8=======>

2022-04-06 · +30d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 162 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1548
162 of 162 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+11.51%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
80.2%
in alpha space · 95.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-16.60%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (162 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.4760.421762-11.39%0.414-13.03%0.1829✗1.117.0M2022-05-06
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.031760.028382-10.64%0.0172-45.84%0.2406✓1.4357.1M2022-05-06
API3Api3Ethereum5.5695.001-10.20%3.284-41.03%0.3166✓0.573.9M2022-05-06
BRISEBitgertEthereum8.80e-78.03e-7-8.81%8.90e-7+1.18%0.0265✓-0.43811k2022-05-06
GTCGitcoinEthereum6.475.919-8.52%4.7-27.36%0.0363✓1.47697k2022-05-06
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.525.0549-8.43%3.467-37.19%0.3062✓0.396.7M2022-05-06
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain6.46185.9284-8.25%4.6987-27.28%0.0344✓1.0933.6M2022-05-06
IMXImmutableEthereum2.0311.8819-7.34%1.507-25.80%0.0356✓1.039.5M2022-05-06
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.68360.63379-7.29%0.3622-47.02%0.3248✓1.29719k2022-05-06
CELLCellframeEthereum1.3861.2861-7.21%0.6455-53.43%0.4392✓1.38223k2022-05-06
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.1431.0614-7.14%0.9191-19.59%0.0820✗1.2414.9M2022-05-06
ZECZcashZcash160.99149.5782-7.09%123.65-23.19%0.0217✓0.9315.0M2022-05-06
UMAUMAEthereum6.8716.3849-7.07%5.467-20.43%0.1034✗1.424.7M2022-05-06
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.05620.052248-7.03%0.037-34.16%0.0435✓1.6644.1M2022-05-06
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana6.756.2758-7.03%5.217-22.71%0.0662✓0.652.0M2022-05-06
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.43670.406304-6.96%0.2157-50.61%0.2945✓1.872.3M2022-05-06
LUNATerraTerra 2108.1100.6361-6.90%77.36-28.44%0.0255✓1.319.5M2022-05-06
HIGHHighstreetEthereum5.5265.1526-6.76%3.599-34.87%0.1773✓1.002.5M2022-05-06
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.49254.1982-6.55%2.9935-33.37%0.2281✓0.616.3M2022-05-06
XVGVergenative0.011360.010616-6.55%0.00805-29.14%0.0635✓1.172.2M2022-05-06
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana15.0614.0846-6.48%8.23-45.35%0.4505✓0.483.8M2022-05-06
ADACardanoCardano1.05250.985595-6.36%0.7831-25.60%0.0471✓1.0163.5M2022-05-06
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.2621.1821-6.33%0.913-27.65%0.0828✓0.971.5M2022-05-06
DASHDashDash113.64106.5006-6.28%87.63-22.89%0.0228✓0.952.9M2022-05-06
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.6921.5871-6.20%1.838+8.63%0.3253✗0.983.6M2022-05-06
KSMKusamaHydration174.43163.6147-6.20%126.34-27.57%0.0655✓1.061.0M2022-05-06
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0278320.026117-6.16%0.0182-34.61%0.2190✓0.78194k2022-05-06
ETCEthereum Classicnative38.4736.1173-6.12%27.95-27.35%0.0600✓1.0814.7M2022-05-06
APEApeCoinEthereum10.65410.0027-6.11%13.259+24.45%0.4634✗1.0064.6M2022-05-06
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum3.0882.9043-5.95%3.0275-1.96%0.1720✗0.723.6M2022-05-06
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana13.9713.1459-5.90%8.64-38.15%0.3509✓0.383.0M2022-05-06
STXStacksnative1.271.1952-5.89%0.86-32.28%0.1524✓0.97613k2022-05-06
AUCTIONBounceEthereum15.1914.3078-5.81%10.95-27.91%0.0518✓1.191.3M2022-05-06
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.37682.2405-5.74%2.1886-7.92%0.1117✗0.7412k2022-05-06
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.281.2067-5.73%0.7-45.31%0.3347✓1.16798k2022-05-06
ASTRAstarEthereum0.2110.198959-5.71%0.141-33.18%0.2398✓0.5830k2022-05-06
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.019830.018706-5.67%0.01413-28.74%0.0991✓1.002.1M2022-05-06
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000024360.00002298-5.67%0.00002004-17.73%0.0717✗1.152.6M2022-05-06
FTTFTXEthereum45.0342.4879-5.65%35.89-20.30%0.0207✓1.0414.3M2022-05-06
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.3875.0849-5.61%4.596-14.68%0.1344✗1.306.2M2022-05-06
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.838.3461-5.48%4.88-44.73%0.4050✓0.732.4M2022-05-06
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.24490.231601-5.43%0.1977-19.27%0.0233✓1.00473k2022-05-06
CTSICartesiEthereum0.38330.362884-5.33%0.2681-30.05%0.0662✓1.301.9M2022-05-06
SKLSKALEEthereum0.21010.198912-5.33%0.1416-32.60%0.1236✓1.193.3M2022-05-06
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain4.96344.6996-5.32%3.1873-35.78%0.2845✓0.576.1M2022-05-06
GALAGALAEthereum0.22140.2097-5.28%0.1438-35.05%0.1871✓1.05276k2022-05-06
BORABORAKlay Token0.866360.820659-5.28%0.58446-32.54%0.1578✓1.00392k2022-05-06
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.038580.036547-5.27%0.022419-41.89%0.2981✓1.054.1M2022-05-06
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.78924.5374-5.26%3.6721-23.33%0.0416✓0.94287k2022-05-06
LCXLCXEthereum0.12190.115506-5.25%0.1044-14.36%0.1155✗1.19989k2022-05-06
XLMStellarStellar0.2033530.192803-5.19%0.171484-15.67%0.0644✗1.0019.6M2022-05-06
BANDBandEthereum4.3264.1034-5.15%2.926-32.36%0.1166✓1.22706k2022-05-06
SPELLSpellEthereum0.004790.004544-5.14%0.00314-34.45%0.1395✓1.279.0M2022-05-06
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.6031.5207-5.14%1.356-15.41%0.0662✗1.001.4M2022-05-06
FILFilecoinFilecoin21.7620.6437-5.13%13.87-36.26%0.1994✓1.098.8M2022-05-06
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum53.4450.7506-5.03%28.51-46.65%0.3413✓1.307.1M2022-05-06
MINAMina Protocolnative3.042.887-5.03%1.84-39.47%0.2586✓1.06947k2022-05-06
ZENHorizenBase41.3139.2329-5.03%36.39-11.91%0.1652✗1.32515k2022-05-06
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum6.7266.3887-5.02%4.894-27.24%0.0678✓1.09448k2022-05-06
SUSHISushiEthereum3.573.3912-5.01%2.25-36.97%0.1887✓1.227.6M2022-05-06
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.82570.784345-5.01%0.4072-50.68%0.5703✓0.47676k2022-05-06
YFIyearn.financeEthereum21,713.3520,628.41-5.00%16,718.32-23.00%0.0084✓1.116.5M2022-05-06
NANOnanopayBase2.47022.3471-4.98%1.6805-31.97%0.1279✓1.14275k2022-05-06
QTUMQtumQtum6.9226.5775-4.98%5.4476-21.30%0.0206✓1.15220k2022-05-06
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2820.267971-4.97%0.218-22.70%0.0519✓0.8531k2022-05-06
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.76660.728573-4.96%0.6979-8.96%0.1312✗0.9619.0M2022-05-06
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.029280.027834-4.94%0.01629-44.36%0.3282✓1.14300k2022-05-06
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.763.5751-4.92%2.757-26.68%0.1184✓0.782.7M2022-05-06
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.41250.392276-4.90%0.2952-28.44%0.0741✓1.1612.7M2022-05-06
SCSiacoinnative0.011050.010512-4.87%0.0079-28.51%0.0751✓1.16540k2022-05-06
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.5211.4476-4.83%1.048-31.10%0.0787✓1.35463k2022-05-06
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.39070.371882-4.82%0.2263-42.08%0.2310✓1.4610.7M2022-05-06
AVTAventusEthereum3.062.9132-4.80%1.93-36.93%0.3336✓0.43422k2022-05-06
NMRNumeraireEthereum29.0227.632-4.78%20.33-29.94%0.1423✓0.91690k2022-05-06
LSKLiskEthereum2.20522.1001-4.77%1.6868-23.51%0.0677✓0.83152k2022-05-06
DOTPolkadotPolkadot19.8518.9114-4.73%14.32-27.86%0.0825✓1.0822.8M2022-05-06
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.013020.012417-4.63%0.00847-34.95%0.1675✓1.184.1M2022-05-06
CHZChilizEthereum0.22750.217067-4.59%0.1731-23.91%0.0109✓1.193.2M2022-05-06
CVCCivicEthereum0.30050.286736-4.58%0.2472-17.74%0.0551✗1.12429k2022-05-06
TRBTellor TributesEthereum22.5621.5281-4.57%14.23-36.92%0.1707✓1.34306k2022-05-06
ARPAARPAEthereum0.07820.074637-4.56%0.0524-32.99%0.1379✓1.19452k2022-05-06
SOLSolanaSolana112.94107.8324-4.52%81.66-27.70%0.0497✓1.26102.3M2022-05-06
MOVRMoonriverBase66.997863.9921-4.49%37.037-44.72%0.2798✓1.47191k2022-05-06
COMPCompoundEthereum134.27128.2664-4.47%103.5-22.92%0.0040✓1.1662k2022-05-06
BTCBitcoinBitcoin43,166.7041,256.95-4.42%35,999.10-16.60%0.0452✓1.00643.4M2022-05-06
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.4972.3868-4.41%2.295-8.09%0.2044✗1.349.4M2022-05-06
QNTQuantEthereum124118.5467-4.40%90.26-27.21%0.1057✓0.924.3M2022-05-06
XMRMoneroMonero213.2203.8992-4.36%218.44+2.46%0.2321✗0.901.6M2022-05-06
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche82.9979.3708-4.36%57-31.32%0.0960✓1.29108.4M2022-05-06
DYDXdYdXCosmos5.3455.1127-4.35%3.473-35.02%0.1998✓1.03101k2022-05-06
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum43,278.6041,405.46-4.33%36,069.70-16.66%0.0357✓0.9630k2022-05-06
UNIUniswapEthereum9.959.5231-4.29%7.59-23.72%0.0345✓1.068.6M2022-05-06
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.011.9245-4.25%1.49-25.87%0.0142✓1.331.1M2022-05-06
GLMRMoonbeamBase3.753.5907-4.25%2.327-37.95%0.2166✓1.20434k2022-05-06
CBKCobakEthereum2.3442.2454-4.21%1.737-25.90%0.1160✓0.7720k2022-05-06
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.24540.235109-4.19%0.1378-43.85%0.3527✓1.001.0M2022-05-06
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.1550.148519-4.18%0.1216-21.55%0.0146✓1.02228k2022-05-06
STORJStorjEthereum1.11471.0686-4.14%0.85045-23.71%0.0238✓1.13161k2022-05-06
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana6.235.9736-4.12%4.1-34.19%0.2327✓0.791.9M2022-05-06
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.10550.101194-4.08%0.0896-15.07%0.0713✗1.06201k2022-05-06
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.720.690967-4.03%0.39-45.83%0.2913✓1.55438k2022-05-06
XECeCashnative0.000097520.00009365-3.97%0.00007154-26.64%0.0923✓0.989.4M2022-05-06
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.703410.675644-3.95%0.701997-0.20%0.2391✗1.112.0M2022-05-06
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum18.7317.993-3.93%12.47-33.42%0.1801✓1.0318.5M2022-05-06
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.077390.074368-3.90%0.05852-24.38%0.0512✓1.04121k2022-05-06
UOSUltraEthereum1.18051.1344-3.90%0.66744-43.46%0.2889✓1.331.4M2022-05-06
GLMGolemEthereum0.45380.436106-3.90%0.3521-22.41%0.0324✓1.00840k2022-05-06
BTTCBTTC0.000001970.000001894-3.87%0.00000167-15.23%0.0032✓0.6710.9M2022-05-06
FIDABonfidaSolana1.6961.6308-3.85%0.978-42.33%0.3432✓0.9358k2022-05-06
HIVEHivenative0.94220.905999-3.84%0.7703-18.24%0.0360✓1.092.2M2022-05-06
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.8180.786577-3.84%0.57-30.32%0.1553✓0.922.0M2022-05-06
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.52480.504648-3.84%0.3985-24.07%0.1013✓0.74429k2022-05-06
COTICOTIEthereum0.27490.264345-3.84%0.1913-30.41%0.0885✓1.292.1M2022-05-06
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.574.3947-3.84%3.71-18.82%0.0866✗1.41824k2022-05-06
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.754270.72627-3.71%0.57987-23.12%0.0320✓1.06255k2022-05-06
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.25680.247357-3.68%0.1955-23.87%0.0764✓0.881.9M2022-05-06
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.7360.709049-3.66%0.4936-32.93%0.1763✓1.028.3M2022-05-06
LINKChainlinkEthereum15.4314.8656-3.66%10.79-30.07%0.1204✓1.1026.4M2022-05-06
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.135.9077-3.63%4.54-25.94%0.1330✓0.721.7M2022-05-06
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash331319.1226-3.59%274.77-16.99%0.0239✓0.968.6M2022-05-06
DIADIAEthereum0.980.945227-3.55%0.71-27.55%0.2084✓0.43186k2022-05-06
DKAdKargoEthereum0.099320.095838-3.51%0.07601-23.47%0.0782✓0.8527k2022-05-06
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum16.215.6408-3.45%18.4+13.58%0.4054✗1.342.9M2022-05-06
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos26.9225.9962-3.43%17.66-34.40%0.1845✓1.1137.0M2022-05-06
WOOWOOEthereum0.54230.523898-3.39%0.3397-37.36%0.4103✓0.135,6342022-05-06
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.5621.5091-3.39%1.041-33.35%0.1488✓1.233.7M2022-05-06
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.9233.791-3.36%2.825-27.99%0.1796✓0.633.3M2022-05-06
PROPropyEthereum1.481.431-3.31%1.75+18.24%0.3839✗1.01166k2022-05-06
DODODODOEthereum0.4190.405408-3.24%0.288-31.26%0.1264✓1.194.5M2022-05-06
XYMSymbolnative0.13090.126676-3.23%0.0867-33.77%0.2517✓0.70744k2022-05-06
AAVEAaveEthereum191.3185.1433-3.22%138.23-27.74%0.0601✓1.2815.7M2022-05-06
XEMNEMnative0.10350.100181-3.21%0.0831-19.71%0.0245✓0.8955k2022-05-06
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.52.4199-3.20%1.93-22.80%0.0448✓1.00160k2022-05-06
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.940.9101-3.18%0.641-31.81%0.1067✓1.343.0M2022-05-06
SUNSun TokenTron0.0150660.014595-3.13%0.012984-13.82%0.0411✗0.8723k2022-05-06
AMPAmpEthereum0.025070.024316-3.01%0.01796-28.36%0.1596✓0.794.7M2022-05-06
LPTLivepeerEthereum24.1223.3984-2.99%21.79-9.66%0.1774✗1.37810k2022-05-06
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV89.1486.4791-2.99%72.44-18.73%0.0357✓0.782.9M2022-05-06
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.366.1718-2.96%4.85-23.74%0.1057✓0.751.0M2022-05-06
ETHEthereumEthereum3,168.523,075.50-2.94%2,691.72-15.05%0.0617✗1.07491.5M2022-05-06
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum2.5252.4522-2.88%1.241-50.85%0.5131✓0.93109k2022-05-06
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1433260.139203-2.88%0.127716-10.89%0.0693✗0.863.1M2022-05-06
CTKShentuOsmosis1.2591.2229-2.87%0.988-21.53%0.0459✓0.923.1M2022-05-06
LTCLitecoinLitecoin111.68108.7049-2.66%96.69-13.42%0.0688✗1.0226.1M2022-05-06
LRCLoopringEthereum0.9660.94049-2.64%0.7248-24.97%0.0106✓1.38870k2022-05-06
MANADecentralandEthereum2.33252.2711-2.63%1.449-37.88%0.2405✓1.151.5M2022-05-06
XTZTezosTezos3.2993.2125-2.62%2.5078-23.98%0.0541✓1.071.1M2022-05-06
ORCAOrcaSolana2.082.0261-2.59%1.71-17.79%0.0427✓0.70268k2022-05-06
GITCOINGITCOIN6.4276.2613-2.58%4.697-26.92%0.0238✓1.4522k2022-05-06
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.051780.050475-2.52%0.03834-25.96%0.0877✓1.03576k2022-05-06
KCSKuCoinnative19.67919.2038-2.41%16.943-13.90%0.0358✗0.895.4M2022-05-06
RADRadworksEthereum4.894.7743-2.37%3.58-26.79%0.1129✓0.96573k2022-05-06
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.038770.037861-2.34%0.02463-36.47%0.3056✓0.69962k2022-05-06
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.864.7564-2.13%4.094-15.76%0.0307✗0.9984k2022-05-06
XVSVenusEthereum11.3911.1872-1.78%7.55-33.71%0.1956✓1.094.4M2022-05-06
GTGateEthereum6.60736.4989-1.64%6.3496-3.90%0.0845✗0.594.7M2022-05-06
BFCBifrostEthereum0.159720.157148-1.61%0.11235-29.66%0.1867✓0.8218k2022-05-06
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.045480.044804-1.49%0.03694-18.78%0.0425✓0.8331k2022-05-06
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.076840.075701-1.48%0.06291-18.13%0.0367✓0.8250k2022-05-06
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.012330.012178-1.23%0.00707-42.66%0.4228✓0.6726k2022-05-06
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.82265.7599-1.08%5.3767-7.66%0.0173✗0.47165k2022-05-06
TRXTRONTron0.0630560.062629-0.68%0.086482+37.15%0.4392✗0.64331k2022-05-06
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.