8=======>

2022-04-13 · +30d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 162 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0377
162 of 162 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+6.91%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
96.3%
in alpha space · 99.4% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-28.96%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (162 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.4850.421373-13.12%0.206-57.53%0.3141✓1.177.0M2022-05-13
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.3032.0096-12.74%1.004-56.40%0.3394✓1.043.6M2022-05-13
GTCGitcoinEthereum6.25.4659-11.84%2.31-62.74%0.3541✓1.48665k2022-05-13
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.5511.3772-11.21%0.914-41.07%0.0583✓1.031.3M2022-05-13
SUSHISushiEthereum3.342.9737-10.97%1.39-58.38%0.3325✓1.257.2M2022-05-13
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.1554.5952-10.86%2.607-49.43%0.1156✓1.327.1M2022-05-13
QTUMQtumQtum6.74386.0389-10.45%3.8681-42.64%0.0452✓1.17206k2022-05-13
CTSICartesiEthereum0.37020.333183-10.00%0.1807-51.19%0.1646✓1.311.7M2022-05-13
SKLSKALEEthereum0.20.1801-9.95%0.0821-58.95%0.3670✓1.228.8M2022-05-13
PROPropyEthereum1.791.6145-9.80%1.19-33.52%0.0582✓1.06160k2022-05-13
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana6.0895.4922-9.80%3.487-42.73%0.2237✓0.671.7M2022-05-13
XVGVergenative0.010550.009519-9.78%0.00472-55.26%0.2979✓1.181.8M2022-05-13
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.05420.048905-9.77%0.0164-69.74%0.5078✓1.7140.5M2022-05-13
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.38380.346528-9.71%0.1483-61.36%0.4453✓1.1812.5M2022-05-13
DASHDashDash105.2795.0686-9.69%57.98-44.92%0.1404✓1.042.4M2022-05-13
BANDBandEthereum3.9253.5481-9.60%1.72-56.18%0.3002✓1.24749k2022-05-13
ETCEthereum Classicnative38.5334.8513-9.55%20.47-46.87%0.1547✓1.1016.0M2022-05-13
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.111.0046-9.49%0.34-69.37%0.6814✓1.18798k2022-05-13
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.0990.995282-9.44%0.6653-39.46%0.0362✓1.2815.0M2022-05-13
LRCLoopringEthereum0.91760.831384-9.40%0.4631-49.53%0.1164✓1.37870k2022-05-13
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum48.4443.9006-9.37%20.45-57.78%0.3265✓1.288.8M2022-05-13
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.44790.405975-9.36%0.1018-77.27%0.7607✓1.822.3M2022-05-13
ADACardanoCardano0.97480.883894-9.33%0.5281-45.82%0.1709✓1.0168.9M2022-05-13
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.98345.4255-9.32%2.8848-51.79%0.2198✓1.2016.8M2022-05-13
AUCTIONBounceEthereum13.5612.2964-9.32%4.76-64.90%0.5452✓1.181.4M2022-05-13
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.9044.4479-9.30%1.83-62.68%0.7609✓0.375.7M2022-05-13
APEApeCoinEthereum13.25812.0288-9.27%8.53-35.66%0.0018✓1.0054.6M2022-05-13
UNIUniswapEthereum9.668.7651-9.26%5.13-46.89%0.1699✓1.078.8M2022-05-13
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.343.9393-9.23%1.66-61.75%0.3818✓1.41824k2022-05-13
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.74640.678656-9.08%0.4426-40.70%0.1042✓0.9518.7M2022-05-13
UMAUMAEthereum6.5595.9654-9.05%2.913-55.59%0.2172✓1.463.1M2022-05-13
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.2571.1433-9.05%0.499-60.30%0.4744✓1.041.6M2022-05-13
HIGHHighstreetEthereum4.634.2205-8.85%1.758-62.03%0.2850✓1.732.5M2022-05-13
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.018380.016766-8.78%0.00953-48.15%0.2233✓1.002.1M2022-05-13
GALAGALAEthereum0.20750.1895-8.67%0.0917-55.81%0.3388✓1.13304k2022-05-13
FTTFTXEthereum42.8639.1582-8.64%30.83-28.07%0.1142✗1.0314.2M2022-05-13
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.028120.025699-8.61%0.00985-64.97%0.5654✓1.15348k2022-05-13
DYDXdYdXCosmos4.834.4181-8.53%1.948-59.67%0.4688✓1.02108k2022-05-13
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0282730.025872-8.49%0.01331-52.92%0.4266✓0.70187k2022-05-13
SCSiacoinnative0.010710.009806-8.44%0.00466-56.49%0.3350✓1.20565k2022-05-13
ZECZcashZcash152.73139.8425-8.44%93.81-38.58%0.0543✓1.0110.6M2022-05-13
BRISEBitgertEthereum8.51e-77.80e-7-8.43%6.19e-7-27.34%0.3424✓-0.33622k2022-05-13
FILFilecoinFilecoin19.417.7848-8.33%8.73-55.00%0.3301✓1.1210.5M2022-05-13
CELLCellframeEthereum1.06910.980289-8.31%0.375-64.92%0.4769✓1.42231k2022-05-13
KSMKusamaHydration160.8147.5274-8.25%73.84-54.08%0.3254✓1.071.2M2022-05-13
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.742640.681389-8.25%0.38322-48.40%0.2176✓1.05226k2022-05-13
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana15.3414.1002-8.08%4.86-68.32%0.8974✓0.493.7M2022-05-13
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.60490.556689-7.97%0.2519-58.36%0.3614✓1.26938k2022-05-13
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.24880.229039-7.94%0.1227-50.68%0.1435✓1.41368k2022-05-13
GLMRMoonbeamBase3.9473.6339-7.93%1.194-69.75%0.6213✓1.44720k2022-05-13
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum16.9715.6286-7.90%9.27-45.37%0.1682✓1.0418.5M2022-05-13
API3Api3Ethereum4.1943.8657-7.83%1.62-61.37%0.6534✓0.633.5M2022-05-13
LCXLCXEthereum0.1210.111549-7.81%0.0573-52.64%0.2702✓1.16952k2022-05-13
BORABORAKlay Token0.84210.776649-7.77%0.34417-59.13%0.4720✓1.00183k2022-05-13
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.7943.4996-7.76%1.446-61.89%0.6223✓0.772.5M2022-05-13
COMPCompoundEthereum150.02138.3988-7.75%68.45-54.37%0.2892✓1.2171k2022-05-13
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.36280.334755-7.73%0.1399-61.44%0.3648✓1.4810.9M2022-05-13
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.64314.2879-7.65%2.4783-46.62%0.2134✓0.98268k2022-05-13
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.078220.072254-7.63%0.03518-55.02%0.3592✓1.05121k2022-05-13
CHZChilizEthereum0.24280.224396-7.58%0.111-54.28%0.2963✓1.193.2M2022-05-13
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8820.815803-7.51%0.283-67.91%0.5913✓1.372.7M2022-05-13
SOLSolanaSolana104.9597.0842-7.49%48.89-53.42%0.2566✓1.26147.4M2022-05-13
ZENHorizenBase40.2137.2003-7.48%20.24-49.66%0.1521✓1.34467k2022-05-13
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash341.13315.6121-7.48%201.94-40.80%0.1066✓0.998.6M2022-05-13
LUNATerraTerra 287.881.3047-7.40%0.00012-100.00%12.9872✓1.288.7M2022-05-13
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.061.9088-7.34%0.82-60.19%0.3873✓1.341.4M2022-05-13
AAVEAaveEthereum178.19165.3262-7.22%82.28-53.82%0.2451✓1.3217.5M2022-05-13
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.761680.70715-7.16%0.366416-51.89%0.2757✓1.122.6M2022-05-13
TRBTellor TributesEthereum21.1219.6157-7.12%9.39-55.54%0.2722✓1.36240k2022-05-13
MINAMina Protocolnative2.532.3515-7.06%1.041-58.85%0.4472✓1.081.4M2022-05-13
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.7790.724068-7.05%0.2828-63.70%0.7783✓0.47777k2022-05-13
GLMGolemEthereum0.44610.414726-7.03%0.2334-47.68%0.0663✓1.49567k2022-05-13
XECeCashnative0.00009480.000088349-6.81%0.00004212-55.57%0.3982✓1.009.8M2022-05-13
NANOnanopayBase2.27422.1217-6.71%1.0764-52.67%0.2987✓1.11291k2022-05-13
YFIyearn.financeEthereum19,412.3218,113.33-6.69%9,926.05-48.87%0.2180✓1.126.0M2022-05-13
STORJStorjEthereum1.12321.0488-6.63%0.49964-55.52%0.3491✓1.15150k2022-05-13
ARPAARPAEthereum0.06940.064889-6.50%0.0329-52.59%0.2702✓1.20555k2022-05-13
SPELLSpellEthereum0.004230.003955-6.50%0.00132-68.79%0.6682✓1.269.7M2022-05-13
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV86.7881.1859-6.45%51.89-40.21%0.1736✓0.803.5M2022-05-13
XVSVenusEthereum10.249.5899-6.35%4.24-58.59%0.4230✓1.154.8M2022-05-13
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000026950.00002524-6.35%0.00001281-52.47%0.2878✓1.142.8M2022-05-13
IMXImmutableEthereum1.8591.7411-6.34%0.832-55.24%0.3709✓1.087.7M2022-05-13
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.10733.8487-6.30%1.6119-60.76%0.6382✓0.685.7M2022-05-13
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.68.0616-6.26%3.09-64.07%0.7107✓0.732.0M2022-05-13
DOTPolkadotPolkadot18.1917.0528-6.25%10.44-42.61%0.1238✓1.0720.9M2022-05-13
CVCCivicEthereum0.29840.279765-6.24%0.1491-50.03%0.2289✓1.17618k2022-05-13
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum2.2842.1416-6.23%0.67-70.67%0.8270✓0.98100k2022-05-13
ASTRAstarEthereum0.2640.24759-6.22%0.071-73.11%1.0272✓0.6565k2022-05-13
STXStacksnative1.211.1349-6.21%0.52-57.02%0.4370✓1.00510k2022-05-13
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.775.4125-6.20%2.32-59.79%0.5918✓0.751.8M2022-05-13
NMRNumeraireEthereum27.2325.5632-6.12%12.71-53.32%0.3885✓0.91651k2022-05-13
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.955.5866-6.11%2.39-59.83%0.6030✓0.721.5M2022-05-13
MOVRMoonriverBase59.572255.9354-6.10%22.6376-62.00%0.4008✓1.47216k2022-05-13
DODODODOEthereum0.3980.374085-6.01%0.152-61.81%0.4950✓1.196.8M2022-05-13
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.54032.3898-5.92%1.7254-32.08%0.0600✓0.7811k2022-05-13
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.010990.010339-5.92%0.00429-60.96%0.4765✓1.184.3M2022-05-13
XLMStellarStellar0.1965280.184892-5.92%0.132063-32.80%0.0026✓0.9918.8M2022-05-13
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum6.5296.1449-5.88%2.496-61.77%0.5158✓1.13393k2022-05-13
AMPAmpEthereum0.023340.02198-5.83%0.0135-42.16%0.2130✓0.804.9M2022-05-13
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum3.85673.6331-5.80%1.5516-59.77%0.5806✓0.793.7M2022-05-13
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.020140.018978-5.77%0.00989-50.89%0.1463✓1.4859.1M2022-05-13
LPTLivepeerEthereum24.3722.9713-5.74%14.73-39.56%0.0071✓1.32833k2022-05-13
COTICOTIEthereum0.25540.240832-5.70%0.1102-56.85%0.3283✓1.333.5M2022-05-13
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana13.9913.1927-5.70%4.87-65.19%0.8577✓0.412.0M2022-05-13
BTTCBTTC0.000001920.000001811-5.69%0.00000112-41.67%0.2330✓0.729.8M2022-05-13
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.078830.074368-5.66%0.04297-45.49%0.2651✓0.8350k2022-05-13
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.68130.642814-5.65%0.3159-53.63%0.3568✓1.039.4M2022-05-13
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.39195.0891-5.62%1.4675-72.78%1.0578✓0.545.9M2022-05-13
LSKLiskEthereum2.17162.0503-5.59%1.1379-47.60%0.2900✓0.87106k2022-05-13
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.14210.13416-5.59%0.0872-38.63%0.0809✓1.02227k2022-05-13
AVTAventusEthereum2.552.4075-5.59%0.83-67.45%0.8857✓0.52546k2022-05-13
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche80.275.747-5.55%32.17-59.89%0.4225✓1.27103.7M2022-05-13
FIDABonfidaSolana1.5031.4201-5.52%0.609-59.48%0.5108✓0.9862k2022-05-13
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.5713.7707-5.49%9.76-33.01%0.1079✗1.322.8M2022-05-13
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2770.261906-5.45%0.1223-55.85%0.4660✓0.8643k2022-05-13
CBKCobakEthereum2.3322.2062-5.40%1.056-54.72%0.4623✓0.8025k2022-05-13
MANADecentralandEthereum2.20792.0889-5.39%1.022-53.71%0.3247✓1.141.6M2022-05-13
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.591.5043-5.39%0.672-57.74%0.3525✓1.33555k2022-05-13
XEMNEMnative0.10260.097125-5.34%0.058-43.47%0.2003✓0.9255k2022-05-13
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.038190.03616-5.31%0.014586-61.81%0.5237✓1.124.4M2022-05-13
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1398660.132586-5.20%0.088244-36.91%0.1062✓0.884.5M2022-05-13
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.7810.740433-5.19%0.344-55.95%0.4612✓0.892.9M2022-05-13
QNTQuantEthereum115.58109.5772-5.19%68.58-40.66%0.1503✓0.934.1M2022-05-13
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.2972.1794-5.12%1.312-42.88%0.0412✓1.368.8M2022-05-13
HIVEHivenative0.94180.894054-5.07%0.4549-51.70%0.3057✓1.082.1M2022-05-13
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.7653.5759-5.02%1.324-64.83%0.7675✓0.663.1M2022-05-13
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.650.618147-4.90%0.19584-69.87%0.6362✓1.50539k2022-05-13
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.53190.506021-4.87%0.2208-58.49%0.5617✓0.78482k2022-05-13
BTCBitcoinBitcoin41,146.6839,221.04-4.68%29,232.18-28.96%0.0479✗1.00593.1M2022-05-13
ORCAOrcaSolana1.911.8208-4.67%0.89-53.40%0.4708✓0.72265k2022-05-13
DIADIAEthereum0.90.858366-4.63%0.37682-58.13%0.6636✓0.47186k2022-05-13
XYMSymbolnative0.12160.116011-4.60%0.0699-42.52%0.2688✓0.70840k2022-05-13
LINKChainlinkEthereum14.213.5596-4.51%7.13-49.79%0.2512✓1.1526.1M2022-05-13
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.25010.238885-4.48%0.112-55.22%0.4619✓0.862.0M2022-05-13
DKAdKargoEthereum0.097660.093299-4.47%0.05005-48.75%0.3277✓0.8630k2022-05-13
XMRMoneroMonero237.09226.5755-4.43%143.73-39.38%0.1367✓0.931.6M2022-05-13
SUNSun TokenTron0.0148870.014238-4.36%0.009457-36.47%0.0965✓0.9149k2022-05-13
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.12380.118479-4.30%0.0463-62.60%0.5770✓1.06378k2022-05-13
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos24.6923.6315-4.29%10.3-58.28%0.4465✓1.1232.2M2022-05-13
UOSUltraEthereum1.08481.0389-4.22%0.35077-67.66%0.6429✓1.301.5M2022-05-13
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.044710.042852-4.16%0.02379-46.79%0.2843✓0.8947k2022-05-13
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.41.3424-4.11%0.487-65.21%0.5710✓1.303.8M2022-05-13
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum41,343.1039,661.24-4.07%29,332.50-29.05%0.0256✓0.9630k2022-05-13
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.075.8245-4.04%3.27-46.13%0.3288✓0.731.1M2022-05-13
RADRadworksEthereum4.744.5567-3.87%1.78-62.45%0.6148✓0.95741k2022-05-13
KCSKuCoinnative19.75819.0076-3.80%12.511-36.68%0.1221✓0.875.6M2022-05-13
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.19920.191741-3.74%0.0714-64.16%0.2078✓2.28623k2022-05-13
CTKShentuOsmosis1.2961.2483-3.68%0.814-37.19%0.0974✓0.973.6M2022-05-13
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum5.0914.9034-3.68%2.79-45.20%0.2304✓0.9881k2022-05-13
XTZTezosTezos3.17563.061-3.61%1.7661-44.39%0.1901✓1.051.1M2022-05-13
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.011920.011492-3.59%0.00377-68.37%0.8978✓0.6334k2022-05-13
LTCLitecoinLitecoin110.58106.6935-3.51%67.78-38.71%0.1046✓1.0224.7M2022-05-13
GITCOINGITCOIN6.1975.983-3.45%2.3-62.89%0.4521✓1.4718k2022-05-13
ETHEthereumEthereum3,119.003,014.31-3.36%2,005.48-35.70%0.0465✓1.06551.3M2022-05-13
WOOWOOEthereum0.48120.465414-3.28%0.1897-60.58%0.8222✓0.227,9472022-05-13
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.051070.049417-3.24%0.02399-53.03%0.3652✓1.05574k2022-05-13
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.322.2529-2.89%1.39-40.09%0.1334✓1.02165k2022-05-13
GTGateEthereum6.56456.4109-2.34%5.5584-15.33%0.0594✗0.594.5M2022-05-13
TRXTRONTron0.0614890.060086-2.28%0.0742+20.67%0.4349✗0.66285k2022-05-13
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.037080.036378-1.89%0.01598-56.90%0.6076✓0.63942k2022-05-13
BFCBifrostEthereum0.148840.146365-1.66%0.06424-56.84%0.5498✓0.8020k2022-05-13
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.71165.6531-1.02%5.0899-10.88%0.0579✗0.48177k2022-05-13
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.