8=======>

2022-03-31 · +30d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 161 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1098
161 of 161 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+12.22%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
86.3%
in alpha space · 93.1% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-17.32%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (161 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum2.1011.8584-11.55%0.904-56.97%0.5448✓0.921.3M2022-04-30
API3Api3Ethereum5.1954.6427-10.63%3.179-38.81%0.2697✓0.574.6M2022-04-30
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.6090.544616-10.57%0.452-25.78%0.0187✓1.087.0M2022-04-30
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain6.0615.4871-9.47%3.508-42.12%0.3688✓0.417.0M2022-04-30
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.035310.032281-8.58%0.01815-48.60%0.2868✓1.5252.9M2022-04-30
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain6.88636.3014-8.49%4.818-30.03%0.0633✓1.0823.4M2022-04-30
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana16.5215.1461-8.32%11.36-31.23%0.2020✓0.452.9M2022-04-30
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.032690.03002-8.17%0.02211-32.36%0.1526✓0.81185k2022-04-30
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana8.1977.5527-7.86%6.245-23.81%0.0654✓0.661.5M2022-04-30
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.81482.5951-7.80%2.2788-19.04%0.0088✓0.7312k2022-04-30
GTCGitcoinEthereum7.316.7725-7.35%4.52-38.17%0.1280✓1.45458k2022-04-30
SNXSynthetixEthereum6.8186.3423-6.98%4.377-35.80%0.1413✓1.214.7M2022-04-30
SKLSKALEEthereum0.24170.225367-6.76%0.1491-38.31%0.2031✓1.102.4M2022-04-30
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.06840.063839-6.67%0.0358-47.66%0.2619✓1.6644.1M2022-04-30
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.19081.1126-6.57%0.9028-24.19%0.0253✓1.2315.1M2022-04-30
CELLCellframeEthereum1.38681.2968-6.49%0.659-52.48%0.4129✓1.39199k2022-04-30
LUNATerraTerra 2102.9696.2803-6.49%78.13-24.12%0.0453✓1.349.1M2022-04-30
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.22373.9497-6.49%3.1056-26.47%0.1204✓0.634.7M2022-04-30
UMAUMAEthereum7.8037.3077-6.35%5.348-31.46%0.0723✓1.265.7M2022-04-30
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1740.162988-6.33%0.135-22.41%0.0929✓0.5025k2022-04-30
XVGVergenative0.013390.012559-6.20%0.00823-38.54%0.2089✓1.121.9M2022-04-30
IMXImmutableEthereum2.3522.21-6.04%1.356-42.35%0.3057✓0.968.3M2022-04-30
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.58270.547611-6.02%0.2015-65.42%0.6562✓1.812.2M2022-04-30
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana9.258.6955-5.99%4.96-46.38%0.4243✓0.722.9M2022-04-30
BRISEBitgertEthereum8.72e-78.20e-7-5.94%9.72e-7+11.49%0.0967✗-0.391.1M2022-04-30
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana7.787.3281-5.81%4.25-45.37%0.4036✓0.741.9M2022-04-30
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum3.25953.0741-5.69%4.8763+49.60%0.6090✗0.784.1M2022-04-30
STXStacksnative1.441.3587-5.65%0.91-36.81%0.2200✓0.95610k2022-04-30
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.013610.012842-5.65%0.00839-38.35%0.2038✓1.173.3M2022-04-30
CBKCobakEthereum2.7562.6032-5.54%1.814-34.18%0.2161✓0.7618k2022-04-30
DASHDashDash127.13120.1866-5.46%84.6-33.45%0.1739✓0.932.2M2022-04-30
APEApeCoinEthereum12.70212.0177-5.39%19.987+57.35%0.6989✗1.0083.2M2022-04-30
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana13.8913.1436-5.37%9.41-32.25%0.2600✓0.393.0M2022-04-30
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.66760.632676-5.23%0.4-40.08%0.2051✓1.33608k2022-04-30
ZECZcashZcash178.39169.4403-5.02%114-36.10%0.2181✓0.9415.7M2022-04-30
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum5.48685.2241-4.79%3.6303-33.84%0.1934✓0.90264k2022-04-30
LSKLiskEthereum2.52042.4012-4.73%1.7499-30.57%0.1626✓0.81183k2022-04-30
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum45,846.4043,725.25-4.63%37,625.50-17.93%0.0334✓0.9725k2022-04-30
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum7.527.1755-4.58%4.914-34.65%0.1891✓1.00448k2022-04-30
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.92950.887368-4.53%0.5676-38.93%0.2674✓0.9417.2M2022-04-30
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain4.40844.209-4.52%3.3163-24.77%0.1321✓0.563.7M2022-04-30
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.411.347-4.46%0.7-50.35%0.4467✓1.09603k2022-04-30
XLMStellarStellar0.2284220.218234-4.46%0.169004-26.01%0.0711✓0.9718.7M2022-04-30
ADACardanoCardano1.14171.0908-4.46%0.7558-33.80%0.1794✓0.9963.3M2022-04-30
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.8913.718-4.45%2.764-28.96%0.1470✓0.792.3M2022-04-30
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche97.4293.0912-4.44%57.01-41.48%0.2458✓1.29103.6M2022-04-30
XECeCashnative0.000092850.000088764-4.40%0.00006775-27.03%0.0825✓0.996.6M2022-04-30
XMRMoneroMonero212.94203.6126-4.38%214.3+0.64%0.2298✗0.941.6M2022-04-30
KSMKusamaHydration188.49180.2347-4.38%131.55-30.21%0.1055✓1.10901k2022-04-30
SPELLSpellEthereum0.004310.004121-4.38%0.00303-29.70%0.0630✓1.295.7M2022-04-30
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum1.0711.0243-4.36%0.3991-62.74%0.8685✓0.39676k2022-04-30
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.0331.9447-4.34%2.123+4.43%0.2692✗0.953.0M2022-04-30
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.020880.019976-4.33%0.01431-31.47%0.1463✓0.981.7M2022-04-30
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000025860.000024743-4.32%0.00002016-22.04%0.0114✓1.142.2M2022-04-30
GLMGolemEthereum0.55270.528855-4.31%0.3441-37.74%0.2396✓1.001.1M2022-04-30
AUCTIONBounceEthereum15.6514.9767-4.30%11.23-28.24%0.0645✓1.17788k2022-04-30
NANOnanopayBase2.47962.3735-4.28%1.6557-33.23%0.1484✓1.11178k2022-04-30
QNTQuantEthereum137.61131.7335-4.27%92.75-32.60%0.1795✓0.904.1M2022-04-30
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.095010.090955-4.27%0.06-36.85%0.2268✓1.00101k2022-04-30
FTTFTXEthereum48.8346.7732-4.21%37.95-22.28%0.0118✓1.0414.1M2022-04-30
BTCBitcoinBitcoin45,528.4543,641.28-4.15%37,644.10-17.32%0.0423✗1.00680.6M2022-04-30
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.242.1481-4.10%1.47-34.38%0.1383✓1.27903k2022-04-30
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.49680.476422-4.10%0.2199-55.74%0.4894✓1.498.9M2022-04-30
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.7951.7218-4.08%1.058-41.06%0.2346✓1.33433k2022-04-30
YFIyearn.financeEthereum22,229.8021,352.03-3.95%16,656.58-25.07%0.0345✓1.125.9M2022-04-30
NMRNumeraireEthereum31.2730.0419-3.93%23.46-24.98%0.0770✓0.90665k2022-04-30
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum63.5361.0447-3.91%29.08-54.23%0.4979✓1.285.1M2022-04-30
HIVEHivenative1.21511.1677-3.90%0.78-35.81%0.2025✓1.062.0M2022-04-30
DOTPolkadotPolkadot21.3520.5182-3.90%14.51-32.04%0.1437✓1.0719.8M2022-04-30
DKAdKargoEthereum0.126030.121168-3.86%0.07765-38.39%0.2868✓0.8329k2022-04-30
LCXLCXEthereum0.12290.118173-3.85%0.0993-19.20%0.0563✗1.21648k2022-04-30
STORJStorjEthereum1.33861.2872-3.84%0.84719-36.71%0.2082✓1.11125k2022-04-30
SOLSolanaSolana122.86118.1625-3.82%84.69-31.07%0.0984✓1.2389.9M2022-04-30
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.9150.880113-3.81%0.584-36.17%0.2411✓0.891.8M2022-04-30
QTUMQtumQtum8.28427.971-3.78%5.3212-35.77%0.1915✓1.12143k2022-04-30
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.2850.274305-3.75%0.2004-29.68%0.1238✓1.00473k2022-04-30
FIDABonfidaSolana1.8391.7702-3.74%1.095-40.46%0.3191✓0.8553k2022-04-30
TRBTellor TributesEthereum25.724.7389-3.74%14.36-44.12%0.2988✓1.29232k2022-04-30
ZENHorizenBase48.7546.9381-3.72%29.04-40.43%0.2356✓1.29508k2022-04-30
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.6382.5428-3.61%1.996-24.34%0.0169✓1.369.1M2022-04-30
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.865770.835158-3.54%0.57042-34.11%0.1832✓1.04179k2022-04-30
WOOWOOEthereum0.64060.617957-3.53%0.3458-46.02%0.5698✓0.065,0712022-04-30
GITCOINGITCOIN7.1896.9362-3.52%4.486-37.60%0.1631✓1.4321k2022-04-30
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.24570.237084-3.51%0.1422-42.12%0.3210✓1.001.2M2022-04-30
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.46980.453614-3.45%0.3067-34.72%0.1762✓1.1310.7M2022-04-30
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2830.2733-3.43%0.228-19.43%0.0258✓0.8233k2022-04-30
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0418670.040437-3.42%0.024704-40.99%0.3087✓0.974.1M2022-04-30
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.5941.5397-3.41%1.007-36.83%0.1923✓1.223.9M2022-04-30
HIGHHighstreetEthereum6.6396.4127-3.41%3.672-44.69%0.3674✓1.002.9M2022-04-30
MOVRMoonriverBase66.874964.6079-3.39%39.7897-40.50%0.2270✓1.36159k2022-04-30
XEMNEMnative0.11830.114311-3.37%0.0885-25.19%0.0990✓0.8338k2022-04-30
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.26950.260727-3.26%0.1946-27.79%0.1392✓0.811.7M2022-04-30
DODODODOEthereum0.5180.501452-3.19%0.283-45.37%0.3633✓1.103.1M2022-04-30
UOSUltraEthereum1.26491.2251-3.15%0.71156-43.75%0.2938✓1.311.4M2022-04-30
ETCEthereum Classicnative47.4845.9892-3.14%25.89-45.47%0.3780✓1.034.5M2022-04-30
GLMRMoonbeamBase3.1153.0174-3.13%2.382-23.53%0.0165✓1.16417k2022-04-30
BANDBandEthereum4.8934.7408-3.11%2.965-39.40%0.2626✓1.09606k2022-04-30
LINKChainlinkEthereum16.9316.4122-3.06%10.97-35.20%0.2118✓1.0026.1M2022-04-30
CTKShentuOsmosis1.511.4638-3.06%0.985-34.77%0.2242✓0.902.8M2022-04-30
CHZChilizEthereum0.28320.274637-3.02%0.1713-39.51%0.2516✓1.163.0M2022-04-30
GALAGALAEthereum0.25410.246428-3.02%0.1312-48.37%0.4455✓0.97215k2022-04-30
DIADIAEthereum1.11.0668-3.02%0.79-28.18%0.2278✓0.38165k2022-04-30
AVTAventusEthereum2.682.5997-3.00%1.72-35.82%0.3349✓0.41376k2022-04-30
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum18.0717.5346-2.96%20.45+13.17%0.4036✗1.313.1M2022-04-30
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash384.15373.0721-2.88%277.83-27.68%0.1151✓0.948.0M2022-04-30
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.08360.081218-2.85%0.107+27.99%0.4566✗0.95176k2022-04-30
MASKMask NetworkEthereum65.83-2.83%3.73-37.83%0.1813✓1.40661k2022-04-30
CTSICartesiEthereum0.46740.454239-2.82%0.2658-43.13%0.2972✓1.261.4M2022-04-30
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.1224.0074-2.78%2.879-30.16%0.2017✓0.682.7M2022-04-30
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1381120.134365-2.71%0.127449-7.72%0.1030✗0.822.6M2022-04-30
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.15790.153658-2.69%0.132-16.40%0.0429✗1.02211k2022-04-30
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos28.928.1267-2.68%17.84-38.27%0.2451✓1.1139.5M2022-04-30
MINAMina Protocolnative2.652.5791-2.67%1.7-35.85%0.2259✓1.00644k2022-04-30
XTZTezosTezos3.72553.6264-2.66%2.5333-32.00%0.1578✓1.061.0M2022-04-30
FILFilecoinFilecoin24.4523.8057-2.64%14.23-41.80%0.3141✓1.056.6M2022-04-30
COTICOTIEthereum0.27320.266035-2.62%0.1801-34.08%0.1483✓1.271.8M2022-04-30
ETHEthereumEthereum3,283.083,196.99-2.62%2,726.59-16.95%0.0420✗1.06491.5M2022-04-30
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.59660.580975-2.62%0.414-30.61%0.2082✓0.69376k2022-04-30
AAVEAaveEthereum207201.6093-2.60%142.59-31.12%0.1138✓1.229.7M2022-04-30
COMPCompoundEthereum149.85146.0088-2.56%104.6-30.20%0.1237✓1.1059k2022-04-30
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.7751.7297-2.55%1.122-36.79%0.2506✓0.96887k2022-04-30
UNIUniswapEthereum11.2911.0043-2.53%6.76-40.12%0.2930✓1.026.3M2022-04-30
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum6.0295.8769-2.52%4.05-32.82%0.1849✓0.9987k2022-04-30
RADRadworksEthereum5.415.2743-2.51%3.8-29.76%0.1513✓0.93400k2022-04-30
BTTCBTTC0.000002140.000002087-2.48%0.00000166-22.43%0.1046✓0.6511.5M2022-04-30
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.536.3697-2.45%4.55-30.32%0.2005✓0.711.6M2022-04-30
CVCCivicEthereum0.36020.351527-2.41%0.2593-28.01%0.0926✓1.11320k2022-04-30
SCSiacoinnative0.012070.011784-2.37%0.00824-31.73%0.1455✓1.12469k2022-04-30
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.034080.033273-2.37%0.018-47.18%0.4120✓1.06210k2022-04-30
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.85230.832739-2.30%0.5291-37.92%0.2618✓1.017.5M2022-04-30
DYDXdYdXCosmos6.0015.8666-2.24%3.446-42.58%0.3483✓0.97102k2022-04-30
LTCLitecoinLitecoin123.87121.1213-2.22%95.89-22.59%0.0403✓1.0226.1M2022-04-30
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.820.802028-2.19%0.42-48.78%0.3629✓1.49363k2022-04-30
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.2121.1855-2.18%0.625-48.43%0.3891✓1.322.5M2022-04-30
SUNSun TokenTron0.0161060.015759-2.15%0.012895-19.94%0.0348✓0.8714k2022-04-30
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum2120.55-2.14%12.43-40.81%0.3185✓0.9716.5M2022-04-30
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum2.9982.9349-2.11%1.475-50.80%0.5335✓0.8156k2022-04-30
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.736.5895-2.09%6-10.85%0.0425✗0.72878k2022-04-30
PROPropyEthereum1.571.5374-2.07%1.57+0.00%0.2141✗1.02185k2022-04-30
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.04050.039671-2.05%0.0277-31.60%0.2305✓0.681.1M2022-04-30
MANADecentralandEthereum2.60982.5575-2.00%1.4319-45.13%0.3651✓1.131.3M2022-04-30
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.7738030.759073-1.90%0.753957-2.56%0.1949✗1.061.8M2022-04-30
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.054880.053889-1.81%0.0405-26.20%0.0881✓1.04576k2022-04-30
BFCBifrostEthereum0.163250.160432-1.73%0.1273-22.02%0.0731✓0.8315k2022-04-30
XVSVenusEthereum11.8111.6066-1.72%7.66-35.14%0.2208✓1.023.2M2022-04-30
SUSHISushiEthereum4.414.3348-1.71%2.3-47.85%0.4131✓1.166.9M2022-04-30
LPTLivepeerEthereum27.7527.308-1.59%22-20.72%0.0313✗1.30740k2022-04-30
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.682.6381-1.57%1.99-25.75%0.0970✓0.97142k2022-04-30
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.052710.051886-1.56%0.0373-29.24%0.1737✓0.8227k2022-04-30
AMPAmpEthereum0.026950.026531-1.56%0.01933-28.27%0.1714✓0.763.1M2022-04-30
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV94.593.2668-1.30%71.35-24.50%0.1207✓0.772.0M2022-04-30
ARPAARPAEthereum0.08520.084159-1.22%0.0513-39.79%0.2748✓1.16352k2022-04-30
XYMSymbolnative0.14610.144448-1.13%0.0892-38.95%0.3407✓0.74630k2022-04-30
KCSKuCoinnative20.46520.3266-0.68%17.262-15.65%0.0026✓0.875.1M2022-04-30
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.8345.8113-0.39%5.688-2.50%0.0677✗0.47175k2022-04-30
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.091830.091664-0.18%0.067-27.04%0.1659✓0.7825k2022-04-30
GTGateEthereum6.67526.665-0.15%6.297-5.67%0.0562✗0.594.4M2022-04-30
ORCAOrcaSolana2.32.3017+0.08%1.84-20.00%0.0950✗0.68246k2022-04-30
TRXTRONTron0.0737960.07443+0.86%0.06267-15.08%0.0535✗0.62289k2022-04-30
LRCLoopringEthereum1.16191.1786+1.44%0.6801-41.47%0.2932✗1.35234k2022-04-30
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.013120.013425+2.32%0.00833-36.51%0.3494✗0.6710k2022-04-30
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.