKlay Token0.809550.747597-7.65%0.39337-51.41%0.3760✓1.00182k2022-05-17
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.69390.641291-7.58%0.2547-63.29%0.8057✓0.44814k2022-05-17
ARPAARPAEthereum0.06640.061375-7.57%0.0353-46.84%0.2357✓1.19555k2022-05-17
APEApeCoinEthereum11.69510.8099-7.57%8.877-24.10%0.3824✗2.1846.3M2022-05-17
PROPropyEthereum1.931.7859-7.47%1.21-37.31%0.1386✓0.94179k2022-05-17
DOTPolkadotPolkadot17.7416.4269-7.40%11.02-37.88%0.1179✓1.0619.0M2022-05-17
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.354.9549-7.38%2.74-48.79%0.3916✓0.751.6M2022-05-17
NANOnanopayBase2.0741.9219-7.33%1.1607-44.04%0.2101✓1.11243k2022-05-17
STORJStorjEthereum1.03590.960213-7.31%0.61254-40.87%0.1441✓1.15143k2022-05-17
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash328.18304.4037-7.24%206.73-37.01%0.1231✓0.998.6M2022-05-17
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.51924.1957-7.16%2.5786-42.94%0.2265✓0.98280k2022-05-17
GLMGolemEthereum0.41940.38945-7.14%0.2705-35.50%0.0241✓1.46422k2022-05-17
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.022830.021233-7.00%0.00905-60.36%0.5479✓1.15374k2022-05-17
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche75.4570.1801-6.98%34.38-54.43%0.3773✓1.2694.4M2022-05-17
FIDABonfidaSolana1.431.3302-6.98%0.629-56.01%0.4856✓0.9963k2022-05-17
MOVRMoonriverBase57.227653.2424-6.96%24.7107-56.82%0.3768✓1.47223k2022-05-17
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.7470.694995-6.96%0.384-48.59%0.3565✓0.892.9M2022-05-17
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.07460.069441-6.92%0.04738-36.49%0.1607✓0.8350k2022-05-17
AVTAventusEthereum2.62.4213-6.87%1.16-55.38%0.6024✓0.50546k2022-05-17
NMRNumeraireEthereum26.4324.6263-6.82%13.66-48.32%0.3489✓0.90636k2022-05-17
API3Api3Ethereum4.2243.9366-6.80%1.905-54.90%0.5569✓0.633.4M2022-05-17
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.685.2936-6.80%2.85-49.82%0.4278✓0.721.4M2022-05-17
COMPCompoundEthereum148.41138.6954-6.55%74.69-49.67%0.2986✓1.2076k2022-05-17
DODODODOEthereum0.3780.353266-6.54%0.168-55.56%0.4314✓1.177.4M2022-05-17
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.13640.127478-6.54%0.0907-33.50%0.0683✓1.02224k2022-05-17
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1393710.130276-6.53%0.090151-35.32%0.1394✓0.865.0M2022-05-17
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.11340.106015-6.51%0.0562-50.44%0.3553✓1.051.1M2022-05-17
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum4.28384.0058-6.49%2.18-49.11%0.4057✓0.763.9M2022-05-17
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.1942.0534-6.41%1.389-36.69%0.0334✓1.347.7M2022-05-17
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.64490.603643-6.40%0.3906-39.43%0.1575✓1.049.8M2022-05-17
STXStacksnative1.131.06-6.20%0.58-48.67%0.3360✓1.00440k2022-05-17
HIVEHivenative0.88580.831254-6.16%0.5411-38.91%0.1430✓1.082.0M2022-05-17
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.5973.3758-6.15%1.674-53.46%0.5238✓0.672.5M2022-05-17
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.620.582119-6.11%0.20963-66.19%0.6236✓1.49478k2022-05-17
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.00293.76-6.07%1.9688-50.82%0.4685✓0.674.8M2022-05-17
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.3281.2477-6.05%0.623-53.09%0.3532✓1.283.4M2022-05-17
DIADIAEthereum0.880.826985-6.02%0.39763-54.81%0.6056✓0.48169k2022-05-17
IMXImmutableEthereum1.7291.6251-6.01%0.913-47.19%0.2944✓1.067.8M2022-05-17
XLMStellarStellar0.1966170.184868-5.98%0.141543-28.01%0.0008✓1.0018.8M2022-05-17
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2670.251082-5.96%0.1311-50.90%0.4218✓0.8636k2022-05-17
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.77835.4363-5.92%1.6841-70.85%1.0311✓0.535.6M2022-05-17
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum40,677.8038,273.21-5.91%30,409.80-25.24%0.0236✓0.9526k2022-05-17
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.011680.011-5.82%0.00443-62.07%0.7434✓0.6235k2022-05-17
LSKLiskEthereum2.0741.955-5.73%1.2954-37.54%0.1801✓0.8795k2022-05-17
QNTQuantEthereum110.99104.7057-5.66%74.46-32.91%0.0948✓0.924.0M2022-05-17
XYMSymbolnative0.11170.105389-5.65%0.0697-37.60%0.2269✓0.70820k2022-05-17
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.55352.4095-5.64%1.6818-34.14%0.1536✓0.7711k2022-05-17
ORCAOrcaSolana1.861.7554-5.62%0.97-47.85%0.4040✓0.71238k2022-05-17
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000024680.000023297-5.60%0.00001255-49.15%0.3160✓1.142.8M2022-05-17
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana14.5613.7461-5.59%5.86-59.75%0.7432✓0.412.0M2022-05-17
XMRMoneroMonero242228.7273-5.48%172.72-28.63%0.0345✓0.931.7M2022-05-17
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.4221.345-5.42%0.74-47.96%0.2463✓1.32555k2022-05-17
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum6.4576.1081-5.40%3.13-51.53%0.3706✓1.12340k2022-05-17
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.49690.470624-5.29%0.2589-47.90%0.3864✓0.79490k2022-05-17
BTTCBTTC0.00000190.0000018-5.28%0.00000113-40.53%0.2743✓0.729.8M2022-05-17
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana7.016.6508-5.12%3.61-48.50%0.4086✓0.761.7M2022-05-17
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos23.2322.0408-5.12%11.46-50.67%0.3613✓1.1031.7M2022-05-17
LINKChainlinkEthereum13.7213.0292-5.03%7.71-43.80%0.2216✓1.1426.0M2022-05-17
CBKCobakEthereum2.1952.0852-5.00%1.231-43.92%0.3145✓0.8025k2022-05-17
XEMNEMnative0.09710.092272-4.97%0.0614-36.77%0.1618✓0.9261k2022-05-17
DEXEDeXeEthereum5.745.458-4.91%3.76-34.49%0.1798✓0.721.1M2022-05-17
SUNSun TokenTron0.0140590.013372-4.88%0.008963-36.25%0.1582✓0.9147k2022-05-17
BTCBitcoinBitcoin39,683.5437,760.90-4.84%30,412.12-23.36%0.0497✓1.00529.9M2022-05-17
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.23850.227469-4.62%0.1493-37.40%0.1934✓0.861.7M2022-05-17
RADRadworksEthereum4.64.3934-4.49%2.04-55.65%0.5117✓0.96785k2022-05-17
DKAdKargoEthereum0.092370.088255-4.45%0.05523-40.21%0.2376✓0.8735k2022-05-17
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.043620.041695-4.41%0.02904-33.43%0.1269✓0.8867k2022-05-17
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0351820.033644-4.37%0.016233-53.86%0.4318✓1.124.5M2022-05-17
XTZTezosTezos3.092.9591-4.24%1.8568-39.91%0.1872✓1.051.0M2022-05-17
KCSKuCoinnative19.93219.114-4.10%14.916-25.17%0.0188✓0.865.4M2022-05-17
CTKShentuOsmosis1.2391.1914-3.84%0.817-34.06%0.1211✓0.963.5M2022-05-17
UOSUltraEthereum0.9180.88393-3.71%0.38048-58.55%0.4960✓1.301.5M2022-05-17
WOOWOOEthereum0.47370.456129-3.71%0.2109-55.48%0.7144✓0.216,4692022-05-17
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.049780.047986-3.60%0.02971-40.32%0.2077✓1.02561k2022-05-17
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.7754.6035-3.59%3.057-35.98%0.1519✓0.9772k2022-05-17
LTCLitecoinLitecoin108.78104.986-3.49%73.04-32.86%0.0885✓1.0323.4M2022-05-17
ETHEthereumEthereum2,988.402,885.09-3.46%2,088.96-30.10%0.0434✓1.05448.2M2022-05-17
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.19570.189163-3.34%0.0803-58.97%0.2487✓2.29592k2022-05-17
GITCOINGITCOIN5.9215.7407-3.05%2.75-53.56%0.3350✓1.5118k2022-05-17
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.242.1753-2.89%1.47-34.38%0.1220✓1.01163k2022-05-17
TRXTRONTron0.0601490.058519-2.71%0.072142+19.94%0.3859✗0.66252k2022-05-17
GTGateEthereum6.41686.2727-2.25%5.7521-10.36%0.0691✗0.594.4M2022-05-17
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.89595.8001-1.63%4.98-15.53%0.0268✓0.47177k2022-05-17
BFCBifrostEthereum0.143170.140866-1.61%0.07213-49.62%0.4582✓0.7918k2022-05-17
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.034210.033663-1.60%0.0187-45.34%0.4145✓0.65942k2022-05-17
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.